Solar Grand Solar Minimum part deux
- Thread starter Dennis Olson
- Start date
-
- Tags
- grand solar minimum
Martinhouse
Deceased
I'm looking at 3o on Tuesday morning, 26 on Wednesday morning, and 31 on Thursday morning. Gonna be rather chilly in my house for most of next week!
I have a long list of things that must be done tomorrow. Biggest of which is making sure the garden hose is flat on the warm ground and the metal nozzle is either removed or at least buried in a fair-sized pile of leaves. I'm not through using the hose yet, so it's too soon to drain it and insulate the faucet.
I hate winter!!!!!
Added: Lately I've been hand sewing a couple of two-layer fleece blankets. I've had the fabric for ages and decided that this is the year fabric in a bag isn't going to keep me warm. It's been slow-going as only one eye works at all any more and I need new glasses desperately. But with a bright head lamp flashlight and lots of determination, I'm nearly finished. Just in time, too! Just need to do some top-stitching and then tie the layers together (no way am I going to quilt things like this!) When I use the fleece blankets, I don't have to heat my bedroom.
I have a long list of things that must be done tomorrow. Biggest of which is making sure the garden hose is flat on the warm ground and the metal nozzle is either removed or at least buried in a fair-sized pile of leaves. I'm not through using the hose yet, so it's too soon to drain it and insulate the faucet.
I hate winter!!!!!
Added: Lately I've been hand sewing a couple of two-layer fleece blankets. I've had the fabric for ages and decided that this is the year fabric in a bag isn't going to keep me warm. It's been slow-going as only one eye works at all any more and I need new glasses desperately. But with a bright head lamp flashlight and lots of determination, I'm nearly finished. Just in time, too! Just need to do some top-stitching and then tie the layers together (no way am I going to quilt things like this!) When I use the fleece blankets, I don't have to heat my bedroom.
Last edited:
alpha
Veteran Member
Electroverse
Articles
A diverse expert panel of global scientists finds blaming climate change mostly on greenhouse gas emissions was premature.
Their findings contradict the IPCC’s conclusion, which the study shows, is grounded in narrow and incomplete data about the Sun’s total solar irradiance (TSI).
Most of the energy in the Earth’s atmosphere comes from the Sun. It has long been recognized that changes in the so-called “total solar irradiance” (TSI), i.e., the amount of energy emitted by the Sun, over the last few centuries, could have contributed substantially to recent climate change. However, this new study found that the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) only considered a small subset of the published TSI datasets when they were assessing the role of the Sun in climate change and that this subset only included “low solar variability” datasets. As a result, the IPCC was premature in ruling out a substantial role for the Sun in recent climate change.
The scientific review article looks at the role the Sun has played in ‘climate change’ over the last 150 years.
It finds that the United Nations’ Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) may have been premature in their conclusion that recent climate change is mostly caused by human greenhouse gas emissions.
The paper, written by 23 experts in the fields of solar physics and of climate science from 14 different countries, is published in the peer-reviewed journal Research in Astronomy and Astrophysics (RAA).
The study, which is the most comprehensive to date, carries out an analysis of the 16 most prominent published solar output datasets, including those used by the IPCC.
The researchers compared them to 26 different estimates of Northern Hemisphere temperature trends since the 19th century (sorted into five categories), including the datasets used by the IPCC.
They focused on the Northern Hemisphere since the available data for the early 20th century and earlier is much more limited for the Southern Hemisphere, but their results can be generalized for global temperatures.
How much has the Sun influenced Northern Hemisphere temperature trends? (click the image to enlarge)
The study found that scientists come to opposite conclusions about the causes of recent climate change depending on which datasets they consider.
For instance, in the graphs above, the panels on the left lead to the conclusion that global temperature changes since the mid-19th century have been mostly due to human-caused emissions, especially carbon dioxide (CO2), i.e., the conclusion reached by the UN IPCC reports.
In contrast, the panels on the right lead to the exact opposite conclusion, i.e., that the global temperature changes since the mid-19th century have been mostly due to natural cycles, chiefly long-term changes in the energy emitted by the Sun.
Both sets of panels are based on published scientific data, but each uses different datasets and assumptions.
On the left, it is assumed that the available temperature records are unaffected by the urban heat island problem, and so all stations are used, whether urban or rural.
On the right, only rural stations are used.
While on the left, solar output is modeled using the low variability dataset that has been chosen for the IPCC’s upcoming (in 2021/2022) 6th Assessment Reports. This implies zero contribution from natural factors to the long-term warming.
On the right, solar output is modeled using a high variability dataset used by the team in charge of NASA’s ACRIM sun-monitoring satellites. This implies that most, if not all, of the long-term temperature changes are due to natural factors.
Dr. Ronan Connolly, lead author of the study, at the Center for Environmental Research and Earth Sciences (CERES):
“The IPCC is mandated to find a consensus on the causes of climate change. I understand the political usefulness of having a consensus view in that it makes things easier for politicians. However, science doesn’t work by consensus. In fact, science thrives best when scientists are allowed to disagree with each other and to investigate the various reasons for disagreement. I fear that by effectively only considering the datasets and studies that support their chosen narrative, the IPCC have seriously hampered scientific progress into genuinely understanding the causes of recent and future climate change. I am particularly disturbed by their inability to satisfactorily explain the rural temperature trends.”
The 72 page review (18 figures, 2 tables and 544 references) explicitly avoided the IPCC’s consensus-driven approach in that the authors agreed to emphasize where dissenting scientific opinions exist as well as where there is scientific agreement.
Indeed, each of the co-authors has different scientific opinions on many of the issues discussed, but they agreed for this paper to fairly present the competing arguments among the scientific community for each of these issues, and let the reader make up their own mind.
Several co-authors spoke of how this process of objectively reviewing the pros and cons of competing scientific arguments for the paper has given them fresh ideas for their own future research. The authors also spoke of how the IPCC reports would have more scientific validity if the IPCC started to adopt this non-consensus driven approach.
The full citation for the study, and indeed the study itself, can be found HERE.
Víctor Manuel Velasco Herrera, Professor of Theoretical Physics and Geophysics at the National Autonomous University of Mexico (UNAM) said:
“This paper is very special in that all 23 co-authors set aside our research directions and specialties to produce a fair and balanced scientific review on the subject of sun-climate connections that the UN IPCC reports had mostly missed or simply neglected.”
Nicola Scafetta, Professor of Oceanography and Atmospheric Physics at the University of Naples Federico II (Italy):
“The possible contribution of the sun to the 20th-century global warming greatly depends on the specific solar and climatic records that are adopted for the analysis. The issue is crucial because the current claim of the IPCC that the sun has had a negligible effect on the post-industrial climate warming is only based on global circulation model predictions that are compared against climatic records, which are likely affected by non-climatic warming biases (such as those related to the urbanization), and that are produced using solar forcing functions, which are obtained with total solar irradiance records that present the smallest secular variability (while ignoring the solar studies pointing to a much larger solar variability that show also a different modulation that better correlates with the climatic ones). The consequence of such an approach is that the natural component of climate change is minimized, while the anthropogenic one is maximized. Both solar and climate scientists will find the RAA study useful and timely, as it highlights and addresses this very issue.”
Ole Humlum, Emeritus Professor of Physical Geography at the University of Oslo, Norway:
“This study clearly demonstrates the high importance of carefully looking into all aspects of all available data. Obviously, the old saying ‘Nullius in verba’ is still highly relevant in modern climate research.”
Gregory Henry, Senior Research Scientist in Astronomy, from Tennessee State University’s Center of Excellence in Information Systems (U.S.A.):
“During the past three decades, I have acquired highly precise measurements of brightness changes in over 300 Sun-like stars with a fleet of robotic telescopes developed for this purpose. The data show that, as Sun-like stars age, their rotation slows, and thus their magnetic activity and brightness variability decrease. Stars similar in age and mass to our Sun show brightness changes comparable to the Sun’s and would be expected to affect climate change in their own planetary systems.”
Valery M. Fedorov, at the Faculty of Geography in Lomonosov Moscow State University, Russia:
“The study of global climate change critically needs an analytical review of scientific studies of solar radiation variations associated with the Earth’s orbital motion that could help to determine the role and contributions of solar radiation variations of different physical natures to long-term climate changes. This paper steers the scientific priority in the right direction.”
Richard C. Willson, Principal Investigator in charge of NASA’s ACRIM series of Sun-monitoring Total Solar Irradiance satellite experiments (U.S.A.):
“Contrary to the findings of the IPCC, scientific observations in recent decades have demonstrated that there is no ‘climate change crisis’. The concept that’s devolved into the failed CO2 anthropogenic global warming (CAGW) hypothesis is based on the flawed predictions of imprecise 1980’s vintage global circulation models that have failed to match observational data both since and prior to their fabrication.
The Earth’s climate is determined primarily by the radiation it receives from the Sun. The amount of solar radiation the Earth receives has natural variabilities caused by both variations in the intrinsic amount of radiation emitted by the Sun and by variations in the Earth-Sun geometry caused by planetary rotational and orbital variations. Together these natural variations cause the Total Solar Irradiance (TSI) at the Earth to vary cyclically on a number of known periodicities that are synchronized with known past climatic changes.”
WeiJia Zhang, Professor of Physics at Shaoxing University (China) and a Fellow of the Royal Astronomical Society (UK):
“The quest to understand how the Earth’s climate is connected to the Sun is one of the oldest science subjects studied by the ancient Greeks and Chinese. This review paper blows open the mystery and explains why it has been so difficult to make scientific advances so far. It will take the real understanding of fluid dynamics and magnetism on both the Sun and Earth to find the next big leap forward.”
Hong Yan (晏宏), Professor of Geology and Paleoclimatology at the Institute of Earth Environment and Vice Director of the State Key Laboratory of Loess and Quaternary Geology in Xi’an, China:
“Paleoclimate evidence has long been informing us of the large natural variations of local, regional and hemispheric climate on decadal, multidecadal to centennial timescales. This paper will be a great scientific guide on how we can study the broad topic of natural climatic changes from the unique perspective of external forcings by the Sun’s multi-scale and multi-wavelength impacts and responses.”
Ana G. Elias, Director of the Laboratorio de Ionosfera, Atmósfera Neutra y Magnetosfera (LIANM) at the Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Tecnología in the Universidad Nacional de Tucumán (FACET-UNT), Argentina:
“The importance of this work lies in presenting a broader perspective, showing that all the relevant long-term trend climate variability forcings, and not just the anthropogenic ones (as has been done mostly), must be considered. The way in which the role of these forcings is estimated, such as the case of solar and geomagnetic activity, is also important, without minimizing any one in pursuit of another. Even the Earth’s magnetic field could play a role in climate.”
Willie Soon, at the Center for Environmental Research and Earth Sciences (CERES), who also has been researching sun/climate relationships at the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics (U.S.A.) since 1991:
“We know that the Sun is the primary source of energy for the Earth’s atmosphere. So, it always was an obvious potential contributor to recent climate change. My own research over the last 31 years into the behavior of stars that are similar to our Sun, shows that solar variability is the norm, not the exception. For this reason, the Sun’s role in recent climate change should never have been as systematically undermined as it was by the IPCC’s reports. Hopefully, this systematic review of the many unresolved and ongoing challenges and complexities of Sun/climate relationships can help the scientific community return to a more comprehensive and realistic approach to understanding climate change.”
László Szarka, from the ELKH Institute of Earth Physics and Space Science (Hungary) and also a member of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences:
“This review is a crucial milestone on the way to restoring the scientific definition of ‘climate change’ that has become gradually distorted over the last three decades. The scientific community should finally realize that in science there is no authority or consensus; only the right to seek the truth.”
The science is settled, right?
Well, no, that statement is a lie, and these 23 eminent solar physicists and climate scientists are evidence of that; they are putting their reputations –and in some cases their careers– on the line to share with you their findings.
Help their voices grow louder by spreading their message. Give others in your ‘circle of influence’ –to steal a gross climate change trope— the opportunity to awaken, to discover the true meaning of scientific endeavor; that is, to question everything.
23 Experts in the fields of Solar Physics and Climate Science Contradict the IPCC — the Science is *NOT* Settled
October 17, 2022 Cap AllonA diverse expert panel of global scientists finds blaming climate change mostly on greenhouse gas emissions was premature.
Their findings contradict the IPCC’s conclusion, which the study shows, is grounded in narrow and incomplete data about the Sun’s total solar irradiance (TSI).
Most of the energy in the Earth’s atmosphere comes from the Sun. It has long been recognized that changes in the so-called “total solar irradiance” (TSI), i.e., the amount of energy emitted by the Sun, over the last few centuries, could have contributed substantially to recent climate change. However, this new study found that the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) only considered a small subset of the published TSI datasets when they were assessing the role of the Sun in climate change and that this subset only included “low solar variability” datasets. As a result, the IPCC was premature in ruling out a substantial role for the Sun in recent climate change.
The scientific review article looks at the role the Sun has played in ‘climate change’ over the last 150 years.
It finds that the United Nations’ Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) may have been premature in their conclusion that recent climate change is mostly caused by human greenhouse gas emissions.
The paper, written by 23 experts in the fields of solar physics and of climate science from 14 different countries, is published in the peer-reviewed journal Research in Astronomy and Astrophysics (RAA).
The study, which is the most comprehensive to date, carries out an analysis of the 16 most prominent published solar output datasets, including those used by the IPCC.
The researchers compared them to 26 different estimates of Northern Hemisphere temperature trends since the 19th century (sorted into five categories), including the datasets used by the IPCC.
They focused on the Northern Hemisphere since the available data for the early 20th century and earlier is much more limited for the Southern Hemisphere, but their results can be generalized for global temperatures.
How much has the Sun influenced Northern Hemisphere temperature trends? (click the image to enlarge)
The study found that scientists come to opposite conclusions about the causes of recent climate change depending on which datasets they consider.
For instance, in the graphs above, the panels on the left lead to the conclusion that global temperature changes since the mid-19th century have been mostly due to human-caused emissions, especially carbon dioxide (CO2), i.e., the conclusion reached by the UN IPCC reports.
In contrast, the panels on the right lead to the exact opposite conclusion, i.e., that the global temperature changes since the mid-19th century have been mostly due to natural cycles, chiefly long-term changes in the energy emitted by the Sun.
Both sets of panels are based on published scientific data, but each uses different datasets and assumptions.
On the left, it is assumed that the available temperature records are unaffected by the urban heat island problem, and so all stations are used, whether urban or rural.
On the right, only rural stations are used.
While on the left, solar output is modeled using the low variability dataset that has been chosen for the IPCC’s upcoming (in 2021/2022) 6th Assessment Reports. This implies zero contribution from natural factors to the long-term warming.
On the right, solar output is modeled using a high variability dataset used by the team in charge of NASA’s ACRIM sun-monitoring satellites. This implies that most, if not all, of the long-term temperature changes are due to natural factors.
Dr. Ronan Connolly, lead author of the study, at the Center for Environmental Research and Earth Sciences (CERES):
“The IPCC is mandated to find a consensus on the causes of climate change. I understand the political usefulness of having a consensus view in that it makes things easier for politicians. However, science doesn’t work by consensus. In fact, science thrives best when scientists are allowed to disagree with each other and to investigate the various reasons for disagreement. I fear that by effectively only considering the datasets and studies that support their chosen narrative, the IPCC have seriously hampered scientific progress into genuinely understanding the causes of recent and future climate change. I am particularly disturbed by their inability to satisfactorily explain the rural temperature trends.”
The 72 page review (18 figures, 2 tables and 544 references) explicitly avoided the IPCC’s consensus-driven approach in that the authors agreed to emphasize where dissenting scientific opinions exist as well as where there is scientific agreement.
Indeed, each of the co-authors has different scientific opinions on many of the issues discussed, but they agreed for this paper to fairly present the competing arguments among the scientific community for each of these issues, and let the reader make up their own mind.
Several co-authors spoke of how this process of objectively reviewing the pros and cons of competing scientific arguments for the paper has given them fresh ideas for their own future research. The authors also spoke of how the IPCC reports would have more scientific validity if the IPCC started to adopt this non-consensus driven approach.
The full citation for the study, and indeed the study itself, can be found HERE.
Quotes from some of the other co-authors
Víctor Manuel Velasco Herrera, Professor of Theoretical Physics and Geophysics at the National Autonomous University of Mexico (UNAM) said:“This paper is very special in that all 23 co-authors set aside our research directions and specialties to produce a fair and balanced scientific review on the subject of sun-climate connections that the UN IPCC reports had mostly missed or simply neglected.”
Nicola Scafetta, Professor of Oceanography and Atmospheric Physics at the University of Naples Federico II (Italy):
“The possible contribution of the sun to the 20th-century global warming greatly depends on the specific solar and climatic records that are adopted for the analysis. The issue is crucial because the current claim of the IPCC that the sun has had a negligible effect on the post-industrial climate warming is only based on global circulation model predictions that are compared against climatic records, which are likely affected by non-climatic warming biases (such as those related to the urbanization), and that are produced using solar forcing functions, which are obtained with total solar irradiance records that present the smallest secular variability (while ignoring the solar studies pointing to a much larger solar variability that show also a different modulation that better correlates with the climatic ones). The consequence of such an approach is that the natural component of climate change is minimized, while the anthropogenic one is maximized. Both solar and climate scientists will find the RAA study useful and timely, as it highlights and addresses this very issue.”
Ole Humlum, Emeritus Professor of Physical Geography at the University of Oslo, Norway:
“This study clearly demonstrates the high importance of carefully looking into all aspects of all available data. Obviously, the old saying ‘Nullius in verba’ is still highly relevant in modern climate research.”
Gregory Henry, Senior Research Scientist in Astronomy, from Tennessee State University’s Center of Excellence in Information Systems (U.S.A.):
“During the past three decades, I have acquired highly precise measurements of brightness changes in over 300 Sun-like stars with a fleet of robotic telescopes developed for this purpose. The data show that, as Sun-like stars age, their rotation slows, and thus their magnetic activity and brightness variability decrease. Stars similar in age and mass to our Sun show brightness changes comparable to the Sun’s and would be expected to affect climate change in their own planetary systems.”
Valery M. Fedorov, at the Faculty of Geography in Lomonosov Moscow State University, Russia:
“The study of global climate change critically needs an analytical review of scientific studies of solar radiation variations associated with the Earth’s orbital motion that could help to determine the role and contributions of solar radiation variations of different physical natures to long-term climate changes. This paper steers the scientific priority in the right direction.”
