Solar Grand Solar Minimum part deux

K

ktrapper

Veteran Member
Here in the Helena area of Montana we almost did not have any snow on the ground for Christmas. Here Christmas Day we have the equivalent of a dusting left from about a 1/4 inch a couple days ago.

Mostly only left where the sun doesnt hit.
The Rancher my daughter works for says he hasnt seen anything like this since the 50s maybe even the 40s.
Makes it easy on the livestock and caring for them but hoping we have a wetter spring or it wont be good.
 
West

West

Senior
IIRC it was the winter of 81-82, and we lived about 7 miles n.e. of Helena in the valley.

Helena is built on a hill side, so it made driving in town vary interesting. I recall that winter started in early November. They didn't plow the paved roads down to the pavement. But would leave a good inch of ice and sand on the road, that actually helps with traction, all winter long. At least 5 months.

The winter of 89 was even more exciting for Helena, I still had family living up there.

1989 Helena train wreck - Wikipedia

en.m.wikipedia.org en.m.wikipedia.org
 
feralferret

feralferret

Veteran Member
West said:
IIRC it was the winter of 81-82, and we lived about 7 miles n.e. of Helena in the valley.

Helena is built on a hill side, so it made driving in town vary interesting. I recall that winter started in early November. They didn't plow the paved roads down to the pavement. But would leave a good inch of ice and sand on the road, that actually helps with traction, all winter long. At least 5 months.

The winter of 89 was even more exciting for Helena, I still had family living up there.

1989 Helena train wreck - Wikipedia

en.m.wikipedia.org en.m.wikipedia.org
Click to expand...
Read the train wreck article. Thanks for the link.

I used to work for Wabtec. The descendant of Westinghouse Air Brake Co., a major manufacturer of air brake systems for trains. The extreme cold conditions described as being the cause of the failure would indeed be capable of causing serious issues.

The air from the locomotive compressor is not perfectly dry. There are moisture traps, but there is always some humidity that makes it past them and can freeze in the lines and the mechanisms on the railcars. The brakes on a railcar are very complex, unlike the brakes on motor vehicles. There are many potential failure points where frozen moisture could prevent the system from working as designed.

Links to two articles describing the braking systems and how they are controlled:

Brakes | The Railway Technical Website | PRC Rail Consulting Ltd

North American Freight Train Brakes | The Railway Technical Website | PRC Rail Consulting Ltd

The first article only shows the older mechanical control setup. Most newer locomotives have an electronic control system. The air pressure output is the same for either system.
 
TxGal

TxGal

Day by day
Interesting read, especially since we were supposed to be 33 and we're at 26 - fair use cited:

www.armstrongeconomics.com

Massive Dark Hole Opens In The Sun – We Are In A Solar MINIMUM | Armstrong Economics

An enormous dark hole has opened up in the surface of the sun, emitting streams of unusually fast radiation, known as solar wind, right at Earth. The size of
www.armstrongeconomics.com www.armstrongeconomics.com

Massive Dark Hole Opens in the Sun – We are in a Solar MINIMUM​

Posted Dec 26, 2023 By Martin Armstrong​


Solar Cycle 24

An enormous dark hole has opened up in the surface of the sun, emitting streams of unusually fast radiation, known as solar wind, right at Earth. The size of the temporary gap is wider than 60 Earths and extraordinary at this stage of the solar cycle. This phenomenon, known as a coronal hole, took shape near the sun’s equator on December 2 and reached its maximum width of around 497,000 miles (800,000 kilometers) within 24 hours. Since December 4, the solar void has been pointing directly at Earth. Experts initially predicted this most recent hole could spark a moderate geomagnetic storm that could trigger radio blackouts and strong auroral displays. Solar winds have been less intense than expected, so the resulting storm has only weakened.

For most of its history, science believed the sun’s output was constant. They finally realized that a thermal dynamic cycle beats like your heart so the sun could not exist without a steady outflow of energy. One degree less, and it would blow itself out. Hence, it is cyclical, rising and falling in intensity.

