Solar Grand Solar Minimum part deux

I'm posting a blog post from Patrice over at Rural Revolution from last week. It's interesting in that she and many followers are calling an early fall....they can just 'feel' it and have seen in changes in the light, wild animal behavior, etc. The pictures didn't copy over, so if you want to see them please follow the link....there are a lot of them.

This is something DH and I have been talking about a few weeks. Fall seems to be coming early this year, despite the high heat we're in now.

While the blog post is interesting, the real story may be in the comments below from readers posting what they're seeing and feeling.

Rural Revolution: Calling fall (rural-revolution.com)

Thursday, August 19, 2021
Calling fall

I'm trying to get back to some semblance of mental calm after the fire that hit our peninsula earlier this week. We've been deeply involved in fundraising efforts, as well as catching up with neighbors to assess the damage. It's frustrating to be so far away at a time we wish we could be closer to help.

The following is a post I was assembling literally as we got the phone call to tell us about the fire. The subject seems trivial in light of the week's drama, but frankly I need a break from the drama. So here goes....

Every year, Don has a little game he plays. He likes to "call" the first day of fall.

He's been doing this for years and years. Clearly his "call" has nothing to do with the calendar (autumn equinox). It's more of an indefinable feeling, a ghostly sense that summer is ending and autumn is on its way.

He called it last week, despite the 96F temperatures...

...and despite the thick smoke that has ringed the region for weeks on end.

I asked him to clarify how he "calls" fall. He says it's almost a spiritual attunement. He was walking to the shop and heard a heavy silence. A pregnant pause. A frozen moment in time. The sky was pale blue with wispy pastel clouds. Some leaves, dry in the summer heat, rustled in a faint zephyr. Despite the silence, small noises were crisp and sharp – the crunch of gravel, the rattle of leaves. He said it's a gut feeling, as though a page has been turned – as if the world just let out a sighing breath, "Okay, now comes the sleeping time." ("Your mileage may vary," he adds.)Now that all the poetic stuff is out of the way, there seems to be some truth to his sense. The day he called fall was hot, but a dramatic weather change took place the next day. This was the temperature drop between one day and the next.

To that end, I've been observing signs of autumn. A few leaves on the ground...

A few dramatic clouds at sunrise...

And a lot of young bucks with velvet on their antlers.

The baby turkeys are growing up.

So are the baby deer.

And the fruit is ripening. Dear heaven, do we have fruit.

Black hawthorn.
Wild plums.
Apples.
In fact, apples galore.
And blackberries. Lots and lots of blackberries.

Mr. Darcy has become a blackberry aficionado. He'll stop and graze on our walks.

The hummingbirds have been incredibly active. Over the next month or so, I'll start weaning them off the feeders so I don't artificially delay their migration.

I won't be unhappy to see the end of summer and welcome fall. It's been months of dramatic heat, drought, and fire. Millions of others in the tinder-dry west are looking forward to the change of season as well.

Bring it on.

Posted by Patrice Lewis at 8:35 PM
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Labels: Darcy, deer, fall

25 comments:

1. Susan in CAAugust 19, 2021 at 8:50 PM
   I notice it is fall when the sunshine is more golden, not as white. I see usually in September.
   Reply
2. Nym CoyAugust 20, 2021 at 3:40 AM
   I called it last week too when the sun was hot but the shadows were much cooler. Something said fall to me but my husband didn't get it. Michigan.
   Reply
3. AnonymousAugust 20, 2021 at 4:03 AM
   I find your husband's "call of fall" facinating and exciting. I do think that when we listen, nature has a lot to tell us. It is so close to the Lord, fresh from his hand.
   Reply
4. AnonymousAugust 20, 2021 at 6:00 AM
   I’m with Don. I called fall a few days ago too. I listen every year because fall is my favorite season. There is a difference in the smell of the morning, the sound of the insects. My husband disagrees. He said 6 more weeks….I love him but he’s cra-cra. ; )
   TeresaSue
   Reply
5. DoveAugust 20, 2021 at 6:07 AM
   I highly recommend an episode of It Is Written TV called “Where Was God” about those who survived the Paradise, CA fire. He interviews three Christians— some who loose everything, another the fire stops right at the edge of there place. IIW TV - Where Was God?
   God bless.
   Reply
   Replies
   1. • AnonymousAugust 23, 2021 at 1:04 PM
        We went to visit some friends back east, and stayed a day. While thee, I got the overwheling urge to walk the property line, anointing with oil. We heard later that a tornadoe came through, headed right at their house. It got to a block away, made a 90 degree turn.
        
        God still rules in the lives of men, and fire, wind, water, are all at His beck and call.
   2. Reply
6. Toirdhealbheach BeucailAugust 20, 2021 at 6:18 AM
   Patrice - Like Don, I like to "Call Fall" as well. To Susan's point, to me it is something about the cast of the sunlight - it just "looks" different. But I can tell, even if I cannot tell you why.
   Reply
7. AnonymousAugust 20, 2021 at 6:26 AM
   Here, deer and turkeys start moving around, crossing roads, just being more visible probably because they're moving out of bottom areas. They've been doing it about 2 weeks now. I knew last week. Yesterday I went out on the porch during a thunderstorm and it was chilly. After having triple digit heat indexes for so long, and expecting more next week, it was unexpected and refreshing. The Lord sends times of refreshing seemingly in every hard thing.
   Reply
8. AnonymousAugust 20, 2021 at 6:40 AM
   I too "called fall's arrival" yesterday. The sun is lower and not as intense, the mornings are cooler and the garden's production has slowed. We made our first pickles yesterday with the tomatoes and beets ready for canning any day now. I say, bring on fall! Even here on the west side of the Cascades we are growing weary of this strange heat and dryness, it's just not normal!
   
   - Kitsap County
   Reply
9. TewshoozAugust 20, 2021 at 12:19 PM
   Summer smells differently than fall. I smelled fall the other day, and for the first time in my long life I wished for winter and snow.
   Reply
10. Rita MillerAugust 20, 2021 at 2:14 PM
    This week I have noticed it also. I told my husband that it seems that everything is about a month early. Elderberries are actually turning black, some plants are going yellow and the quail flocks are alamos all grown up. It is almost time for a fire (wood stove) at night.
    Reply
11. Lady LocustAugust 20, 2021 at 5:29 PM
    You sure got that right (& Dan too). Funny that same hot day, I told hubby, "This is it - our last scorcher for the year." I too just sensed it. Calling Fall does sound so much more poetic :-)
    Reply
12. AnonymousAugust 20, 2021 at 5:56 PM
    I call fall when the shadows change. It is here. Hotter than crazy but here, none the less.
    Reply
13. SwampWomanAugust 21, 2021 at 12:55 AM
    The temperatures here are the same (I'm still losing 10 lbs. of sweat while mowing but have only gotten heat exhaustion once this summer). The wildflowers and insects are screaming fall about a month early.
    Reply
14. crunchyconAugust 21, 2021 at 2:40 AM
    Tennessee, here. We’re going to have a hot muggy week here, but I notice the sycamores have just started turning yellow and the green of the trees getting duller. Not quite ready to call Fall yet, but getting there.
    Reply
15. StacyAugust 21, 2021 at 5:53 AM
    We usually don't get our fall in Texas until October...but my son and I felt the same this week. She's on the way.
    Reply
16. SandyAugust 21, 2021 at 7:59 AM
    God-given for sure...Thank you for the reminder.. Don is spot on when he said it was a silence..Sigh
    Love from NC,
    Sandy
    Reply
17. AnonymousAugust 21, 2021 at 8:56 AM
    Hi Patrice, I too had thought that I needed to take in my feeders so the birds would not delay in migrating. To my surprise I checked various online sources which told me that the birds benefit from feeders. It gives them a bit of extra energy for migration, which is triggered by their bodies reacting to other stimuli such as shorter days and cooler temperatures. So you can leave the feeders up.
    Reply
18. Jeff from MississippiAugust 21, 2021 at 1:16 PM
    I know exactly what Don means, I have that sense as well. And it hit me several times this month, and it never hits me in August.
    Reply
19. KatjaAugust 22, 2021 at 7:44 PM
    It's odd you write about this... I was in SD this past week, and though every day was hot, dry, and over 90, there was one morning where it just seemed like summer was starting to lose its grip, that much like the signs of spring that are barely perceptible at first, there was a sharpness in the morning air, a change in the shadows, something really, that made me think that fall will be here soon.
    
    (Katja formerly of Sandpoint)
    Reply
20. UnknownAugust 23, 2021 at 9:27 AM
    I am able to "call" fall every year as well. The leaves' colors show a very subtle turn and dry out just a little; the August fogs settle in the grass, and the crickets stay out longer in the morning.
    Reply
21. AnonymousAugust 23, 2021 at 1:11 PM
    I would have called him a tease, but I suspect he's right. We are not going into a man made global warming like the climate howlers want us to believe, but a sleep cycle for the sun. Its going to have both record highs and record lows. But I believe fall will be coming earlier on average for a few years.
    
    Praying for you guys
    Reply
22. PACNW RightyAugust 23, 2021 at 5:26 PM
    Patrice, while not nearly as poetic as Don, I also have an odd sense when the summer turns to fall. Not attached to calendar. It's just a feeling, hard, no impossible, to explain. There is a difference in the morning air. The bird act a bit different. This I made the call when Kashmir stopped shedding rrat gobs of hair less than a week ago. Finally! Many times over the years I've said to one family member or another "that the hot day of the season." Oh, the weather well still be pleasant, sometimes awesome (Indian summers), but the unbearable hot days are done. And nights the become fresh.
    Reply
23. AnonymousAugust 24, 2021 at 8:17 AM
    With me it is the look of the weeds in the late garden they have toped out and are making seeds, very much time to get rid of them, but that is the beginning of Fall where we are even though the days are still in the 90's with no break in sight.
    Reply
24. BeckyAugust 30, 2021 at 10:06 AM
    I picked the last of the blue berries yesterday and pulled up a seconded batch of carrots. I am going to can the carrots today. It was 43 degrees last night and cloudy this morning.
    In the garden I am still getting green beans. I think the potatoes are ready to dig up and the brussel sprouts are FINALLY coming on. In September I always get my "Get ready For Winter " list out. there was a nice list on Lehman's blog back in 2016. It is so hard for me this year to say, get ready for fall. I love fall, it truly is my favorite time of the year. But this year just feels different.
    Reply

TxGal said:

It is looking that way about the IceAgeNow site, sadly, but it must be a huge amount of work to keep those going.

Not much from IAF, I agree, I just hope it's the time restraints from a young family and gardening that are keeping him occupied. Adapt 2030 is still drifting more into political topics/alternative currencies, and Oppenheimer is, well, Oppenheimer...I find it harder and harder to listen to him nowadays. He, too, is drifting into other topics, but with Diamond it's his delivery that often puts me off....but that is just me.