Richard C. Willson, Principal Investigator in charge of NASA’s ACRIM series of Sun-monitoring Total Solar Irradiance satellite experiments (U.S.A.):
“Contrary to the findings of the IPCC, scientific observations in recent decades have demonstrated that there is no ‘climate change crisis’. The concept that’s devolved into the failed CO2 anthropogenic global warming (CAGW) hypothesis is based on the flawed predictions of imprecise 1980’s vintage global circulation models that have failed to match observational data both since and prior to their fabrication.
The Earth’s climate is determined primarily by the radiation it receives from the Sun. The amount of solar radiation the Earth receives has natural variabilities caused by both variations in the intrinsic amount of radiation emitted by the Sun and by variations in the Earth-Sun geometry caused by planetary rotational and orbital variations. Together these natural variations cause the Total Solar Irradiance (TSI) at the Earth to vary cyclically on a number of known periodicities that are synchronized with known past climatic changes.”
WeiJia Zhang, Professor of Physics at Shaoxing University (China) and a Fellow of the Royal Astronomical Society (UK):
“The quest to understand how the Earth’s climate is connected to the Sun is one of the oldest science subjects studied by the ancient Greeks and Chinese. This review paper blows open the mystery and explains why it has been so difficult to make scientific advances so far. It will take the real understanding of fluid dynamics and magnetism on both the Sun and Earth to find the next big leap forward.”
Hong Yan (晏宏), Professor of Geology and Paleoclimatology at the Institute of Earth Environment and Vice Director of the State Key Laboratory of Loess and Quaternary Geology in Xi’an, China:
“Paleoclimate evidence has long been informing us of the large natural variations of local, regional and hemispheric climate on decadal, multidecadal to centennial timescales. This paper will be a great scientific guide on how we can study the broad topic of natural climatic changes from the unique perspective of external forcings by the Sun’s multi-scale and multi-wavelength impacts and responses.”
Ana G. Elias, Director of the Laboratorio de Ionosfera, Atmósfera Neutra y Magnetosfera (LIANM) at the Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Tecnología in the Universidad Nacional de Tucumán (FACET-UNT), Argentina:
“The importance of this work lies in presenting a broader perspective, showing that all the relevant long-term trend climate variability forcings, and not just the anthropogenic ones (as has been done mostly), must be considered. The way in which the role of these forcings is estimated, such as the case of solar and geomagnetic activity, is also important, without minimizing any one in pursuit of another. Even the Earth’s magnetic field could play a role in climate.”
Willie Soon, at the Center for Environmental Research and Earth Sciences (CERES), who also has been researching sun/climate relationships at the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics (U.S.A.) since 1991:
“We know that the Sun is the primary source of energy for the Earth’s atmosphere. So, it always was an obvious potential contributor to recent climate change. My own research over the last 31 years into the behavior of stars that are similar to our Sun, shows that solar variability is the norm, not the exception. For this reason, the Sun’s role in recent climate change should never have been as systematically undermined as it was by the IPCC’s reports. Hopefully, this systematic review of the many unresolved and ongoing challenges and complexities of Sun/climate relationships can help the scientific community return to a more comprehensive and realistic approach to understanding climate change.”
László Szarka, from the ELKH Institute of Earth Physics and Space Science (Hungary) and also a member of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences:
“This review is a crucial milestone on the way to restoring the scientific definition of ‘climate change’ that has become gradually distorted over the last three decades. The scientific community should finally realize that in science there is no authority or consensus; only the right to seek the truth.”
The science is settled, right?
Well, no, that statement is a lie, and these 23 eminent solar physicists and climate scientists are evidence of that; they are putting their reputations –and in some cases their careers– on the line to share with you their findings.
Help their voices grow louder by spreading their message. Give others in your ‘circle of influence’ –to steal a gross climate change trope— the opportunity to awaken, to discover the true meaning of scientific endeavor; that is, to question everything.
TxGal
Day by day
Oh Lord, 20s already! That's terrible...I hate winter, too!!
Great use of fleece, I've found I really like it and have a lot of lengths set aside, too. Even layered they aren't heavy but keep a person warm. There are podcasts out there for making a tie-blanket by laying two pieces on top of each other, cutting several-inch 'strips' into all four sides all the way around, and then tying the strips together - no sewing required. We have one that was given to the cancer patients a few years ago around the holidays, and it's really warm!
Good to see you posting, Martinhouse!
Do you have a current eye exam? If you do, Zenni optical could get you seeing better again for under $50... you just need a copy of your prescription to fill in on their website.
Having *finally* recovered most of my vision after over 18 months of blindness in my left eye (I still get "clouds" occasionally, from the residual blood... they should vanish as well), I understand the frustration of vision issues. I've done very little sewing for a year because rethreading the needle (or worse, the serger!) was impossible. Hubby and DS are always willing to help, but I hate to take them away from their tasks.
Plus, the loft that is my sewing room is in the shop, and is unheated unless we start the woodstove, which I hate to do until we actually need it to heat the apartment. I finally realized we have an old milkhouse heater, and got it out of storage... it heats the area well, making it possible to sit and sew.
It's 43 degrees and pouring rain right now. I'd rather have snow! This is just miserable! Even Maggie, the young Border Collie who spends every waking hour "herding" the horses (she doesn't actually chase them- absolutely not allowed- so she just lies near them in the pasture, alert for any move!), is currently snuggled near me on our big bed!
I'm not looking forward to this winter at all. Where we are now, you never know if you'll get 10 feet of snow... it just depends on the wind direction and how soon the lakes freeze!
Summerthyme
northern watch
TB Fanatic
From my email inbox The Old Farmer's Almanac October 16 2022
Martinhouse
Deceased
Summer, no current eye exam. My glasses are from right after I had cataract surgery in June of 2015. I am WAY OVERDUE for new glasses, but I just can't bring myself to sit in a clinic full of people this time of year...i have really bad lungs and if I catch anything at all, I'm as good as dead. I might do things very slowly nowadays, but there are still lots of things that i need to do, so I'm not ready to be dead yet. Right now my last dying thought would be regret that I left such a horrible mess for my nephew to go through when he takes over my place.
Anyway, I just keep plugging away as best I can and hoping I get most of the important things done.
Anyway, I just keep plugging away as best I can and hoping I get most of the important things done.
Martinhouse
Deceased
Northern watch, I love the Farmer's Almanac pictures you've been posting!
northern watch
TB Fanatic
From my email inbox The Old Farmer's Almanac October 17 2022
northern watch
TB Fanatic
From my email inbox
northern watch
TB Fanatic
Extreme Cold May Trigger Power Blackouts Across New England
BY TYLER DURDENZERO HEDGE
MONDAY, OCT 17, 2022 - 04:40 PM
Last month we informed readers, "New England's Power Crisis Set To Return." Fast forward to today, as US Northeast temperatures steadily decline as heating demand increases, New England power producers warn grid strains are inevitable as natural gas supplies tighten.
New England consists of six states in the US Northeast, Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, and Vermont. The region faces a power crisis every winter because its power grid relies on NatGas and lacks pipeline infrastructure for domestic flows. Over the years, NatGas pipeline infrastructure has been delayed, blocked, or abandoned, which means the region's power-grid operators have to compete in international markets for supplies.
Source: Doomberg
WSJ reported that power-grid operator, ISO New England Inc., warned a colder-than-normal winter "could strain the reliability of the grid and potentially result in the need for rolling blackouts to keep electricity supply and demand in balance."
ISO New England's top executives said if power producers have to increase NatGas deliveries due to severe weather drawing down supplies, it would indicate they would be paying international spot-market purchases.
One major problem is that power producers have limited NatGas storage facilities and lack pipeline capacity reserved mainly by utilities serving homes and businesses. Power producers procure a portion of supplies with fixed-price agreements and mostly rely on spot markets.
We pointed out last year, "New England Is An Energy Crisis Waiting To Happen," and the worsening supply woes in Europe and the world means NatGas spot markets will be elevated through the cold season.
New England had the bright idea to decommission coal, oil, and nuclear generators, leaving the grid exposed to NatGas. New England ISO figures show about 5,200 megawatts of that capacity have retired in the last decade.
The region's power mix changes have left it increasingly reliant on international NatGas spot markets. State governors have asked US Energy Secretary Jennifer Graholm to waive the Jones Act and allow foreign-owned tankers to ship LNG from the US Gulf region.
All of this has led to New England residents facing some of the highest electricity bills in years. Heating season is already underway.
New England ISO expects the grid will be stable if there's a mild-to-moderate winter. However, if there's an extreme cold spell across the Northeast, then grid chaos could unfold:
Extreme Cold May Trigger Power Blackouts Across New England | ZeroHedge
ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero
www.zerohedge.com
northern watch
TB Fanatic
alpha
Veteran Member
Electroverse
Articles
Yesterday, the island logged Surface Mass Balance (SMB) gains never before witnessed during the month of October in data extending back to 1981.
Daily gains of 7+ Gigatons were registered by the Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI) on Monday — unprecedented for the time of year:
[DMI]
Moreover, the season —overall– continues to comfortably track above the 1981-2010 mean:
[DMI]
Greenland, once the poster by for ‘Anthropogenic Global Warming’, is letting the side down.
And undoubtedly, as inconvenient data set after inconvenient data set continues to roll in, the Greenland Ice Sheet will go the same way as Polar Bears and The Great Barrier Reef; that is, swept under the rug, never to be mentioned again, due to their real-world data points continuing to jar with –and potentially upend– The Narrative.
For more:
The face of the Sun is almost blank.
Despite four numbered sunspot groups peppering the surface, they are all small, insignificant and quiet.
As a result, solar activity remains very low:
Quite Sun. These sunspots have simple magnetic fields that pose little threat [SDO/HMI].
This has largely been the story of Solar Cycle 25 so far.
Officially commencing in December, 2019, SC25 –although slightly outperforming its predecessor, SC24– is progressing within the expected range; that is, the cycle is on course to be another historically weak one, markedly lower than SC21, SC22 and SC23:
Solar Cycle 25 progression (green line) compared to 24, 23, 22 & 21 [updated Oct 18, 2022 — solen.info]
Also as predicted, the cycle’s strength appears to be waning somewhat — ‘the curve is flattening’.
This likely means a persisting migraine for the AGW Party, because as has ALWAYS occurred throughout known time, a drop in solar activity coincides with a drop in global temperatures — this correlation is well-established and irrefutable.
Clear to see is just how lackluster the two most recent cycles are proving to be. They are the weakest in more than two centuries:
[
swpc.noaa.gov]
It is fair to conclude that the forecast continuation of the Sun’s slumberous trajectory will continue to impact global temperatures, which, as of Sept, 2022 — the latest data point– are some 0.47C off the 2016 peak and falling, according to the satellites.
“Astronomers have never seen anything quite like it,” reads the opening line of a Dr Tony Phillips’ spaceweather.com article.
On October 9, 2022, Earth-orbiting satellites detected the strongest gamma-ray burst (GRB) in modern history: ‘GRB221009A’. The blast was so strong that it caused electrical currents to flow through the surface of our planet.
Dr. Andrew Klekociuk in Tasmania recorded the effect using an Earth Probe Antenna:
Note: Data from STIX have been flipped (increasing counts go down) to ease comparison of the two waveforms. NWC is a VLF transmitter in Australia.
The blue curve is a signal from Klekociuk’s antenna, which was sensing VLF (very low frequency) currents in the soil at the time of the blast. The orange curve shows the gamma-ray burst recorded by the high-energy STIX telescope on Europe’s Solar Orbiter spacecraft, one of many spacecraft that detected the event — clear to see, the waveforms are an almost perfect match.
“I am a climate scientist at the Australian Antarctic Division–that’s my day job,” says Klekociuk. “VLF is my hobby. I started doing VLF radio measurements in the 1970’s when I was in high school. This is the first time I have detected a gamma-ray burst.”
Klekociuk’s unusual “ham rig” uses Earth itself as a giant antenna. In his back garden he has two metal spikes stuck into the ground 75 meters apart. These are connected to a radio receiver via insulated buried wires.
In recent years, amateur radio operators have been experimenting with this weird kind of antenna to detect VLF radio signals circling our planet in the Earth-ionosphere waveguide. Earth’s crust forms one of the waveguide’s walls, allowing Earth Probe antennas to detect distant transmitters.
“During the gamma-ray burst I detected flickering from multiple stations,” says Klekociuk, who made the below map showing transmission paths illuminated by the GRB:
NWC, VTX3, Mokpo and NML are VLF transmitters Klekociuk monitors using his Earth Probe Antenna. GRB effects were observed for all except NML, which was outside the radiation footprint.
Researchers have known since 1983 that gamma-ray bursts can ionize Earth’s atmosphere and, thus, disturb the great waveguide. This, however, appears to be the first time anyone has recorded the effect using an Earth Probe Antenna.
The outburst on Sunday, October 9 truly did shock astronomers, continues the spaceweather.com article.
Consider this tweet from Phil Evans of the University of Leicester in the immediate aftermath of the burst. Evans, who works with data from NASA’s Swift gamma-ray observatory, adds that the overflowing signal actually broke some of his plotting software.
Phil Evans
@swift_phil
Swift detected a GRB yesterday. It's bright. Really bright. Like, stupidly really bright. It turns out my analysis codes weren't really built for things this bright...UKSSDC | GRB 221009A | Swift-XRT light curve repository
10:54 AM · Oct 10, 2022
https://twitter.com/intent/like?ref...4576widget=Tweet&tweet_id=1579485506475544576
Researchers have now pinpointed the origin of the burst.
It came from a dusty galaxy some 2.4 billion light years away, almost certainly triggered by a supernova explosion.
This is actually the closest GRB ever recorded, accounting, at least in part, for its extreme intensity.
The afterglow of GRB 221009A, about an hour after it was first detected. [NASA/Swift … more]
“In our research group, we’ve been referring to this burst as the ‘BOAT’, the Brightest Of All Time, because when you look at the thousands of bursts gamma-ray telescopes have been detecting since the 1990s, this one stands apart,” says Jillian Rastinejad, an astronomer at Northwestern University who has been monitoring the burst’s afterglow using the Gemini South Telescope in Chile.
Record October Ice Gains On Greenland; Low Solar Activity Persists; + Unprecedented Gamma-Ray Burst “Made Currents Flow In The Earth”
October 18, 2022 Cap AllonRecord October Ice Gains On Greenland
Continuing the trend reversal that began in 2013, Greenland’s ice sheet has started the 2022-2023 season in comparatively impressive fashion.Yesterday, the island logged Surface Mass Balance (SMB) gains never before witnessed during the month of October in data extending back to 1981.
Daily gains of 7+ Gigatons were registered by the Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI) on Monday — unprecedented for the time of year:
[DMI]
Moreover, the season —overall– continues to comfortably track above the 1981-2010 mean:
[DMI]
Greenland, once the poster by for ‘Anthropogenic Global Warming’, is letting the side down.
And undoubtedly, as inconvenient data set after inconvenient data set continues to roll in, the Greenland Ice Sheet will go the same way as Polar Bears and The Great Barrier Reef; that is, swept under the rug, never to be mentioned again, due to their real-world data points continuing to jar with –and potentially upend– The Narrative.
For more:
Low Solar Activity Persists
The face of the Sun is almost blank.Despite four numbered sunspot groups peppering the surface, they are all small, insignificant and quiet.
As a result, solar activity remains very low:
Quite Sun. These sunspots have simple magnetic fields that pose little threat [SDO/HMI].
This has largely been the story of Solar Cycle 25 so far.
Officially commencing in December, 2019, SC25 –although slightly outperforming its predecessor, SC24– is progressing within the expected range; that is, the cycle is on course to be another historically weak one, markedly lower than SC21, SC22 and SC23:
Solar Cycle 25 progression (green line) compared to 24, 23, 22 & 21 [updated Oct 18, 2022 — solen.info]
Also as predicted, the cycle’s strength appears to be waning somewhat — ‘the curve is flattening’.
This likely means a persisting migraine for the AGW Party, because as has ALWAYS occurred throughout known time, a drop in solar activity coincides with a drop in global temperatures — this correlation is well-established and irrefutable.
Clear to see is just how lackluster the two most recent cycles are proving to be. They are the weakest in more than two centuries:
[swpc.noaa.gov]
It is fair to conclude that the forecast continuation of the Sun’s slumberous trajectory will continue to impact global temperatures, which, as of Sept, 2022 — the latest data point– are some 0.47C off the 2016 peak and falling, according to the satellites.
Unprecedented Gamma-Ray Burst “Made Currents Flow In The Earth”
“Astronomers have never seen anything quite like it,” reads the opening line of a Dr Tony Phillips’ spaceweather.com article.On October 9, 2022, Earth-orbiting satellites detected the strongest gamma-ray burst (GRB) in modern history: ‘GRB221009A’. The blast was so strong that it caused electrical currents to flow through the surface of our planet.
Dr. Andrew Klekociuk in Tasmania recorded the effect using an Earth Probe Antenna:
Note: Data from STIX have been flipped (increasing counts go down) to ease comparison of the two waveforms. NWC is a VLF transmitter in Australia.
The blue curve is a signal from Klekociuk’s antenna, which was sensing VLF (very low frequency) currents in the soil at the time of the blast. The orange curve shows the gamma-ray burst recorded by the high-energy STIX telescope on Europe’s Solar Orbiter spacecraft, one of many spacecraft that detected the event — clear to see, the waveforms are an almost perfect match.
“I am a climate scientist at the Australian Antarctic Division–that’s my day job,” says Klekociuk. “VLF is my hobby. I started doing VLF radio measurements in the 1970’s when I was in high school. This is the first time I have detected a gamma-ray burst.”
Klekociuk’s unusual “ham rig” uses Earth itself as a giant antenna. In his back garden he has two metal spikes stuck into the ground 75 meters apart. These are connected to a radio receiver via insulated buried wires.
In recent years, amateur radio operators have been experimenting with this weird kind of antenna to detect VLF radio signals circling our planet in the Earth-ionosphere waveguide. Earth’s crust forms one of the waveguide’s walls, allowing Earth Probe antennas to detect distant transmitters.
“During the gamma-ray burst I detected flickering from multiple stations,” says Klekociuk, who made the below map showing transmission paths illuminated by the GRB:
NWC, VTX3, Mokpo and NML are VLF transmitters Klekociuk monitors using his Earth Probe Antenna. GRB effects were observed for all except NML, which was outside the radiation footprint.
Researchers have known since 1983 that gamma-ray bursts can ionize Earth’s atmosphere and, thus, disturb the great waveguide. This, however, appears to be the first time anyone has recorded the effect using an Earth Probe Antenna.
