WTF?!? "Official" Gulf Oil Spill Thread - put updates here

NC Susan

Deceased
40065_1515647422094_1561727828_2811815_3954436_n.jpg
 

milkydoo

Inactive
Important read here. It's long, so I'll quote some of the doom....there's a lot of nested quotes so I highly recommend reading at the source:

(Found at Rense) http://www.zerohedge.com/article/wi...lished-and-abandon-ship-without-permanently-k

AP reported last night:

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/38657081/ns/disaster_in_the_gulf
BP, U.S. mull whether to skip 'bottom kill'

***
The federal government and BP have recently raised the possibility that they won't need to perform the operation at all, since the well was plugged last month with mud and cement pumped in through the top.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-...o-finish-drilling-relief-well-allen-says.html

Similarly, Bloomberg writes today:
BP Plc may not finish drilling a relief well to its Macondo well in the Gulf of Mexico, National Incident Commander Thad Allen said during a conference call today.

The relief well, which for months has been touted by the U.S. government as the ultimate solution to stopping the flow from Macondo -- a process known as “killing” the well -- may not be needed after all, Allen said.
Oil industry expert Robert Cavnar has a must-read piece today on the situation:


http://dailyhurricane.com/2010/08/adm-allen-confused---so-now-is-everybody-else.html



For the last several days, I've been trying to figure out what BP is doing and what is the actual condition of BP's MC252 well after their "static kill" and cementing procedure last week apparently didn't work.
All was right with the world. Except, it wasn't. Day before yesterday, Adm. Allen announced they were going to start a "pressure test", babbling about the annulus and raising the ominous spectre that they are still actually communicated to the reservoir. Wells confirmed that fear in the afternoon, admitting that they indeed had 4,200 psi on the well when it's supposed to be dead. At the seafloor, the well should have no more than 2,200 psi on it, and conceivable less, if the hydrostatic of the mud in the closed well had overcome reservoir pressure. Then it got really confusing. Wells said that it wouldn't hold 4,200 psi because of "bubbles" leaking out of the wellhead, implying that they are pumping on it to keep it there, but that they're going to "test" it by relieving pressure. ?? Also, the more Adm. Allen explains what's going on, the more the press gets confused. Hell, I understand this business and I'm confused.
-snip-
Clear as drilling mud. What's going on here is that the "static kill" looks like it did the opposite of what BP and Allen had suggested at the beginning. It certainly hasn't accelerated the relief well.
The mis-information and confusion is also taking its toll. I got asked in an interview yesterday that since the well is "dead" now, why are they bothering with the relief well? AP reported last night that BP and the government are contemplating skipping the bottom kill. Every time Wells, Suttles, or Allen get in front of a microphone, everyone gets even more confused, mis-informed, or both; everyone just wants this to go away, but it's not going away; not until the relief well kills from the bottom as we've been saying for over 3 months.

In actuality, this "static kill" did nothing that BP and Allen said it would do. Certainly the well is not dead or "static". It hasn't accelerated the relief well, but it has obscured the well's pressures, making it more difficult to kill. Hence, these new tests to figure out what's going on. BP and the government don't really have a clue where the 2,300 barrels of mud and 500 barrels of cement went. They originally claimed it all went down the casing and out to the reservoir. I would set the probability of that actually having happened at zero. Here's why: The positive test on the casing the night of the blowout was rock solid. The casing was good. It is possible that they may have collapsed the production casing during the blowout, but that would have been relatively high up in the wellbore, probably where they had displaced with seawater on the inside. If that happened, it would be communicated with the backside. In addition, at the bottom of the production casing is a float shoe, 134 feet of cement in the shoe track, then a float collar, then 2 cementing plugs with probably cement on top of those. Oh, and don't forget about the 3,000 feet of drill pipe hanging inside all of that. There is no way, unless that entire float assembly blew off, that they pumped down the casing and up the backside. On top of all that, there are HUGE lost circulation zones both below and above the reservoir. During drilling they lost 3,000 barrels of mud trying to drill that last section.

So, where did all the mud and cement go? It likely went down the backside of the production casing and either out through some damage that was caused during the aborted top kill, or out the lost circulation zone right below the 9 7/8" liner at 17,100. The fact that they're getting pressure now tells me that they are indeed communicated to the reservoir below, probably obscured by the fact that they now have mud strung through the annulus. If they are indeed communicated, pressure will build on the wellhead, which is exactly what's happening. Adm. Allen pledged to get BP to release the pressure data 3 days ago. The next day, when asked about it, he said it was released, but "nobody can find it." The data is still AWOL.

So, now, here we sit, waiting on weather again, and then we're going to pressure test a well that's supposed to be dead instead of getting the relief well finished. The press is confused; the public is bored.
 

Hansa44

Justine Case
Important read here. It's long, so I'll quote some of the doom....there's a lot of nested quotes so I highly recommend reading at the source:

(Found at Rense) http://www.zerohedge.com/article/wi... The press is confused; the public is bored.