I'm still hoping that this is a 'lull' and we'll see more from most as we push more into winter. Time will tell! There are times where I wonder if I should keep posting what little is out there with so much else going on in the country/world. But, for now I'm keeping on keeping on to see what winter will bring in terms of news and postings.

Click to expand...

Please never doubt the importance of this thread. It is documenting how the weather is changing all over the world and how we are going to need to adapt to it. I know there is a small number of regular posters, but I have no doubt the number of readers is quite large. I have only posted a couple of times, but I visit this thread daily. Thank you for keeping it going.

I read here every day as well. Thank you for your postings.

As far as fall returning, I called it over the weekend. It was very hot but the breeze had a cool under current to it. I know fall will come quicker than we think.

An updated winter forecast.

FORECAST: 'WINTER IS COMING...'
by Theodore White, astromet.sci

We are now in the last third of summer 2021 going into September in the northern hemisphere.
As the autumnal equinox nears, the Sun will be angling lower in the skies and the weather will turn wetter and colder.

It may be difficult for some people to imagine right now, but know that it is time to begin planning for the colder months that will be here before we know it.

Reports are coming in from the Pacific Northwest and British Columbia on the appearance of our fall season buddies - the woolly bear caterpillars - who are sporting a narrow band of orange, which means a very cold winter and heavy lowland snow.

I have long predicted the La Niña of 2021-2022 which means cooler winter weather and plenty of snow in the mountains and surface-level lowland snow with La Niña.

The coming winter of 2021-2022 and spring 2022 will be one of the most challenging seasons in the lifetimes of a great many people - especially in North America, but also for Europe.

Typically this time of year, energy utilities across Europe are topping off their tanks, replacing old wires, locking in gas contracts, and doing the sort of routine maintenance needed to prepare for the coming winter.

But this year is different.

Natural gas prices are way up; reserves are way down; winter is around the corner; and energy traders, policy watchers, and regional experts are getting nervous - and they should be.

Despite the years of advance warnings I have provided on the winter of 2021-2022 and cold spring of 2022, few nations in the northern hemisphere, including the U.S. and Canada have prepared - and the consequences will be felt as a result.

Consider this:
Natural gas reserves in the European Union are far below normal levels for this time of year. That is because of last year's unusually cold late winter and early spring, which I also forecasted - but for Europe, means that the season to refill storage was shortened.

This year, going into the coming winter - their supplies are at around 12 percent, - versus 64 percent in past years.

'THE PERFECT STORM IS COMING'
This powerful winter of 2021-2022 will show its signs during the fall season with winter beginning earlier than normal and lasting well through early spring 2022 with everything from freezing rain, ice storms, gusting wind-chills, blizzard bombs of heavy snow and polar air of subzero frigid temperatures - in effect, many people will see and experience it all.

The shortages of energy is going to place much of North Americ and especially the European Union n a troubling position ahead of winter if storage doesn't fill up by October, because that is when the season to refill ends. Russia itself is also racing to fill its own storage ahead of the winter season.
Gas storages are usually filled in the summer before the heating season in autumn so the current situation has become worrying for the Europeans.

Tight supplies have resulted in spiking prices; and just last month gas prices at a key trading point in the Netherlands hit a 17-year record.

Current gas prices are running about three times above what they were at this time in 2019 - and five times compared with last year, when the COVID-19 pandemic slowed down or shuttered much industrial production.

Liquefied natural gas, or LNG, from North America typically would help bolster European supplies.
But this year, however, much of that has instead been heading to Asia, where prices are even higher and as much as 80% higher than in Europe, by some measures.

According to my Astromet calculations, this perfect storm combination of factors buffering markets: natural disasters, technical outages at many natural gas plants; the rise in industrial demand as economies struggle with the COVID-19 shutdowns has come together all at once.

As the coronavirus pandemic has derailed economic growth, there is growing concern worldwide about hunger and malnutrition.

The pandemic I forecast from 2017, along with crop shortages with the climate of global cooling under the Sun's quiescent phase means that from 2021 into 2022 there are problems in almost all countries.

Energy and food prices are rising and, where prices are still the same, there are already shortages.
Food inflation is always a negative factor, and the new wave of inflation will be particularly severe.
As I have long forecast for this time just ahead, there are now serious concerns about hunger and malnutrition that have emerged, even in the world’s richest countries

The short version is that there is not enough energy and resources available worldwide - and a long, cold and protracted winter is coming as I continue to forecast and warn.

Those interested in staying appraised on weather and climate conditions can follow me via Facebook, or on my new Twitter account here:
Theodore White (@Astromet007) | Twitter
twitter.com
Theodore White (@Astromet007) | Twitter
The latest Tweets from Theodore White (@Astromet007). Mundane Astrologer/Polymath/Knight-Ridder Journalist & Climate/Weather Forecaster as known as 'Astromet. Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

Laur said:

FORECAST: 'WINTER IS COMING...'
by Theodore White, astromet.sci
...
Reports are coming in from the Pacific Northwest and British Columbia on the appearance of our fall season buddies - the woolly bear caterpillars - who are sporting a narrow band of orange, which means a very cold winter and heavy lowland snow.
...

The latest Tweets from Theodore White (@Astromet007). Mundane Astrologer/Polymath/Knight-Ridder Journalist & Climate/Weather Forecaster as known as 'Astromet. Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

Click to expand...

I'm in central Maryland and the weather/seasons/signs have been, well, weird here. I thought to myself the other day that it smelled and felt like fall. But it's been hotter than normal here, still in the 90's with high humidity. So I totally understand the comment up above about nearly getting heat stroke trying to mow the grass.

But that being said (and I mentioned somewhere else here on TB2K), I saw my first wooly bear caterpillar about 10 days ago. It was COMPLETELY ORANGE, not a hint of black anywhere on it. So that "should" mean we'll have an almost non-existent winter. But the wild critters are already in eat everything-mode. My tomatoes haven't stood a chance against the squirrels lately. And we've even been seeing deer eating and foxes hunting during the day, which is just strange. So I'm not sure what to make of it all. Just prep for the worst and hope for the best I guess.

Interesting, all we've seen have been solid black here in Central Texas.

Spring in Australia begins with Intense Polar Cold, as Greenland Ice Sheet ends Season ABOVE 1981-2010 Average - Electroverse


Articles Extreme Weather GSM

SPRING IN AUSTRALIA BEGINS WITH INTENSE POLAR COLD, AS GREENLAND ICE SHEET ENDS SEASON ABOVE 1981-2010 AVERAGE
SEPTEMBER 1, 2021 CAP ALLON

SPRING IN AUSTRALIA BEGINS WITH INTENSE POLAR COLD

Exceptional low temperatures, large hail, and heavy snow — the first week of spring is set to break a myriad of cold records across the Aussie continent.

Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) forecaster Bob Tarr said the cold front would bring a sharp shift to the cold, with temperatures plunging on Thursday.

And if the forecast holds true, continued Tarr, then a host of all-time September low temperature records are expected to fall–particularly in locales within that band of ‘pink’ & ‘purple’ streaking through central and southeastern regions, on Sept 4:


GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) Sept 4 [tropicaltidbits.com].

That band of cold will actually intensify on Sept 5, and push northwards:


GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) Sept 5 [tropicaltidbits.com].

The GFS is pickup up on some truly exceptionally polar lows, yet there’s barely a peep coming from the MSM.

And note: this is no this is no speculative 384-hr model run, this forecast is well within the reliable time-frame.

Looking ahead, the chill will persist into early next week, too.

Here’s Monday, Sept 6:


GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) Sept 6 [tropicaltidbits.com].

The southwest won’t escape the chilly lows.

In fact, Perth isn’t expected to warm more than 14C (57.2F) on Thursday. If this pans out, it would be the SW city’s coldest September day in at least a decade.

“With the cold air coming in, there is the chance of a thunderstorm and hail during this evening and continuing into tomorrow morning,” Tarr told West Live regarding Perth’s weather outlook.

“And we will see sharply colder air coming into the region overnight and then into tomorrow so a pretty cold start to the spring.”

Hail and widespread frosts are also on the cards for Perth.

Whle across the Stirling range, including Bluff Knoll, there is high probability of spring snow.

Tarr said the snow will likely settle down to as low as 500m (1,640ft).

Looking further ahead, and admittedly into the unreliable time-frame, here’s what’s in store for mid-Sept:


GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) Sept 16 [tropicaltidbits.com].

Winter doesn’t look set to release its ice grip anytime soon.

Rug up Australia…

GREENLAND ICE SHEET ENDS SEASON ABOVE 1981-2010 AVERAGE

On the back of substantial Surface Mass Balance (SMB) gains since 2016 (which coincide with a stark drop in Earth’s average temperature), the Greenland ice sheet has increase that trend of GROWTH throughout the 2020-2021 season.

Despite MSM obfuscations, vast regions of Greenland gained record levels of snow and ice this year.

Back on May 26, a single day gain of more than 12 gigatons was logged which sent the official SMB chart –courtesy of the Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI)– into unprecedented territory.

The May 26 reading shot that blue line off the charts, literally:


May 26’s’of the charts’ SMB gains [DMI].

Further record-breaking GAINS were logged throughout June. Most notably on June 24, when a gain of 4 gigatons was logged. This was an astonishing accumulation for the time of year — never before in the month of June had the Greenland ice sheet grown by 4 Gts in a single day (according to DMI data which extends back to 1981).

These historic gains continued through the majority of the summer, punctuated by the odd spell of loss, spells which the obfuscating, warm-mongering mainstream media immediately leapt on — which I called out in this article:


According to the climate alarmists, the Greenland ice sheet should have melted into oblivion by now — yet here we are, at the end of the 2020-2021 season with growth comfortably exceeding the 1981-2010 mean (bottom image):


Bottom Image: Grey line is the 1981-2010 average. Despite MSM lies, this years acc. SMB (Gt) has tracked well-above the average for the entirety of the summer melt season. And now, it is once again building [DMI].

This adds to the ‘stabilizing’ of the ice sheet witnessed since 2016, and has turned the situation in Greenland on its head.

This is because Earth’s climate is cyclic, not linear — the spell of global warming we witnessed (between approx. 1980-2010) can be tied to high solar output, while the period of cooling we experienced prior to this (from around 1960 to 1980) can be linked to low solar activity. To believe that the natural order of things has somehow been thrown off course by human carbon dioxide emissions is sheer folly, it isn’t backed-up by the raw temperature data sets–you know, the ones before government agencies make their ‘adjustments’:


See also:


GEOMAGNETIC STORM WATCH

Earth’s magnetic field is about to get jolted by a pair of Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs).

Estimated time of arrival: Sept 1 or 2.

