ECON The Proposed $50 Minimum Wage Bill In California Would Crush Small Businesses

Blacknarwhal

Let's Go Brandon!
Because we haven't done ENOUGH damage.

Fair use cited so on and so forth.


The Proposed $50 Minimum Wage Bill In California Would Crush Small Businesses​


William Dunkelberg
Contributor

The state of California has turned into the regulatory test kitchen for the U.S. economy. And most recently, attention has turned to the minimum wage. In a recent U.S. Senate debate, a candidate proposed a $50 minimum wage in California. On the flip side, the current minimum wage law includes a significant exemption, acknowledging the challenge for some businesses to comply with higher wage requirements. The challenge is especially true for small businesses. In fact, NFIB’s 2020 Small Business Problems and Priorities found that 20 percent of small business owners reported that the state’s minimum wage law is a critical issue in operating their business.[1]




Representative Barbara Lee recently proposed a $50 minimum wage during a televised debate in a U.S. Senate race in California. Rep. Lee defended her comments citing a United Way study indicating that a family of four needed $127,000 to survive in the San Francisco Bay Area. The debate moderator asked Rep. Lee about the impact on small businesses. She responded that she previously owned a small business, and therefore knows that her minimum wage proposal wouldn’t harm small businesses. However, Rep. Lee started her business in 1987 when California’s minimum wage was $3.35 (or $9.35 in today’s dollars). California’s minimum wage environment in 1987 was very different from today’s.






In contrast, reality revealed the true impact of a higher minimum in the current minimum wage law that requires fast food businesses to pay a minimum of $20/hour starting April 1, 2024. However, the law exempts businesses if they own a bakery. Governor Newsom said it’s not politically motivated but the evidence points to the fact that Panera bread is a large beneficiary of this exemption and Billionaire Greg Flynn, one of the largest franchise owners of Panera was a major donor to the governor. The motives behind this is highly questionable but it does highlight the fact that this law has a significant carve out due to its negative impact on certain businesses.




The minimum wage negatively impacts certain industry sectors more than others, but also disproportionately impact smaller businesses compared to their larger counterparts. Large corporations are already at an advantage over small businesses in dealing with these cost increases. They tend to have higher margins and are able to absorb higher labor costs. Companies like Amazon that typically pay higher wages have actually advocated for a higher minimum wage in the past knowing the negative impact to their business would be negligible. Rep Lee’s proposal would devastate small businesses that are already struggling under the weight of labor shortages, inflation, and an uncertain economic outlook. According to NFIB’s recent Small Business Economic Trends survey, 40% of small businesses already report that they are planning to raise wages in the near term in response to inflation and labor shortages.[2] This is in response to market conditions, not to bureaucratic rules based on regulator preferences.




Rep Lee’s comments that a business with well paid employees is good for productivity misses the fact that the businesses have to be able to stay open. Any business, particularly small businesses, that is hiring minimum wage workers that now has to pay $50/hour would very likely have to go out of business. They not only would have to pay the lowest paid workers $50/hour but they would also have to pay workers with more tenure and experience $50 plus an additional amount, raising costs even further. The impact of this would disproportionately impact restaurant and hospitality firms as they have the highest percentage of minimum wage workers compared to other industries. These industries also tend to be fairly cyclical and need flexibility to account for economic shocks; It is highly unlikely that they have the capacity to increase prices to cover higher payroll costs.


Rep Lee’s proposal is completely out of touch with the struggles many small businesses face in terms of operation cost, competitive pricing of their good/services, and labor pressures. Small businesses are not instruments of social policy. For millions of workers, the opportunity to gain experience and start a career, is through an entry level on-the-job training. A $50 minimum would make these jobs unaffordable for small businesses and end those opportunities for many trying to enter the workforce in their selected industry. San Francisco is a very expensive place to live and not even remotely close to the cost of living in most of the country. Wages should be set by markets, not bureaucrats.
 

Delta

Has No Life - Lives on TB
$50/hour would kill everything! To make it work, businesses would have to increase the prices of their products, which would put the businesses out of business because few could buy their products at the higher prices, and even if they got over that hurdle, the resulting inflation would make the $50 wage pointless.
 

