Solar Grand Solar Minimum part deux

[summerthyme]

HOW TO PREDICT A FROST

LEARN HOW TO KNOW WHEN FROST IS AROUND THE CORNER

By Catherine Boeckmann
The Old Farmers Almanac
June 1, 2021

Frost is one of a gardener’s worst foes! Learn how to predict frost, understand the difference between a frost advisory and a freeze warning, and protect your garden from frost!

WHAT IS A FROST?

“Frost” refers to the layer of ice crystals that form when water vapor on plant matter condenses and freezes without first becoming dew.

• A light frost occurs when the nighttime temperature drops to at or just below 32°F (0°C).
• A hard freeze is a period of at least four consecutive hours of air temperatures that are below 28°F (–2°C).

Many plants can survive a brief frost, but very few can survive a hard freeze. (See more about this below.)

FROST ADVISORY VS. FREEZE WARNING

As with other significant weather events, meteorologists will often issue a “warning” or an “advisory,” depending on the likelihood of the event happening and its severity. According to the National Weather Service, the warning terms for frosts and freezes are defined as follows:

• Frost Advisory: Issued when minimum temperatures are expected to be between 33° and 36°F (0.5° and 2°C). Skies are generally clear and winds light.
• Freeze Watch: Issued when minimum temperatures are expected to be 32°F (0°C) or less within the next 24 to 36 hours.
• Freeze Warning: Issued when minimum temperatures are imminently expected to be 32°F (0°C) or less.
• Hard Freeze Warning: Issued when minimum temperatures are expected to be 28°F (–2°C) or less.

Of course, the easiest way to predict frost is to let the weatherman do it for you! However, if you want to be able to predict it yourself, read on.

KNOW YOUR FROST DATES

The first step in predicting frost involves getting to know the average frost dates for your area. Put your zip code in our Frost Dates Calculator to find frost dates for spring and fall for your location.

Note: These dates are averages, so they can only tell us what is typical. However, every year will be diffferent.

Also, the frost dates are based on a 30% probability, meaning that there is a 30% chance of a frost occurring after the given spring frost date or before the fall frost date. (In other words, these dates are NOT absolutes and should only be used as rough guidelines!)

Learn Your Microclimates

Keep in mind that the occurrence of frost can vary greatly by microclimate, too. In fact, while you may have frost in your garden, your neighbor across the street may see no sign of it!

A microclimate is exactly what it sounds like: a climate on a small scale. For example, if your garden is located at the bottom of a hill where cold air settles, it’s likely to be impacted by frost earlier than a garden at the top of the hill. Or, if your plants are abutting a rock wall in full sun, they’ll be kept warmer to some extent by the heat given off by the rocks.

5 TIPS FOR PREDICTING FROST

Consider these factors when the radio and TV reports say “frost tonight”:

1. Temperature: How warm was it during the day? It may sound simple, but one of the best ways of determining if a frost is due overnight is to gauge the temperature. If the temperature reached 75ºF (in the East or North) or 80ºF (in the desert Southwest), the chance of the mercury falling below 32ºF at night is slim. See our 7-day forecasts to check your weather forecast.
2. Is it windy? A windy night is also likely to reduce the likelihood of a frost. A still night allows cold air to pool near the ground; a light breeze stirs things up; a heavy, cold wind sweeps away warm air near the ground.
3. Is it cloudy? Observe the sky. If the Sun sets through a layer of thickening clouds, the clouds will slow radiational cooling and help stave off a frost. With clouds, the risk of frost is reduced.
4. Slope: How is your garden landscaped? Gardens on slopes or high ground often survive. However, cold air sinks and will puddle down into the valleys and hollows. If your home and garden are at the bottom of a slope or in a valley, and there is no wind, then there is higher risk of frost. A landscape with trees can assist in preventing frost. Trees transpire a lot of moisture through their leaves.
5. What is the dew point? As a rule of thumb, don’t worry about a frost if the dew point (the temperature at which the air is no longer able to ‘hold’ all the moisture within it) is above 45°F on the evening weather report. The more moisture in the air, the less likely a frost. A light watering of the garden a day or two before a frost is predicted can help stop it settling.

Row covers can protect tender crops from a light frost. Photo by NataliaL/Shutterstock

WHAT TEMPERATURES CAUSE FROST DAMAGE?

Frost causes damage and even failure to many vegetable crops. But also there are other vegetables which actually benefit from a frost. The flavor of broccoli, for instance, actually improves if the plant has experienced a frost, and carrots get sweeter as the temperature drops.

How low can you go? The temperatures shown in the graphic below tell you when the frost will cause damage to the respective vegetable.

HOW TO PROTECT PLANTS FROM FROST

Frost can hit in spring or fall in most areas. Generally, covering plants to create a temporary pocket of warmer air is the best way to protect them.

• Keep an eye on the weather forecast. If it looks like temperatures are going to drop, get ready to protect tender plants.
• Make use of season extenders like row covers, cold frames, or cloches to protect tender plants, such as seedlings or warm-weather veggies. Row covers or garden fleece can be used to help create a warmer environment beneath them. You’ll need to use posts, bamboo, or flexible PVC piping to create space for the plants to grow, then drape landscape fabric or plastic over the frame; weigh down the edges with rocks or bricks or pegs so the covers do not blow away. To protect young plants from frost, use 2-liter soda bottles cut in half as cloches.
• It’s best to have all covers in place well before sunset. Drape loosely to allow for air circulation. Before you cover the plants in late afternoon or early evening, water your plants lightly.
• Remove any covers by mid-morning so that plants can get full exposure to the warming sunlight.

For more frost protection tips, read our main article: Protecting Your Garden from Frost.

LEARN MORE

Following these tips should help prevent your garden from taking too much of a hit when frost occurs!
For even more end-of-season gardening advice, see Preparing Your Garden for Winter and Fall Chores: Autumn Garden Cleanup.
Let us know in the comments what you do to prepare for frost!

