Solar Grand Solar Minimum part deux

TxGal

Day by day

La Nina is coming!

May 12, 2020 by Robert

“East tropical Pacific ocean is starting to cool, indicating a regime shift in the tropics and starting a cold ENSO phase,”says reader Martin Siebert.”It will very likely boost the #Hurricane season strength and have a major impact on the #Winter of 2020/2021.”

What is “ENSO”?

ENSO is short for “El Niño Southern Oscillation”. There are many ways to describe it, but the best version is probably from the NOAA Climate page:

“El Niño and La Niña are the warm and cool phases of a recurring climate pattern across the tropical Pacific – the El Niño-Southern Oscillation, or “ENSO” for short. The pattern can shift back and forth irregularly every two to seven years, and each phase triggers predictable disruptions of temperature, precipitation, and winds. These changes disrupt the large-scale air movements in the tropics, triggering a cascade of global side effects.”

Below we have an example of each event, the warm El Nino phase in 2015, and the cold La Nina phase in 2011. Graphics show sea surface temperature anomalies. We can see warmer/colder waters in the tropical Pacific in the ENSO regions.

enso-elnino-event-2015
enso-lanina-event-2011
East tropical Pacific ocean starts to cool, initiating a cold ENSO phase! It will boost the hurricane season and affect the winter 2020/2021 » Severe Weather Europe

Thanks to Martin Siebert for this link
 

TxGal

Day by day

May snow hits the UK

May 12, 2020 by Robert

Parts of Scotland woke to May snowfall yesterday morning (Monday, May 11) as a mass of brutal Arctic air moved anomalously-far south.

The Highlands can expect even heavier flurries through Tuesday and Wednesday with temperatures dipping below 0C (32F). Southern England was forecast to see lows of around 2C (35.6F) overnight Monday, with the windchill making it feel 0C (32F). Protect those young shoots.

May Snow Hits the UK, just as Met Office and others) Forecast 1,500 mile “Cool Blob” lasting all Summer



Six warm-mongering organisations have combined to create a weather model for June through Aug, 2020; and even they haven’t been able to hide the coming cold…
Electroverse

Thanks to Bob Morton for this link
 

TxGal

Day by day

Freeze hits during ahead-of-average planting progress

May 12, 2020 By Rhiannon Branch Filed Under: Ag Weather, Crops, News

USDA’s meteorologist says there is good news and bad news regarding planting progress last week.

Brad Rippey says the good news is both corn and soybean planting are ahead of the five-year average and well ahead of last year at 67% and 38% planted, respectively. He says the bad news is key growing areas were hit with freezing temperatures over the weekend including the emerging corn crop in Minnesota, Illinois and Indiana.

“All of those states were largely hit by statewide freezes on May 9th and 10th. There will certainly be an effort to watch that crop to see how much damage was done by temperatures the locally dropped well into the 20’s.”

He says less soybeans have emerged than corn, but 20% of the nation’s planted crop is in states hit by the freeze including Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Nebraska and Wisconsin.

“There is concern for soybeans which tend to be less hardy with respect to freezes than corn early in the season. There is some significant concern that some of that soybean crop could be lost and may need to be replanted.”

Rippey says the planting story is still brighter than 2019, as farmers have well over double the corn and four-times the amount of soybeans in the ground compared to this time last year.
 

TxGal

Day by day
Adapt 2030 has a new podcast out:

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fCxf8q87-Xk


The United States is in a Different Place than 1929: Inflationary Reset (Bob Kudla 1/2)
4,336 views•May 12, 2020

Run time is 20:30

Bob Kudla of tradelikeagenius.com and David DuByne from ADAPT 2030 discuss the current state of the global reset and how agriculture yields across every country are declining with spiking food prices and what to expect as we move into 2023 with the biggest crash since the Roman Empire.

• Deflationary Depression
• Bitcoin Halving
• Central bank printing infinite amounts of cash (Central Bank Bubble)
• Fiat currency devaluation • Eurozone break up / Euro dissolves
• Returning to a seasonal diet as imports shrink
• Decline of the leisure travel business
• Prices stay high and less people can afford items moving forward
• Silver / Gold Ratio over 100

 

TxGal

Day by day
The Oppenheimer Ranch Project has a new podcast out:

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i72GGVLudok


Hundreds Of Cold Temperature Records Crushed! - Crinoid History Explained - Archaeology Revisited
4,184 views
•Premiered 8 hours ago