I'm beginning to believe the public won't be bored long. It's getting more and more difficult for people to hold their attention on anything for more than 10 minutes.

Thanks for the info md.
 

Beetree

Veteran Member
I LOVE that cartoon!!!!!!!!!!

Info on this thread is beyond awesome! I wish the whole world would look at it!

I called the county SO the other day and asked them if it was against the law to photo oil on the beach and no one there knew. Some one told me that there is a $45,000.00 fine if you get caught doing it.
 

Ragnarok

On and On, South of Heaven
Dead Fish Washing Up Everywhere Due to BP Oil Spill and Dispersants
http://www.washingtonsblog.com/2010/08/dead-fish-washing-up-everywhere-due-to.html

Days After Tar Balls Hit New York Beach Massive Fish Kills Stretch From New Jersey to Massachusetts
http://blog.alexanderhiggins.com/20...h-massive-fish-kills-stretch-nj-massachusets/

Friday the 13th Part II: Even larger plumes seeping from seafloor
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bV-DkVOX7qE&feature=player_embedded

Hundreds of Thousands of DEAD FISH on NEW JERSEY SHORE AUG 12 2010
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ag0oQm0dhXs

More Oil And Tar On Pensacola Beach
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pKLaKQ4C7I8

The BP Cover-Up
http://motherjones.com/environment/2010/09/bp-ocean-cover-up

BP oil-methane-dispersant-drilling fluids disaster
http://www.salon.com/news/politics/war_room/2010/08/12/oil_spill_mother_jones

Tax collector files claim against BP for loss of bed taxes
http://www.baynews9.com/article/new...-claim-with-BP-for-loss-of-bed-taxes-(I-poll)
 

Hansa44

Justine Case
oops..... Looks like Thad Allen may have gotten a cajillion complaints that BP thought they wouldn't have to finish the well. Now...the big question is how will we prove that they actually did this after it's done????
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http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20100813/ap_on_bi_ge/us_gulf_oil_spill

Feds say well's not dead yet, more drilling needed

By TOM BREEN, Associated Press Writer Tom Breen, Associated Press Writer – 29 mins ago
NEW ORLEANS – BP's broken oil well is not dead yet.

The government's point man on the crisis said Friday that the blown-out well is not securely plugged to his satisfaction and that the drilling of the relief well — long regarded as the only way to ensure that the hole at the bottom of the Gulf of Mexico never leaks oil again — must go forward.

"The relief well will be finished," said retired Coast Guard Adm. Thad Allen. "We will kill the well."

Work on the relief well was suspended earlier this week because of bad weather. Allen did not say when it would resume, but when the order comes, it could take four days to get the operation up and running again.

From there, it could be only a matter of days before the "bottom kill" is done and the blown-out well that wreaked havoc on the Gulf Coast economy and environment is no longer a threat.

Last week, BP plugged up the ruptured oil well from the top with mud and cement, and for a while, it appeared that the relief well that BP has been drilling 2 1/2 miles under the sea all summer long in an effort to seal up the leak from the bottom might not be necessary after all. But Allen dashed those hopes after scientists conducted pressure tests on Thursday.

Scientists had hoped that the cement pumped in from the top had plugged the gap between the well's inner pipe and its outer casing. The pressure tests showed some cement was in that gap, but officials don't know enough about what's there — or how much of it — to trust that there is a permanent seal, said Allen, who has repeatedly insisted on an "overabundance of caution" when it comes to plugging the well.

The well spilled an estimated 206 million gallons of crude into the sea before BP finally put a cap on it July 15. But that was always regarded as a temporary fix until the relief well and the bottom kill could be completed.

Bob Bea, a petroleum engineering professor at the University of California, Berkeley, said that given the results of the pressure tests, proceeding with the relief well makes sense.

"Everything we know at this time says we need to continue the work with the relief wells," he said. "We don't know the details of how they plugged the well from the top. We don't know the volume of material they put in the well bore, and without that we can't tell how close to the bottom of the well they got."

Drilling of the relief well began in early May, and the tunnel is now just 30 to 50 feet from the blown-out well. To intercept the well, the drillers must hit a target about the size of a dinner plate. Once they punch through, heavy drilling mud and cement will be injected into the bedrock.

Allen said scientists from BP and the government are working to ensure the bottom kill does not damage the cap and make the disaster worse. New equipment to ease the pressure inside the well might have to be installed, which would "significantly affect the timeline" for the final fix, Allen said, though he did not specify how much.

Officials from BP and the federal government have been touting the bottom kill as the final fix for weeks, and local officials said they were glad to hear it will go forward.

"If it's a nearly redundant safety measure, that makes sense to us," said Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal, who attended a closed-door meeting with Allen, local leaders and other federal officials.

The possibility, floated earlier this week, that the well might already be plugged didn't sit well with local officials or environmentalists, who said they were leery of optimistic forecasts from BP and the government.