Solar Cycle 24

The eleven-year cycle in sunspots itself builds in intensity like the Economic Confidence Model (ECM), reaching “grand maxima” and “grand minima” over the course of 300 years. The last grand maximum peaked in 1958, after which the sun has been steadily quieting down. We have seen sun spot activity decrease at its steepest in 9,300 years, but the climate change zealots refuse to acknowledge naturally occurring cyclical weather patterns.

The last Maunder Minimum, during which the sun languished for seventy years, took place from 1645 to 1715 when the sun’s brightness declined and the number of sunspots collapsed. In fact, fewer than 50 sunspots were observed within a 28-year period. Parts of the world became so cold that the period was called the Little Ice Age, which lasted from about 1300 to 1850. Now, a Solar Minimum does not mean that the sun becomes colder, but rather, it changes. As sunspots fade away, we enter a Solar Minimum.

Phanerozoic_Climate_Change

The media, owned and run by the globalists, continues to promote that we are in a period of a Solar Maximum that allegedly began in 2019. Yet there has been a decrease in sunspot activity since 2018. It is extremely rare for coronal holes to develop during a Maximum event. Furthermore, the scientists who are paid to produce studies that promote the green agenda never look at data beyond 1850.

Our model indicated we entered a Grand Minimum that overtook the sun beginning in 2020 and will last through the 2050s. This will result in diminished magnetism, infrequent sunspot production, and less ultraviolet (UV) radiation reaching Earth. This all means we are facing a global cooling period in the planet that may span 31 to 43 years.

Earth Sun

According to the current single-dimensional analysis spewed by the climate change crowd, recently hot summers equate to global warming. They completely overlook volatility as we are in a period where the swings become more extreme. Just this week, my county in central Florida issued a weather alert for near-freezing temperatures. Last Christmas Eve, temperatures dropped to near-freezing conditions. In fact, much of my area is now considered sub-tropical rather than tropical, as overnight conditions occasionally freeze.
 
jed turtle

jed turtle

a brother in the Lord
TxGal said:
Interesting read, especially since we were supposed to be 33 and we're at 26 - fair use cited:

www.armstrongeconomics.com

Massive Dark Hole Opens In The Sun – We Are In A Solar MINIMUM | Armstrong Economics

An enormous dark hole has opened up in the surface of the sun, emitting streams of unusually fast radiation, known as solar wind, right at Earth. The size of
www.armstrongeconomics.com www.armstrongeconomics.com

Massive Dark Hole Opens in the Sun – We are in a Solar MINIMUM​

Posted Dec 26, 2023 By Martin Armstrong​


Solar Cycle 24

An enormous dark hole has opened up in the surface of the sun, emitting streams of unusually fast radiation, known as solar wind, right at Earth. The size of the temporary gap is wider than 60 Earths and extraordinary at this stage of the solar cycle. This phenomenon, known as a coronal hole, took shape near the sun’s equator on December 2 and reached its maximum width of around 497,000 miles (800,000 kilometers) within 24 hours. Since December 4, the solar void has been pointing directly at Earth. Experts initially predicted this most recent hole could spark a moderate geomagnetic storm that could trigger radio blackouts and strong auroral displays. Solar winds have been less intense than expected, so the resulting storm has only weakened.

For most of its history, science believed the sun’s output was constant. They finally realized that a thermal dynamic cycle beats like your heart so the sun could not exist without a steady outflow of energy. One degree less, and it would blow itself out. Hence, it is cyclical, rising and falling in intensity.

Solar Cycle 24

The eleven-year cycle in sunspots itself builds in intensity like the Economic Confidence Model (ECM), reaching “grand maxima” and “grand minima” over the course of 300 years. The last grand maximum peaked in 1958, after which the sun has been steadily quieting down. We have seen sun spot activity decrease at its steepest in 9,300 years, but the climate change zealots refuse to acknowledge naturally occurring cyclical weather patterns.