Run time is 23:58

Hundreds Of Record Cold Temps Recorded Across The US http://bit.ly/2q7qHcT
Monday’s snowfall breaks record for latest snow accumulation ever recorded in Cleveland https://bit.ly/3dJ4ZzA
New York City, Boston could break century-old cold weather records https://nbcnews.to/3dJrnZB
Stormy Stretch Coming Up From Plains To Midwest https://www.weather.gov/
GFS Model Total Snow https://bit.ly/2SXeyCH
India hit by extreme weather including dust storms and earthquakes https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GvP0k...
Lōʻihi Seamount Earthquake Swarm Gets USGS Attention https://bit.ly/3cs2Vf5
Worldwide Volcano News http://bit.ly/2v9JJhO
Strange hollow ball-like structures found in 80-million-year-old fossils https://bit.ly/3fDEs8x
Crinoids https://bit.ly/3cu1gFN
Crinoids in Earth History http://www.fossilcrinoids.com/
Humans Created Earliest Modern Artifacts in Europe https://bit.ly/2WPaYf7
As Food Supply Chain Breaks Down, Farm-To-Door CSAs Take Off https://n.pr/3fJM6OF
Large chunks of a Chinese rocket missed New York City by about 15 minutes https://bit.ly/3fMJQ9d
Keep an eye on the sky before sunrise as Comet SWAN nears https://bit.ly/3cuEPA9
Comet SWAN @c2020f8 on Twitter https://bit.ly/3dCDxDt
 

TxGal

Day by day

North Dakota could see fewer corn acres

May 12, 2020 By Mark Dorenkamp

1589377109491.png

Expect fewer planted corn acres in the Upper Midwest this year.

Adam Spelhaug with North Dakota-based Peterson Farms Seed says there’s still corn left over from 2019, and the spring harvest has been slowed by continued wetness.

“Those (farmers) I think are looking at it, (and) a PP payment realistically looks a little bit more attractive than if they planted corn May 20th for $2.50 a bushel.”

He tells Brownfield another reason prevented planting looks attractive is because there aren’t really any good alternatives to corn.

“Soybeans (and) wheat don’t look that great. We’re getting a bit too late for putting in spring wheat. Sunflower contracts, dry bean contracts, all those have been taken care. So I think guys are weighing their options right now.”

Spelhaug estimates about 15 to 20 percent of North Dakota’s 2019 corn crop remains unharvested.
 

20Gauge

TB Fanatic

Professor Valentina Zharkova’s ‘Expanded’ Analysis still Confirms Super Grand Solar Minimum (2020-2055)

July 2, 2019 Cap Allon


Professor Valentina Zharkova’s recent paper ‘Oscillations of the Baseline of Solar Magnetic Field and Solar Irradiance on a Millennial Timescale’ has been accepted for publishing in Nature. It confirms a Grand Solar Minimum (GSM) from 2020 to 2055, as all four magnetic fields of the sun go out of phase, while also suggesting centuries of natural warming post-Minima.

Zharkova’s team’s expanded ‘double dynamo’ calculations match-up almost perfectly with the timelines of past Grand Minimas: the Maunder Minimum (1645–1715), Wolf minimum (1300–1350), Oort minimum (1000–1050), Homer minimum (800–900 BC); as well as with the past Grand Maximas: the Medieval Warm Period (900–1200), the Roman Warm Period (400–150 BC), and so on…

Coming as somewhat of a surprise however, Zharkova’s full and expanded analysis reveals the sun, following its next GSM cycle (2020-2055), will actually enter a 300+ year spell of increased-activity warming the earth at a rate of 0.5C (0.9F) per century, running until the next GSM cycle (2370-2415).

Succeeding that cooling period (2415-onward), the world, according to Zharkova, will continue on with its warming trend, again at an average of 0.5C (0.9F) per century, until the year 2600 when the sun will flip to a prolonged cooling phase running for the next 1000 years (and likely propelling Earth into the next ice age).

It is a little confusing why Zharkova failed to mention these long spells of warming (2055-2370 and then 2415-2600) in her original ‘teaser’ presentation back in October, 2018. Whether it has been included to continue her funding and/or to see her GSM message reach a wider audience is honestly anyone’s guess.

Though to her credit, at least the 0.5C (0.9F) warming per century is driven by the sun, and not you, not CO2.

Zharkova’s work, at worst, confirms that the earth warms and cools as a part of complex natural cycles.

For a more detailed look at the paper, click here for tallbloke’s breakdown.

And, to me at least, it remains a fair takeaway that regardless of what happens post-2055, that 35 year cooling period beginning 2020 should be enough to give almost-every living organism on the planet cause for concern.

Historically, life hasn’t done too well in the cold:

‘Extinctions NOT Driven by Global Warming’ — by Dr Jay Lehr and Tom Harris



“You have no reason to fear global warming-induced species extinction. We should focus our efforts on protecting wildlife from real human threats.”


Electroverse

Our star is effectively shutting down, starting next year (2020).

The upcoming GSM is forecast (by Zharkova herself, among others) to be similar to the Maunder Minimum (1645-1715) — a time when sunspots were exceedingly rare and much of the planet experienced colder than average temperatures.