"After all this effort, why would they quit before they're done?" said Richard Charter, a senior policy adviser for Defenders of Wildlife. "If you had a trustworthy company and they said it's done, it's done. But in this case BP has not been a trustworthy company."

Along the Gulf Coast in Houma, La., construction worker Doug Hunt wearily wondered if the crisis would ever end upon hearing that the permanent fix was at least several more days off.

"All we've heard is oil, oil, oil. I guess they'll do the job sooner or later, but it will take a long time for the people here to recover from this," Hunt said.

The crisis began on April 20, after an explosion on the BP-leased Deepwater Horizon drilling rig that killed 11 workers.
 

Countrymouse

Country exile in the city
I pray I'm wrong, but I really think, from all I've read, that they're scared to death.

If they "don't" drill the relief well, sooner or later the building pressure will either gouge exit holes right up through the earth into the open ocean floor---with no way at all to cut it off, or start seeping up around the well again or even blow off the cap....

If they "do" drill the relief well, when the line makes connection with all that oil and methane gas under such high pressure it will do a "DH Explosion redux" and blow sky-high again---and they'll have no idea what to do to stop it.

Praying I"m wrong...but the conflicting signals out of Washington, BP, and the Coast Guard are not reassuring.
 

milkydoo

Inactive
I pray I'm wrong, but I really think, from all I've read, that they're scared to death.

If they "don't" drill the relief well, sooner or later the building pressure will either gouge exit holes right up through the earth into the open ocean floor---with no way at all to cut it off, or start seeping up around the well again or even blow off the cap....

If they "do" drill the relief well, when the line makes connection with all that oil and methane gas under such high pressure it will do a "DH Explosion redux" and blow sky-high again---and they'll have no idea what to do to stop it.

Praying I"m wrong...but the conflicting signals out of Washington, BP, and the Coast Guard are not reassuring.
I agree......I think BP and the feds are probably cursing behind the scenes.....at least the ones with a conscience. Allen is probably going to need a triple bipass after this thing is done.

It's been nothing but a sea of lies and manipulation from day one, and even before day one.

BP controls the cameras. Whatever they want us to see, we'll see. And neither BP nor the feds knows what the apparatrus looks like beneath the sea floor. It's all guesswork based on pressure readings, and I doubt the public is being given the real numbers on that either.

Day by day, the late Matt Simmons is proven right. He said the casing was gone or damaged; he said the formation was damaged. And now look, we've got BP and the feds admitting that they're losing mud and cement into the wrong part of the casing and the formation.

Guesses and prayers are all that's left.

I also agree that the relief well will be the most dangerous operation yet. Anything goes wrong with that, and all bets are off. If the formation is destroyed even further, then we may end up with accelerated leaks and possibly a sea floor collapse and subsequent tsunami as some have suggested.

On a side note............this hurricane season, that was supposed to be a whopper, has turned out to be a dud, and I don't think it's coincidence. I think the HAARP gang may actually be lending us a hand ...........for once.
 

Hansa44

Justine Case
I pray I'm wrong, but I really think, from all I've read, that they're scared to death.

If they "don't" drill the relief well, sooner or later the building pressure will either gouge exit holes right up through the earth into the open ocean floor---with no way at all to cut it off, or start seeping up around the well again or even blow off the cap....

If they "do" drill the relief well, when the line makes connection with all that oil and methane gas under such high pressure it will do a "DH Explosion redux" and blow sky-high again---and they'll have no idea what to do to stop it.

Praying I"m wrong...but the conflicting signals out of Washington, BP, and the Coast Guard are not reassuring.


Before they nixed most of the cameras a whole lot was going on down there around the well. A lot of it recorded and posted on youtube.

I'm with you Cm and hope to heaven we're just being silly. But something just isn't right and lots of people are feeling it. Just the sudden top kill thing and all the fabulous news coming out of there even tho the pressure readings were way below what Thad Allen said they HAD to be and then he suddenly changed his story.
 

NC Susan

Deceased
...On a side note............this hurricane season, that was supposed to be a whopper, has turned out to be a dud, and I don't think it's coincidence. I think the HAARP gang may actually be lending us a hand ...........for once.

thanks for posting my thoughts as i scroll thru the rest of the worlds disaster unexplained weather........
 

milkydoo

Inactive
Chris Landau articles

Chris Landau has a lot of articles on BP's disaster. His main page is here (scroll down to see article list): http://www.opednews.com/author/articles/author47248.html And I'm going to post excerpts from his last 2 here.
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Are we about to have another blowout on the BP blowout well? By Chris Landau (geologist)

http://www.opednews.com/articles/Are-we-about-to-have-anoth-by-Chris-Landau-100812-88.html

Crucial negative pressure test, on BP blowout well, taking place before our eyes.

