CORONA Main Coronavirus thread

marsh

On TB every waking moment
There is a conspiracy I read that Fauci and Gates helped cook it up for the globalists. I need to do some additional research to locate the article that showed that the top 1% were making money hand over fist through all this. I think it may have been on Zerohedge. [See article below]

Of course, the banks jiggered the small business grants to go first to their existing large publicly traded chain customers.

I remember some of it went to bail out hedge funds like Black Rock.

Yesterday's Peak Prosperity video had a segment on how the Fed had propped the market back up to where it was a year ago - buying stocks and junk bonds. That is taxpayer borrowed money that is going to this bailout.

[previously posted
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QwXM821iBrI
at 28:43 min of 44:38 min]
1588331030088.png


Another article I read said that several billionaires like Jeff Bezos had inside information and sold stocks early before the crash.

Looks like they are sucking all the remaining wealth they can out of the system and leaving the working middle class empty handed.

___________________________


America's Super-Rich See Their Wealth Rise $282 Billion In Three Weeks Of Pandemic

Wed, 04/29/2020 - 11:00

Authored by Alan Macleod via MintPressNews.com,

A new report from the Institute for Policy Studies found that, while tens of millions of Americans have lost their jobs during the coronavirus pandemic, America’s ultra-wealthy elite have seen their net worth surge by $282 billion in just 23 days. This is despite the fact that the economy is expected to contract by 40 percent this quarter.



The report also noted that between 1980 and 2020 the tax obligations of America’s billionaires, measured as a percentage of their wealth, decreased by 79 percent. In the last 30 years, U.S. billionaire wealth soared by over 1100 percent while median household wealth increased by barely five percent. In 1990, the total wealth held by America’s billionaire class was $240 billion; today that number stands at $2.95 trillion.

Thus, America’s billionaires accrued more wealth in just the past three weeks than they made in total prior to 1980. As a result, just three people – Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos, Microsoft co-founder Bill Gates and Berkshire Hathaway’s Warren Buffet – own as much wealth as the bottom half of all U.S. households combined.

The Institute for Policy Studies’ report paints a picture of a modern day oligarchy, where the super-rich have captured legislative and executive power, controlling what laws are passed. The report discusses what it labels a new “wealth defense industry” – where “billionaires are paying millions to dodge billions in taxes,” with teams of accountants, lawyers, lobbyists and asset managers helping them conceal their vast fortunes in tax havens and so-called charitable trusts. The result has been crippled social programs and a decrease in living standards and even a sustained drop in life expectancy – something rarely seen in history outside of major wars or famines. Few Americans believe their children will be better off than they were. Statistics suggest they are right.

Billionaires very theatrically donate a fraction of what they used to give back in taxes, making sure to generate maximum publicity for their actions.

And they secure positive coverage of themselves by stepping in to keep influential news organizations afloat. A December investigation by MintPress found that Gates had donated over $9 million to The Guardian, over $3 million to NBC Universal, over $4.5 million to NPR, $1 million to Al-Jazeera, and a staggering $49 million to the BBC’s Media Action program. Some, like Bezos, prefer to simply outright purchase news organizations themselves, changing the editorial stance to unquestioning loyalty to their new owners.

The spike in billionaire wealth comes amid an unprecedented economic crash; 26.5 million Americans have filed for unemployment over the last five weeks, and that number is expected to continue to rise dramatically. While the super-rich are holed up in their mansions and yachts, the 49-62 million Americans designated as “essential workers” must continue to risk their lives to keep society functioning, even as many of them do not even earn as much as the $600 weekly increase in unemployment benefits the CARES act stipulates. Many low paid workers, such as grocery store employees, have already fallen sick and died. The mother of one 27-year-old Maryland worker who contracted COVID-19 and died received her daughter’s last paycheck. It amounted to $20.64.

Amazon staff, directly employed by Bezos, also risk their lives for measly pay. One third of all Amazon workers in Arizona, for example, are enrolled in the food stamps program, their wages so low that they cannot afford to pay for food. The vast contrast in the effect that COVID-19 has had on the super wealthy versus the rest of us has many concluding that billionaires’ wealth and the poverty of the rest of the world are two sides of the same coin: that the reason people working full-time still cannot afford a house or even to eat is the same reason people like Bezos control more wealth than many countries. Bezos’ solution to his employees’ hunger has been to set up a charity and ask for public donations to help his desperate workers.

The majority of millennials, most of them shut out from attaining the American dream, already prefer socialism to capitalism, taking a dim view of the latter. The latest news that the billionaire class is laughing all the way to the bank during a period of intense economic suffering is unlikely to improve their disposition.
 

Blacknarwhal

Let's Go Brandon!
Using your logic - how many deaths were there before Feb that were wrongly designated as flu or some other cause when they were COVID related? You can't have it both ways.

HD

Some, undoubtedly. This thing looks and acts too much like the flu for it to NOT have been mistaken for flu at some point.

We've had people screaming THIS IS NOT THE FLU since it started. And that's true. It's not.

BUT.

It produces symptoms that are very similar to flu.

It has a transmission rate that's roughly similar to flu especially since it's a brand-new bug.

It even has a mortality rate that's roughly similar to flu.

IT IS NOT THE FLU. This is absolutely true. But man, does it look, act, and behave like the flu.
 

raven

TB Fanatic
Using your logic - how many deaths were there before Feb that were wrongly designated as flu or some other cause when they were COVID related? You can't have it both ways.

HD
Precisely.
You can't have it both ways.

There is no middle ground. There is no compromise. There can be no negotiation.

If it is a "Pandemic", well then, the economy is irrelevant, unemployment is moot, it does not matter if you lose everything.
If it is not a "Pandemic", well then those people who lost wealth and property have been robbed.

It isn't whether it is one or the other . . . the problem is there can be no middle ground.
You can't have it both ways because:
the people who are afraid for their life of catching the corona and dying will not be swayed from surrendering your rights.
the people who are afraid for their life because of loss of savings, employment, home will not be swayed.

Which will win out? That's easy.
The healthcare, surrender your rights, crowd will. Judge Roberts proved that in 2012. They usurped their authority over you property by calling it your shared responsibility and everyone caved.

Plan accordingly.
 

