Jubilee on Earth
Veteran Member
Thanks! Just saw that and read through that. Gotta love this place. Everyone’s on top of things.
Solar Grand Solar Minimum part deux
- Thread starter Dennis Olson
- Start date
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- Tags
- grand solar minimum
TxGal
Day by day
Adapt 2030 has a new podcast out:
This Is Happening on Three Continents - YouTube
This Is Happening on Three Continents
13,426 views
Premiered 12 hours ago
View: https://youtu.be/51vo6K-8-zk
Run time is 10:44
Synopsis provided:
Vorticies in Earth's atmosphere are affecting countries with 1.3 million lightning strikes in a storm, feet of snow two weeks before summer in the S. Hemisphere, tornadoes not seen since the 1950's in N.E USA, fall blizzards in Beijing and HeiLong Jiang in addition to five feet of snow in Inner Mongolia paralyzing cities. These events all align to records back to the 1950's.
This Is Happening on Three Continents - YouTube
This Is Happening on Three Continents
13,426 views
Premiered 12 hours ago
Run time is 10:44
Synopsis provided:
Vorticies in Earth's atmosphere are affecting countries with 1.3 million lightning strikes in a storm, feet of snow two weeks before summer in the S. Hemisphere, tornadoes not seen since the 1950's in N.E USA, fall blizzards in Beijing and HeiLong Jiang in addition to five feet of snow in Inner Mongolia paralyzing cities. These events all align to records back to the 1950's.
Last edited:
TxGal
Day by day
Hey Martinhouse, we've been crazy busy getting ready for another cold front that's coming in late tomorrow. We got a load of hay in, added extra bedding for the poultry, etc.
I really hate winter, too!
Martinhouse
Deceased
TxGal, I've been trying to get some last minute outdoor things done the last few days, as it's going to start getting cold at night again starting Thursday night. It takes me hours to do things that I used to do in less than an hour, but I'm still getting them done. I hope to get my hose drained and put away before Friday, and the outdoor faucet insulated and covered soon after that.
I brought in a couple dozen large pots that I had outdoors on those little wire thingies with three casters on them. They are lined up in the wide aisles of my greenhouse and if I can't think of something that will grow over the winter in them, they will be ready to get an early start on food plants next spring. I'm afraid to trust that the weather will allow me to grow anything outside by next spring and summer. The smallest of these pots can grow a potato plant and they are deep enough to grow carrots with no problem. So far, I've been filling thes types of pots with Miracle-Gro soil, but if I can't get any more, I'll have to weed my way into the old garden to get some decent soil and then fix it up from the mountain of rabbit poop that I've accumulated. Tomorrow, my nephew may be able to put the plastic on the doors to the chicken pen and the rabbit area. These get the west wind so it's time to get the covers on them. I could do this chore but it would likely take me one or even two whole afternoons and nephew can get it done in less than an hour with his cordless drill. I use screws with big fender washers behind them so the plastic doesn't tear and keep them in the same screwholes all the time so they are never lost or misplaced when the time comes that they are needed.
I already have lots of kale and broccoli growing in the greenhouse and it's doing great! I give any broccoli heads to my sis or nephew or both, and I dehydrate all the leaves for my own greens. There's some multiplier onions doing well out there too, and even dandelions, which so far have thankfully not developed powdery mildew.
If I can grow potatoes, carrots, onions and greens, I think I can, along with a few eggs and what I already have stored, stay fed and moderately healthy even if I can't shop in stores any more. And I have lots more nursery pots of various sizes for if I have to grow things to feed my chickens and rabbits. (Hope they like turnips!!!!!)
Well, enough rambling. Gotta get back to my knitting. Gotta get all those projects done as I have some warm clothing to sew next and it might be a good idea to get it done before next spring gets here. (If it does!)
Thanks to everyone for posting all the articles and videos in this thread. I don't know how to do it and they keep me busy and informed!
WINTER! HATE IT, HATE IT, HATE IT!!!!!
I brought in a couple dozen large pots that I had outdoors on those little wire thingies with three casters on them. They are lined up in the wide aisles of my greenhouse and if I can't think of something that will grow over the winter in them, they will be ready to get an early start on food plants next spring. I'm afraid to trust that the weather will allow me to grow anything outside by next spring and summer. The smallest of these pots can grow a potato plant and they are deep enough to grow carrots with no problem. So far, I've been filling thes types of pots with Miracle-Gro soil, but if I can't get any more, I'll have to weed my way into the old garden to get some decent soil and then fix it up from the mountain of rabbit poop that I've accumulated. Tomorrow, my nephew may be able to put the plastic on the doors to the chicken pen and the rabbit area. These get the west wind so it's time to get the covers on them. I could do this chore but it would likely take me one or even two whole afternoons and nephew can get it done in less than an hour with his cordless drill. I use screws with big fender washers behind them so the plastic doesn't tear and keep them in the same screwholes all the time so they are never lost or misplaced when the time comes that they are needed.
I already have lots of kale and broccoli growing in the greenhouse and it's doing great! I give any broccoli heads to my sis or nephew or both, and I dehydrate all the leaves for my own greens. There's some multiplier onions doing well out there too, and even dandelions, which so far have thankfully not developed powdery mildew.
If I can grow potatoes, carrots, onions and greens, I think I can, along with a few eggs and what I already have stored, stay fed and moderately healthy even if I can't shop in stores any more. And I have lots more nursery pots of various sizes for if I have to grow things to feed my chickens and rabbits. (Hope they like turnips!!!!!)
Well, enough rambling. Gotta get back to my knitting. Gotta get all those projects done as I have some warm clothing to sew next and it might be a good idea to get it done before next spring gets here. (If it does!)
Thanks to everyone for posting all the articles and videos in this thread. I don't know how to do it and they keep me busy and informed!
WINTER! HATE IT, HATE IT, HATE IT!!!!!
Last edited:
TxGal
Day by day
Greenland's Ice Loss Trend Has Now Reversed, Danish Data Reveals - Crisis Averted - Electroverse
Articles Extreme Weather GSM
GREENLAND’S ICE LOSS TREND HAS NOW REVERSED, DANISH DATA REVEALS — CRISIS AVERTED
NOVEMBER 17, 2021 CAP ALLON
Pfizer and Moderna are making a combined profit of $1,000 every second — God bless ‘The Science’.
But Big Pharma can’t take all the credit — the world’s governing bodies also need commending: Helpfully, the WHO’s guidelines re natural immunity vs vaccine immunity went through a fundamental rewrite last year, so as to support said ‘The Science‘.
These people are on our sides, folks. Please stop being so bloody paranoid.
Whisper: Pfizer paid the largest criminal fine in U.S. history, in 2009, for “healthcare fraud” — trust ‘The Science’.
GREENLAND’S ICE LOSS TREND HAS NOW REVERSED, DANISH DATA REVEALS
Data from the Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI) shows that Greenland ice melt slowed significantly during the past decade, and that the trend has now swung to one of growth. Media tizzies of ‘mass ice loss’ are wildly unfounded.
As closely tracked on Electroverse, the Greenland ice sheet has been faring increasingly well in recent years. Since 2016, a sharp uptick in the Surface Mass Balance (SMB) has been detected, and daily/monthly records have routinely been broken.
Serving as just one recent example, a jaw-dropping 10 Gigatons of snow and ice accumulated September 12, 2021 (shown below) — that was enough to bury Central Park, NYC under 11,190 feet of ice.
SMB, Sept 12 [DMI].
Never before in DMI record books (which date back to 1981) had the Greenland ice sheet GROWN by anywhere near this much at that time of year. And this is a situation we’ve found ourselves in many times this calendar year, particularly throughout the summer melt season, but I also recall that literally ‘off the charts’ spike in late-May:
‘Off the charts’ SMB spike in late-May [DMI].
Zoomed-out view of Greenland’s SMB from Sept 2020 – July 2021 [DMI].
Overall, and as noted by German climate website Die kalte Sonne, a new trend has now emerged across the Greenland Ice Sheet, and it’s one of catastrophic embarrassment for the AGW Party.
Decades of reliable satellite measurements have allowed trends to be detected, and while it is true that the world’s largest island lost mass from around 1995 to 2012, that trend has now reversed. Like the gradual turning of a grand ship, from 2010 to 2015, Greenland’s SMB changed course and has been on an upward trajectory ever since.
This is clearly visible on the below chart which plots the total mass balance since 1985:
[Die kalte Sonne]
Despite this irrefutable shift, as well as the whopping 30 billion tonnes of net gain since this July, mainstream media outlets are continuing to sound off those clickbaity doomsday alarms of runaway ice melt and impending global catastrophe.