The last Maunder Minimum, during which the sun languished for seventy years, took place from 1645 to 1715 when the sun’s brightness declined and the number of sunspots collapsed. In fact, fewer than 50 sunspots were observed within a 28-year period. Parts of the world became so cold that the period was called the Little Ice Age, which lasted from about 1300 to 1850. Now, a Solar Minimum does not mean that the sun becomes colder, but rather, it changes. As sunspots fade away, we enter a Solar Minimum.

Phanerozoic_Climate_Change

The media, owned and run by the globalists, continues to promote that we are in a period of a Solar Maximum that allegedly began in 2019. Yet there has been a decrease in sunspot activity since 2018. It is extremely rare for coronal holes to develop during a Maximum event. Furthermore, the scientists who are paid to produce studies that promote the green agenda never look at data beyond 1850.

Our model indicated we entered a Grand Minimum that overtook the sun beginning in 2020 and will last through the 2050s. This will result in diminished magnetism, infrequent sunspot production, and less ultraviolet (UV) radiation reaching Earth. This all means we are facing a global cooling period in the planet that may span 31 to 43 years.

Earth Sun

According to the current single-dimensional analysis spewed by the climate change crowd, recently hot summers equate to global warming. They completely overlook volatility as we are in a period where the swings become more extreme. Just this week, my county in central Florida issued a weather alert for near-freezing temperatures. Last Christmas Eve, temperatures dropped to near-freezing conditions. In fact, much of my area is now considered sub-tropical rather than tropical, as overnight conditions occasionally freeze.
Click to expand...
Meanwhile here in maine there is no snow, and temps in the 50s with a couple days of fog and rain ahead.
good article but not a mention of the simultaneous migration of both north and solar magnetic poles at accelerating speeds…
 
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N

northern watch

TB Fanatic

South Korea's capital records heaviest single-day snowfall in December for 40 years​

The South Korean capital, Seoul, has received the biggest single-day snowfall recorded in December for more than 40 years, but there have been no reports of any deadly incidents
By The Associated Press
December 31, 2023, 3:50 AM

Villagers walk a dog through snow in Goyang, South Korea, Saturday, Dec. 30, 2023. South Korean Meteorological Administration issued a heavy snow advisory for some part of Korea peninsula. (AP Photo/Lee Jin-man)

Villagers walk a dog through snow in Goyang, South Korea, Saturday, Dec. 30, 2023. South Korean Meteorological Administration issued a heavy snow advisory for some part of Korea peninsula. (AP Photo/Lee Jin-man)

SEOUL, South Korea -- The South Korean capital, Seoul, received the biggest single-day snowfall recorded in December for more than 40 years on Saturday but there have been no reports of any weather-related deaths or injuries.

The country's weather agency said Sunday that 12.2 centimeters (4.8 inches) of snow fell on Seoul the previous day, the heaviest since 1981.

The Korea Meteorological Administration said a heavy snow advisory was issued for Seoul's entire area on Saturday before it was lifted later in the day. It said other parts of South Korea also received snow or rain on Saturday.

South Korea's safety agency said that Saturday's snow in Seoul and other areas caused traffic congestion, but no snowfall-related deaths or injuries have been reported.

abcnews.go.com

South Korea's capital records heaviest single-day snowfall in December for 40 years

The South Korean capital, Seoul, has received the biggest single-day snowfall recorded in December for more than 40 years, but there have been no reports of any deadly incidents
abcnews.go.com abcnews.go.com
 
N

northern watch

TB Fanatic

Extreme cold grips the Nordics, breaking record in Sweden for coldest January night​

Temperatures have fallen below minus 40 degrees Celsius in the Nordic region for a second day in a row, with the coldest January temperature recorded in Swedish Lapland in 25 years
By JAN M. OLSEN Associated Press
January 3, 2024, 5:09 AM

A resident uses skis to get to work in downtown Kristiansand, Norway, Wednesday, Jan. 3, 2024, due to the heavy snowfall the last couple of days. (Tor Erik Schroder/NTB via AP)

A resident uses skis to get to work in downtown Kristiansand, Norway, Wednesday, Jan. 3, 2024, due to the heavy snowfall the last couple of days. (Tor Erik Schroder/NTB via AP)

COPENHAGEN, Denmark -- Europe experienced stark weather contrasts on Wednesday, with extreme cold and snowstorms disrupting transportation and closing schools in Scandinavia while strong winds and heavy rain in western Europe caused flooding and at least one death.