We are already seeing an increase in unstable weather patterns, as the weakest solar cycle in over 100 years (SC24) continues to weaken the jet stream, reverting it’s usual zonal (tight) flow to more of a meridional (wavy) one.

Major flooding, snowstorms, anomalous cold and bursts of unseasonable heat are all contributing to one of the poorest growing years on record for the farmers around the globe.

An uptick in high-level volcanic eruptions is also associated with low solar activity. Increasing Cosmic Rays are believed to heat the muons in subsurface silica-rich magma (click here for more on that). And larger eruptions (ones that fire volcanic ash above 32,800 feet (10 km) and into the Stratosphere) have a direct cooling effect on the planet, as these ejected particulates effectively block out the sun.

An influx of Cosmic Rays (caused by a decrease in deflecting solar winds) also nucleate more clouds (Svensmark) and these play an major role in earth’s climate:

“Clouds are the Earth’s sunshade, and if cloud cover changes for any reason, you have global warming — or global cooling.” — Roy W. Spencer PhD.


Unfortunately things are only expected to get worse, until 2055 at least, with now even NASA joining in the fun with their latest SC25 forecast suggesting it’ll be the weakest cycle for the last 200 years, continuing the solar shutdown:


Solar-Cycle-25-NASA-full.png


The agency is effectively forecasting a return to the Dalton Minimum (1790-1830) without giving mention to the brutal cold, crop loss, famine, war and powerful Volcanic eruptions associated with it.

The year 1816 went on to earn the name, “Eighteen Hundred and Froze to Death“ (see the link below).

The cold times are returning.

The next Solar Cycle (25) is likely just a stop-off on our descent into the next super Grand Solar Minimum cycle.

Prepare
I for one would like a bit cooler summer. The fact that it will cause problems for the world's ability to grow food is of concern. Especially since we have about 9 billion people these days.
 

TxGal

Day by day

1589463038225.png

Parts of UK and US suffer their Lowest May Temperatures on Record

May 14, 2020 Cap Allon

Parts of the UK and US have suffered their lowest May temperatures on record of late, according to data from filthy warm-mongers & partners-in-crime the Met Office and NOAA.

While the official li(n)e coming out of these agencies is that our World Is On Fire, thermometer stations the length and breadth of both Europe and North America are telling a rather different story.

Overnight Wednesday (May 13-14), the mercury in Katesbridge and Castlederg, N. Ireland, plummeted to an extra-duvet-grabbing -6.1C (21F) and -3.9C (25F), respectively, as a wave of brutal Arctic air rode anomalously-far south on the back on a meridional (wavy) jet stream flow.

Wednesday night followed what had been a record-chilly day — a minimum temperature of -5C (23F) was observed in Tulloch Bridge, Scotland.

The wave of record cold actually engulfed much of Northern Europe overnight Wednesday, as visible in coolwx.com‘s temperature animation:




While across the pond, thermometer stations across the Lower 48, particularly the east, have been besting cold records for at least the past WEEK:



And not to leave out Canada, many cities, including Ontario’s Toronto and Barrie, have been busting an all-time cold records this week.

The -3C (26.6F) measured at Pearson International Airport Tuesday morning was the lowest reading ever recorded in Toronto on May 12 since the federal government started keeping weather records back in 1939.

While the city of Barrie suffered all-time cold on May 13, in books dating back to the late 1800s:

View: https://twitter.com/Barrie360/status/1260595293009125376


“A frost this late in the year is not good news for gardeners,” said Met Office spokesman Simon Partridge. “It caught people out because everybody’s doing more gardening at the moment while they are at home,” he said.

It’s surely worse news for farmers, Simon, and in turn for all of those families reliant on filled supermarket shelves to fill their bellies. This record spring cold, added to the crippling disaster that is the handling of COVID-19, will no doubt bring-on skyrocketing food prices and devastating shortages in the near future.

How the global warming ruse can continue –and it surely will– in the face of such persistent cold and crop loss –across multiple continents– is baffling. The selective bias of environmentalists and their MSM lapdogs is illogical, history-ignoring, shortsighted, and downright infuriating.

Looking forward, the UK is forecast to see a return to average May temps by the middle of next week, and the Met Office are all-too quick to point this out.

Forecaster Aidan McGivern: “From the start of next week it’s going to be warmer. Overall, high pressure is expected to dominate and there is a strong signal next week for temperatures to rise. Both daytime and nighttime temperatures should rise during the next ten days.”

However, looking at the latest GFS run (below), things appear decidedly unclear to me; 7-10 days ahead is a long time in weather forecasting, and I’m not sure the jet stream has made up its mind yet:

1589463224513.png

GFS temp anomaly (C) — May 13 to May 25 [Tropical Tidbits]

The short-term forecast is uncertain for North America, too:



GFS temp anomaly (C) — May 13 to May 22 [Tropical Tidbits]


However, the long-term overall global picture is clear.