ABOUT THIS BLOG

Your Old Farmer’s Almanac editors occasionally share our reflections, advice, and musings—and welcome your comments!

How to Predict a Frost: Frost Advisories, Freeze Warnings, and More | The Old Farmer's Almanac

Walk out on a clear evening in late September for October and take a deep breath. You can small the frost coming!

Summerthyme

 

[northern watch]

Walk out on a clear evening in late September for October and take a deep breath. Youncan small the frost coming!

Summerthyme

The question is, "Will the frost come earlier or be more severe than last year?"

 

[summerthyme]

The question is, "Will the frost come earlier or be more severe than last year?"

Well, "first killing frost" is, by definition, severe enough to kill all tender vegetation. If youre talking winter temps, im expecting a doozy nationwide, although we're not really seeing signs of a harsher than normal season here. Then again, they get 20 feet of snow 50 miles northeast of us in a normal year.

Summerthyme

 

[Martinhouse]

Summerthyme, thanks for that frost suggestion! I might have to make it a sort of autumn ritual like I do just before dusk most evenings in June and July to watch the fireflies for a little while. Fireflies have been special to me ever since a few summers ago when I saved one from a spider web and he approached me the next night to thank me before joining his brothers and flying off into the shrubbery.

Dragonflies have landed on me this summer, too. The gorgeous blue ones and green ones. They were big ones, not the tiny damsel flies! One of them sat on my knee long enough to totally consume the big fly it had apparently just caught. It was fascinating!

 

[summerthyme]

Summerthyme, thanks for that frost suggestion! I might have to make it a sort of autumn ritual like I do just before dusk most evenings in June and July to watch the fireflies for a little while. Fireflies have been special to me ever since a few summers ago when I saved one from a spider web and he approached me the next night to thank me before joining his brothers and flying off into the shrubbery.

Dragonflies have landed on me this summer, too. The gorgeous blue ones and green ones. They were big ones, not the tiny damsel flies! One of them sat on my knee long enough to totally consume the big fly it had apparently just caught. It was fascinating!

I love dragonflies! And i never knew thay migrated until 2 autumns ago! I was visiting my Amish neighbor, standing in his driveway chatting. I noticed several large dragonflies,,and then realized there were hundreds, flying all around us and way up into the air. I looked it up later, and sure enough, they do migrate!

Last week, we were digging the potatoes and harvesting tomatoes when I saw a huge (must have been 5" long, with a 5" wingspan) olive green dragonfly. Then I saw more... a cloud of thousands (they continued for over 40 minutes) it looked like a huge flight of miniature Army helicopters, all flying southwest.

You do know what I mean by being able to smell a coming frost? Hard to describe, but almost every country dweller knows it...

Summerthyme

 

[TheSearcher]

Where is Ice Age Farmer? Does anybody know? And why is Diamond still busting his chops?

 

[Martinhouse]

Summerthyme, I've never smelled a coming frost as I'm so cold-natured that I'm always snug indoors on any evening that might precede a frosty morning. But this fall, I'll pay attention to forecasts so I can go out and learn what a coming frost smells like. Looking forward to it!

Nice to learn that about dragonflies migrating. I didn't know that...I'd always figured they were a short-lived one-season sort of creature and I just enjoyed their beauty and their behavior when they're here in the summertime.

 

[Martinhouse]

Searcher, I haven't seen Ice Age Farmer on Bitchute or YouTube since July 31st. I didn't know that Diamond was still being ugly about him...this gives me one more reason to not listen to his (Diamond's) videos.

I think the strain of current events is getting to more people than we realize. Maybe it gets more noticeable in the type who seem extra impressed with themselves?

 

[TheSearcher]

Searcher, I haven't seen Ice Age Farmer on Bitchute or YouTube since July 31st. I didn't know that Diamond was still being ugly about him...this gives me one more reason to not listen to his (Diamond's) videos.

I think the strain of current events is getting to more people than we realize. Maybe it gets more noticeable in the type who seem extra impressed with themselves?

Thanks. That's what I was seeing too, regarding IAF's last communications.

I wonder what started Diamond's vendetta?

 

[alpha]

At least we can stay in touch with IAF's blog posts... iceagefarmer

 

[Displaced hillbilly]

Idk, I still listen to Diamond, he’s pretty accurate with weather. Not sure why he’s not crazy about IAF- I’ve heard him say he incites more fear than really trying to educate ppl. David Dubyne from Adapt2030 is a good one to listen to as well.

 

[TheSearcher]

At least we can stay in touch with IAF's blog posts... iceagefarmer

Looks like he hasn't posted in a while there, either.

 

[alpha]

That link is for September 10th... Friday.

 

[TheSearcher]

That link is for September 10th... Friday.

So right you are! Good to see him still posting.

 

[Martinhouse]

I just clicked on that link to Ice Age Farmer's blog and started scrolling backwards. It seems to be endless...does anyone know how long he's been posting this, how far back it goes?

I certainly don't have the time or good enough vision to read all of it, but I thought I might go back to July 31 which was the last video he posted on BitChute.

 

[Firebird]

Walk out on a clear evening in late September for October and take a deep breath. You can small the frost coming!

Summerthyme

All I smell is heat and humidity. I long for winter to arrive

 

[TxGal]

Ice Age Farmer has been very hit and miss in posting, but I honestly expect that will pick up in winter. Time will tell.

Oppenheimer I hardly listen to anymore. I'll read his synopsis, and if it's not GSM related, I don't listen. If it is, I try to struggle through it. It's his delivery method that gets me the hardest - harsh and somewhat caustic. Have no idea why he's targeting IAF...there may be a story there. Adapt 2030, he's very much into crypto currencies and other different topics. Again, I read his synopsis and if it's not GSM I don't listen to it and won't post it. I'm really hoping he turns back to GSM soon, too.