The outburst on Sunday, October 9 truly did shock astronomers, continues the spaceweather.com article.
Consider this tweet from Phil Evans of the University of Leicester in the immediate aftermath of the burst. Evans, who works with data from NASA’s Swift gamma-ray observatory, adds that the overflowing signal actually broke some of his plotting software.
Phil Evans
@swift_phil
Swift detected a GRB yesterday. It's bright. Really bright. Like, stupidly really bright. It turns out my analysis codes weren't really built for things this bright...UKSSDC | GRB 221009A | Swift-XRT light curve repository
10:54 AM · Oct 10, 2022
https://twitter.com/intent/like?ref...4576widget=Tweet&tweet_id=1579485506475544576
Researchers have now pinpointed the origin of the burst.
It came from a dusty galaxy some 2.4 billion light years away, almost certainly triggered by a supernova explosion.
This is actually the closest GRB ever recorded, accounting, at least in part, for its extreme intensity.
The afterglow of GRB 221009A, about an hour after it was first detected. [NASA/Swift … more]
“In our research group, we’ve been referring to this burst as the ‘BOAT’, the Brightest Of All Time, because when you look at the thousands of bursts gamma-ray telescopes have been detecting since the 1990s, this one stands apart,” says Jillian Rastinejad, an astronomer at Northwestern University who has been monitoring the burst’s afterglow using the Gemini South Telescope in Chile.
I wonder if you could arrange with an optometrist to be their first patient... explain that you are immune compromised (most folks your age are, just from natural aging) and have bad lungs, but *really* need an exam. It's SO much harder to get stuff done when you can't see well, and it can be a hazard for you as well. Praying for you!
Summerthyme
Martinhouse
Deceased
I've already been told I could make an appointment at a doctor's office for the first slot on a Monday morning to be checked to see if I qualify for oxygen. So I imagine I could do the same for an eye exam. Right now it's a matter of my rush to get things done before cold weather starts, so I've been putting them off, and also that I will need to save up enough money somehow, as there is always lots to pay even with Medicare/Medicaid picking up part of the cost.
Also, I'm not sure if I could drive as far as I'd need to for either appointment and I certainly couldn't drive back home for hours after an eye exam! There's no one I can ask to drive me and there is no rural taxi service here, even if I could afford to use it.
Guess I'll just have to let it work itself out. In the end, it always does, one way or another.
Also, I'm not sure if I could drive as far as I'd need to for either appointment and I certainly couldn't drive back home for hours after an eye exam! There's no one I can ask to drive me and there is no rural taxi service here, even if I could afford to use it.
Guess I'll just have to let it work itself out. In the end, it always does, one way or another.
Last edited:
Is there any sort of resources for aging folks in your area? In NY, each county has an Office of the Aging (or similar), and they can help with transportation and other issues. It might be worth looking into... maybe start by looking for the Department of Social Services, and see what they can tell you.
Summerthyme
Martinhouse
Deceased
I think if I make any appointments, I'll just have to drive myself, no matter the difficulties. Just my luck I'd get a ride with a driver who had a runny nose and was coughing and sneezing. Probably paranoid of me, but I think my paranoia is mainly what's been keeping from getting any seasonal illnesses by my self-quarantining the last couple of decades during flu season...and I just extended it to a year-round thing when Covid came along.
Sigh. I guess for me it's the "time to live and a time to die" thing. I just wish my eyes hadn't gotten so bad so quickly. But I'm not shrugging off any of your suggestions...I'll definitely use them in planning what I eventually end up deciding to do.
Sigh. I guess for me it's the "time to live and a time to die" thing. I just wish my eyes hadn't gotten so bad so quickly. But I'm not shrugging off any of your suggestions...I'll definitely use them in planning what I eventually end up deciding to do.
one4freedom
Senior Member
If you are real ambitious and don't mind lots of trial and error you can get a UCANSEE lens kit off ebay or similar brand and test your own eyes. I had my eyes tested at a place which cost $145 but wouldn't buy their horrendously expensive glasses. With their prescription, I ordered a couple of pairs from Zenni where I have had good luck several times before. I spent almost two hundred for the two pairs instead of seven hundred for single pair. However I couldn't see very good with them. I bought this UCANSEE kit and found that the prescription from the eye doctor was way off on astigmatism and power. I downloaded and printed a chart then tested my own eyes. I ordered a pair and they were as good as I usually get from eye doctors or better. The problem with Zenni or places like that is that the frames require measurements that you need to get, like measuring your old glasses. Zenni also will need the pupillary distance which is almost never included on a prescription as they don't want you to go somewhere else for glasses. I have poor eye sight so your glasses will likely be cheaper then mine usually are. As I get older I am getting less near sighted, so I end up getting new glasses every few to several years. Even if the eye test is only fifty bucks the eye test kit will pay for itself for me. And being able to figure out that the eye doctor and the previous one were doing a poor job or that they were deliberately giving me a bad prescription was worth it.
alpha
Veteran Member
Electroverse
Extreme Weather
Russian scientists, in the relevant fields, have long predicted cooling due to low solar activity. Russia knows where global temperatures are headed. It could be argued that their recent geopolitical maneuverings are tied to this.
“The Sun defines the climate, not carbon dioxide,” so says eminent Russian space scientist, Habibullo Abdussamatov (Dr. Sc. – Head of Space research laboratory of the Pulkovo Observatory).
Observations of the Sun show that carbon dioxide is “not guilty” for the steady increase in temperature observed over the past few decades, he continues, and that what lies ahead in the coming years is not warming but a global and very prolonged bout of cooling.
“We should fear a deep temperature drop — not catastrophic global warming,” warns Abdussamatov, who was one of the researchers featured in the 2009 U.S. Senate Report of More Than 700 Dissenting Scientists Over Man-Made Global Warming.
“Humanity must survive the serious economic, social, demographic and political consequences of a global temperature drop, which will directly affect the national interests of almost all countries and more than 80% of the population of the Earth.”
Abdussamatov (2012) … for more.
Although the most prominent, Abdussamatov is far from the only Russian scientist forecasting cooling.
Alexander Makarov, director of the Arctic and Antarctic Research Institute, told reporters this week that lower air temperatures and much larger volumes of ice are expected in the Arctic over the coming years.
“According to certain estimations, before 2050, ice in the Arctic will remain 100%,” he said. “Moreover, the forecasts say we are entering a stage of certain chilling, which is related to the 70-year chilling-warming cycle. In fact, within a few years, the situation along the Northern Sea Route will change rather substantially.”
Answering claims of so-called ‘catastrophic anthropogenic global warming’, Makarov points out that ice conditions are not changing as unambiguously as the models foretold, noting that there is no linear decrease in ice.
“This year, at the end of August, we saw more ice in the Chukchi Sea — to the highest levels in over 20 years,” added Makarov.
Across Europe, governments are scrambling to prevent blackouts this winter. But success will largely be determined by the weather.
Western analysts say Putin is hoping for a cold winter after cutting Russian gas exports to Europe.
Another cold season, like that suffered in 2010/2011 or something akin to 2018’s “Beast from the East”, would likely result in untold hardships that could weaken EU resolve in the Ukraine.
“Europeans will go through the worst of it this winter,” said Eliot A. Cohen, a war historian and security expert at the the Center for Strategic and International Studies at Johns Hopkins University.
In recent months, nations have slashed their gas consumption in order to save supplies for winter. Europe has been racing to fill up its strategic reserves, buying in extra supplies at record prices from the likes of Algeria, Qatar, Norway and the United States.
The measures have worked. As it stands, EU stocks are at around 90% capacity: “Europe is well-placed to go through the winter under normal weather conditions,” said Alireza Nahvi, a research associate at Wood Mackenzie.
Seasonal weather forecasts have become unusually important.
Europe’s Copernicus Climate Change Service says it’s still too early to make confident predictions re. the upcoming winter; in the same breath, though, the service adds that initial indications suggest that it will be warm overall. It must be noted, however: this government-funded agency uses data from the likes of the ‘warm-mongering’ UK Met Office and Météo-France, meaning anything it says should be taken with a handful of salt. Much like USDA crop reports, the aim of this Copernicus is to settle markets and push an agenda, not to roil them with unwanted realities.
To conclude, a winter with average temperatures combined with a gas reduction of 9% should see Europe make it through the winter months without any major disruptions, so says the International Energy Agency (IEA), a consultancy financed by Western nations, who recently ran the numbers.
However, if the continent suffers a winter that is colder-than-average, even slightly, that will put immense pressure on the gas system,” cautions Gergely Molnar, an IEA gas analyst, with brownouts/blackouts during the coldest stretches of the year likely.
And while the AGW Party and their MSM lapdogs point to the pocket of heat in the Northwest and declare a ‘cLiMaTe EmErGeNcY’, the fact remains that a bout of record-breaking, unprecedented cold is sweeping two-thirds of the CONUS.
Over the past 24-hours alone, hundreds of low temperature benchmarks have been busted:
Rather than evidence of CO2-induced ‘cLiMaTe ChAnGe’, however, North America’s current setup demonstrates a low solar activity-induced weakening of the jet stream — from its straight ZONAL flow to a wavy MERIDIONAL one:
‘Swings between extremes‘ become the predominant feature during bouts of reduced solar output, with your ‘extreme’ determined by which ‘side’ of the jet stream you’re on: If you’re located ‘above’ the JS, you’re on for record-challenging cold dragged down from the Arctic, whereas if you’re ‘under’ it, you’re set for anomalous heat pulled up from the tropics (in the NH).
What alarmists call ‘cLiMaTe ChAnGe’ can be fully explained by this mechanism — a wavy jet stream exaggerated by low solar activity:
This setup will be the driving force of America’s weather next week, too.
Looking at the latest GFS run (shown below), the Northwest’s anomalous heat is about to ‘swing’ to record-challenging cold, cold that will also extend to central and eastern regions of the CONUS as the month progresses and Halloween nears:
GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) Oct 24 – Oct 29 [tropicaltidbits.com].
The early-season snow totals are just as impressive, with feet forecast for states such as Montana, Wyoming, Utah and Colorado:
GFS Total Snowfall (inches) Oct 19 – Nov 4 [tropicaltidbits.com].
Winter is here for many.
I hope you heeded the warnings and prepared.
The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING in line with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among many other forcings, including the impending release of the Beaufort Gyre).
Russian Scientists Forecast Cooling, Thicker Ice Over The Coming Years; Putin Is Hoping For A Cold Winter; + Hundreds Of Low Temperature Records Fall Across The U.S.
October 19, 2022 Cap AllonRussian scientists, in the relevant fields, have long predicted cooling due to low solar activity. Russia knows where global temperatures are headed. It could be argued that their recent geopolitical maneuverings are tied to this.
“The Sun defines the climate, not carbon dioxide,” so says eminent Russian space scientist, Habibullo Abdussamatov (Dr. Sc. – Head of Space research laboratory of the Pulkovo Observatory).
Observations of the Sun show that carbon dioxide is “not guilty” for the steady increase in temperature observed over the past few decades, he continues, and that what lies ahead in the coming years is not warming but a global and very prolonged bout of cooling.
“We should fear a deep temperature drop — not catastrophic global warming,” warns Abdussamatov, who was one of the researchers featured in the 2009 U.S. Senate Report of More Than 700 Dissenting Scientists Over Man-Made Global Warming.
“Humanity must survive the serious economic, social, demographic and political consequences of a global temperature drop, which will directly affect the national interests of almost all countries and more than 80% of the population of the Earth.”
Abdussamatov (2012) … for more.
Although the most prominent, Abdussamatov is far from the only Russian scientist forecasting cooling.
Alexander Makarov, director of the Arctic and Antarctic Research Institute, told reporters this week that lower air temperatures and much larger volumes of ice are expected in the Arctic over the coming years.
“According to certain estimations, before 2050, ice in the Arctic will remain 100%,” he said. “Moreover, the forecasts say we are entering a stage of certain chilling, which is related to the 70-year chilling-warming cycle. In fact, within a few years, the situation along the Northern Sea Route will change rather substantially.”
Answering claims of so-called ‘catastrophic anthropogenic global warming’, Makarov points out that ice conditions are not changing as unambiguously as the models foretold, noting that there is no linear decrease in ice.
“This year, at the end of August, we saw more ice in the Chukchi Sea — to the highest levels in over 20 years,” added Makarov.
Putin Is Hoping For A Cold Winter
Across Europe, governments are scrambling to prevent blackouts this winter. But success will largely be determined by the weather.Western analysts say Putin is hoping for a cold winter after cutting Russian gas exports to Europe.
Another cold season, like that suffered in 2010/2011 or something akin to 2018’s “Beast from the East”, would likely result in untold hardships that could weaken EU resolve in the Ukraine.
“Europeans will go through the worst of it this winter,” said Eliot A. Cohen, a war historian and security expert at the the Center for Strategic and International Studies at Johns Hopkins University.
In recent months, nations have slashed their gas consumption in order to save supplies for winter. Europe has been racing to fill up its strategic reserves, buying in extra supplies at record prices from the likes of Algeria, Qatar, Norway and the United States.
The measures have worked. As it stands, EU stocks are at around 90% capacity: “Europe is well-placed to go through the winter under normal weather conditions,” said Alireza Nahvi, a research associate at Wood Mackenzie.
Seasonal weather forecasts have become unusually important.
Europe’s Copernicus Climate Change Service says it’s still too early to make confident predictions re. the upcoming winter; in the same breath, though, the service adds that initial indications suggest that it will be warm overall. It must be noted, however: this government-funded agency uses data from the likes of the ‘warm-mongering’ UK Met Office and Météo-France, meaning anything it says should be taken with a handful of salt. Much like USDA crop reports, the aim of this Copernicus is to settle markets and push an agenda, not to roil them with unwanted realities.
To conclude, a winter with average temperatures combined with a gas reduction of 9% should see Europe make it through the winter months without any major disruptions, so says the International Energy Agency (IEA), a consultancy financed by Western nations, who recently ran the numbers.
However, if the continent suffers a winter that is colder-than-average, even slightly, that will put immense pressure on the gas system,” cautions Gergely Molnar, an IEA gas analyst, with brownouts/blackouts during the coldest stretches of the year likely.
Hundreds Of Low Temperature Records Fall Across The U.S.
As predicted —nailed a week ago by the GFS— a truly fierce Arctic outbreak has gripped much of the United States.And while the AGW Party and their MSM lapdogs point to the pocket of heat in the Northwest and declare a ‘cLiMaTe EmErGeNcY’, the fact remains that a bout of record-breaking, unprecedented cold is sweeping two-thirds of the CONUS.
Over the past 24-hours alone, hundreds of low temperature benchmarks have been busted:
Rather than evidence of CO2-induced ‘cLiMaTe ChAnGe’, however, North America’s current setup demonstrates a low solar activity-induced weakening of the jet stream — from its straight ZONAL flow to a wavy MERIDIONAL one:
‘Swings between extremes‘ become the predominant feature during bouts of reduced solar output, with your ‘extreme’ determined by which ‘side’ of the jet stream you’re on: If you’re located ‘above’ the JS, you’re on for record-challenging cold dragged down from the Arctic, whereas if you’re ‘under’ it, you’re set for anomalous heat pulled up from the tropics (in the NH).
What alarmists call ‘cLiMaTe ChAnGe’ can be fully explained by this mechanism — a wavy jet stream exaggerated by low solar activity:
This setup will be the driving force of America’s weather next week, too.
Looking at the latest GFS run (shown below), the Northwest’s anomalous heat is about to ‘swing’ to record-challenging cold, cold that will also extend to central and eastern regions of the CONUS as the month progresses and Halloween nears:
GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) Oct 24 – Oct 29 [tropicaltidbits.com].
The early-season snow totals are just as impressive, with feet forecast for states such as Montana, Wyoming, Utah and Colorado:
GFS Total Snowfall (inches) Oct 19 – Nov 4 [tropicaltidbits.com].
Winter is here for many.
I hope you heeded the warnings and prepared.
The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING in line with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among many other forcings, including the impending release of the Beaufort Gyre).
TxGal
Day by day
Martinhouse, how are you doing up there?
We hit 30 this morning, colder than what was forecasted, although I didn't see any sign of freeze or frost so it must not have been that cold for very long.
Martinhouse
Deceased
TxGal, I'm not sure if it got to 26 as predicted for last night but it was rather nippy in my kitchen when I finally woke up around 9 AM. (Got 4 hours of sleep - Yay!)
I feed the cats first thing so I was outdoors soon after that and I sat for a few minutes right in the early sun and it was wonderfully warm. I do this every chance I get and push up my sleeves to soak up a few minutes of light for hopefully a bit of Vit. D
I'll have to check later to see if a few volunteer potatoes I forgot to pull were frozen. I'm pretty sure the plants look like cook spinach by now!
I feed the cats first thing so I was outdoors soon after that and I sat for a few minutes right in the early sun and it was wonderfully warm. I do this every chance I get and push up my sleeves to soak up a few minutes of light for hopefully a bit of Vit. D
I'll have to check later to see if a few volunteer potatoes I forgot to pull were frozen. I'm pretty sure the plants look like cook spinach by now!
Martinhouse
Deceased
Digger, thanks for that report. I think we, after all, did not get down to 25, as predicted,
It is always colder where I am, somewhat NE of Dover, but the cats' water bowl was not frozen over, and that tells me we likely didn't get much below 30 right here.
It is always colder where I am, somewhat NE of Dover, but the cats' water bowl was not frozen over, and that tells me we likely didn't get much below 30 right here.
alpha
Veteran Member
Electroverse
Extreme Weather
Descending Arctic air triggered frosts as far south as the Gulf of Mexico, and within that mass of air, a myriad of remarkable temperature values were observed, including the 21F at Des Moines, Iowa, which busted its previous Oct 18 record from 1972.
Record lows of 10F were logged in Le Mars and Sheldon, Iowa; Omaha, Nebraska suffered its earliest 16F in recorded history; Springfield, Missouri registered its earliest-ever 21F; Montgomery, Alabama saw 32F, its earliest frost on record; Augusta, Georgia noted its earliest 30F; while Tulsa, Oklahoma clocked its earliest 26F ever recorded — to name just a handful.
Many, many more temperature records fell — the below graphic visualizes those that tumbled over the past 24-hours alone:
Accompanying the early-season freeze has been record-breaking snowfall.
Serving as just one example, historic totals were registered across parts of Michigan’s Upper Peninsula this week. The heavy snow ranged from 6 to 21 inches and set, according to the National Weather Service, two new snowfall records in Marquette.