The Sun and the cycles reveal a multidecadal period of ever-descending COLD is in all of our futures, refreezing the lower-latitudes (where us humans reside).

The chill is arriving in line with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow, and even NASA agrees, in part at least, revealing that this upcoming solar cycle (25) will be “the weakest of the past 200 years,” with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.





Don’t fall for bogus, warm-mongering, UHI-ignoring political agendas.

Prepare for the COLD learn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
 

TxGal

Day by day
Adapt 2030 has a new podcast out:

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w4R_e7Wfq1E


Less Than Zero: A Cover Story for the Collapse & Reset (Bob Kudla 2/2)
2,401 views
•May 13, 2020

Run time is 19:26

Bob Kudla of tradelikeagenius.com and David DuByne from ADAPT 2030 discuss the current state of the global reset and how agriculture yields across every country are declining with spiking food prices and what to expect as we move into 2023 with the biggest crash since the Roman Empire.

•Zero percent interest
•Fed money printing three trillion a month
•Revaluing gold price against US Debt
•Gold / Silver Ratio
•Below normal temperatures both hemispheres May 2020
•Is central banking again responsible for the economic collapse?
•Collapse of the REPO market October 2019
 

TheSearcher

Are you sure about that?

La Nina is coming!

May 12, 2020 by Robert

“East tropical Pacific ocean is starting to cool, indicating a regime shift in the tropics and starting a cold ENSO phase,”says reader Martin Siebert.”It will very likely boost the #Hurricane season strength and have a major impact on the #Winter of 2020/2021.”

What is “ENSO”?

ENSO is short for “El Niño Southern Oscillation”. There are many ways to describe it, but the best version is probably from the NOAA Climate page:

“El Niño and La Niña are the warm and cool phases of a recurring climate pattern across the tropical Pacific – the El Niño-Southern Oscillation, or “ENSO” for short. The pattern can shift back and forth irregularly every two to seven years, and each phase triggers predictable disruptions of temperature, precipitation, and winds. These changes disrupt the large-scale air movements in the tropics, triggering a cascade of global side effects.”

Below we have an example of each event, the warm El Nino phase in 2015, and the cold La Nina phase in 2011. Graphics show sea surface temperature anomalies. We can see warmer/colder waters in the tropical Pacific in the ENSO regions.

enso-elnino-event-2015
enso-lanina-event-2011
East tropical Pacific ocean starts to cool, initiating a cold ENSO phase! It will boost the hurricane season and affect the winter 2020/2021 » Severe Weather Europe

Thanks to Martin Siebert for this link

So... we're going to have GSM cold, with La Nina cold added in? Wow, seems like a big cold shift, if I understand the implications.
 

TxGal

Day by day
LucyT sent me a link to this article on the DailyMailUK, trying to bring it in:


Now the sun has gone into lockdown! Reduced activity on the solar surface has sparked fears of a doomsday mini ice age. So is it time we saw the light, asks JANE FRYER

By Jane Fryer for the Daily Mail

Published: 19:32 EDT, 14 May 2020 | Updated: 03:51 EDT, 15 May 2020

Big news this week about the giant, burning, boiling, spinning thermonuclear reactor which lies 93 million miles away from Earth but is our primary source of life-giving heat and light.

And one might be forgiven for hoping — after weeks of lockdown, far too many deaths, a largely hobbled workforce and an economy spiralling deep into recession — that it might be good news.

Forecasts of a lovely, long, blueskied barbecue summer to perk up our enforced staycations, perhaps?

Or, at the very least, a spot of predictable, settled weather to keep our battered spirits afloat. Sadly, not.

The activity on the Sun's surface has fallen dramatically, and its magnetic field has become weaker prompting a period of 'solar minimum'

The activity on the Sun's surface has fallen dramatically, and its magnetic field has become weaker prompting a period of 'solar minimum'

Because it turns out that even the Sun has gone into a lockdown 'recession'. Or, more accurately, a deep period of 'solar minimum'.

Which means that the activity on the Sun's surface has fallen dramatically, and its magnetic field has become weaker, letting into the environment more of the sort of cosmic rays that cause dramatic lightning storms and interfere with astronauts and space hardware.

They can also can lead to the explosion of 'sprites' — clusters of orange and red lights that shoot out of the top of thunderstorms like 60-mile-high palm trees in the sky.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
More follows at the link, I couldn't get it all to copy over
 

TxGal

Day by day
Adapt 2030 has a new podcast out:

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9VnbdAS3DdY


Desert Jet Streams Signal Global Moisture Shift (976)
7,549 views
•May 14, 2020

Run time is 11:28

Dust storms pushing offshore into the Red Sea, 3.5 years worth of rain in a day Yemen, locusts in the trillions feasting on new plant growth in the original Cradles of Civilization. The food supply globally will be more expensive as the U.S. Federal Reserve prints to infinity with all other central banks. Times up, a new turning begins.
 