OldArcher

Has No Life - Lives on TB
There is a conspiracy I read that Fauci and Gates helped cook it up for the globalists. I need to do some additional research to locate the article that showed that the top 1% were making money hand over fist through all this. I think it may have been on Zerohedge. [See article below]

Of course, the banks jiggered the small business grants to go first to their existing large publicly traded chain customers.

I remember some of it went to bail out hedge funds like Black Rock.

Yesterday's Peak Prosperity video had a segment on how the Fed had propped the market back up to where it was a year ago - buying stocks and junk bonds. That is taxpayer borrowed money that is going to this bailout.

[previously posted
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QwXM821iBrI
at 28:43 min of 44:38 min]
View attachment 194967


Another article I read said that several billionaires like Jeff Bezos had inside information and sold stocks early before the crash.

Looks like they are sucking all the remaining wealth they can out of the system and leaving the working middle class empty handed.

___________________________


America's Super-Rich See Their Wealth Rise $282 Billion In Three Weeks Of Pandemic

Wed, 04/29/2020 - 11:00

Authored by Alan Macleod via MintPressNews.com,

A new report from the Institute for Policy Studies found that, while tens of millions of Americans have lost their jobs during the coronavirus pandemic, America’s ultra-wealthy elite have seen their net worth surge by $282 billion in just 23 days. This is despite the fact that the economy is expected to contract by 40 percent this quarter.



The report also noted that between 1980 and 2020 the tax obligations of America’s billionaires, measured as a percentage of their wealth, decreased by 79 percent. In the last 30 years, U.S. billionaire wealth soared by over 1100 percent while median household wealth increased by barely five percent. In 1990, the total wealth held by America’s billionaire class was $240 billion; today that number stands at $2.95 trillion.

Thus, America’s billionaires accrued more wealth in just the past three weeks than they made in total prior to 1980. As a result, just three people – Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos, Microsoft co-founder Bill Gates and Berkshire Hathaway’s Warren Buffet – own as much wealth as the bottom half of all U.S. households combined.

The Institute for Policy Studies’ report paints a picture of a modern day oligarchy, where the super-rich have captured legislative and executive power, controlling what laws are passed. The report discusses what it labels a new “wealth defense industry” – where “billionaires are paying millions to dodge billions in taxes,” with teams of accountants, lawyers, lobbyists and asset managers helping them conceal their vast fortunes in tax havens and so-called charitable trusts. The result has been crippled social programs and a decrease in living standards and even a sustained drop in life expectancy – something rarely seen in history outside of major wars or famines. Few Americans believe their children will be better off than they were. Statistics suggest they are right.

Billionaires very theatrically donate a fraction of what they used to give back in taxes, making sure to generate maximum publicity for their actions.

And they secure positive coverage of themselves by stepping in to keep influential news organizations afloat. A December investigation by MintPress found that Gates had donated over $9 million to The Guardian, over $3 million to NBC Universal, over $4.5 million to NPR, $1 million to Al-Jazeera, and a staggering $49 million to the BBC’s Media Action program. Some, like Bezos, prefer to simply outright purchase news organizations themselves, changing the editorial stance to unquestioning loyalty to their new owners.

The spike in billionaire wealth comes amid an unprecedented economic crash; 26.5 million Americans have filed for unemployment over the last five weeks, and that number is expected to continue to rise dramatically. While the super-rich are holed up in their mansions and yachts, the 49-62 million Americans designated as “essential workers” must continue to risk their lives to keep society functioning, even as many of them do not even earn as much as the $600 weekly increase in unemployment benefits the CARES act stipulates. Many low paid workers, such as grocery store employees, have already fallen sick and died. The mother of one 27-year-old Maryland worker who contracted COVID-19 and died received her daughter’s last paycheck. It amounted to $20.64.

Amazon staff, directly employed by Bezos, also risk their lives for measly pay. One third of all Amazon workers in Arizona, for example, are enrolled in the food stamps program, their wages so low that they cannot afford to pay for food. The vast contrast in the effect that COVID-19 has had on the super wealthy versus the rest of us has many concluding that billionaires’ wealth and the poverty of the rest of the world are two sides of the same coin: that the reason people working full-time still cannot afford a house or even to eat is the same reason people like Bezos control more wealth than many countries. Bezos’ solution to his employees’ hunger has been to set up a charity and ask for public donations to help his desperate workers.

The majority of millennials, most of them shut out from attaining the American dream, already prefer socialism to capitalism, taking a dim view of the latter. The latest news that the billionaire class is laughing all the way to the bank during a period of intense economic suffering is unlikely to improve their disposition.

Thank-You, marsh! Your research and analysis are always top-notch. We're blessed to have such great researchers here at TB2K... God Bless You and Yours!

OA
 

OldArcher

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Precisely.
You can't have it both ways.

There is no middle ground. There is no compromise. There can be no negotiation.

If it is a "Pandemic", well then, the economy is irrelevant, unemployment is moot, it does not matter if you lose everything.
If it is not a "Pandemic", well then those people who lost wealth and property have been robbed.

It isn't whether it is one or the other . . . the problem is there can be no middle ground.
You can't have it both ways because:
the people who are afraid for their life of catching the corona and dying will not be swayed from surrendering your rights.
the people who are afraid for their life because of loss of savings, employment, home will not be swayed.

Which will win out? That's easy.
The healthcare, surrender your rights, crowd will. Judge Roberts proved that in 2012. They usurped their authority over you property by calling it your shared responsibility and everyone caved.

Plan accordingly.

Frankly, I hope to NEVER see "The healthcare, surrender your rights, crowd will. Judge Roberts proved that in 2012. They usurped their authority over you property by calling it your shared responsibility and everyone caved" happen. That crowd would create a slave state of global proportions. Well, I suppose we'd best pray that it doesn't happen, or buy lots and lots of ammo...

OA
 
US germ warfare lab creates test for pre-infectious Covid-19 carriers

Exclusive: test has potential to be ‘a gamechanger’ in attempts to curb spread of coronavirus
Giles Tremlett
Fri 1 May 2020 11.00 EDT Last modified on Fri 1 May 2020 11.02 EDT
2560.jpg

A transmission electron microscope image showing Sars-CoV-2, the virus that causes Covid-19. The new test looks at the body’s immune response to infection. Photograph: Alamy

Scientists working for the US military have designed a new Covid-19 test that could potentially identify carriers before they become infectious and spread the disease, the Guardian has learned.