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On the 14th of July 2010, I wrote for OPED News the following paragraph:

"Mark Hafle, BP's senior drilling engineer testified to the MMS on May 28, 2010 that the well had lost integrity and that thousands of barrels of mud had been lost down this well during drilling. This meant that the formation integrity had blown out. Reports at the hearings in May also indicated that the LOW positive pressure tests on the day of the blowout on April 20, 2010 had passed but the negative pressure tests had failed, so the well was not properly sealed. This happened within a few hours of the blowout.
The cement-casing structure is compromised. The well had ballooned out and the formation had blown out, long before the blowout occurred."

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On the 4th of August 2010 their static kill was achieved at 13.2 pounds per gallon mudweight. No movement either in or out of oil or mud. If you were to increase the mud density in order to increase the pressure, above the 13.2 pounds per gallon (0.694 pounds per square inch per linear foot increase with depth) or 12742 psi at the bottom of the well (18360 feet), the drilling mud would flow out the well into the formation.

So just before the static kill began, we know that their pressure gauges were reading about 7000 psi. Where is the missing pressure of 5742 psi going? It is not entering the well. It was not measured by their pressure gauges.
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The pressure gauge does not yet read zero? It reads 4200 psi.
If this well can be easily sealed with cement now, then either BP has bungled their way through the last 114 days or the pressure has dropped drastically to allow the cement to seal this blowout well.

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There is some concern that the relief wells will pressurize "old oil in the annulus" and break the seal near the blow out preventer. Of more concern should be the worry that this is where the pressurized oil and gas resides and the blown out formations exist. This zone should be the super porous zone that absorbs all the cement and drilling mud and remains very difficult to seal.

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Has BP sealed the well casing or production pipe that did not need sealing? And we are now waiting for them to seal the annulus (the space between the casing and the rock strata) from the actual oil pressure threat, waiting to explode as soon as the cap is removed? Time will tell.

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This is the crucial NEGATIVE PRESSURE TEST TAKING PLACE BEFORE OUR EYES.

It must have BP on edge as it is this test which led to the blowout. Of course there was no cement plug on April 20, 2010, the day of the blowout. The pressure gauge should eventually read ZERO, when all the gas has been released if the cement seal is in good order. If however there are other breaks in the casing or other horizons of oil and gas at higher levels that are also supplying natural gas pressure, the pressure will fall more slowly and may stabilize at a value above zero psi.
 
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milkydoo

Inactive
The heat is on......

BK Lim has a new article to follow his excellent piece from a couple weeks ago. For those who haven't seen the first one, please go here: http://bklim.newsvine.com/ and read that one as well as this new one.
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Tons of illustrations at both stories......the illustrations are integral to the text, so please visit the links!

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DWH blowout CSI - why it could not have happened as reported by BP.

http://bklim.newsvine.com/_news/201...it-could-not-have-happened-as-reported-by-bp-

Diagrammatic illustrations are used to explain why the Deepwater Horizon blowout could not have happened as reported by BP. BP could not have been drilling at Well A location when the 20th April blowout occurred, but an undisclosed seabed location (S20BC) 720ft NW of Well A. BP capped the wrong well as many had long suspected but unable to prove without insiders' information. This cover-up on such a massive and unprecedented scale could not have gone on for so long without the tacit approval of the top BP executives.


See for yourself the improbability of the twisted Riser wreck standing 1500 ft above the seabed as illustrated by Aljazeera's interpretation of BP's official version of the blowout. Then compare that with the logical explanation of what actually happened in figures 8a to 8h.

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Original link found at Rense, which leads to Dr. Tom Termotto's page and his comment on BK Lim's new piece: http://phoenixrisingfromthegulf.wordpress.com/2010/08/14/diagrams-of-the-deepwater-horizon-blowout/
 

milkydoo

Inactive
A few more stories worthy of review. (links found at Rense)

First, two videos of fishermen taking a city council to task over lack of representation surrounding the event. I only had time to watch the first few minutes, but the guy is not happy, and the council members look like they might need to change their shorts afterwards...... http://www.floridaoilspilllaw.com/h...looks-like-a-ufo-underwater-dont-it-pgi-video

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BP Well May Not Be Permanently Plugged Until September as Method Reviewed

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-...ugged-until-september-as-method-reviewed.html

BP Plc’s Macondo well in the Gulf of Mexico may not be permanently killed until September as U.S. officials consider two options to allow a final plugging procedure from the bottom while controlling pressure at the top.

A team of federal scientists and BP engineers is looking at either attaching a pressure-control system to the top of the well or installing a new blowout preventer, an emergency device designed to stop the flow of oil and gas, National Incident Commander Thad Allen said today during a press conference.
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USF scientists find oil spill damage to critical marine life

http://www.tampabay.com/news/education/college/article1115706.ece

(only half posted here.......please click link for full article)

By Craig Pittman, Times Staff Writer
In Print: Wednesday, August 18, 2010

ST. PETERSBURG — Far from being gone, the oil from the Deepwater Horizon disaster appears to still be causing ecological damage in the Gulf of Mexico, according to new findings from University of South Florida scientists.

And scientists from the University of Georgia said the amount of oil that remains in the water could be 70 to 79 percent of the more than 4 million barrels of oil that escaped into the gulf.