 

[TxGal]

Larry Delivers Record-Smashing Summer Snow to Greenland, +"Lives at Stake" in European Gas Shortage - Electroverse

Articles Extreme Weather GSM

LARRY DELIVERS RECORD-SMASHING SUMMER SNOW TO GREENLAND, +”LIVES AT STAKE” IN EUROPEAN GAS SHORTAGE
SEPTEMBER 13, 2021 CAP ALLON

LARRY DELIVERS RECORD-SMASHING SUMMER SNOW TO GREENLAND

Hurricane-force gusts topped 100 miles per hour at Kulusuk Airport near Greenland’s southeast coast, while record-smashing accumulations of summer snow battered the world’s largest island.

The snow reached blizzard conditions at Summit Camp, a weather station at the island’s highest point more than 10,000 feet above sea level, with winds and snow so heavy that visibility was reduced to all-but zero.

“Ex-hurricane Larry is still haunting us,” wrote the Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI).

“Any way you cut it, this is going to be one for the record books,” said Josh Willis, a lead scientist with NASA’s Oceans Melting Greenland mission (who I assume will soon be out of a job).

The storm delivered accumulations measured in the feet across Greenland, totals that pushed the island’s SMB balance into record breaking territory. Once again, and as we have witnessed numerous times already this summer, snow and ice gains are annihilating previous benchmarks, and, once again, the mainstream media are refusing to inform the wider population.

A jaw-dropping 10 Gigatons of snow and ice were logged yesterday, September 12 (shown below) — oh, and as the MSM loves its decontextualized headlines so much, 10 Gts is enough to bury Central Park, New York City under 11,190 feet of ice…


SMB, Sept 12 [DMI].

Never before in DMI record books (which date back to 1981) has the Greenland ice sheet GROWN by anywhere near this much at this time of year, and this is a situation we’ve found ourselves in many, many times this calendar year–particularly throughout the summer melt season, but also recall that literally ‘off the chart’ spike in late-May:


‘Off the charts’ SMB spike in late-May [DMI].

I’ll never get tired of reporting on Greenland.

The ice sheet’s paradigm shifted around 5 years ago, from one of melt, to one of gains (climate is cyclic, after all, never linear). Snow and ice are now building, rapidly — the data reveals nothing else. Yet the corrupted MSM are still keen to use the Greenland ice sheet as a poster child for AGW. But long may that continue, say I, for it only further exposes their lies, bias and fraud.

The season is young, but note the sharp SMB uptick (blue line in the bottom graph) — a scenario we’ve seen regularly since 2016.

"Snowicane" Larry Forecast to Dump Five+ Feet of Summer Snow on Greenland - Electroverse

It is rare for a hurricane to produce snow--particularly in early-Sept! NH snowpack is building early this year, just as a developing GSM predicts.

electroverse.net

Why is nobody talking about Greenland? It's currently GAINING record amounts of Snow and Ice...

We've had 40+ years of CAGW now, but even the staunchest of climateers will still struggle to point to a single observation that demonstrates its existence.

electroverse.net

“LIVES AT STAKE” IN EUROPEAN GAS SHORTAGE

A senior US energy adviser warned that “lives are at stake” in Europe this winter as the continent approaches the season with low gas reserves and the threat of reduced supply, reports the ft.com — and this is in a world of ‘catastrophic global warming’, where heating your home in winter should be a lot easier given the magical CO2 blanketing effect. Never forget that the original global warming theory, upon which the failed polices we are living with today were formed, stated that planet earth would suffer linearly rising temperatures and no more snow (check the old IPCC reports).

Amos Hochstein, senior adviser to energy security at Joe Biden’s State Department, warned: “If it’s a really cold winter by January and February, we may run out of supplies … This isn’t just some geopolitical games. People’s lives are at stake.”

Hochstein, a veteran of the Barack Obama administration’s State Department and a former adviser to then-Vice President Biden, was appointed last month with an immediate focus on mitigating the risks posed by Russia’s Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline.

Critics say the Kremlin will use pipelines to bypass Ukraine and deprive the country of shipping charges, weakening Ukraine and increasing its leverage on the EU’s energy supply, continues the ft.com article.

However, and while a genuine issue, what the FT fails to address is the root cause of the problem.

And while they do cite ‘other factors’ tightening the market, including this year’s fall in European domestic production due to the pandemic, increased gas demand for highly polluted coal, and Asian demand for liquefied natural gas cargo, what they refuse to touch on is the number one cause for shortages — a record cold winter and spring across Europe and Asia which, in turn, resulted in a depletion of reserves across both continents.

Trust in renewables is dangerous, they are failing — just last week, the UK was forced to fire-up an old coal power plant, and this was in early September, while the weather was fine.

For more:

UK Fires-Up Coal Power Plant as European Gas Shortage Worsens, + Intense Polar Cold Headed for New Zealand - Electroverse

The West is led by ideologically hamstrung dolts, devoid of backbones -- and it will be our downfall... GSM

electroverse.net

2021 in Europe: "The Year Without a Spring" - Electroverse

Low solar activity is prolonging winter, which is having an impact on harvests across the N. Hemisphere. GSM. Prepare.

electroverse.net

The IPCC's Latest Climate Report is Antiscience and Antihuman - REJECT IT - Electroverse

It is a political document intended to browbeat policy makers into implementing the "correct" measures, measures to extend totalitarian control over the masses.

electroverse.net

This winter season isn’t shaping to be a particularly kind one, even in early/mid-September.

As documented above, Greenland is already piling on the Gigatons, while record late-summer chills have already engulfed vast regions of the Northern Hemisphere, with, for example, record lows recently suffered in transcontinental Russia:



And looking ahead, North America, eastern Europe and Asia are ALL forecast powerful early-season blasts of Arctic cold over the next 7-14 days:

ASIA, EUROPE AND NORTHERN AFRICA (SEPT 19):


GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) Sept 19 [tropicaltidbits.com].