NOAA forecasters expect geomagnetic storms as strong as category G2, which means folks as far south as Idaho and New York (geomagnetic latitude 55 deg.) could see auroras. Moreover, given Earth’s ever-waning magnetic field strength (due to the building GSM/Magnetic Reversal), localized radio blackout and grid failures are a high possibility.

Stay tuned for updates…

The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordingly— learn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.

Slydersan said:

I'm in central Maryland and the weather/seasons/signs have been, well, weird here. I thought to myself the other day that it smelled and felt like fall. But it's been hotter than normal here, still in the 90's with high humidity. So I totally understand the comment up above about nearly getting heat stroke trying to mow the grass.

But that being said (and I mentioned somewhere else here on TB2K), I saw my first wooly bear caterpillar about 10 days ago. It was COMPLETELY ORANGE, not a hint of black anywhere on it. So that "should" mean we'll have an almost non-existent winter. But the wild critters are already in eat everything-mode. My tomatoes haven't stood a chance against the squirrels lately. And we've even been seeing deer eating and foxes hunting during the day, which is just strange. So I'm not sure what to make of it all. Just prep for the worst and hope for the best I guess.

Click to expand...

We have had quite a few mixed signals here for an early fall, too. I am so ready to find out what fall and winter will bring. I hope I don't regret those words. lol

In our area (northeastern Minnesota), it has felt like Fall is coming for the last couple of weeks. The air has the crisp feel, the fall flowers are almost or completely done blooming, the leaves have been changing. Just feels like Fall.

And that makes me really nervous because my dh can't do much to help me (weak from chemo treatments) and with my arthritis, I'm having difficulty doing much myself. So there is still a ton of work to do to harvest the little garden we have, a few more supplies to buy and bring home, fire wood to stack, yard things to get done and ready for winter. When I think of all that needs to be done, I start to panic! So I've told myself that I have to just set aside time every day - whether I feel up to it or not - and get out there and start working. So that's my goal.

Once I feel we are ready for winter, then I can relax and enjoy being closed in. We don't do much or go many places in winter. I don't like winter driving or winter roads or winter cold. But I do enjoy the time to sit and watch the fire and catch up on reading and crafts and other projects. This winter, I have several projects I want to finish, just in case my dh doesn't win in his cancer battle. I want to write a book that I've had on hold for many years. Things I want us to make for our grandkids. Our personal histories that need finishing and pictures. Our genealogies updated and organized. Good winter projects.

Thanks, TxGal and Martinhouse and all you others who bring the news and info to this thread. I only check here once a week or so, but I sure do greatly appreciate all that you bring to all of us!!

Hey all, just a kinda quick note while I still have the internet up - this morning my Hughes.net satellite internet went down. After about an hour on the phone with them, it looks like we need a new modem. Ours is atleast 7 yrs old, and it's not 5G. The delivery estimate for the new modem is 10 days (I'm not kidding).

Miraculously, my internet is back up this evening...I have no idea why. But, if I go dark again, it will mean my current modem went out once again.

We are a patient people .
we’ll be here wait in’ for ya!

Sammy55 said:

In our area (northeastern Minnesota), it has felt like Fall is coming for the last couple of weeks. The air has the crisp feel, the fall flowers are almost or completely done blooming, the leaves have been changing. Just feels like Fall.

And that makes me really nervous because my dh can't do much to help me (weak from chemo treatments) and with my arthritis, I'm having difficulty doing much myself. So there is still a ton of work to do to harvest the little garden we have, a few more supplies to buy and bring home, fire wood to stack, yard things to get done and ready for winter. When I think of all that needs to be done, I start to panic! So I've told myself that I have to just set aside time every day - whether I feel up to it or not - and get out there and start working. So that's my goal.

Once I feel we are ready for winter, then I can relax and enjoy being closed in. We don't do much or go many places in winter. I don't like winter driving or winter roads or winter cold. But I do enjoy the time to sit and watch the fire and catch up on reading and crafts and other projects. This winter, I have several projects I want to finish, just in case my dh doesn't win in his cancer battle. I want to write a book that I've had on hold for many years. Things I want us to make for our grandkids. Our personal histories that need finishing and pictures. Our genealogies updated and organized. Good winter projects.

Thanks, TxGal and Martinhouse and all you others who bring the news and info to this thread. I only check here once a week or so, but I sure do greatly appreciate all that you bring to all of us!!

Click to expand...

Agree. I first noticed that my robins had left quite early, and migrating birds would come through on their way south. Butterflies have all disappeared. And tonight I really noticed that it was dark by 8 pm.

I don't know how close we are in proximity, but have you thought of maybe a work-party day? I have done that with friends, family and neighbors in the past. Just a thought.

My modem is working while it shouldn't be, so I'm trying to post as fast as I can.

From Adapt 2030:

Solar EMP Preparedness & Expected Disruptions In a Grand Solar Minimum - YouTube

Solar EMP Preparedness & Expected Disruptions In a Grand Solar Minimum
23,948 views
Premiered Sep 1, 2021

View: https://youtu.be/6xfkHXCjVZg

Run time is 13:22

Synopsis provided:

With Louisiana loosing power and oi refining capacity, it shows how important and easily the grid can be lost. FEMA is also preparing for a Sun directed EMP and here are the recommendations with Faraday shielding materials and DIY Faraday cage advice.

Why British Columbia's "Swing Between Extremes" is a sign of Low Solar Activity, not Global Warming (electroverse.net)


Articles Extreme Weather GSM

FROM SUMMER HEATWAVE TO SUMMER SNOW, WHY BRITISH COLUMBIA’S “SWING BETWEEN EXTREMES” IS A SIGN OF LOW SOLAR ACTIVITY, NOT GLOBAL WARMING
SEPTEMBER 3, 2021 CAP ALLON

Things have cooled down significantly across British Columbia of late; so much so in fact, that SNOW has been falling on the Coquihalla and over the province’s Interior ski hills — a stark flip-flop from the heatwave of June.

Lisa Erven, Environment Canada meteorologist, said the cold temperatures at the end of August resulted in rare summer flurries settling in Silver Star, Whistler and parts of the Okanagan Connector.

“It certainly is a cold weather pattern for August and it does happen from time to time that we have these cold upper lows moving through and this is what happens,” Erven said, in an attempt to brush off the event.

Though she does end with this: “It is a bit of a shock that fall might be arriving.”


Silver Star Mountain Resort (Facebook).


Silver Star Mountain Resort, Tuesday morning (castanet.net).


SilverStar Mountain Resort (Facebook).

Official weather bodies, with their MSM lapdogs in tow, were all too keen to make the early-summer heat and wildfires front page news, but where are they now, as rare late-summer snow rolls in? These ‘crickets’ serve as further examples of cherry-picking and absurd obfuscation, yet the masses are still falling for it…

The Anthropogenic Global Warming theory is no better at explaining the summer heat than it is the summer snow, but the AGW theory is hamstrung by politics, it isn’t based in science. If it was the intellectual and practical activity encompassing the systematic study of the structure and behavior of the physical and natural world through observation and experiment, it would have been dropped many, many moons ago — the hypotheses (to call it a theory has always been generous) has failed at every turn, and it is an inconvenient truth that each and every tipping point deadline of the past 4+ decades has uneventfully passed us by.

Rising atmospheric carbon dioxide levels are not the cause of global warming — I can state this with confidence because global average temperatures are no longer rising in line with CO2. In fact, temps aren’t rising at all anymore, they have actually dropped off a cliff since 2016–down some 0.7C in that time.

The Sun is at the heart of British Columbia’s summer flip-flopping, and, logically, is the driver of Earth’s climate as a whole — a determined propaganda campaign is the only reason this statement is controversial.

Low solar activity weakens the jet streams, and the Sun has been suffering its lowest output in more than a century — these are two indisputable facts, btw. When solar activity is HIGH, the jet stream is tight and stable and follows somewhat of a straight path. But when solar activity is LOW, that meandering band of air flowing 6 miles above our heads becomes weak and wavy, it effectively buckles which diverts frigid Polar air to atypically low latitudes and replaces it with warmer tropical air.

The jet stream reverts from a “Zonal” flow to a “Meridional” flow and, depending on which side of the jet stream you’re on, you’re either in for a spell of unseasonably cold or hot weather and/or a period of unusually dry or wet conditions.


For more, see: The Changing Jet Stream and Global Cooling.

This flip-flopping (aka swing between extremes) has been long-predicted by those studying the Sun, and it is one forecast to intensify as the Grand Solar Minimum continues its deepening.

Overall, Earths temperature trends cooler during prolonged bouts of reduced solar activity; however, in line with the pronounced and exaggerated buckling of the jet stream, violent heatwaves, droughts, flooding events, and intense freezes are all to be expected, and are all possible within the exact same region, too.

A further note on flooding: Also added to the mix during times of ‘solar hibernation’ is the influx of Cosmic Rays — CRs result in increased cloud nucleation, which in turn leads to 1) global cooling (clouds act as Earth’s sunshade, and 2) localized flooding events (for more on that, click HERE).

The Sun entering a historic state of low activity occurring simultaneously with the changes in our climate are not coincidental. And this is honestly just the very beginning, we haven’t seen anything yet — but the upshot of this climate deterioration is about to smack the global population square in the face.

Europe can expect gas shortages this winter given the depletion of supplies during the record cold and long winter of 2020-21–in conjunction with rising carbon taxes, the shortfalls of renewable energy, and fracking bans (more on that HERE).

North America, too, should brace for energy shortages with fierce polar outbreaks an inevitability–last February in Texas will seem a mere taster.

And the world as a whole should prepare for higher food prices, with the likes of grain and coffee the first to be hit.

These aren’t pie in the sky predictions. Shortfalls in the global economy have already begun — even the MSM are reporting on them, in their roundabout, obfuscating way.

And let’s not forget the impending financial collapse…

Michael Burry, of ‘Big Short’ fame, is calling for not only the collapse of the stock markets, but for the fall of America. And he has put his money where is mouth is, betting around a billion dollars that irresponsible injecting of stimulus will drive up inflation.

Burry foresees a situation developing that is strikingly similar to Germany’s Wiemar Republic in the early 1920s, and he expects EVERYTHING (stocks, gold, crypto, etc.) to go the same way, falling by as much as 96%, soon.

Burry had the authorities so concerned by his apocalyptic outlook that they banned him from tweeting about his bet, and forced him to delete all previous tweets on the subject — Burry’s “mother of all crashes” rhetoric had the powers-that-be seriously rattled.

But to offer some balance here, on the other side of the coin you have the likes of Bill Ackman who is calling for the continuation of the bull run. You also have Cathie Wood –largely underrated imo– who has made a lot of money during in the bull run to date (admittedly not a particularly hard feat), but Wood isn’t blind to the problems in the economy. Her concerns differ to Burry’s, though — instead of inflation, Wood is worried about deflation (a scenario which can be just as bad for an economy).

