We were in Dallas until this spring, when I quit my very nice gig and left.
I did that because of a dream I had last fall - in the dream was a woman who
told me that it was ok to stay where we were, but that it would not be a good
idea to let it wait too long before we left.
I interpreted that to mean, get our savings together and start working on a retreat.
Now I am seeing that in a different light.
IF we were still in Dallas, I would be keeping an eye on things, but getting ready to leave,
packing etc. - but keep in mind, we are the ultimate nomads, we never work/stay anywhere
very long before we are on to the next place - on average I've moved about once a year for
my entire life.
IF we were a more normal family, with a regular longtime job, family, friends etc. I would be
staying in Dallas.
The thing you have to think about is that IF ebola gets out of hand, leaving TX is, at best going
to just give you a few more months on the run - so what is the point of leaving ? Much better to
make your stand where you are working with what you have. Not like moving somewhere else
will protect you from a virus, if it's in your neighborhood, chances are it will soon be in everyone's
neighborhood.
Another funny thing - I've traded commodities off and on for many years - and I've placed jackpot bets
several times that I have screwed up by overthinking things and changing my bets midstream. I had 50k
of gold calls in 1999, and the same for oil in 2008. Every time I make these kinds of bets, I turn out to
be exactly correct for exactly the wrong reasons. Well, about 18 months ago I went short oil just as
everyone else was totally convinced oil was clearly on it's way to the moon. Go figure. Right again
for all the wrong reasons.
The most important thing I can impart about ebola is that I do not believe it needs to be very bad at all
before the financial system takes a bath - look at what has happened to the markets in the last few weeks,
that is all 100% EBOLA. And that's only two Americans sick. Imagine what happens when it's 100 sick or a thousand ?
My wife told this morning about her friend who works in a medical testing lab in Houston - two of her co-workers wrote their
boss this morning and said they will refuse to do any ebola testing.
THAT is what the main danger is, not ebola itself, but the REACTION to ebola that is going to make things roll down hill.
I did that because of a dream I had last fall - in the dream was a woman who
told me that it was ok to stay where we were, but that it would not be a good
idea to let it wait too long before we left.
I interpreted that to mean, get our savings together and start working on a retreat.
Now I am seeing that in a different light.
IF we were still in Dallas, I would be keeping an eye on things, but getting ready to leave,
packing etc. - but keep in mind, we are the ultimate nomads, we never work/stay anywhere
very long before we are on to the next place - on average I've moved about once a year for
my entire life.
IF we were a more normal family, with a regular longtime job, family, friends etc. I would be
staying in Dallas.
The thing you have to think about is that IF ebola gets out of hand, leaving TX is, at best going
to just give you a few more months on the run - so what is the point of leaving ? Much better to
make your stand where you are working with what you have. Not like moving somewhere else
will protect you from a virus, if it's in your neighborhood, chances are it will soon be in everyone's
neighborhood.
Another funny thing - I've traded commodities off and on for many years - and I've placed jackpot bets
several times that I have screwed up by overthinking things and changing my bets midstream. I had 50k
of gold calls in 1999, and the same for oil in 2008. Every time I make these kinds of bets, I turn out to
be exactly correct for exactly the wrong reasons. Well, about 18 months ago I went short oil just as
everyone else was totally convinced oil was clearly on it's way to the moon. Go figure. Right again
for all the wrong reasons.
The most important thing I can impart about ebola is that I do not believe it needs to be very bad at all
before the financial system takes a bath - look at what has happened to the markets in the last few weeks,
that is all 100% EBOLA. And that's only two Americans sick. Imagine what happens when it's 100 sick or a thousand ?
My wife told this morning about her friend who works in a medical testing lab in Houston - two of her co-workers wrote their
boss this morning and said they will refuse to do any ebola testing.
THAT is what the main danger is, not ebola itself, but the REACTION to ebola that is going to make things roll down hill.