NORTH AMERICA (SEPT 25 & 26):

GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) Sept 25 [tropicaltidbits.com].


GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) Sept 26 [tropicaltidbits.com].

Also note that snow cover extent across the Northern Hemisphere has opened the 2021-2022 season comfortably above the average — for the fourth consecutive year:


[ECCC]

That red line above will see a sharp uptick over the next few days and weeks, aided in no small part by the record summer dumps forecast to continue in Greenland as well as the incredible early-season totals predicted in Canada (along the U.S. states of Montana, Idaho and Wyoming):


GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) Sept 13-Sept 29 [tropicaltidbits.com].

Natural global warming, driven by high solar activity, is long-over. It’s time we awoke to the real threat — a bout of low solar activity-induced global cooling. This switch to the cold is entirely survivable, but only if we rely on ourselves and the immediate community around us — government has no interest in helping you through this, quite the opposite in fact, and it should not be trusted…

The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordingly— learn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.

 

[Martinhouse]

I haven't seen any videos from Ice Age Farmer since the one about African Swine Fever on July 31st. I bookmarked his blog from the link posted on this thread yesterday. There's no way I can find the beginning of it, so when I have time, I'll go to the July 31st post there and then work my way to present. At least it will be nice to know he's still alive!

There are only a few video sites I watch regularly and every one of them has changed a lot, some since last spring when getting new gardens/homesteads up and running became even more important than when they were first made so necessary by the GSM.

I guess it's just as well that there's not as much I care to watch now, as I've still got lots to do and it all gets done very slowly these days.

 

[Martinhouse]

I'm listening to an interview that J.R. Nyquist has done with David DuByne of Adapt 2030. It is about the GSM...a lot of it is pretty basic, but so far there's been some material that is new and interesting to me. I plan to listen to it a second time to better absorb the newer bits of info.

RT is about 1 hr.10 min and I've only listened to a third of it so far. I can't leave a link as I got it through a website that can't be mentioned here, Maybe someone who is better at using a computer than I am (almost everyone!!!!!) can find the interview via Nyquist and post a link here? If so, thanks very much!

Oh, and so far the video is just talk, no charts or pictures, so maybe you can mend socks, polish fingernails or peel apples while listening!

 

[Martinhouse]

I just listened the second time to the above mentioned Nyquist interview with David DuByne of Adapt 2030.

rt = 1:10:17

It is definitely worth listening to!

 

[Martinhouse]

DuByne just put up another YouTube video this evening on his Adapt 2030 site. It's indirectly related to the GSM but is full of interesting stuff about the carbon credit system, which he says is already coming into play.

rt - 13:24

 

[Zahra]

Ice Age Farmer has been posting very actively on his Telegram account. He posts at least 5 times per day there and it's all highly useful.

 

[Windwood]

Ice Age Farmer has been posting very actively on his Telegram account. He posts at least 5 times per day there and it's all highly useful.

Could you please post a link? Thanks you!

 

[Martinhouse]

Windwood, I don't know how to post links, but there is a link to the Telegram blog in post #4050 of this thread.

 

[TxGal]

Sorry all, morning medical appts that required a fair amount of very early morning car travel. I'll try to start catching up in a bit.

 

[alpha]

Could you please post a link? Thanks you!

Here

 

[Windwood]

Here

Thanks so much! I put in "ice age farmer" myself, but nothing came up. Thanks again!

 

[Slydersan]

...
But that being said (and I mentioned somewhere else here on TB2K), I saw my first wooly bear caterpillar about 10 days ago. It was COMPLETELY ORANGE, not a hint of black anywhere on it. So that "should" mean we'll have an almost non-existent winter. But the wild critters are already in eat everything-mode. My tomatoes haven't stood a chance against the squirrels lately. And we've even been seeing deer eating and foxes hunting during the day, which is just strange. So I'm not sure what to make of it all. Just prep for the worst and hope for the best I guess.

To follow up on this. I found another wooly bear caterpillar in my garden this week. It was almost completely orange... just a sliver of black on each end, but not much.

I also was on the Penn. turnpike over Labor Day weekend and some of the trees are starting change colors. Nothing dramatic, but there were quite a few that were just starting to change. I have done that drive literally hundreds of times and the color change seems a couple of weeks earlier than normal.

 

[TxGal]

Adapt 2030 has a new podcast out:

Permanent Rationing Begins - YouTube

Permanent Rationing Begins
26,790 views
Premiered Sep 13, 2021

View: https://youtu.be/0eh8HF31AW8
Run time is 13:23

Synopsis provided:

We are told that to meet 2050 targets we must reduce energy usage by 3% per year. Look back to 2020 and it seems the shift to Personal Carbon Allowances has begun as 10X shipping rates limit consumption. If this is the damage so far in the economy @6% through two years, what's next?

 

[TxGal]

Here

Thank you for posting that! It seems that's where IAF has been doing most, if not all, of his posting. I'll start bringing his posts over from there from now own. I'll try a test post below (and if it doesn't work I'll try to learn how to do it later):

Well, it didn't work. I don't have an account on Telegram, that may be it. I also don't want one...don't have Twitter, Facebook, You Tube, etc., either. Does anyone know of a trick to bringing over posts from Telegram without an account? With Twitter, etc., it's an Embedding link, but I'm not seeing it with Telegram.

 

[TxGal]

Finland sees First Flakes of the Season, La Niña Update, + They're Resurrecting Woolly Mammoths "To Stop Climate Change" - Electroverse

Articles Extreme Weather GSM FINLAND SEES FIRST FLAKES OF THE SEASON, LA NIÑA UPDATE, + THEY’RE RESURRECTING WOOLLY MAMMOTHS “TO STOP CLIMATE CHANGE”
SEPTEMBER 14, 2021 CAP ALLON

FINLAND SEES FIRST FLAKES OF THE SEASON

The first ice crystals of the season fell in Finnish Lapland on Monday, reports yle.fi.