Temperatures fell below minus 40 degrees Celsius (minus 40 degrees Fahrenheit) in the Nordic region for a second day in a row Wednesday. In Kvikkjokk-Årrenjarka in Swedish Lapland, the mercury dropped to minus 43.6 C (minus 46.5 F), the lowest January temperature recorded in Sweden in 25 years, Sweden's TT news agency reported.

Extremely cold temperatures, snow and gale-force winds disrupted transportation throughout the Nordic region, with several bridges closed and some train and ferry services suspended. Several schools in Scandinavia were closed.

Police across most of Denmark urged motorists to avoid unnecessary trips as wind and snow battered the northern and western parts of the country.

The wave of cold air from Siberia and the Arctic region has also swept down over western Russia, with temperatures in Moscow and other areas plummeting to minus 30 degrees Celsius (minus 22 F), well below the average temperature for early January.

Officials in Moscow, St. Petersburg and other areas have issued orange weather warnings, cautioning residents against possible health risks.

Mild but wet and windy conditions prevailed further south, where a storm wreaked havoc in parts of western Europe.
In Britain, a driver died after a tree fell on his car in western England. Gloucestershire Police said the man died in the incident near the town of Kemble on Tuesday afternoon.

The storm, which has been named Henk by the official weather services of Britain, Ireland and the Netherlands, has caused power cuts, transport troubles, property damage and disruption across the U.K.

More than 300 flood warnings were in place across England and Wales on Wednesday, while 10,000 homes remained without power. A severe flood alert, meaning a danger to life, was announced for the River Nene in Northampton in central England. Several residents were evacuated from houseboats and caravans at the nearby Billing Aquadrome.

The U.K.’s rail network was hit by flooding and power cuts, with many operators reporting ongoing issues for the Wednesday morning commute into work.

The strongest gales in the U.K. were recorded on the Isle of Wight, just off the coast in southern England, where wind speeds reached 94 miles per hour (151 kilometers per hour).

In the Netherlands, police near the city of Eindhoven said strong winds may have played a role in the death of a 75-year-old man who fell off his bicycle late Tuesday as high winds lashed much of the country. The country's water authority said a small section of a dike that regulates water levels was washed away Wednesday afternoon. The water was flowing into the already swollen river Maas near the city of Maastricht. Owners of a number of houseboats were being evacuated as a precaution.

In France, heavy rains have pummeled the northern Pas-de-Calais and Nord regions since Sunday, forcing the evacuation of about 200 people and knocking out power to 10,000 households, according to local authorities.

Roadways in the town of Blendecques turned into waterways, and authorities warned residents in the areas under flood alert Wednesday to restrict their movements until water levels subside.

Hundreds of emergency workers from around France mobilized to rescue people from inundated homes and clear roads, and reinforcements of personnel and equipment came from Czechia, Slovakia, and the already-drenched Netherlands.

Powerful pumps were brought in to divert up to 60,000 cubic meters of water from the worst hit towns toward the English Channel and lower water levels around the Aa River delta, the regional prefecture said in a statement.

The national weather service maintained flood and wind warnings Thursday for several regions across northern France and its borders with Belgium, Luxembourg and Germany, with more rains forecast along with winds up to 100 kph.