But however it happens, the narrative now appears to preparing us all for a ‘Great Reset’.

Exactly what form it takes and when it begins is still anyone’s guess. But don’t fall yourself into dreams of an endless bull run, that “mother of all crashes” is coming. After all, the markets, like the climate, are cyclic, never linear…
TAKING THE SUN SERIOUSLY

The following article is written by Dr. Jay Lehr, and was originally published on cfact.com, August 29, 2021.

Here in the United States science has been subordinated to the whims and desires of politicians. The 6th Assessment Report (AR6) on climate change from the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change stands as complete proof of that statement. It really contains no science just fabrications to support the leftist desire to enslave the world by eliminating inexpensive prolific fossil fuel energy. Energy which has raised the developed world to a standard of living never imagined a century ago. Energy which the Clear Energy Alliance calls TECHMAPS because we must understand it supplies the world with Transportation, Electricity, Cooking, Heating/cooling, Manufacturing, Agriculture, Products and Sanitation.

First we had the global warming frenzy, but when temperatures did not rise it became Climate Change because of course it is always changing. I went to school in Connecticut where they said if you don’t like the climate wait ten minutes. Scientists who did not go along with fraudulent doomsday scenarios found their grants dry up and their jobs in jeopardy. Politicizing science is not new. Hitler and Stalin were experts at it to the detriment of their unfortunate populations.

Now in the face of the leftist onslaught of another IPCC propaganda report, 23 serious ethical and courageous scientists set aside their regular research to produce a fair and balanced review on the topic of sun-climate connections. Their collective goal was to right an amazing wrong promoted for decades by the United Nations. That wrong, as incredible as it may seem is the lie that the Sun plays no significant role in the changes in the Earth’s climate.

The quest to understand how the Earth’s climate is connected to the Sun is one of the oldest science subjects studied by the ancient Greeks and Chinese. This paper blows open the mystery and explains why it has been difficult to make true scientific advances. This left questions the UN IPCC were happy to answer with politically motivated lies.

The group are experts in the fields of solar physics and climate science located in 14 different countries. The paper appears in Research in Astronomy and Astrophysics. It is the most comprehensive paper to date analyzing the 16 most prominent published solar output datasets including those used by the IPCC.

To begin they make it clear that UN evaluations of climate are based on no substantial physical evidence, but only the mathematical models that by now all readers have heard of though likely are yet to understand. This writer fully understands this problem as working with such models since 1960 it took me a long while not to recognize a model as a physical representation of something real. In fact mathematical models are representation of physical systems used primarily to try and understand how a physical system MIGHT work. No intelligent scientist would endanger a nations economic system based on a mathematical equation that has never included even a fraction of the variables that impact Earth’s climate. The 23 scientists, who are named at the end of this article all know this and it is why they so passionately took up this challenge to help the citizens of the world who have been so terribly misled.

Two of the authors in particular, Gregory Henry and Willie Soon of the US have studied more than 300 stars, similar to our Sun, for three decades. They have observed as the stars age, their rotation slows, their magnetic activity and brightness variability decrease. Such changes would surely affect changes in climate in their planetary systems as they no doubt have in our own.

Paleoclimate evidence has long informed us of large natural variations of local, regional and hemispheric climate on scales of decades and centuries. The research of this team along with common sense of our readers indicate that Earth’s climate is determined by natural variations of radiation emitted by our Sun. These variations are a result of Earth-Sun geometry changes resulting from our planets rotational and orbital changes.


We have seen these changes to be synchronized with known past climate changes.

The IPCC is mandated to find a consensus on the causes of climate change. However, science doesn’t work by a consensus. In fact science thrives when scientists disagree and they investigate the reasons for disagreement. The IPCC has now for decades hampered the opportunity for progress by requiring amazingly false agreements. Their executive body eliminates material from the their reports that call into question the reports consistently false conclusions.

Richard Willson, a co-author in charge of NASA’s Sun monitoring efforts said “contrary to the findings of the IPCC, scientific observations, in recent decades, have demonstrated that there is no climate change crisis. The concept that devolved into the failed CO2 anthropogenic global warming hypothesis is based on the flawed predictions of imprecise 1980s, vintage, global circulation models that have failed to match observational data both since and prior to their fabrication.”

The paper I have described for our Cfact readers is 72 pages in length containing 18 figures , 2 tables and 544 references. Each of the co-authors has different scientific opinions on many of the issues discussed and rather trying to reach the unscientific consensus they want the readers to be able to draw there own conclusions or beliefs. The consensus, however, that rises to the forefront of its own accord is the complete lack of validity to years of IPCC conclusions and predictions.

Note: The full citation for the paper described here is: R.Connolly, W.Soon, M.Connolly, S. Baliunas, J. Berglund, C.J. Butler, R.G. Coinco, A.G. Elias, V.M. Fedorov, H. Harde, G.W. Henry, D.V. Hoyt, O. Humlum, D.R. Legates,S. Luning, N.Scafetta, J.-E. Solheim,L. Szarka, H. van Loon, V.M. Velasco Herrera, R.C. Wilson, H. Yan, and W. Zhang (2021) How much has the Sun influenced Northern Hemisphere temperature trends? An ongoing debate. Research in Astronomy and Astrophysics, doi: 10.1088/1674-4527/21/6/131

The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordingly— learn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.

Earthweek.pdf

Ok, the "LED losses" in the above graphic is ridiculous. Insects don't respond to some LED lights like they do incandescent. They may not have a smaller population, they just aren't attracted to the lights!

Summerthyme

Here's a new podcast from Oppenheimer, a little bit of everything:

Over Half A Million Still Without Power In Louisiana -Tahoe Evacuation Lifted -Snow In The Forecast - YouTube

Over Half A Million Still Without Power In Louisiana -Tahoe Evacuation Lifted -Snow In The Forecast
2,913 views
Premiered 10 hours ago

View: https://youtu.be/liSKX-qXubk

Run time is 14:34

Synopsis provided:

Week after Hurricane Ida's landfall, hundreds of thousands without power https://bit.ly/3BKqJHb
Ida devastation shows need to prepare for ‘very, very worst’ https://bit.ly/3yIyz1X
Power Outage US https://poweroutage.us/
South Lake Tahoe evacuation orders lifted as crews increase containment on Caldor Fire https://bit.ly/3napXPB
Biggest Armyworm Invasion in 30 Years Skips Crops to Get Turf https://yhoo.it/3kW87wX
54-degree swing: Frigid temps shock Colorado town https://bit.ly/3h5NZYk
GFS Model Total Precip US https://bit.ly/3zPnayX
GFS Model Total snow https://bit.ly/2WRchhm
EARLY-SEASON SNOWFALL HITS UTTARAKHAND, INDIA, EUROPEAN SKI AREAS OPEN IN SEPTEMBER AFTER HEAVY AUGUST DUMPS, + ‘GREEN’ EUROPE FACES ENERGY CRISIS AS WINTER LOOMS https://electroverse.net/
Meridional; Flow Explained https://bit.ly/3nkB4Wv
Arctic Ice https://bit.ly/3nbMsUx
Antarctic Ice https://bit.ly/3n2YAac
Willie Soon https://www.researchgate.net/profile/...
Eruption? Intrusion? What’s the difference? https://bit.ly/2VhIBJQ
Worldwide Volcano News and Updates https://www.volcanodiscovery.com/volc...
Askja volcano started inflating in August 2021 https://icelandgeology.net/?p=9715
Askja Historic Data https://volcano.si.edu/volcano.cfm?vn...
Earthquake activity in Esjufjöll volcano https://icelandgeology.net/?p=9712
New Realm of “Unnuclear Physics” – Neutrons May Actually “Talk” to One Another in New Kind of Symmetry https://bit.ly/3h6ZtdV
World's First Fully Electric Tractor Could Outclass All Rivals https://bit.ly/3jNNaFc

Extreme Cold now a Result of Global Warming, + Texas: the Year Without 100F - Electroverse


Articles Extreme Weather GSM

MORE ORWELLIAN DOUBLETHINK FROM THE SCIENTIFIC ESTABLISHMENT: “EXTREME COLD NOW A RESULT OF GLOBAL WARMING”, + TEXAS 2021: THE YEAR WITHOUT 100F
SEPTEMBER 6, 2021 CAP ALLON

Fall is all-but up on us, meaning winter is looming.

Interesting to note: they are getting their excuses in early, prepping you for what will undoubtedly be a doozy of a Northern Hemisphere winter which will include incessant Arctic outbreaks, record lows, and unprecedented snows.

Already, in early-September, the MSM has begun pumping out a host of ‘explain-away’ articles:

“Extreme cold weather found to be linked to global warming” — JPost.

“Deadly Texas Cold Wave Linked to Warming Arctic” — Nature World News.

In a perfect example of what George Orwell called Doublethink, the AGW Party are doubling-down on the “global warming = global cooling” narrative, and frustratingly, the majority of the purblind masses are continuing to lap it up.

That JPost article even goes so far as to admit that modern AGW science has gotten it wrong, writing:

Human-caused global warming was expected to lead to more heatwaves and heavy precipitation events, but the increase in cold air outbreaks and heavy snowfalls, most recently in January and February of 2021 in Asia, Europe and the United States, surprised the scientists (of a new study), leading them to research the connection between extreme cold weather and global warming.

Why isn’t this admission front page news?

The phrase ‘surprised the scientists’ is another way of saying ‘reality has just upended all previous theories’. Yet, rather than working on a new line of thinking to this ‘surprising’ development, mainstream science is instead continuing to force that decidedly square AGW peg into the round hole that is real world observation. Needless to say, this is not how science is supposed to work — they have it entirely backwards, and purposefully.

The original AGW theory confidently stated that global temperatures would rise linearly, always up and up, baking our planet’s surface, melting the polar ice caps, and rendering snowfall a thing of the past — these are the holy pillars on which the original IPCC reports are based.

Today, however, as global temperatures fall, Antarctic sea ice grows, and snowfall increases year-on-year, the theory, now far too powerful and deeply woven within western societies to outright ditch, is sheepishly retracting all previous prophesies and setting up an entirely new paradigm, one so contradictory that I bet even those dogmatic journalists at the Guardian are struggling with it.

Global warming = global cooling.

Yep, well, good luck with that…

Fortunately, the increasingly nonsensical jabberings of ‘our betters’ are starting to stir the masses from their rohypnoled slumber. But there are other factors leading to the degradation of trust for the scientific establishment, too: 1) you can’t have 4+ decades of failed tipping point deadlines and still garner respect (this is also in part why they’ve targeted children in recent years, as kids aren’t aware of the string of failures), and 2) the handling and contradictory messaging throughout the pandemic.

