WAR CHINA THREATENS TO INVADE TAIWAN

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
Too many moving parts in this episode of musical chairs to get a firm handle on how the next lil bit of the great game will unfold. US power wanes, but Taiwans' got so many new friends, and if Taiwan is but the beginning gambit, are they ready for the other moves yet, too and will the domestic situation implode before Taiwan's mostly peaceful reunification and and and

..I really need a bigger chalk board and lots more lil plastic green men and accouterments to understand the likely fwd ripples
It's not so much US waning power as the quality of the leadership wielding it.
 

Doomer Doug

TB Fanatic
Yeah, I put it in the same class as Groebbels famous Jews as rats masterpiece. Xi the Merciless spews HATE out of this KILL all the Americans official propaganda screed produced by the Chinese Communist Party Media Department.
Xi makes this pile of :poop: and then he fires off an INVINCIBLE ICBM.

WAR!!! Like Hitler, Xi is not hiding his WAR PLANS.
 

Vegas321

Live free and survive
Wounder if the hypersonic ICBM China launched, went over US territory...
If it did. Was the occupier of the WH informed? Did the joint chiefs sound the alarm? Who knew, and when did they know?
A ICBM circling the globe in low Earth orbit. Is a VERY disturbing thing, to say the least.
 
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Doomer Doug

TB Fanatic
The trailer would be better if ALL OF IT was in English subtitles. :D

The point of it was 250,000 to 500,000 Chinese "volunteers/soldiers" allowed 30,000 US Marines and Allied forces to evade and retreat.

It is called a MILITARY VICTORY and no amount of communist drivel and :poop: can change that fact.

The bad news Housecarl, is China studied and learned from Chosin battle. They didn't do it then, but they might do it now, given our woke military and leaders.
Milley and Austin would be outfought by the current crop of Chinese Generals.
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
The trailer would be better if ALL OF IT was in English subtitles. :D

The point of it was 250,000 to 500,000 Chinese "volunteers/soldiers" allowed 30,000 US Marines and Allied forces to evade and retreat.

It is called a MILITARY VICTORY and no amount of communist drivel and :poop: can change that fact.

The bad news Housecarl, is China studied and learned from Chosin battle. They didn't do it then, but they might do it now, given our woke military and leaders.
Milley and Austin would be outfought by the current crop of Chinese Generals.
Yeah. Between their performance in Korea, the the history of their travails to gain Taiwan and their performance against the Soviets and Vietnamese the pressure will be on the PLA general staff to deliver results whatever the cost once the order is given.
 

Doomer Doug

TB Fanatic
China is now reduced to parading around blindfolded Indian soldier captives from Tibet area.

My basic point, Housecarl is Xi has ramped up the PSYCHOLOGY OF WAR for China:

EVERYWHERE.
:shkr:
And the space ICBM shot, when combined with this Party propaganda drivel tells me Xi is planning WAR, sooner or later, and likely sooner.

Xi is under threat of economic collapse, political infighting, and systemic chaos. Xi the Emperor is vulnerable and that means he is desperate.

Evergrande may "officially default" on the 23rd one week from now. GOT PREPS?
:sheep:
 

northern watch

Has No Life - Lives on TB
The opening moves I expect to see for a Chinese invasion of Taiwan

1 Assassinations of Taiwanese Military and Political leaders
2 Cyber attacks on Taiwanese computers, internet sites
3 Physical attacks by Chinese agents on power plants, bridges, all critical infrastructure
4 An attempt to seize a Taiwanese airport or landing area or port (maybe, if enough Chinese agents are present to make this possible)

1 to 4 would occur simultaneously

The secondary moves I expect to see for a Chinese invasion of Taiwan

5 A massive missile attack on Taiwanese military targets
6 An attack on Taiwanese shipping by Chinese Air Force and Navy
7 If the attempt to seize a Taiwanese airport, landing area or port is successful, then follow up forces will arrive

5 to 7 would occur simultaneously

The third move would be the actual invasion of Taiwan

The Chinese military must know before any of this happens, what the US will do.

These are some thoughts, please add what you expect to happen.
 

Doomer Doug

TB Fanatic
Xi the Merciless LIGHTS UP Guam, Pearl Harbor, San Diego, the boomer bases. He EXTERMINATES US and Allied military assets and infrastructure. Within the first 24 hours the US is simply eliminated as a major military power in the Pacific. And then, like Japan did, he just sits back and tells us to STFU or he will hit us with those space ICBM that we are helpless against.

And given the TRAITORS IN AMERICA DOING ALL THEIR TREASON, I rate China as being victorious. Especially since all of our enemies will then turn loose all the sleeper cells they have, etc etc etc. Sit back and watch us start our own Civil War Two and they won't have to lift a finger.

China has been prepping for war with the USA since 1972 at least.
 

northern watch

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Xi the Merciless LIGHTS UP Guam, Pearl Harbor, San Diego, the boomer bases. He EXTERMINATES US and Allied military assets and infrastructure. Within the first 24 hours the US is simply eliminated as a major military power in the Pacific. And then, like Japan did, he just sits back and tells us to STFU or he will hit us with those space ICBM that we are helpless against.