Die kalte Sonne summarizes in typically direct German fashion: “The usual media narrative of an alleged increasingly rapid ice melt in Greenland is thus not correct.”
Further reading:
electroverse.net
“SERIOUS SNOW DRIFTS” POUND MOUNT WASHINGTON
In other news, the snow is beginning to pile up atop Mount Washington, reports boston.cbslocal.com.
On Tuesday, the Mount Washington Observatory shared the below post: “High winds and about 10 inches of snow on the ground lead to some serious snow drifts (and lots of shoveling!) this morning,” reads the accompanying text.
These impressive accumulations will add to the Northern Hemisphere Total Snow Mass chart (shown below), which, as of the latest data point, is tracking comfortably above the 1982-2012 average (dashed line), and accelerating:
[FMI]
The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).
Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.
Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.
Prepare accordingly— learn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
Articles Extreme Weather GSM
GREENLAND’S ICE LOSS TREND HAS NOW REVERSED, DANISH DATA REVEALS — CRISIS AVERTED
NOVEMBER 17, 2021 CAP ALLON
Pfizer and Moderna are making a combined profit of $1,000 every second — God bless ‘The Science’.
But Big Pharma can’t take all the credit — the world’s governing bodies also need commending: Helpfully, the WHO’s guidelines re natural immunity vs vaccine immunity went through a fundamental rewrite last year, so as to support said ‘The Science‘.
These people are on our sides, folks. Please stop being so bloody paranoid.
Whisper: Pfizer paid the largest criminal fine in U.S. history, in 2009, for “healthcare fraud” — trust ‘The Science’.
GREENLAND’S ICE LOSS TREND HAS NOW REVERSED, DANISH DATA REVEALS
Data from the Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI) shows that Greenland ice melt slowed significantly during the past decade, and that the trend has now swung to one of growth. Media tizzies of ‘mass ice loss’ are wildly unfounded.
As closely tracked on Electroverse, the Greenland ice sheet has been faring increasingly well in recent years. Since 2016, a sharp uptick in the Surface Mass Balance (SMB) has been detected, and daily/monthly records have routinely been broken.
Serving as just one recent example, a jaw-dropping 10 Gigatons of snow and ice accumulated September 12, 2021 (shown below) — that was enough to bury Central Park, NYC under 11,190 feet of ice.
SMB, Sept 12 [DMI].
Never before in DMI record books (which date back to 1981) had the Greenland ice sheet GROWN by anywhere near this much at that time of year. And this is a situation we’ve found ourselves in many times this calendar year, particularly throughout the summer melt season, but I also recall that literally ‘off the charts’ spike in late-May:
‘Off the charts’ SMB spike in late-May [DMI].
Zoomed-out view of Greenland’s SMB from Sept 2020 – July 2021 [DMI].
Overall, and as noted by German climate website Die kalte Sonne, a new trend has now emerged across the Greenland Ice Sheet, and it’s one of catastrophic embarrassment for the AGW Party.
Decades of reliable satellite measurements have allowed trends to be detected, and while it is true that the world’s largest island lost mass from around 1995 to 2012, that trend has now reversed. Like the gradual turning of a grand ship, from 2010 to 2015, Greenland’s SMB changed course and has been on an upward trajectory ever since.
This is clearly visible on the below chart which plots the total mass balance since 1985:
[Die kalte Sonne]
Despite this irrefutable shift, as well as the whopping 30 billion tonnes of net gain since this July, mainstream media outlets are continuing to sound off those clickbaity doomsday alarms of runaway ice melt and impending global catastrophe.
Die kalte Sonne summarizes in typically direct German fashion: “The usual media narrative of an alleged increasingly rapid ice melt in Greenland is thus not correct.”
Further reading:
Why is nobody talking about Greenland? It's currently GAINING record amounts of Snow and Ice...
We've had 40+ years of CAGW now, but even the staunchest of climateers will still struggle to point to a single observation that demonstrates its existence.
electroverse.net
“SERIOUS SNOW DRIFTS” POUND MOUNT WASHINGTON
In other news, the snow is beginning to pile up atop Mount Washington, reports boston.cbslocal.com.
On Tuesday, the Mount Washington Observatory shared the below post: “High winds and about 10 inches of snow on the ground lead to some serious snow drifts (and lots of shoveling!) this morning,” reads the accompanying text.
These impressive accumulations will add to the Northern Hemisphere Total Snow Mass chart (shown below), which, as of the latest data point, is tracking comfortably above the 1982-2012 average (dashed line), and accelerating:
[FMI]
The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).
Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.
Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.
Prepare accordingly— learn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
TxGal
Day by day
My gosh, you are soooo far ahead of me and so much better organized!
We have the animals squared away here, but the garden is sitting idle. We never got around to getting in the fall garden, although I did get more seeds in just to keep fresher ones on hand in case we can't get them closer to spring.
Miracle Gro soil is also on my list, we still need to finish getting the last of the raised beds put up and filled with soil. They've been forecasting a slightly milder winter this time around. I'll believe it when I see it, but it would be nice to have some milder weather and get these projects done slowly but surely.
I really, really hate winter, too....blech.
Martinhouse
Deceased
TxGal, I didn't do any fall garden growing, either. It takes me so long to do anything that the end of summer sneaked up on me while I was busy doing things that were even more vital. I'm now hoping I can get a LOT planted in the greenhouse ln the late winter/early spring, so I can avoid those late freezes that spring seems to be blessing us with the past couple of years or so. I think I'll plant wheat in the pots I just brought into the greenhouse. It will give me greens to feed the critters and then I could let a couple or so pots mature to refresh my seed supply. I have a dozen small box planters filled with Miracle-Gro, too, and wheat might do well in those, too. I'm still wondering if turnip seed would germinate this time of year in the greenhouse.
GSM sure can be an interesting challenge... I'm gonna try to hang in there long enough to meet it with a deliberate head-on collision of defiance!
Okay, cats are fed, too early (for me) to eat anything, so I'm gonna pick up the knitting and watch this morning's few new videos.
GSM sure can be an interesting challenge... I'm gonna try to hang in there long enough to meet it with a deliberate head-on collision of defiance!
Okay, cats are fed, too early (for me) to eat anything, so I'm gonna pick up the knitting and watch this morning's few new videos.
northern watch
TB Fanatic
TxGal
Day by day
Ice Age Farmer has a new podcast out:
Port of Vancouver CLOSES as BC flooding damages rail & roads - YouTube
Port of Vancouver CLOSES as BC flooding damages rail & roads
10,976 views
Premiered 2 hours ago
View: https://youtu.be/t4xE4ai115g
Run time is 10:58
Synopsis provided:
Canada's largest port by far, the port of Vancouver, has closed, as have the rails and highways connecting it to Canada, after being severely damaged in the flooding in an "atmospheric river" event. The deep water port is responsible for 1/3 of Canadian imports and exports, meaning the grains that the world so badly needs from Canada are not able to get out. And the overflow of goods from other congested North American ports are now wholly unable to get in. Christian explains why this is not just a local catastrophe, but a worldwide one, in this Ice Age Farmer report.
Port of Vancouver CLOSES as BC flooding damages rail & roads - YouTube
Port of Vancouver CLOSES as BC flooding damages rail & roads
10,976 views
Premiered 2 hours ago
Run time is 10:58
Synopsis provided:
Canada's largest port by far, the port of Vancouver, has closed, as have the rails and highways connecting it to Canada, after being severely damaged in the flooding in an "atmospheric river" event. The deep water port is responsible for 1/3 of Canadian imports and exports, meaning the grains that the world so badly needs from Canada are not able to get out. And the overflow of goods from other congested North American ports are now wholly unable to get in. Christian explains why this is not just a local catastrophe, but a worldwide one, in this Ice Age Farmer report.
northern watch
TB Fanatic
How Volcanoes Caused Violent Uprisings in Cleopatra's Egypt
Distant volcanic eruptions disrupted climate, a new study suggests, causing life-giving rains along the Nile to fail.
BY CRAIG WELCH
NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC
PUBLISHED OCTOBER 17, 2017
Twenty-three hundred years ago, when Euclid and Archimedes wandered Alexandria, and Cleopatra's family controlled the Egyptian throne, revolts and territorial disputes were common. These uprisings have often been attributed to ethnic tensions over Greek rule—the Ptolemaic dynasty, of which Cleopatra was the last ruler, was of Macedonian origin.