“How the hell did global warming lead to the deadly freeze in Texas this February?” is a perfectly reasonable question, and it is being asked by a growing number of people. As a result, the establishment needed answers, they needed to quell dissent. Time for a new study!

They think we’re idiots.

But they’re wrong on that one, too.

A powerful propagandizing campaign, combined with the indoctrination station that is the modern schooling system has undoubtedly rendered us all slow learners. However, we do pick things up, eventually — the natural cycles of the cosmos, and in turn of Earth’s climate, are ingrained within all of us. Thanks to billions of year’s of evolution on this planet we are able to recognize and even foresee changes. We humans have survived climatic shifts that would wipe today’s modern infrastructure clean off the map: from the Carrington Event, to super Volcanic eruptions, to the Younger Dryas, and to full-blown Ice Ages! — nothing that’s happening today is unprecedented. And more than that, existence since the 1980s (the inception of the global warming scare) shouldn’t be deemed anything other than the promise land. It is an insult to our ancestors to push the narrative that surviving these past few decades has been a struggle. It’s been anything but. If anything, it’s been too easy — we’re now akin to bored zoo animals where all of our needs are taken care of for us, which has led to a sense of “well, now what?”

But with regards to the weather, thanks entirely to high solar output (the highest of the past 4,000 years according to some studies), climatic conditions have been constant — crops have been bountiful, and life-expectancy has increased sharply as a result–with deaths from natural disasters also down significantly. The past few decades have been the best time to be alive in ALL of human history. This is indisputable. When it comes to concerns re the climate, honestly, the placard-scrawlings of the eco-warriors are a sick joke. And as regular readers of Electroverse know, the scenario now due, if we look at the cycles, is global cooling, which, unlike global warming, is actually capable of delivering hardship and suffering–via the failure of harvests.

Of course, the IPCC will never admit they were wrong. They simply can’t do it. If AGW isn’t real then the political body would no longer have a mandate, it would now longer exist. And more than that, they could even wind-up being held criminally responsible for the degradation of society — EOTW climate fears, along with expensive, poverty-inducing ‘green’ policies are limiting aspiration and growth, not to mention impacting mental health. No, there is about as much chance of the IPCC admitting “the sun suffering its lowest activity in 100+ years is weakening the jet streams and throwing weather patterns out of whack” as there is Al Gore offering-up his mansions to the homeless. A natural mechanism, i.e. the sun, isn’t taxable, and it is hard to implement fear-inducing and controlling policies off the back of it. A “we’ve been here many times before and therefore, with a bit of localized teamwork, this event is utterly survivable” isn’t nearly as coercive as “do exactly as we say or you and your loved ones will fry”.

Now, you’ll always have the unquestioning drones–you know the type, the sheep that believe the manifestation of society was laid down by some higher entity, that nothing within it can be questioned and, fundamentally, that nothing can be changed — things are aligned this way, it is how it is, just get on with it, be a slave to it. But those people are largely beyond it, and as the rather hokey saying goes: don’t waste your time trying to awake the sheep, it’s time to wake the other lions. In other words, you don’t need everyone converted to your side to enact change — a mere 10 percent of a population is enough to bring about a revolution.



TEXAS: THE YEAR WITHOUT A 100F

Texas, as fleetingly mentioned above, suffered a historic Arctic outbreak in February, 2021, which killed 702 people.

Many experts expected summer across the Lone Star State to swing to intense heat. This is because weather patterns have a habit of balancing themselves out over time — a cold winter can often lead to a hot summer, and vice versa.

However, this wasn’t the case this year (and the same can be said for a myriad of other regions, including the UK as well as much of Europe, in fact) — a cold winter was followed by a cold spring, which in turn suffered a cool summer chaser.

As reported by tpr.org, this summer in central and south Texas has been unusual.

In San Antonio, during meteorological summer –June 1 through August 31– the temperature never reached 100 degrees Fahrenheit, which is an incredibly rare feat (the last time it occurred was back in 2007–solar min of cycle 23, but before then it was decades).

The tpr.org article goes on to interview National Weather Service meteorologist Keith White in an attempt to get some answers. Unsurprisingly, what they end up with is a contradicting mess of out of date science and agenda-driving drivel.

“It’s been cooler than normal,” begins White, “mainly because of how wet it’s been … The last time we had this much rain was in the summer of 2007, and that was also the last time that we had this few days that reached 100 degrees.”

White sidesteps the temperatures, and instead rambles on about how wet it’s been — a consequence of 1) shifting weather patterns due to low solar activity, and 2) an influx of cloud-nucleating cosmic rays. White fails to mention these causes. He also chooses not to disclose fact that Texas’ usual summer high pressure (aka ‘heat dome’) actually shifted northward this year to areas like the Pacific Northwest and East Coast. Again, Earth’s climate system continually works to find equilibrium–if one area cools, another must warm (this also explains why during the Maunder Minimum, the previous multidecadal drop in solar activity, NASA found that while the mid-latitudes cooled, high-latitude regions such as the Arctic and Alaska actually warmed).

When questioned about Texas’ February freeze, White admits: “It was arguably one of the most impactful weeks of winter weather that this area of the country has seen, in at least in the last 120 or so years. And at Austin Camp Mabry in fact, it was below freezing for a total of 144 hours, which is the longest time that that’s occurred on record.”

White goes on to say that the snowfall was also exceptional, record-breaking even, and also points out that the two separate icing events in Austin and the Hill county contributed to what was a “truly impressive week of winter weather.”

A fair start, but then the nagging AGW Party Line appears to shift to the forefront of White’s mind:

“What we can say is that that February event would have likely been even colder in a world a century ago, that that was cooler on average than it is today.” White has clearly crowbarred this in as an afterthought — and any interviewer worth their salt would have pointed out that Feb, 2021 saw the coldest and most extreme winter event since records began some 120 years ago.

Also, White is clearly yet to read the latest update to the AGW Party manifesto which, as highlighted above, now states that global warming was behind February’s record-breaking freeze all-along…




The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordingly— learn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.

TxGal said:

Here's a new podcast from Oppenheimer, a little bit of everything:

Over Half A Million Still Without Power In Louisiana -Tahoe Evacuation Lifted -Snow In The Forecast - YouTube

Over Half A Million Still Without Power In Louisiana -Tahoe Evacuation Lifted -Snow In The Forecast
2,913 views
Premiered 10 hours ago

View: https://youtu.be/liSKX-qXubk

Run time is 14:34

Synopsis provided:

Week after Hurricane Ida's landfall, hundreds of thousands without power https://bit.ly/3BKqJHb
Ida devastation shows need to prepare for ‘very, very worst’ https://bit.ly/3yIyz1X
Power Outage US https://poweroutage.us/
South Lake Tahoe evacuation orders lifted as crews increase containment on Caldor Fire https://bit.ly/3napXPB
Biggest Armyworm Invasion in 30 Years Skips Crops to Get Turf https://yhoo.it/3kW87wX
54-degree swing: Frigid temps shock Colorado town https://bit.ly/3h5NZYk
GFS Model Total Precip US https://bit.ly/3zPnayX
GFS Model Total snow https://bit.ly/2WRchhm
EARLY-SEASON SNOWFALL HITS UTTARAKHAND, INDIA, EUROPEAN SKI AREAS OPEN IN SEPTEMBER AFTER HEAVY AUGUST DUMPS, + ‘GREEN’ EUROPE FACES ENERGY CRISIS AS WINTER LOOMS https://electroverse.net/
Meridional; Flow Explained https://bit.ly/3nkB4Wv
Arctic Ice https://bit.ly/3nbMsUx
Antarctic Ice https://bit.ly/3n2YAac
Willie Soon https://www.researchgate.net/profile/...
Eruption? Intrusion? What’s the difference? https://bit.ly/2VhIBJQ
Worldwide Volcano News and Updates https://www.volcanodiscovery.com/volc...
Askja volcano started inflating in August 2021 https://icelandgeology.net/?p=9715
Askja Historic Data https://volcano.si.edu/volcano.cfm?vn...
Earthquake activity in Esjufjöll volcano https://icelandgeology.net/?p=9712
New Realm of “Unnuclear Physics” – Neutrons May Actually “Talk” to One Another in New Kind of Symmetry https://bit.ly/3h6ZtdV
World's First Fully Electric Tractor Could Outclass All Rivals https://bit.ly/3jNNaFc

Click to expand...

found this on a site not acceptable. Looks legit and feel this is coming to all here in ussa.

"Courtesy of u/freebird37179 on Reddit

"Electric distribution utility employee here in Middle TN. Materials to get lights on are getting scarce.
USA Southeast
I'm a Twenty four year electric distribution utility employee (to whom you pay your "light bill") and some of our materials and supplies are getting stupidly long delivery times.

Big substation transformers from one of our vendors are 80 weeks out. A year and a half plus two weeks. All American vendors are creeping out to 40+ I've heard.

Polemount transformers are 20-24 weeks. These are the ones that you see in front of your house. They get damaged by lightning and if a pole is broken by the wind they'll get bodyslammed into the ground and ruined.

A neighboring utility to mine has stated that if a major derecho event or tornado hits, there'll be months-long outages because they don't have in stock and can't get the material to restore service.

Even commodities such as bolts and insulators and AAC and ACSR conductors are getting scarce. We're told raw materials are in short supply.

Have yourself a generator, and have it where you can safely run your house as you see fit. My goal is to keep a couple little freezers going for as many weeks as possible...""

(I changed the text color, it was unreadable. Summerthyme)

pinklesteinsmom, is there any way you can get that to print in black on white? I'd like to read it but my eyes can barely make out that there is yellow print on white background.

I did a select all that turned it black if that will help you Martinhouse.

Martinhouse said:

pinklesteinsmom, is there any way you can get that to print in black on white? I'd like to read it but my eyes can barely make out that there is yellow print on white background.

Click to expand...

I thought it was just me, thanks....

paxsim2 said:

I did a select all that turned it black if that will help you Martinhouse.

Click to expand...

Actually, I just started to highlight it as if I was going to copy and paste, and that worked.

This is important info, it probably should also be posted in the 'other shortages' thread on the main.

Texas cold snap linked to 40 years of increasing snowfall in Arctic & disruptions in stratospheric polar vortex - increase in extreme cold events likely - study -- Science & Technology -- Sott.net

Texas cold snap linked to 40 years of increasing snowfall in Arctic & disruptions in stratospheric polar vortex - increase in extreme cold events likely - study

Adam Vaughan
New Scientist
Thu, 02 Sep 2021 12:00 UTC


© Goddard Earth Observing System/NASA
Map showing the extreme cold associated with the Arctic air mass, with the darkest blue regions indicating surface temperatures of -35°C


The extreme cold snap that left millions of people in Texas without power last winter appears to have been made more likely by melting Arctic sea ice thousands of kilometres away, research suggests.