In what could be a significant breakthrough, project coordinators hope the blood-based test will be able to detect the virus’s presence as early as 24 hours after infection – before people show symptoms and several days before a carrier is considered capable of spreading it to other people. That is also around four days before current tests can detect the virus.

The test has emerged from a project set up by the US military’s Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (Darpa) aimed at rapid diagnosis of germ or chemical warfare poisoning. It was hurriedly repurposed when the pandemic broke out and the new test is expected to be put forward for emergency use approval (EUA) by the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) within a week.

“The concept fills a diagnostic gap worldwide,” the head of Darpa’s biological technologies office, Dr Brad Ringeisen, told the Guardian, since it should also fill in testing gaps at later stages of the infection. If given FDA approval, he said, it had the potential to be “absolutely a gamechanger”.

While pre-infectious detection would improve the efficiency of test-and-trace programmes as governments worldwide relax lockdowns, Darpa cautioned that it must wait until after FDA approval is given and the test can be put into practise for evidence of exactly how early it can pick up the virus.

“The goal of research is to develop and validate an early host blood response diagnostic test for Covid,” Prof Stuart Sealfon, who leads the research team at Mount Sinai hospital in New York, said in an email.

He said the testing approach, which looks at the body’s response as it fights Covid-19, should produce earlier results than current nose-swab tests that hunt for the virus itself. “Because the immune response to infection develops immediately after infection, a Covid signature is expected to provide more sensitive Covid infection diagnosis earlier,” he told the Guardian.

The research behind the development of the tests will eventually be made public, with the collaborating teams from medical schools at Mount Sinai, Duke University and Princeton expected to publish online, allowing scientists around the world to trial similar methods.

If EUA is granted, the test should start being rolled out in the US in the second half of May. Approval is not guaranteed, but Darpa scientists are enthusiastic about the potential impact as governments loosen lockdowns amid worries about controlling potential second-wave outbreaks.

“We are all extremely excited. We want to roll this test out as quickly as we can, but at the same time share with others who might want to implement in their own countries,” said Dr Eric Van Gieson, who set up Darpa’s epigenetic characterization and observation (Echo) programme last year to diagnose biological warfare victims, and has redirected it to focus on Covid-19. Epigenetics looks at a set of controls on genes that can respond to the environment.

Hope that the test might pick up carriers before they become infectious is based on previous research into other viruses, though Sealfon said this remained “unknown” for Covid-19.

“We have evidence that diagnosis happens in the first 24 hours for influenza and an adenovirus,” Van Gieson said. “We are still in the midst of proving that with Covid-19. That said, we should know very soon after EUA.” He sees potential for the US to carry out up to a million tests a day, starting with 100,000 daily in May.

The test would up up the possibility of isolating pre-infectious cases and closing down transmission chains. It could also dramatically reduce quarantine periods for people exposed to Covid-19 spreaders, allowing them to go back to work within days. “It could have exceptional demand,” said Chris Linthwaite, the chief executive of Fluidigm, a California life-sciences technology company that is part of the project, who believes frequent testing can help manage workforces as they return to offices, warehouses and factories.

The UK government announced plans two weeks ago to restart a contact-tracing programme that was abandoned early in the outbreak. Britain’s stated target was 100,000 tests a day by the end of April. France announced on Tuesday that it would test 700,000 people a week, including those without symptoms.

Other countries such as South Korea, Australia and New Zealand already have efficient tracing systems, but they would be boosted if carriers could be detected early.

Darpa experts also see potential to improve protocols for protecting health care workers and others in high-risk jobs, as well as those in relatively self-contained or isolated communities such as care homes and prisons or onboard ships.

The test uses the same polymerase chain reaction (PCR) machines used for checking nasal swabs from people suspected of having the virus. “It’s a simple tweak,” said Van Gieson. “The infrastructure is already there.”

Limitations on use are similar to those already faced by countries such as Britain and depend on PCR capacity, stocks of chemical reagents and logistics. Results can take an hour, or longer if samples must be sent away to laboratories.

Like the viral test, the new blood test hunts for a type of molecule called RNA. In this case it is messenger RNA (mRNA). “Target mRNA is part of the immune response to viral infection,” Sealfon said. “mRNA expression levels really do adjust due to the presence of Covid-19. Understanding the immune response is key to fighting Covid-19.”

Covid-19 is thought to incubate for about five days, at which stage people are assumed to become infectious. That is also when the virus can be detected by current nose swab tests. “They do the job, they just don’t tell you someone is sick until maybe four days after this [new test],” said Von Gieson.

The research shows accuracy levels above 95%. “This is something that will need to be constantly monitored as it will inevitably change up or down,” Van Gieson said.

Blood samples are harder to collect than nose swabs, but may be more reliable. Swab testing can be difficult because it requires taking a sample from deep inside the nose.

“It can throw up a lot of false negatives,” said Prof Lawrence Young of Warwick University, adding that recent studies showing low reliability were probably due to poor swab sampling. “I’ve been very concerned by pictures on the television of drive-in testing. Something you could measure reliably in blood could be a good thing.”

Like all researchers contacted by the Guardian, however, he was unwilling to comment further until the Mount Sinai-led team published its research. Most were concerned about potential problems with accuracy and practicality. Blood collection is a potential limitation, since drive-in centres are not usually equipped to do this. One millilitre of blood – a fifth of a teaspoon – is needed.

The research team is expected to publish the mRNA sequence, allowing others to create the so-called “primer” required. A similar approach was taken when the genetic sequence of the virus itself was released by China in January, allowing tests to be developed rapidly in South Korea and elsewhere.

===
.
 

raven

TB Fanatic
Frankly, I hope to NEVER see "The healthcare, surrender your rights, crowd will. Judge Roberts proved that in 2012. They usurped their authority over you property by calling it your shared responsibility and everyone caved" happen. That crowd would create a slave state of global proportions. Well, I suppose we'd best pray that it doesn't happen, or buy lots and lots of ammo...

OA
I appreciate your sentiment. It is a fine hope to have.