Tuesday’s totals (of 9.1 inches) set a new benchmark for Oct 18 at the NWS office, while the combined snowfall over Oct 17 and Oct 18 (at 18 inches) has been confirmed as a new all-time record for a two-day snow event during the month of October.
On average, just 5 inches falls in and around Marquette during the month of October.
Moreover: “The 18 inches has vaulted this month to its third-snowiest October on record behind 1979 (18.6 inches) and 2020 (22.1 inches),” said the FOX Forecast Center, with almost two weeks left to run! — the COLD TIMES are returning.
Impressive accumulations were noted ACROSS the UP, not just Marquette: Herman received 16 inches; Three Lakes logged 20.2 inches; Champion saw 17 inches; and Mountain Lake measured 15.6 inches — incredibly rare, record-busting totals for October.
The early-season winter storms also knocked out the power to 30,000 homes across Michigan–and across northern Wisconsin, too. The majority of those customers were eventually reconnected, but at a slower pace than usual given the lingering inclement conditions that made it too dangerous for utility workers.
The scene in Herman, MI this week.
The snow wasn’t just confined to Michigan, of course.
Chicago, Illinois also officially registered its first snowfall of the 2022-23 season this week.
The NWS reported a trace at O’Hare Airport on Mon, Oct 17, and notes that the average date Chicago sees its first traces of snow is usually Oct 31, meaning ‘winter’ in the Windy City has arrived some two weeks ahead of schedule.
Elsewhere, Cincinnati, Ohio also saw snow. A trace was recorded at CVG airport –the city’s official weather station– which, according to the NWS, was among the earliest snowfalls on record, rivaling that of Oct 11, 1905 and Oct 12, 1921.
This week’s snow might actually have been the earliest-ever recorded; as pointed out by a National Weather Service employee in Wilmington, and just to confuse matters, ‘hail’ is grouped in with snow in the historical record books.
Looking ahead, a more encompassing polar outbreak is about to sweep the CONUS beginning this weekend — one that will almost certainly see snow returning to Western Washington, among other locales.
The NWS says snow levels will drop to 3,000 feet Saturday night through Sunday morning across Washington, meaning flakes are set to fly around places like Stevens Pass, Mount Baker, Paradise, and The Olympics.
The AGW Party has milked this ‘catastrophic heat season’ (aka summer) for all it’s worth; but now it’s time for a taste of the polar opposite. The NWS is warning residents of the West that now is the time to prepare for potentially disruptive, winter-like weather.
GFS Total Snowfall (inches) Oct 20 – Nov 5 [tropicaltidbits.com].
In addition, the North American continent is about to experience something of a ‘swing between extreme‘.
This week, the East has suffered fierce cold while the Northwest has enjoyed out-of-season warmth. Next week, however, a ‘looping’ jet stream will ‘flip’ these region. By Monday, it will be the West’s turn to reside ‘above’ a southerly plunging jet–making it subject to descending Arctic air; with the East, at least for a day or two, residing ‘below’ a northerly-buckling pattern–seeing it engulfed by a brief burst of anomalous warmth:
‘Swing between extremes’: East goes from record cold to warmth; West goes from warmth to record cold.
GFS 2m Temp Anomalies (C) Oct 24 [tropicaltidbits.com].
The East’s ‘reds’ will immediately be replaced by yet more ‘blues’, however, as the West’s Arctic front expands:
GFS 2m Temp Anomalies (C) Oct 24 – Oct 28 [tropicaltidbits.com].
For more on the climatic mechanics behind all this –and the connection to low solar activity– see yesterday’s article:
And/or this:
Summer Frosts In The Highlands Of Portugal & Spain, As Record Heat Sweeps Italy: Low Solar Activity & A ‘Meridional’ Jet Stream, Explained
The AGW hypothesis can confidently explain Central Europe’s heatwave; but it fails when it comes to Western Europe’s simultaneous summer freeze. A new theory is needed: ‘low solar activity’.
Siberia and Eastern Asia has had a torrid time of it over the past few months — historic cold has lingered.
This week, a fresh cold spell is gripping the region–most notably far-Eastern Asia.
Temperatures dropped to as low as -8C (17.6F) in North Korea, and -4C (24.8F) in South Korea and rare frosts dominated even at low elevations.
Following what was a colder-than-average winter –record-breakingly cold for some locales, such as Brisbane— ‘tails’ of polar air continue to be whipped off the Antarctic ice sheet and flung unusually-far north (over New Zealand and South America, too).
Even into November, the GFS is forecasting truly exceptionally gelid outbreaks spilling into even northern Australia.
Although admittedly in the unreliable time-frame, just look at what the models are suggesting could hit Nov 2 and 3:
GFS 2m Temp Anomalies (C) Oct 31 – Nov 3 [tropicaltidbits.com].
Stay tuned for updates.
The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING in line with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among many other forcings, including the impending release of the Beaufort Gyre).
Hundreds *More* Low-Temp/Snow Records Fall Across Eastern U.S.; Cold Wave Grips East Asia; + Spring Still Refuses To ‘Sprung’ In Australia
October 20, 2022 Cap AllonHundreds *More* Low-Temp/Snow Records Fall Across Eastern U.S.
From Michigan to Kentucky, the first snows of the season have been registered; and across the U.S., 28 states have been put under frost and freeze alerts this week as record-setting cold moved in, from Colorado to New York.Descending Arctic air triggered frosts as far south as the Gulf of Mexico, and within that mass of air, a myriad of remarkable temperature values were observed, including the 21F at Des Moines, Iowa, which busted its previous Oct 18 record from 1972.
Record lows of 10F were logged in Le Mars and Sheldon, Iowa; Omaha, Nebraska suffered its earliest 16F in recorded history; Springfield, Missouri registered its earliest-ever 21F; Montgomery, Alabama saw 32F, its earliest frost on record; Augusta, Georgia noted its earliest 30F; while Tulsa, Oklahoma clocked its earliest 26F ever recorded — to name just a handful.
Many, many more temperature records fell — the below graphic visualizes those that tumbled over the past 24-hours alone:
Accompanying the early-season freeze has been record-breaking snowfall.
Serving as just one example, historic totals were registered across parts of Michigan’s Upper Peninsula this week. The heavy snow ranged from 6 to 21 inches and set, according to the National Weather Service, two new snowfall records in Marquette.
Tuesday’s totals (of 9.1 inches) set a new benchmark for Oct 18 at the NWS office, while the combined snowfall over Oct 17 and Oct 18 (at 18 inches) has been confirmed as a new all-time record for a two-day snow event during the month of October.
On average, just 5 inches falls in and around Marquette during the month of October.
Moreover: “The 18 inches has vaulted this month to its third-snowiest October on record behind 1979 (18.6 inches) and 2020 (22.1 inches),” said the FOX Forecast Center, with almost two weeks left to run! — the COLD TIMES are returning.
Impressive accumulations were noted ACROSS the UP, not just Marquette: Herman received 16 inches; Three Lakes logged 20.2 inches; Champion saw 17 inches; and Mountain Lake measured 15.6 inches — incredibly rare, record-busting totals for October.
The early-season winter storms also knocked out the power to 30,000 homes across Michigan–and across northern Wisconsin, too. The majority of those customers were eventually reconnected, but at a slower pace than usual given the lingering inclement conditions that made it too dangerous for utility workers.
The scene in Herman, MI this week.
The snow wasn’t just confined to Michigan, of course.
Chicago, Illinois also officially registered its first snowfall of the 2022-23 season this week.
The NWS reported a trace at O’Hare Airport on Mon, Oct 17, and notes that the average date Chicago sees its first traces of snow is usually Oct 31, meaning ‘winter’ in the Windy City has arrived some two weeks ahead of schedule.
Elsewhere, Cincinnati, Ohio also saw snow. A trace was recorded at CVG airport –the city’s official weather station– which, according to the NWS, was among the earliest snowfalls on record, rivaling that of Oct 11, 1905 and Oct 12, 1921.
This week’s snow might actually have been the earliest-ever recorded; as pointed out by a National Weather Service employee in Wilmington, and just to confuse matters, ‘hail’ is grouped in with snow in the historical record books.
Looking ahead, a more encompassing polar outbreak is about to sweep the CONUS beginning this weekend — one that will almost certainly see snow returning to Western Washington, among other locales.
The NWS says snow levels will drop to 3,000 feet Saturday night through Sunday morning across Washington, meaning flakes are set to fly around places like Stevens Pass, Mount Baker, Paradise, and The Olympics.
The AGW Party has milked this ‘catastrophic heat season’ (aka summer) for all it’s worth; but now it’s time for a taste of the polar opposite. The NWS is warning residents of the West that now is the time to prepare for potentially disruptive, winter-like weather.
GFS Total Snowfall (inches) Oct 20 – Nov 5 [tropicaltidbits.com].
In addition, the North American continent is about to experience something of a ‘swing between extreme‘.
This week, the East has suffered fierce cold while the Northwest has enjoyed out-of-season warmth. Next week, however, a ‘looping’ jet stream will ‘flip’ these region. By Monday, it will be the West’s turn to reside ‘above’ a southerly plunging jet–making it subject to descending Arctic air; with the East, at least for a day or two, residing ‘below’ a northerly-buckling pattern–seeing it engulfed by a brief burst of anomalous warmth:
‘Swing between extremes’: East goes from record cold to warmth; West goes from warmth to record cold.
GFS 2m Temp Anomalies (C) Oct 24 [tropicaltidbits.com].
The East’s ‘reds’ will immediately be replaced by yet more ‘blues’, however, as the West’s Arctic front expands:
GFS 2m Temp Anomalies (C) Oct 24 – Oct 28 [tropicaltidbits.com].
For more on the climatic mechanics behind all this –and the connection to low solar activity– see yesterday’s article:
And/or this:
Summer Frosts In The Highlands Of Portugal & Spain, As Record Heat Sweeps Italy: Low Solar Activity & A ‘Meridional’ Jet Stream, Explained
The AGW hypothesis can confidently explain Central Europe’s heatwave; but it fails when it comes to Western Europe’s simultaneous summer freeze. A new theory is needed: ‘low solar activity’.
Cold Wave Grips East Asia
Siberia and Eastern Asia has had a torrid time of it over the past few months — historic cold has lingered.This week, a fresh cold spell is gripping the region–most notably far-Eastern Asia.
Temperatures dropped to as low as -8C (17.6F) in North Korea, and -4C (24.8F) in South Korea and rare frosts dominated even at low elevations.
Spring Still Refuses To ‘Sprung’ In Australia
Spring is still refusing to sprung across much of the Aussie continent.Following what was a colder-than-average winter –record-breakingly cold for some locales, such as Brisbane— ‘tails’ of polar air continue to be whipped off the Antarctic ice sheet and flung unusually-far north (over New Zealand and South America, too).
Even into November, the GFS is forecasting truly exceptionally gelid outbreaks spilling into even northern Australia.
Although admittedly in the unreliable time-frame, just look at what the models are suggesting could hit Nov 2 and 3:
GFS 2m Temp Anomalies (C) Oct 31 – Nov 3 [tropicaltidbits.com].
Stay tuned for updates.
The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING in line with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among many other forcings, including the impending release of the Beaufort Gyre).
northern watch
TB Fanatic
Winter Is Coming: Europe’s Deep Freeze of 1709
WHITEOUT
Deadly snow and ice paralyzed Europe in 1709. Anonymous 18th-century painting from the Castello Sforzesco, Milan
PHOTOGRAPH BY MONDADORI/ALBUM
In the first months of 1709, Europe froze and stayed that way for months. People ice-skated on the canals of Venice, church bells broke when rung, and travelers could cross the Baltic Sea on horseback. This freakish winter ultimately claimed the lives of a vast number of Europeans and disrupted two major wars—but to this day, there is no conclusive theory for its cause.
BYJUAN JOSÉ SÁNCHEZ ARRESEIGOR
This story appears in the January/February 2017 issue of National Geographic History magazine.
It happened literally overnight in the first few days of 1709. On January 5, temperatures plummeted—not, perhaps, a surprise in European winter. But 1709 was no ordinary cold snap. Dawn broke the next morning on a continent that had frozen over from Italy to Scandinavia and from England to Russia, and would not warm up again for the next three months. During the worst winter in 500 years, extreme cold followed by food shortages caused hundreds of thousands of deaths in France alone, froze lagoons in the Mediterranean, and changed the course of a war. Shivering in England, the scholar William Derham wrote: “I believe the Frost was greater ... than any other within the Memory of Man.”
French Freeze
The country most affected by the terrible cold was undoubtedly France. The year 1709 had already started badly. French peasants had been hit by poor harvests, taxes, and conscription for the War of the Spanish Succession. The cold snaps of late 1708 were as nothing to the crash in temperatures that took place over the night of January 5 to 6. In the following two weeks, snow would fall and thermometers in France would drop to a low of -5°F.In the absence of weather forecasting, the authorities had no time to prepare for what became known as “Le Grand Hiver,” and thousands succumbed to hypothermia before measures could be taken to help them. Animals were not spared either: Numerous livestock froze in their pens, barns, and coops.
Bust of Louis XIV by Gian Lorenzo Bernini, Palace of Versailles
PHOTOGRAPH BY DEA/ALBUM
The rivers, canal network, and ports froze, and snow reportedly blocked roads across France. In the port of Marseille on the Mediterranean coast, and at various points along the Rhone and Garonne Rivers, the ice was able to support the weight of laden carts, which places it around 11 inches thick. In cities that stopped receiving provisions, accounts circulated of desperate inhabitants forced to burn whatever furniture they had to keep themselves warm. Paris remained cut off from supplies for three months.
Even the well-off, who could fall back on stocks of food and drink, found that the intense cold rendered them unusable. Bread, meat, and even some alcoholic drinks froze solid. Only hard liquors such as vodka, whiskey, and rum remained liquid. The climatic crisis held both rich and poor in its icy grip. The elite’s sprawling mansions with large windows had been constructed for show, not practicality. In Versailles, the Duchess of Orleans, sister-in-law of King Louis XIV, wrote to a relative in Hanover: “The cold here is so fierce that it fairly defies description. I am sitting by a roaring fire, have a screen before the door, which is closed, so that I can sit here with a fur around my neck and my feet in a bearskin sack, and I am still shivering and can barely hold the pen. Never in my life have I seen a winter such as this one, which freezes the wine in bottles.”
STATE OF EMERGENCY
The government of France’s Louis XIV was faced with a catastrophic food crisis triggered by the extremely cold winter. A special commission was appointed, charged with the urgent distribution of grain, presided over by Henri-François D’Aguesseau, depicted in this engraving. Desperate times called for desperate measures: Anyone found hoarding grain could be condemned to hard labor on galleys or even face execution.
PHOTOGRAPH COURTESY LIBRARY OF CONGRESS
Baby, It’s Cold Outside
Across the rest of Europe, many strange effects of the cold were observed. Numerous witnesses recorded how the abrupt drop in temperature made seemingly solid items brittle. Tree trunks would shatter with a startling cracking sound, as if an invisible woodcutter were hacking them down. Church bells when rung also fractured due to the extreme cold temperatures.In London, “The Great Frost,” as it came to be known, iced over the Thames River. The canals and port of Amsterdam suffered a similar fate. The Baltic Sea was solid for four whole months, and travelers were reported crossing on foot or by horse from Denmark to Sweden or Norway. Almost all the rivers in the north and center of Europe froze. Even the hot springs of Aachen in modern-day Germany iced up. Heavily laden wagons trundled across the lakes of Switzerland, and wolves ventured into villages looking for anything left to eat—which sometimes turned out to be villagers who had frozen to death.
COLD COMFORT
The poor died in their hovels, and the rich shivered in their grand palaces, such as Versailles near Paris, where one correspondent could “barely hold the pen.”
PHOTOGRAPH BY RIEGER BERTRAND, GTRES
In the Adriatic, the freeze left numerous ships trapped in the ice, their crews perishing from cold and hunger. In Venice, ice skates were used in place of the usual gondolas to get around the city. Rome and Florence were completely cut off by the heavy snowfalls. In Spain, the Ebro River iced over, and even balmy Valencia saw its olive trees destroyed by the cold.
The weather also had political ramifications. Hostilities between France and Britain in the War of the Spanish Succession were delayed until the weather warmed. More significantly, historians regard the victory of Peter the Great’s Russia over Sweden at the Battle of Poltava in June 1709 as a decisive moment in Russia’s transformation into a regional power. Peter owed his victory, in part, to a smaller, weaker Swedish army, many of whose soldiers had perished due to the winter’s frigid temperatures.
L’ÈTAT, C’EST FROID
Battle of Malplaquet September 1709, by Louis Laguerre, 1713
PHOTOGRAPH BY BRIDGEMAN/ACI
Louis XIV ruled France for 72 years, and 1709 was one of the worst. His country bore the brunt of the deep freeze, its population and resources decimated. At the same time, his army faced major setbacks in the War of the Spanish Succession. In September 1709, France was defeated by Britain at the Battle of Malplaquet.
Spring Fever
The glacial conditions, however, were only the first of a series of woes to beset Europe that year. Temperatures remained abnormally low until mid-April, but the snow and ice, when they finally thawed, brought floods.
Disease thrived throughout the year. A flu epidemic had broken out in Rome in late 1708, and the following winter’s cold and hunger only helped spread the virus, turning into a Europe-wide pandemic in 1709 and 1710. To compound the disaster, plague also arrived that year from the Ottoman Empire via Hungary.
But of all the ills stalking Europe, hunger was, in many ways, the worst. The consequences of the food shortage lingered throughout that year and into the next. Cereals, vines, vegetables, fruit trees, flocks, and herds were all laid to waste, and the next summer’s harvest had not even been planted. The situation sparked hikes in grain prices, with prices rising sixfold during 1709.
In France, King Louis XIV organized handouts of bread and obliged the aristocracy to do the same. He also attempted to register all grain stores in order to avoid hoarding, sending out inspectors to ensure that the rules were obeyed. But against the unrelenting misery of the times, such measures must have seemed paltry. Episodes of violence ensued, and peasants who had been reduced to eating soup made of ferns formed gangs to raid bakeries and ambush grain convoys.
“The Great Frost” and its deadly aftermath unleashed tragic consequences for hundreds of thousands of people. In France, the population dropped in the course of 1709-1710, a period in which there were 600,000 more deaths than an average year at the time, and 200,000 fewer births—a population deficit that hobbled an already weak economy.
WINTER WASTELAND
Winter wasteland
PHOTOGRAPH BY BRITISH MUSEUM/SCALA, FLORENCE
The Italian painter and engraver Giuseppe Maria Mitelli (1634-1718) depicted the catastrophic events that spread through the whole of Europe: starvation, poverty, deadly temperatures, war, and sickness. Although the wealthy were affected by the cold, the suffering of the poor was much greater on all fronts.