Both reports again raise questions about the Obama administration's claim, made two weeks ago, that most of the oil spewed from BP's well is either gone or widely dispersed.

USF marine scientists conducting experiments in an area where they previously found clouds of oil have now discovered what appears to be oil in the sediment of a vital underwater canyon and evidence that the oil has become toxic to critical marine organisms, the college reported Tuesday.

In preliminary results, the scientists aboard the Weatherbird II discovered that oil droplets are scattered on sediment in the DeSoto Canyon, a critical spawning ground for commercially important fish species about 40 miles southeast of Panama City.

The oil isn't spread across the sandy bottom like a blanket, explained David Hollander. Instead, when the scientists shined ultraviolet light on the sediment samples, it picked up lots of dots from tiny oil droplets.

"They sparkled … like a constellation of stars," Hollander said.

USF's scientists also found that the oil droplets were toxic to some phytoplankton, microscopic plants that form the base of the gulf's food chain, as well as some bacteria. The oil doesn't accumulate within the plankton, but rather kills it.

If the droplets wipe out enough phytoplankton, it could alter the food supply for larger creatures such as fish and crabs in the same way a cattle pasture that loses all its grass alters the food supply for steak fans.

--snipped half-way for legal reasons.......please read the 2nd half at above link!
 
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milkydoo

Inactive
BP, Feds don’t know what’s causing pressure drop: “We’re concerned about the vital signs of this well. We continue to be concerned about the vital signs.” (VIDEO)

http://www.floridaoilspilllaw.com/b...e-to-be-concerned-about-the-vital-signs-video

Press Briefing by National Incident Commander Thad Allen, August 18, 2010 at 12:15 p.m. EDT:

We’re concerned about the vital signs of this well. We continue to be concerned about the vital signs.

Our first goal is to do no harm. We are doing extensive consultation between our engineering team and the BP engineers. We are moving to prepare the well, the BOP, and a new blowout preventer for either course of action, whether it is putting a blowout preventer before or after we do the bottom kill. We will know when we have satisfied ourselves that we know the vital signs and we’ve removed every piece — any shadow of a doubt of any information we could develop from top side before we go forward…

We’re trying to do two things while the evaluation of alternatives is going on. We have the opportunity to develop more vital signs for the well, one of them being to remove all foreign objects — all foreign liquids from the current well, flush it, and fill it with seawater, so we have exactly the same density of material inside and outside the BOP that will allow us to do an ambient pressure test to see if there’s any kind of pressure, a rise or fall related to something other than what we believe now to be the gas bubbles that are escaping and causing the drop in pressure.


Feds delay completion of relief well until MID-SEPTEMBER, “HOPEFULLY… HOPEFULLY” — Looking for problematic “MATERIAL” in well (VIDEO)


http://www.floridaoilspilllaw.com/f...ooking-for-problematic-material-in-well-video

National Incident Commander Thad Allen on American Morning, CNN, August 19, 2010:

Rush Transcript Summary
Flushing out current BOP, looking for material that might pose a problem.
Move to put a new BOP on.
Then do the bottom kill.
If everything lines up we should be looking at the week after labor day… hopefully… hopefully.
http://jama.ama-assn.org/cgi/content/full/jama.2010.1254[FONT=verdana, arial, helvetica, sans-serif]

Health Effects of the Gulf Oil Spill
[/FONT] [FONT=verdana, arial, helvetica, sans-serif]Gina M. Solomon, MD, MPH; Sarah Janssen, MD, PhD, MPH [/FONT]

[FONT=verdana, arial, helvetica, sans-serif] JAMA. Published online August 16, 2010. doi:10.1001/jama.2010.1254[/FONT]
[FONT=verdana, arial, helvetica, sans-serif]The oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico poses direct threats to human health from inhalation or dermal contact with the oil and dispersant chemicals, and indirect threats to seafood safety and mental health. Physicians should be familiar with health effects from oil spills to appropriately advise, diagnose, and treat patients who live and work along the Gulf Coast or wherever a major oil spill occurs.[/FONT]

--snip--

In Louisiana in the early months of the oil spill, more than 300 individuals, three-fourths of whom were cleanup workers, sought medical care for constitutional symptoms such as headaches, dizziness, nausea, vomiting, cough, respiratory distress, and chest pain. These symptoms are typical of acute exposure to hydrocarbons or hydrogen sulfide, but it is difficult to clinically distinguish toxic symptoms from other common illnesses.