However, I am not a psychic. I don't read the runes, flip the cards, no crystal ball, no i-ching.
I plan. And in order to plan you have to be able to forecast.
I saw how easily people accepted payment thousands of dollars of their income for a chance at social security even though they know that the risk of death from natural causes begins just before the age of full social security benefits. And the chance of ever receiving what they paid in decreased every year after. And yet people demand it out of fear.
I saw how people accepted payment of thousands of dollars in health insurance even though the chances of any particular individual receiving what they paid in is a long shot, once again out of fear.
And I saw how easily people simply closed their business or stayed away from work or stopped shopping. It is amazing. The government said "would ya'll kindly stay home and go broke" . . . and they did.
People in the government be like "How very cool. I say stay home and lose everything and the idiots did it. Presto"
"I got the powah"
Do you think they are ever going to give the power back? It does not work that way.
The government has 100% complete control of the legal economy.
The majority of people are more concerned with their health than your wealth.
There are few people that can survive outside the government economy.

A famous man once said "you can't roller skate in a buffalo herd"
Plan accordingly
Since this is a prepper site . . . prep accordingly
 

Blacknarwhal

Let's Go Brandon!

coalcracker

Veteran Member
These numbers puzzle me.

1.1MRecovered
133K
Deaths
63,851
Just over a million cases.



133,000 recovered.

64,000 dead.

Where are the other 900,000 cases? All still sick? All still carrying it? Seems like some of these people have "had it" for the last two months now.

Excellent question.
I've decided to disregard all reported numbers as well as all reported future cures. Too much sewage in the water.

Lately I've been prepping for heat for next winter as well as for visits from local authorities or uninvited guests. Let's call it, "home improvement projects." Starting to look further out in time. Sadly, the economic collapse already seems certain, and with it will come many challenges.

Also been thinking about what the second wave of virus might bring. No time to get complacent. Trying to stay out ahead of the curve.
 

poppy

Veteran Member
These numbers puzzle me.

1.1MRecovered
133K
Deaths
63,851
Just over a million cases.



133,000 recovered.

64,000 dead.

Where are the other 900,000 cases? All still sick? All still carrying it? Seems like some of these people have "had it" for the last two months now.

The recovered number is the most under reported stat out there. Many people tested positive but had no or mild symptoms so the doctor just told them to go home and self quarantine for either 10 or 14 days. That was it. No follow up at all. Those people just went on with their lives afterward and aren't reported as recovered.
 

raven

TB Fanatic
Excellent question.
I've decided to disregard all reported numbers as well as all reported future cures. Too much sewage in the water.

Lately I've been prepping for heat for next winter as well as for visits from local authorities or uninvited guests. Let's call it, "home improvement projects." Starting to look further out in time. Sadly, the economic collapse already seems certain, and with it will come many challenges.

Also been thinking about what the second wave of virus might bring. No time to get complacent. Trying to stay out ahead of the curve.
remember to prep for the appearance of compliance which also include daily activities that demonstrate to observers that you are compliance and your verbal narrative. File that under camo or the art of being invisible (worked for the East Germans)
 

Doomer Doug

TB Fanatic
It won't be long before the guns are used, since we are having 2000 a day die here in conus; people are hurting badly, and getting really angry. If/when the powers that be really do try and break up the Chicago street parties, the reaction will be violent
 

Dozdoats

On TB every waking moment

Blacknarwhal

Let's Go Brandon!
OK Folks. Don't forget to get your chimney cleaned for next winter AND fill your propane tank in the spring, both at their lowest price now.

We're on the budget plan out here, where you pay through the year and get lower costs as a result. But even now, prices were down around $1.15 a gallon, so, yeah.
 

Texican

Live Free & Die Free.... God Freedom Country....
It is apparent that this is the quite before the storms hit.

Americans are pissed off at the governors and their peons and .gov. The pot is boiling. When will it oveflow?

Texican....
 

rlm1966

Veteran Member
It is apparent that this is the quite before the storms hit.

Americans are pissed off at the governors and their peons and .gov. The pot is boiling. When will it oveflow?

Texican....
I would suggest that the overflow starts this weekend. Find a state under a hard lock down that has a state next to it that is opening up this weekend. I am guessing that you will be hard pressed to find that those next door say screw this and go on a minor road trip to freedom. This in turn will tick off some of the would be tyrants who will probably issue new decrees as well as tick off small business owners that are watching their dreams die while another state comes to life and let us not forget the lucky businesses that have been blessed by the power that be and have been able to stay open but suddenly see their patrons go to a much greener pasture to spend their meager remaining dollars.

Lots of people to be angry. And then I forgot, those that bought into the urban planning lifestyle that are stuck at home while those that kept their freedom and their vehicles head to the nearest open state to have a decent day out.
 

Plain Jane

Just Plain Jane

COVID-19 Data for Pennsylvania*
* Map, tables, case counts and deaths last updated at 12:00 p.m. on 5/1/2020
Source: Pennsylvania National Electronic Disease Surveillance System (PA-NEDSS) as of 12:00 a.m. on 5/1/2020


Case Counts, Deaths, and Negatives
Total Cases*DeathsNegative
46,9712,354180,477


* Total case counts include confirmed and probable cases.



Hospital Data
Trajectory Animations


Positive Cases by Age Range to Date
Age RangePercent of Cases*
0-4< 1%
5-12< 1%
13-181%
19-246%
25-4938%
50-6427%
65+27%
* Percentages may not total 100% due to rounding


Hospitalization Rates by Age Range to Date
Age RangePercent of Cases
0-292%
30-495%
50-6410%
65-7920%
80+19%



County Case Counts to Date
CountyTotal CasesNegativesDeaths
Adams14015664
Allegheny13191610799
Armstrong526832
Beaver426208567
Bedford 242021
Berks27485620117
Blair239790
Bradford336932
Bucks30558560225
Butler18022086
Cambria3112271
Cameron1500
Carbon181106815
Centre969231
Chester14325440111
Clarion234891
Clearfield164360
Clinton322420
Columbia28962013
Crawford196890
Cumberland349151917
Dauphin601361825
Delaware38489064240
Elk31590
Erie8719122
Fayette8117944
Forest7300
Franklin31329407
Fulton5840
Greene264210
Huntingdon402830
Indiana637264
Jefferson43160
Juniata841481
Lackawanna934250583
Lancaster18207809106
Lawrence657366
Lebanon69426319
Lehigh2850730580
Luzerne2173500992
Lycoming7111191
McKean61670
Mercer657441
Mifflin376850
Monroe1147273554
Montgomery440617509362
Montour4829580
Northampton2103638194
Northumberland955840
Perry322191
Philadelphia1254428278424
Pike383122715
Potter4820
Schuylkill37520696
Snyder332011
Somerset265960
Sullivan1320
Susquehanna842818
Tioga162511
Union375430
Venango72510
Warren11750
Washington11621032
Wayne1025245
Westmoreland393459625
Wyoming211602
York651711111

