GOV/MIL Main "Great Reset" Thread

marsh

On TB every waking moment

American Business Elites Have Become Lobbyists For China, Expert Says

WEDNESDAY, JUN 15, 2022 - 08:00 PM
Authored by Michael Washburn via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

Beijing’s well-documented abusive trade practices, human rights abuses, and territorial aggression have been hard to curb partly because of a lack of alignment between the political and military leadership of democratic nations, on the one hand, and Western business elites engaging in trade with China, on the other, said panelists at a hearing held by the American Enterprise Institute think tank on June 14.

Chinese leader Xi Jinping and Vice Premier Liu He (L) attend a group photo session with former U.S. Secretary of State Henry Kissinger, former U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson (R) and members of a delegation from the 2019 New Economy Forum before a meeting at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, China on Nov. 22, 2019. (Jason Lee-Pool/Getty Images)
American and European executives tend to allow Beijing’s leaders to lull them into a sense that China’s government is their friend, and changing this false sense is of paramount importance for taking effective action against the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) aggression and protecting the national security and economic and political interests of Western powers, the experts said.

Entitled “Defending Western Economies Against Chinese Unfair Practices,” the hearing featured lengthy testimony from Rep. Darin LaHood (R-Il.), who issued a stark warning about what he sees as the danger China poses to the world.

“China, from my perspective, is an existential threat in many ways—from a national security standpoint, from an economic standpoint, from a trade standpoint, from a cyber standpoint. I say this often: China has a plan to replace us, economically, militarily, you can go down the list there,” LaHood said.

But even as Beijing’s rulers harbor ambitions inimical to the interests of the United States, the close economic ties between the powers often prevent some people from seeing the issue clearly, LaHood argued. In the 18th Congressional district in central Illinois that he represents, LaHood said, the livelihoods of his constituents are heavily dependent on trade with China.
“I have the eighth largest agricultural district in the country. About a third of the corn and soybeans that my farmers grow go to China every day. I have the largest concentration of Caterpillar workers anywhere in the world. In my district, we make a lot of engines, tractors, and excavators,” LaHood said.

Caterpillar has 29 manufacturing plants as well as four R&D facilities in China, he pointed out. Given these realities, there is an obvious disconnect between much of the rhetoric heard in Congress, where lawmakers are calling for a Cold War mindset to counter the CCP threat, and the day-to-day reality of a close economic partnership between American laborers and Chinese businesses.

If the arguments made at the time that China gained entry to the World Trade Organization (WTO) back in 2001 had proven true, and admittance to the body had ushered in a more rules-based, Western-style trading system for China, then the disconnect between the political and economic stances would not be so severe, LaHood contended. But the promises made at the time that Beijing sought entry to the WTO have proven hollow, he said.

Overall, they have not adapted to the rules-based system. They continue to steal our intellectual property, they continue to not abide by the same rules and standards that every industrialized country in the world does,” LaHood commented.

The Psychological Dimension
China’s elites have grown highly adept at flattering the egos of American business leaders and representatives and keeping the economic relationship deeply entrenched and at odds with U.S. political goals, said James Palmer, the deputy editor of Foreign Policy, a Washington-based magazine. American entrepreneurs feel drawn by the “gravitational pull” of a Chinese market of 1.3 billion consumers and the enormous commercial potential they see there, and the lure of tremendous profits mutes the reaction of U.S. business leaders to rampant abuses such as intellectual property (IP) theft, he said.

The stealing of IP by Chinese entities has cost the United States an estimated $225 billion to $600 billion per year in recent years, according to the Commission on the Theft of American Intellectual Property.

“We’ve seen an unwillingness to cooperate with theft, but none of that really dissuades businesses from wanting to get into [the Chinese] market, to get the benefits of cheap labor, and cheap labor unencumbered by unions, because if there’s one thing the CCP hates, it’s unions,” Palmer said.

When American businesspeople travel to China, they often prove susceptible to assurances about the centrality of the U.S.-China economic partnership and to flattery about their own role in sustaining it, Palmer suggested. It is important to look closely at the way the CCP has targeted Western executives for these kinds of psychological ploys, he said.

“You arrive in Beijing, you go to the Shangri-La Hotel or the Mandarin Oriental, you’re in a five-star hotel, and you’re surrounded by pleasant young Chinese people who tell you how important you are, how important the U.S-China relationship is, how critical business is to them, and how there are extremists on both sides but you can be the one who speaks to moderation, who becomes the bridge,” Palmer said.

“And then you come back and you say in [Washington] D.C., oh, the Chinese are really such reasonable people. And you effectively turn yourself into a lobbyist” for the CCP, he added.
Palmer described this kind of soft offensive targeting American businesspeople as difficult to counter because it is of course not possible or, objectively speaking, desirable to prevent friendly conversations between Chinese and visiting Americans. Business and political leaders must put effective tactics to use. Palmer cited the example of the U.S. sanctions placed on smartphone and high-tech equipment maker Huawei in 2019 as an example of an effective means of responding to abusive Chinese practices.

Huawei provided us with some very useful models for sanctions, and sanction tools that have been revitalized and used against Russia,” Palmer said.

Economic decoupling can also take place as a result of Beijing’s own initiatives, he added. This happens when Chinese officials suffer “internal paranoia” about U.S. influence, or what CCP leaders regard as “American cultural and economic infiltration,” he continued. An example of this is evident in the entertainment industry, where American-made films have a hard time getting past censors screening cinematic product.

“Hollywood for years was a prime example of an American industry that would do whatever Beijing said in order to gain access, but so few movies are getting permission to get into China now that this is starting to have an effect on Hollywood,” Palmer said.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

'Impossible To Continue Operating': Australia’s National Energy Market Suspended

WEDNESDAY, JUN 15, 2022 - 07:20 PM
Authored by Rebecca Zhu via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

The Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) has suspended the entire national energy market from June 15 at 2:05 p.m. after it was deemed “impossible” to continue operating the spot market while ensuring a reliable energy supply.

A power plug is placed into a power socket in Melbourne, Australia, on Oct. 22, 2012. (Quinn Rooney/Getty Images)

AEMO Chief Executive Daniel Westerman prefaced the announcement by revealing the market operator had been forced to direct 5,000 megawatts of generation through direction interventions yesterday, roughly 20 percent of total demand.

“In the current situation suspending the market is the best way to ensure a reliable supply of electricity for Australian homes and businesses,” he said in a media release.

The situation in recent days has posed challenges to the entire energy industry, and suspending the market would simplify operations during the significant outages across the energy supply chain.

Westerman emphasised that the suspension would be temporary and be reviewed daily for each market region. Once the AEMO is able to resume market operation under normal rules, it will do so “as soon as practical.”

The suspension means the AEMO will take sole charge of dispatching energy to the energy grid and will not need to rely on last-minute interventions.

The operator will apply a pre-determined pricing schedule for each energy market region and generators may submit an application to AEMO if their costs exceed the suspended market.

“That visibility will help us to manage the system in real-time as well as to understand the balance of supply and demand,” Westerman told reporters. “Despite this, conditions remain tight in the coming days, in particular in New South Wales (NSW), where we would urge consumers to conserve energy where it is safe to do so.”

It is the first time the entire national energy market has been suspended since its formation in 1998. However, it has suspended the energy markets in Tasmania and South Australia in 2021, making it “a process that’s familiar to [the AEMO].”

The national energy market has faced significant challenges from a confluence of factors that led to this decision, including the closure of coal-fired plants, rising international coal and gas prices, and rising demand for heating during the winter season.

The NSW and Queensland energy ministers have backed both AEMO’s decision, with both saying it would ensure adequate supply across the Eastern states.

“This decision further reduces the risk of supply shortfalls and unplanned outages,” Queensland Energy Minister Mick de Brenni said. “I can assure Queenslanders there is surplus supply to meet demands in our state and a further generating unit is scheduled to return to service later this week.”

The Australian Industry Group said worried energy users need confidence in face of the market suspension.

The unprecedented suspension of the national electricity market spot market is a clear signal that the energy crisis in Eastern Australia is intensifying,” CEO Innes Willox said in a statement.

“The detail of the AEMO market suspension will be completely arcane to most business and household energy users. They need confidence that the physical electricity system they depend on will not collapse.”
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

WATCH: White House Press Secretary Says It’s the ‘Patriotic Duty’ of Oil Companies to Lower Profits and Produce More Fuel

By Michael Robison
Published June 16, 2022 at 8:30am

The White House Press Secretary, Karine Jean-Pierre, said that it is the “patriotic duty” of oil and gas companies to combat rising prices by cutting profits and producing more fuel amid the administration’s continuous narrative of blaming the war in Ukraine.

View: https://twitter.com/i/status/1537160698765115395
.27 min

Her statements follow President Biden accusing big oil companies of seeing their profit margin triple amid global energy shortages and record gas prices.

“We see it as a patriotic duty … as we’ve talked about, there’s war happening right now. That was caused by Russia, which is why we’re seeing these hikes in gas prices, especially since Russia has amassed, started amassing troops, on the border [of Ukraine],” she said.

“We want to focus on the oil refinery, which is why we put out the letter today or yesterday; I’m losing track of time,” Jeane-Pierre said at a briefing.

‘And so we see that as an important first step in making sure that the oil refineries are doing their part again – patriotic duty – and making sure that they’re putting out capacity, and they’re not taking advantage of it’s of a war that is hurting the American public,” she continued.

Jean-Pierre said that the White House and the oil companies would “hopefully” have a conversation. “We’re going to get to a solution and move this forward,” she said.

The Press Secretary accused the oil companies of using the war as a tool for company profiteering.

“They are using this moment, using this moment of war, where the American, where American families are feeling the high costs with food and gas,” she said.

“That is not a patriotic thing to do, and the president has the right to call them out.”

The comments come on a day when Biden issued a letter to the oil companies demanding they reduce profits and the cost of fuel nationwide. In his letter, Biden cited an “unprecedented disconnect between the price of oil and the price of gas.”

In the letter, he informs them he has ordered Secretary of Energy Jennifer Granholm to convene an emergency meeting with company executives to explain any reduction in refining capacity since 2020.

While using the typical blame game of “Putin’s war of aggression,” claiming that it is the primary cause of a dwindling supply of oil, Biden also pointed out that oil company profit margins are at the highest recorded levels.

On Thursday, the gas price nationwide remained above $5 per gallon, according to AAA.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5PxsR_-mVSc
15:35 min

Financial expert WARNS: Left wants a trajectory LIKE VENEZUELA


Glenn Beck


Americans continue to suffer financially, and many of them — including Glenn — may be wondering: Is now the time to pull assets from today’s tumultuous stock market? Carol Roth, financial expert and author of ‘The War On Small Business,’ joins Glenn to answer similar questions. And while Roth cannot give financial advice based on YOUR individual situation, she does provide insight into market trends and give tips for how to hedge your portfolio. Plus, Roth and Glenn discuss Biden’s recent letter to oil companies, in which the president warned his ‘emergency authorities’ may take over if they don’t do as told. But that’s similar to how Venezuela’s downfall began, Roth explains, and now the median net worth there is ZERO DOLLARS. And unfortunately, she says, it seems that’s the trajectory today’s far-left wants to take too…
 

raven

TB Fanatic

What Drives Gasoline Prices?

WEDNESDAY, JUN 15, 2022 - 08:20 PM
Across the United States, the cost of gas has been a hot topic of conversation lately, as prices reach record-breaking highs.

The national average now sits at $5.00 per gallon, and by the end of summer, this figure could grow to $6 per gallon, according to estimates by JPMorgan.

But, as Visual Capitalist's Carmen Ang details below, before we can have an understanding of what’s happening at the pump, it’s important to first know what key factors influence gasoline prices.

This graphic, using data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), outlines the main components that influence gasoline prices, providing each factor’s proportional impact on price.



The Four Main Factors
According to the EIA, there are four main factors that influence the price of gas:
  • Crude oil prices (54%)
  • Refining costs (14%)
  • Taxes (16%)
  • Distribution, and marketing costs (16%)
More than half the cost of filling your tank is influenced by the price of crude oil. Meanwhile, the rest of the price at the pump is split fairly equally between refining costs, marketing and distribution, and taxes.

Let’s look at each factor in more depth.