For the past decade, evidence has been building in support of the counterintuitive idea that some of the recent cold winter spells at mid-latitudes in North America and Eurasia are linked to the Arctic warming faster than the rest of the world due to climate change.

Comment: In 2019, snowfall in the Arctic reached record levels and then devastated wildlife because it failed to melt by summer, and in 2018 Arctic and Antarctic sea ice also reached record levels; this, and a wealth of other data, demonstrate that, overall, the Arctic is not 'warming'.

That link still isn't fully established. However, a group led by Judah Cohen at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology found that vanishing sea ice and greater snowfall in the Arctic over the past 40 years, effects caused by climate change, may be driving cold winter weather in North America and Eurasia via the stratospheric polar vortex, the cold winds high above the pole. The rapid warming in the Arctic appears to be disrupting - that is, stretching - this vortex in a way that has a knock-on effect on atmospheric circulations above North America, generating unusually cold spells in winter.

"If you expected global warming to help you out with preparing for severe winter weather, our paper says the cautionary tale is: don't necessarily expect climate change to solve that problem for you," says Cohen. "This is an unexpected impact from climate change that we didn't appreciate 20 years ago."

Comment: It's 'unexpected' because the theory of 'global warming' is demonstrably wrong. This is why there's been a change of tactic by and it has since been rebranded 'climate change', or the 'climate crisis', because clearly our climate is changing, but it's not warming nor is this shift due to man-made CO2 emissions.

The researchers arrived at their findings using modelling of Arctic snow and sea ice, as well as observations snow and sea ice from October 1980 to February 2021. They also used data on the polar vortex and temperature data for North America. Cohen and his colleagues say their analysis suggests that the cold that hit Texas in February was likely a response to disruption in the stratospheric polar vortex in the same month. "I think it made it more likely," he says.

Jennifer Francis at Woodwell Climate Research Center in Falmouth, Massachusetts, says: "By analysing both observations and model simulations, the conclusions are well supported and help explain how extreme cold spells like the debilitating one in Texas this past February are still likely - and perhaps more so - as the climate crisis unfolds."

Journal reference: Science, DOI: 10.1126/science.abi9167

Click to expand...

Comment: What is important to note is that scientists appear to be no longer able to ignore the global cooling occurring on our planet. As for what's causing it: The rise in polar vortex events - a term unknown to most people 20 years ago - appears to be related to the increasingly meandering jet stream, the stalling Gulf Stream, Earth's weakening magnetosphere, and all of this and more is thought to be connected to our quieting Sun:

• Volcanoes, Earthquakes And The 3,600 Year Comet Cycle
• Recap: The changing jet stream and global cooling
• Sott Exclusive: Nemesis, not 'Nibiru' - Clarifying mainstream reports about 'a large ninth planet' that periodically sends comets our way
• Professor Valentina Zharkova: "We entered the 'modern' Grand Solar Minimum on June 8, 2020"

For more on the shift occurring on our planet, check out SOTT radio's:

• Behind the Headlines: Earth changes in an electric universe: Is climate change really man-made?
• MindMatters: The Holy Grail, Comets, Earth Changes and Randall Carlson
• Adapt 2030 Ice Age Report: Interview with Laura Knight-Jadczyk and Pierre Lescaudron

TxGal, I did what you suggested, making that yellow on white background into white on blue background. I learned how to do that from doing it accidentally so many times! (: (:

paxsim2, I don't even know what "select all" is, but thanks anyway.

TxGal, I agree that this information is pretty important...I know it's going to be part of any prepping I'll be doing from right now.

I just found out something really cool! I called my nephew to see if he was aware of the shortages of supplies for repairing the power grid. He told me the yard in our big town where supplies are kept is down to about a fourth of what it used to normally keep stacked there. He said this is a big lot near the railroad track that also has room for many many of the repair trucks.

The big thing he told me that was so cool was that there ARE salt springs in this area! I'd never known of any but those in the southern part of the state (Arkansas). He said these springs are not very salty but enough to be worth evaporating for salt. He said it was connected to the Trail of Tears and the Indians who stayed in the area used to make the salt and trade it to the many settlers who were passing through this area.

We've been here 32 years, and I've never seen so many apples on all the trees. Don't know about the mast crop. We also have 3 peach trees (that grew from dumping peels etc to the pigs/chickens) that have either never fruited, or have small, deer only peaches, but this year, and all 3 trees have regular size fruit.

A week ago we noticed a nest with baby robins in it. They weren't teeny, but they weren't feathered. It's very late for that.

mudlogger, where are you located?

Martinhouse said:

mudlogger, where are you located?

Click to expand...

SW Virginia, mountains, 2500' elev, near Roanoke.

mudlogger said:

SW Virginia, mountains, 2500' elev, near Roanoke.

Click to expand...

That is beautiful country! Went through that way on a trip down to Fairy Stone State Park, unfortunately never got to hunt for the stones. We almost retired to Highland County and spent many summer vacations up there. Just didn't much like the snow anymore, so we traded it for 100+ degree heat, but usually not much winter.

UK Fires-Up Coal Power Plant as European Gas Shortage Worsens, + Intense Polar Cold Headed for New Zealand - Electroverse


Articles Extreme Weather GSM

UK FIRES-UP COAL POWER PLANT AS EUROPEAN GAS SHORTAGE WORSENS, + INTENSE POLAR COLD HEADED FOR NEW ZEALAND
SEPTEMBER 7, 2021 CAP ALLON

UK FIRES-UP COAL POWER PLANTS AS EUROPEAN GAS SHORTAGES WORSEN

“Englands green and pleasant Land” has been disturbed by the firing-up of a dirty old coal power plant this week, as failing renewables, poor planning, and drastically reduced gas supplies are crippling the nation’s electricity needs.

As the BBC puts it: “still autumn weather has meant wind farms have not generated as much power as normal, while soaring prices have made it too costly to rely on gas.” And as a result, and denting the government’s commitment to completely phase out coal power by 2024, the UK’s National Grid asked EDF to fire-up the West Burton A power plant to cope with demand.

But what demand…? We’re in early September…? The weather is fine, and temperatures are comfortable — the implications for the upcoming winter, which is predicted to be brutal by the way (more on that below), appear dire.

The BBC lists this article under “climate change”, but the reasons they site for the gas shortages contradict this: “Across Europe, shortages and increased demand from Asia have seen the cost of gas increase to the highest level on record … A cold start to the year meant countries across the continent dipped into their gas reserves.”

Europe and Asia’s record cold winter AND spring (SW England was suffering sub-freezing lows in May for crying out loud) is behind the recent shortages, and even the BBC in their roundabout, warm-mongering way have admitted as much.

Europe as a whole is in the same boat — the gas supply crunch is now impacting homes and businesses across the continent, with failing renewables boosting the use of fossil fuel-fired generation here, too. This in turn has driven the price of coal up more than 70% this year, and has also sent the cost of polluting in Europe to the highest-ever levels, according to bloomberg.com.

Rising gas prices are also fueling inflation and are threatening to stall economic recoveries as energy-intensive industries from fertilizer to steel may need to curb output. This is a serious concern for the health of the global economy, and it could-well prove the catalyst for the “mother of all crashes” that Michael Burry (of “Big Short” fame) sees coming.





“The problem hasn’t even started yet,” said Julien Hoarau, the head of EnergyScan, the analytics unit of French utility Engie SA.

“Europe will face a very tight winter.”

Russia isn’t exactly helping the situation, limiting flows at a time when Asia (namely China) is scooping up cargoes of liquefied natural gas that would otherwise be headed to Europe. Oh, and speaking of our Communist Party pals: China released COVID. China paid for Biden. China banned the blockchain miners. China is buying up the world’s grain, and now gas. China is owning the politically-correct West, yet our “leaders” are more concerned with pop-topics like vaccine passports, wind farms, and transgenderism than addressing the increasing volume of power flowing to the east (Russia’s gas flowing to China is a good analogy). Depressingly, the West is led by ideologically hamstrung dolts, devoid of backbones — and it will be our downfall…

A WORD ON NUCLEAR

The Nuclear Industry Association said the decision to fire up another coal power plant highlighted the urgent need to invest in new nuclear plants. This, I believe to be true. If ‘increasing CO2 emissions = global warming’ is indeed your theory, then why is nuclear being pushed to the sidelines? It’s because nuclear threatens to “fix” the non-problem — i.e., wide-scale nuclear adoption would decrease global CO2 emissions, yet, as we saw during the lockdowns, this would result in zero impact on atmospheric CO2 levels, it would correlate poorly with global temperatures, and, therefore, expose the AGW fraud for what it is: just another control method.

INTENSE POLAR COLD HEADED FOR NEW ZEALAND

Diving into the southern hemisphere, this week is set to deliver two powerful Antarctic fronts to New Zealand, with strong winds, heavy rain and substantial snowfall set to accompany bone-chillingly low temperatures.

A temperature map produced by WeatherWatch shows temperatures will nosedive to levels some 4C and 8C colder than normal on Wednesday for the majority of the South Island as well as a large portion of the central North Island, too:



“The main cold front moves over New Zealand bringing rain (beginning Tuesday), then more surges of wet weather move in over the days ahead,” said WeatherWatch earlier this morning.

Gale-force winds and substantial snowfall are also on the cards, reports newshub.co.nz.

“Heavy West Coast rain will turn to heavy snow in the mountains, with over one metre (3.3+ft) likely to accumulate on the summits,” continued WeatherWatch:



Rare low-level snow is expected in areas like Southland and Otago on Wednesday.

MetService has warned of snow down to 200m (650ft) in the far south, with road snowfall warnings currently in force for many alpine passes and a watch in place for patches of heavy snow:

View: https://twitter.com/MetService/status/1435045154243633158
Run time 0:08

Nearby Australia has also been copping a brutal start to spring.

Below were the forecast temperature anomalies for Sunday, September 5:


GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) Sept 5 [tropicaltidbits.com].

And eyeing ahead, a polar chill looks set to return at the start of next week:


GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) Sept 13 [tropicaltidbits.com].

Stay tuned for updates…

The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordingly— learn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.

Having computer issues, I'll try to do the Electroverse post later.

For the last couple of seeks I've seen a few leaves turning, but it was very hot, Ida cooled things down some and then hot again, but now its cooler and a lot cooler at night. I'm looking out my office window and I see a big swath turning brown. Although some of that seems to be vines dying.

It will be interesting to see just what kind of winter we get here in north central Louisiana. we are about 100 miles from Arkansas. We have wood and supplies. Plus I ordered one of those fans for a wood stove, which should help. DH has a propane wall heater that he is putting in the bedroom in case of a power outage. If we have an extended power outage I will be forced to can food out of the freezer, I also have supplies to do that. I just don't like to can, its too tiring.