View as a clickable county or zip code level mapOpens In A New Window

Incidence by County


Incidence%20by%20County.png


Incidence is calculated by dividing the current number of confirmed and probable COVID-19 cases reported to the Department by the 2018 county population data available from the Bureau of Health Statistics. The counties are divided into 6 relatively equally-sized groups based on their incidence rate (i.e. sestiles). Cases are determined using a national COVID-19 case definition. There currently is no way to estimate the true number of infected persons. Incidence rates are based on the number of known cases, not the number of true infected persons.


Case Counts and Deaths by Sex to Date







SexPositive Cases Percent of Cases*Deaths
Female25,45254%1,130
Male20,91845%1,212
Neither20%0
Not reported5991%12
* Percentages may not total 100% due to rounding

Case Counts and Deaths by Race to Date*




RacePositive CasesPercent of Cases** Deaths
African American/Black4,95111%230
Asian5191%26
White10,14422%866
Other219<1%8
Not reported31,13866%1,224
* 67% of race is not reported. Little data is available on ethnicity.
** Percentages may not total 100% due to rounding



Case Counts by Region to Date








RegionPositiveNegativeInconclusive
Northcentral 721824813
Northeast99042719588
Northwest27461549
Southcentral29132198540
Southeast2985584349545
Southwest26293254624

EpiCurve by Region


EpiCurve%20by%20Region.png

Case counts are displayed by the date that the cases were first reported to the PA-NEDSS surveillance system. Case counts by date of report can vary significantly from day to day for a variety of reasons. In addition to changes due to actual changes in disease incidence, trends are strongly influenced by testing patterns (who gets tested and why), testing availability, lab analysis backlogs, lab reporting delays, new labs joining our electronic laboratory reporting system, mass screenings, etc. Trends need to be sustained for at least 2-3 weeks before any conclusions can be made regarding the progress of the pandemic.

COVID-19 Cases Associated with Nursing Homes and Personal Care Homes to Date

Facility CountyNumber of Facilities with CasesNumber of Cases Among ResidentsNumber of Cases Among EmployeesNumber of Deaths
ADAMS11734
ALLEGHENY342969377
ARMSTRONG1440
BEAVER32742360
BERKS194746475
BUCKS46726138164
BUTLER512102
CAMBRIA11.0
CARBON244412
CENTRE23.0
CHESTER284094598
CLARION1110
CLEARFIELD22.0
COLUMBIA2772417
CUMBERLAND31624116
DAUPHIN4991517
DELAWARE42830118177
ERIE4320
FAYETTE13.1
FRANKLIN52652
INDIANA31314
LACKAWANNA133665566
LANCASTER2740610084
LAWRENCE2020
LEBANON33844
LEHIGH223737754
LUZERNE162773360
LYCOMING21430
MERCER11.0
MIFFLIN2110
MONROE81202822
MONTGOMERY77138240288
NORTHAMPTON1347210455
NORTHUMBERLAND1420
PERRY14.0
PHILADELPHIA5113175163
PIKE22345
SCHUYLKILL51710
SUSQUEHANNA344129
WASHINGTON3621
WAYNE1010
WESTMORELAND81303022
YORK4721
PENNSYLVANIA474847810971560
 

naturallysweet

Has No Life - Lives on TB
I would suggest that the overflow starts this weekend. Find a state under a hard lock down that has a state next to it that is opening up this weekend. I am guessing that you will be hard pressed to find that those next door say screw this and go on a minor road trip to freedom. This in turn will tick off some of the would be tyrants who will probably issue new decrees as well as tick off small business owners that are watching their dreams die while another state comes to life and let us not forget the lucky businesses that have been blessed by the power that be and have been able to stay open but suddenly see their patrons go to a much greener pasture to spend their meager remaining dollars.

Lots of people to be angry. And then I forgot, those that bought into the urban planning lifestyle that are stuck at home while those that kept their freedom and their vehicles head to the nearest open state to have a decent day out.
Don't forget to watch all those city people spread the virus across the formerly low virus areas.
If this wasn't real. It would be a comedy of errors.
 

Chance

Veteran Member
Adding my conspiracy theory to the mix.



I received this comment and link to article in libertyheadlines from a friend - it's about Fauci saying there will be a 'resurgence' of the virus - which I've heard him say several times now.

(snip from email)
"Unless he knows something he's not sharing, why is he suggesting a resurgence? Similar coronavirus MERS and SARS did not have a resurgence. Is he just pushing for his holy vaccine, or does he know something else?" (end snip)


I responded:

Maybe Fauci knows something - he's in big with China, Wuhan lab, Bill Gates, WHO, etc....maybe he knows they'll unleash #2 plague that they are working on - the first was #1 plague (COVID-19), this next will be their best engineering effort yet!

This COVID 19 is 'moderately' lethal, and this 2nd one will be a similar coronavirus that is even more incapacitating for anyone that gets it instead of 90% asymptomatic/mild/moderate - I think they have the contagious part figured out.......remember Fauci said back in 2017 at Georgetown University that Trump will "no doubt be confronted with a surprise infectious disease outbreak during his presidency" - he knows something because he's involved!

And he can't keep his mouth shut because he's the big wig now in DC!! But even if people guess what he knows, Fauci knows that won't stop what's coming. Nobody can stop what's coming.

And Event 201 with Gates, Johns Hopkins and World Economic Forum - was an exercise that involved a coronavirus from Brazil that went round the world collapsing governments, economies, health care systems, etc and killing 65 million people - it was an exercise in NYC Oct 2019.

Then China/THEY released their #1 plague, coronavirus.