Crude Oil Prices
The most influential factor is the cost of crude oil, which is largely dictated by international supply and demand.

Despite being the world’s largest oil producer, the U.S. remains a net importer of crude oil, with the majority coming from Canada, Mexico, and Saudi Arabia. Because of America’s reliance on imports, U.S. gas prices are largely influenced by the global crude oil market.

A number of geopolitical factors can influence the crude oil market, but one of the biggest influences is the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), led by Saudi Arabia.

Established in 1960, OPEC was created to combat U.S. dominance of the global oil market. OPEC sets production targets for its 13 member countries, and historically, oil prices have been linked to changes in OPEC production. Today, OPEC countries are responsible for about 60% of internationally traded petroleum.

Refining Costs
Oil needs to be refined into gasoline before it can be used by consumers, which is why refining costs are factored into the price of gas.

The U.S. has hundreds of refineries across the country. The country’s largest refinery, owned by the Saudi Arabian company Saudi Aramco, processes around 607,000 barrels of oil per day.
The exact cost of refining varies, depending on a number of factors such as the type of crude oil used, the processing technology available at the refinery, and the gasoline requirements in specific parts of the country.

In general, refining capacity in the U.S. has not been keeping up with oil demand. Several refineries shut down throughout the pandemic, but even before COVID-19, refining capacity in the U.S. was lagging behind demand. Incredibly, there haven’t been any brand-new refining facilities built in the country since 1977.

Taxes
In the U.S., taxes also play a critical role in determining the price of gas.
Across America, the average gasoline tax is $0.57 per gallon, however, the exact amount fluctuates from state to state. Here’s a look at the top five states with the highest gas taxes:



*Note: figures include both state and federal tax

States with high gas taxes usually spend the extra money on improvements to their infrastructure or local transportation. For instance, Illinois doubled its gas taxes in 2019 as part of a $45 billion infrastructure plan.

California, the state with the highest tax on gas, is expecting to see a rate increase this July, which will drive gas prices up by around three cents per gallon.

Distribution and Marketing Costs
Lastly, the costs of distribution and marketing have an impact on the price of gas.

Gasoline is typically shipped from refineries to local terminals via pipelines. From there, the gasoline is processed further to ensure it meets market requirements or local government standards.

Gas stations then distribute the final product to the consumer. The cost of running a gas station varies—some gas stations are owned and operated by brand-name refineries like Chevron, while others are smaller-scale operations owned by independent merchants.

The big-name brands run a lot of advertisements. According to Morning Consult, Chevron, BP PLC, Exxon Mobil Corp., and Royal Dutch Shell PLC aired TV advertisements in the U.S. more than 44,495 times between June 1, 2020, and Aug. 31, 2021.

How Does the Russia-Ukraine Conflict Impact U.S. Gas Prices?
If only a fraction of America’s oil comes from Russia, why is the Russia-Ukraine conflict impacting prices in the U.S.?

Because oil is bought and sold on a global commodities market. So, when countries imposed sanctions on Russian oil, that put a squeeze on global supply, which ultimately drove up prices.
This supply shock could keep prices high for a while unless the U.S. falls into a recession, which is a growing possibility based on how recent data is trending.
they forgot the additional 30% cost for Joe Biden
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

Bill Gates & The Cognitive 'Frame' Game

THURSDAY, JUN 16, 2022 - 05:20 PM
Authored by Thomas Harrington via The Brownstone Institute,

A few weeks back, at the World Economic Forum (WEF) meeting in Davos, Bill Gates said some surprising things. In the course of a 56-minute panel discussion the vaccine pusher extraordinaire admitted (starting at the 18:22 mark) that the Covid vaccines do not block infection and that the duration of whatever protection they bring to the table is extremely short.

View: https://youtu.be/KxPfgPzhGHM
56:39 min

He later talked (starting at 51:00 mark) of the absurdity of implementing any Covid passport program—and one can logically deduce any other measure to segregate the vaccinated from the unvaccinated—when the injections have shown no ability to do the least that one should expect from a vaccine: prevent infection and transmission.

These admissions violently kick the stool out from under the arguments made in favor of the more assaultive and damaging Covid “containment measures” taken in the past two years, many of which are still being pursued with pitiless vigor by public officials, CEOs, and educational “leaders” all around the world.

Are we to believe that Bill Gates had a sudden impulse to undermine all that he used his billions to mercilessly promote over the last two years? And that he was giving all those currently carrying out those plans permission to stand down?

It’s a nice thought. But I don’t believe it to be the case.

No. Bill was simply engaging in one of the more tried and true techniques of elite information management, the limited hangout, or what I prefer to call a drive to “save the frame” of an argument that is quickly taking on water.

Since Bill and many of the people he has paired up with to force the experimental and often harmful vaccines upon the world, effectively own or have donated untold amounts of money to many of the world’s more important media outlets, he knew beforehand that he did not have to worry much about his words being widely circulated.

And so it was. Only relatively small independent news gatherers took any note of what he said.
So who was he addressing his words to and why?

He was speaking to the fellow true believers and providing them with a rhetorical model for handling the loss of faith some among their ranks are having in the face of the vaccines’ abject failure.



The key to understanding the frame game here is the clause Gates uttered right before the “but” with which he introduced his truthful words about the “vaccines” pitiful infection-blocking capabilities and short duration of effectiveness: “The vaccines have saved millions of lives.”

Those familiar with the work of cognitive linguist George Lakoff, or the activities of pollster and so-called political wordsmith Frank Luntz will know what I’m talking about.

What these two men have in common—despite their divergent political allegiances—is their belief in the extraordinary power of rhetorical framing; that is, the tendency of the human brain to subordinate the careful analysis of empirically proven details to the embrace of an overarching cognitive metaphor that appeals to their deeper, if often unstated, cultural and emotional values.

It’s the difference between, for example:
“The US invaded Iraq on false pretenses and destroyed it, killing hundreds of thousands of innocent people.”
and
“In its efforts to bring democracy to Iraq, the US made a number of tragic mistakes.”
The first states a bald empirical truth. The second obfuscates that crude reality and subordinates it to the noble vision, so cherished by Americans when contemplating their role in the world, of a country that is constantly helping people around the world to better their lives.

And with widespread imposition of mental frames like this through the media, “poof!” go all the gory, on-the-ground details, and with them more importantly, the need to actually interrogate what we did and how we might seek to repair the lives we broke.

Going back to Davos, Bill was effectively saying to his minions, “You are on a great moral crusade. We’ve had some small problems along the way, but don’t give up, because the world needs us to continue to be heroic and save more lives.”

And with that cognitive frame in place, any creeping doubts those in the audience might have about what they have done, and their future mission, disappear just like that.

We see the same gambit used when the US government inevitably links the apparent waning of the pandemic to the use of vaccines. Here, for example, is what the CDC said to CNN shortly after lifting requirement that US citizens be tested before returning home from foreign travels:
“The Covid-19 pandemic has now shifted to a new phase, due to the widespread uptake of highly effective Covid-19 vaccines, the availability of effective therapeutics, and the accrual of high rates of vaccine-and infection-induced immunity at the population level in the United States. Each of these measures has contributed to lower risk of severe disease and death across the United States.”
It’s no accident that the first factor adduced to explain the onset of happier days, the one that sets the frame for all that follows, is the “widespread uptake of highly effective Covid-19 vaccines.”

The goal here— as it was in the case of Gates at Davos—is to preserve, in the face of abundant empirical evidence to the contrary, the frame that presents the forced administration of vaccines as the great slayer of the pandemic and gifter of our vanquished freedoms, and to turn that suggestion into an established fact through constant repetition.

But, of course, neither Gates’s claim about the vaccines saving “millions of lives” nor the CDCs’ assertion that “widespread vaccine uptake” was the key reason for ending the pandemic are established facts. Far from it. Indeed, there are no scientific studies that l know of capable of authenticating either claim. But that’s just the point.

The elites that deign to rob us of our bodily sovereignty and so much more in the name of Covid, or whatever other “mortal health threat” that they choose to publicize next through their carpet-bomber control of most media, have all done their homework on the frame game and carefully tailor their communications to fit with its imperatives.

Unfortunately, most citizens are still not clued in to how it operates in their lives. Verbal details such as the ones cited above matter because they play an enormous role in establishing and maintaining what the now sadly tarnished Chomsky once brilliantly called the field of “thinkable thought” in our public discussions.

To open up that field we need to smash their frames. But to smash those frames we first need to admit they exist, and where we can go to find them.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

Turkey & Russia Say 3 Ukrainian Ports Can Now Be Accessed By Grain Ships

THURSDAY, JUN 16, 2022 - 06:05 AM
Authored by Kyle Anzalone & Will Porter via The Libertarian Institute,

Ankara and Moscow have put forward potential solutions to reopen Ukraine’s Black Sea ports, with Russia offering safe passage to ships while Turkey said it could help guide vessels around Ukrainian naval mines deployed to stall the Russian advance.

Russia’s UN Ambassador Vassily Nebenzia told reporters on Wednesday that the Kremlin is open to creating a "safe passage" for grain shipments, but said Moscow could not guarantee a route that would be free of mines.

Maxar Technologies image showing Russia-flagged Matros Pozynich docked in Sevastopol in May.
"We are not responsible for establishing safe corridors. We said we could provide safe passage if these corridors are established," he said. "It’s obvious it’s either de-mine the territory, which was mined by the Ukrainians, or ensure that the passage goes around those mines."

While Turkey has said it would "take some time" to clear away the munitions, Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu suggested safe corridors could be found in some Ukrainian ports, presenting the offer a short-term solution.

"Since the location of the mines is known, certain safe lines would be established at three ports," the FM said earlier on Wednesday, adding that ships could "come and go safely to ports without a need to clear the mines."

Cavusoglu went on to say that Ankara has not received a response from the Kremlin on the proposal, but is currently working with the United Nations on a plan. UN spokesman Stephane Dujarric confirmed that discussions were underway, though noted that an agreement from both Ukraine and Russia would be needed to move forward.

Turkey’s National Defense Minister Hulusi Akar, meanwhile, told TRT that the three nations recently created an "emergency communication mechanism" to resolve the problem and reopen Ukraine’s ports, but it’s not yet clear whether any progress had been made in negotiations. Last Sunday, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan also announced that he plans to hold a three-way dialogue on the issue with his Russian and Ukrainian counterparts sometime in the coming weeks, after Ankara hosted several rounds of lower-level peace talks.

Kiev, however, has signaled that it will not accept the Russian or Turkish proposals.

Speaking at an event in Washington on Wednesday, David Arakhamia, a lawmaker and the head of Ukraine’s negotiation team, said “Our military people are against [de-mining the ports], so that’s why we have very, very limited optimism for this model.”

1655429260335.png

The UN has warned that the disruption of grain exports from Ukraine could have a massive impact on global food supplies. Together, Moscow and Kiev provide up to 40% of Eastern Europe’s grain purchases, and make up an even greater part of some countries’ total imports.

While Ukrainian and American officials have repeatedly blamed Russia for the shortages, Moscow has rejected the charge, instead pinning the scarcities on US sanctions and the explosives still deployed at key Ukrainian seaports. The Kremlin previously offered to help establish a safe route for shipping vessels in exchange for sanctions relief, but Washington refused to take up the deal.

The US and its Western partners have attempted to cripple the Russian economy through heavy sanctions in response to the invasion, some pledging outright embargoes on the country’s energy exports. While the penalties initially sent the ruble tumbling, it has since made a significant comeback and is now among the best performing currencies against the dollar in 2022. Meanwhile, the White House is now quietly pushing US shipping companies to do business with Russian fertilizer suppliers.

View: https://twitter.com/i/status/1535153539315511301
1:46 min

The conflict raging in Eastern Europe has not severed all business ties between Moscow and Kiev, as Ukraine’s state-run Naftogaz has continued to work with its Russian equivalent, Gazprom. Though the two firms have reportedly done hundreds of millions of dollars in trade since the war kicked off in February, the shaky truce could soon fracture, as Naftogaz is now pursuing a lawsuit against Gazprom for alleged underpayment.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
(Comment: It is clear that oil prices are now driven globally, as is refining capacity. I ask the question: Could China drive oil availability in preparation for its planned attack on Taiwan? Are the US strategic oil Reserves used to fuel ships, if needed, in times of war and could that be why Biden is drawing them down to mute our response? )


Lockdowns Lead To Major Decline In China's Refining Output

WEDNESDAY, JUN 15, 2022 - 06:00 PM
By Tsvetana Paraskova of Oilprice.com

Strict lockdowns in Shanghai and the resulting depressed fuel demand led in May to the largest annual decline in Chinese refinery production in at least the past decade, official data cited by Reuters showed on Wednesday.