A new study published in the journal Nature Communications by an unusual team of historians, statisticians, and climate scientists suggests another surprising factor may also have played a role in the region's unrest: “hydroclimatic shocks” triggered by faraway volcanic eruptions.
"There's a school of thought that what really drives history are the decision of great leaders—the kings, the emperors, the popes," says co-author Francis Ludlow, a climate historian at Trinity College in Dublin, Ireland. "I think part of what this paper shows is that you can't just brush off influences from the environment."
Until the late 19th century, when the first dams were built on the Nile River, Egyptian farmers were utterly dependent on the annual monsoon. The heavy summer rains it brought to the Ethiopian highlands would push the Nile over its banks downstream, prepping the land for planting wheat and other crops. The Nile floods are so important they’ve been recorded accurately since 622 AD.
Ludlow and his colleagues have found that massive volcanic eruptions, whose fallout is recorded in ice cores from Greenland and Antarctica, are associated with failures of the Nile floods. The team’s climate modeling indicates that the clouds of sulfurous gases from the eruptions not only cool the Earth, by reflecting sunlight back toward space, but also cause a drop in tropical monsoon rainfall, sometimes for years.
Systematic flood records hadn’t yet begun to be kept in the Ptolemaic period, which extended from 305 B.C. to Cleopatra's death in 30 B.C. But written records make it one of ancient Egypt's most richly documented periods, with the Rosetta Stone detailing priestly proclamations, and lengthy notes on papyrus confirming wars, uprisings, land transfers, and family squabbles.
The unrest reflected in those written records can be linked to the eruptions recorded in the ice cores, the researchers find.
In this region, "once you go in a few kilometers from the coast, there is no rainfall— you're effectively in Saharan territory," Ludlow says. "When there's not a sufficient flood, you get food insecurity. People start to abandon land. They migrate to urban areas seeking food. That increases tensions, food riots. And all of this you can trace."
An Eruptive Period
The research was the brainchild of Joe Manning, a Yale University history professor, and Ludlow. Manning, a mountaineer and rock climber, was interested in paleoclimatology and started hosting informal gatherings of historians and climate experts. One evening, after a few glasses of wine, Manning and Ludlow, who was then also at Yale, started talking about volcanoes.
Ludlow opened his computer and showed Manning data from recent ice cores. Those data allow scientists to peg the dates of major eruptions almost to the year, going back 2,300 years.
"I thought, 'some of those spikes look awfully familiar,'" recalls Manning, the study's lead author and an expert in the Ptolemaic dynasty.
A bas relief on the Temple of Hathor, near Quena, shows Cleopatra with her brother Caesarion and their child. Volcanic eruptions may have hastened the end of Cleopatra's reign—the last of the three-century long Ptolemaic dynasty.
PHOTOGRAPH BY GEORGE STEINMETZ, NAT GEO IMAGE COLLECTION
The planet during the last century has largely escaped significant eruptions. But explosions on the scale of the 1991 Mount Pinatubo disaster—the biggest in modern times—sometimes occurred two or three times a decade during the Ptolemaic period. Manning recognized some of the dates as periods of important uprisings.
After further research, the team showed that internal uprisings repeatedly came in the wake of these eruptions, sometimes peaking the second year. The authors suspect some of the lag time could reflect short-term coping efforts, such as Cleopatra’s release of stored grain after two eruptions in 46 and 44 B.C.
Interestingly, the researchers didn't find any link between eruptions and the start of wars—but they did see a correlation between eruptions and wars ending.
For example, 200 years before Cleopatra's reign, during one of the many Syrian wars between Egypt and the Seleukid Empire, Ptolemy III's army had advanced all the way to Babylon on the Euphrates. Writings from one Roman historian state that Ptolemy was then abruptly called home. Another papyrus claims he returned to quell domestic sedition, which also happened to coincide with two major eruptions.
"This seems to be the only credible explanation for why he would abandon such an incredibly successful military campaign," Ludlow says.
The scientists are quick to say they aren't suggesting the actions of an entire Egyptian dynasty were driven even largely by distant volcanoes. But, they argue, it's hard to ignore the likelihood that volcanic eruptions were at least a significant contributing factor.
"When you see a shock to the river—no flooding for two to three years in a row—you suddenly see a lot of responses," says Manning. "Sometimes we think we're seeing fear and panic."
Says Ludlow, "We're very conscious that there are indeed other things that drive a complex event like a revolt. But we were able to systematically show that in almost every case—way more than just chance—revolts seemed to follow on the tail of eruptions."
A Faraway Trigger
Scientists don't know precisely where all the eruptions occurred, whether in Alaska, Russia, the tropics, Iceland or someplace else entirely. The climate models suggest that volcanoes in the far northern hemisphere may have the largest impact on Egypt, because they tend to push the tropical rain belt to the south, reducing rains in the headwaters of the Nile.
Residents of Alexandria would not have known, of course, what was happening, but one ancient text refers to the sun being obscured, the Earth being scorched and a lack of flooding and seeds. "My reading of that is that it's describing a volcano,"
Manning says, even though "they don't understand that a volcano is erupting in Alaska and perturbing rainfall in the Ethiopian highlands."
Repeated failures of the Nile floods may have forced families to sell land, because poor yields left them unable to pay taxes. One revolt, following an eruption in 209 B.C., came amid writings proclaiming that "most of the farmers were killed and the land has gone dry."
In fact, by the time of Cleopatra's defeat at the hands of the Roman navy, historical records show that Egypt had been hit by repeated lack of floods and faced "famine, plague, inflation, administrative corruption, rural depopulation, migration and land abandonment." While many factors contributed to the Ptolemaic dynasty’s decline, the authors note that Cleopatra’s death came on the heels of the third largest volcanic eruption of the last 2,500 years.
The two centuries that followed—during which the Roman empire rose to its great heights—were a quiet period for the planet’s volcanoes. The most recent century has also been relatively calm. That raises questions about how well a world in which 70 percent of the population still depends on monsoon rains may be prepared for the next major volcanic eruption.
The new research also sheds light on another current debate—about proposals for “geoengineering” solutions to counteract global warming. One such solution would be essentially to mimic volcanic eruptions by shooting aerosols into the sky to block the sun.
The news from the Ptolemaic period suggests that the unintended consequences of that strategy might be severe.
A Guatemalan town remakes itself in Indiana
How Volcanoes Caused Violent Uprisings in Cleopatra's Egypt (nationalgeographic.com)
Distant volcanic eruptions disrupted climate, a new study suggests, causing life-giving rains along the Nile to fail.
BY CRAIG WELCH
NATIONAL GEOGRAPHIC
PUBLISHED OCTOBER 17, 2017
Twenty-three hundred years ago, when Euclid and Archimedes wandered Alexandria, and Cleopatra's family controlled the Egyptian throne, revolts and territorial disputes were common. These uprisings have often been attributed to ethnic tensions over Greek rule—the Ptolemaic dynasty, of which Cleopatra was the last ruler, was of Macedonian origin.
A new study published in the journal Nature Communications by an unusual team of historians, statisticians, and climate scientists suggests another surprising factor may also have played a role in the region's unrest: “hydroclimatic shocks” triggered by faraway volcanic eruptions.
"There's a school of thought that what really drives history are the decision of great leaders—the kings, the emperors, the popes," says co-author Francis Ludlow, a climate historian at Trinity College in Dublin, Ireland. "I think part of what this paper shows is that you can't just brush off influences from the environment."
Until the late 19th century, when the first dams were built on the Nile River, Egyptian farmers were utterly dependent on the annual monsoon. The heavy summer rains it brought to the Ethiopian highlands would push the Nile over its banks downstream, prepping the land for planting wheat and other crops. The Nile floods are so important they’ve been recorded accurately since 622 AD.
Ludlow and his colleagues have found that massive volcanic eruptions, whose fallout is recorded in ice cores from Greenland and Antarctica, are associated with failures of the Nile floods. The team’s climate modeling indicates that the clouds of sulfurous gases from the eruptions not only cool the Earth, by reflecting sunlight back toward space, but also cause a drop in tropical monsoon rainfall, sometimes for years.
Systematic flood records hadn’t yet begun to be kept in the Ptolemaic period, which extended from 305 B.C. to Cleopatra's death in 30 B.C. But written records make it one of ancient Egypt's most richly documented periods, with the Rosetta Stone detailing priestly proclamations, and lengthy notes on papyrus confirming wars, uprisings, land transfers, and family squabbles.