1. “Hunger and poverty” The diet of the poor, based on cereals and lacking in meat, caused widespread malnutrition and death.
2. “Great Cold and nakedness” Mitelli vividly depicts how the cold caused shortages of fuel and warm attire.
3. “War for all” War between Britain and France led to the loss of 30,000 lives at the Battle of Malplaquet in fall 1709.
4. “Illness and death” Disease preyed on a weakened population, extending the misery well into 1710.
Cause of the Cold
Its record as the coldest winter in Europe in half a millennium remains unsurpassed, a freakish freeze that still puzzles climatologists today. Various theories for the event have been put forward. In previous years, a number of volcanoes around Europe had erupted, including Teide (on the Canary Islands), Santorini (in the eastern Mediterranean), and Vesuvius (near Naples). Huge quantities of dust and ash in the atmosphere reduced the amount of sunlight reaching the Earth. The year 1709 also falls within the period known by climatologists as the Maunder Minimum (1645-1715), when the sun’s emission of solar energy was significantly diminished. Whether these events combined to create Europe’s glacial catastrophe that winter remains a matter of heated debate.
Winter Is Coming: Europe’s Deep Freeze of 1709
In the first months of 1709, Europe froze and stayed that way for months. People ice-skated on the canals of Venice, church bells broke when rung, and travelers could cross the Baltic Sea on horseback. This freakish winter ultimately claimed the lives of a vast number of Europeans and disrupted...
www.nationalgeographic.com
Last edited:
northern watch
TB Fanatic
alpha
Veteran Member
Electroverse
Extreme Weather
Plunging Arctic air has even descended as far south as the Gulf of Mexico, including Florida. On Thursday morning, truly remarkably temperature readings were logged ACROSS the Southeast.
The likes of Crestview, Cross City, and Tallahasee were among the Floridian locales to suffer their earliest freezes ever, with lows of 28F, 31F, and 31F, respectively. Yesterday was also Tallahassee’s second record-low in as many days — lows that saw the city drop below freezing a full month ahead of the average and also before Denver, CO for the first time ever.
Chris Bianchi
@BianchiWeather
Tallahassee + Cross City, FL (both 31°) along with Macon, GA (29°) dropped below freezing this AM before Denver has. Fun fact: Tallahassee dropped below freezing before Denver for the first time on record! #9wx #COwx https://t.co/MmirLH5P77
12:30 PM · Oct 20, 2022
https://twitter.com/intent/like?ref...9920widget=Tweet&tweet_id=1583133594155089920
84
https://twitter.com/BianchiWeather/...ther2Fstatus2F1583133594155089920widget=Tweet
25
Back in 2018, Tallahassee received its first snowfall in some 3-decades. And while flakes haven’t yet fallen in 2022 (the featured image being for illustrative purposes–no need to whirl the sirens, misinformation police), I do see snow returning later in the season.
This week, temperatures benchmarks were toppled in the neighboring state of Georgia, too.
Here, Suches RAWS saw 20F, Blairville logged 23F, with Macon registering 29F — the city’s earliest freeze in recorded history.
This early, record-smashing cold snap can be attributed to a deep dip in the jet stream, itself tied to low solar activity.
For more:
NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center (CPC) has issued its Winter 2022/23 outlook–and it’s good for a laugh.
In short, the agency has decided to sit on the fence, forecasting “equal chances of below and above normal temperatures [and a] mix of warm days and cold snaps”.
First off, how many millions of tax-payer dollars did this useless forecast cost? But also, the fact that the warm-mongers at NOAA haven’t expressly called for ‘a warmer-than-average winter’, as they usually always do, leads me to think that what the tea-leaves actually see coming down the pike is persistent Arctic outbreaks, i.e. anomalous, record-busting lows and historic snows.
The problem with that is, such a prediction might call the AGW hypothesis into doubt, and so what we get instead is this castrated ‘shrug’ of a forecast, a cryptic weather-salad that requires deciphering.
The CPC’s Jon Gottschalck: “the nature of a probabilistic forecast means that other outcomes remain possible, but are not likely. This winter outlook includes what a “typical” La Nina winter brings but extreme events, like cold snaps, are still possible.”
Thanks, Jon…
NOAA: “Equal chances of below and above normal temps [Dec – Feb]”.
For more:
A low of -31.5C (-24.7F) was logged in Eureka, Nunavut in the early hours of Thursday morning.
Russia also came close to its first -30C of the season, with -29.5C (-21.1F) noted in Oymyakon and -29.7C (-21.5F) observed in Delyankir.
Canada’s cold is forecast to intensify over Central and Western provinces over the coming days.
Many roads have been closed due to drifting snow, with tourist destinations, such as Gulmarg and Sonamarg, located in the Kashmir valley, reported to have suffered accumulations of more than 2-feet, and lows of -2C (28.4F).
The UT of Ladakh has also witnessed heavy snowfall this week, resulting in the closure of the key Srinagar–Leh highway.
While the Mughal Road, which provides an alternative route to the Kashmir valley from Jammu, was also shut due to heavy snow.
Reject these measures, just as the awake rejected lockdowns and mask/vaccine mandates — castigate all those heard espousing them.
Their ‘cLiMaTe CrIsEs’ is a Brothers Grimm Fairy Tale. It isn’t real.
What is very real, however, is the globalists’ plan for a Great Reset. Resist it, with everything. Stand with the farmers. Side with the awake. Choose good. Reject the mindless hordes who parrot the murderous propaganda seeping from their telescreens.
They want us under the boot and thumb.
I say ‘**** off’.
They don’t get to impose their version of reality onto me. I’m not buying it. It doesn’t stack up.
Extreme Weather
Florida Drops Below Freezing–Tallahassee, And Others, Log Earliest Freezes On Record; -31.5C (-24.7F) In Canada; Feet Of Early-Season Snow Hit Northern India; + Climate Flimflam
October 21, 2022 Cap AllonFlorida Drops Below Freezing, Tallahassee, And Others, Log Earliest Freezes On Record
Jarring with the mainstream narrative, hundreds of low temperature records have fallen across the Eastern U.S. this week.Plunging Arctic air has even descended as far south as the Gulf of Mexico, including Florida. On Thursday morning, truly remarkably temperature readings were logged ACROSS the Southeast.
The likes of Crestview, Cross City, and Tallahasee were among the Floridian locales to suffer their earliest freezes ever, with lows of 28F, 31F, and 31F, respectively. Yesterday was also Tallahassee’s second record-low in as many days — lows that saw the city drop below freezing a full month ahead of the average and also before Denver, CO for the first time ever.
Chris Bianchi
@BianchiWeather
Tallahassee + Cross City, FL (both 31°) along with Macon, GA (29°) dropped below freezing this AM before Denver has. Fun fact: Tallahassee dropped below freezing before Denver for the first time on record! #9wx #COwx https://t.co/MmirLH5P77
12:30 PM · Oct 20, 2022
https://twitter.com/intent/like?ref...9920widget=Tweet&tweet_id=1583133594155089920
84
https://twitter.com/BianchiWeather/...ther2Fstatus2F1583133594155089920widget=Tweet
25
Back in 2018, Tallahassee received its first snowfall in some 3-decades. And while flakes haven’t yet fallen in 2022 (the featured image being for illustrative purposes–no need to whirl the sirens, misinformation police), I do see snow returning later in the season.
This week, temperatures benchmarks were toppled in the neighboring state of Georgia, too.
Here, Suches RAWS saw 20F, Blairville logged 23F, with Macon registering 29F — the city’s earliest freeze in recorded history.
This early, record-smashing cold snap can be attributed to a deep dip in the jet stream, itself tied to low solar activity.
For more:
NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center (CPC) has issued its Winter 2022/23 outlook–and it’s good for a laugh.
In short, the agency has decided to sit on the fence, forecasting “equal chances of below and above normal temperatures [and a] mix of warm days and cold snaps”.
First off, how many millions of tax-payer dollars did this useless forecast cost? But also, the fact that the warm-mongers at NOAA haven’t expressly called for ‘a warmer-than-average winter’, as they usually always do, leads me to think that what the tea-leaves actually see coming down the pike is persistent Arctic outbreaks, i.e. anomalous, record-busting lows and historic snows.
The problem with that is, such a prediction might call the AGW hypothesis into doubt, and so what we get instead is this castrated ‘shrug’ of a forecast, a cryptic weather-salad that requires deciphering.
The CPC’s Jon Gottschalck: “the nature of a probabilistic forecast means that other outcomes remain possible, but are not likely. This winter outlook includes what a “typical” La Nina winter brings but extreme events, like cold snaps, are still possible.”
Thanks, Jon…
NOAA: “Equal chances of below and above normal temps [Dec – Feb]”.
For more:
-31.5C (-24.7F) In Canada
The first <-30C (<-22F) of the season has just been registered in Canada.A low of -31.5C (-24.7F) was logged in Eureka, Nunavut in the early hours of Thursday morning.
Russia also came close to its first -30C of the season, with -29.5C (-21.1F) noted in Oymyakon and -29.7C (-21.5F) observed in Delyankir.
Canada’s cold is forecast to intensify over Central and Western provinces over the coming days.
Feet Of Early-Season Snow Hit Northern India
Ahead of schedule, the hills of Jammu and Kashmir received their first heavy snows of the season on Thursday, October 20 as sub-zero (C) temperatures tore across India’s northern Union Territory (UT).Many roads have been closed due to drifting snow, with tourist destinations, such as Gulmarg and Sonamarg, located in the Kashmir valley, reported to have suffered accumulations of more than 2-feet, and lows of -2C (28.4F).
The UT of Ladakh has also witnessed heavy snowfall this week, resulting in the closure of the key Srinagar–Leh highway.
While the Mughal Road, which provides an alternative route to the Kashmir valley from Jammu, was also shut due to heavy snow.
Climate Flimflam
Those who push ‘Net Zero’ and ‘Carbon Taxes’ are nothing but political stooges, knowingly or not — these two disguised ‘weapons’ are intended to strip the tragically-misinformed masses of the handful of freedoms they have left.Reject these measures, just as the awake rejected lockdowns and mask/vaccine mandates — castigate all those heard espousing them.
Their ‘cLiMaTe CrIsEs’ is a Brothers Grimm Fairy Tale. It isn’t real.
What is very real, however, is the globalists’ plan for a Great Reset. Resist it, with everything. Stand with the farmers. Side with the awake. Choose good. Reject the mindless hordes who parrot the murderous propaganda seeping from their telescreens.
They want us under the boot and thumb.
I say ‘**** off’.
They don’t get to impose their version of reality onto me. I’m not buying it. It doesn’t stack up.
jed turtle
a brother in the Lord
I think that we have had a few light frosts here in southern Maine but mostly the last few weeks have been like Indian summer, so far. I am pre-occupied with other duties, but am hoping to somehow to get the last 2-3 cords of firewood in before snow. Cutting it very tight this year.
i have an emergency supply of many grain bags full of wood shop odds and ends both hardwood and soft wood that I could burn in an emergency, so I have a “plan C“ but not anything I would normally mess around with. But being a child of parents that grew in the depression, I try not to throw anything away that has potential use in a depression event. Odd shaped chunks of wood, old boots still (barely) serviceable, blankets and towels that have reached “good enough for the dog” status, pieces of plywood and lumber I keep for odd jobs even though they are not full size any more (“but they are already paid for”),
piles of tree branches for eventual chipping to be added to the garden subsoil for “fertilizer”.
i have an emergency supply of many grain bags full of wood shop odds and ends both hardwood and soft wood that I could burn in an emergency, so I have a “plan C“ but not anything I would normally mess around with. But being a child of parents that grew in the depression, I try not to throw anything away that has potential use in a depression event. Odd shaped chunks of wood, old boots still (barely) serviceable, blankets and towels that have reached “good enough for the dog” status, pieces of plywood and lumber I keep for odd jobs even though they are not full size any more (“but they are already paid for”),
piles of tree branches for eventual chipping to be added to the garden subsoil for “fertilizer”.
alpha
Veteran Member
Florida Agriculture Losses from Ian
The damages from the hurricane are still being evaluated, but preliminary estimates state that Ian caused Florida’s agriculture industry to lose up to $1.56 billion. Around five million acres of farmland were destroyed by the hurricane, 60% of which was grazing land for cattle. An additional 500,000 acres were affected but not destroyed. Florida produces around $8 billion in agricultural goods per year, so this is a significant blow to the industry.
The Sunshine State was already experiencing hardships prior to Hurricane Ian, with some estimates saying the industry would decline by a third this year due to temperatures and disease.
“The impact on Florida’s affected commodities cannot be understated, especially the heartbreaking damage to Florida citrus, an industry already facing significant challenges,” state Agriculture Commissioner Nikki Fried declared. Orange juice alone is expected to cause a $304 million loss. The US Department of Agriculture said that orange production was already 32% down YoY, marking the smallest harvest in eight decades.
Up to $393 million may be lost from destroyed vegetable crops, while horticultural crops may experience a $297 million decline. Cattle is expected to decline by over $220 million.
The true damage cannot be assessed until the fields dry up. None of these figures account for inflation. Natural disasters will only contribute to rising food prices and shortages.
alpha
Veteran Member
Electroverse
Extreme Weather
The season is feeling more like a continuation of winter for many nations, with, most recently, frosts logged in the Argentine province of Buenos Aires, most notably at the beach resort town of Mar de Plata with its low of -2.4C (27.7F).
Sub-zeros (C) were also suffered in Las Armas (-1.6C/29.1F), Rauch (-1.4C/29.5F), Tandil (-1C/30.2F), and Azul (-0.4C/31.3F) yesterday, Oct 23, according to @ofimet on Twitter:
OFIMET ARGENTINA
@ofimet
#primavera parte 38 Nueva entrada de frío polar, Mar del Plata midió -2°4 hoy 23-oct. Fue la 4° bajo cero este mes (hubo sólo 5 en agosto + septiembre).// Sub 0 también en Las Armas (-1°6) y Rauch (-1°4) - red INTA-, Tandil (-1°) y Azul (-0°4) -red SMN-. https://t.co/A9DOvW4X4o
11:56 AM · Oct 23, 2022
The cold is forecast to linger over the coming days, too, and will continue hampering the efforts of local farmers.
In fact, looking to the onset of November, a truly fierce Antarctic blast is on course to traverse the length of the continent, from Southern Argentina to Northern Brazil, further-delaying the arrival of spring 2022:
GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) Oct 30 – Nov 4 [tropicaltidbits.com].
Rug up, South America — even as the calendar flips to November, winter isn’t done with you yet.
A low of of -30.6C (-23.1F) was registered in Oymyakon over the weekend; while Delyankir suffered -30.2C (-22.4F) — readings that are some 7C below the late-October norm, as reported by @ThierryGooseBC on Twitter who keeps track of such things.
Destination Queenstown chief executive Mat Woods said the season started with one of the best snowfalls seen in June for a generation, and that it continued to fall thick and fast as the season went on.
From opening day through to closing, conditions were the best he could remember, said Woods.
Likewise, Cardrona Alpine Resort and Treble Cone general manager Laura Hedley said the ski areas experienced wall-to-wall snow over the entire winter.
While NZSki chief executive Paul Anderson confirmed that the June snowfall at the Remarkables and Coronet Peak was one for the history books, with locals describing it as the best snow in at least 30 years.
“It kick-started a bumper season for us in terms of conditions, visitation numbers and open days,” said Anderson.
The Remarkables skifield enjoyed bumper snow levels in 2022.
However, not all New Zealand ski areas enjoyed record-busting accumulations this winter–that’s how it goes.
A lack of snow on the Ruapehu skifields of Tūroa and Whakapapa, combined with a loss of income due to COVID restrictions over the previous two years, actually drove the ski areas’ owner into voluntary administration.
This story, as you’d expect, was blown-up and then some by an AGW-driving establishment. The majority of NZ ski resorts enjoying historically snowy seasons was deemed newsworthy (or inconvenient), but these two closely-sited resorts, co-owned by the same company, suffering poor conditions and an ongoing cash problem were held under the microscope.
This is obfuscation and cherry-picking, at best; agenda-driving fraud, at worst.
And just as dishonest (and laughable), a record-breaking dumping of late-season snow across both South and North islands earlier this month was the time that the nation’s corrupted MSM colluded to run the aforementioned administration story, perhaps hoping it might distract the masses from the anomalous cold and out-of-season snow rapping and tapping at their chamber doors.
The MSM blamed the usual culprit for the closure, of course: cheap and reliable energy, so-called “fossil” fuels, CO2, i.e. — you.
This recalls the ‘increasingly deluded’ ABC’s attempts to dismiss Australia’s bumper snow season just gone:
A potentially historic Antarctic blast is on course to invade 90% of the Aussie continent next week.
I’ll let the latest GFS run do the talking:
GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) Oct 30 – Nov 4 [tropicaltidbits.com].
Rug up, Australia — even as the calendar flips to November, winter isn’t done with you yet, either.
The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING in line with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among many other forcings, including the impending release of the Beaufort Gyre).
Spring Chills Persist In South America; Russia Dips Below -30C (-24F); “Great Snow” Brought Record Winter Spending To New Zealand Resorts; + Australia Forecast Fierce November Cold
October 24, 2022 Cap AllonSpring Chills Persist In South America
The string of spring chills is persisting across the South American continent.The season is feeling more like a continuation of winter for many nations, with, most recently, frosts logged in the Argentine province of Buenos Aires, most notably at the beach resort town of Mar de Plata with its low of -2.4C (27.7F).
Sub-zeros (C) were also suffered in Las Armas (-1.6C/29.1F), Rauch (-1.4C/29.5F), Tandil (-1C/30.2F), and Azul (-0.4C/31.3F) yesterday, Oct 23, according to @ofimet on Twitter:
OFIMET ARGENTINA
@ofimet
#primavera parte 38 Nueva entrada de frío polar, Mar del Plata midió -2°4 hoy 23-oct. Fue la 4° bajo cero este mes (hubo sólo 5 en agosto + septiembre).// Sub 0 también en Las Armas (-1°6) y Rauch (-1°4) - red INTA-, Tandil (-1°) y Azul (-0°4) -red SMN-. https://t.co/A9DOvW4X4o
11:56 AM · Oct 23, 2022
The cold is forecast to linger over the coming days, too, and will continue hampering the efforts of local farmers.