Last month, Chinese refiners processed around 12.7 million barrels per day (bpd) of crude oil, down by 10.9 percent compared to May 2021, according to data from the Chinese National Bureau of Statistics. Refinery throughput was marginally higher compared to the April processing rate of 12.61 million bpd, but the April refinery output was also low by Chinese standards.



Weak fuel demand amid strict lockdowns with China's "zero COVID" policy was behind the largest annual plunge in at least a decade in May.



Refining operations started to recover at the end of last month, when China announced a gradual easing of the lockdowns in Shanghai and Beijing. However, flare-ups since early June have prompted authorities to impose fresh curbs on mobility, in a sign that China's oil demand recovery will not be smooth.

A new "explosive" outbreak in a Beijing district is threatening the demand growth recovery again this week.

Last week, a return to lockdowns in Shanghai weighed on oil prices, suggesting it may be a while yet before the Chinese economy returns to normal. On the flip side, news that China's oil imports in May were 12 percent higher than a year earlier could potentially lend support to prices, although they may not be indicative of an actual demand increase.

"The easing of Covid-related restrictions in China should have provided a further boost to sentiment in the market. However, a flare-up of cases in Beijing and Shanghai more recently has seen authorities tighten restrictions once again. China's covid zero policy remains a downside risk for the market," ING strategists Warren Patterson and Wenyu Yao wrote on Tuesday.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6T5jZEdESMs
12:21 min The first 7 minutes are pertinent discussion. The rest is on getting out of the fiat money system.)

This Will Be Worse Than What Russia Did Food Will Skyrocket (Empty Shelves) SHTF (advocates for gold)


The Economic Ninja


Before China moves in on Taiwan you need to get prepared

(Saber rattling and escalating between Taiwan and China. Every time a country cannot ship commodities and goods, there are less of that on the global market causing commodity futures to rise and less of the resource to consume. If China goes to war, there will be sanctions on steroids. So what - a lot of crap we don't need. Actually, it is the difference between so many Mom and Pop businesses surviving or dying. If they don't have product to sell, they're going to go under. There is going to be a cascading effect.

This is an economic war and as Gerald Celente says: "if all else fails, they take us to war." The US is sending armaments to Ukraine and Taiwan. They are poking the bear right now.

Right now the world's economies are splitting into 2. Right now, we're poking both facets of the other side of the team. They are building a superteam economically and militarily. )
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1suYCfxBdIs
13:05 min

How a PROXY WAR against oil & gas is ruining our nation


Glenn Beck


The Biden administration is GASLIGHTING every American citizen about oil and gas, and in this clip, Glenn shows a clip from Joe’s 2020 presidential campaign that proves it. So, we know the president is LYING to us all about gas. But, meanwhile, there's a proxy war happening in oil industries throughout the nation. Glenn reads an op-ed from Vivek Ramaswamy that explains how BlackRock is manipulating corporations like Exxon to DECLINE oil production…all while Americans continue to suffer majorly at the pump.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

Data-Tracking Technology Used During Pandemic At Risk Of Abuse, Australian Privacy Expert Warns

THURSDAY, JUN 16, 2022 - 06:40 PM
Authored by Nina Nguyen via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

The COVID-19 pandemic has given rise to tech-based surveillance, opening up opportunities for the government and corporations to harvest citizens’ data under the radar, says a technology policy director.



The comment comes after media reports in Australia in early June revealed the state government of Victoria—known for spending the longest number of days in lockdown globally—had been using a data agency, which was initially set up to inform pandemic decision-making, to monitor Victorians’ everyday activities beyond COVID-19.

In late May, Human Rights Watch found that 89 percent of educational technologies (EdTech) used for remote learning exploited their access to children by harvesting their personal, location, or learning data.

Many of these apps and websites are endorsed by the Australian government, such as Zoom, Minecraft Education and Microsoft Teams, which remained in place after COVID-19.

Dhakshayini Sooriyakumaran, Director of Tech Policy at Reset Australia, an independent think tank working to counter digital threats, said the pandemic has seen various data extraction technologies get set up as “emergency measures.”

However, she noted these technologies usually come without adequate data protection safeguards or clear purpose limitations, creating loopholes for data abuse.

There’s no kind of public engagement about what the citizen feels comfortable with in terms of how the government is using that data,” she told The Epoch Times.

“And because of the power differential between institutions and individual citizens, data is used and abused. And we see really dire consequences as a result.”

According to a recent investigation by The Herald Sun, the Victorian government’s data agency Insights Victoria has collected citizens’ public, sensitive, and “commercial-in-confidence” data in an attempt to become the “single truth source” of the government.

Full access was given to Victoria’s police chief commissioner, chief health officer, emergency management commissioner and Premier Dan Andrews’s private political staff.

The revelation came after following calls to withdraw the government’s Information Sharing Bill 2021. The bill has been alleged to undermine a patient’s privacy rights by creating a system “where a person’s most private medical information can be shared on an electronic database without their consent.”

Roger Clarke, secretary of the Australian Privacy Foundation, an NGO formed to protect privacy rights, told The Epoch Times that “it’s hard to tell when a government is being secretive, just what they’re hiding.”

“The factual information that’s publicly available appears to be minimal. And that alone is a serious concern,” Clarke said.

“Decisions about what the law says are subject to parliamentary approval, not a politician’s whim. And decisions about public policy measures require public information and public debate.”

However, some digital privacy experts are divided in terms of how much Australians should be concerned about their privacy rights. Adjunct Professor for Cyber Security Research and Innovation Centre Damien Manuel argued that “the public doesn’t place value on data and the digital trail they leave behind.”

If people use Facebook as an example, they need to understand they are the product, hence why the service is free. Even using mapping services on mobile phones enable commercial entities to track where people go, yet there is no outcry by the public, but when a government does the same, we seem to be up in arms.”

“If governments had access to rich data sources, under the appropriate oversight, it could be used to deliver improved services for Australians.”

While it might be too far to say the government and corporations have leveraged the pandemic to collect data, institutions could be “opportunistic,” said Reset Tech Policy Director Sooriyakumaran.

“We are living in an economy where data is one of the most valuable resources any institutional entity can actually capture,” she said.

“Government, like corporations, has been trying to fly under the radar and extract as much data as possible.”

Sooriyakumaran further described data-driven decision-making as “a kind of philosophy that institutions are adopting across all sectors and industries.”

The digital privacy expert pointed to a broader trend of widescale data extraction that is taking place across all of the government services, such as Australia’s COVID-19 tracking app, QR code, robot debt, social welfare, Centrelink, employment services, and disability support.

“But I think more and more, particularly with the pandemic, people are starting to understand, oh, governments and corporations are actually quite intertwined when it comes to the value chain of data extraction.”
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

Chinese Banks Freeze Billions In Deposits: Officials Use Health QR Code To Bar Protestors

THURSDAY, JUN 16, 2022 - 07:20 PM

Chinese local banks are freezing deposits. Protestors cannot go near banks as their health app for COVID-19 turns red. Authorities provided no explanation...

View: https://youtu.be/Jh3SgTid0mA
9:55 min


As The Epoch Times' Dorothy Li reports, several depositors told The Epoch Times on June 14 that the health code on their COVID-19 app turned red as soon as they scanned venue barcodes at Zhengzhou, the provincial capital city of central China’s Henan Province.

A red health code - indicating a potential COVID-19 patient - means the carrier is barred access to all public places from public toilets to shops to train stations, and faced mandatory quarantine in centralized isolation centers.

They are among tens of thousands of bank depositors who have fought to recover their savings for more than two months. The crisis started in April when at least four lenders in Henan froze cash withdrawals, citing internal system upgrades. But customers said neither these banks nor officials have since offered any information on why or how long, prompting angry protests outside the office of the banking regulator in Zhengzhou in May.

An estimated 1 million customers were reportedly affected, which has left many residents’ life savings at stake and patients unable to pay for regular medical care.

Depositors have been cut off for at least 39.7 billion yuan ($5.91 billion), according to Sanlian LifeWeek, a state-run magazine.

Aggrieved depositors across the country planned another protest in Zhengzhou on June 13 to demand an answer, though previous gatherings were met with silence from local authorities and violence from plain-clothes police.
...
Their plan, however, was thwarted again as their health code turned red at the city’s train stations or highway entrance.



A red code indicates the highest level of risk, meaning the person tests positive, has been close to a COVID-19 patient, or has visited high COVID-risk areas in the past 14 days. Residents with red code face two weeks of centralized isolation.
...
“They [officials] are like robbers,” said a third bank customer who was stopped by police at Zhengzhou train station on June 12 and required to leave.

“We’re all legal depositors … Why couldn’t we even have an explanation?”
...
“It’s so scary,” one user commented.

“If the health code is abused … it could be putting digital handcuffs on us. Everyone will become a prisoner from now on and could be stopped anywhere, anytime.”

Read more here...
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

Transhumanism, Technocracy, And Global Transformation: Taking Down The Demonic Dictatorship
The Stew Peters Show

BY STEW PETERS SHOW
JUNE 16, 2022

Transhumanism, Technocracy, And Global Transformation: Taking Down The Demonic Dictatorship 14:01 min

Transhumanism, Technocracy, And Global Transformation: Taking Down The Demonic Dictatorship
Stew Peters Network Published June 16, 2022

The days of Noah are upon us. Patrick Wood joins to discuss his findings on how the Globalist agenda is attacking and perverting science, and turning our world into a Transhumanist, GODLESS society.

In the past few days, we spoke to two guests who will be at the Path to Truth conference in Riverview, Florida just outside Tampa, this Friday and Saturday. First we spoke to Doctor Reiner Fuellmich, the German lawyer who wants to bring pharma executives and health officials in front of a second Nuremberg tribunal. Then, yesterday, we talked with medical researcher Dr. Judy Mikovits, eternal foe of the Big Pharma establishment and the creator of the ultra-viral Plandemic video.

MORE NEWS: “Talk About Gaslighting” – The Persecution of the Vaccine-Injured Is Most Tragic of All [VIDEO]
Now, today, we get to talk with the third panel guest of the Path to Truth conference.

Patrick Wood is the author of “Technocracy Rising: The Trojan Horse Of Global Transformation.” He is also a leading expert on the Trilateral Commission, and elitist and globalist organization set up by David Rockefeller, which has a few hundred members and seeks to influence and control policy in the U.S., Europe, Japan, and really, the entire planet.

Patrick has long predicted the rise of a scientific dictatorship, which uses alleged “expertise” to justify abolishing democracy and controlling the masses in the name of “science.”

Patrick’s insights are all grounded in a Biblical perspective. He is able to see the deep religious origins of the modern attacks on our sovereignty, our property rights, and our personal liberty in the form of Agenda 21, so called “smart growth” and “sustainable development,” and the Common Core in education.

Like we said, Patrick Wood will be in Riverview tomorrow and Saturday. Consider getting a ticket if you’re in the Tampa area. You can find an affiliate link attached to this broadcast on Rumble or at StewPeters.com and Patrick joins us now
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

Biden Now Claims Shipping Companies Are 'Price Gouging' but the Facts Say Differently

By Nick Arama | Jun 16, 2022 8:45 PM ET

9acb9c6a-f4f0-43ae-bc16-a6d9e9007ae8-860x475.jpg
AP Photo/Alex Brandon

There’s a tendency to ask, “What is the government doing?” when things are messed up. But as Ronald Reagan schooled us, the nine worst words in the English language are: “I’m from the government and I’m here to help.” Beyond that, this is not the nature of our government. We’re not a dictatorship. We don’t have a king who operates by fiat. At least we’re not supposed to.

The government isn’t our daddy who tells us what to do. But the more power we allow the government to have, the more those in government will take.

We already have Biden exceeding what he’s supposed to be doing with executive power provisions and the Defense Production Act. For example, he’s used the Defense Production Act to increase the production of solar panels, claiming that’s related to energy concerns. What does that have to do with the rising gas prices? But that was his excuse for the improper use of this act, to pump solar panels to fit his political agenda. Is someone making bank as a result?