Totals of 2cm (0.8 inches) covered the village of Näkkälä in Enontekiö, northwest Lapland on Monday morning, September 13:

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1437450544361181184

View: https://twitter.com/Nordic_News/status/1437450544361181184

However, because of the way the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) documents snowfall, Monday’s flakes don’t officially qualify as the first of the season as they occurred after 9AM.

I couldn’t find the exact reason as to why this is — the closet I got is the this statement on the FMI’s website: “In Finland, the first snow cover is considered to have happened on the day when there is measurable snow in the morning observation (06 UTC).”

I did find this interesting graphic, which depicts ‘the average date of first snow cover (1981-2010)’:


[FMI]

The snow wasn’t confined to Näkkälä, either.

It also snowed in and around Rovaniemi, the capital city of Lapland:

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1437643229172838407

View: https://twitter.com/PhilipRBurgess/status/1437643229172838407
Run time is 0:07

LA NIÑA UPDATE

A moderate to strong La Niña event is expected influence the upcoming winter season across the Northern Hemisphere.

La Niña winters typically result in colder and snowier than normal conditions across the majority of NH land masses.

With a La Niña strengthening in the Pacific, the U.S. Climate Prediction Center is expecting a good chance of above-average precipitation for the winter months, especially west of the Continental Divide, which, more often than not, will fall as snow.

A similar situation happened just a few years ago, after the sizzling summer of 2017, a weak to moderate La Niña developed for the winter of 2017-18. In Montana, for example, mountain snowpack generally ended up well-above average by the end of that winter, with many of the state’s mountains standing at around 150% of normal snow water equivalent.

We should expect a similar setup this season, only worse given that we’ve had an additional 4 years of low solar activity-induced cooling — global average temperatures are down approx. 0.3C from 2017 levels, and are forecast to fall back below baseline before 2021 is through…


UAH [Dr Roy Spencer]

…this is expected to lead to even colder lows and heavier snows.

Prepare.

THEY’RE RESURRECTING WOOLLY MAMMOTHS “TO STOP CLIMATE CHANGE”

A new company has been launched with the aim of restoring woolly mammoths to the Arctic tundra in order to save the planet from catastrophic global warming.

I had hoped this was a prank, perhaps a late April-fools joke. Depressing though, it appears 100% real…

Harvard geneticist George Church and tech entrepreneur Ben Lamm are starting a company called “Colossal”. The marketing and media hype surrounding the venture would have you believe they’re going to “de-extinct” the woolly mammoth, and become our planet’s saviors.

The plan, according to the company’s website, is to splice African elephant DNA with recovered mammoth DNA in order to create a hybrid creature that’s resistant to herpes and capable of surviving in extreme cold temperatures.

After that, the next step is to let them breed in wild Siberia where, over time, they’ll poop all over the place and trample the ground so much that fresh grass begins to grow through the arctic tundra.

Eventually, says the BS press release, the grass that grows beneath the giant woolly feet of these majestic beasts will trap enough harmful gasses that it’ll reverse our planet’s catastrophic climate crisis.

Wow.

This is where scaring the younger generation into thinking the planet is ending gets you.

Ben Lamm is 39 years old, and for the entirely of those 39 years all he’s heard from the mainstream education system and media is that, ultimately, the human race is facing extinction due to rising atmospheric carbon dioxide levels.

Lamm’s mind likely went to some dark places.

And, ironically, bringing back a species which suffered its own climatic extinction event of the past struck him as the solution.


Ben Lamm (left), with geneticist George Church.

Lamm strikes me as insane. However, his past businesses have involved creating artificial intelligence products for Big Tech firms like Apple, Twitter, as well as NASA. This means his new venture likely already has their backing, which in turn would suggest that no one is going to stop him (one one is more powerful than Big Tech).

Yet it stands that this is one of the most ludicrous and potentially dangerous endeavors I’ve read about in the name of saving the world from a completely fabricated threat, and it makes the likes of those placard brandishing hippies of Extinction Rebellion look utterly benign.

The rich feel entitled to change the order of things — to play god. Attempting to colonize Mars is one thing, but seeing the likes of Bill Gates firing sky-dimming chalk into the atmosphere, or breeding ‘vaccine mosquitoes’ to be released on an unsuspecting public are something else entirely.

This latest affront to nature is both 1) completely needless — there is no climate crisis, and 2) risks upsetting the natural order of things in the Arctic — these mindless, ignorant & ill-informed elites have no idea of the full ramifications, but I don’t think they give two shakes of a mammoths tale, either.


What could possibly go wrong…?

On the plus side though, at least our woolly friends should feel right at home with the looming climate reality…

The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.






Prepare accordingly— learn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.

 

[alpha]

Thank you for posting that! It seems that's where IAF has been doing most, if not all, of his posting. I'll start bringing his posts over from there from now own. I'll try a test post below (and if it doesn't work I'll try to learn how to do it later):

Well, it didn't work. I don't have an account on Telegram, that may be it. I also don't want one...don't have Twitter, Facebook, You Tube, etc., either. Does anyone know of a trick to bringing over posts from Telegram without an account? With Twitter, etc., it's an Embedding link, but I'm not seeing it with Telegram.

TxGal,
Other than the tweets that he posts, I can select the posts and copy/paste them like this...

September 14
Ice Age Farmer ✔
Good they are making some progress restoring grain exports (previous post) but lots of damage done to China’s import pipeline.
Food / shipping / geopolitics — all related. If China goes hungry, they likely go to war...
Protein and Transpacific Power
Substack
Protein and Transpacific Power
China's Emergent Struggle for Food Security

Ice Age Farmer ✔
HIGH OCTANE SPECULATION:

Rumors abound about DHS/Nat Guard mobilizing for imminent national quarantine in USA.
I can’t speak to the accuracy, but from a food supply perspective: given dry conditions, a lot of folks are already combining. Can see this in harvest progress data.
Such a lockdown now would inflict maximum damage on harvests and moving grains for exports, potentially further aggravating the Ida export difficulties, starving China.