Interesting timing.

Yep, Trump had a 'surprise' outbreak alright! And now Fauci is predicting a 'resurgence' - but I bet it will be a new and improved coronavirus - more incapacitating, more lethal, just as contagious....

This 'trial run' got things going for them - ruining economies, increasing unemployment, increasing bread lines, getting governments to spend BIG money they don't have, taking down the oil market, stressing/breaking health care systems, getting people use to quarantines/lock downs, and the promise of 'normalcy' IF you take the coming vaccine and the tracking device - all as planned.

Preparing for the 'resurgence'.

Maybe Event 201 was the #2 plague, the super enhanced coronavirus.....
1f631.png


Dr. Fauci Called For Health Emergency Fund Back in 2017, Warned U.S. Would Face a 'Surprise Outbreak'

Giuliani: 'Fauci Gave $3.7 Million to Wuhan Laboratory' in 2014

Just a few thoughts. Don't trust Fauci, NIH, WHO, Bill Gates, etc. They are up to no good. And Fauci is in Bill Gates' pocket. Lockstep on a vaccine.

Chance
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Csxykp00OCo
59:56 min
War Room: Pandemic EP 153 - What's Biden Hidin'? (w/ Jessica Anderson and William McGinley)
•Streamed live 5 hours ago

Bannon WarRoom - Citizens of the American Republic


Raheem Kassa, Jason Miller, and Jack Maxey discuss the latest on the coronavirus pandemic as states begin to open their economies after the "30 Days to Slow the Spread" initiative has now passed. Calling is are Jessica Anderson and William McGinley.


_____________________________________________________

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SvE3F_lCpsQ
1:01:16 min
War Room: Pandemic EP - 154 Sunlit Uplands (w/ Ronny Jackson, Roger Robinson, and Darrell Issa)
•Streamed live 4 hours ago

Bannon WarRoom - Citizens of the American Republic

Raheem Kassam, Jason Miller, and Jack Maxey discuss the latest on the coronavirus pandemic and how the nation will move forward now that the American economy is beginning to open state by state.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WxAEnUCIY_g
34:28 min
Friday 1st May, Global Update
•May 1, 2020

Dr. John Campbell
COVID – 19, Friday 1st May US president, has seen evidence that coronavirus originated at the Wuhan Institute of Virology Office of the director of national intelligence, the Intelligence Community also concurs with the wide scientific consensus that the Covid-19 virus was not manmade or genetically modified

WHO Investigation of origins of coronavirus WHO not invited by China

Virus arrival time Italy, Feb 25th Portugal, March 20th Hungary, March 21st

UK Deaths + 674 = 26, 840 Oxford vaccine trial, now using several UK centres Astra Zeneca Google reports more moving around last weekend

US Cases: 1,069,866 Deaths: 63,014 New York cases: 304,372

New York deaths: 23,587

Georgia To lift state-wide shelter-in-place order for most residents starting tomorrow Brian Kemp, order remained for elderly medically fragile Urged residents to still stay at home as much as possible

I went to Petco this morning, not one employee or customer had a mask on. Nor were there any efforts to maintain social distancing.

Australia App Doesn't track your location or use any kind of geolocation Uses Bluetooth to "ping" the phones of people around you who have the app installed Stores that info with encryption for a rolling period of 21 days to allow for the incubation time of the virus After the 21 days the data is erased Personal info is encrypted on the phone and a unique ID is generated and tied to that user If someone develops symptoms or tests positive, contacts are known Contacts informed and advise them to self-isolation for 14 days. Here's a link to more information.

Germany Cases, Friday + 1,639 Thursday + 1,478 Wednesday 29th + 1,600 Tuesday 28th + 1,200 Monday 27th + 988 Lockdown eased on 27th Sunday 26th + 1,300 Titration

Singapore Cases, + 932 = 17,101

Most among migrant workers, living in dormitory complexes

Just 5 new cases in Singapore nationals Deaths, 15

South Africa Lockdown 10 days after the first case Early lockdown worked Infections will now increase Starting to ease lockdown Townships sharing toilets Weakened by corruption

India Locked down for 6 weeks Stringent controls Checkpoints around the country Spread greatly slowed New Delhi, red zones identified Lockdown ending soon

France Repairing bicycles Temporary bike parking spaces Reduce overcrowding in metros and buses Employers to cover up to 400 euros of travel costs of staff who cycle to work Cycling can contribute to preventing a second wave of the coronavirus pandemic Planning to create new bike lanes by taking space away from car lanes

Russia Record daily rise again Friday + 7, 933 = 114,431 Thursday + 7,099 Deaths + 101 + 93 = 1,69 Deaths doubles in last 8 days Not yet a peak People restricted to homes Lockdown to May 11th

Brazil Deaths + 345 Hospitals overwhelmed Long way to the peak Stigma Limited testing Sao Paulo, digging 13,000 graves
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mUkDe7g2eM0
29:55 min
Friday 1st May Comorbidities and symptoms report
•May 1, 2020

Dr. John Campbell

Risk factors and clinical features https://www.imperial.ac.uk/news/19721... https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.11...

Features of 16,749 hospitalised UK patients with COVID-19 (Imperial college, 28th April) Prospective observational cohort study The largest detailed description of COVID-19 in Europe 166 UK hospitals 6th February to18th April 2020

N = 16,749 people hospitalised with COVID-19 This represents 14.7% of all people who have tested positive for COVID-19 in the UK 239 patients (2.0%) under 18 years 139 patients (1.1%) are under 5 years of age Men 60.2%, women 39.8% Results Median age 72 years IQR 57 – 82 Median duration of symptoms before admission was 4 days IQR 1- 8 Median duration of hospital stay 7 days

Commonest comorbidities Chronic cardiac disease, 29% Uncomplicated diabetes, 19% Non-asthmatic chronic pulmonary disease, 19% Asthma, 14% No documented reported comorbidity, 47%

Increased age and comorbidities including obesity were associated with a higher probability of mortality

Clinical features Cough, 70% Fever 69% Shortness of breath 65% High degree of overlap between the three common symptoms Reported no symptoms, 4% Clusters of symptoms were found 1. The most common symptom cluster encompass the respiratory system: cough, sputum, shortness of breath, fever, sore throat, runny nose, ear pain, wheeze, chest pain 2. Musculoskeletal symptoms: myalgia, joint pain and fatigue 3. Enteric symptoms: abdominal pain, vomiting and diarrhoea 29% of all patients complained of enteric symptoms on admission, mostly in association with respiratory symptoms 4% of all patients described enteric symptoms alone. Outcomes 49% discharged alive 33% died 17% continued to receive care

17% required admission to High Dependency or Intensive Care Units of these 31% were discharged alive 45% died 24% continued to receive care

Of those receiving mechanical ventilation, 20% were discharged alive 53% died 27% remained in hospital Pregnant women 6% Pregnancy was not associated with mortality, in apparent contrast with influenza
 

Bps1691

Veteran Member
These numbers puzzle me.