The unrest reflected in those written records can be linked to the eruptions recorded in the ice cores, the researchers find.
In this region, "once you go in a few kilometers from the coast, there is no rainfall— you're effectively in Saharan territory," Ludlow says. "When there's not a sufficient flood, you get food insecurity. People start to abandon land. They migrate to urban areas seeking food. That increases tensions, food riots. And all of this you can trace."
An Eruptive Period
The research was the brainchild of Joe Manning, a Yale University history professor, and Ludlow. Manning, a mountaineer and rock climber, was interested in paleoclimatology and started hosting informal gatherings of historians and climate experts. One evening, after a few glasses of wine, Manning and Ludlow, who was then also at Yale, started talking about volcanoes.
Ludlow opened his computer and showed Manning data from recent ice cores. Those data allow scientists to peg the dates of major eruptions almost to the year, going back 2,300 years.
"I thought, 'some of those spikes look awfully familiar,'" recalls Manning, the study's lead author and an expert in the Ptolemaic dynasty.
A bas relief on the Temple of Hathor, near Quena, shows Cleopatra with her brother Caesarion and their child. Volcanic eruptions may have hastened the end of Cleopatra's reign—the last of the three-century long Ptolemaic dynasty.
PHOTOGRAPH BY GEORGE STEINMETZ, NAT GEO IMAGE COLLECTION
The planet during the last century has largely escaped significant eruptions. But explosions on the scale of the 1991 Mount Pinatubo disaster—the biggest in modern times—sometimes occurred two or three times a decade during the Ptolemaic period. Manning recognized some of the dates as periods of important uprisings.
After further research, the team showed that internal uprisings repeatedly came in the wake of these eruptions, sometimes peaking the second year. The authors suspect some of the lag time could reflect short-term coping efforts, such as Cleopatra’s release of stored grain after two eruptions in 46 and 44 B.C.
Interestingly, the researchers didn't find any link between eruptions and the start of wars—but they did see a correlation between eruptions and wars ending.
For example, 200 years before Cleopatra's reign, during one of the many Syrian wars between Egypt and the Seleukid Empire, Ptolemy III's army had advanced all the way to Babylon on the Euphrates. Writings from one Roman historian state that Ptolemy was then abruptly called home. Another papyrus claims he returned to quell domestic sedition, which also happened to coincide with two major eruptions.
"This seems to be the only credible explanation for why he would abandon such an incredibly successful military campaign," Ludlow says.
The scientists are quick to say they aren't suggesting the actions of an entire Egyptian dynasty were driven even largely by distant volcanoes. But, they argue, it's hard to ignore the likelihood that volcanic eruptions were at least a significant contributing factor.
"When you see a shock to the river—no flooding for two to three years in a row—you suddenly see a lot of responses," says Manning. "Sometimes we think we're seeing fear and panic."
Says Ludlow, "We're very conscious that there are indeed other things that drive a complex event like a revolt. But we were able to systematically show that in almost every case—way more than just chance—revolts seemed to follow on the tail of eruptions."
A Faraway Trigger
Scientists don't know precisely where all the eruptions occurred, whether in Alaska, Russia, the tropics, Iceland or someplace else entirely. The climate models suggest that volcanoes in the far northern hemisphere may have the largest impact on Egypt, because they tend to push the tropical rain belt to the south, reducing rains in the headwaters of the Nile.
Residents of Alexandria would not have known, of course, what was happening, but one ancient text refers to the sun being obscured, the Earth being scorched and a lack of flooding and seeds. "My reading of that is that it's describing a volcano,"
Manning says, even though "they don't understand that a volcano is erupting in Alaska and perturbing rainfall in the Ethiopian highlands."
Repeated failures of the Nile floods may have forced families to sell land, because poor yields left them unable to pay taxes. One revolt, following an eruption in 209 B.C., came amid writings proclaiming that "most of the farmers were killed and the land has gone dry."
In fact, by the time of Cleopatra's defeat at the hands of the Roman navy, historical records show that Egypt had been hit by repeated lack of floods and faced "famine, plague, inflation, administrative corruption, rural depopulation, migration and land abandonment." While many factors contributed to the Ptolemaic dynasty’s decline, the authors note that Cleopatra’s death came on the heels of the third largest volcanic eruption of the last 2,500 years.
The two centuries that followed—during which the Roman empire rose to its great heights—were a quiet period for the planet’s volcanoes. The most recent century has also been relatively calm. That raises questions about how well a world in which 70 percent of the population still depends on monsoon rains may be prepared for the next major volcanic eruption.
The new research also sheds light on another current debate—about proposals for “geoengineering” solutions to counteract global warming. One such solution would be essentially to mimic volcanic eruptions by shooting aerosols into the sky to block the sun.
The news from the Ptolemaic period suggests that the unintended consequences of that strategy might be severe.
A Guatemalan town remakes itself in Indiana
How Volcanoes Caused Violent Uprisings in Cleopatra's Egypt (nationalgeographic.com)
TxGal
Day by day
Grand Solar Minimum 101: The Future Looks Cold - Electroverse
Articles GSM
GRAND SOLAR MINIMUM 101: THE FUTURE LOOKS COLD
NOVEMBER 18, 2021 CAP ALLON
In recent years, the Sun has been at its weakest state in more than a century. This is revealed by the sunspot count (shown below)–a great barometer for solar activity.
Sunspot count–from solar cycle 12 to the start of solar cycle 25.
The Sun’s output ebbs and flows on a roughly 11-year cycle.
As visualized above, the most recent solar cycle (24) finished up closely matching those of ‘The Centennial Minimum’ (≈1880-1914) — the previous multi-cycle period of low output–otherwise known as a ‘Grand Solar Minimum’ (GSM).
Grand Solar Minimums themselves can also range in depth and length, and, crucially for all of Earth’s inhabitants, these factors determine the severity of the accompanying ‘global cooling’.
The Centennial Minimum was a relatively modest GSM.
Conversely, one of the strongest on record was the ‘Maunder Minimum’ (1645-1715). The MM, as documented by NASA, sent Europe and North America into a “deep freeze”: “From 1650 to 1710, temperatures across much of the Northern Hemisphere plunged when the Sun entered a quiet phase now called the Maunder Minimum. During this period, very few sunspots appeared on the surface of the Sun, and the overall brightness of the Sun decreased slightly. Already in the midst of a colder-than-average period called the Little Ice Age, Europe and North America went into a deep freeze: alpine glaciers extended over valley farmland; sea ice crept south from the Arctic; and the famous canals in the Netherlands froze regularly—an event that is rare today.”
The above facts are no longer permitted in mainstream scientific debates, and calling them out sees you instantly dismissed as a conspiracy theorist. History, however, will view this censorship very poorly, and will see it as an illustration of the power of propagandizing. Discovery, it would appear, is no longer welcome in the field of climate science — we apparently know all that there is to know. But in reality, this suppression is a necessity if the AGW train is to keep on rolling. It stands that the return of a cyclically waning Sun –which is indeed what we’re seeing today– would instantly flush alarmists’ claims of never-ending temperature increases down the proverbial pan.
Furthermore, and rather curiously, while Earth’s overall temperature trends colder during prolonged bouts of low solar activity, not all regions experience the chill. As visualized in NASA’s ‘Maunder Minimum Reconstruction Map’ (shown below), areas such as the Arctic, Alaska, and the North Atlantic actually warm during spells of otherwise ‘global’ cooling — this appears to chime with what we’re seeing today, and, unlike the baseless ‘Polar Amplification Theory’, could explain why the Arctic is warming while the Antarctic is cooling.
Temp change between 1780 (a year of normal solar activity) and 1680 (a year within the depths of the Maunder Minimum) — NASA.
The Sun also goes through Grand Solar MAXIMUMS–periods of unusually high solar activity. The most recent maximum –‘The Modern Maximum‘– ran through the years 1914 –the end of the Centennial Minimum– to 2007. Coincidentally, global temperatures increased during this period (aka “catastrophic global warming”), and they have only recently, after a multi-year lag –tied to ocean inertia– started to come back down (-0.34C since 2016, according to the UAH, and falling).
But back to previous Grand Solar Minimums, ‘The Dalton Minimum’ was another key one — it ran from 1790 to 1820, and is clearly identifiable in the sunspot chart below:
Sunspot count–from solar cycle 12 to the start of solar cycle 25.
Like the deeper Maunder before it, the Dalton brought about a period of lower-than-average global temperatures.