(Not to mention further inflame tensions in US as 27 states square off against Biden mandates.)

It feels unlikely to me, but they ARE accelerating.
What are you hearing / thinking?

BE READY.

Ice Age Farmer ✔
German wheat crop estimate shrinks further:
Germany’s 2021 wheat crop of all types is expected to fall 3.6% on the year to 21.37 million tonnes after poor weather, according to estimates released by the agriculture ministry on Wednesday.

Crops suffered from swings in weather, with a cold spring followed by a hot, dry start to the summer and then unwelcome harvest-time rain and storms, the ministry said in preliminary forecasts for the 2021 harvest.
#GrandSolarMinimum
https://agroinsurance.com/en/german-2021-wheat-crop-to-fall-3-6-after-adverse-weather/

Ice Age Farmer ✔
Over Half A Million Texans Without Power As Nicholas Threatens Louisiana With Flooding
Over Half A Million Texans Without Power As Nicholas Threatens Louisiana With Flooding | ZeroHedge
ZeroHedge
Cat 1 Hurricane Nicholas Makes Landfall On Texas Coast, Multiple Nuclear Power Plants In Path
What's on our radar this morning is the storm passing over the nuclear power station southwest of Bay City...

 

[TxGal]

TxGal,
Other than the tweets that he posts, I can select the posts and copy/paste them like this...

September 14
Ice Age Farmer ✔
Good they are making some progress restoring grain exports (previous post) but lots of damage done to China’s import pipeline.
Food / shipping / geopolitics — all related. If China goes hungry, they likely go to war...
Protein and Transpacific Power
Substack
Protein and Transpacific Power
China's Emergent Struggle for Food Security

Ice Age Farmer ✔
HIGH OCTANE SPECULATION:

Rumors abound about DHS/Nat Guard mobilizing for imminent national quarantine in USA.
I can’t speak to the accuracy, but from a food supply perspective: given dry conditions, a lot of folks are already combining. Can see this in harvest progress data.
Such a lockdown now would inflict maximum damage on harvests and moving grains for exports, potentially further aggravating the Ida export difficulties, starving China.

(Not to mention further inflame tensions in US as 27 states square off against Biden mandates.)

It feels unlikely to me, but they ARE accelerating.
What are you hearing / thinking?

BE READY.

Ice Age Farmer ✔
German wheat crop estimate shrinks further:
Germany’s 2021 wheat crop of all types is expected to fall 3.6% on the year to 21.37 million tonnes after poor weather, according to estimates released by the agriculture ministry on Wednesday.

Crops suffered from swings in weather, with a cold spring followed by a hot, dry start to the summer and then unwelcome harvest-time rain and storms, the ministry said in preliminary forecasts for the 2021 harvest.
#GrandSolarMinimum
https://agroinsurance.com/en/german-2021-wheat-crop-to-fall-3-6-after-adverse-weather/

Ice Age Farmer ✔
Over Half A Million Texans Without Power As Nicholas Threatens Louisiana With Flooding
Over Half A Million Texans Without Power As Nicholas Threatens Louisiana With Flooding | ZeroHedge
ZeroHedge
Cat 1 Hurricane Nicholas Makes Landfall On Texas Coast, Multiple Nuclear Power Plants In Path
What's on our radar this morning is the storm passing over the nuclear power station southwest of Bay City...

Thanks for that! It's certainly better than nothing...I'll try work arounds later when I get back, family med appts coming up soon.

 

[alpha]

Or... Cut & Paste individual screen saves to word processor and save as a pdf.

 

[TxGal]

Intensifying Seismic Crisis at La Palma Volcano: Mega-Tsunami Potential (electroverse.net)

Articles Volcanic & Seismic Activity

INTENSIFYING SEISMIC CRISIS AT LA PALMA VOLCANO: MEGA-TSUNAMI POTENTIAL
SEPTEMBER 15, 2021 CAP ALLON

The seismic crisis at La Palma of the past few days continues with no signs of slowing.

More than 250 sizable quakes were detected during the past 24 hours, and more than 3000 in total have been logged over the past 4 days, reports volcanodiscovery.com.

During the past 24 hours, earthquakes have been moving westwards and have become shallower, reveals data coming out of the National Geographic Institute (IGN). This is a concerning development, and likely indicates continued magma intrusion and migration under the surface, a contention which is also supported also by the continued deformation of the surface in the same area as the quakes — in places, the ground has been uplifted by 1.5 cm (almost one inch) already.



The likelihood of an eruption has thus increased, continues the volcanodiscovery.com report — earthquake swarms are often an indication of an impending eruption.

Furthermore, this week’s swarm is occurring at the south of the island — the worst possible location (for reasons explained below).


Locations of recent quakes under La Cumbre Vieja volcano [www.ign.es].

Additionally, and according to the most recent update, the quakes are becoming shallower.

This is another sign of an impending blow-off.

A magnitude 3.2 quake popped-off early Wednesday morning at a depth of just 4 km.

This can be seen at the large green signal on the seismic trace graph:


Seismic traces of quakes under La CUmbre Vieja volcano (La Palma, Canary Islands) (image: IGN)

Many already know the threat that La Palma poses.

And many models have simulated the catastrophic aftermath of an eruption.

According to a study conducted by Steven Ward and Simon Day:

“Geological evidence suggests that during a future eruption, Cumbre Vieja Volcano on the Island of La Palma may experience a catastrophic failure of its west flank, dropping 500 km3 of rock into the sea. Using a geologically reasonable estimate of landslide motion, we model tsunami waves produced by such a collapse. Waves generated by the run-out of a 500 km3 slide block at 100 m/s could transit the entire Atlantic Basin and arrive on the coasts of the Americas with 10-25 m height.”