And given the TRAITORS IN AMERICA DOING ALL THEIR TREASON, I rate China as being victorious. Especially since all of our enemies will then turn loose all the sleeper cells they have, etc etc etc. Sit back and watch us start our own Civil War Two and they won't have to lift a finger.

China has been prepping for war with the USA since 1972 at least.
Doomer, you raise some good points, If the Chinese know that the US will do nothing to intervene, except to protest, then the invasion takes place. Thank you China Joe.

If the Chinese know that the US and Allies will intervene then that changes the Chinese calculations and Xi the Merciless LIGHTS UP Guam, Pearl Harbor, San Diego, the boomer bases. He EXTERMINATES US and Allied military assets and infrastructure, within the first 24 hours...

If the US does nothing, would that cause CW2 in the US? I do not know.
 

Doomer Doug

TB Fanatic
The Deep State would have to make its internal move, since if/when Xi the Merciless sinks several carrier task forces/groups etc the USA would simply implode and people would just start shooting each other based on the chinese actions.

I see no way for biden and the demoncrats to survive any Chinese attack on Taiwan since it would be worse than Afghanistan, plus it would totally remove the USA from the Pacific Ocean theater.
Anyway, Putin and Xi have taken the measure of biden et al, obama really runs things. with rice and hellary the shrew.

Meme, Meme Uparshin Tekel like the Babylonian leaders

You have been weighed, you have been found defective; you have been sentenced to death, and now you are summarily executed.

My personal opinion is the Chinese, especially the Chinese, will leave NONE of the current American ruling class alive. They will be exterminated down to the last purple haired bitch at State, or all the traitors everywhere else. Useful idiots will become useless idiots and the trenches with lime await the whole ignorant lot of them.
 

OldArcher

Has No Life - Lives on TB
The Deep State would have to make its internal move, since if/when Xi the Merciless sinks several carrier task forces/groups etc the USA would simply implode and people would just start shooting each other based on the chinese actions.

I see no way for biden and the demoncrats to survive any Chinese attack on Taiwan since it would be worse than Afghanistan, plus it would totally remove the USA from the Pacific Ocean theater.
Anyway, Putin and Xi have taken the measure of biden et al, obama really runs things. with rice and hellary the shrew.

Meme, Meme Uparshin Tekel like the Babylonian leaders

You have been weighed, you have been found defective; you have been sentenced to death, and now you are summarily executed.

My personal opinion is the Chinese, especially the Chinese, will leave NONE of the current American ruling class alive. They will be exterminated down to the last purple haired bitch at State, or all the traitors everywhere else. Useful idiots will become useless idiots and the trenches with lime await the whole ignorant lot of them.
That is exactly why we must capture, torture to extract intel, and execute any prisoners. Period. NO Prisoners, No Surrender. Period.

OA
 

northern watch

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Will The US Abandon Taiwan?

BY TYLER DURDEN
ZERO HEDGE
SUNDAY, OCT 17, 2021 - 11:55 PM

Authored by Brandon Weichert via RealClearWorld.com,

“Goodbye, great power competition and hello, strategic competition,” this is what the Biden Administration’s Pentagon spokesperson recently told Daniel Lipmann of Politico. According to analysts, these comments signal a shift toward a more cooperative, even conciliatory, American posture toward the Chinese Communist Party. Further, President Joe Biden told the media on October 6 that he had “spoken with [Chinese President Xi Jinping] about Taiwan. We agree that we will abide by the Taiwan Agreement.”



The agreement that Mr. Biden was referring to was the 1979 Taiwan Relations Act, an ambiguous agreement forged between China and the United States in which Taiwan would be treated by the United States as a foreign country without being formally recognized as such. While the 1979 agreement does allow for the provision of American military aid to Taiwan such that Taiwan can “maintain a sufficient self-defense capability,” the terms of this agreement allow for the Americans to shirk away from Taiwan whenever it is convenient for Washington do so.

The Biden-Xi call came on the heels of China’s brazen violation of Taiwan’s Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ) during the week of October 1. At that time, China deployed more than 50 warplanes to violate Taiwan’s ADIZ, testing Taiwan’s overworked air defense network and pushing the island’s military to the point of exasperation. At some point, a grave miscalculation will occur between China and Taiwan—a mistake that could spark another world war that Washington is not prepared or willing to fight.

In response to the recent Chinese aggression against Taiwan, the United States deployed two aircraft carrier strike groups near Okinawa. These powerful American warships linked up with the British Royal Navy’s carrier strike group. A group of warships from Japan, New Zealand, Canada, and the Netherlands also joined the American led flotilla.

The flotilla was meant to deter Beijing from any further acts of aggression during a low point in relations between Beijing and Washington.

Beijing was likely unimpressed.


Deterrence only works on an opponent who is willing to abandon the objective you are trying to prevent that opponent from achieving. Frankly, Beijing wants Taiwan more than Washington wants to keep the island away from China.