In fact, looking to the onset of November, a truly fierce Antarctic blast is on course to traverse the length of the continent, from Southern Argentina to Northern Brazil, further-delaying the arrival of spring 2022:
GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) Oct 30 – Nov 4 [tropicaltidbits.com].
Rug up, South America — even as the calendar flips to November, winter isn’t done with you yet.
Russia Dips Below -30C (-24F)
Hot on the heels of Canada’s first -30C of the season, Russia has just followed suit.A low of of -30.6C (-23.1F) was registered in Oymyakon over the weekend; while Delyankir suffered -30.2C (-22.4F) — readings that are some 7C below the late-October norm, as reported by @ThierryGooseBC on Twitter who keeps track of such things.
“Great Snow” Brought Record Winter Spending To New Zealand Resorts
Queenstown experienced a record-breaking winter, with visitor spending significantly higher than in pre-Covid-19 ski seasons thanks, largely, to an abundance of snow, according to data from marketing agency Destination Queenstown.Destination Queenstown chief executive Mat Woods said the season started with one of the best snowfalls seen in June for a generation, and that it continued to fall thick and fast as the season went on.
From opening day through to closing, conditions were the best he could remember, said Woods.
Likewise, Cardrona Alpine Resort and Treble Cone general manager Laura Hedley said the ski areas experienced wall-to-wall snow over the entire winter.
While NZSki chief executive Paul Anderson confirmed that the June snowfall at the Remarkables and Coronet Peak was one for the history books, with locals describing it as the best snow in at least 30 years.
“It kick-started a bumper season for us in terms of conditions, visitation numbers and open days,” said Anderson.
The Remarkables skifield enjoyed bumper snow levels in 2022.
However, not all New Zealand ski areas enjoyed record-busting accumulations this winter–that’s how it goes.
A lack of snow on the Ruapehu skifields of Tūroa and Whakapapa, combined with a loss of income due to COVID restrictions over the previous two years, actually drove the ski areas’ owner into voluntary administration.
This story, as you’d expect, was blown-up and then some by an AGW-driving establishment. The majority of NZ ski resorts enjoying historically snowy seasons was deemed newsworthy (or inconvenient), but these two closely-sited resorts, co-owned by the same company, suffering poor conditions and an ongoing cash problem were held under the microscope.
This is obfuscation and cherry-picking, at best; agenda-driving fraud, at worst.
And just as dishonest (and laughable), a record-breaking dumping of late-season snow across both South and North islands earlier this month was the time that the nation’s corrupted MSM colluded to run the aforementioned administration story, perhaps hoping it might distract the masses from the anomalous cold and out-of-season snow rapping and tapping at their chamber doors.
The MSM blamed the usual culprit for the closure, of course: cheap and reliable energy, so-called “fossil” fuels, CO2, i.e. — you.
This recalls the ‘increasingly deluded’ ABC’s attempts to dismiss Australia’s bumper snow season just gone:
Australia Forecast Fierce November Cold
Similarly to South America, the models have doubled-down on Australia’s November polar outbreak.A potentially historic Antarctic blast is on course to invade 90% of the Aussie continent next week.
I’ll let the latest GFS run do the talking:
GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) Oct 30 – Nov 4 [tropicaltidbits.com].
Rug up, Australia — even as the calendar flips to November, winter isn’t done with you yet, either.
The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING in line with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among many other forcings, including the impending release of the Beaufort Gyre).
northern watch
TB Fanatic
From my email inbox The Old Farmer's Almanac October 24 2022
alpha
Veteran Member
Electroverse
Extreme Weather
Alta, Utah officially received 25 inches in the recent storm, according to the National Weather Service (NWS), which took the area above its October monthly average of 24.4 inches with a week left to run — and with plenty more snow on the way, too.
Significant snow totals fell elsewhere in Utah:
Solitude registered 18 inches, Brian Head and Alta-Collins saw over a foot, Cherry Peak got close to 11 inches, the West Jordan Benches and Tooele Bench each logged approximately 8 inches, with Summit Park noting 10 inches.
This was a sizable event, with the snow not just confined to Utah, of course.
Other states to note impressive totals include Montana and Colorado.
The fierce ‘winter’ storm delivered feet of snow to Big Sky Resort, MT, for example. Big Sky Ski Patrol noted snow drifts well over two feet deep at the top of the Challenger lift (9,600ft), with more than foot noted to have accumulated at the base area (7,500ft).
Conditions at Big Sky Resort, Montana.
While in Colorado, record-challenging totals were observed across the state’s higher elevations, including the foot+ that settled at Powderhorn ski area on Sunday:
Powderhorn ski area, CO received 12 inches of snow on Sunday [Powderhorn resort webcam].
Storm models show mountain powder returning Wednesday evening, with yet another storm system expected to roll in during the first few days of November.
Moderate snow showers will likely continue Monday into Wednesday, according to a recent OpenSnow report: a “moderately strong” storm Wednesday night into Thursday could bring 10 inches to most Colorado mountains.
“We’ll see multiple chances for snow this week, and temperatures will mostly stay colder than freezing through Friday morning,” OpenSnow founding meteorologist Joel Gratz wrote in a post Monday.
Arapahoe Basin opened on Sunday, becoming the first Colorado area to open for the season. Keystone is expected to be the next, and this week’s colder temperatures and flurries will surely help there, too.
Snowfall isn’t a thing of the past, clearly — that’s the takeaway here.
And with regards to temperatures, even NOAA continue to show us that nothing unprecedented, alarming or even slightly concerning is occurring on that front, either. Their press releases may state otherwise, but the agency’s raw, historical temperature datasets –such as U.S. October max temps, 1895-2021 (show below)— reveal no discernible trend.
Lower-48 October Temperatures [NOAA].
Heavy, early-season snow has been clipping Canada, too — record breaking, in fact, according to Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC) meteorologists.
A Wyoming Low slammed into south-central Saskatchewan Sunday and dumped massive amounts of powder.
Moose Jaw was one of the locales to take a direct hit, and suffered widespread power outages across the area as a result.
“Looks like anywhere from 25 – 40 cm (10 – 16 inches) fell in and around Moose Jaw,” said Terri Lang, ECCC Meteorologist.
“We do not record snow anymore anywhere in the province. It’s always a challenge in the winter to try and find snowfall amounts — we get some idea from our automatic weather station at the airport which uses a laser that points down and measures the depth that way, but of course, in Saskatchewan, it’s windy so the snow depth varies quite a bit in the wind, so we kind of use that as a guideline,” said Lang, adding that the agency uses volunteers and social media to better estimate how much snow fell.
Two Moose Jaw residents shared snow depth from their yards on Sunday, which ranged from 33 – 45 cm (13 – 18 inches). Based on these ranges, the area annihilated its previous snowfall record for October 23, usurping the 6 cm (2.4 inches) that fell back in 1997.
For reference, snowfall records date back to 1943 in Moose Jaw.
Deteriorating conditions on High Street and Fifth Avenue Sunday afternoon [Randy Palmer].
I find it curious that an agency purporting to track the ‘Environment’ and ‘Climate Change’ has decided not to officially record snow “anymore anywhere in the state”. How does ECCC expect to calculate the ravages of the cLiMaTe CrIsEs if the disappearing snow isn’t officially documented? Or could it be that the bought-out, treacherous Canadian government doesn’t want the reality of increasing accumulations to confuse the AGW Party narrative? I don’t know.
The weekend didn’t just bring Saskatchewan’s first –and record-breaking– snowfall of the season, it brought Alberta’s, too.
The likes of Twitter and Facebook report that Cochrane received 15 – 22 cm (6-9 inches) Saturday and Sunday, with Kananaskis Valley logging 27 cm (11 inches).
Snowfall records, which date back to 1881, were broken at Calgary International Airport. The area reported a one day total of 19 cm (7.5 inches) on Saturday, October 22, which pipped the previous benchmark of 18 cm (7 inches) set back in 1939.
The entire snowfall event total for Calgary –from Friday night to Sunday morning– has been ‘guesstimated’ (thanks ECCC) to be 23 cm (9 inches).
Inam Jamil
@yycwx_inam
As of 3:00am Oct 23rd, there’s upwards of 24cm of snow on the ground in SW #Calgary! #yyc #abstorm https://t.co/OXHLTmmEmm
5:18 AM · Oct 23, 2022
Also worth noting, total snow mass for the Northern Hemisphere Snow, as documented by the Finish Meteorological Institute (FMI), continues to hold ABOVE the 1982-2012 average (above the SD, too), as it has done for the past 6-or-so years now.
Grand Solar Minimum 101: The Future Looks Cold
The Sun is at its weakest state in more than a century, and the impacts on Earth’s weather/climate are unfolding before our eyes, whether we know it or not…
Feet Of October Snow Slam The Rockies–Much More On The Way; + Record-Breaking Totals Hit Canada–Including Moose Jaw And Calgary…
October 25, 2022 Cap AllonFeet Of October Snow Slam The Rockies–Much More On The Way
The Rockies are off to a great start to the season after a weekend storm delivered feet of snow to the range.Alta, Utah officially received 25 inches in the recent storm, according to the National Weather Service (NWS), which took the area above its October monthly average of 24.4 inches with a week left to run — and with plenty more snow on the way, too.
Significant snow totals fell elsewhere in Utah:
Solitude registered 18 inches, Brian Head and Alta-Collins saw over a foot, Cherry Peak got close to 11 inches, the West Jordan Benches and Tooele Bench each logged approximately 8 inches, with Summit Park noting 10 inches.
This was a sizable event, with the snow not just confined to Utah, of course.
Other states to note impressive totals include Montana and Colorado.
The fierce ‘winter’ storm delivered feet of snow to Big Sky Resort, MT, for example. Big Sky Ski Patrol noted snow drifts well over two feet deep at the top of the Challenger lift (9,600ft), with more than foot noted to have accumulated at the base area (7,500ft).
Conditions at Big Sky Resort, Montana.
While in Colorado, record-challenging totals were observed across the state’s higher elevations, including the foot+ that settled at Powderhorn ski area on Sunday:
Powderhorn ski area, CO received 12 inches of snow on Sunday [Powderhorn resort webcam].
Storm models show mountain powder returning Wednesday evening, with yet another storm system expected to roll in during the first few days of November.
Moderate snow showers will likely continue Monday into Wednesday, according to a recent OpenSnow report: a “moderately strong” storm Wednesday night into Thursday could bring 10 inches to most Colorado mountains.
“We’ll see multiple chances for snow this week, and temperatures will mostly stay colder than freezing through Friday morning,” OpenSnow founding meteorologist Joel Gratz wrote in a post Monday.
Arapahoe Basin opened on Sunday, becoming the first Colorado area to open for the season. Keystone is expected to be the next, and this week’s colder temperatures and flurries will surely help there, too.
Snowfall isn’t a thing of the past, clearly — that’s the takeaway here.
And with regards to temperatures, even NOAA continue to show us that nothing unprecedented, alarming or even slightly concerning is occurring on that front, either. Their press releases may state otherwise, but the agency’s raw, historical temperature datasets –such as U.S. October max temps, 1895-2021 (show below)— reveal no discernible trend.
Lower-48 October Temperatures [NOAA].
Record-Breaking Totals Hit Canada–Including Moose Jaw And Calgary
Heavy, early-season snow has been clipping Canada, too — record breaking, in fact, according to Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC) meteorologists.A Wyoming Low slammed into south-central Saskatchewan Sunday and dumped massive amounts of powder.
Moose Jaw was one of the locales to take a direct hit, and suffered widespread power outages across the area as a result.
“Looks like anywhere from 25 – 40 cm (10 – 16 inches) fell in and around Moose Jaw,” said Terri Lang, ECCC Meteorologist.
“We do not record snow anymore anywhere in the province. It’s always a challenge in the winter to try and find snowfall amounts — we get some idea from our automatic weather station at the airport which uses a laser that points down and measures the depth that way, but of course, in Saskatchewan, it’s windy so the snow depth varies quite a bit in the wind, so we kind of use that as a guideline,” said Lang, adding that the agency uses volunteers and social media to better estimate how much snow fell.
Two Moose Jaw residents shared snow depth from their yards on Sunday, which ranged from 33 – 45 cm (13 – 18 inches). Based on these ranges, the area annihilated its previous snowfall record for October 23, usurping the 6 cm (2.4 inches) that fell back in 1997.
For reference, snowfall records date back to 1943 in Moose Jaw.
Deteriorating conditions on High Street and Fifth Avenue Sunday afternoon [Randy Palmer].
I find it curious that an agency purporting to track the ‘Environment’ and ‘Climate Change’ has decided not to officially record snow “anymore anywhere in the state”. How does ECCC expect to calculate the ravages of the cLiMaTe CrIsEs if the disappearing snow isn’t officially documented? Or could it be that the bought-out, treacherous Canadian government doesn’t want the reality of increasing accumulations to confuse the AGW Party narrative? I don’t know.
The weekend didn’t just bring Saskatchewan’s first –and record-breaking– snowfall of the season, it brought Alberta’s, too.
The likes of Twitter and Facebook report that Cochrane received 15 – 22 cm (6-9 inches) Saturday and Sunday, with Kananaskis Valley logging 27 cm (11 inches).
Snowfall records, which date back to 1881, were broken at Calgary International Airport. The area reported a one day total of 19 cm (7.5 inches) on Saturday, October 22, which pipped the previous benchmark of 18 cm (7 inches) set back in 1939.
The entire snowfall event total for Calgary –from Friday night to Sunday morning– has been ‘guesstimated’ (thanks ECCC) to be 23 cm (9 inches).
Inam Jamil
@yycwx_inam
As of 3:00am Oct 23rd, there’s upwards of 24cm of snow on the ground in SW #Calgary! #yyc #abstorm https://t.co/OXHLTmmEmm
5:18 AM · Oct 23, 2022
Also worth noting, total snow mass for the Northern Hemisphere Snow, as documented by the Finish Meteorological Institute (FMI), continues to hold ABOVE the 1982-2012 average (above the SD, too), as it has done for the past 6-or-so years now.
Grand Solar Minimum 101: The Future Looks Cold
The Sun is at its weakest state in more than a century, and the impacts on Earth’s weather/climate are unfolding before our eyes, whether we know it or not…
alpha
Veteran Member
Electroverse
Extreme Weather
The tourist attraction, known as China’s “Snow Town”, also marked “Frost’s Descent” on Sunday, October 23. The traditional Chinese lunar calendar divides the year into 24 solar terms, with Frost’s Descent being the 18th and the last of autumn, signalling its time for agricultural harvest.
Heavy snowfall advisories have also been issued across mountainous regions of South Korea’s Gangwon Province.
More than 12 cm (4.7 inches) accumulated at Mount Seorak in a short space of time, prompting an entry restriction.
[YONHAP News]
Entry to Daecheongbong Peak and other high altitude areas have been prohibited since the issuance of the advisory early Monday, according to the Seoraksan National Park Office, who are also urging locals to protect themselves from the fierce, wintry conditions.
It has been unusually-cold, too — morning lows near the mountain’s Juncheong shelter plunged to -3.4C (25.9F) this week.
These totals will aid the snow mass in the Northern Hemisphere, which, according to the Finish Meteorological Institute (FMI), has opened the season comfortably above the 1982-2012 average:
[FMI]
First, it was the Eastern U.S. breaking hundreds of low temperatures records; then, it was the West’s turn; now, Oct 26, it appears to be both simultaneously–although the latest freeze isn’t quite as intense.
Barring a strip of ‘red’ extending down the East Coast, the majority of the United States –in fact, the majority of the North American continent– is currently suffering ‘blues’, i.e. below average temperatures — and some are breaking records, too.
GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) Weds, Oct 26 [tropicaltidbits.com].
A pocket of the Southwest also endured record lows over the past 24 hours, with daily benchmarks falling in Southern California, Arizona, New Mexico, and also more centrally, in Texas.
Tuesday brought the coldest temperatures of the season so far to Lubbock, TX. In fact, most of the South Plains, from Lubbock to the west and north, reported lows in the 30s (10F – 15F below average) with many suffering their first freeze of the season, toppling low temperature records in the process.
Lubbock also logged its first snowfall of the season overnight Monday — ahead of schedule. And eyeing a little north, Colorado’s West End did likewise, seeing its first big, widespread “snow-maker” of the season, so says NWS meteorologist Dennis Phillips.
Snow settled in the West End valleys, too, with lower-elevated locales such as Norwood and Nucla waking to 4 inches Tuesday morning, totals that helped alleviate Norward’s drought status to a D-0 (the lowest of 5 category): “The drought status right now has been improving, which is hard to believe,” added AGW Party member Phillips. “You guys were D-3!”
Another ‘cLiMaTe CaTaStRoPhE’ averted — thank the heavens.
This week is capping off what has been a cold October across the U.S.–albeit one punctuated by brief bursts of warmth due to a low solar activity-induced ‘wavy’ jet stream pulling tropical heat unusually-far north, on occasion.
This overall cool-down has even been picked up by NOAA: Despite the agency’s warm-mongering bias and UHI-ignoring antics, its ‘Weather Records’ tool shows that over the past seven days (Oct 17 – Oct 23) a total of 20 new *monthly* low temperature records were set across the United States, versus just the 3 for record warmth.
It must be cold if NOAA are picking up on it.
A quick look at the Southern Hemisphere reveals that Australia is still on course for that intense polar outbreak, still due to arrive as the calendar flips to November:
GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) Oct 30 – Nov 11 [tropicaltidbits.com].
And likewise across South America, spring has largely failed to sprung here, too, as Antarctic chills persist:
GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) Oct 30 – Nov 4 [tropicaltidbits.com].
‘The Narrative’ wants you to believe CO2 is to blame for every extreme going, even the increasingly-common outbreaks of extreme cold.
In a perfect example of what George Orwell dubbed Doublethink, the AGW Party are doubling-down on their “global warming = global cooling” spiel, and, frustratingly, the majority of the purblind masses are content to lap it up–at least for now.
With Fall now firmly upon us, the Party’s MSM lapdogs are getting their excuses in early, prepping people for is forecast to be a doozy of a Northern Hemisphere winter, one with incessant Arctic outbreaks, record lows and unprecedented snows.
A JPost article reads:
“Human-caused global warming was expected to lead to more heatwaves and heavy precipitation events, but the increase in cold air outbreaks and heavy snowfalls, most recently in Jan and Feb of 2021 in Asia, Europe and the United States, surprised the scientists (of a new study), leading them to research the connection between extreme cold weather and global warming.”
Nature World News had a similar take, running the headline: “Deadly Texas Cold Wave Linked to Warming Arctic”.