This is a very dangerous volcano, and not for the reason most volcanoes are concerning (i.e. particulate ejection). La CUmbre Vieja on the island of La Palma threatens to send a 80+ foot tsunami washing over the entire eastern seaboard. In fact, the majority of Atlantic coastal towns and cities could be washed away — including those in Canada, Greenland, Iceland, the UK, Portugal, and all of western Africa.

Watch the simulation of Ward’s and Day’s study for more information (made in 2012):

View: https://youtu.be/Zb4T8a1K5tw
Run time is 4:03

You likely won’t hear of this event via the mainstream media.

I very much doubt they’ll even inform you if the volcano actually blew its top.

And that’s because the MSM’s aim is not to keep you informed, or to give you a heads-up regarding real-world threats; instead, its purpose is to manage your behavior and to keep you controlled. Needless to say, controlling the 8.5 million inhabitants of New York City, for example, in the event of inbound 80 ft high tsunami would prove problematic. It has actually been suggested that informing people of an incoming wave could lead to more lives lost, as the ensuing chaos would likely prevent the informed few from escaping (due to jammed roads, etc.).

This is an ongoing event.

So stay tuned for updates.

We also await to see what impact the incoming space weather has on the seismic swarm.

According to Dr. Tony Phillips of spaceweather.com, confidence is growing that a coronal mass ejection (CME) might graze Earth’s magnetic field on Sept 17, possibly sparking minor G1-class geomagnetic storms.

The CME (shown below) left the sun on Sept 13, and was propelled outwards by an exploding filament of magnetism.

Tracking this CME has been tricky, because in coronagraph imagery it overlapped two other storm clouds.

However, confidence is growing that it could deliver Earth at least a ‘glancing blow’.

 

[TxGal]

Adapt 2030 has two new podcasts up:

The Global Rationing Plan 2022 - YouTube

The Global Rationing Plan 2022
7,579 views
Premiered 4 hours ago

View: https://youtu.be/CM9UCBX8uF8
Run time is 14:12

Synopsis provided:

The DoConomy Card issued by Mastercard teaming with the U.N will monitor and cut off spending when you hit your carbon max allotment. You can of course buy more carbon credits on the international carbon trading market. This is happening as food nearing 60 year highs and the supply chain from the farmgate to supermarkets is shattered. Meat and poultry price soar as the blame game continues to keep you distracted as the carbon cut off is implemented.

 

[TxGal]

Here's the 2nd:

Starving Cities are Just Around the Corner - YouTube

Starving Cities are Just Around the Corner
22,641 views
Premiered Sep 15, 2021

View: https://youtu.be/xNfPB5MksMs
Run time is 13:32

Synopsis provided:

Oil price up, electric wholesale prices up, shipping rates up so high for a three week rental of a small container vessel you can buy 68 new Ferraris. Most supply chains are broken due to lack of transport drivers and factories processing food are at two shifts and half staff due to six foot distance requirements. Even if the food is grown in the fields, it likely will not be efficiently delivered to the cities.

 

[TxGal]

"Unbelievable Amount of Snow" Extends New Zealand Ski Season, Fall Flurries Headed for Colorado, Europe set to Freeze, as the Sun is Once Again Spotless - Electroverse

Extreme Weather GSM

“UNBELIEVABLE AMOUNT OF SNOW” EXTENDS NEW ZEALAND SKI SEASON, FALL FLURRIES HEADED FOR COLORADO, EUROPE SET TO FREEZE, AS THE SUN IS ONCE AGAIN SPOTLESS
SEPTEMBER 16, 2021 CAP ALLON

Once upon a time, NASA said low solar activity = global cooling.

The exact same pattern is unfolding again TODAY, but with one key difference — the modern scientific establishment is now tasked with peddling the CAGW narrative, meaning reality and historical documentation must be twisted, obfuscated, and flat-out ignored…

“UNBELIEVABLE AMOUNT OF SNOW” EXTENDS NEW ZEALAND SKI SEASON

In this time of ‘catastrophic anthropogenic global warming’ –which you’ll recall was prophesied to deliver ever-rising temperatures and the end of snow– extreme blizzards are striking BOTH hemisphere’s this week: Greenland up north, and New Zealand down south.

In fact, New Zealand’s out-of-season pow-pow has been so heavy that it has resulted in South Island skifield’s implementing rare extensions to their seasons.

James Lazor, a spokesperson for the Mt Dobson Ski Area, said conditions are excellent at present, and they have decided to extend their season by at least two weeks, shifting their final day from September 26 to October 10.


Mt Dobson Ski Area is enjoying “unbelievable” snow and weather, and have announced a two-week extension to their season.

There are multiple factors in selecting closing dates, with each skifield making their own decisions based on location, access, historical weather and visitor patterns. Conditions are “particularly good,” said Lazor–which came as a complete surprise given those official NIWA predictions calling for an unseasonably warm start to spring, 2021.

In reality though, a persistent and violent buckling of the jet stream has been diverting a string of Antarctic air masses unusually far north — a phenomenon that is now extending into spring, and affecting more regions than just New Zealand.

Frigid ‘polar tails’ are being flung across the majority of Southern Hemisphere land masses this month.

And looking below, we see Australia is set for a historic, continent-spanning wave of September cold next week–but South Africa and South America can also expect their own extensions to winter.

SEPT 21:

GFS 2m Temp Anomalies (C) for Sept 21 [tropicaltidbits.com].

SEPT 22:

GFS 2m Temp Anomalies (C) for Sept 22 [tropicaltidbits.com].

Back to New Zealand, those recent late-season dumps have delivered an “unbelievable amount of snow,” continued Lazor.

“We’ve done some measurements this morning, and our high point for snow coverage is 2 m (6.6 ft), our low point is 80 cm (2.6 ft). The skiing and riding is just spectacular, and the weather will just get better and better.”



FALL FLURRIES HEADED FOR COLORADO

Weather models have been very consistent over the past three days in showing a deep trough diving far enough south to bring most of Colorado a good taste of fall.