1.1MRecovered
133K
Deaths
63,851
Just over a million cases.



133,000 recovered.

64,000 dead.

Where are the other 900,000 cases? All still sick? All still carrying it? Seems like some of these people have "had it" for the last two months now.

These are all world wide numbers.

Like every number or statistic made available to the public about this pestilence, nothing ties out!

Not one single source that I've tried to use hashes or over time doesn't change past published data. The estimates all the different sources have put out have been changed to the point of being almost impossible to establish the deviation to be used to forecast forward. I had to go to manually pulling the estimate and putting it into it owns spreadsheet to try to track the error variance.

Listening to different "experts" is no different. How many times have you seen them change their "advice" 180 degrees over just a few weeks?
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0FR217RkDYU
17"04 min
Inside the Johns Hopkins Lab That Developed Its Own COVID-19 Test
•May 1, 2020

Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health

In March, Johns Hopkins Hospital began making its own COVID-19 tests. The lab now has the capacity to run 600 tests per day, but is limited by shortages in the supply of reagents: the chemicals needed to process the tests. Dr. Karen Carroll, director of the Division of Medical Microbiology at Johns Hopkins Hospital talks with Dr. Josh Sharfstein about what it takes to develop a working COVID-19 test, why labs across the US are struggling with shortages, and what needs to happen to fix access to testing.

____________________________

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YVe4tEgGvp4
9:28 min
An Emergency Medicine Expert Answers More of Your COVID-19 Questions
•May 1, 2020

Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health

What makes this virus different from hundreds of other similar viruses? What happens if parents don’t take their children for routine immunizations? Does prone body positioning help ICU patients? Does coronavirus spread best in wet or dry environments? What are randomized control trials and why is everyone talking about them? Is it possible to give someone a tattoo from six feet away? Lauren Sauer, director of Operations with the Johns Hopkins Office of Critical Event Preparedness and Response (CEPAR) and Assistant Professor of Emergency Medicine at Johns Hopkins Medicine, addresses questions submitted to publichealthquestion@jhu.edu
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LWsgbgz5euc
1:33:37 min
COVID-19 Clinical Updates & Lessons Learned So Far
•May 1, 2020

MedCram - Medical Lectures Explained CLEARLY
Join Dr. Seheult of https://www.medcram.com for a coronavirus presentation and a replay of live question/answer sessions. Topics include: immunity, COVID-19 testing, treatment trials (including remdesivir, hydroxychloroquine, and ivermectin), ICU interventions and ventilation, vascular complications (stroke, MI, PE), NSAIDS, the BCG vaccine, Vitamin D, Vitamin C, Quercetin, how SARS-CoV-2 infects, COVID 19 prevention, ACE inhibitors, why children typically get a mild infection, what to expect in coming months, and much more. This event was a joint collaboration between MedCram and Continuing Education Company (CME was provided for the live event).. See all Dr. Seheult's videos at MedCram.com We plan to do more live COVID-19 question/answer sessions soon. Thanks for joining us.
 

Blacknarwhal

Let's Go Brandon!
These are all world wide numbers.

Like every number or statistic made available to the public about this pestilence, nothing ties out!

Not one single source that I've tried to use hashes or over time doesn't change past published data. The estimates all the different sources have put out have been changed to the point of being almost impossible to establish the deviation to be used to forecast forward. I had to go to manually pulling the estimate and putting it into it owns spreadsheet to try to track the error variance.

Listening to different "experts" is no different. How many times have you seen them change their "advice" 180 degrees over just a few weeks?

Actually, those ARE US numbers only.

The WORLD numbers are:

Confirmed
3.3M
Recovered
1.04M
Deaths
235K

Which is just as preposterous.

1.04 million recovered.
235,000 dead

What happened to the remaining two million?
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gzx8LH4Fjic
19:56 min
Coronavirus Pandemic Update 65: COVID-19 and Oxidative Stress (Prevention & Risk Factors)
•May 1, 2020


MedCram - Medical Lectures Explained CLEARLY

COVID-19 Update 65 with critical care specialist and pulmonologist Roger Seheult, MD of https://www.medcram.com

Dr. Seheult breaks down multiple studies that illustrate how oxidative stress (primarily from reactive oxygen species) and endovascular inflammation may play a key role COVID-19 infection severity. The understanding of this pathway may give important guidance for the prevention and treatment of severe coronavirus infections.

Links referenced in this video: COVID-19 Clinical Updates & Lessons Learned So Far with Dr. Seheult - Live Webcast Replay https://youtu.be/LWsgbgz5euc Johns Hopkins - https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html AWR - https://awr.org/health Journal of Thrombosis and Haemostasis - https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/p... NIH - https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/arti... APJAI - http://apjai-journal.org/wp-content/u... American Journal of Physiology - https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/1... Inflammation Research - https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/2... Pathophysiology of Haemostasis and Thrombosis - https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/2... Karger - https://www.karger.com/Article/Abstra... American Journal of Physiology: Regulatory, Integrative and Comparative Physiology - https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/3... Hindawi - http://downloads.hindawi.com/journals... Frontiers - https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/...

 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

30 For 30: 30 Million Jobless Claims vs. 30% Gain in Equity Prices

Fri, 05/01/2020 - 14:40

Submitted by Joseph Carson, Former Chief Economist of Alliance Bernstein

The great divide between finance and the economy rolls on. In the past 6 weeks, jobless claims have increased by 30 million, while the S&P 500 index has increased by more than 30%.