Blacknarwhal

Let's Go Brandon!
$50/hour would kill everything! To make it work, businesses would have to increase the prices of their products, which would put the businesses out of business because few could buy their products at the higher prices, and even if they got over that hurdle, the resulting inflation would make the $50 wage pointless.

Anyone near a state line would immediately flee to the next state to do any shopping, if they didn't move outright.
 

Grumphau

Veteran Member
This is a program of wealth redistribution. A $50 minimum wage would "normalize" wealth across the board. Everyone would suffer for this.
 

pylortes

Contributing Member
here in illinois, when they brought the minimum wage up, workers who already had above the new minimum got nothing more...so their incentives for performance increases were greatly diminished since the less inclined were making almost their wages.
 

FREEBIRD

Has No Life - Lives on TB
$50/hour would kill everything! To make it work, businesses would have to increase the prices of their products, which would put the businesses out of business because few could buy their products at the higher prices, and even if they got over that hurdle, the resulting inflation would make the $50 wage pointless.
That's the intent.
 
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LightEcho

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Look at the bright side. With increased wages, farm migrants will be able to afford the fruits and veggies they pick. And the farm owners will get to increase the prices on all foods. Hmmm.. starting to sound like inflation and match the prophecies of the dollar losing 50% value practically overnight. It is getting bright... like nuclear sunshine, even at night. Food is a good investment now. Stock up what you can of long term items.
 

Signwatcher

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Oh, come on now...give Barb a break (you choose what to break)...she's just trying to put California out of its misery and this is the only way she can do it without (the dreaded) guns.
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
here in illinois, when they brought the minimum wage up, workers who already had above the new minimum got nothing more...so their incentives for performance increases were greatly diminished since the less inclined were making almost their wages.

Before the $20/hr bill got to the CA legislature floor it was pretty common to see banners at Si Valley McDonald's advertising for no experience workers starting at $16/hr and up and not taken down until the $20/hr kicked in. This was before the inflation/devaluation really hit
 

BornFree

Came This Far
"Rep. Lee defended her comments citing a United Way study indicating that a family of four needed $127,000 to survive in the San Francisco Bay Area."

Oh- So there is your real problem right there. That is what liberals have done through all there policies.
 
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Tristan

Has No Life - Lives on TB
$50/hour would kill everything! To make it work, businesses would have to increase the prices of their products, which would put the businesses out of business because few could buy their products at the higher prices, and even if they got over that hurdle, the resulting inflation would make the $50 wage pointless.


Don't worry, they'll just up it to $200 to make up the shortfall.

;)
 

raven

TB Fanatic
its a done deal.

Its California! Every dumbass idea proposed eventually becomes law.
And then it spreads throughout the country like herpes.
 

mecoastie

Veteran Member
So this is not an actual bill being proposed or pushed at this time. It is just Barbera Lee pulling something out of her ass in an effort to garner votes for a Senate race.
 

Lilbitsnana

On TB every waking moment
Look at the bright side. With increased wages, farm migrants will be able to afford the fruits and veggies they pick. And the farm owners will get to increase the prices on all foods. Hmmm.. starting to sound like inflation and match the prophecies of the dollar losing 50% value practically overnight. It is getting bright... like nuclear sunshine, even at night. Food is a good investment now. Stock up what you can of long term items.
I don't know how much the farm people make now, but I assure you in Cali (Kern County anyway) it was never minimum wage, unless the worker didn't do anything. The way the pickers were paid, it came out to 40 to 80 an hour average depending on the crop, even way back when I lived there in early 2000s.
 

ShadowMan

Designated Grumpy Old Fart
ABSOLUTELY STUPID!! It doesn't increase the living wage....it just drives prices higher and the value of the dollar LOWER!! Why can anyone see that?!?!

One hundred years ago $1 from 1924 had the BUYING power of $18.75 TODAY?!?!

In other words, if you want to look at it differently. ONE DOLLAR TODAY would be the EQUIVALENT of just FIVE CENTS in 1924. :eek:

We need to balance the spread sheet between WORK and WAGES and not just keep diminishing the dollar by boosting wages. We can never win this game the way "THEY" are playing today. Wages are NEVER going to catch up!! NEVER! We have to get the dollar BACK on the gold/silver standard and lock it in. This FIAT B.S. is NOT WORKING!! :bhd:
 
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