Historical documentation reveals that the Oberlach Station in Germany, for example, experienced a 2C decline over just 20 years, which devastated the country’s food production. Therefore, modern notions that a GSM would decrease temperatures by just 0.01-0.02C are another ‘explain-away’ fallacy. However, this mainstream admission –that GSMs result in cooling– could be seen as a positive, because we’re no longer arguing if the phenomena exists or not, we’re now only debating its impact.
THE MECHANICS
Low solar activity impacts Earth’s weather/climate via a number of different mechanisms.
The most notable is the reduction of energy entering the jet streams which reverts the jet’s usual strong and straight ZONAL flow to a weak and wavy MERIDIONAL one. In turn, and depending on which side of the stream you’re on, you’re either in for a spell of unseasonably cold or warm weather and/or a period of unusually dry or wet conditions:
This is a phenomenon long-predicted by those who study the Sun, and it’s one forecast to intensify as the Grand Solar Minimum continues its deepening — all of us are now watching this play out in real-time, whether we know it or not:
Along with low solar activity’s impact on the jet streams, other ‘global cooling’ mechanisms include: the great conjunction, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and also The Beaufort Gyre—and its immense impact on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.
“The next 30 years will be a cold,” so says climate scientist Dr. Willie Soon (see below). But I question what it will take for the IPCC and their MSM lapdogs to admit that what they’ve been pedaling for the past 30+ years was based on a warped ideology, and not science. Logic has now been twisted so as to mean that Arctic outbreaks (renamed Polar Vortexes) are a direct result of global warming, i.e. warming = cooling, which is a perfect example of what Orwell dubbed “doublethink”: the acceptance of contrary opinions or beliefs at the same time, especially as a result of political indoctrination. And I worry that the draconian future Orwell described is fast materializing; I fear the climate will be the least of people’s concerns in the coming years, as we seem to be destroying civilization all by ourselves: COVID passports, energy shortages and ration cards, anyone…?
electroverse.net
Prepare for the cold — learn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
Articles GSM
GRAND SOLAR MINIMUM 101: THE FUTURE LOOKS COLD
NOVEMBER 18, 2021 CAP ALLON
In recent years, the Sun has been at its weakest state in more than a century. This is revealed by the sunspot count (shown below)–a great barometer for solar activity.
Sunspot count–from solar cycle 12 to the start of solar cycle 25.
The Sun’s output ebbs and flows on a roughly 11-year cycle.
As visualized above, the most recent solar cycle (24) finished up closely matching those of ‘The Centennial Minimum’ (≈1880-1914) — the previous multi-cycle period of low output–otherwise known as a ‘Grand Solar Minimum’ (GSM).
Grand Solar Minimums themselves can also range in depth and length, and, crucially for all of Earth’s inhabitants, these factors determine the severity of the accompanying ‘global cooling’.
The Centennial Minimum was a relatively modest GSM.
Conversely, one of the strongest on record was the ‘Maunder Minimum’ (1645-1715). The MM, as documented by NASA, sent Europe and North America into a “deep freeze”: “From 1650 to 1710, temperatures across much of the Northern Hemisphere plunged when the Sun entered a quiet phase now called the Maunder Minimum. During this period, very few sunspots appeared on the surface of the Sun, and the overall brightness of the Sun decreased slightly. Already in the midst of a colder-than-average period called the Little Ice Age, Europe and North America went into a deep freeze: alpine glaciers extended over valley farmland; sea ice crept south from the Arctic; and the famous canals in the Netherlands froze regularly—an event that is rare today.”
The above facts are no longer permitted in mainstream scientific debates, and calling them out sees you instantly dismissed as a conspiracy theorist. History, however, will view this censorship very poorly, and will see it as an illustration of the power of propagandizing. Discovery, it would appear, is no longer welcome in the field of climate science — we apparently know all that there is to know. But in reality, this suppression is a necessity if the AGW train is to keep on rolling. It stands that the return of a cyclically waning Sun –which is indeed what we’re seeing today– would instantly flush alarmists’ claims of never-ending temperature increases down the proverbial pan.
Furthermore, and rather curiously, while Earth’s overall temperature trends colder during prolonged bouts of low solar activity, not all regions experience the chill. As visualized in NASA’s ‘Maunder Minimum Reconstruction Map’ (shown below), areas such as the Arctic, Alaska, and the North Atlantic actually warm during spells of otherwise ‘global’ cooling — this appears to chime with what we’re seeing today, and, unlike the baseless ‘Polar Amplification Theory’, could explain why the Arctic is warming while the Antarctic is cooling.
Temp change between 1780 (a year of normal solar activity) and 1680 (a year within the depths of the Maunder Minimum) — NASA.
The Sun also goes through Grand Solar MAXIMUMS–periods of unusually high solar activity. The most recent maximum –‘The Modern Maximum‘– ran through the years 1914 –the end of the Centennial Minimum– to 2007. Coincidentally, global temperatures increased during this period (aka “catastrophic global warming”), and they have only recently, after a multi-year lag –tied to ocean inertia– started to come back down (-0.34C since 2016, according to the UAH, and falling).
But back to previous Grand Solar Minimums, ‘The Dalton Minimum’ was another key one — it ran from 1790 to 1820, and is clearly identifiable in the sunspot chart below:
Sunspot count–from solar cycle 12 to the start of solar cycle 25.
Like the deeper Maunder before it, the Dalton brought about a period of lower-than-average global temperatures.
Historical documentation reveals that the Oberlach Station in Germany, for example, experienced a 2C decline over just 20 years, which devastated the country’s food production. Therefore, modern notions that a GSM would decrease temperatures by just 0.01-0.02C are another ‘explain-away’ fallacy. However, this mainstream admission –that GSMs result in cooling– could be seen as a positive, because we’re no longer arguing if the phenomena exists or not, we’re now only debating its impact.
THE MECHANICS
Low solar activity impacts Earth’s weather/climate via a number of different mechanisms.
The most notable is the reduction of energy entering the jet streams which reverts the jet’s usual strong and straight ZONAL flow to a weak and wavy MERIDIONAL one. In turn, and depending on which side of the stream you’re on, you’re either in for a spell of unseasonably cold or warm weather and/or a period of unusually dry or wet conditions:
This is a phenomenon long-predicted by those who study the Sun, and it’s one forecast to intensify as the Grand Solar Minimum continues its deepening — all of us are now watching this play out in real-time, whether we know it or not:
Along with low solar activity’s impact on the jet streams, other ‘global cooling’ mechanisms include: the great conjunction, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and also The Beaufort Gyre—and its immense impact on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.
“The next 30 years will be a cold,” so says climate scientist Dr. Willie Soon (see below). But I question what it will take for the IPCC and their MSM lapdogs to admit that what they’ve been pedaling for the past 30+ years was based on a warped ideology, and not science. Logic has now been twisted so as to mean that Arctic outbreaks (renamed Polar Vortexes) are a direct result of global warming, i.e. warming = cooling, which is a perfect example of what Orwell dubbed “doublethink”: the acceptance of contrary opinions or beliefs at the same time, especially as a result of political indoctrination. And I worry that the draconian future Orwell described is fast materializing; I fear the climate will be the least of people’s concerns in the coming years, as we seem to be destroying civilization all by ourselves: COVID passports, energy shortages and ration cards, anyone…?
"The next 30 years will be Cold," says Climate Scientist Dr. Willie Soon
"If you want to face a serious problem, worry about an ice age, never worry about global warming." #GrandSolarMinimum
electroverse.net
Prepare for the cold — learn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
TxGal
Day by day
Adapt 2030 has a new podcast out:
Society Reset Interloopings in a Fertilizer Shortage - YouTube
Society Reset Interloopings in a Fertilizer Shortage
10,105 views
Premiered 12 hours ago
View: https://youtu.be/qznbYIQrlGI
Run time is 13:41
Synopsis provided:
Record sized cyclonic storms in both hemispheres, food manufacturers increasing prices with countries adding export taxes to grains. The real problem is on the record statements of impending fertilizer shortages, will reduce global crop yields adding to the feedback loop of higher prices.
Society Reset Interloopings in a Fertilizer Shortage - YouTube
Society Reset Interloopings in a Fertilizer Shortage
10,105 views
Premiered 12 hours ago
Run time is 13:41
Synopsis provided:
Record sized cyclonic storms in both hemispheres, food manufacturers increasing prices with countries adding export taxes to grains. The real problem is on the record statements of impending fertilizer shortages, will reduce global crop yields adding to the feedback loop of higher prices.