In the effort to deflect from his failures when it comes to inflation and gas prices, Biden has also been going after private companies, like the oil companies, threatening them and blaming their “greed” for the rise in prices–when it’s his bad and inconsistent policies that have decimated the energy industry. Instead of letting loose private industry, thus encouraging their growth in a way that’s better for Americans, Biden is always trying to restrict it with heavy regulation, which discourages industry and growth.

Now Biden has moved on to attacking the shipping companies. Here he was on June 10 threatening to “pop ’em” — meaning, punch the people running the shipping companies.

View: https://twitter.com/i/status/1535325868104593409
.15 min

This is the guy we have in charge, with access to nuclear codes? Yeesh.

Biden just signed a bipartisan bill imposing restrictions on shipping companies, claiming there were “nine companies”–who controlled everything–that are price gouging.

But just like with the oil companies, what Biden is saying isn’t true. We’re supposed to believe that all these individual entities suddenly got greedy? Why weren’t they as greedy under President Donald Trump? The story of course is that it’s other than what Biden says–and the World Shipping Council (rightly) let Biden have it.

The World Shipping Council, whose members include Hapag-Lloyd, Maersk, destroyed Biden’s characterizations of the industry in a statement they issued on Thursday.
The Federal Maritime Commission has found that “ocean carrier competition is ‘vigorous’ and that while ocean freight prices are high, they are ‘exacerbated by the pandemic, an unexpected and unprecedent surge in consumer spending particularly in the United States, and supply chain congestion, and are the product of the market forces of supply and demand,’ ” the shipping group said.

“The worn-out talking point that ‘there’s only nine major ocean shipping lines who ship from Asia to the United States’ is also untrue. While nine lines in and of itself is evidence of competition and not concentration, there are an additional thirteen ocean liner companies that operated over 30% of the sailings from Asia to the U.S so far this year.”

In other words, what Biden has said is wrong. They have increased costs with having to deal with all the issues of the supply chain congestion, a problem Biden simply seems to dismiss. He thinks he can just regulate them or beat it out of them.

As Hot Air’s Ed Morrissey observes, the shipping company is not exactly making out hand over fist, contrary to what Biden claims. Ed explains that the industry had an operating loss of more than $3 billion in 2021. He also has another great observation — assuming this were true, the supply chain problems have been going on since Biden came into office, so why is he only addressing this now?

The purpose of this is to make it appear to his left-wing base that he’s turning the screws on those evil greedy corporations because a lot of the left-wing base has seen Biden as largely ineffective on everything, just like the right has. But at a time when the problem is that the companies have had to deal with too many problems and regulations, Biden is going to add more regulation into the bargain–maybe, with a side of threats?

Christine McDaniel, an international trade economist who is also a Senior Research Fellow at George Mason University, knocked down Biden’s claims about price gouging and monopoly. She notes it was supply and demand, as a result of the problems of the pandemic.

1655442757417.png

On top of that, McDaniel explains that Biden is going to drop these regulations on the industry just as the congestion seems to be abating, so suddenly inserting this on to the situation could make things worse.

But hey, at least Biden can then say he “did something,” right? And when things get worse, just as with everything else he touches, the refrain from the WH podium will be: “Not my fault, blame Putin.”
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

Climate Clown Kerry Ripped Over Energy Lie: ‘We Absolutely Don’t’ Need To Drill For More Oil”
By Geller Report Staff - on June 16, 2022

Photo credit: Shutterstock

When kept men who never had to work or held a real job get power…..

The person who is most responsible for skyrocketing energy costs is the Biden Administration’s hideous and deranged climate czar. The Geller Report predicted that John Kerry as climate czar would inflict significant damage on America’s middle class families. What a scumbag.

View: https://twitter.com/i/status/1536797759419867136
.18 min

Climate czar Kerry ripped over energy claim: ‘We absolutely don’t’ need to drill for more oil

By Fox News, June 15, 2022

Twitter users reacted to Biden climate czar John Kerry’s assertions that the U.S. “absolutely” does not need to drill for more oil and gas amid an ongoing energy crisis and record-high gas prices, lambasting him for being “out of touch” and for prompting a strategy that is not “feasible.”

Kerry, speaking at an event hosted by the University of Southern California’s Center of Public Diplomacy last Friday, railed against fossil fuels, saying that energy security concerns are “driving” complaints that the U.S. needs to perform more domestic drilling and return to coal.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

AMERICAN NEWS Jun 15, 2022 10:30 PM EST

Biden threatens use of emergency powers on oil companies if they don’t ramp up production

"My administration is prepared to use all reasonable and appropriate Federal Government tools and emergency authorities to increase refinery capacity and output in the near term," Biden said.

Biden threatens use of emergency powers on oil companies if they don’t ramp up production

Hannah Nightingale
Hannah NightingaleWashington DC

June 15, 2022 10:30 PM2 Mins Reading

In a series of letters sent on Wednesday, President Joe Biden threatened the use of emergency powers to get American oil companies to increase the output at refineries to improve the shocking gas prices Americans are experiencing at the pump.

In the letters, obtained by Fox Business, Biden said that oil companies are running on "historically high profit margins" while Americans are forced to pay historic prices at the gas pump. Last week, the national average for a gallon of gas surpassed $5.

Video clip on website .12 min

"There is no question that Vladimir Putin is principally responsible for the intense financial pain the American people and their families are bearing," Biden wrote in one of the letters. "But amid a war that has raised gasoline prices more than $1.70 per gallon, historically high refinery profit margins are worsening that pain."

"Your companies and others have an opportunity to take immediate actions to increase the supply of gasoline, diesel and other refined product you are producing," he added.

"My administration is prepared to use all reasonable and appropriate Federal Government tools and emergency authorities to increase refinery capacity and output in the near term, and to ensure that every region of this country is appropriately supplied," Biden said.

These letters were sent to Shell, BP, Chevron, Phillips 66, ExxonMobil, Marathon Petroleum Crop, and Valero Energy Corp, making up some of the largest petroleum companies in the US.

These letters come as Biden ordered another 45 million barrels of crude oil be released from the US Strategic Oil Reserve on Tuesday, and as Inflation sits at a 40 year high, at 8.6 percent.
Biden’s reportedly letters gave no timeline as to when these actions would be taken, only that it would happen in the "near future."

The Biden administration has continually blamed high gas prices on Putin, as well as oil companies not taking advantage of available leases for drilling.

In March, former White House Press Secretary Jen Psaki said that "We have actually produced more oil at record numbers and we will continue to produce more oil. There are 9,000 approved drilling permits that are not being used. So the suggestion that we are not allowing companies to drill is inaccurate. The suggestion that that is what is hindering or preventing us prices to come down is inaccurate."

"90 percent of them happen on private lands," Psaki said, "as I'm sure you know, and there are 9,000 unused, approved drilling permits. So I would suggest you ask the oil companies why they're not using those if there's a desire to drill more."

In May, the administration cancelled the sale of a million-acre oil and gas lease in Alaska due to "lack of industry interest in leasing in the area."
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

AMERICAN NEWS Jun 15, 2022 10:57 PM EST

Exxon Mobil SLAMS Biden in fiery letter
''We kept investing even during the pandemic, when we lost more than $20 billion and had to borrow more than $30 billion to maintain investment to increase capacity to be ready for post-pandemic demand.''

Exxon Mobil SLAMS Biden in fiery letter

Katie Daviscourt
Katie DaviscourtSeattle, WA

June 15, 2022 10:57 PM2 Mins Reading

Exxon Mobil slammed President Joe Biden in a fiery letter on Wednesday after Biden called out oil companies during a recent press conference, blaming them for rising fuel costs as skyrocketing inflation rocks the nation.

Exxon Mobil fired back at Biden who stated that oil companies need to ''work with my administration to bring forward concrete, near-term solutions that address the crisis," and slammed the administration's failing energy policies.

"In the short term, the U.S. government could enact measures often used in emergencies following hurricanes or other supply disruptions – such as waivers of Jones Act provisions and some fuel specifications to increase supplies,'' the press release states.

''Longer term, government can promote investment through clear and consistent policy that supports U.S. resource development, such as regular and predictable lease sales, as well as streamlined regulatory approval and support for infrastructure such as pipelines.''

Those recommendations were made in response to the Biden administration shutting down major US pipelines, which has vastly limited the production of oil in the United States.

''We have been in regular contact with the administration to update the president and his staff on how ExxonMobil has been investing more than any other company to develop U.S. oil and gas supplies,'' the company's release began. ''This includes investments in the U.S. of more than $50 billion over the past five years, resulting in an almost 50% increase in our U.S. production of oil during this period.

''Globally, we've invested double what we've earned over the past five years – $118 billion on new oil and gas supplies compared to net income of $55 billion. This is a reflection of the company's long-term growth strategy, and our commitment to continuously invest to meet society's demand for our products.

The oil company went on to slam President Biden's criticism of their profits amid a global pandemic which rocked the industry.

''Specific to refining capacity in the U.S., we've been investing through the downturn to increase refining capacity to process U.S. light crude by about 250,000 barrels per day – the equivalent of adding a new medium-sized refinery,'' Exxon Mobil said. ''We kept investing even during the pandemic, when we lost more than $20 billion and had to borrow more than $30 billion to maintain investment to increase capacity to be ready for post-pandemic demand.''
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

'Pathway to servitude': The TRAITORS who created the global supply crisis

JUNE 16, 2022
BLAZETV STAFF

In his episode “Famine & Blackouts: How Biden-Made Disasters Will Cripple America,” Glenn Beck exposed the new global-based rule changes that gave the World Health Organization expedited authority over our nation. He traced the changes to the SEC and revealed Bank of America’s fawning praise for climate-related market changes.

So, Glenn decided to dig further, and what he uncovered shocked him. Financial records, dark money groups, and groups tied to the U.N. and the World Economic Forum are all pushing for a total reorganization of our financial system. You never voted for globalist leadership outside our borders, but IT IS HAPPENING.

Glenn reveals the foreign actors who are REALLY running our country right now and the domestic TRAITORS who are helping to fund the implementation on Main Street, USA. There will be catastrophic consequences for this betrayal of America First ideas. If you think food, gas, and labor shortages are bad now, just wait until all of this goes through.

Watch the full episode of "Glenn TV" below:
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V_P6tskdrrs

48:10 min
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

Electric Cars And Bidenflation: Get Ready… Your Electricity Bill Is About To Double
chuttersnap-xJLsHl0hIik-unsplash.jpg


Local utilities serving the Granite State are preparing to adjust what they charge for electricity. The cost of natural gas has skyrocketed, and that pain is about to find ratepayers’ pockets.
Talk about energy policy chickens coming home to roost.
In a Monday filing with the Public Utilities Commission, Liberty Utilities proposed increasing the per kilowatt hour price of electricity from 11.11 cents, the rate in effect from February to July of this year, to 22.23 cents starting in July.

That means a typical household would see a 47 percent increase in its electric bill, according to consumer advocate Don Kreis. (Other charges on the bill would remain unchanged.) A household currently paying $150 per month would see their electricity increase to $220 per month.
Unitil and Eversource are right behind them – their rat adjustment periods are different, but they will all file the changes before winter comes and winter is coming. And so was this problem. We’ve been discussing the need for more natural gas in New England for years (one example), but the default setting has been no new infrastructure.

Not that this would affect the price. The Democrat’s war on domestic energy and Biden’s promise to end fossil fuels has raged since ‘Brandon’ sat his demented ass behind the Resolute desk. The price of that policy has come calling, and as with all acts of Democrat destruction, the poor and middle-class will get hit hardest.

And no, the prices are not going to go down. “Projections show that cost more than tripling to $30 per Btu.” That means your electric rates will need to be adjusted upward again, and no, it’s not Putin’s fault you could be paying three to five times or more than you do now to charge that electric vehicle they insist you’ll have to drive. To cook, use lights and appliances, and even heat or cool your home. Those costs are all going up exponentially thanks to the Democrat’s war on fossil fuels.

Their war on prosperity. A war on you.

Costs that everyone from small business owners to health care providers to your government won’t be able to absorb, so you’ll be paying for that too.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

More Major Disasters Hit U.S. Food Production – Are You Prepared For What Comes Next?