--snip-- read full article at link above

Unrelated to BP news: Remember that blowout in
LA last week. Well, no quick fix for that one either. First attempt fixes have failed, it appears, and now they're going to drill relief wells that might take up to 6 weeks.

http://www.newsinferno.com/archives/23159

An out-of-control oil well in Louisiana’s Assumption Parish could continue gushing for six weeks, following a blowout last week. Last Wednesday’s blowout resulted in the evacuation of residents from six nearby homes and shut down a two-mile stretch of Louisiana highway 70, between Louisiana highways 1 and 996, according to a report on DailyComet.com.
 

mzkitty

I give up.
Scientists challenge federal Gulf spill estimates, report undersea 'plume' 21 miles from BP well - Washington Post http://bit.ly/9ah82K

12 minutes ago via breakingnews.com


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Scientists report undersea oil plume stretching 21 miles from BP spill site



By David A. Fahrenthold and Kimberly Kindy
Washington Post Staff Writer
Thursday, August 19, 2010; 2:29 PM



Academic scientists are challenging the Obama administration's assertion that most of BP's oil is either gone or rapidly disappearing -- citing, among other evidence, the discovery of an undersea "plume" of oil stretching more than 21 miles from the well site.

News of the plume was announced Thursday afternoon by researchers from Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution in Massachusetts. In late June, they found an invisible cloud of oil droplets as tall as a 65-story building and more than a mile wide.

Since then, they said, all that oil was unlikely to have been consumed by the gulf's crop of hydrocarbon-eating microbes. These work quickly in the warm waters near the surface, but far more slowly in the cold, deep region where the plume was found.

"Our data would predict that the plume would still be there now," said Benjamin Van Mooy, a Woods Hole researcher.

In a press conference Thursday afternoon, Woods Hole researchers declined to speculate about how their findings should alter the government's official "budget" of what became of BP's oil. Their inquiry, they said, was limited to finding the plume -- and they had not determined how much of all the spilled oil it contained.

In the future, "we may be able to say whether [this plume] is a penny in a very large checkbook," said Christopher Reddy, of Woods Hole. "Or whether it's bigger."

Also this week, university researchers have raised questions about the math used in the government's accounting. Another group reported finding other indications of lingering oil -- this time, droplets on the gulf floor off Florida.

"It all adds up to: It's not gone," said David Hollander, a professor at the University of South Florida, who worked on the sea-floor study.
ad_icon

The federal government's initial estimate of the oil's fate, which was announced at the White House earlier this month, provided a drastic shift in the narrative of the spill. Suddenly, the disaster looked manageable -- its mysteries distilled into a pie chart.

"More than three-quarters of the oil is gone. The vast majority of the oil is gone," White House climate and energy czar Carol M. Browner said Aug. 4.

The actual report did not go that far, but it did portray a spill that was rapidly losing its punch. The report said of the 4.9 million barrels (205.8 million gallons) that escaped BP's well, about half had been cleaned up, evaporated or dissolved.

The other half might still be in the gulf, the report said. But much of it had been dispersed into tiny droplets, the government said, and it sent out a news release saying "early indications are that the oil is degrading quickly." The government-led cleanup has pumped 1.8 million gallons of dispersant chemicals into the gulf -- breaking the oil into droplets that bacteria can eat more easily, but also helping to sink it under the surface. On Wednesday, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration head Jane Lubchenco said the government was doing further research on the fate of the oil and its impact on the environment.

CONTINUED 1 2 3 Next >

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/08/19/AR2010081904127.html
 
Senior U.S. scientist rescinds previous claim that 3/4 of oil from spill is gone, says most is still there
Thursday, August 19th, 2010 at 9:27 pm | BNO News | Leave a Comment
By BNO News

http://wireupdate.com/local/senior-...-from-spill-is-gone-says-most-is-still-there/

WASHINGTON, D.C. (BNO NEWS) – A senior U.S. government scientist on Thursday admitted that three-quarters of the oil that was released into the Gulf of Mexico after BP’s Deepwater Horizon spill was still there, contradicting his earlier claim that the worst of the spill had passed, the Guardian reported.

Bill Lehr, senior scientist at the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), presented a radically different picture than the one the White House had presented to the public earlier this month. He contradicted his own reports from two weeks ago that suggested that the majority of the oil had been captured or broken down. “I would say most of that is still in the environment,” Lehr told the House energy and commerce committee.

His statement seems to all but confirm suspicions within the scientific community that the White House was trying to spin and hide scientific data regarding the damage of the oil spill. The only member of Congress who turned up at the hearing was Ed Markey, the committee chair. Lehr did, however, revise the amount of oil that spilled into the gulf, saying that only 4.1 million barrels were spilled versus the previous estimate of 4.9, noting that 800,000 barrels were siphoned directly from the well.

A number of estimates that aren’t coming from the White House suggest that as much as 90 percent of the oil is unaccounted for. Lehr himself said that only 6 percent was burned and the other 4 percent was skimmed, but he wasn’t confident on the amount collected from beaches.

Markey was visible upset and critical of Lehr, saying that the released report by NOAA gave the public a false sense of confidence. “You shouldn’t have released it until you knew it was right,” he said.

“People want to believe that everything is OK and I think this report and the way it is being discussed is giving many people a false sense of confidence regarding the state of the Gulf.”