TxGal
Day by day
The Oppenheimer Ranch Project has a new podcast out:
Fernandina Volcano (Galápagos): Ground Deformation & Fumarole Activity = Eruption -New Madrid Update - YouTube
Fernandina Volcano (Galápagos): Ground Deformation & Fumarole Activity = Eruption -New Madrid Update
3,319 views
Premiered 7 hours ago
View: https://youtu.be/QzIoAoVx21k
Run time is 9:45
Synopsis provided:
Fernandina volcano (Galápagos Islands): First activity first since Jan 2020 https://bit.ly/30Jq3EX
Fernandina volcano (Galápagos Islands): fumarolic activity https://bit.ly/3kSuGDD
A fumarole (or fumarole; smoke hole) https://bit.ly/3kRbeaq Fernandina erupts in Galapagos 2018 https://bit.ly/3qQb2Ml
Fernandina Eruption History & Data https://s.si.edu/3DyXvfA Recent Earthquakes Near Missouri, United States https://bit.ly/3FAprAB
Fernandina Volcano (Galápagos): Ground Deformation & Fumarole Activity = Eruption -New Madrid Update - YouTube
Fernandina Volcano (Galápagos): Ground Deformation & Fumarole Activity = Eruption -New Madrid Update
3,319 views
Premiered 7 hours ago
Run time is 9:45
Synopsis provided:
Fernandina volcano (Galápagos Islands): First activity first since Jan 2020 https://bit.ly/30Jq3EX
Fernandina volcano (Galápagos Islands): fumarolic activity https://bit.ly/3kSuGDD
A fumarole (or fumarole; smoke hole) https://bit.ly/3kRbeaq Fernandina erupts in Galapagos 2018 https://bit.ly/3qQb2Ml
Fernandina Eruption History & Data https://s.si.edu/3DyXvfA Recent Earthquakes Near Missouri, United States https://bit.ly/3FAprAB
TxGal
Day by day
Suspicious Observers has a new podcast out:
Disaster Cycle, Climate Tipping Points, Baby Star | S0 News Nov.18.2021 - YouTube
Disaster Cycle, Climate Tipping Points, Baby Star | S0 News Nov.18.2021
43,717 views
Nov 18, 2021
View: https://youtu.be/-E93lzqQCRM
Run time is 4:55
No synopsis provided except as suggested by the title
Disaster Cycle, Climate Tipping Points, Baby Star | S0 News Nov.18.2021 - YouTube
Disaster Cycle, Climate Tipping Points, Baby Star | S0 News Nov.18.2021
43,717 views
Nov 18, 2021
Run time is 4:55
No synopsis provided except as suggested by the title
TxGal
Day by day
Arctic Sea Ice Extent Currently Second-Highest In 15 Years, And Growing... - Electroverse
Extreme Weather GSM
ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT CURRENTLY SECOND-HIGHEST IN 15 YEARS, AND GROWING…
NOVEMBER 19, 2021 CAP ALLON
Arctic sea ice data is in plain view of the world’s media, yet outlets would still rather quote activist-scientists than show an unambiguous chart. Articles of “catastrophic ice melt” still pepper the global news feeds, even as signs point to a cyclical shift in the northern polar region.
I’m being consciously naive here. I’m fully aware that the media’s job isn’t to inform; rather, it exists to propagandize and to push the agendas and narratives of its backers. Still, I can’t help but wonder, when a placard-brandishing climate alarmist yells “the end is nigh!”, who exactly is it that they’ve put their trust in? Who told them that the sky is falling? I ask because you do need to be informed of the ‘climate crisis’ in order to discern it — your own senses aren’t enough. People aren’t opening their front doors in the morning to an ‘existential emergency’, they aren’t retreating back inside, calling their bosses and saying “I wont be coming in today, you know… ’cause of the climate”. This is supposed to be ‘catastrophic global warming‘, remember? Not ‘random, cherry-picked extreme weather events’? For what is billed as a ‘worldly cataclysm’, this warming sure is illusive, periodic and localized.
The power of propaganda, I guess.
The blind acceptance of sheep.
ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT IS CURRENTLY THE SECOND-HIGHEST IN 15 YEARS, AND GROWING
The poster child for AGW is of course the Arctic. For years, dire tipping point deadlines of an “ice free Arctic” have been prophesied by pedestalled climate ‘experts’, and for years, dire tipping point deadlines have uneventfully passed us all by.
See: Decades Of Failed Tipping Point Prophesies
And: Years Of Failed Arctic Sea Ice Predictions
In a further blow to the credibility of the climate ambulance chasers, there is, as of Nov 17, significantly more ice in the Arctic than there has been in recent years — the difference is stark.
This week, Arctic sea ice is approaching 10,000,000 km2 — the second highest ice extent of any of the last 15 years. Furthermore, the years 2008 and 2005 are on course to be eclipsed in the coming days/weeks, as are many from the early-2000s and mid/late-1990s — this means that 2021 will soon claim the title of ‘the highest Arctic sea ice extent of the past two decades’ (since 2001).
In addition, extent is now comfortably above the 2011-2020 average, and, by next week, is expected to have taken out the 2001-2010 average, too, according to NSIDC data.
Also worth noting is that ‘extent’ is actually highly variable and susceptible to changing wind patterns, etc. A more reliable metric to use when trying to determine the health of an ice sheet is its thickness or volume.
According to the latest data from the Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI), Arctic sea ice ‘volume’ has been on something of a tear in recent weeks — it is now tracking above all recent years (black line on the below chart), and shows no signs of abating:
[DMI]
Here’s a closer look:
[DMI]
“Cold and snow came early to much of the Arctic this year,” reports woodtv.com. This reality, as hinted at above, is a big shift from recent years, and I believe it could indicate a more permanent ‘trend change’ as low solar activity’s impact on Earth’s climate continues to ‘snowball’.
Only time will tell on that front, but backing up my contention is the fact that the South Pole also just witnessed a historically cold winter. As reported last month: “Between the months of April and September, the South Pole averaged a temperature of -61.1C (-78F). Simply put, this was the region’s coldest 6-month spell ever recorded, and it comfortably usurped the previous coldest ‘coreless winter‘ on record: the -60.6C (-77F) from 1976 (solar minimum of weak cycle 20).”
electroverse.net
Unsurprisingly, the mainstream media remains silent on all of this.
It doesn’t fit the narrative, and so it isn’t reported on — this isn’t how journalism (and indeed science) is supposed to work.
In the absence of open debate, questioning and accountability, authoritarian forces rise.
electroverse.net
ARCTIC OWLS SPOTTED IN NORTHWEST SPAIN
In an event thought to be related to the exceptional chill being felt in northern latitudes this autumn, a number of snowy or Arctic owls have been spotted in The Principality of Asturias–a region of northwest Spain.
Biologist Arancha Marcotegi, from Birdwatch Asturias, has confirmed the presence of at least three of these arctic specimens.
Marcotegi explains that the birds’ usual habitat is tundra –-a polar region of low vegetation– and that he does not believe that they will last very long in in Spain, no matter how harsh this coming winter may be.
Another biologist, Nicolás López, head of species conservation at BirdLife, explains that the southernmost latitudes that snowy owls can frequent “never goes beyond the north of the United Kingdom or Scandinavia”.
It is unprecedented to find them this far south.
The theories of how the birds actually got to Spain are numerous. Among the scenarios is that the birds, not being the best migrators, took rest on a boat which wound-up taking them to Asturias. Another theory among experts, and as reported by plainsmenpost.com, is that, yes, you guessed it, that big bad wolf “climate change” is to blame. López says that global warming may gave caused the “extreme phenomena of more iciness in their areas” meaning the birds traveled south to find food.
Sigh.
I’m starting to think that whenever a phenomena occurs in nature that ‘experts’ don’t quite understand, ‘climate change’ is the go-to. The scapegoat. If the theory wasn’t so pervasive and destructive, it would actually be quite funny.
Enjoy your weekend.
Stay free.
electroverse.net
The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).
Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.
Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.
Prepare accordingly— learn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
Extreme Weather GSM
ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT CURRENTLY SECOND-HIGHEST IN 15 YEARS, AND GROWING…
NOVEMBER 19, 2021 CAP ALLON
Arctic sea ice data is in plain view of the world’s media, yet outlets would still rather quote activist-scientists than show an unambiguous chart. Articles of “catastrophic ice melt” still pepper the global news feeds, even as signs point to a cyclical shift in the northern polar region.