BY MICHAEL SNYDER
June 16, 2022

Food Plant Fire

The hits just keep on coming. Over the past few months, I have carefully documented the rapidly growing global food crisis, and I have explained that even here in the United States food production is going to be way below original expectations this year. Unfortunately, most of the population still doesn’t grasp what is happening. Most people simply assume that everything will turn out okay somehow. Meanwhile, farmers are telling us as loudly as they can that everything will most definitely not be okay.

In my entire lifetime, I have never seen America’s farmers this alarmed about what is ahead.

And of course everything that we are currently witnessing in the U.S. and around the globe is setting the stage for the sort of historic famines that I have been relentlessly warning my readers about. I wish that I knew a way to get through to the millions upon millions of apathetic people out there that don’t seem to care that a major food crisis is coming, because the suffering that we are going to witness all over the world will be off the charts.

Many seem to believe that we are going to be immune from the coming shortages because we live in the United States.

Unfortunately, food production in the U.S. continues to be hit by one major disaster after another. This week, a historic June heat wave absolutely baked the center of the country…
On Monday night into Tuesday, 125 million people – a third of the population – were under heat alerts across much of the central and eastern states.

Cities such as Tulsa, Memphis, St. Louis, Minneapolis, Cincinnati, Raleigh and Charlotte were all under the heat warnings.

Chicago residents on Monday fled to their basements and nearby shelters when a surprise tornado ripped through the city as it experienced 100F weather for the first time in a decade.
Needless to say, this sort of weather was not welcomed by farmers in our agricultural heartland.
Records were shattered all over the nation, and I was particularly surprised to see a high temperature of 108 degrees in North Platte, Nebraska
The mercury in North Platte, Nebraska, hit 108F, breaking the record set in 1952; St Louis’s record of 98 degrees from the same year was also broken on Monday, with temperatures reaching 100 degrees.

Charlotte, North Carolina, hit 98 degrees and Nashville, Tennessee, was at 97F – tying the previous record set in 2016.
‘To have an excessive heat warning this early in the year is kind of unusual,’ Mike Johnson, a meteorologist with the Memphis NWS, told CNN.
Yes, what we are witnessing is definitely unusual.

And summer hasn’t even started yet.
It is being reported that the extreme heat was responsible for “at least 2,000 cattle deaths” in Kansas alone…
The deaths add pain to the U.S. cattle industry as producers have reduced herds due to drought and grappled with feed costs that climbed as Russia’s invasion of Ukraine tightened global grain supplies.

The Kansas Department of Health and Environment knew of at least 2,000 cattle deaths due to high temperatures and humidity as of Tuesday, spokesperson Matthew Lara said. The toll represents facilities that contacted the agency for help disposing of carcasses, he said.
Another source is reporting that the true death toll in Kansas is actually somewhere around 10,000
The current heat wave blazing through Kansas feedlots has killed an estimated 10,000 head of fat cattle.

Final death numbers continue to come in, but that early estimate was shared with DTN by livestock experts, who put the geographical center point for those deaths at Ulysses, Kansas.
Needless to say, cattle have been dying in other states as well, and hopefully I will be able to find some of those numbers for you all.

Meanwhile, Yellowstone National Park and surrounding areas have just been hit by historic flooding that was so bad that it is being called a “thousand-year event”
Yellowstone National Park could be closed ‘indefinitely’ as devastating flooding continues to ravage the towns, roads, and bridges along the Yellowstone River.

Park officials characterized the severe flooding tearing through the region as a once in a ‘thousand-year event,’ that could alter the course of the Yellowstone river and surrounding landscapes forever.

Officials say that the river’s volume is flowing 20,000 cubic feet per second faster than the previous record measured in the 90s.
It would be difficult to overstate the devastation that this flooding caused.

For many ranchers and farmers, things will never be the same after this.

On top of everything else, another “mysterious fire” just happened. This time, it was a pizza plant in Wisconsin that totally burned to the ground
More than 70 firefighters from almost two dozen departments in four counties battled a blaze at a pizza plant on Monday in eastern Portage County.

The American Red Cross reported that its volunteers provided food and water for firefighters battling a five-alarm fire at the Festive Foods pizza plant at 7811 Portage County D in the town of Belmont, near the Portage-Waupaca County line.
As I have detailed previously, we have seen this sort of thing happen over and over again in recent months.

In many of these cases, mysterious fires erupt very suddenly and grow to immense size even if firefighters are able to respond very rapidly.

And despite the best efforts of the firefighters, many of these food production facilities end up being completely destroyed.

Authorities are assuring us that all of these incidents are just “accidents”, and you can believe that if you want.

But to me it definitely appears that something very strange is happening. Recently, Zero Hedge republished a list of 97 disasters that have hit food production facilities in the United States that was originally published by the Gateway Pundit… (list posted in previous article)

We can debate why this is happening until we are blue in the face.

But what everyone should be able to agree on is that we should all be getting prepared for what is ahead.

Are you ready for much higher food prices and widespread shortages?
The head of the UN World Food Program has warned that we are heading into the worst global food crisis since World War II.

By the time it is all said and done, I believe that what we will experience will be much worse than that.

So I would encourage you to stock up while you still can, because the clock is certainly ticking.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
Professor Mattias Desmet - Why Do So Many Still Buy Into The Narrative? 1:08:02 min

Del Bigtree Interviews Professor Mattias Desmet About Mass Formation Psychosis
Sunfellow on COVID-19 Published June 16, 2022

Del Bigtree interviews professor Mattias Desmet about Mass Formation Psychosis.

Original Rumble Link:
Episode 272: BREAKING FORMATION
The Highwire:

The Psychology Of Totalitarianism (book)
By Mattias Desmet

Amazon.com: The Psychology of Totalitarianism: 9781645021728: Desmet, Mattias: Books

The world is in the grips of mass formation -- a dangerous, collective type of hypnosis -- as we bear witness to loneliness, free-floating anxiety, and fear giving way to censorship, loss of privacy, and surrendered freedoms. It is all spurred by a singular, focused crisis narrative that forbids dissident views and relies on destructive groupthink.

Desmet's work on mass formation theory was brought to the world's attention on The Joe Rogan Experience and in major alternative news outlets around the globe. Read this book to get beyond the sound bites!

Totalitarianism is not a coincidence and does not form in a vacuum. It arises from a collective psychosis that has followed a predictable script throughout history, its formation gaining strength and speed with each generation -- from the Jacobins to the Nazis and Stalinists -- as technology advances. Governments, mass media, and other mechanized forces use fear, loneliness, and isolation to demoralize populations and exert control, persuading large groups of people to act against their own interests, always with destructive results.

In The Psychology of Totalitarianism, world-renowned Professor of Clinical Psychology Mattias Desmet deconstructs the societal conditions that allow this collective psychosis to take hold. By looking at our current situation and identifying the phenomenon of "mass formation" -- a type of collective hypnosis -- he clearly illustrates how close we are to surrendering to totalitarian regimes.

With detailed analyses, examples, and results from years of research, Desmet lays out the steps that lead toward mass formation, including:

• An overall sense of loneliness and lack of social connections and bonds

• A lack of meaning―unsatisfying "bullsh*t jobs" that don't offer purpose

• Free-floating anxiety and discontent that arise from loneliness and lack of meaning

• Manifestation of frustration and aggression from anxiety

• Emergence of a consistent narrative from government officials, mass media, etc., that exploits and channels frustration and anxiety

In addition to clear psychological analysis -- and building on Hannah Arendt's essential work on totalitarianism, The Origins of Totalitarianism -- Desmet offers a sharp critique of the cultural "groupthink" that existed prior to the pandemic and advanced during the COVID crisis. He cautions against the dangers of our current societal landscape, media consumption, and reliance on manipulative technologies and then offers simple solutions -- both individual and collective -- to prevent the willing sacrifice of our freedoms.

"We can honor the right to freedom of expression and the right to self-determination without feeling threatened by each other," Desmet writes. "But there is a point where we must stop losing ourselves in the crowd to experience meaning and connection. That is the point where the winter of totalitarianism gives way to a spring of life."

"Desmet has an . . . important take on everything that's happening in the world right now." -- Aubrey Marcus, podcast host

"[Desmet] is waking a lot of people up to the dangerous place we are now with a brilliant distillation of how we ended up here." -- Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.

...............

COVID-19 Mass Formation Psychosis | Sunfellow Notes

Malone, Bossche, Desmet - The Round Table Discussion

Mass Formation Psychosis - Dr. Mattias Desmet, Dr. Robert Malone, Dr. Peter McCullough
MUST WATCH: Mass Formation Psychosis - Dr. Mattias Desmet, Dr. Robert Malone, Dr. Peter McCullough

Professor Mattias Desmet On Our Grave Situation - We Must Speak Up!

Professor Mattias Desmet - Mass Hysteria In Australia (Lockdowns)

Professor Mattias Desmet - Why Do So Many Still Buy Into The Narrative?

Dr. Robert Malone - Billions Of People Have Been Brainwashed & Don't Realize It

Mass Psychosis - How An Entire Population Becomes Mentally Ill
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
Tucker Carlson Covers the 10,000 Kansas Cattle Deaths and Food Processing Crisis in America 5:21 min

Tucker Carlson Covers the 10,000 Kansas Cattle Deaths and Food Processing Crisis in America
The Gateway Pundit Published June 16, 2022
*****


Tucker Carlson Covers the 10,000 Kansas Cattle Deaths and Food Processing Crisis in America (Video)

By Jim Hoft
Published June 16, 2022 at 8:22pm

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As The Gateway Pundit previously reported, over 10,000 head of cattle have reportedly died in the recent Kansas heat wave.

Temperatures in Kansas and much of the Midwest hovered around 100 degrees this week.

On Thursday Tucker Carlson covered the thousands of cattle deaths in Kansas.

And Tucker invited Steve Stratford, the Winter Livestock Assistant Manager on his show to discuss the food industry.

Steve Stratford explained to Tucker about how farmers and ranchers have battled weather for centuries to get food to the American consumer.

Steve insisted the enemy was not the weather but that ranchers are more concerned about the large part of the sector that has moved to Brazil and the foreign-owned packing conglomerates that are ripping off farmers.

This was another amazing interview.


As the Gateway Pundit previously reported, at least 18 major fires have erupted at food industry facilities and plants over the past six months. All of the fires have been officially listed as accidental or inconclusive.

The Gateway Pundit published an updated list of US-based food manufacturing plants that were damaged from 2021 to 2022 under the Biden administration. These data were first published at Think Americana.

There are 97 incidents on the list.

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Hat Tip Ari
 

marsh

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REAL AMERICA -- Dan Ball W/ Goya President, Bob Unanue, Food Shortage Crisis On Its Way, 6/16/22 7;05 min

REAL AMERICA -- Dan Ball W/ Goya President, Bob Unanue, Food Shortage Crisis On Its Way, 6/16/22
One America News Network Published June 16, 2022

REAL AMERICA -- Dan Ball W/ Goya President, Bob Unanue, Food Shortage Crisis On Its Way, 6/16/22

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(America's largest Hispanic owned food Co- Goya Foods: Bob Unanue<President and CEO

If it wasn't bad enough that we're not drilling for oil, we're not connecting to Canada in a pipeline, we're bringing in foreign oil - dirty oil, from example Venezuela, we're gearing up refineries to refine foreign oil - not our own oil. This hg. as created a tremendous impact on pricing. Fertilizer has tripled in costs. Diesel has doubled. The cost of a farmer to farm, almost half is diesel and fertilizer. In 2008, we decided to incentivize corn production to put 10% ethanol into gasoline. Corn does not have a high content of sugar. You need 3 gallons of fossil fuel to make 5 gallons of ethanol. very inefficient. When we incentivized corn, all the other grains went up in price.

This year, we are incentivizing farmers to grow corn instead of other crops by increasing the ethanol component to 15%. We are taking fertilizer, making corn and burning our food.

You are going to see less crops being planted, a drought, inflation. We are the biggest consumers in the world. We are more diabetic, more obese than other countries. We have to consume less. It's healthier. We have to eat more nutritious. We need to do a lot of beans, because they have protein, fiber. You combine with rice and you get a complete protein.