Thanks for all the information in this thread, I've been remiss in reading it lately.

God is good all the time

Judy

Rare Spring Snow hits Ecuador, Temperatures Plummet in South Africa, + Mount Fuji's first Snowcap of the Season Arrives a Month Early - Electroverse


Extreme Weather GSM

RARE SPRING SNOW HITS ECUADOR, TEMPERATURES PLUMMET IN SOUTH AFRICA, + MOUNT FUJI’S FIRST SNOWCAP OF THE SEASON ARRIVES A MONTH EARLY
SEPTEMBER 8, 2021 CAP ALLON

RARE SPRING SNOW HITS ECUADOR

Rare and heavy snow was reported Monday, September 6 across a myriad of Ecuadorian localities.

“The unusual meteorological phenomenon caused the closure of roads and the paralysis of vehicles,” reads the opening lines of a ecuavisa.com article.

Many roads remain closed due to drifting snow, including key highways.

Emergency services are warning drivers to avoid all travel in the affected regions unless absolutely necessary.

View: https://twitter.com/ESPECIGEST/status/1434897560460828677

View: https://twitter.com/Ecu911Babahoyo/status/1434839689899433985

Wintry conditions will persist across Ecuador on September 8, according to a statement released by INAMHI.

While simultaneously, another round of Antarctic cold looks set to enter the South American continent, via Argentina:


GFS 2m Temp Anomalies, Sept 8 [tropicaltidbits.com].

Looking further ahead, mid-range weather models show Old Man Winter reluctant to release his icy grip, even into the third week of September — particularly across the southern, central and western nations of Argentina, Paraguay, Bolivia, Peru and Ecuador (among others):

SEPT 21:

GFS 2m Temp Anomalies, Sept 21 [tropicaltidbits.com].

SEPT 22:

GFS 2m Temp Anomalies, Sept 22 [tropicaltidbits.com].

TEMPERATURES PLUMMET IN SOUTH AFRICA

As in South America, South Africa has suffered a string of record-smashing Antarctic blasts this winter season. And now the frigid conditions are spilling over into spring, and shortening the growing season.

Heavy snow was reported across South Africa’s higher elevations on Tuesday, September 7.

SA Weather Services Forecaster Lehlohonolo Thobela told the South African that the snow had started falling earlier on Tuesday with accumulations building in the Southern Drakensberg, parts of the Eastern Cape and in the Lesotho highlands.

The Antarctic front will be short lived, passing in a day or too — but it has left its mark (see photos below), and could cap-off what has been an brutally cold winter season across swathes of Southern Africa–including the nation’s of Botswana and Namibia.





Looking ahead, there is in fact the threat of yet another polar front clipping Southern Africa next week:


GFS 2m Temp Anomalies, Sept 15 [tropicaltidbits.com].

Stay tuned for updates on that…

MOUNT FUJI’S FIRST SNOWCAP OF THE SEASON ARRIVES A MONTH EARLY

Mount Fuji’s first snowcap of the season has arrived a good four weeks earlier than usual this year.

Japan’s iconic 3,776m (12,380ft) mountain was capped with a healthy dusting of global warming goodness on September 7–that’s some 25 days earlier than normal.

Aerial footage captured the accumulations:

View: https://youtu.be/RgtpMS9pJZY
Run time is 0:45

It is likely that snow has been on the summit for at least the past few days, with local authorities receiving reports of snow over the weekend. However, clouds blocked meteorological observations from taking place, and so it wasn’t until Tuesday that the summer flurries could be confirmed.

As is the case with Greenland, Japan’s Mount Fuji is often used as a poster child for catastrophic AGW. However, and is the case with Greenland, real-world observations continue to paint an entirely different picture…

View: https://twitter.com/docmartincohen/status/1435390807528382465

Northern Hemisphere snow mass is building early this year, just as an intensifying Grand Solar Minimum predicts it would.

Let’s see if we surpass last season’s impressive totals, which peaked at approx. 500 Gigatons above the 1982-2012 average:



The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordingly— learn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.

IPCC: Atlantic Hurricanes/Tropical Cyclones have NOT increased since the late-1800s - Electroverse


Articles Extreme Weather

IPCC: ATLANTIC HURRICANES/TROPICAL CYCLONES HAVE NOT INCREASED SINCE THE LATE-1800S
SEPTEMBER 9, 2021 CAP ALLON

The IPCC’s latest report (AR6) continues the claim that human CO2 emissions have caused earth’s climate to warm–no shocker there. But the impacts this has had on Atlantic hurricane/global tropical cyclone activity may come as a surprise, at least to those who were duped by the narrative constructed over the past few decades. As NOAA/GFDL Senior Scientist Tom Knutson explains, global warming has had no impact on either storm frequency nor intensity…

The two most frequently asked questions on global warming and hurricanes are the following:

1) What changes in hurricane activity are expected for the late 21st century?

2) Have humans already caused a detectable increase in Atlantic hurricane activity or global tropical cyclone activity?

Tackling the second questions first, in the northwest Pacific basin, some observations appear to show a poleward shift in the latitude of maximum intensity of tropical cyclones, writes Knutson. And while another new study finds a slight increase in the fraction of tropical cyclone fixes of at least Category 3 intensity both globally and in the Atlantic basin over the past four decades, crucially though, the paper itself states that these changes “have not been confidently attributed to anthropogenic forcing”.

Modeling studies at GFDL/NOAA and the UK Met Office/Hadley Centre (UKMO) have found that a slight increase in tropical storm frequency in the Atlantic basin since the 1970s has been, at least partly, driven by decreases in aerosols from human activity and volcanic forcing. Natural variability is also thought to have been a key factor in the recent changes, and the observed increase since the 1970s isn’t expected to continue into the future. In fact, these same models actually project future decreases in Atlantic tropical storm frequency in response to increasing greenhouse gas concentrations.

There is also evidence for a slowing of tropical cyclone propagation speeds over the continental U.S. over the past century.

But most importantly, within ALL of the findings, there is no strong evidence of increasing trends in U.S. landfalling hurricanes or major hurricanes, or of Atlantic basin-wide hurricanes or major hurricanes since the late 1800s, states Knutson.

In other words, one of the long-standing and key implications of CAGW, which has had ordinary folks concerned for decades now, has categorically been laid to rest: anthropogenic global warming does not lead to an increase in storms, neither in frequency nor intensity.


Tackling the first question —“What changes in hurricane activity are expected for the late 21st century?”— even given the unequivocal debunking of one of the key pillars of the AGW theory, NOAA’s Tom Knutson still goes on to repeat all of the other ‘usual suspects’, and he blindly contradicts some of the aforementioned findings along the way, too:

Sea level rise will apparently mean increased coastal flooding for the tropical cyclones that do occur.

Tropical cyclone rainfall rates are projected to increase in the future due to more atmospheric moisture content.

Globally, ‘they’ still expect tropical cyclone intensities to increase (by 1 to 10% according to model projections for 2 degree Celsius of global warming–bit of a range there). But “storm size responses to anthropogenic warming are uncertain.”

And lastly, the global proportion of tropical cyclones that reach very intense (Category 4 and 5) levels is projected to increase due to anthropogenic warming over the 21st century. However, and immediately contradicting itself, the “consensus” also states that there is less confidence in future projections of the global number of Category 4 and 5 storms, since most modeling studies project a decrease in the global frequency of all tropical cyclones combined.

—Confused grunt—

Given the disastrous track record of NOAA, NASA and the IPCC, combined with the fact that these bodies are still publicly contradicting themselves at every turn (cries for help?), I am confidently filing the above projections under ‘politicized dogma soon to go the same way as the hurricane intensification theory’ — that is to say, thoroughly debunked by real-world data.

Just give it time…

For more:



The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordingly— learn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.

Meanwhile, it was 102* in western CO today.

Earthweek.pdf

"Snowicane" Larry Forecast to Dump Five+ Feet of Summer Snow on Greenland - Electroverse


Extreme Weather GSM

“SNOWICANE” LARRY FORECAST TO DUMP FIVE+ FEET OF SUMMER SNOW ON GREENLAND
SEPTEMBER 10, 2021 CAP ALLON

HURRICANE Larry is set to transition into a “massive blizzard” as it approaches Newfoundland. This setup is highly unusual for the time of the year, with the storm expected to dump as much as five feet of global warming goodness on Greenland.

It’s not unprecedented for a hurricane to move into cold-enough air to produce snow — it even has a name: “snowicane”.
However, although not unheard of, it has only happened a handful of times in recorded history…

NEW ENGLAND HURRICANE OF 1804

In 1804, the New England Hurricane was the first tropical cyclone in recorded history known to produce snowfall.

According to reports, snow totals up to 48 inches were measured in parts of Vermont.


Ships suffered significant damage from the Great Snow Hurricane of 1804.

HURRICANE SANDY OF 2012

Hurricane Sandy is perhaps the most infamous hurricane turned “snowicane”.

The storm developed in late October of 2012 and affected 24 U.S. states, including the entire eastern seaboard from Florida to Maine and west across the Appalachian Mountains and as far west as Michigan and Wisconsin!

According to the Washington Post, Sandy dumped two-to-three feet of snow in the central Appalachian Mountains, collapsing roofs and taking down trees and power lines.

HURRICANE ZETA OF 2020

Less than a year ago, Hurricane Zeta produced snow in October.

Several inches were reported from New Jersey to Massachusetts.

AND NOW… HURRICANE LARRY OF 2021

So while not unheard of, it is still incredibly rare for a hurricane to produce snow–particularly in early–September!

And while Larry will just miss out on producing “snowicane” conditions in the United States, after tracking northeast across the Atlantic Ocean, it does look set to dump historic volumes of summer snow along coastal Greenland:

View: https://twitter.com/RicKearbeyWTSP/status/1436086894228606978
Run time is 0:07

The Greenland ice sheet has just finished what was an impressive SMB season, where snow and ice gains ended comfortably above the 1981-2010 average — a reality that the original AGW theory claimed would be an impossibility by now…


Bottom Image: Grey line is the 1981-2010 average. Despite MSM lies, this year’s acc. SMB (Gt) has tracked well-above the average for the entirety of the summer melt season. And now, it is once again building [DMI].

For more Greenland’s SMB gains, see the second section of the article linked below:


The U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC) said Larry is forecast to move near or over southeastern Newfoundland Friday night or early Saturday morning, and is expect to reach Greenland soon after.

As much as five feet of snow will be unleashed upon Greenland’s lightly populated southeastern coast, along with central and more northern regions, too.




Summer Blizzard to bury Greenland under as much as 5+ feet of snow this weekend.