PanBear

Veteran Member
McDonald Observatory
Red Sprites and Airglow over West Texas

On the night of May 13th, 2020, a line of storms over 100 miles away generated a fantastic display in the upper atmosphere, seen here in this 45-minute timelapse.

Airglow is a common emission from air molecules near the edge of space, which glow due to reactions from solar energy and emit green, red, and yellow colors. Airglow is common but not usually visible to the unaided eye, and is not the same as aurorae. Bands of airglow form a ripple pattern known as gravity waves (not to be confused with gravitational waves!). Like ripples in a pond, they radiate outward from the powerful storm cells, gently compressing the air.

Even more striking are red sprites, a difficult to detect phenomenon related to lightning. The flashes are from powerful positive discharges which break apart air molecules and form a plasma cloud for brief moments. Unlike common lightning, it isn't hot. Red sprites are far larger than common lightning; they can stretch up to 50 miles high and can be dozens of miles across. Red sprites can be seen easily with the naked eye if the conditions are right, although the human eye isn't able to perceive the color.

The glow on the horizon is the city of Alpine.
Video credit: Stephen Hummel, McDonald Observatory.

video 15 sec - May 14, 2020
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_continue=15&v=UTCoT08HkMk&feature=emb_logo
 

TxGal

Day by day

The Sun Is Asleep – This article made it to the mainstream media!

May 15, 2020 by Robert

“The Sun Is Asleep: Deep ‘Solar Minimum’ Feared As 2020 Sees Record-Setting 100-Day Slump,” reads the headline on Forbes.com.
Blank_Sun_Credit-SDO-HMI.gif

Blank sun


12 May 2020 – “Our star—the Sun—is having a lockdown all of its own. Spaceweather.com reports that already there have been 100 days in 2020 when our Sun has displayed zero sunspots.”

“That makes 2020 the second consecutive year of a record-setting low number of sunspots.

“This is a sign that solar minimum is underway,” reads SpaceWeather.com. “So far this year, the Sun has been blank 76% of the time, a rate surpassed only once before in the Space Age. Last year, 2019, the Sun was blank 77% of the time. Two consecutive years of record-setting spotlessness adds up to a very deep solar minimum, indeed.”

Although it makes light of any potential changes in climate, the article does go on to answer a few questions. Amazingly, one of the questions, “What is ‘solar minimum’? doesn’t bother to mention the climate. But at least it does give a Wikipedia link to the “Maunder Minimum.”

But even the Wikipedia article equivocates. It says:

“The Maunder Minimum roughly coincided with the middle part of the Little Ice Age, during which Europe and North America experienced colder than average temperatures. Whether there is a causal relationship, however, is still under evaluation.”

Whether there is a causal relationship is still under evaluation?!?!

Oh well, at least it’s a start. At least the general populace may become aware of the record-setting sunspot minimum.

Here are the questions that the Forbes article attempts to answer.

What is a sunspot?
What is the solar cycle?
How does the solar cycle affect Earth?
What is ‘solar minimum’?
When is the next ‘solar maximum?’
How the solar cycle affects solar eclipses
How to see explosions on the Sun
Why is this good news for North American eclipse-chasers?

The Sun Is Asleep. Deep ‘Solar Minimum’ Feared As 2020 Sees Record-Setting 100-Day Slump

Thanks to Argiris Diamantis for this link
 

TxGal

Day by day
The Oppenheimer Ranch Project has a short podcast on the eruption of Katla in Iceland...interesting.

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MCVYjb4Jycw


Katla Volcano In Iceland Begins Erupting - Volcanic Ash Advisory: ERUPTION TO 15KM to 20000 ft
5,554 views
•Premiered 13 hours ago

Run time is 3:38

The last major eruption of Katla Volcano was in 1918 during the Spanish Flu Pandemic. Hmm. Katla Volcano Volcanic Ash Advisory: ERUPTION TO 15KM OBS VA DTG: 15/1500Z to 20000 ft (6100 m) https://bit.ly/365HG07
Magnitude-6.5 Nevada Earthquake Shakes Parts of California https://bit.ly/2WAq6OD
New study confirms monster volcano Katla is charging up for an eruption https://bit.ly/3dMyxw7
Katla volcano, Iceland https://bit.ly/2LvUNxY
Katla https://volcano.si.edu/volcano.cfm?vn...
 