Rice is also in jeopardy because out of a 110 day crop, 90 days is under water. in Europe, they are only allowing one crop of rice because the water table is diminishing. We are finding similar
things here with drought.

The cost of fertilizer - people are going to plant less; incentivizing corn - people are going to plant corn instead of other essential grains. It is just adding to inflation and shortage.

We have potash and phosphorus, but we can compost. We need to recycle. )
 

marsh

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German Official Warns Of Gas Shortages, Bankruptcies, Massive Price Hikes That Will Send "Shockwaves Throughout The Country"

THURSDAY, JUN 16, 2022 - 11:00 PM
By John Cody of Remix News

A gas shortage and high prices will send “shockwaves through the country,” leading to landlords cutting the heat for tenants and widespread company bankruptcies, warned Klaus Müller, the head of Germany’s Federal Network Agency, which is the regulatory office for electricity, gas, telecommunications, postal services, and railway markets.



Müller paints a bleak picture about the crisis in an interview with German newspaper Rheinische Post, saying it will “send shockwaves throughout the country. Banks will ramp up their business with installment loans, and ailing companies will fall into insolvency.”

Müller’s office, which is a federal agency within the Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Climate Action, has a bird’s eye view of the economic situation in Germany and also special insight into how economic conditions will develop into the future.

Müller says he expects gas prices to continue to climb, resulting in increased inflation that goes far beyond energy. He also warns that there will be a dramatic lack of gas in the winter, which could lead to landlords turning down the heat to save on energy. In turn, Germans may have to grapple with colder apartments.

In a sign that the German government is operating under the assumption that a potential crisis could develop in winter, there are already talks about potentially lowering heating requirement for landlords.

“Tenancy law stipulates that the landlord must adjust the heating system during the heating period so that the minimum temperature falls between 20 and 22 degrees Celsius. The government could temporarily lower the heating requirements for landlords. We are discussing this with politicians,” Müller said.

The government has already pushed businesses and citizens to reduce their energy consumption, but that pressure may come in the form of new laws and regulations in the future, with Müller calling for more pressure to be applied to save gas. Although Germany has pushed for a general ban on Russian oil imports, the country is highly reliant on natural gas from Russia. If Russia were to cut gas in the critical winter months or even restrict supplies, it could lead to critical damage to the German economy, a scenario energy experts have already warned about.

Germans will not only be colder in their apartments, but companies will also face mass bankruptcies, said Müller. However, he said government policies could help mitigate financial losses and preserve critical gas supplies. He said he wants to encourage companies to save gas with a bonus scheme.

“We want to establish mechanisms to reward companies that voluntarily give up gas quotas with a premium. It is always better when adjustments are made via prices rather than via direct state intervention.”

Müller is also pessimistic about price trends in Germany, and expects the situation to deteriorate.

“Gas prices for private households have already multiplied compared to the pre-war period.

There can be a nasty surprise for tenants if high back payments are due,” he said, referring to the fact that many Germans get surprise bills at the end of a billing cycle if energy prices rise.
 

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(Comment: In the back of my mind, I thought it might be.)

People Dropping Dead and Becoming Disabled: This Is the Labor Shortage 1:53 min

People Dropping Dead and Becoming Disabled: This Is the Labor Shortage
The Vigilant Fox Published June 17, 2022

According to the department of labor data, three million more Americans have become disabled, and it's not long COVID because it started rising in 2021.

Edward Dowd: "The number's probably understated because it's just a household survey. So basically, if you want to understand the inflation problem and the labor shortages, this is it. So we have people dropping dead ... now we're going into the much bigger number of those disabled who can't work. This is a problem."

Full Video: Global Economic Collapse, Recession, Food Shortages, Lockdowns, Monkeypox, & Preparing With Edward Dowd & Maria Zeee
 

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marsh

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Biden's Climate Czar John Kerry: "We need as a society, to be reinforcing the marketplace to choices that will come from green products ... we have to make green steel" .15 min

Biden's Climate Czar John Kerry: "We need as a society, to be reinforcing the marketplace to choices that will come from green products ... we have to make green steel"
The Post Millennial Clips Published June 17, 2022

Biden's Climate Czar John Kerry: "We need as a society, to be reinforcing the marketplace to choices that will come from green products ... we have to make green steel."
 

marsh

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Joe Biden on Global oil reserves .30 min

Joe Biden on Global oil reserves
Punugupati Srikanth Published June 17, 2022
President Joe Biden: "To me to bring down prices for the American people.And our nations are working together to stabilize global energy markets, including coordinating the largest release from the global oil reserves in history.

But the critical point is that these actions are part of our transition to a clean and secure long term energy future.
 

marsh

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Deflationary Tsunami On Deck: A "Tidal Wave" Of Discounts And Crashing Prices

FRIDAY, JUN 17, 2022 - 02:22 PM
Three weeks ago, we showed readers what happens when the infamous "Bullwhip effect" reversal takes place by presenting the unprecedented surge in the "Inventory to Sales" ratio for a broad range of US retailers covering the furniture, home furnishings and appliances, building materials and garden equipment, and a category known as “other general merchandise,” which includes Walmart and Target. Since then, this ratio has only gotten even more extended, and as shown below it is now at the highest level since the bursting of the dot com bubble!



What does this mean for retailers and the price of goods? Three weeks ago we said "Think: widespread inventory liquidations" and added...
To be sure, not every product will see its price cut: commodities, whose bullwhip effect take much longer to manifest itself, usually lasting several years in either direction, are only just starting to see their price cycle higher. However, other products - like those carried by the Walmarts and Targets of the world - are about to see a deflationary plunge the likes of which we have not seen since the global financial crisis as retailers commence a voluntary destocking wave the likes of which have not been seen in over a decade.
Today both Wall Street and the mainstream media have caught up, with both predicting unprecedented deflationary price cuts in the coming weeks.

We start with Morgan Stanley's bearish strategist Michael Wilson, who in his latest bearish weekly note (available to pro subs) focused on shrinking margins in general, and on retailer discounting in particular, and wrote that while there is a modest pick up in over sales, the far more concerning issue is that "inventory across the sector is up about 30% YOY and sales growth is up about 0% YOY translating to approximately 30% YOY of excess inventory" and while mark down/margin pressure did not hit in 1Q it should hit June/July.

Indeed, "store checks show that aggressive discounting has already started as of the Memorial Day holiday weekend. Discounting pressure could accelerate through July."

And since more retailers are now discounting, "companies are having to offer even bigger discounts to compel consumers to buy, and it is a race to the bottom in margins in order to clear through inventory."

It gets much worse, however, because courtesy of the delayed nature of the bullwhip effect, Morgan Stanley thinks it will be some time before retailers can cut back on forward inventory orders! Companies are no longer in a position to order 6 months in advance because of delays in the supply chain, and are currently working with about an 8 month lead time. Shockingly, this means decisions today to cut forward orders could begin to eliminate the inventory problem in 1Q23, but not likely before then.

As a result, Wilson concludes, "we are likely to see a tidal wave of discounts that carry us through December because 2022 inventory orders have already been placed."

It's not just Wall Street finally catching up, however: overnight the WSJ also writes that "Big discounts are coming" as "stores have too much stuff."

Echoing everything we have written in the past two months, the Journal alerts its readers that Target, Walmart and Macy’s announced recently that they are starting to receive large shipments of outdoor furniture, loungewear and electronics (and if Morgan Stanley is correct and lead times are indeed 8 months they will keep receiving these into 2023!) everyone wanted, but couldn’t find, during the pandemic.

The problem for retailers is a windfall for those in the market for sweatpants or couches or pretty much anything else, as prices are expected to start dropping around July 4, analysts say when the deflationary retail tsunami is unleashed in full force.

“There are going to be discounts like you’ve never seen before,” says Mickey Chadha, a Moody’s Investors Service analyst who tracks the retail industry.

Retailer discounts are part of an effort to get shoppers interested in buying things again as Americans shift their spending to services such as concerts, eating out, and travel they missed out on during the pandemic. Deep discounts are expected on oversize couches, appliances and patio furniture that are more expensive for companies to store in their warehouses, analysts say. In fact, in everything this has some component of consumer goods demand to it.

Look to e-retailers that specialize in larger goods like furniture to lower their prices, says Chirag Modi, who oversees supply chain execution and warehousing at consulting firm Blue Yonder.

And if your drawers aren’t already bursting with work-from-home loungewear, stores will try hard to get you to take it off their shelves. “It might be a good time to buy sweatpants. They’re certainly going to be on sale this summer,” says Dan Wallace-Brewster, who directs marketing at e-commerce software company Scalefast. Office wear might not be discounted, he says.
Some retailers, like Target, have already announced they’re planning big discounts. Others with robust warehouse capacity, like Walmart, may be more likely to hold on to their excess inventory, analysts say.

Chadha said that retailers who sell their own lines of clothing and décor, like Gap, could be especially inclined to mark down their inventory, because they can’t pass the cost onto anyone else. Companies that carry other brands, like Macy’s, can potentially pass some of the surplus back to the producers.

Consumer electronics are another category ripe for overstock discounts, Mr. Wallace-Brewster says, because the chip shortage is showing signs of abating. Items such as TVs and laptops are about to see major price cuts.
Gwen Baer says she now wishes she had waited before splurging on a $3,000 couch for her new home that took six months to arrive in 2020. The 30-year-old Atlanta digital-media strategist plans to watch for sales at Target, West Elm and other retailers to finish outfitting her house, which she and her fiancé purchased in August 2020.
Her fiancé, Thomas Li, hopes to buy a new TV to replace the 10-year-old one in their bedroom. He’s hoping the sales mean lower prices on OLED screens.
“The stores are really making lemonade out of some lemons,” Ms. Baer says.
If you miss the wave of sales coming in a few weeks fear not: sales will likely continue well into back-to-school season and beyond. Modi says he is waiting until Thanksgiving to buy furniture for his own home renovation, and regrets already preordering kitchen cabinets. “I’m hedging my bets I’ll be able to get better deals in the fall,” Modi says adding that inventory surpluses are unlikely to affect the price of home staples and food. Discount retailers like TJ Maxx and Ross that specialize in surplus goods may not have great sales.

Bigger metro areas may be poised for higher discounts than their rural counterparts, according to Modi, since they ordered based on demand at the height of the pandemic—which was higher in areas that are more population-dense.

Not everything is set for a deflationary crash: don't expect luxury items to see price cuts. If anything, luxury prices for things like handbags and shoes are poised to keep climbing, said Oliver Chen, a retail analyst for Cowen: “Demand is so strong, and it’s a supply-constrained industry, generally, so quite the opposite rebalancing is happening."

And while inflation is likely to persist in the ultra high, the implication for broader inflation is clear: most prices that make up the core CPI basket are about to fall off a cliff in weeks if not days, with upcoming core CPI prints set to plunge, which means that the only thing that will remain red hot is headline inflation, i.e., food and energy prices, the same prices which the Fed has traditionally ignored. It remains to be seen if it will do so this time around, or if - realizing that the US is entering a recession - it will resume easing even in the face of $5 gas prices...
 

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Here's 18 Signs That The Economic Meltdown We've Been Waiting For Has Already Begun

FRIDAY, JUN 17, 2022 - 01:20 PM
Authored by Michael Snyder via The Economic Collapse,

In all my years of writing, I have never seen more economic pessimism than I am seeing right now. Over the past couple of months there has been a monumental shift in public sentiment, and now just about everyone realizes that we are heading into very troubled economic times. Of course there were still a few economic optimists that were searching for a ray of hope, but the Federal Reserve left no room for optimism when it announced the largest interest rate hike in 28 years on Wednesday. When the Fed aggressively raised rates in the early 1980s, it resulted in one of the most painful recessions in American history.

Unfortunately, many believe that what is ahead of us is going to be even worse.



For example, legendary Wall Street investor Michael Novogratz is openly warning that “the economy is going to collapse”
“The economy is going to collapse,” he told MarketWatch. “We are going to go into a really fast recession, and you can see that in lots of ways,” he added.
“Housing is starting to roll over,” he said. “Inventories have exploded. There are layoffs in multiple industries, and the Fed is stuck [with a position of having to] hike [interest rates] until inflation rolls over.”
Novogratz is correct, but I think that it would be more accurate to say that “the economy is already starting to collapse”.