The current situation in China is especially dangerous for Xi Jinping’s continued rule. As China’s economy goes through a massive reorganization that could take down Xi’s regime, the Chinese ruler is looking to distract his people through powerful displays of nationalism, such as reclaiming the “lost” Chinese province of Taiwan.

President Biden, meanwhile, is beset by crises everywhere.

The American economy teeters on the brink as inflation continues unabated, a government shutdown looms, brittle supply chains cannot keep up with increased demand, Americans eschew returning to work in favor of greater welfare payments, and COVID-19 continues to rampage throughout the United States. To offset these economic threats to Biden’s presidency, the White House will likely try to get a new trade deal crafted with China that will curb inflation and generate trade.


What’s more, President Biden is fearful of a manmade global climate catastrophe. Both he and his climate czar, John Kerry, have for years insisted that China is key to curbing anthropogenic climate change. Far from courting war with China, the Biden Administration likely is seeking to reset relations to what they were before Donald Trump’s rise in 2016.

No matter what President Biden says, it is unlikely that he will commit US forces to defend Taiwan. According to a 2021 survey conducted by the Chicago Council on Global Affairs, only 41 percent of Americans support US military power being used to defend Taiwan. Therefore, it’s not politically expedient for Biden to risk another world war—at least according to the polls—anymore than it was for Biden to keep US forces in Afghanistan.

Beijing is quickly approaching the time when it is prepared to call Washington’s bluff over Taiwan. Should Biden refuse to act militarily to prevent a Chinese invasion of Taiwan, Beijing would probably offer Biden the useless consolation prize of a hollow climate deal and a new trade deal that empowers China in the long run. The diminution of American power will continue under Biden until there’s nothing left of the American-led world order.

With America’s only options being world war or capitulation, without an actual leader to rally the American people to stand for what’s right and to chart a new course, what else other than the collapse of American power in the Indo-Pacific can one expect?

Will The US Abandon Taiwan? | ZeroHedge
 

northern watch

Has No Life - Lives on TB
China's economic growth weakens amid construction slowdown
China’s economic growth sank in the last quarter as a slowdown in construction and curbs on energy use weighed on its recovery from the coronavirus pandemic

By JOE McDONALD AP Business Writer
17 October 2021, 21:51

People walk along a riverbank near a commercial office buildings under construction in Tongzhou, outskirts of Beijing, Monday, Oct. 4, 2021. China’s economy is losing steam as President Xi Jinping's government cracks down on corporate debt and energy

Image Icon
The Associated Press
People walk along a riverbank near a commercial office buildings under construction in Tongzhou, outskirts of Beijing, Monday, Oct. 4, 2021. China’s economy is losing steam as President Xi Jinping's government cracks down on corporate debt and energy use in pursuit of more stable, sustainable growth. (AP Photo/Andy Wong)

BEIJING -- China’s economic growth is sinking under pressure from a construction slowdown and power shortages, prompting warnings about a possible shock to its trading partners and global financial markets.

The world’s second-largest economy grew by a weaker-than-expected 4.9% over a year ago in the three months ending in September, down from the previous quarter’s 7.9%, government data showed Monday. Factory output, retail sales and investment in construction and other fixed assets all weakened.

Manufacturing has been hampered by official curbs on energy use and shortages of processor chips and other components due to the coronavirus pandemic. Construction, an industry that supports millions of jobs, is slowing as regulators force developers to cut reliance on debt that Chinese leaders worry is dangerously high
.

“Ripple effects to the rest of the world could be significant" due to weaker Chinese demand for raw materials, said Mo Ji of Fidelity International in a report. “Even developed markets, including the U.S., would not be immune to a significant tightening in global financial conditions as a result of a negative China growth shock accompanied by financial stress.”

Compared with the previous quarter, the way other major economies are measured, output barely grew in the July-September period, expanding by just 0.2%. That was down from 1.2% in the April-June period and one of the past decade’s weakest quarters.

The slowdown adds to pressure on Beijing to prop up activity by easing borrowing controls and spending more on building public works. But forecasters said even if that happens, activity will weaken before policy changes take effect.

“Growth will slow further,” Louis Kuijs of Oxford Economics said in a report.

Chinese leaders are trying to steer the economy to more sustainable growth based on domestic consumption instead of exports and investment and to reduce financial risk.

Construction and housing sales, an important source of demand for steel, copper and other industrial imports, have slowed since regulators ordered developers to reduce their debt levels.

One of the biggest, Evergrande Group, is struggling to avoid defaulting on $310 billion owed to banks and bondholders. That has fueled fears about other developers, though economists say the threat to global financial markets is small.

Factories in some provinces were ordered to shut down in mid-September to avoid exceeding official goals for energy use and energy intensity, or the amount used per unit of output. Some warned deliveries of goods might be delayed, raising the possibility of shortages of smartphones and other consumer products ahead of the Christmas shopping season.

Factory output barely grew in September, expanding by only 0.05% compared with August. That was down from the 7.3% growth for the first nine months of the year.