Parts of Germany were also grappling with flooding, which could be aggravated by more rain falling in the worst-affected northwestern state of Lower Saxony.
___

Associated Press writers Angela Charlton in Paris, Geir Moulson in Berlin, Mike Corder in Amsterdam, Pan Pylas in London, Jari Tanner in Helsinki and Vladimir Isachenkov in Moscow contributed to this report.

abcnews.go.com

Extreme cold grips the Nordics, breaking record in Sweden for coldest January night

Temperatures have fallen below minus 40 degrees Celsius in the Nordic region for a second day in a row, with the coldest January temperature recorded in Swedish Lapland in 25 years
abcnews.go.com abcnews.go.com
 
jed turtle

jed turtle

a brother in the Lord
so here in maine south of Augusta and up against the western edge of the coastal plain, and after recovering from the Hurricane that hit us December 18, that took at least 5 days for a huge effort with the help of hundreds of crews from out of state to help us get all the trees off the roads and power and internet restored, this is for next week: (note the weather of January 10 - 72 mph gusts- this must be near record wind speeds which spells real trouble in a state that has more trees than just about any other place…)

Tuesday Jan 9

Day: Cloudy with a high near 33. Wind chill values as low as 16. North northwest wind to 6 mph with gusts as high as 18 mph. Max UV index 1 (Low).

9 97% -

Night: Cloudy with a wintry mix and a low around 26. Windy, with a east wind 7 to 24 mph with gusts as high as 59 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.

Wednesday Jan 10

Day: Cloudy with heavy rain and a high near 48. Windy, with a east southeast wind 4 to 28 mph with gusts as high as 72 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.

Night: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and a low around 30. South
 
K

ktrapper

Veteran Member
Forecast says -40 for our AO in MT for tonight.
There are a few first timers up in the mountains around there.
Some around rely on propane for heat.
If they didnt insulate their tanks and lines running to their house they might find out the hard way that propane starts having problems flowing around -30.
It re liquifies at -44
 
jed turtle

jed turtle

a brother in the Lord
ktrapper said:
Forecast says -40 for our AO in MT for tonight.
There are a few first timers up in the mountains around there.
Some around rely on propane for heat.
If they didnt insulate their tanks and lines running to their house they might find out the hard way that propane starts having problems flowing around -30.
It re liquifies at -44
Click to expand...
i sure am glad that it has been quite a while since I have encountered even just -18 F here in Maine. I have no plans to migrate to a colder climate than what I have taken a lifetime to adjust to already.
 
K

ktrapper

Veteran Member
jed turtle said:
i sure am glad that it has been quite a while since I have encountered even just -18 F here in Maine. I have no plans to migrate to a colder climate than what I have taken a lifetime to adjust to already.
Click to expand...
I dont blame you.

We have lived in -50 and -60 for days when we lived in Interior Alaska.

It was kinda funny
I flew home today. from Seattle
The attendant that checks our boarding pass was looking right at me when she announced that everyone needed to have a jacket on when they go out to the plane. Its very cold outside. There is no Jet way out to the ERJ175s that we fly into Helena. Well I had my shirt sleeves rolled up still when I started to board and she said something to me directly about a jacket.
I said “Lady I just spent two weeks on the North Arctic Coast of Alaska in Phase 3 Blizzard conditions for days with -50 to -65 wind chills. I work there, and part of that time was outside, Im on my way home. I might be all right walking to the plane like this.”

Her “OMG! Ok, uh yeah I got nothing, have a good flight”
 
jed turtle

jed turtle

a brother in the Lord
ktrapper said:
I dont blame you.

We have lived in -50 and -60 for days when we lived in Interior Alaska.

It was kinda funny
I flew home today. from Seattle
The attendant that checks our boarding pass was looking right at me when she announced that everyone needed to have a jacket on when they go out to the plane. Its very cold outside. There is no Jet way out to the ERJ175s that we fly into Helena. Well I had my shirt sleeves rolled up still when I started to board and she said something to me directly about a jacket.
I said “Lady I just spent two weeks on the North Arctic Coast of Alaska in Phase 3 Blizzard conditions for days with -50 to -65 wind chills. I work there, and part of that time was outside, Im on my way home. I might be all right walking to the plane like this.”

Her “OMG! Ok, uh yeah I got nothing, have a good flight”
Click to expand...
You get to keep your man card for another flight.
 
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