The following are 18 signs that the economic meltdown we have been waiting for has already begun…

#1 Stock prices have been plummeting in recent weeks, and that has resulted in almost 3 trillion dollars being erased from retirement accounts in the United States…
The U.S. stock market rout that has put U.S. equities in a bear market isn’t just reducing the net worth of billionaires like Elon Musk and Jeff Bezos. It’s also taking a toll on Americans’ retirement savings, wiping out trillions of dollars in value.
The selloff has erased nearly $3 trillion from U.S. retirement accounts, according to Alicia Munnell, director of the Center for Retirement Research at Boston College. By her calculations, 401(k) plan participants have lost about $1.4 trillion from their accounts since the end of 2021. People with IRAs — most of which are 401(k) rollovers — have lost $2 trillion this year.
#2 The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell beneath the psychologically important 30,000 barrier for the first time in more than a year on Thursday. If it cannot return to that level within the next few trading sessions, a lot of investors are really going to start to panic.
#3 The Dow is now down 19 percent from the all-time high.
#4 The S&P 500 is now down 24 percent from the all-time high.
#5 The Nasdaq is now down 34 percent from the all-time high. Just think about that for a moment. A third of the value of the Nasdaq has already been wiped out.
#6 Two-thirds of the value of all cryptocurrencies has already been wiped out since the peak of the market. Last November, the total value of all cryptocurrencies had soared past the three trillion dollar mark. As I write this article, that number has fallen to less than a trillion.
#7 This week we witnessed the fastest rise in mortgage rates since 1987. Needless to say, this is going to absolutely devastate the housing market…
Mortgage buyer Freddie Mac said Thursday that the average rate on the 30-year loan this week rose to 5.78% from 5.23%, the latest in a series of rapid increases and the biggest one-week jump since 1987. The rate is well above the 2.93% recorded just one year ago and marks the steepest level since November 2008.
#8 The largest percentage of sellers ever recorded reduced the list price on their homes during the four week period ending June 12th.
#9 In some parts of the nation, home prices have already fallen by as much as 20 percent.
#10 Compared to the same period a year ago, the total number of mortgage applications was down 52.7 percent last week.
#11 We just learned that housing starts in the U.S. fell 14.4 percent in May.
#12 The number of permits for the construction of new homes was down 7 percent in May.
#13 Wholesale prices continue to accelerate at a very alarming pace
Wholesale prices rose at a brisk pace in May as inflation pressures mounted on the U.S. economy, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Tuesday.
The producer price index, a measure of the prices paid to producers of goods and services, rose 0.8% for the month and 10.8% over the past year. The monthly rise was in line with Dow Jones estimates and a doubling of the 0.4% pace in April.
#14 The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow tracker is now projecting that economic growth during the second quarter will be 0 percent.
#15 The Philadelphia Fed Business Index came in at a negative 3.3 reading for the month of June. This represents the first contraction since the early days of the COVID pandemic.
#16 One recent survey discovered that small business owners are “feeling their gloomiest in nearly five decades”.
#17 At this point, 59 percent of manufacturers in the United States believe that a recession is coming.
#18 Bloomberg is projecting that the probability of a recession during the next 24 months is 98.5 percent.

But this was not supposed to happen.
Last year, the talking heads on television assured us that a golden new age of prosperity was just around the corner and that the stock market could just keep going up indefinitely.

In fact, many of those talking heads were telling us things that now look completely and utterly ridiculous in retrospect.

Our leaders thought that they could defy the laws of economics, and for a while their “economic voodoo” seemed to be working.

But the truth is that every time they kicked the can down the road they just made our long-term problems even worse.

Now we have reached a point where the immediate future looks extremely bleak, and the outlook for our long-term future is absolutely nightmarish.

[ZH: In an effort to quantify the level of stress the average American is suffering, we created an 'adjusted' Misery Index that combines inflation (CPI) and labor market (inverse of the labor force participation) signals. Under the Biden administration, "Misery" has soared to levels not seen since Jimmy Carter was president (and at the same time UMich consumer sentiment is at a record low...]



If we would have made much different decisions along the way, we would not be facing such a horrifying crisis today.

Unfortunately, what is done is done, and now we get to reap the consequences for the very foolish decisions that our leaders have been making.
 

marsh

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Kemp: White House Tries To Blame US Refiners For Its Own Overheating Error

FRIDAY, JUN 17, 2022 - 12:40 PM
By John Kemp, senior energy analyst at Reuters

The White House has sought to deflect the blame for high gasoline prices onto refiners for cutting capacity and not making enough fuel, but the real source of the price increases is the attempt to run the economy “hot”. In conjunction with the Federal Reserve, White House policy has been to run the economy as fast as possible to minimise unemployment and under-employment, especially among the most disadvantaged groups in the labor market.

But spare capacity is not evenly distributed across the economy; there has proved to be much less unused capacity in the fuel market than in the labor market. As a result, capacity has run out in the fuel market before it is exhausted in the job market. Tensions in the fuel market are generating rapid price increases which are propagating across the rest of the economy.

The imposition of sanctions in response to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has intensified the inflation problem because Russia was one of the world’s largest exporters of both crude and middle distillates.

In the event, the fuel supply system, not the job market, has proved to be the economy’s rate-limiting factor, which has thrown the White House’s economic and political strategies off course.

The Pinch Point
In trying to lower fuel prices and tame inflation, the White House has focused on gasoline, which is the price most visible to consumers and therefore the most politically sensitive ahead of congressional elections in November. But the most severe fuel shortage is actually in middle distillates, a category including diesel, jet fuel and kerosene, which is hitting freight hauliers and airlines hardest.

Increased costs for moving freight and passengers are, in turn, spilling over into faster price increases for a broad range of merchandise and services.

Shortages of diesel and jet fuel are also pulling up the international price of crude, and with it, gasoline prices for motorists.

On June 10, U.S. gasoline inventories were 16 million barrels (7%) below the pre-pandemic five-year seasonal average, according to the Energy Information Administration (“Weekly petroleum status report”, EIA, June 15).



But stocks of distillate fuel oil were 26 million barrels (19%) below the seasonal average for 2015-2019, leading to intense upward pressure on distillate prices and margins.



Max Distillates

Responding to record margins, refineries have been running flat out to produce more middle distillates, especially the diesel used by truckers, railroads, manufacturers, miners, farmers and the oil and gas industry itself.

U.S. refiners produced 6.4 million barrels per day of mid-distillates in March 2022, the most recent available data, only slightly lower than the record 6.7 million bpd in March 2019. The reduction was attributable to jet fuel, where refiners produced 1.4 million bpd in March 2022, compared with 1.7 million bpd in March 2019, reflecting reduced in airline schedules.

Production of distillate fuel oil, the category including road diesel, was 5.0 million bpd in March 2022, equaling its previous peak in March 2019.



Refineries have adjusted their downstream units to squeeze as much middle distillate as possible from the crude they process.

Refiners turned 39.9% of the crude they processed into mid-distillates in March 2022, only slightly less than the pre-pandemic record of 40.4% in March 2019.



Once again, the entire reduction was accounted for by jet fuel, where demand remains down compared with before the pandemic. Excluding the pandemic year, where yields were heavily distorted, refiners turned a record 30.9% of crude processed into distillate fuel oil in March 2022, up from 29.9% in March 2019.

Refiners have now run out of spare capacity to produce more mid-distillates to meet booming demand and rebuild depleted inventories.


The intense focus on making mid-distillates is already coming at the expense of lower gasoline production and stocks, which is driving up gasoline margins and prices, costing motorists even more at the pump.

Rather than blaming refiners for not making enough fuel, the White House needs to realize that its attempt to run the economy as fast as possible has caused it to overheat. To bring inflation under control, the economy needs a period of slower growth to allow fuel production and other supply-side measures of industrial capacity to catch up.

Scribd doc on website

1655503722375.pngDownload this PDF
 

marsh

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Biden Hopes To Solve Inflation With Even More Inflation, Handing Out Gas Rebate Cards... There Is Just One Problem

FRIDAY, JUN 17, 2022 - 11:39 AM
While the Biden administration and congressional Democrats scramble to blame inflation on anyone but them ahead of midterms, a scheme to pour gasoline on the fire in the forms of fuel rebate cards has already been derailed by the ongoing chip shortage, according to the Washington Post.

View: https://twitter.com/i/status/1537767476095762434


Some White House officials also expressed concern that there would be no way to prevent people from using the cards for purchases other than gasoline.

What's more, the plan would likely require congressional approval, and "face long odds among lawmakers wary of spending more money."

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Meanwhile, Biden aides have been researching whether he can invoke the Defense Production Act to mover more diesel and refined products in the event of localized shortages around the country, two people told the Post, while another suggestion has been to encourage state governors to lower or waive their gas taxes.

The ill-fated gas card push comes after the White House has taken a number of failed actions to try and lower the price of fuel, from releasing a historic amount of oil from the nation's strategic petroleum reserve - which President Trump attempted to top off, only to be shot down by Congressional Democrats, and threatening to hit oil companies with windfall taxes.

Meanwhile, the average price of gasoline rose nationally above $5 per gallon for the first time this past weekend, which - according to recent polling - is creating widespread frustration among voters.

This, the Post notes, is "increasing the likelihood that voters punish Democrats this fall and give Republicans control of at least one house of Congress next year."

On Wednesday, Biden said he was "doing everything in my power to blunt Putin’s gas price hike," repeating the party talking point that the crippling inflation - which began right after he took office, is the fault of Russian President Vladimir Putin for invading Ukraine.

"We’re going to work to bring down gas and food prices. We can save families money and other items," Biden added.

Not even the Post buys "Putinflation" - suggesting that "The run-up in gas prices has many factors, but it was intensified by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and subsequent Western sanctions on the Kremlin, which disrupted supply from what had been the world’s third-largest oil producer."
 

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Putin: Unipolar Order Has Ended, West Headed For "Change Of Elites" As Russia Emerges Stronger

FRIDAY, JUN 17, 2022 - 11:44 AM
Update(11:00am ET) Russian President Vladimir Putin stressed in further remarks given before the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum that anti-Russian sanctions have only come back to hurt the people of the EU and the West broadly, amid soaring gas and food prices, inflation fears, and severe supply chain shortages. He declared the end of the unipolar world as we know it, saying, "Over the past decades, new powerful centers have been formed on the planet […] each of them develops their own political system and public institutions, implements their own models of economic growth, and, of course, has the right to protect themselves, to ensure national sovereignty. We are talking about real processes, about truly revolutionary, tectonic changes in geopolitics, global economy, the technological sphere, in the entire system of international relations". And more, according to a state-backed media translation:
The Russian president criticized the European Union over the decision to impose anti-Russia sanctions, calling it "crazy" and "not well thought out". Putin said that their goal was to crush the Russian economy in one go, but that they have failed to achieve this.

Instead, EU politicians delivered a serious blow to their own economies, prompting high inflation, the president stressed. He estimated the costs of the "sanctions fever" to be around $400 billion this year alone and noted that the measures will become a burden on regular people's shoulders.
"It is clear why they waged this propaganda campaign, what all these spells about 200-to-1 ruble-dollar exchange rates and claims that our economy would collapse were all about. All this was - and remains - a tool in the information warfare, an attempt to put psychological pressure on Russian society," he continued, stressing further that "some global currencies are committing suicide".

On the EU, he said: "The European Union has completely lost its political sovereignty, and its bureaucratic elites are dancing to someone else’s tune, accepting whatever they are told from above, causing harm to their own population and their own economy."

He said there will be a "change of elites" in the West as part of the "revolutionary" shift initiated by the Ukraine war and the US-Europe overreaching: "Such a detachment from reality, from the demands of society, will inevitably lead to a surge of populism and the growth of radical movements, to serious social and economic changes, to degradation, and in the near future, to a change of elites," Putin said.

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The speech essentially declared that despite the West attempting to hammer the Russian economy and bring it to its knees, the efforts have failed spectacularly and is blowing back on the West, according to Putin's words.

* * *
Ukraine just got a big boost for its EU membership bid on Friday, with the 27-member nation bloc's executive giving full support for its candidate status. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen announced for the first time that the commission recommends "that Ukraine is given candidate status. This is of course on the understanding that the country will carry out a number of further reforms."