Private sector forecasters have cut their growth outlook this year for China, though they still expect about 8%, which would be among the world’s strongest. The ruling Communist Party’s official target is “more than 6%,” which leaves Beijing room to keep its controls in place.

The near-term outlook “remains difficult," said Rajiv Biswas of IHS Market in a report. Real estate also is suffering from “fears of contagion to some other property developers.”

This year’s economic figures have been exaggerated due to comparison with 2020, when factories and stores were closed to fight the coronavirus.

Output grew by a record 18.3% in the first quarter of 2021, but forecasters said the rebound already was leveling off.

In September, growth in retail spending weakened to 4.4% over a year earlier, down from 16.4% in the first nine months.

Investment in real estate, factories, housing and other fixed assets rose 0.17% in September, down from 7.3% for the first nine months.

The latest figures indicate “the property sector fallout will be a significant drag on growth in the coming quarters,” said Fidelity’s Mo. “Even significant policy easing now, which is still unlikely in our view, will take time to propagate into the real economy.”

Auto sales in the global industry’s biggest market fell 16.5% in September from a year earlier, according to the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers. The group said production was disrupted by shortages of processor chips.

Imports, an indicator of Chinese domestic demand, rose 17.6% in September over a year earlier, but that was about half the previous month’s 33% growth.

———

National Bureau of Statistics (in Chinese): www.stats.gov.cn

China's economic growth weakens amid construction slowdown - ABC News (go.com)
 

Doomer Doug

TB Fanatic
The USA won't be anything more than an empty pinata when it bails on Taiwan. Every single bilateral military agreement we have will be voided by the other party.
This new Australian nuke sub deal will just vanish into the mist.
China Russia and the Iranian confederation will rule the world.
The USA will be reduced to a yapping dachshund. :sheep: A nation of sheep, led by traitors and fools.
 

northern watch

Has No Life - Lives on TB
The USA won't be anything more than an empty pinata when it bails on Taiwan. Every single bilateral military agreement we have will be voided by the other party.
This new Australian nuke sub deal will just vanish into the mist.
China Russia and the Iranian confederation will rule the world.
The USA will be reduced to a yapping dachshund. :sheep: A nation of sheep, led by traitors and fools.
Yes, I can see NATO becoming an EU army without the US, UK and Canada. As for the Baltic States, Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania, kiss them good bye
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
The Deep State would have to make its internal move, since if/when Xi the Merciless sinks several carrier task forces/groups etc the USA would simply implode and people would just start shooting each other based on the chinese actions.

I see no way for biden and the demoncrats to survive any Chinese attack on Taiwan since it would be worse than Afghanistan, plus it would totally remove the USA from the Pacific Ocean theater.
Anyway, Putin and Xi have taken the measure of biden et al, obama really runs things. with rice and hellary the shrew.

Meme, Meme Uparshin Tekel like the Babylonian leaders

You have been weighed, you have been found defective; you have been sentenced to death, and now you are summarily executed.

My personal opinion is the Chinese, especially the Chinese, will leave NONE of the current American ruling class alive. They will be exterminated down to the last purple haired bitch at State, or all the traitors everywhere else. Useful idiots will become useless idiots and the trenches with lime await the whole ignorant lot of them.
Begs the question on the differences in world view between the current triumvirate and a likely CoG regime?.....
 

OldArcher

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Will The US Abandon Taiwan?

BY TYLER DURDEN
ZERO HEDGE
SUNDAY, OCT 17, 2021 - 11:55 PM

Authored by Brandon Weichert via RealClearWorld.com,

“Goodbye, great power competition and hello, strategic competition,” this is what the Biden Administration’s Pentagon spokesperson recently told Daniel Lipmann of Politico. According to analysts, these comments signal a shift toward a more cooperative, even conciliatory, American posture toward the Chinese Communist Party. Further, President Joe Biden told the media on October 6 that he had “spoken with [Chinese President Xi Jinping] about Taiwan. We agree that we will abide by the Taiwan Agreement.”



The agreement that Mr. Biden was referring to was the 1979 Taiwan Relations Act, an ambiguous agreement forged between China and the United States in which Taiwan would be treated by the United States as a foreign country without being formally recognized as such. While the 1979 agreement does allow for the provision of American military aid to Taiwan such that Taiwan can “maintain a sufficient self-defense capability,” the terms of this agreement allow for the Americans to shirk away from Taiwan whenever it is convenient for Washington do so.

The Biden-Xi call came on the heels of China’s brazen violation of Taiwan’s Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ) during the week of October 1. At that time, China deployed more than 50 warplanes to violate Taiwan’s ADIZ, testing Taiwan’s overworked air defense network and pushing the island’s military to the point of exasperation. At some point, a grave miscalculation will occur between China and Taiwan—a mistake that could spark another world war that Washington is not prepared or willing to fight.

In response to the recent Chinese aggression against Taiwan, the United States deployed two aircraft carrier strike groups near Okinawa. These powerful American warships linked up with the British Royal Navy’s carrier strike group. A group of warships from Japan, New Zealand, Canada, and the Netherlands also joined the American led flotilla.