The phrase ‘surprised the scientists’ is another way of saying ‘reality has just upended all previous theories’. Yet, rather than working on a new line of thinking to this unexpected development, mainstream science is instead continuing to force that decidedly square AGW peg into the round hole that is reality.
Needless to say, this is not how science is supposed to work — they have it entirely backwards, and purposefully.
The original AGW theory confidently stated that global temperatures would rise linearly, always up and up, baking our planet’s surface, melting the polar ice caps, and rendering snowfall a thing of the past. These are the holy pillars on which the original IPCC reports were based.
Today, however, as global temperatures continue to fall, as ice sheets grow, as polar bears numbers rise, as the Great Barrier Reef sees record coral cover, as hurricanes show no trend, and as global snowfall increases year-on-year, the theory, now far too powerful and deeply-woven within society to outright ditch, is sheepishly retracting some of its previous –failed– prophesies and is instead quietly replacing them with an entirely new paradigm, one so contradictory that I bet even those dogmatic “journalists” at The Guardian are struggling with it.
“Global warming = global cooling.”
Yep, well, good luck with that. There’s only so much BS you can fling at people before they stir from the Mass Formation. And boy is there going to be hell to pay once that veil of psychosis slips. EVERY aspect of our reality is being massaged and twisted for the benefit of the few. Once you see it there is no going back. There is no stopping the bubbling, rolling-boil of anger, either.
Electroverse
@Electroversenet
The Sun is laughing at us; it's not CO2, it's not you. https://t.co/EyOk8Rlu0n
4:21 AM · Oct 26, 2022
https://twitter.com/intent/like?ref...3408widget=Tweet&tweet_id=1585184754793873408
Heavy Snow Sweeps China And South Korea; Majority Of North America Is Colder-Than-Average; + MSM: “Warming = Cooling”
October 26, 2022 Cap AllonHeavy Snow Sweeps China And South Korea
Shuangfeng Forest Farm, in northeast China’s Heilongjiang Province, has embraced its first snowfall of the season.The tourist attraction, known as China’s “Snow Town”, also marked “Frost’s Descent” on Sunday, October 23. The traditional Chinese lunar calendar divides the year into 24 solar terms, with Frost’s Descent being the 18th and the last of autumn, signalling its time for agricultural harvest.
Heavy snowfall advisories have also been issued across mountainous regions of South Korea’s Gangwon Province.
More than 12 cm (4.7 inches) accumulated at Mount Seorak in a short space of time, prompting an entry restriction.
[YONHAP News]
Entry to Daecheongbong Peak and other high altitude areas have been prohibited since the issuance of the advisory early Monday, according to the Seoraksan National Park Office, who are also urging locals to protect themselves from the fierce, wintry conditions.
It has been unusually-cold, too — morning lows near the mountain’s Juncheong shelter plunged to -3.4C (25.9F) this week.
These totals will aid the snow mass in the Northern Hemisphere, which, according to the Finish Meteorological Institute (FMI), has opened the season comfortably above the 1982-2012 average:
[FMI]
Majority Of North America Is Colder-Than-Average
First, it was the Eastern U.S. breaking hundreds of low temperatures records; then, it was the West’s turn; now, Oct 26, it appears to be both simultaneously–although the latest freeze isn’t quite as intense.Barring a strip of ‘red’ extending down the East Coast, the majority of the United States –in fact, the majority of the North American continent– is currently suffering ‘blues’, i.e. below average temperatures — and some are breaking records, too.
GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) Weds, Oct 26 [tropicaltidbits.com].
A pocket of the Southwest also endured record lows over the past 24 hours, with daily benchmarks falling in Southern California, Arizona, New Mexico, and also more centrally, in Texas.
Tuesday brought the coldest temperatures of the season so far to Lubbock, TX. In fact, most of the South Plains, from Lubbock to the west and north, reported lows in the 30s (10F – 15F below average) with many suffering their first freeze of the season, toppling low temperature records in the process.
Lubbock also logged its first snowfall of the season overnight Monday — ahead of schedule. And eyeing a little north, Colorado’s West End did likewise, seeing its first big, widespread “snow-maker” of the season, so says NWS meteorologist Dennis Phillips.
Snow settled in the West End valleys, too, with lower-elevated locales such as Norwood and Nucla waking to 4 inches Tuesday morning, totals that helped alleviate Norward’s drought status to a D-0 (the lowest of 5 category): “The drought status right now has been improving, which is hard to believe,” added AGW Party member Phillips. “You guys were D-3!”
Another ‘cLiMaTe CaTaStRoPhE’ averted — thank the heavens.
This week is capping off what has been a cold October across the U.S.–albeit one punctuated by brief bursts of warmth due to a low solar activity-induced ‘wavy’ jet stream pulling tropical heat unusually-far north, on occasion.
This overall cool-down has even been picked up by NOAA: Despite the agency’s warm-mongering bias and UHI-ignoring antics, its ‘Weather Records’ tool shows that over the past seven days (Oct 17 – Oct 23) a total of 20 new *monthly* low temperature records were set across the United States, versus just the 3 for record warmth.
It must be cold if NOAA are picking up on it.
A quick look at the Southern Hemisphere reveals that Australia is still on course for that intense polar outbreak, still due to arrive as the calendar flips to November:
GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) Oct 30 – Nov 11 [tropicaltidbits.com].
And likewise across South America, spring has largely failed to sprung here, too, as Antarctic chills persist:
GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) Oct 30 – Nov 4 [tropicaltidbits.com].
MSM: “Warming = Cooling”
‘The Narrative’ wants you to believe CO2 is to blame for every extreme going, even the increasingly-common outbreaks of extreme cold.In a perfect example of what George Orwell dubbed Doublethink, the AGW Party are doubling-down on their “global warming = global cooling” spiel, and, frustratingly, the majority of the purblind masses are content to lap it up–at least for now.
With Fall now firmly upon us, the Party’s MSM lapdogs are getting their excuses in early, prepping people for is forecast to be a doozy of a Northern Hemisphere winter, one with incessant Arctic outbreaks, record lows and unprecedented snows.
A JPost article reads:
“Human-caused global warming was expected to lead to more heatwaves and heavy precipitation events, but the increase in cold air outbreaks and heavy snowfalls, most recently in Jan and Feb of 2021 in Asia, Europe and the United States, surprised the scientists (of a new study), leading them to research the connection between extreme cold weather and global warming.”
Nature World News had a similar take, running the headline: “Deadly Texas Cold Wave Linked to Warming Arctic”.
The phrase ‘surprised the scientists’ is another way of saying ‘reality has just upended all previous theories’. Yet, rather than working on a new line of thinking to this unexpected development, mainstream science is instead continuing to force that decidedly square AGW peg into the round hole that is reality.
Needless to say, this is not how science is supposed to work — they have it entirely backwards, and purposefully.
The original AGW theory confidently stated that global temperatures would rise linearly, always up and up, baking our planet’s surface, melting the polar ice caps, and rendering snowfall a thing of the past. These are the holy pillars on which the original IPCC reports were based.
Today, however, as global temperatures continue to fall, as ice sheets grow, as polar bears numbers rise, as the Great Barrier Reef sees record coral cover, as hurricanes show no trend, and as global snowfall increases year-on-year, the theory, now far too powerful and deeply-woven within society to outright ditch, is sheepishly retracting some of its previous –failed– prophesies and is instead quietly replacing them with an entirely new paradigm, one so contradictory that I bet even those dogmatic “journalists” at The Guardian are struggling with it.
“Global warming = global cooling.”
Yep, well, good luck with that. There’s only so much BS you can fling at people before they stir from the Mass Formation. And boy is there going to be hell to pay once that veil of psychosis slips. EVERY aspect of our reality is being massaged and twisted for the benefit of the few. Once you see it there is no going back. There is no stopping the bubbling, rolling-boil of anger, either.
Electroverse
@Electroversenet
The Sun is laughing at us; it's not CO2, it's not you. https://t.co/EyOk8Rlu0n
4:21 AM · Oct 26, 2022
https://twitter.com/intent/like?ref...3408widget=Tweet&tweet_id=1585184754793873408
alpha
Veteran Member
Electroverse
Articles
Bengalureans suffered and early a taste of winter, with the city reporting its lowest October temperature for 14 years.
According to the India Meteorological Department (IMD), Bengaluru logged a low of of 15.4C on Tuesday morning, making it the coldest October day since 2008 (solar minimum of cycle 24).
Given the Urban Heat Island (UHI) effect –ignored by the mainstream climate establishment– temperatures in the outskirts of the city were found to be much colder. Sarjapur, for example, saw a reading almost 3C below that of its urban neighbor, of 12.5C.
The cold has persisted throughout the week, said the IMD, with parts of Karnataka, namely Badami and Bidar, enduring sub 13C lows on Wednesday.
Social media was soon awash with people complaining, “The onset of winter is early in Bengaluru,” wrote one resident on Twitter, with others simply posting the classic, “Winter is coming”.
As predicted by the GFS more than a week ago, but only now being picked up by Aussie meteorologists, a “strong blast of Antarctic air” is on course to batter much of the continent next week.
Australia’s southern states will be hit by “severely low temperatures”, as well as strong winds, showers, hail, and even snow.
“Experts are warning of [a] weather catastrophe forming in Antarctica”, reads a recent natureworldnews.com article, which, although idiotically hyperbolic, does point to what is a truly anomalous polar front building to the south.
According to Weatherzone, the south-eastern states will be slammed by a “bitterly cold arctic blast” next week, causing temperatures to plunge: “It’s going to be a very chilly week,” Weatherzone’s Brett Dutschke has said.
Temperatures will more characteristic of August than November, and will bring freezing, likely record-breaking low to the likes of Melbourne, with all Aussie states, including Tasmania, hit hard as next week progresses.
GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) Oct 30 – Nov 2 [tropicaltidbits.com].
Latest GFS runs are also calling for substantial accumulating snow across the higher elevations of Tasmania, Victoria and NSW, with longer range outlooks hinting at a continuation of this polar cold, particularly for southern states, into mid/late-November.
Rug up, Aussies.
Swedbank, one of Sweden’s largest banks, has published a grim forecast of the country’s economy — an outlook that can be applied to the majority of European nations as inflation and a needless energy crisis ravages the continent.
The Swedish economy is shrinking and unemployment is rising, Swedbank said, envisaging a GDP fall of 1.1% next year, coupled with unemployment of 7.6% and an inflation rate of 7.4 %.
Inflation will rise further as the Riksbanken, the country’s central bank, is expected to continue its ratcheting up of interest rates. Swedbank predicted that the Riksbanken will raise interest rates sharply from the current 1.75% to 3% by February next year.
Such a move, in turn, would mean considerably higher interest costs for anyone with a mortgage, for example.
Swedbank expects that household consumption will fall dramatically, with its chief economist, Mattias Persson, even seeing the risk of a “complete halt in consumption” as households continue to slash spending: “Households will hold on to their wallets while purchasing power is impaired by high inflation and rising interest costs,” said Persson said.
Moreover, as the rising prices put extra pressure on household finances, businesses are showing a decreased willingness to invest: “We have a hard and cold economic winter ahead of us,” Persson told Swedish media this week.
Economies across Europe are already in a state of malaise thanks to backfiring EU sanctions against Russia that were meant to “punish” Moscow for the war in Ukraine, yet compounded both Europe’s energy and cost-of-living crises.
Earlier this month, former Riksbanken chief Lars Heikensten said these catalysts would impoverish Sweden, warning that the country must accept a lower standard of living.
Heaping on the misery, the country’s power supply is also doubt, as authorities warn of possible blackouts this winter amid a worsening energy crunch. According to the Swedish Civil Contingencies Agency (MSB), power rationing could affect traffic lights, trams, heating and communications as well as electronic locks to properties, among other things.
I, personally, see a global pivot with regards to interest rate hikes, which, in turn, will fuel a parabola in the stock/crypto markets. A handful of Central Banks, such as the Bank of England, have already resumed Quantitative Easing (QT) given the economic pain rate hikes were causing. And, adding further weight to this contention, the UN recently called on the Fed to stop raising interest rates for the same reasons–it’s causing economic pain across the world (as if that wasn’t the Fed’s plan).
But they remain the big one. As soon as the Federal Reserve reverse tact, which I see occurring in December following the release of more favorable inflation data in mid-November (a reading with a 7 in front of it instead of an 8).
This is what I’m betting on, at least — a pivot, and then one last hurrah in risk-on assets before the mother of all crashes takes everyone out at the knees. Then, during the carnage, the Great Reset will be implemented proper with its CBDCs social credit scores, aka ‘digital slavery’.
I believe that Bitcoin and Ethereum were created by governments as a way of testing/luring-people-into the blockchain. Now the stage is set for a mass roll-out of these fully traceable and controllable tokens. Say hello to a cashless society; say hello to Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs); say hello to ‘Surveillance World’…
By hook or by crook, the WEF got their man into Number 10 Downing Street, and now, given his ties and family background, the unelected stooge, Rishi Sunak, is now free to continue their bidding as the UK’s top dog, pushing CBDCs onto an unsuspecting British public:
Ben Leo
@benleo444
Sunak, the proprietor of the UK’s incoming Central Bank Digital Currency, is now Prime Minister in an almighty stitch up. Sunak playfully dubs our CBDC ‘Britcoin’ but these instruments are far from fun. They’re dystopian Another piece of the jigsaw in place. Problem>Solution https://t.co/WBxNoYK2C5
9:41 AM · Oct 24, 2022
Sunak was misrepresenting the CBDCs, too, calling them a compliment to cash when in fact the tokens will replace cash entirely.
These digital assets will also be mandated upon us, we won’t have much of a choice, and once we’re running our lives on them, it’s practically game over. If we step out of line, if our political beliefs –for example– don’t align with those of the establishment, then they will have the ability to cut us off; if we don’t agree that planet Earth is in a ‘cLiMaTe CrIsEs’ and refuse to pay our carbon taxes, then our ‘green’ social credit score will turn ‘red’ and our right to purchase certain goods, use public transport, or enter certain establishments will be revoked. Our line of credit will be cut. This will breed compliance, which will foster more tyranny.
Richard
@ricwe123
When conspiracy theories end up being right: CBDC will be "programmable" Giving the issuer control over how it is spent by the recipient. Your freedom to purchase fuel, meat, flights, fertiliser will be limited to a carbon credit score... https://t.co/dB3GRHl40y
4:49 AM · Oct 27, 2022
This isn’t the script for some tropey dystopic movie, this is ALREADY playing out in China, and as we’ve learned over the past few years, via the West’s copy-catting of the CPC’s strict COVID policies (lockdowns etc.), the globalists look to China’s unprecedented level of state control with envy.
As hinted above, it isn’t just Britain’s new PM realizing this bleak future; rather, this is a global movement.
Welcome to Surveillance World.
Eva Vlaardingerbroek
@EvaVlaar
The largest Dutch supermarket wants to start listing carbon scores on receipts, some of our largest banks already track individuals’ carbon emissions and elites everywhere around the world are pushing Digital ID’s and CBDC’s And yet most people still don’t see what’s coming.
2:02 PM · Oct 25, 2022
Please post suggestions on how we combat this tyranny in the comments section below.
I’ve gotten my young family off the grid, and we’re now successfully growing our own food (after a lot of trial and error). Many of you I’m sure are in similar boats, but I’m worried that our efforts won’t be enough. My concern is that taxes will still need to be paid on our land/property, and if these payments aren’t made in their new mandated digital currency, or, even if we were to buckle and accept CBDCs but then our poor social credit score –because I can’t keep my mouth shut– doesn’t allow us to make payments, then they will ‘legally’ –as they’ve determined the law– be able to evict us from our land and claim it back as theirs.
Stockpile gold?
Suggestions please.
PeterSweden
@PeterSweden7
Let me tell you the plan: 1. Cash will be replaced with central bank digital currency 2. It will be stored in a digital wallet that you access with your digital ID 3. The state has full control over what you spend your money on 4. Personal carbon tracking on your purchases
10:35 AM · Oct 25, 2022
Saying all that, I would be amiss not to point out that there is some hope — The Resistance is making progress.
The new Swedish ‘right-wing’ government is scrapping the country’s renewable energy plan, instead favoring nuclear that the greens tried so hard to dismantle. Sweden is also getting rid of its Environment Ministry. While in Canada, the new premier of Alberta has cut ties with the World Economic Forum, apologized to those who were prosecuted during lockdowns, and offered the unvaccinated their jobs back.
On the flip side, however, we have WEF puppet Rishi Sunak reinstating the UK’s fracking ban in the middle of an energy crisis. And we see Switzerland (and other EU nations) threatening to lock people up for 3 years if they heat their homes above 19C (66F) this winter. Things aren’t looking so rosy in the U.S., either. President Biden’s recent signing of Executive Order 14067, officially titled Ensuring Responsible Development of Digital Assets, is intended to fast-track America’s transition into a surveillance state, à la China.
We have many more battles, clearly.
But Sweden and Alberta should be regarded as wins.
Let’s keep pushing.
Spring Chills Persist In South America; Russia Dips Below -30C (-24F); “Great Snow” Brought Record Winter Spending To New Zealand Resorts; + Australia Forecast Fierce November ColdOctober 24, 2022In "Extreme Weather"
Record August Chills In The Balkans; Antarctica Plunges Below -80C (-112F); Heavy Summer Snow Hits Xinjiang, China; + Texas Breaks Low Temperature Records, Including One From 1965August 24, 2022In "Extreme Weather"
Record Chills Hit India; “Brutally Cold Polar Blast” To Slam Australia; “Hard, Cold” Winter Ahead, Warns Swedish Bank; + Welcome To Surveillance World
October 27, 2022 Cap AllonRecord Chills Hit Parts Of India
Anomalous chills have swept India this week.Bengalureans suffered and early a taste of winter, with the city reporting its lowest October temperature for 14 years.
According to the India Meteorological Department (IMD), Bengaluru logged a low of of 15.4C on Tuesday morning, making it the coldest October day since 2008 (solar minimum of cycle 24).
Given the Urban Heat Island (UHI) effect –ignored by the mainstream climate establishment– temperatures in the outskirts of the city were found to be much colder. Sarjapur, for example, saw a reading almost 3C below that of its urban neighbor, of 12.5C.
The cold has persisted throughout the week, said the IMD, with parts of Karnataka, namely Badami and Bidar, enduring sub 13C lows on Wednesday.
Social media was soon awash with people complaining, “The onset of winter is early in Bengaluru,” wrote one resident on Twitter, with others simply posting the classic, “Winter is coming”.