She said further while speaking from Brussels, "In the view of the Commission, Ukraine has clearly demonstrated the country’s aspiration and the country’s determination to live up to European values and standards." Von der Leyen included further: "We all know that Ukrainians are ready to die for the European perspective. We want them to live with us the European dream."



"Yes, Ukraine should be welcomed as a candidate country — this is based on the understanding that good work has been done but important work also remains to be done," von der Leyen said.

The day prior, on Thursday, French President Emmanuel Macron, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz and Italian Prime Minister Mario Draghi traveled to Kiev by train where they delivered a unified and "strong signal of support" to Ukraine amid the Russian invasion. They publicly backed Ukraine's path to the EU, urging "immediate EU candidate status."

Currently France holds the rotating EU presidency. It's leader Macron said while in Kiev of EU candidacy status, "This status will be accompanied by a roadmap and will also involve taking into account the situation in the Balkans and the neighboring area, notably Moldova."

While putting forward Modova, absent was any mention of Georgia, which is not being considered, angering Georgian leaders who have lashed out at Brussels. As for Ukraine, even with enthusiastic supporting from leading EU countries, the process for potential membership is still expected to take years, possibly even decades, as some officials have warned.

Later on Friday, Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelensky hailed the EU candidacy decision as a "first step on the EU membership path that'll certainly bring our victory closer." He thanked von der Leyen for the commission's "historic decision" - but which will await formal approval at the June 23 to 24 EU summit. Zelensky said his country is eagerly expecting a "positive result".

Looming heavy in the background is Moscow deciding this week to dial up the pressure on Europe by drastically reducing flows of natural gas for its biggest customers in Western Europe, sending Energy prices surging higher.

Russian President Vladimir Putin in statements issued the same day as von der Leyen's EU candidacy preliminary approval announcement stressed the growing 'cost' to Europe over its intransigent pro-Ukraine position and anti-Russia sanctions. He estimated that the European Union will incur "losses of at least $400 billion" due to its multiple waves of sanctions imposed on Moscow thus far.

He once again rejected responsibility for the global economic downturn, stating instead that inflation, energy costs and food crisis are all linked to the West's policies. He further predicted a potentially disastrous development for the global food supply, already under threat, according to news wires:
Putin predicted the fertilizer shortage could push food prices even higher, adding that Russia could boost its exports of fertilizer and grain. He also claimed that "gloomy forecasts" about the state of the Russian economy did not come true and that his government has successfully stopped the rise of domestic inflation. "After a peak of 17.8%, inflation is now at 16.7% and continues to decline," he said, noting that public finances are stable and the authorities are taking measures to further cool down the economy.
However, in the statements Putin emphasized of the fertilizer and food production crisis triggered in the wake of the war that "Russia cannot be blamed for it" while saying it's not yet today's problem, suggesting that appropriate action and a response from the West could allay the coming crisis.

View: https://twitter.com/i/status/1537523204939448321
1:12 min

Regardless, US leaders are mounting an attack, blaming Putin full-stop for a "sever global fertilizer shortage" - as Rep. Khanna argued from the floor Thursday, as Congress takes steps attempting to shield US farmers and thus American consumers from the coming impact.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

No, Inflation Is Not A Product Of Corporate Greed

FRIDAY, JUN 17, 2022 - 08:06 AM
Authored by Ranen Aschemann via The Mises Institute,

Seventeen months ago, as the keys to the oval office changed hands, for all of the political animus and theatrics, one thing seemed a given: the US economy would roar back to vitality in historic fashion, a point of optimism in a nation of discord and incertitude. Yet hope would give way to ambivalence, which, in turn, gave way to serious doubt. Today, a pathetic 23 percent of Americans feel economic conditions are even “somewhat good.” The primary reason for such abysmal economic sentiment? Inflation.


As consumer prices have accelerated out of control over the past year, a new political narrative on inflation has emerged, one that alleges corporate impropriety as the primary catalyst. The motive for such a messaging shift from select members of the political apparatus is clear: a need to shirk accountability for evidently inflation-inducing policies. Unfortunately, the corporate greed narrative has apparently paid dividends to its progenitors, garnering increasing acceptance among the body politic at large. Indeed, according to one poll from Data For Progress, a majority of likely voters now believe price-gouging is a major contributor to heightened inflation. However, that inflation is brought about by corporate greed is a sophistic political lie in every respect.

Yes, corporations are greedy. People are greedy. It turns out that greed is a natural characteristic of the human condition. It always has been. Why, then, has inflation only recently exploded after 40 years of calm, now clipping along at better than four times the Federal Reserve’s target annual rate of two percent?

In May 2020, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) grew just 0.1% year-over-year. Are we to believe that corporations were simply feeling particularly benevolent, only to reverse course in dramatic fashion the very next year? Of course, that is preposterous.

But the prevailing evidence that peddlers of the corporate greed narrative have repeatedly cited is the reality that corporate profits are at historic highs. This is, in fact, true. But it is entirely irrelevant to inflation itself and is not even indicative of any measurably intensified greed.

The Producer Price Index (PPI), which measures cost increases for businesses, is up 10.8 percent from last year. With consumer prices rising at 8.3 percent over the same period, this frankly means that American businesses en masse are likely not even passing on the full extent of the higher costs they themselves are paying, to consumers. So how can this be, even as corporations are raking in record profits? The answer lies in a distinction that the corporate greed crowd will never make: the distinction between corporations and businesses.

In fact, just five percent of businesses are corporations. While the CPI measures the general prices that businesses are charging, corporate profits figures only measure the profits of large corporations. Yet it is chiefly small businesses that cannot afford significant increases in the cost of doing business because they have fewer resources than their larger corporate counterparts.

Thus, it is highly probable that small businesses, which account for nearly half of American GDP, are primarily driving broad price increases, on no account of elevated greed, but rather as a result of an increase in their own cost of doing business.

Former Labor Secretary Robert Reich is perhaps the most prominent purveyor of the corporate greed doctrine of inflation. If anyone can point to resounding evidence of malign corporate price-gouging, it should be Reich. In an article laying out his argument for “corporate power” being the catalyst behind record inflation, Reich condemns multinational coffeehouse chain Starbucks for announcing price hikes earlier this year despite being “so profitable.”

What the twice Ivy-educated pundit fails to mention is that Starbucks’ Q1 2022 earnings were cut by more than half when compared to Q4 2021, despite revenue holding steady. Q2 2022 earnings dropped below that of even Q1. What’s more, the company reported lower earnings in 2021 than it did back in pre-Covid 2018, despite having higher revenues. Reich even conveniently ignores the fact that Starbucks recently revealed it would be raising its minimum wage to $15 per hour nationwide beginning this summer.

Evidently, Starbucks isn’t the insatiably gluttonous enterprise that Robert Reich would like you to believe it is. And this seems to be a common theme with many of the companies that he and others proffer as evidence of nefarious profiteering. But it still doesn’t answer for why corporate profits are at historic highs. First, it is important to understand that corporate profit margins are not significantly higher than they were pre-Covid.

With that established, it is likely that inordinate growth in consumer spending since the Covid recession is largely to blame for record profits. Needless to say, when Americans drop unprecedented quantities of cash on consumer products, companies whose costs don’t rise significantly fare pretty well.

Certainly, it is understandable how the corporate greed dogma has caught on with vast swathes of the American public. Rancorous anti-corporate sentiment has been prevalent in America for years, and corporations, as such, make for quite convenient political scapegoats. But any effort to broadly place culpability for inflation on the private sector is demagoguery at best, and almost always attempted by ultracrepidarian activists rather than studied economists.

The reality is that the true offender behind record inflation is the US government. The Federal Reserve has inflated the money supply by over 40 percent since the beginning of 2020, allowing congress to hand out checks to the public and driving an unhealthy initial spike in disposable income. As consumers spent off this superficial wealth, prices soared and disposable income tumbled. Consequently, today, as inflation ravages the wallets of everyday Americans, disproportionately impacting low-income families, the personal savings rate has plunged to just half of what it was in early 2019 and is now rapidly approaching all-time lows.

American citizens are being forced to spend larger portions of their income on basic necessities and mundane lifestyle items, leaving less–or no–room for economically stimulating investment or leisure. The great evils of government–not corporation–inflation are every day becoming increasingly apparent.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

Amid Surging Inflation, Inventory-Swamped Retailers Push Big Discounts

FRIDAY, JUN 17, 2022 - 03:55 AM
Though consumers are being hammered by price inflation at gas stations and grocery stores, they may be surprised by what they find at electronics, clothing, furniture and appliance stores.

Swamped by excess inventory, many major retailers are offering big-time discounts on a variety of consumer goods.

One such retailer is Target, which has twice cut its profitability outlook in recent weeks. In its June 7 warning, Target projected its second-quarter operating margin would be roughly 2%, well less than half the 5.3% the company projected in May.

At the same time, Target said it was "planning several actions in the second quarter, including additional markdowns, removing excess inventory and canceling orders."

“We thought it was prudent for us to be decisive, act quickly, get out in front of this, address and optimize our inventory in the second quarter — take those actions necessary to remove the excess inventory and set ourselves up to continue to be guest-relevant with our assortment,” Target CEO Brian Cornell told CNBC.

Last month, inventories at mega-retailers surged 26% over the previous year. Idle product is a double whammy, since it also entails higher storage costs.

Retailers' sales urgency translates into better deals on items like furniture, home decor, clothes, televisions, computers and kitchen appliances.

WalMart, Best Buy, Gap and Urban Outfitters are among those reportedly cutting prices, but discounts aren't confined to major chains. This week, a Fred's Appliances store in Missoula, Montana is asking just $1,799 for a package of four GE appliances—a refrigerator, range, dishwasher and microwave.

Today's widespread inventory problems started in 2021, as Bloomberg explains:
Big retailers rushed to build up inventories last year amid soaring consumer demand and transportation bottlenecks—going so far in some cases as to rent their own cargo ships. Now, they’re trying to figure out how to sell all their stuff.
Several factors contributed to today's retail inventory pile-up:
  • Longer lead times on product deliveries forced purchasing managers to peer farther into the future when projecting their inventory needs, heightening the risk of the forecasting errors that are now manifesting themselves in retailers' warehouses.
  • Shifting consumer needs: As the country moved out of pandemic mode, retailers found customers spent more on office wear and less on casual clothes and home goods.
  • Lower discretionary income: In an era of $5 gas and $1 avocados, consumers forced to shell out more money to cover basic needs have less money to work with.
That last factor may thwart retailers' plans for a mass summer inventory clearance. Not only is consumer cashflow under pressure, but Americans' credit card balances have mushroomed back to a record-high $867 billion. Stir in morale-sapping stock market losses and record-low consumer sentiment, and retailers may be facing a daunting task.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

Luongo: Why The Fed Raised 75bps & How To Break The Davos Crowd

FRIDAY, JUN 17, 2022 - 02:00 AM
Authored by Tom Luongo via Gold, Goats, 'n Guns blog,

I sat down for a long chat with my good friend Crypto Rich over the weekend and have just found the 20 minutes to post them here. We did a series of videos, Duran-style, on a number of topics. They are all below.



With the Fed raising by 75 bps yesterday I have to believe we’ve reached a major turning point in the War Against Davos.

The deflation of asset prices and, most especially the Eurodollar markets is putting many other, over-leveraged central banks on a path towards bankruptcy.

Video on website 11:24 min

There are a ton of moving parts, a lot of factions now warring against each other.

When cartels break, the former members of the cartel always turn on each other. It was always going to be this way. Davos turned on its allies in the US commercial banking sector and they fought back.

Hard.

Everything I wrote about in my last post - SOFR/LIBOR spreads, US/German 10 year Spreads, Lagarde’s incompetence - were proven correct in the response yesterday by the markets to Powell’s hawkishness.

Video on website 48:29 min

Davos has spent so long and so much money trying to convince us to ‘abandon all hope’ but it is they who now can do nothing but ‘enter here’ into our dragon’s den of asset deflation.

The adjustment will be biblical. It will be painful.

And it didn’t have to be this way, but the solipsism and arrogance of evil people who have always known power and feel entitled to wield it in perpetuity is boundless.

Video on website 10:25 min

Enjoy the rants and the wailing and gnashing of teeth by the very worst people in the world today.
 
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