The flotilla was meant to deter Beijing from any further acts of aggression during a low point in relations between Beijing and Washington.

Beijing was likely unimpressed.


Deterrence only works on an opponent who is willing to abandon the objective you are trying to prevent that opponent from achieving. Frankly, Beijing wants Taiwan more than Washington wants to keep the island away from China.

The current situation in China is especially dangerous for Xi Jinping’s continued rule. As China’s economy goes through a massive reorganization that could take down Xi’s regime, the Chinese ruler is looking to distract his people through powerful displays of nationalism, such as reclaiming the “lost” Chinese province of Taiwan.

President Biden, meanwhile, is beset by crises everywhere.

The American economy teeters on the brink as inflation continues unabated, a government shutdown looms, brittle supply chains cannot keep up with increased demand, Americans eschew returning to work in favor of greater welfare payments, and COVID-19 continues to rampage throughout the United States. To offset these economic threats to Biden’s presidency, the White House will likely try to get a new trade deal crafted with China that will curb inflation and generate trade.


What’s more, President Biden is fearful of a manmade global climate catastrophe. Both he and his climate czar, John Kerry, have for years insisted that China is key to curbing anthropogenic climate change. Far from courting war with China, the Biden Administration likely is seeking to reset relations to what they were before Donald Trump’s rise in 2016.

No matter what President Biden says, it is unlikely that he will commit US forces to defend Taiwan. According to a 2021 survey conducted by the Chicago Council on Global Affairs, only 41 percent of Americans support US military power being used to defend Taiwan. Therefore, it’s not politically expedient for Biden to risk another world war—at least according to the polls—anymore than it was for Biden to keep US forces in Afghanistan.

Beijing is quickly approaching the time when it is prepared to call Washington’s bluff over Taiwan. Should Biden refuse to act militarily to prevent a Chinese invasion of Taiwan, Beijing would probably offer Biden the useless consolation prize of a hollow climate deal and a new trade deal that empowers China in the long run. The diminution of American power will continue under Biden until there’s nothing left of the American-led world order.

With America’s only options being world war or capitulation, without an actual leader to rally the American people to stand for what’s right and to chart a new course, what else other than the collapse of American power in the Indo-Pacific can one expect?

Will The US Abandon Taiwan? | ZeroHedge
The picture above, of Biden filling his diaper, is truly disgusting!

OA
 

OldArcher

Has No Life - Lives on TB
The US should recognize Taiwan, send beau coup weapons and supplies, several divisions, at least two carrier battle groups, fast attack subs as well as anti-submarine assets, Iron Dome and THAAD systems, and enough fighters and bombers to get the Chicom’s attention. Mess with us, and die…

OA
 

Hi-D

Veteran Member
The US should recognize Taiwan, send beau coup weapons and supplies, several divisions, at least two carrier battle groups, fast attack subs as well as anti-submarine assets, Iron Dome and THAAD systems, and enough fighters and bombers to get the Chicom’s attention. Mess with us, and die…

OA
I wouldn't even charge them for all that stuff it they just took Brandon with it.
 

jward

passin' thru
'War is Real': Defend Taiwan or Give It the Bomb
by Gordon G. Chang
October 18, 2021 at 5:00 am


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  • U.S. President Joe Biden can reestablish deterrence by offering Taiwan a mutual defense treaty. If he does not want to do that, he should either base American nuclear weapons in Taiwan or transfer such weapons to the island so it can defend itself. In the 1980s, the U.S. beefed up deterrence of the Soviet Union by basing nuclear-tipped Pershing missiles in Europe.
  • China, in short, apparently believes it can run over America to make Taiwan its 34th province. To disabuse Chinese aggressors at this late date, the U.S. should ditch the decades-old "strategic ambiguity," the policy of not telling either Beijing or Taipei what it would do when conflict was imminent, and publicly offer Taipei a mutual defense treaty.
  • Taiwan has always been critically important to America. The island makes advanced chips for U.S. products, anchors America's western defense perimeter, and is a beacon of democracy. After the fall of Kabul, Taiwan is seen as the test of U.S. resolve. The U.S. should, therefore, be willing to go to extraordinary lengths to protect the island.
  • [T]here are no un-dangerous options for Washington.
  • Sha Zukang, the former Chinese ambassador for disarmament to the U.N. in Geneva, last month suggested that China create large exceptions to its announced no-first-use policy, the promise not to be the first to use nuclear weapons in a conflict.


U.S. President Joe Biden can reestablish deterrence by offering Taiwan a mutual defense treaty. If he does not want to do that, he should either base American nuclear weapons in Taiwan or transfer such weapons to the island so it can defend itself. Pictured: A Taiwanese Air Force F-16 fighter jet drop bombs during the annual Han Guang live-fire drill on August 25, 2016. (Photo by Sam Yeh/AFP via Getty Images)

"The island's society must be warned that they better not believe the 'rock solid' promise of the U.S. because Washington will never fight to the death with the Chinese mainland for the island's secession," the Chinese Communist Party's Global Times proclaimed on October 14, referring to Taiwan.