The Obama administration’s credibility took a dive after Ian MacDonald, ocean scientist at Florida State University and has studied the Gulf of Mexico for 30 years, said that the White House made “sweeping and largely unsupported” claims by saying that three-quarters of the oil was gone. “I believe this report is misleading,” he said. “The imprint will be there in the Gulf of Mexico for the rest of my life. It is not gone and it will not go away quickly.” He further went on to note the tipping point from which the ecosystem in the Gulf wouldn’t recover.

Today’s testimony and further evidence that continues to crop up within the scientific community put the White House in an uneasy situation as the November elections aren’t far off.



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He further went on to note the tipping point from which the ecosystem in the Gulf wouldn’t recover.

Wonder what statement was all about.

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Joann

Deceased
http://georgewashington2.blogspot.com/

THURSDAY, AUGUST 19, 2010
Top Expert: Geology is "Fractured", Relief Wells May Fail ... BP is Using a "Cloak of Silence", Refusing to Share Even Basic Data with the Government


Few people in the world know more about oil drilling disasters than Dr. Robert Bea.

Bea teaches engineering at the University of California Berkeley, and has 55 years of experience in engineering and management of design, construction, maintenance, operation, and decommissioning of engineered systems including offshore platforms, pipelines and floating facilities. Bea has worked for many years in governmental and quasi-governmental roles, and has been a high-level governmental adviser concerning disasters. He worked for 16 years as a top mechanical engineer and manager for Shell Oil, and has worked with Bechtel and the Army Corps of Engineers. One of the world's top experts in offshore drilling problems, Bea is a member of the Deepwater Horizon Study Group, and has been interviewed by news media around the world concerning the BP oil disaster.

Washington's Blog spoke with Dr. Bea yesterday.


WB: Is BP sharing information with the government?
Bea: No. BP is using a "cloak of silence". BP is not voluntarily sharing information or documents with the government.

In May, for example, Senator Boxer subpoenaed information from BP regarding footage of the seafloor taken before the blowout by BP's remotely operated vehicles (ROVs). We still have not received a response 12 weeks later.

[Bea subsequently clarified that he's not sure whether BP has failed to release the information, or Senator Boxer's committee has sat on the information. My bet is on BP. Indeed, BP has refused to answer some very basic written questions from Congressman Markey, chair of the Select Committee on Energy Independence and Global Warming. See this and this. Indeed, it is unclear whether BP is sharing vital details even with Thad Allen, Secretary of energy Chu, or the Unified Command].

WB: Might there be problems with the relief wells? I know that it took a couple of relief wells to finally stop the Ixtoc leak, and it has taken as many as 5 relief wells to stop some blowouts.

Bea: Yes, it could take repeated attempts.

WB: Are there any conditions at BP's well which might make killing the leak with relief wells more difficult than with the average deepwater oil spill?

Bea: That's an interesting question. You have to ask why did this location blow out when nearby wells drilled in even deeper water didn't blow out.

You have to look at the geology of the Macondo well. It is in a subsalt location, in a Sigsbee salt formation. [For background, see this and this]

The geology is fractured.

Usually, the deeper you drill, the more pressure it takes to fracture rock. This is called the "fracture gradient".

But when BP was drilling this well, the fracture gradient reversed. Indeed, BP lost all pressure as it drilled into the formation.

WB: Is it possible that this fractured, subsea salt geology will make it difficult to permanently kill the oil leak using relief wells?

Bea: Yes, it could. The Santa Barbara channel seeps are still leaking, decades after the oil well was supposedly capped. This well could keep leaking for years.

Scripps mapped out seafloor seeps in the area of the well prior to the blowout. Some of the natural seeps penetrate 10,000 to 15,000 feet beneath the seafloor. The oil will follow lines of weakness in the geology. The leak can travel several horizontal miles from the location of the leak.

[In other words, the geology beneath the seafloor is so fractured, with soft and unstable salt formations, that we may never be able to fully kill the well even with relief wells. Instead, the loss of containment of the oil reservoir caused by the drilling accident could cause oil to leak out through seeps for years to come. See this and this for further background].

WB: I know that you've previously said that you're concerned that there might be damage to the well bore, which could make it more difficult for the relief wells to succeed.

Bea: Yes, that's still a concern.

WB: I have heard that BP is underestimating the size of the oil reservoir (and see this). Is it possible that the reservoir is bigger than BP is estimating, and so - if not completely killed - the leak could therefore go on for longer than most assume?

Bea: That's plausible.

WB: The chief electronics technician on the Deepwater Horizon said that the Macondo well was originally drilled in another location, but that "going faster caused the bottom of the well to split open, swallowing tools", and that BP abandoned that well. You've spoken to that technician and looked into the incident, and concluded that “they damn near blew up the rig.” [See this and this].

Do you know where that abandoned well location is, and do you know if that well is still leaking?

Bea: The abandoned well is very close to the current well location. BP had to file reports showing the location of the abandoned well and the new well [with the Minerals Management Service], so the location of the abandoned well is known.

We don't know if the abandoned well is leaking.