I’m being consciously naive here. I’m fully aware that the media’s job isn’t to inform; rather, it exists to propagandize and to push the agendas and narratives of its backers. Still, I can’t help but wonder, when a placard-brandishing climate alarmist yells “the end is nigh!”, who exactly is it that they’ve put their trust in? Who told them that the sky is falling? I ask because you do need to be informed of the ‘climate crisis’ in order to discern it — your own senses aren’t enough. People aren’t opening their front doors in the morning to an ‘existential emergency’, they aren’t retreating back inside, calling their bosses and saying “I wont be coming in today, you know… ’cause of the climate”. This is supposed to be ‘catastrophic global warming‘, remember? Not ‘random, cherry-picked extreme weather events’? For what is billed as a ‘worldly cataclysm’, this warming sure is illusive, periodic and localized.
The power of propaganda, I guess.
The blind acceptance of sheep.
ARCTIC SEA ICE EXTENT IS CURRENTLY THE SECOND-HIGHEST IN 15 YEARS, AND GROWING
The poster child for AGW is of course the Arctic. For years, dire tipping point deadlines of an “ice free Arctic” have been prophesied by pedestalled climate ‘experts’, and for years, dire tipping point deadlines have uneventfully passed us all by.
See: Decades Of Failed Tipping Point Prophesies
And: Years Of Failed Arctic Sea Ice Predictions
In a further blow to the credibility of the climate ambulance chasers, there is, as of Nov 17, significantly more ice in the Arctic than there has been in recent years — the difference is stark.
This week, Arctic sea ice is approaching 10,000,000 km2 — the second highest ice extent of any of the last 15 years. Furthermore, the years 2008 and 2005 are on course to be eclipsed in the coming days/weeks, as are many from the early-2000s and mid/late-1990s — this means that 2021 will soon claim the title of ‘the highest Arctic sea ice extent of the past two decades’ (since 2001).
In addition, extent is now comfortably above the 2011-2020 average, and, by next week, is expected to have taken out the 2001-2010 average, too, according to NSIDC data.
Also worth noting is that ‘extent’ is actually highly variable and susceptible to changing wind patterns, etc. A more reliable metric to use when trying to determine the health of an ice sheet is its thickness or volume.
According to the latest data from the Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI), Arctic sea ice ‘volume’ has been on something of a tear in recent weeks — it is now tracking above all recent years (black line on the below chart), and shows no signs of abating:
[DMI]
Here’s a closer look:
[DMI]
“Cold and snow came early to much of the Arctic this year,” reports woodtv.com. This reality, as hinted at above, is a big shift from recent years, and I believe it could indicate a more permanent ‘trend change’ as low solar activity’s impact on Earth’s climate continues to ‘snowball’.
Only time will tell on that front, but backing up my contention is the fact that the South Pole also just witnessed a historically cold winter. As reported last month: “Between the months of April and September, the South Pole averaged a temperature of -61.1C (-78F). Simply put, this was the region’s coldest 6-month spell ever recorded, and it comfortably usurped the previous coldest ‘coreless winter‘ on record: the -60.6C (-77F) from 1976 (solar minimum of weak cycle 20).”
In these Days of "Catastrophic Global Warming," the South Pole just suffered its Coldest 'Winter' in Recorded History - Electroverse
With an average temperature of -61.1C (-78F), the South Pole has just logged its coldest 6-month spell ever recorded (April-Sept).
electroverse.net
Unsurprisingly, the mainstream media remains silent on all of this.
It doesn’t fit the narrative, and so it isn’t reported on — this isn’t how journalism (and indeed science) is supposed to work.
In the absence of open debate, questioning and accountability, authoritarian forces rise.
Punishing Cold Breaks 167-Year-Old Records In Australia, + An Early Arctic Freeze Traps 20+ Ships In Unusually Thick Sea Ice - Electroverse
Monday marks the first time in 167 years of records that Melbourne, Australia has experienced four days below 15.5C this late into spring.
electroverse.net
ARCTIC OWLS SPOTTED IN NORTHWEST SPAIN
In an event thought to be related to the exceptional chill being felt in northern latitudes this autumn, a number of snowy or Arctic owls have been spotted in The Principality of Asturias–a region of northwest Spain.
Biologist Arancha Marcotegi, from Birdwatch Asturias, has confirmed the presence of at least three of these arctic specimens.
Marcotegi explains that the birds’ usual habitat is tundra –-a polar region of low vegetation– and that he does not believe that they will last very long in in Spain, no matter how harsh this coming winter may be.
Another biologist, Nicolás López, head of species conservation at BirdLife, explains that the southernmost latitudes that snowy owls can frequent “never goes beyond the north of the United Kingdom or Scandinavia”.
It is unprecedented to find them this far south.
The theories of how the birds actually got to Spain are numerous. Among the scenarios is that the birds, not being the best migrators, took rest on a boat which wound-up taking them to Asturias. Another theory among experts, and as reported by plainsmenpost.com, is that, yes, you guessed it, that big bad wolf “climate change” is to blame. López says that global warming may gave caused the “extreme phenomena of more iciness in their areas” meaning the birds traveled south to find food.
Sigh.
I’m starting to think that whenever a phenomena occurs in nature that ‘experts’ don’t quite understand, ‘climate change’ is the go-to. The scapegoat. If the theory wasn’t so pervasive and destructive, it would actually be quite funny.
Enjoy your weekend.
Stay free.
Greenland's Ice Loss Trend Has Now Reversed, Danish Data Reveals - Crisis Averted - Electroverse
A new trend has now emerged across the Greenland ice sheet, and it's one of catastrophic embarrassment for the AGW Party.
electroverse.net
The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).
Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.
Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.
Prepare accordingly— learn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.
Martinhouse
Deceased
That message that Ice Age Farmer got on Telegram about poultry plant inspectors sure was disturbing! I just called my sister and read it to her, and she agreed to cook a couple more turkeys for me in exchange for keeping the dark meat and giblets.
I keep after her to get that stuff canned and I think I'm making some headway there. Once I get all of mine cooked up, I will be having a huge canning session, too, but I do mine in pints rather than quarts.
Now that it's getting colder out (sis said 27 here this morning!) I'll be able to "refrigerate" the turkey by setting containers of meat and the broth against the back porch door overnight when the canning marathon takes more than one day.
Tomorrow I get up at 5 AM and get to the grocery store when it opens at 6 AM and there's rarely anyone else there besides a couple of workers. Will top of the gas in the truck as well, even though I have to go a few miles farther down the road to get to the station I have to use.
Am hoping I'll be able to stay home from now on except for my trips to the drive-thru's of the bank and the post office on each Social Security day.
Edit: Don't know how I managed to get this post all underlined, nor do I know how to undo it!
I keep after her to get that stuff canned and I think I'm making some headway there. Once I get all of mine cooked up, I will be having a huge canning session, too, but I do mine in pints rather than quarts.
Now that it's getting colder out (sis said 27 here this morning!) I'll be able to "refrigerate" the turkey by setting containers of meat and the broth against the back porch door overnight when the canning marathon takes more than one day.
Tomorrow I get up at 5 AM and get to the grocery store when it opens at 6 AM and there's rarely anyone else there besides a couple of workers. Will top of the gas in the truck as well, even though I have to go a few miles farther down the road to get to the station I have to use.
Am hoping I'll be able to stay home from now on except for my trips to the drive-thru's of the bank and the post office on each Social Security day.
Edit: Don't know how I managed to get this post all underlined, nor do I know how to undo it!
Last edited by a moderator:
Somehow, you had the html code for Underline in there. I fixed it.
Summerthyme
Summerthyme
TxGal
Day by day
TxGal
Day by day
Martinhouse, that temp this morning there is awful! I really hate winter!
I need to inventory and organize our freezers, I think we may have enough turkey to see us through winter. I've also been buying chicken tenders, and either cooking them and vacuum sealing them into dinner-size portions, or doing the same just raw. Poultry is our go-too meal anymore.
Even though I think we have enough turkey, I still have that nagging feeling that we need more. Not a good feeling.....
I need to inventory and organize our freezers, I think we may have enough turkey to see us through winter. I've also been buying chicken tenders, and either cooking them and vacuum sealing them into dinner-size portions, or doing the same just raw. Poultry is our go-too meal anymore.
Even though I think we have enough turkey, I still have that nagging feeling that we need more. Not a good feeling.....
packyderms_wife
Neither here nor there.
Well if these events align with records form the 1950's then it's time to scrub those records... we cannot have the sheeple finding out that manmade climate change is a hoax. /sarcasm
packyderms_wife
Neither here nor there.