The words, contained in an editorial, reflects the Party's propaganda line, and that line almost certainly reflects the thinking of Chinese leaders.
There has in recent months been a dangerous erosion in deterrence. U.S. President Joe Biden can reestablish deterrence by offering Taiwan a mutual defense treaty. If he does not want to do that, he should either base American nuclear weapons in Taiwan or transfer such weapons to the island so it can defend itself.
It is clear Beijing no longer respects America, something especially evident in March when China's top two diplomats traveled to Anchorage to lecture, in derisive tones, America's secretary of state and national security advisor.
Moreover, in August, as Afghanistan was failing, Chinese propagandists went on the attack. On August 10, for instance, People's Daily, China's most authoritative publication, ran a piece titled "U.S. No Longer Has the Position of Strength for Its Arrogance and Impertinence."
At that time, Beijing propagated the notion that the U.S. could not hope to counter China because it could not deal with insurgents, the Taliban.

Moreover, Beijing wasted no time going after Taiwan's governing party, the Democratic Progressive Party. "The DPP authorities need to keep a sober head, and the secessionist forces should reserve the ability to wake up from their dreams," an editorial from Global Times, controlled by People's Daily, stated. "From what happened in Afghanistan, they should perceive that once a war breaks out in the Straits, the island's defense will collapse in hours and the U.S. military won't come to help."
China, in short, apparently believes it can run over America to make Taiwan its 34th province. To disabuse Chinese aggressors at this late date, the U.S. should ditch the decades-old "strategic ambiguity," the policy of not telling either Beijing or Taipei what it would do when conflict is imminent, and publicly offer Taipei a mutual defense treaty.
A treaty would be, of course, a sure sign of American will. Washington, when it switched diplomatic recognition to Beijing from Taipei in 1979, terminated the mutual defense treaty with Taiwan of 1954. The U.S. should admit the mistake and sign a new one, fast.

There is an alternative to a treaty: make sure Taiwan, one way or another, has nuclear weapons.
Such weapons are so fearsome that the mere possibility that a country has them is itself a deterrent. As RAND's Scott Harold told Gatestone, some believe Taiwan would not necessarily need many of these weapons. Just a few—and perhaps just one—could establish deterrence.
Some think the island already possesses an arsenal of such devices. Others, however, are not so sure. "Of course, you can't be completely certain, but most likely Taiwan does not have nuclear weapons after successive American efforts to end those programs," said Richard Fisher of the International Assessment and Strategy Center to Gatestone. At least twice—in the mid-1970s and late 1980s—Washington forced Taiwan to stop secret atomic bomb programs.
How would Taiwan get its hands on the world's most destructive weaponry now? Taiwan could restart its nuclear weapons program, but even though it may be close to assembling a device—it is, after all, a so-called bomb-in-the-basement country—it would take time to build an arsenal.

While building one, China could accelerate plans to invade. Many believe Chinese leaders consider that Taiwan's imminent acquisition of nuclear weapons would be an additional casus belli. So as RAND's Harold perceptively points out, "How one gets from 'could Taiwan deter if it had nuclear weapons' to 'now Taiwan has them' could be a dangerous road to walk."
The U.S. could shorten the period of risk by giving Taiwan an off-the-shelf bomb, an instant deterrent, or basing American nukes on the island. In the 1980s, the U.S. beefed up deterrence of the Soviet Union by basing nuclear-tipped Pershing missiles in Europe.
Taiwan has always been critically important to America. The island makes advanced chips for U.S. products, anchors America's western defense perimeter, and is a beacon of democracy. After the fall of Kabul, Taiwan is seen as the test of U.S. resolve. The U.S. should, therefore, be willing to go to extraordinary lengths to protect the island.
Taiwan is not a signatory to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty, so it has no obligation to remain nuke-free. The U.S., however, is a party to the treaty and has an obligation not to proliferate.

Yet it is high time to reconsider compliance with that treaty. Treaty-member China has proliferated nuclear weapons technology and materials to various regimes, and Beijing was behind the Pakistani nuclear black-market ring of A. Q. Khan, who transferred Chinese nuke tech to, among others, Iran and North Korea. Because China has armed aggressors with nukes, America, to maintain deterrence and keep the peace, should arm potential victims with them.
Would the proliferation of nukes to Taiwan be dangerous? After watching—and not stopping—Communist China from proliferating for more than a half century, there are no un-dangerous options for Washington.
Sha Zukang, the former Chinese ambassador for disarmament to the U.N. in Geneva, last month suggested that China create large exceptions to its announced no-first-use policy, the promise not to be the first to use nuclear weapons in a conflict.