WB: Matthew Simmons talked about a second leaking well. There are rumors on the Internet that the original well is still leaking. Do you have any information that can either disprove or confirm that allegation?

Bea: There are two uncorroborated reports. One is that there is a leak 400 feet West of the present well's surface location. There is another report that there is a leak several miles to the West.

[Bea does not know whether either report is true at this time, because BP is not sharing information with the government, let alone the public.]

WB: There are rumors on the Internet of huge pockets of methane gas under the well which could explode. I've looked into this rumor, and have come to the conclusion that - while the leak is releasing tremendous amounts of methane - there are no "pockets" of methane gas which could cause explosions. Do you have any information on this?

Bea: I have looked into this and discussed methane with people who know a tremendous amount about it. There is alot of liquid and solid methane at the Macondo site, but no pockets of methane gas.

WB: That's good news, indeed.

Bea: But there was one deepwater leak I worked with where tremendous amounts of hydrogen sulfite were released. We had to evacuate two towns because of the risk. [I didn't ask Dr. Bea if there were any dangerous compounds which could be formed from the interaction of the crude oil and methane with chemicals in the ocean water or dispersants].

And with the Bay Charman oil leak, more than 50% of the oil stayed below the surface of the ocean. [As I've previously pointed out, the US Minerals Management Service and a consortium of oil companies, including BP, found that as little as 2% of the oil which spill from deepwater wells ever makes it to the surface of the ocean. And the use of dispersant might decrease that number still further].

WB: I have previously argued that nuking the well would be a bad idea. What do you think?

Bea: [Bea agreed that nuking the well would be counter-productive. He told me a story about a leaking deepwater well that he was involved in killing. A nuclear package was on its way to the well site but - fortunately - the well stopped by itself before a nuke was deployed. I'm not sure whether this is classified information, so I won't disclose the name of the well. Bea also discussed alternatives in the form of high-pressure, high-temperature conventional explosives, echoing what Bill Clinton said recently].

WB: Thank you for your generous time and for sharing your expertise with us, Dr. Bea.

Bea: You're welcome.
 
On 1382 of this thread I wrote:
In the real world the practice would be to achieve the pressure balance with the mud (which they claim they have), then tie back onto the stack with a riser from a drill ship. The riser would then be filled with drilling mud. Then the drill ship would lower a new drill string from the rig with a fishing tool, tie onto the old drill string, open the original BOP and try to remove the old drill string from the well.

If that operation was successful the next step would be to re enter the well with whatever tools needed to ensure the well bore was clear (remove junk, identify blockages, etc.), and then return into the well to begin cementing at various depths. This process would be tested in stages to ensure adequate cement bonding before moving on to the next stage repeated until the well is sealed. Finally the BOP would be removed and the well head capped. Honestly plugged and abandoned by law.

Guess what?

It's happening now.

Youtube vid of the connection being made at the top of the stack- connection made around the five minute mark:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vFUTSmTrbVE

For the step by step details:

http://www.theoildrum.com/node/6873#more

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milkydoo

Inactive
Rig's owner says BP failing to share data needed to determine cause of Gulf oil spill
By Dina Cappiello (CP) – 15 hours ago


Full text at link.......snippets below



http://www.google.com/hostednews/canadianpress/article/ALeqM5jU3TgBG_2l3VtKOaSAF0AQskBYKA
WASHINGTON — The company that owned the oil rig that exploded in the Gulf of Mexico is accusing BP of withholding critical evidence needed to investigate the cause of the worst offshore oil spill in U.S. history, according to a confidential document obtained by The Associated Press. BP called the claims a publicity stunt.

The new complaint by Transocean follows similar complaints by U.S. lawmakers about difficulties obtaining necessary information from BP in their investigations.

In a sternly worded letter to BP's attorneys, Transocean said the oil giant has in its sole possession information key to identifying the cause "of the tragic loss of eleven lives and the pollution in the Gulf of Mexico."

BP's refusal to turn over the documents has hampered Transocean's investigation and hindered what it has been able to tell families of the dead and state and federal investigators about the accident, the letter said.

BP and Transocean appear likely to face off in court over how much each should pay out for the tragedy. Transocean owned the Deepwater Horizon, the rig that exploded and sank, killing 11 workers and unleashing millions of gallons (litres) of oil. BP was the operator and majority owner of the well.

BP spokeswoman Elizabeth Ashford said Transocean's accusations were misleading and misguided.
In a biting response late Thursday, BP told Transocean in a letter that Transocean's claims were "nothing more than a publicity stunt evidently designed to draw attention away from Transocean's potential role in the Deepwater Horizon tragedy."
In the dispute over documents, Transocean said that BP released limited records only after the company agreed to sign a confidentiality agreement at BP's request.
Transocean said that the limited information it has retrieved from BP came only after the company reluctantly signed a confidentiality agreement.

"Despite our reservations, we agreed to BP's condition of secrecy because there is no other source of key well data," the letter said.

Transocean wants 16 pieces of technical information from BP, including pressure tests, logs and other data.
 
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