Not only is growing it's also on the move per cousins that live in Nunavut, that's north of the arctic circle for those who do not know where that place is located. The ice moving makes it dangerous for fishing.
Martinhouse
Deceased
Just now getting back to this thread. Summerthyme, thanks for removing the underlining from my previous post.
I think I accidentally hit the wrong "buttons" now and then because I have a crappy mouse that I sometimes have to chase all over the screen to find it and get back control of it.
I think I accidentally hit the wrong "buttons" now and then because I have a crappy mouse that I sometimes have to chase all over the screen to find it and get back control of it.
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You need a cat.
TxGal
Day by day
Gosh, not again!! I'm really glad we bought several small propane heaters and two cases of small propane bottles, but I was hoping we wouldn't need them!
Rolling Blackouts Possible In Texas, Midwest As Cold Blast Looms | ZeroHedge
Rolling Blackouts Possible In Texas, Midwest As Cold Blast Looms
BY TYLER DURDEN
FRIDAY, NOV 19, 2021 - 06:40 PM
The North American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC), a nonprofit corporation responsible for overseeing US' power grid, published a new report on the risk of rolling blackouts if persistent cold weather is observed this winter.
NERC's three-month (December–February) winter report is an assessment that identifies potential reliability issues of interest across six regional power grids.
The report identifies Texas as having the weakest power grid if extreme cold weather were to strike.
"Extreme weather events, including extended durations of colder than normal weather, pose a risk to the uninterrupted delivery of power to electricity consumers," the report said, adding that power grids might have to use "rolling blackout procedures to ensure that no critical infrastructure loads (e.g., natural gas, telecommunications) would be affected."
Power grids are expected to have sufficient supplies under normal operating conditions between the three months. But if unseasonably cold weather is observed, fossil fuel generators (powered by crude, coal, or natural gas) may experience shortages due to supply constraints.
For instance, the report warns about potential coal delivery problems:
"Coal delivery problems by rail can impact the operation of coal-fired electricity generation; likewise, the economics of electricity and energy markets can affect coal supplies. Coal supplies in North America are being affected by the current global energy shortage," the report said, pointing out that supplies are dwindling ahead of winter.
In early October, we quoted Ernie Thrasher, CEO of Xcoal Energy & Resources LLC., who said US utilities are quickly turning to coal generation because of soaring natural gas prices.
"We've actually had discussions with power utilities who are concerned that they simply will have to implement blackouts this winter," Thrasher warned.
He said, "They don't see where the fuel is coming from to meet demand," adding that 23% of utilities are switching away from gas this fall/winter to burn more coal.
We recently noted that due to unprecedented demand, resource companies had sold every piece of coal they will extract from the ground for 2022. "It's pretty much sold out," Peabody CEO Jim Grech said last month. "We only have a small portion left to be sold for 2022 and for 2023."
A La Nina winter means below-average temperatures for parts of the northern hemisphere. Hopefully, an energy crisis like the one playing out in Europe and China isn't headed for the US.
Rolling Blackouts Possible In Texas, Midwest As Cold Blast Looms | ZeroHedge
Rolling Blackouts Possible In Texas, Midwest As Cold Blast Looms
BY TYLER DURDEN
FRIDAY, NOV 19, 2021 - 06:40 PM
The North American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC), a nonprofit corporation responsible for overseeing US' power grid, published a new report on the risk of rolling blackouts if persistent cold weather is observed this winter.
NERC's three-month (December–February) winter report is an assessment that identifies potential reliability issues of interest across six regional power grids.
The report identifies Texas as having the weakest power grid if extreme cold weather were to strike.
"Extreme weather events, including extended durations of colder than normal weather, pose a risk to the uninterrupted delivery of power to electricity consumers," the report said, adding that power grids might have to use "rolling blackout procedures to ensure that no critical infrastructure loads (e.g., natural gas, telecommunications) would be affected."
Power grids are expected to have sufficient supplies under normal operating conditions between the three months. But if unseasonably cold weather is observed, fossil fuel generators (powered by crude, coal, or natural gas) may experience shortages due to supply constraints.
For instance, the report warns about potential coal delivery problems:
"Coal delivery problems by rail can impact the operation of coal-fired electricity generation; likewise, the economics of electricity and energy markets can affect coal supplies. Coal supplies in North America are being affected by the current global energy shortage," the report said, pointing out that supplies are dwindling ahead of winter.
In early October, we quoted Ernie Thrasher, CEO of Xcoal Energy & Resources LLC., who said US utilities are quickly turning to coal generation because of soaring natural gas prices.
"We've actually had discussions with power utilities who are concerned that they simply will have to implement blackouts this winter," Thrasher warned.
He said, "They don't see where the fuel is coming from to meet demand," adding that 23% of utilities are switching away from gas this fall/winter to burn more coal.
We recently noted that due to unprecedented demand, resource companies had sold every piece of coal they will extract from the ground for 2022. "It's pretty much sold out," Peabody CEO Jim Grech said last month. "We only have a small portion left to be sold for 2022 and for 2023."
A La Nina winter means below-average temperatures for parts of the northern hemisphere. Hopefully, an energy crisis like the one playing out in Europe and China isn't headed for the US.
Martinhouse
Deceased
Cardinal, I have three and a half cats. (Or rather, thay have me!) But they are outdoor cats only and my computer is an indoor computer only.
TxGal
Day by day
Adapt 2030 has a new podcast out:
The Past Haunts Again - YouTube
The Past Haunts Again
6,279 views
Nov 19, 2021
View: https://youtu.be/ceZ1vI-kRQk
Run time is 20:44
Synopsis provided:
ADAPT 2030 and TradcatKnight discuss a change of electromagnetic energies transitioning our world from now to 2024.
The Past Haunts Again - YouTube
The Past Haunts Again
6,279 views
Nov 19, 2021
Run time is 20:44
Synopsis provided:
ADAPT 2030 and TradcatKnight discuss a change of electromagnetic energies transitioning our world from now to 2024.
TxGal
Day by day
Well, Martinhouse, we were supposed to be in the low 40s overnight, and I woke up to 39. It might have been lower, I rolled out of bed a little later than usual. I seem to recall this was our pattern last winter, they just couldn't get our forecast quite right. I hope that doesn't mean we'll be repeating last winter's cold temps, but it wouldn't surprise me at all.
And here I sit in my sweats over my jammies and thick socks on again...and I'm about to throw on a fleece jacket. House it at 68 inside, so I can't really complain.
But I really hate winter!
And here I sit in my sweats over my jammies and thick socks on again...and I'm about to throw on a fleece jacket. House it at 68 inside, so I can't really complain.
But I really hate winter!
Martinhouse
Deceased
Back from small town shopping and gas station at 9 AM. Boy, did I hemorrhage money this morning!
Anyway, it was 34 here when I left at 5:30 and now with my tea made and the cats fed, the thermometer out back says 44 degrees. My body says it still feels like 34! It is 54 in my kitchen right now but my water pot is heating so I'll have a little bit of warm here near my chair in about another five minutes or so.
Anyway, it was 34 here when I left at 5:30 and now with my tea made and the cats fed, the thermometer out back says 44 degrees. My body says it still feels like 34! It is 54 in my kitchen right now but my water pot is heating so I'll have a little bit of warm here near my chair in about another five minutes or so.
northern watch
TB Fanatic
northern watch
TB Fanatic
northern watch
TB Fanatic
northern watch
TB Fanatic
northern watch
TB Fanatic
The port of Churchill Manitoba will be busy
The Port of Churchill is the terminus for the Hudson Bay Railway operated by the Arctic Gateway Group. The port facilities handle shipments of grain
TxGal
Day by day
There's plenty out there about the La Palma volcanic activity, but it's just been declared as a VEI-3. Those VEI-s can impact the climate, especially with the GSM in play.
I keep trying to bring the article over from Strange Sounds, but I'm having difficulty with all the graphics/twitter posts and translating...likely because we have some 'weather' moving in and my satellite connection isn't happy.
I keep trying to bring the article over from Strange Sounds, but I'm having difficulty with all the graphics/twitter posts and translating...likely because we have some 'weather' moving in and my satellite connection isn't happy.
Martinhouse
Deceased
Sounds interesting...hope your Internet connection stops misbehaving soon!
Hopefully someone will post Bushcraft Bear's latest when he posts his latest video this afternoon. Surely he will be telling us all about that.
Hopefully someone will post Bushcraft Bear's latest when he posts his latest video this afternoon. Surely he will be telling us all about that.