In 1996, when he was China's top arms negotiator, Sha told Newsweek that his country's policy of no-first-use did not apply to Taiwan. The foreign ministry subsequently said Sha was speaking out-of-turn, but many thought he had in fact revealed official thinking on the subject.
In any event, Taiwan and the U.S. need to do something now to deter an extraordinarily aggressive China. On the 4th of this month, the Global Times issued an editorial with this title: "Time to Warn Taiwan Secessionists and their Fomenters: War Is Real."
Gordon G. Chang is the author of The Coming Collapse of China, a Gatestone Institute distinguished senior fellow, and a member of its Advisory Board.
 

danielboon

Has No Life - Lives on TB
China’s military tests nurses in nighttime island landing simulation
  • More than 300 nurses took part in training on a boat simulator, administering intravenous medication in near-complete darkness with waves of 2 metres
  • PLA is also developing a new digital health monitor for troops to wear that uses AI to decide who gets treated first and guide the nearest medic to them
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Published: 8:00am, 19 Oct, 2021




Military nurses are undergoing training to prepare them for an island landing combat situation. Photo: PLA Daily

Military nurses are undergoing training to prepare them for an island landing combat situation. Photo: PLA Daily
The People’s Liberation Army is training military nurses using a boat simulator to prepare them for a combat situation involving an island landing.
More than 300 nurses from an unspecified military hospital took part in the first round of training from July 2020 to February this year – the first time the PLA has conducted this type of simulation exercise for nurses.
Its Joint Logistics Support Force said the nurses had to administer medication via an intravenous line in near-complete darkness in a simulation of a nighttime combat scenario at sea, with waves of 2 metres (6.5ft).
“There would be insufficient light and turbulent waves in a combat environment when crossing the sea and landing on an island, which makes it risky to perform intravenous infusion, but also affects follow-up treatment of the wounded and sick,” a team led by Jiao Wei from the logistics support force wrote in the Chinese-language Military Medical Journal of Southeast China last month.


“In information-based modern warfare, marine medical rescue and evacuation is challenged by a more complex environment … simulation training can recreate the ship’s environment to a certain extent, so that nursing staff can adapt to the special environment at sea.”





PLA tests its amphibious combat capability during beach-landing drill on China’s southeastern coast
It comes amid soaring tensions across the Taiwan Strait, with the PLA ramping up military activities near self-ruled Taiwan and upgrading and reinforcing airbases near the island. Beijing claims Taiwan as its own territory and has not ruled out the use of force to bring the island under its control.

The training was held outdoors during the day and the nurses wore goggles that blocked out most of the light. That meant they had to rely mostly on touch to locate a vein in a patient’s arm to administer medication, and they also had to do this while trying to steady themselves aboard the boat simulator as it rocked from side to side.

According to the paper, about one-third of the time the nurses were unable to complete the task at the start. But after three days of training to handle the conditions, the error rate was reduced to about one-tenth of the time.
China military researchers pinpoint AI for hypersonic weapons accuracy
14 Oct 2021
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While the team concluded that the training had been effective, they said it was still not satisfactory because the average time to insert an IV and administer potentially life-saving medication under pressure was about six minutes – and that may not be fast enough. Nurses could also have to contend with added pressures such as the sound of gunfire, mechanical noise, bad weather and sea sickness during a real combat situation, some of which will be part of future training.








‘One China’ explained
An earlier PLA study in Fuzhou, Fujian province also found that its medics were not completely ready for battle. The scenario for that study, published in the same journal in May last year, was that medics had to deal with a huge number of casualties after warships were sunk by nuclear weapons during an island landing operation. It concluded that most PLA medics had not been trained to handle injuries in such an extreme environment.

China’s military is meanwhile developing a hi-tech health management system for the battlefield, and in particular an island landing situation, based on artificial intelligence technology.

A new digital health monitor has been designed for troops to wear that would automatically report their condition and location. Based on the data, the AI would decide which soldier should get treated first and guide the nearest medic to them, according to a study by the PLA Naval Medical University in Shanghai.
“The large-scale use of hi-tech weapons will make any future landing operation extremely brutal, with far more casualties than a conventional battle,” He Tianlin, a professor with the university, wrote in the Journal of Navy Medicine in May. “An AI-based medical support system will play an important role and could even change the course of a battle.”
 

danielboon

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Warships from Australia, Japan, U.K., U.S. join forces in Maritime Partnership Exercise 2021
18 October 2021
From Carrier Strike Group 1 Public Affairs
The high-end training was designed to strengthen multinational interoperability.