Latest GFS runs (shown below) confirm the severity of the dump.

Also note the substantial early-season accumulations set to hit to Western U.S. starting next weekend.


GFS Total Snowfall (inches) Sept 10 – Sept 26 [tropicaltidbits.com].

The Northern Hemisphere snowpack is building early this year, just as a developing Grand Solar Minimum predicts.

IN OTHER NEWS…

DISASTROUS GROWING SEASON SEES DURUM WHEAT PRICES SKYROCKET 90%

The price of durum wheat is up by 90% after inclement conditions devastate harvests in Canada, one of the world’s biggest producers.

UK shoppers can expect to pay more for their pasta in coming months amid shortages of its key ingredient following a disastrous growing season, reports the Guardian.

The high price could result in pasta shortages in supermarkets, said Jason Bull, a director of Eurostar Commodities, which imports more than 10,000 tonnes of food ingredients each year.

Bull added that the magnitude of the cost increases involved meant they would have to be passed on to consumers. He estimated a 500g packet of spaghetti could increase in price by 60p to £1.80.

Bull said the pasta price hikes could start next month as higher costs had already reached the factory gate.

“The market is completely out of control and as a result there has been an approximately 90% increase in raw material prices as well as increases in freight,” Bull said. “This is a dire situation hitting all semolina producers and all buyers of durum wheat across the globe. Companies are buying at record high prices.”

Supermarkets are sounding the alarm that food prices are set to rise across the retail industry in the coming months, driven in mainly by commodity and transport cost increases, with the former due to weather woes (namely unseasonable frosts and freezes), particularly across North and South America (that is Canada, the U.S., Argentina and Brazil), although Europe has also suffered serious dents to what at one point looked like a half-decent season.

Tosin Jack, Mintec’s commodity intelligence manager, said concerns about the significant decline in the North American durum wheat crop following the dry weather and the impact of the cold spring on the quality and quantity of the Italian crop, had caused prices to skyrocket.

“Canada is a big exporter so this has fueled fears of a supply shortage,” she said. “At the same time, the quality issues in Italy mean that Italians are potentially going to rely more on imports this year. So we have a situation where there is less to go round and demand is not going to go down … so if you really want pasta you are going to have to pay more.”

Of course, it isn’t just pasta that’s being affected. All types of wheat, as well as corn, sugarcane and coffee have been decimated this year — and as a result, wholesale prices in all of these staples have skyrocketed, heaping pressure on supply chains and adding to inflation worries.

TWO UK ENERGY SUPPLIERS COLLAPSE AMID RECORD SURGE IN PRICES

Compounding inflationary concerns are natural gas shortages, caused by the record cold winter and spring suffered across Europe and Asia.

According to a recent article by the Guardian, “PfP Energy and MoneyPlus Energy both ceased trading as the UK’s gas market reached a fresh record high on Tuesday while electricity market prices surged to levels not seen since 2008 (solar minimum of cycle 24–just sayin’).”

A string of similarly small suppliers are expected to collapse this winter as the companies shoulder the heavy costs of higher market prices due to record-smashing cold which exhausted supplies earlier in the year.

This week, UK gas prices reached a record high of 136.68 pence per therm, according to commodity market experts at ICIS:



Meanwhile, electricity prices climbed to £128.13 per megawatt-hour, for the first time in 13 years:



Global cooling is now a reality playing out before our eyes, and, tragically, its impacts are going to be far more impactful than need be, given that our leaders have been duped into preparing for the exact opposite eventuality.

A bout of global cooling –even a severe multidecadal one on par with the Maunder Minimum– is entirely survivable with the right planning — but NOBODY is preparing! And so this is my warning, so I can sleep at night knowing I’ve done what I can: Get reading for an incoming doozy of a winter across the Northern Hemisphere, the first of the modern Grand Solar Minimum. Don’t rely on the emergency services, rely on yourself — prep for the worst — stock up on food and water other essentials — have a plan of how to heat your home when the power goes out — help your neighbors.

Global cooling isn’t a conspiracy theory.

It isn’t even an ordinary theory anymore.

It is a reality unfolding all around us, right now.

Best of luck.



The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING, in line with the great conjunction, historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among other forcings).

Both NOAA and NASA appear to agree, if you read between the lines, with NOAA saying we’re entering a ‘full-blown’ Grand Solar Minimum in the late-2020s, and NASA seeing this upcoming solar cycle (25) as “the weakest of the past 200 years”, with the agency correlating previous solar shutdowns to prolonged periods of global cooling here.

Furthermore, we can’t ignore the slew of new scientific papers stating the immense impact The Beaufort Gyre could have on the Gulf Stream, and therefore the climate overall.





Prepare accordingly— learn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.

Nothing much out there this morning on the GSM. Weekends have become more and more quiet, posting-wise.

HOW TO PREDICT A FROST

LEARN HOW TO KNOW WHEN FROST IS AROUND THE CORNER

By Catherine Boeckmann
The Old Farmers Almanac
June 1, 2021

Frost is one of a gardener’s worst foes! Learn how to predict frost, understand the difference between a frost advisory and a freeze warning, and protect your garden from frost!

WHAT IS A FROST?

“Frost” refers to the layer of ice crystals that form when water vapor on plant matter condenses and freezes without first becoming dew.

• A light frost occurs when the nighttime temperature drops to at or just below 32°F (0°C).
• A hard freeze is a period of at least four consecutive hours of air temperatures that are below 28°F (–2°C).

Many plants can survive a brief frost, but very few can survive a hard freeze. (See more about this below.)

FROST ADVISORY VS. FREEZE WARNING

As with other significant weather events, meteorologists will often issue a “warning” or an “advisory,” depending on the likelihood of the event happening and its severity. According to the National Weather Service, the warning terms for frosts and freezes are defined as follows:

• Frost Advisory: Issued when minimum temperatures are expected to be between 33° and 36°F (0.5° and 2°C). Skies are generally clear and winds light.
• Freeze Watch: Issued when minimum temperatures are expected to be 32°F (0°C) or less within the next 24 to 36 hours.
• Freeze Warning: Issued when minimum temperatures are imminently expected to be 32°F (0°C) or less.
• Hard Freeze Warning: Issued when minimum temperatures are expected to be 28°F (–2°C) or less.

Of course, the easiest way to predict frost is to let the weatherman do it for you! However, if you want to be able to predict it yourself, read on.



KNOW YOUR FROST DATES

The first step in predicting frost involves getting to know the average frost dates for your area. Put your zip code in our Frost Dates Calculator to find frost dates for spring and fall for your location.

Note: These dates are averages, so they can only tell us what is typical. However, every year will be diffferent.

Also, the frost dates are based on a 30% probability, meaning that there is a 30% chance of a frost occurring after the given spring frost date or before the fall frost date. (In other words, these dates are NOT absolutes and should only be used as rough guidelines!)

Learn Your Microclimates

Keep in mind that the occurrence of frost can vary greatly by microclimate, too. In fact, while you may have frost in your garden, your neighbor across the street may see no sign of it!

A microclimate is exactly what it sounds like: a climate on a small scale. For example, if your garden is located at the bottom of a hill where cold air settles, it’s likely to be impacted by frost earlier than a garden at the top of the hill. Or, if your plants are abutting a rock wall in full sun, they’ll be kept warmer to some extent by the heat given off by the rocks.

5 TIPS FOR PREDICTING FROST

Consider these factors when the radio and TV reports say “frost tonight”:

1. Temperature: How warm was it during the day? It may sound simple, but one of the best ways of determining if a frost is due overnight is to gauge the temperature. If the temperature reached 75ºF (in the East or North) or 80ºF (in the desert Southwest), the chance of the mercury falling below 32ºF at night is slim. See our 7-day forecasts to check your weather forecast.
2. Is it windy? A windy night is also likely to reduce the likelihood of a frost. A still night allows cold air to pool near the ground; a light breeze stirs things up; a heavy, cold wind sweeps away warm air near the ground.
3. Is it cloudy? Observe the sky. If the Sun sets through a layer of thickening clouds, the clouds will slow radiational cooling and help stave off a frost. With clouds, the risk of frost is reduced.
4. Slope: How is your garden landscaped? Gardens on slopes or high ground often survive. However, cold air sinks and will puddle down into the valleys and hollows. If your home and garden are at the bottom of a slope or in a valley, and there is no wind, then there is higher risk of frost. A landscape with trees can assist in preventing frost. Trees transpire a lot of moisture through their leaves.
5. What is the dew point? As a rule of thumb, don’t worry about a frost if the dew point (the temperature at which the air is no longer able to ‘hold’ all the moisture within it) is above 45°F on the evening weather report. The more moisture in the air, the less likely a frost. A light watering of the garden a day or two before a frost is predicted can help stop it settling.

Row covers can protect tender crops from a light frost. Photo by NataliaL/Shutterstock

WHAT TEMPERATURES CAUSE FROST DAMAGE?

Frost causes damage and even failure to many vegetable crops. But also there are other vegetables which actually benefit from a frost. The flavor of broccoli, for instance, actually improves if the plant has experienced a frost, and carrots get sweeter as the temperature drops.

How low can you go? The temperatures shown in the graphic below tell you when the frost will cause damage to the respective vegetable.



HOW TO PROTECT PLANTS FROM FROST

Frost can hit in spring or fall in most areas. Generally, covering plants to create a temporary pocket of warmer air is the best way to protect them.

• Keep an eye on the weather forecast. If it looks like temperatures are going to drop, get ready to protect tender plants.
• Make use of season extenders like row covers, cold frames, or cloches to protect tender plants, such as seedlings or warm-weather veggies. Row covers or garden fleece can be used to help create a warmer environment beneath them. You’ll need to use posts, bamboo, or flexible PVC piping to create space for the plants to grow, then drape landscape fabric or plastic over the frame; weigh down the edges with rocks or bricks or pegs so the covers do not blow away. To protect young plants from frost, use 2-liter soda bottles cut in half as cloches.
• It’s best to have all covers in place well before sunset. Drape loosely to allow for air circulation. Before you cover the plants in late afternoon or early evening, water your plants lightly.
• Remove any covers by mid-morning so that plants can get full exposure to the warming sunlight.

For more frost protection tips, read our main article: Protecting Your Garden from Frost.

LEARN MORE

Following these tips should help prevent your garden from taking too much of a hit when frost occurs!
For even more end-of-season gardening advice, see Preparing Your Garden for Winter and Fall Chores: Autumn Garden Cleanup.
Let us know in the comments what you do to prepare for frost!

ABOUT THIS BLOG

Your Old Farmer’s Almanac editors occasionally share our reflections, advice, and musings—and welcome your comments!

How to Predict a Frost: Frost Advisories, Freeze Warnings, and More | The Old Farmer's Almanac