Storms have already brought a dusting of graupel and snow to some of the higher elevations this week, but the more organized and widespread snowfall potential is forecast to arrive Monday night, Sept 20.

At this point, the storm looks similar to the Aug 20 event, and will likely bring inches of snow to parts of the mountains, favoring the central and northern areas.

The models currently show the lower Front Range staying mostly dry, but the mercy is expected drop off a cliff, falling into the 40s with blustery winds making it feel much colder.

This is a developing system, and forecasts are ever-changing.

Stay tuned for updates.

EUROPE SET TO FREEZE

Europe’s severe gas shortage, due in no small part to the depletion of supplies during the historically cold winter and spring just gone, are now making mainstream headlines. And now, the continent is bracing for an early winter test this week, as a powerful blast of Arctic air descends.

Beginning this weekend, temperature departures are set to nosedive, tumbling as much as 20C below the seasonal average.

Latest GFS runs reveal the extent of the early-season chill, which is set to prove doggedly persistent and run into October:

GFS 2m Temp Anomalies (C) Sept 19 – Sept 27 [tropicaltidbits.com].

Such negative temperature anomalies in mid to late September threaten cop-ravaging frosts and early-season snowfall:


GFS Total Snowfall (cm) Sept 16 – Oct 2 [tropicaltidbits.com].

Prepare for winter now, Europeans.

Don’t rely on government or the emergency services to come to your aid when historic freezes lead to rolling blackouts…

Larry Delivers Record-Smashing Summer Snow to Greenland, +"Lives at Stake" in European Gas Shortage - Electroverse

The Greenland gained 10 Gts of snow & ice on Sunday -- never before in record history has the ice sheet gained so much at this time of year.

electroverse.net

THE SUN IS ONCE AGAIN SPOTLESS

Today, September 16, solar and geomagnetic activity are very low — the Sun is once again blank.

The outbursts and flaring of the past few weeks has faded, and, although we’re in the midst of a ramp-up into SC25, all is once again quiet on the earth facing solar disk — the sun is devoid of sunspots.

NASA has linked periods of low solar activity with spells of global cooling here.

The Dalton Minimum (1790 to 1830) delivered a period of lower-than-average global temperatures.

This 40-year temperature decline also matches perfectly with the observed dip in solar activity (see the Sunspot chart below).



The Oberlach Station in Germany, for example, experienced a 2C decline over 20 years at the beginning of the 1800s — a drop which devastated the country’s food production.

“The Year Without a Summer” also occurred during the Dalton Minimum (in 1816).

Crop failures across Eurasia and the Americas were also noted. These led to food riots, famine, and ultimately the deaths of millions upon millions of people across the Northern Hemisphere, including China.

Temperature plunges of the more distant past also correlate neatly with spells of low solar output.

Preceding the Dalton were the much deeper Maunder and Spörer Minimums.

Taking the Maunder Minimum (1645 to 1715), we see (below) that its 70-year spell of cooling, crop loss and famine also matches with a sharp decline in solar output — during the Maunder, the Sun was devoid of sunspots for not just years, but decades at a time:


Maunder Minimum low solar activity (1645 – 1715), with NASA’s forecast for SC25 tagged on the end.

The Grand Solar Minimum cycle appears to be returning, and, as expected, it is bringing the cold and snow back with it.

Sunspots have become few-and-far between in recent years, and while it’s really still anyone’s guess what the future holds, the majority of evidence and expert analysis puts this next solar cycle (25) on par with historically weak one just gone (24), with the cycle after that (26) threatening to not get going at all (we could be looking at a repeat of the Maunder Minimum, where entire solar cycles went by without so much as a peep).

If this is the case, this decline in solar output will continue to have a stark cooling effect on global average temperatures, which are already down some 0.7C from their peak in 2016.

Five Major Datasets show Global Cooling, as Carbon Brief is Caught Lying to the Public - Electroverse

Climate headlines are built around narratives, not facts. Most sheeple are easily fooled by illogically-linear charts and phony correlations.

electroverse.net

The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.



Prepare accordingly— learn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.

 

[TxGal]

Coquihalla, Connector hit with early snow for 2nd evening in British Columbia -- Earth Changes -- Sott.net

Coquihalla, Connector hit with early snow for 2nd evening in British Columbia

Josh Duncan
KamloopsbcNow
Thu, 16 Sep 2021 14:38 UTC


© DriveBC
The Elkhart webcam on Hwy 97C around 7 pm Wednesday.

It's still technically summer, but travellers in the BC Interior were reminded Wednesday night of how quickly winter can arrive in Canada.

For the second straight evening, both the Coquihalla Highway (Hwy 5) and the Okanagan Connector (Hwy 97C) were hit with snow as the sun set and temperatures dipped.

Around 8 pm, the DriveBC Twitter account shared a photo from the Mine Creek webcam that showed snow falling on Hwy 5.

#BCHwy5 - ❄Scenes from the Mine Creek camera on the #Coquihalla.
Watch for changing road conditions between #HopeBC and #MerrittBC. Slow down and drive to conditions!
Camera links here: DriveBC Southern Interior - Hwy 5 (Coquihalla) Cams pic.twitter.com/MT3Oa78msC
— DriveBC (@DriveBC) September 16, 2021

It was just a dusting for the Coquihalla, but the Connector was hit much harder by the inclement weather.

After a brief dusting of snow in the afternoon, it cleared up for a short time before the snow started falling once again around 6 pm.

By 7 pm, Hwy 97C was covered with snow and the webcams painted a scene straight out of December.


Snowfall on Highway 97C Sept. 15/2021

It settled in overnight and even though snow on the road had cleared from traffic, the sides of the highway were still white as the sun rose today.

The highways will likely continue to see some snow over the weekend due to cooler overnight temperatures that bring the snow level down.

As it starts to warm up next week, the highway should stay clear, but the September snow is a gentle reminder that winter highway driving conditions are right around the corner.