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BAY OF BENGAL (Oct. 17, 2021) Ships and aircraft from the U.S. Navy, Royal Australian Navy, Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force, and U.K. Royal Navy transit in formation as part of Maritime Partnership Exercise (MPX) 2021, Oct. 17, 2021. MPX 2021 is a multilateral maritime exercise between the Royal Australian Navy, Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force, U.K. Royal Navy, and U.S. maritime forces, focused on naval cooperation, interoperability and regional security and stability in the Indo-Pacific and is an example of the enduring partnership between Australian, Japanese, U.K. and U.S. maritime forces, who routinely operate together in the Indo-Pacific, fostering a cooperative approach toward regional security and stability. (U.S. Navy photo by Mass Communication Specialist 2nd Class Haydn N. Smith)

Ships and aircraft from the U.S. Navy, Royal Australian Navy, Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force, and U.K. Royal Navy transit in formation as part of Maritime Partnership Exercise (MPX), Oct. 17, 2021. (U.S. Navy/MC2 Haydn N. Smith)
INDIAN OCEAN – Naval forces from Australia, Japan, the U.K., and the U.S. joined together in multilateral Maritime Partnership Exercise (MPX) 2021 to conduct naval training in the eastern Indian Ocean, Oct. 15-18.
During the multinational exercise, four Indo-Pacific navies, to include the Royal British Navy (RN), Royal Australian Navy (RAN), Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force (JMSDF), and U.S. Navy engaged in enhanced planning, advanced maritime communication operations, anti-submarine warfare operations, air warfare operations, live-fire gunnery events, replenishments-at-sea, cross-deck flight operations, and maritime interdiction operations.
“MPX is high-end, multi-domain maritime training at its finest,” said Rear Adm. Dan Martin, commander, Carrier Strike Group (CSG) 1. “All four participating nations have enduring interests in the security, stability, and well-being of the Indo-Pacific region. We will continue to fine-tune our collective assets - speed, precision, lethality - in order to maximize our warfighting proficiency with our regional trusted partners.”
Elements of the Royal Australian, British, Japanese, and American maritime forces routinely operate together in the Indo-Pacific, fostering a cooperative approach toward regional security and stability. This exercise brings multiple allies and partners together to strengthen interoperability and increase operations in the Indian Ocean region.
“The U.S. Navy routinely conducts integrated training operations with its international partners to demonstrate our commitment and investment in the Indo-Pacific region,” said Capt. Gilbert Clark, commodore, Destroyer Squadron (DESRON) 1. “In addition to preserving rules-based international order in the global maritime commons, the U.S. Navy’s unwavering pledge to maritime security in the Indo-Pacific is critical to international trade and commerce.”
CSG 1 recently conducted a variety of bilateral exercises with the Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force and tri-carrier operations with the Royal Navy’s HSM Queen Elizabeth (R08) and U.S. Navy’s Nimitz-class aircraft carrier USS Ronald Reagan (CVN 76).
“Multilateral and bilateral exercises demonstrate our steadfast pledge to our partners and our collective desire to maintain a free, open and inclusive Indo-Pacific,” said Capt. P. Scott Miller, commanding officer, USS Carl Vinson (CVN 70). “The closer we train together, the more quickly and easily we can come together when our combined forces are needed.”
Participating from the Royal Australian Navy are Anzac-class frigate HMAS Ballarat (FFH 155) and HMAS Sirius (O 266).
"Our ongoing cooperation with Japan, the United Kingdom and the United States further strengthens our professional mariner relationships and enhance our interoperability," said Cmdr. Antony Pisani, commanding officer HMAS Ballarat. "Both Ballarat and Sirius have spent significant time deployed to the region this year and Maritime Partnership Exercise adds to the list of excellent navy-to-navy activities we've enjoyed with the United States."
Royal British Navy participants included Carrier Strike Group (CSG) 21, consisting of HMS Queen Elizabeth (R08); HMS Defender (D36); HMS Kent (F78); HMS Richmond (F2389); RFA Tidespring (A136); RFA Fort Victoria (A387); and USS The Sullivans (DDG 68).
JMSDF participants included Izumo-class multipurpose operation destroyer JS Kaga (DDH 184), Murasame-class destroyers JS Murasame (DD 101).
U.S. Navy participants included Carrier Strike Group (CSG) 1, consisting of aircraft carrier USS Carl Vinson (CVN 70); Carrier Air Wing (CVW) 2; Ticonderoga-class guided-missile cruiser USS Lake Champlain (CG 57); Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyer USS Stockdale (DDG 106); and Fleet Replenishment Oiler Henry J. Kaiser-class USNS Yukon (T-AO 202).
CSG 1 is on a scheduled deployment in the U.S. 7th Fleet area of operations. This marks the first time that a CSG is deployed in the 7th Fleet area of operations with the Air Wing of the Future (AWOTF), including the first operational deployment for both the F-35C Lightning II Joint Strike Fighter and Navy CMV-22B Osprey.
CSG 1 provides a combat-ready force to protect and defend the collective maritime interests of the U.S. and its regional allies and partners. Collectively, the VINCSG consists of more than 7,000 Sailors, capable of carrying out a wide variety of missions around the globe.
 

Doomer Doug

TB Fanatic
Well, I see the US Navy has a new transgender admirial. Putin is cutting the amount of natural gas to Europa this winter.

WAR is coming right along with Winter.
Got any extra meds Daniel and Housecarl? I may need to start drinking again.:D
 

danielboon

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Well, I see the US Navy has a new transgender admirial. Putin is cutting the amount of natural gas to Europa this winter.

WAR is coming right along with Winter.
Got any extra meds Daniel and Housecarl? I may need to start drinking again.:D
The clock is only seconds to midnight now
 
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