“Brutally Cold Polar Blast” To Slam Australia
As predicted by the GFS more than a week ago, but only now being picked up by Aussie meteorologists, a “strong blast of Antarctic air” is on course to batter much of the continent next week.Australia’s southern states will be hit by “severely low temperatures”, as well as strong winds, showers, hail, and even snow.
“Experts are warning of [a] weather catastrophe forming in Antarctica”, reads a recent natureworldnews.com article, which, although idiotically hyperbolic, does point to what is a truly anomalous polar front building to the south.
According to Weatherzone, the south-eastern states will be slammed by a “bitterly cold arctic blast” next week, causing temperatures to plunge: “It’s going to be a very chilly week,” Weatherzone’s Brett Dutschke has said.
Temperatures will more characteristic of August than November, and will bring freezing, likely record-breaking low to the likes of Melbourne, with all Aussie states, including Tasmania, hit hard as next week progresses.
GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) Oct 30 – Nov 2 [tropicaltidbits.com].
Latest GFS runs are also calling for substantial accumulating snow across the higher elevations of Tasmania, Victoria and NSW, with longer range outlooks hinting at a continuation of this polar cold, particularly for southern states, into mid/late-November.
Rug up, Aussies.
“Hard, Cold” Winter Ahead, Warns Major Swedish Bank
Swedbank, one of Sweden’s largest banks, has published a grim forecast of the country’s economy — an outlook that can be applied to the majority of European nations as inflation and a needless energy crisis ravages the continent.The Swedish economy is shrinking and unemployment is rising, Swedbank said, envisaging a GDP fall of 1.1% next year, coupled with unemployment of 7.6% and an inflation rate of 7.4 %.
Inflation will rise further as the Riksbanken, the country’s central bank, is expected to continue its ratcheting up of interest rates. Swedbank predicted that the Riksbanken will raise interest rates sharply from the current 1.75% to 3% by February next year.
Such a move, in turn, would mean considerably higher interest costs for anyone with a mortgage, for example.
Swedbank expects that household consumption will fall dramatically, with its chief economist, Mattias Persson, even seeing the risk of a “complete halt in consumption” as households continue to slash spending: “Households will hold on to their wallets while purchasing power is impaired by high inflation and rising interest costs,” said Persson said.
Moreover, as the rising prices put extra pressure on household finances, businesses are showing a decreased willingness to invest: “We have a hard and cold economic winter ahead of us,” Persson told Swedish media this week.
Economies across Europe are already in a state of malaise thanks to backfiring EU sanctions against Russia that were meant to “punish” Moscow for the war in Ukraine, yet compounded both Europe’s energy and cost-of-living crises.
Earlier this month, former Riksbanken chief Lars Heikensten said these catalysts would impoverish Sweden, warning that the country must accept a lower standard of living.
Heaping on the misery, the country’s power supply is also doubt, as authorities warn of possible blackouts this winter amid a worsening energy crunch. According to the Swedish Civil Contingencies Agency (MSB), power rationing could affect traffic lights, trams, heating and communications as well as electronic locks to properties, among other things.
I, personally, see a global pivot with regards to interest rate hikes, which, in turn, will fuel a parabola in the stock/crypto markets. A handful of Central Banks, such as the Bank of England, have already resumed Quantitative Easing (QT) given the economic pain rate hikes were causing. And, adding further weight to this contention, the UN recently called on the Fed to stop raising interest rates for the same reasons–it’s causing economic pain across the world (as if that wasn’t the Fed’s plan).
But they remain the big one. As soon as the Federal Reserve reverse tact, which I see occurring in December following the release of more favorable inflation data in mid-November (a reading with a 7 in front of it instead of an 8).
This is what I’m betting on, at least — a pivot, and then one last hurrah in risk-on assets before the mother of all crashes takes everyone out at the knees. Then, during the carnage, the Great Reset will be implemented proper with its CBDCs social credit scores, aka ‘digital slavery’.
Surveillance World
I believe that Bitcoin and Ethereum were created by governments as a way of testing/luring-people-into the blockchain. Now the stage is set for a mass roll-out of these fully traceable and controllable tokens. Say hello to a cashless society; say hello to Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs); say hello to ‘Surveillance World’…By hook or by crook, the WEF got their man into Number 10 Downing Street, and now, given his ties and family background, the unelected stooge, Rishi Sunak, is now free to continue their bidding as the UK’s top dog, pushing CBDCs onto an unsuspecting British public:
Ben Leo
@benleo444
Sunak, the proprietor of the UK’s incoming Central Bank Digital Currency, is now Prime Minister in an almighty stitch up. Sunak playfully dubs our CBDC ‘Britcoin’ but these instruments are far from fun. They’re dystopian Another piece of the jigsaw in place. Problem>Solution https://t.co/WBxNoYK2C5
9:41 AM · Oct 24, 2022
Sunak was misrepresenting the CBDCs, too, calling them a compliment to cash when in fact the tokens will replace cash entirely.
These digital assets will also be mandated upon us, we won’t have much of a choice, and once we’re running our lives on them, it’s practically game over. If we step out of line, if our political beliefs –for example– don’t align with those of the establishment, then they will have the ability to cut us off; if we don’t agree that planet Earth is in a ‘cLiMaTe CrIsEs’ and refuse to pay our carbon taxes, then our ‘green’ social credit score will turn ‘red’ and our right to purchase certain goods, use public transport, or enter certain establishments will be revoked. Our line of credit will be cut. This will breed compliance, which will foster more tyranny.
Richard
@ricwe123
When conspiracy theories end up being right: CBDC will be "programmable" Giving the issuer control over how it is spent by the recipient. Your freedom to purchase fuel, meat, flights, fertiliser will be limited to a carbon credit score... https://t.co/dB3GRHl40y
4:49 AM · Oct 27, 2022
This isn’t the script for some tropey dystopic movie, this is ALREADY playing out in China, and as we’ve learned over the past few years, via the West’s copy-catting of the CPC’s strict COVID policies (lockdowns etc.), the globalists look to China’s unprecedented level of state control with envy.
As hinted above, it isn’t just Britain’s new PM realizing this bleak future; rather, this is a global movement.
Welcome to Surveillance World.
Eva Vlaardingerbroek
@EvaVlaar
The largest Dutch supermarket wants to start listing carbon scores on receipts, some of our largest banks already track individuals’ carbon emissions and elites everywhere around the world are pushing Digital ID’s and CBDC’s And yet most people still don’t see what’s coming.
2:02 PM · Oct 25, 2022
Please post suggestions on how we combat this tyranny in the comments section below.
I’ve gotten my young family off the grid, and we’re now successfully growing our own food (after a lot of trial and error). Many of you I’m sure are in similar boats, but I’m worried that our efforts won’t be enough. My concern is that taxes will still need to be paid on our land/property, and if these payments aren’t made in their new mandated digital currency, or, even if we were to buckle and accept CBDCs but then our poor social credit score –because I can’t keep my mouth shut– doesn’t allow us to make payments, then they will ‘legally’ –as they’ve determined the law– be able to evict us from our land and claim it back as theirs.
Stockpile gold?
Suggestions please.
PeterSweden
@PeterSweden7
Let me tell you the plan: 1. Cash will be replaced with central bank digital currency 2. It will be stored in a digital wallet that you access with your digital ID 3. The state has full control over what you spend your money on 4. Personal carbon tracking on your purchases
10:35 AM · Oct 25, 2022
Saying all that, I would be amiss not to point out that there is some hope — The Resistance is making progress.
The new Swedish ‘right-wing’ government is scrapping the country’s renewable energy plan, instead favoring nuclear that the greens tried so hard to dismantle. Sweden is also getting rid of its Environment Ministry. While in Canada, the new premier of Alberta has cut ties with the World Economic Forum, apologized to those who were prosecuted during lockdowns, and offered the unvaccinated their jobs back.
On the flip side, however, we have WEF puppet Rishi Sunak reinstating the UK’s fracking ban in the middle of an energy crisis. And we see Switzerland (and other EU nations) threatening to lock people up for 3 years if they heat their homes above 19C (66F) this winter. Things aren’t looking so rosy in the U.S., either. President Biden’s recent signing of Executive Order 14067, officially titled Ensuring Responsible Development of Digital Assets, is intended to fast-track America’s transition into a surveillance state, à la China.
We have many more battles, clearly.
But Sweden and Alberta should be regarded as wins.
Let’s keep pushing.
Related
July In Antarctica Was Another Colder-Than-Average Month; Record Chills In Madagascar; + Heavy Snow Closes New Zealand RoadsAugust 1, 2022In "Extreme Weather"Spring Chills Persist In South America; Russia Dips Below -30C (-24F); “Great Snow” Brought Record Winter Spending To New Zealand Resorts; + Australia Forecast Fierce November ColdOctober 24, 2022In "Extreme Weather"
Record August Chills In The Balkans; Antarctica Plunges Below -80C (-112F); Heavy Summer Snow Hits Xinjiang, China; + Texas Breaks Low Temperature Records, Including One From 1965August 24, 2022In "Extreme Weather"
alpha
Veteran Member
Electroverse
Extreme Weather
Half Moon Bay –for example– set a cold weather record Thursday, as confirmed by the National Weather Service (NWS). The temperature bottomed out at 37F, making it the coastal Peninsula city’s coldest October 27 in recorded history.
For reference, the previous record stood at 38F, set in 2011.
“It was chilly this morning around the region,” wrote the NWS on Elon’s Twitter.
I am reluctant to trust Musk. I regard his attained level of wealth within The System suspicious. Has he been allowed to be hyper-successful? Or did he sneak up on them? Is his closing the Twit deal a positive thing or not? I will say, it has started well, at least:
Greg Price
@greg_price11
BREAKING: Elon Musk officially closed the Twitter deal. Twitter's CEO Parag Agarawal, CFO Ned Segal, and chief content moderator Vijaya Gadde, who got Twitter to ban Donald Trump, got them to ban political ads, and censor the Hunter Biden story have all been FIRED
8:54 PM · Oct 27, 2022
Triple-Dip La Niña Winter Inbound (Like 1976?)
We have a cold-season situation looming that only compares to two other winters.
La Niña conditions are ongoing, and are expected to continue through the winter of 2022-23. A La Niña is when the equatorial Pacific Ocean water turns colder than normal. The large area of colder water, which stretches across the Pacific Ocean, will often create a particular storm track and temperature pattern across the U.S. and Europe, in particular.
+
Ocean surface temp anomalies (on Oct 25) show the large area of colder than normal waters.
This will be the third winter in a row with a La Niña setup. Since 1950, there have only been two other winters play out at the end of a three-year stretch of La Niñas — the winter of 1975-76 and the winter of 2000-01.
There has never been a four-year stretch of La Niña.
Both of those winters delivered notably brutal winter weather to the U.S. and Europe. In fact, early March 1976 had one of the most memorable, devastating storms in U.S. history. The Great Ice Storm of 1976 knocked television stations off the air, caused reservoirs to dry up and left more than 600,000 residents in Wisconsin alone without power for days.
The winter of 1975-76 also brought a lot of snow with it. Lansing, Michigan –for example– totaled a whopping 70 inches.
And similarly, the winter of 2000-01 –the other triple-dip La Niña winter– saw Lansing suffer its snowiest month ever, in Dec 2000; it also brought the snowiest month on record to Grand Rapids, with its 59 inches in Dec; while in Flint, 35 inches meant the city log its snowiest month on record, too, with an unprecedented 35 inches accumulating.
With regards to this upcoming winter, long range forecasters at NOAA say they’re expecting more snow than average. As previously discussed, NOAA foresee large swings with regards to temperatures, going from weeks of warmth to weeks of brutal cold, but overall, the agency says the winter of 2022-23 will likely have a number of “extended stretches of significantly snowy weather” based on the Triple Dip La Niña winters of the past.
A recent analysis by the Federal Energy Reliability Commission (FERC) indicates that the Texas grid since February 2021’s deadly Winter Storm Uri remains just as vulnerable.
According to FERC’s report, the ability of the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) –an agency tasked with managing the state’s power grid– to handle extreme weather conditions has only very slightly improved since the infamous Texas freeze.
Under similar conditions, demand for electricity could exceed available capacity by 18,000 megawatts, according to FERC. During Uri, demand reached 20,000 megawatts, according to the Austin American-Statesman, which led to ERCOT ordering power providers to cut off energy to millions of customers, resulting in blackouts that cost the state billions of dollars and left more than 700 people dead.
702 Texans Died in February’s Record-Breaking Freeze, far higher than the State’s Official Death Toll of 151
Plus: study finds cold-weather accounts for 94% of temperature-related deaths.
Electroverse
“Basically, what [FERC] is saying is if we get weather conditions like in February ’21, we would have close to a repeat of what happened,” Doug Lewin, president of Austin-based energy consulting company Stoic Energy, told the Statesman. “The risk that existed [in Feb 2021], for all intents and purposes, is about the same heading into this winter.”
The federal assessment does add that the grid would be able to handle capacity under normal winter conditions and claimed that winter cold isn’t expected to be that bad this time around, citing a NOAA forecast that calls for a 50-80% likelihood of higher-than average temperatures in Texas this winter. So, they haven’t learned then… NOAA made the exact same forecast last year, and we know what played out. Despite the prophesies for a ‘warmer-than-average’ February, the U.S. actually went on to suffer its coldest Feb since 1989, and its 19th coldest in record books dating back to 1895.
For more:
The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING in line with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among many other forcings, including the impending release of the Beaufort Gyre).
Extreme Weather
Low Temp Record Set In Half Moon Bay, CA; Triple-Dip La Niña Winter Inbound (Like 1976?); + Texas Grid Found “Not Ready” For Winter, Doomed To Repeat Deadly 2021 Blackouts…
October 28, 2022 Cap AllonLow Temp Record Set In Half Moon Bay, CA
Following the hundreds of low temperature records felled across the U.S. over the past week-or-so, the West is still at it. Records have fallen in Nevada over the past 24-hours, and also in California.Half Moon Bay –for example– set a cold weather record Thursday, as confirmed by the National Weather Service (NWS). The temperature bottomed out at 37F, making it the coastal Peninsula city’s coldest October 27 in recorded history.
For reference, the previous record stood at 38F, set in 2011.
“It was chilly this morning around the region,” wrote the NWS on Elon’s Twitter.
I am reluctant to trust Musk. I regard his attained level of wealth within The System suspicious. Has he been allowed to be hyper-successful? Or did he sneak up on them? Is his closing the Twit deal a positive thing or not? I will say, it has started well, at least:
Greg Price
@greg_price11
BREAKING: Elon Musk officially closed the Twitter deal. Twitter's CEO Parag Agarawal, CFO Ned Segal, and chief content moderator Vijaya Gadde, who got Twitter to ban Donald Trump, got them to ban political ads, and censor the Hunter Biden story have all been FIRED
8:54 PM · Oct 27, 2022
Triple-Dip La Niña Winter Inbound (Like 1976?)
We have a cold-season situation looming that only compares to two other winters.
La Niña conditions are ongoing, and are expected to continue through the winter of 2022-23. A La Niña is when the equatorial Pacific Ocean water turns colder than normal. The large area of colder water, which stretches across the Pacific Ocean, will often create a particular storm track and temperature pattern across the U.S. and Europe, in particular.
+Ocean surface temp anomalies (on Oct 25) show the large area of colder than normal waters.
This will be the third winter in a row with a La Niña setup. Since 1950, there have only been two other winters play out at the end of a three-year stretch of La Niñas — the winter of 1975-76 and the winter of 2000-01.
There has never been a four-year stretch of La Niña.
Both of those winters delivered notably brutal winter weather to the U.S. and Europe. In fact, early March 1976 had one of the most memorable, devastating storms in U.S. history. The Great Ice Storm of 1976 knocked television stations off the air, caused reservoirs to dry up and left more than 600,000 residents in Wisconsin alone without power for days.
The winter of 1975-76 also brought a lot of snow with it. Lansing, Michigan –for example– totaled a whopping 70 inches.
And similarly, the winter of 2000-01 –the other triple-dip La Niña winter– saw Lansing suffer its snowiest month ever, in Dec 2000; it also brought the snowiest month on record to Grand Rapids, with its 59 inches in Dec; while in Flint, 35 inches meant the city log its snowiest month on record, too, with an unprecedented 35 inches accumulating.
With regards to this upcoming winter, long range forecasters at NOAA say they’re expecting more snow than average. As previously discussed, NOAA foresee large swings with regards to temperatures, going from weeks of warmth to weeks of brutal cold, but overall, the agency says the winter of 2022-23 will likely have a number of “extended stretches of significantly snowy weather” based on the Triple Dip La Niña winters of the past.
Texas Grid Found “Not Ready” For Winter, Doomed To Repeat Deadly 2021 Blackouts
While many in Texas might be ready for a cool down, it seems that the state’s electrical grid isn’t. And aforementioned forecasts of a cold and snowy winter will fill many with dread given last year’s toils.A recent analysis by the Federal Energy Reliability Commission (FERC) indicates that the Texas grid since February 2021’s deadly Winter Storm Uri remains just as vulnerable.
According to FERC’s report, the ability of the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) –an agency tasked with managing the state’s power grid– to handle extreme weather conditions has only very slightly improved since the infamous Texas freeze.
Under similar conditions, demand for electricity could exceed available capacity by 18,000 megawatts, according to FERC. During Uri, demand reached 20,000 megawatts, according to the Austin American-Statesman, which led to ERCOT ordering power providers to cut off energy to millions of customers, resulting in blackouts that cost the state billions of dollars and left more than 700 people dead.
702 Texans Died in February’s Record-Breaking Freeze, far higher than the State’s Official Death Toll of 151
Plus: study finds cold-weather accounts for 94% of temperature-related deaths.
Electroverse“Basically, what [FERC] is saying is if we get weather conditions like in February ’21, we would have close to a repeat of what happened,” Doug Lewin, president of Austin-based energy consulting company Stoic Energy, told the Statesman. “The risk that existed [in Feb 2021], for all intents and purposes, is about the same heading into this winter.”
The federal assessment does add that the grid would be able to handle capacity under normal winter conditions and claimed that winter cold isn’t expected to be that bad this time around, citing a NOAA forecast that calls for a 50-80% likelihood of higher-than average temperatures in Texas this winter. So, they haven’t learned then… NOAA made the exact same forecast last year, and we know what played out. Despite the prophesies for a ‘warmer-than-average’ February, the U.S. actually went on to suffer its coldest Feb since 1989, and its 19th coldest in record books dating back to 1895.
For more:
The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING in line with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among many other forcings, including the impending release of the Beaufort Gyre).
northern watch
TB Fanatic
From my email inbox The Old Farmer's Almanac October 28 2022