TxGal

Day by day
The Oppenheimer Ranch Project has a new podcast out. Apparently there was a BIG volcanic eruption:

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UHYzspTxB8k


Semeru Volcano High Impact Eruption to 46,000ft - Mid-May Winter Storm Set To Drop Snow in Mountains
5,122 views
•Premiered 5 hours ago

Run time is 9:04

Mid-May winter storm set to drop snow in mountains https://bit.ly/2AtUnGc
Winter-like storm takes aim at Bay Area: 'This is something we usually see in January or February' https://bit.ly/2X17wOK
Late Season Winter Storm Watch Issued For The Sierra Nevada https://bit.ly/3bC0mpr
An Active Weather Weekend Expected https://www.weather.gov/
GFS Model East Coast Storm https://bit.ly/2LLHUQR
GFS Model West Coast Snow https://bit.ly/3dMb2Da
The Great Lakes are higher than they’ve ever been, and we’re not sure what will happen next https://bit.ly/2Z670Sh
Cold not experienced this early in decades in Adelaide https://bit.ly/2LxRKWb
Solar Cycle Comparison https://bit.ly/2WAgfIw
Sunspot Number Progression https://bit.ly/2WCGxKv
SDO A1A 193 angstroms https://go.nasa.gov/333kzBn
GOES X-RAY FLUX http://bit.ly/38EqTBu
Worldwide Volcano New https://www.volcanodiscovery.com/volc...
Semeru Volcano Volcanic Ash Advisory: HIGH-IMPACT ERUPTION TO FL460 MOV E OBS VA DTG: 16/1245Z to 46000 ft (14000 m) https://bit.ly/364ISRn
Ibu Volcano Volcanic Ash Advisory: HIGH LEVEL ERUPTION TO FL450 MOV S OBS VA DTG: 16/1025Z to 45000 ft (13700 m) https://bit.ly/2LyzTOX
Huge Alaskan Tsunami Could Be Imminent https://bit.ly/2LxTKh9
It’s ‘Comet SWAN’ Week. Here’s How You Can See The ‘Comet Of The Year’ https://bit.ly/2Ly1r7d
NIH begins clinical trial of hydroxychloroquine and azithromycin to treat COVID-19 https://bit.ly/3fR8QfE
 

TxGal

Day by day
Yanasa Ama Ranch has a new podcast out:

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W_LjDsJsnQk


CROP PATHOGEN CRISIS | Northern Hemisphere Crops Freeze
24,028 views
•May 14, 2020

Run time is 39:28

Farmers should be aware of threats and weaknesses facing crops to make better decisions to improve their strengths and opportunities. Understanding global climate impacts and what they mean through historical observation may not predict the future but can give us guidance on what to expect.

In this video we'll explore historical trends with data surrounding years of Solar Minimum accompanied by a strong polar vortex. In the winter of 2020 the polar vortex was so strong it created the largest whole ever observed in the arctic ozone layer. While this event is unusual, the events that caused it may also cause other problems for crops across the Northern Hemisphere. In some ways, we're already experiencing many of these observations. We'll also discuss the impact of late spring freezes on fruit, vegetable, and grain crops.
 

Martinhouse

Deceased
Is anyone besides me getting REALLY TIRED OF RAIN?????

Boy, am I glad my place is at a little bit of elevation! It might not save me from a Bronson Alpha or a Lucifer's Hammer, but it's enough that I probably won't need an emergency boat or raft for any GSM surprises.
 

TxGal

Day by day
Is anyone besides me getting REALLY TIRED OF RAIN?????

Boy, am I glad my place is at a little bit of elevation! It might not save me from a Bronson Alpha or a Lucifer's Hammer, but it's enough that I probably won't need an emergency boat or raft for any GSM surprises.

Yes!! We got nearly 5" of rain yesterday. After coming in during the early am of Saturday, it was supposed to leave. Instead, it stayed put spinning on top of us all day yesterday and into the evening, and swept back down on us overnight. One heck of a strong low pressure system!
 

TxGal

Day by day

Astronomer predicts freezing weather, famine and earthquakes as sun enters solar minimum


Chris Pollard
The Sun
Thu, 14 May 2020 14:58 UTC

clouds sun
© Getty Images

The sun has entered a 'lockdown' period, which could cause freezing weather, famine

Our sun has gone into lockdown, which could cause freezing weather, earthquakes and famine, scientists say.

The sun is currently in a period of "solar minimum," meaning activity on its surface has fallen dramatically.

Experts believe we are about to enter the deepest period of sunshine "recession" ever recorded as sunspots have virtually disappeared.

Astronomer Dr. Tony Phillips said: "Solar Minimum is underway and it's a deep one."

"Sunspot counts suggest it is one of the deepest of the past century. The sun's magnetic field has become weak, allowing extra cosmic rays into the solar system."

"Excess cosmic rays pose a health hazard to astronauts and polar air travelers, affect the electro-chemistry of Earth's upper atmosphere and may help trigger lightning."

NASA scientists fear it could be a repeat of the Dalton Minimum, which happened between 1790 and 1830 — leading to periods of brutal cold, crop loss, famine and powerful volcanic eruptions.

Temperatures plummeted by up to 2 degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit) over 20 years, devastating the world's food production.

On April 10, 1815, the second-largest volcanic eruption in 2,000 years happened at Mount Tambora in Indonesia, killing at least 71,000 people.

It also led to the so-called Year Without a Summer in 1816 — also nicknamed "eighteen hundred and froze to death" — when there was snow in July.

So far this year, the sun has been "blank" with no sunspots 76 percent of the time, a rate surpassed only once before in the Space Age — last year, when it was 77 percent blank.
 

Martinhouse

Deceased
Probably no one remembers, but from time to time I've mentioned how I never hear anyone talking about the abrupt weather changes of a GSM and how they would affect our survival gardening. I've mentioned the sudden drops in temperature when the Polar Vortex in the Arctic makes a sudden dip southward and how that could wipe out an entire year's harvest overnight.

Well, it's starting to happen now and we're lucky it happened in early May, instead of July when most of us are either picking from our gardens or have things well on the way to harvest. I see what happened last week happening just as easily any time all through the summer and before long it will be too late in the growing season to replace any frozen crops.

If it can snow in San Diego in May, why can't it just as likely freeze in Arkansas, where I am, in June, July, and 'August?

And now that a lot of corona virus lock down is ending, better keep a close eye on how things go. If there is no spike in virus cases, I suspect the media is going to really jump on the new bandwagon and hype up the Solar Minimum. And if this does happen, it might not take long for the stores to just close down altogether because with an additional new wave of panic buying they may not be able to keep anything at all on their shelves.
 

Grouchy Granny

Deceased
Don't know if this belongs in this thread or in it's very own.

But.... anyone noticing a decrease in birds? We normally have 2 or 3 flocks of sparrows in the feeder. This year I have exactly 2 birds. I was originally attributing it to the fact we have a red-tailed hawk nesting in the trees in the next block, but I haven't seen the hawk so far this year. Also no red winged blackbirds, wood peckers, the normal stuff we get.

This really concerns me - not too many robins either. The geese go where the geese will and we are pretty much overrun with them since I have a wildlife preserve down the street, but still....
 

Marseydoats

Veteran Member
The geese probably chase everything else off. We had them at the other farm and they were territorial, to say the least.
I have lots of cardinals here, and I discovered years ago, that if you have them, you don't have other songbirds. It's really rare to see a robin. Close to a hundred wild turkeys and a big blue heron that I love, on the farm also.
 

Firebird

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Is anyone besides me getting REALLY TIRED OF RAIN?????

Boy, am I glad my place is at a little bit of elevation! It might not save me from a Bronson Alpha or a Lucifer's Hammer, but it's enough that I probably won't need an emergency boat or raft for any GSM surprises.
We are in a drought, and could really use some rain.
 

mecoastie

Veteran Member
Probably no one remembers, but from time to time I've mentioned how I never hear anyone talking about the abrupt weather changes of a GSM and how they would affect our survival gardening. I've mentioned the sudden drops in temperature when the Polar Vortex in the Arctic makes a sudden dip southward and how that could wipe out an entire year's harvest overnight.

Well, it's starting to happen now and we're lucky it happened in early May, instead of July when most of us are either picking from our gardens or have things well on the way to harvest. I see what happened last week happening just as easily any time all through the summer and before long it will be too late in the growing season to replace any frozen crops.

If it can snow in San Diego in May, why can't it just as likely freeze in Arkansas, where I am, in June, July, and 'August?

And now that a lot of corona virus lock down is ending, better keep a close eye on how things go. If there is no spike in virus cases, I suspect the media is going to really jump on the new bandwagon and hype up the Solar Minimum. And if this does happen, it might not take long for the stores to just close down altogether because with an additional new wave of panic buying they may not be able to keep anything at all on their shelves.

Then you run around frantically trying to cover everything, light burn barrels, se your sprinklers. Whatever you can do to save as much as possible. That's also why we try to keep a couple years worth of seed and LTS food. If we have a bad harvest or lose a harvest it is bad but not the end.
 

TxGal

Day by day

1589807255515.png
Worldwide Volcanic Uptick — Multiple Eruptions to 45,000+ ft (13.7+ km) — Direct Cooling Effect

May 18, 2020 Cap Allon


These past few days have seen a violent worldwide volcanic uptick, sending us all further signs that the next Grand Solar Minimum is dawning.

HIMAWARI-8 (a Japanese weather satellite) recorded two HIGH-LEVEL eruptions on May 16, both occurring in Indonesia.

The first took place at Ibu –a relatively new volcano with only 3 notable eruptions; in 1911, 1998, and 2008– and was confirmed by the Volcanic Ash Advisory Center (VAAC) Darwin which warned of an ash plume rising to an estimated 45,000 ft (13.7 km).

The second high-level eruption took place just a few hours later at Semeru –a very active volcano with an eruptive history peppered with VEI 2s and 3s; the first coming in 1818, the most recent in 2014– and as with Ibu’s, Semeru’s eruption was picked up by both HIMAWARI-8 and the VAAC Darwin, with the latter confirming the generation of “a dark ash plume which reached an altitude of 46,000 ft (14 km).”

In addition, and as recently reported by VolcanoDiscovery.com, active lava flows remain active on the Semeru’s southeast flank, currently about 4,921 ft (1.5 km) long (as of the morning of May 18).

View: https://twitter.com/Diamondthedave/status/1261685050262913025


These high-level eruptions are noteworthy because particulates ejected to altitudes above 32,800 ft (10 km) –and into the stratosphere– often linger, where they have a direct cooling effect on the planet.

Volcanic eruptions are one of the key forcings driving Earth into its next bout of global cooling, with their worldwide uptick tied to low solar activity, coronal holes, a waning magnetosphere, and the influx of Cosmic Rays penetrating silica-rich magma.

In addition to Indonesia popping off, Icelandic volcanoes are also awakening, and it is this highly-volcanic region of the the world that is thought will be home to the next “big one” — the one that will return us almost instantly into a big freeze.
Katla is the latest volcano here to show signs of stirring, and has experienced sizable out-gassing over the past few days. Furthermore, seismic activity under the large ice-covered volcano has also increased, and this activity is likely caused by injections of new magma entering the chamber.

Icelandic authorities are aware of the dangers the next eruption of Katla represents, and a delegation of the volcanologists routinely meet with the Icelandic Parliament to discuss how to respond in the case of an eruption, an eventuality that is merely a matter of when, not if.

For more on the science behind the recent uptick, see the links below:

https://principia-scientific.org/do-cosmic-rays-trigger-earthquakes-volcanic-eruptions/

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/234022172_Explosive_volcanic_eruptions_triggered_by_cosmic_rays_Volcano_as_a_bubble_chamber
 

TxGal

Day by day
Mainstream article on Fox News now reporting the GSM:



Published 9 hours ago
Evidence suggests sun entering ‘solar minimum’ stage: reports

By Edmund DeMarche | Fox News

It's been 100 days since the last recorded sunspot, which one expert says is evidence that we are entering a phase called solar minimum, reports said.

There have been whispers on social media about an impending Ice Age (Just What We Need!), but NASA scientists have said we should not be overly worried, according to PennLive.com.

“So far this year, the Sun has been blank 76 percent of the time, a rate surpassed only once before in the Space Age,” SpaceWeather.com reported, according to Forbes. “Last year, 2019, the Sun was blank 77 percent of the time. Two consecutive years of record-setting spotlessness adds up to a very deep solar minimum, indeed.”

NASA says that about every 11 years, “sunspots fade away, bringing a period of relative calm.”

View: https://youtu.be/kBKJkU06ICQ


“This is called a solar minimum,” Dean Pesnell of NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center, said on NASA.gov. “And it’s a regular part of the sunspot cycle.”

The NASA report said in 2014, there was a high rate of sunspots and solar flares. The article said the sun doesn’t “become dull” during these times, rather solar activity simply changes form.

Dr. Tony Phillips, an astronomer, told the U.K. Sun newspaper that the “solar minimum” is underway and it is a deep one.

“Sunspot counts suggest it is one of the deepest of the past century,” he told the paper. “The sun’s magnetic field has become weak, allowing extra cosmic rays into the solar system.”

He continued, “Excess cosmic rays pose a health hazard to astronauts and polar air travelers, affect the electro-chemistry of Earth’s upper atmosphere and may help trigger lightning.”

Some theorize that a lingering “solar minimum” could result in crop loss, famine and brutal cold. The Pennlive report said scientists indicate that even if we do enter a phase called “grand solar minimum” it would essentially only offset “a few years of warming caused by human activities.”

“Even if a Grand Solar Minimum were to last a century, global temperatures would continue to warm,” NASA Global Climate Change reported, according to Pennlive. “Because more factors than just variations in the Sun’s output change global temperatures on Earth, the most dominant of those today being the warming coming from human-induced greenhouse gas emissions.”


(They kind of lost me with the above 'human-induced' statement - TxGal)
 

TxGal

Day by day
Adapt 2030 has a new podcast out:

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ze-sdsojYso


Why Are There So Many Sun Halos Seen in Earths Skies (978)
7,085 views
•May 18, 2020

Run time is 10:11

Forbes now talking about the Grand Solar Minimum and Sun going to sleep as a reason for lost crop production and rising food prices. Startling numbers of Sun Halos seen across the skies of our planet and the largest red jet ever recorded reaching to the edges of space. The electrical and magnetic effects of the weakening Sun are now being seen worldwide.
 
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