The last decade saw the greatest divide ever between finance and the economy. At the end of 2019, household holdings of equities stood 2 times the level of disposable income, an all-time high.

That divergence between finance (stock market) and the economy was fueled by easy money. To be sure, policymakers kept official rates near zero for roughly half of the 130-month economic expansion. Also, except for a brief 6-month period in early 2019, policymakers kept official rates below the core rate of inflation. Never before in any business cycle has official rates remained below the inflation rate for almost an entire growth cycle.


In 2020, the policy of easy money policy has gone to new heights. On March 23, the Federal Reserve announced plans to make unlimited purchases of financial assets to support the financial markets while also indicating they planned to utilize emergency lending powers.

Artificially evaluating finance over the economy does not guarantee a recovery, while it can also lead to financial instability at some point as asset prices become unhinged to underlying corporate profitability.

Cheap money can create the illusion of recovery, but a policy that results in more debt and inflated asset prices is not a bridge to recovery; it's another bubble.
 

Doomer Doug

TB Fanatic
Kris, why are people assuming corona chan has a definitive stop date? It may just lumber along, 2,000 dead a day, 60,000 a month, for the next 8 months.
The lockdown discipline is withering away, as the incompetence of our leaders is revealed more each day. Starve or die by virus?
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
Government Is On The Hook To Forgive Hundreds Of Billions In PPP Loans, Has No Idea How They'll Do It

Fri, 05/01/2020 - 12:28

As with any piss-broke society that functions purely by taking on massive amounts of debt via money printing to try and keep itself afloat, the next obvious step after Central Banks make "loans" by printing money, is inevitable defaults.

It looks like that's exactly what the U.S. government is now gearing up for with regards to loans they made just weeks ago and are continuing to make.

The administration's Small Business Administration’s Paycheck Protection Program launched its second round on Monday, which allowed lenders to issue forgivable government guaranteed loans to small businesses affected by the coronavirus outbreak. Or, maybe just to anyone that fills out an application. We don't really know - the oversight has been a bit shaky to say the least, thus far.
Regardless, the key element to the loan program (it's hilarious to even call them "loans") is the idea that the loans can be forgiven. After all, if given the choice to pay back your loan or have the government forgive it, which would you choose?



Exactly. And that's why "smoothing the forgiveness process is critical for the program to succeed," according to Reuters. But the program is that the government hasn't issued any guidelines and exactly how to go about getting the loans forgiven.

Plus, we think this will likely mean the obvious: we'll have fraud from both people who received the loans and from those who will eventually turn back to the government to have them "forgiven".

Paul Merski, an executive at the Independent Community Bankers of America said: “Probably every PPP borrower expects their loan to be forgiven, but it is not that simple. There are rules and regulation to consider. So the borrower best have their information and paperwork in order.”

Ah, yes. The rock-solid compliance step of good old fashioned paperwork.

The terms of forgiveness for the loans are relatively simple:
"...borrowers must spend 75% of the loan on payroll costs, such as salaries, tips, leave, severance pay and health insurance, within the first two months. The remaining 25% can be spent on other running costs, such as rent and utilities. Money spent on non-qualifying expenses must be repaid at an annual rate of 1% within two years."
But trying to come up with partial forgiveness sums will be difficult, banker say. There are plenty of grey areas, including what happens when employees have to be rehired and how (inevitable) misuse of funds will be tracked and punished.
Recall, yesterday, we reported that preliminary inquiry into loans granted under the Paycheck Protection Program (PPP) has revealed early signs of fraud among businesses seeking funds.

Chris Giamo, head of the commercial bank at TD Bank in New York said: “I do think it could become a little bit complex, because with every answer there’s another question.”

The Treasury Department hasn't even gone as far as making one standard forgiveness form, which banks are now pushing for. And banks don't really seem to want to even be a part of the equation.

David Pommerehn, general counsel of the Consumer Bankers Association said: “From a banking perspective, we are really acting as a middleman here. We don’t want to carry these loans on our books. We see this as potentially a bigger mess than the funding process.”

Business owners are confused, too. Josh Mason, founder of Maryland catering company Vittles Catering, said his bank warned him about eligibility for forgiveness, saying the process was "not yet clear".
“I have read all the guidelines, but I wouldn’t be able to say exactly how much will be forgiven and not forgiven. I think that ambiguity is going to create a little bit of a mess when all of this comes to a close,” Mason concluded.
Meanwhile...
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

US Manufacturing Surveys Show Record Collapse In Output, Orders, & Jobs

Fri, 05/01/2020 - 10:05

Following the utter devastation across all regional Fed surveys, it should be no surprise that this morning's national manufacturing surveys (ISM and Markit) are a disaster.
  • Markit US Manufacturing 36.1 - 11-year low (weaker than expected and worse than the flash print)
  • PMI US Manufacturing 41.5 - 11 year lows (but better than the 36.0 expected due to the farcical surge in supplier delivery times)
April data signaled an unprecedented contraction in production across the U.S. manufacturing sector, overwhelmingly linked to measures implemented to contain the COVID-19 outbreak. Factory closures were widely reported and the frequent cancellation or postponement of orders resulted in the largest monthly drop in the new orders index on record. Spare capacity across the sector and pessimism about the year ahead meanwhile resulted in the fastest fall in employment since March 2009, despite efforts to furlough staff. Both input costs and output charges fell sharply as companies and their suppliers offered discounts to boost sales.

The headline reading was the lowest for just over eleven years...


Source: Bloomberg

Which confirms the collapse in regional Fed surveys...

Source: Bloomberg

New orders, employment and inventories fall at steepest rates since the global financial crisis and worse still, output expectations turn negative for first time in the series history.

ISM Manufacturing Employment crashed to a record low...


Of course, the PMI data continues to suffer from the farcical misinterpretation of a spike in supplier delivery times as a 'positive' thing - as opposed to being a terrible negative due to the global breakdown in supply chains caused by the pandemic and its concommitant economic lockdowns. A record collapse in new orders (and employment) and record surge in supplier delivery times.



Source: Bloomberg
What's wrong with that picture?

Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at IHS Markit said:
"April saw the manufacturing sector struck hard by the COVID-19 pandemic, with output falling to an extent surpassing that seen even at the height of the global financial crisis. With orders collapsing at a rate not seen for over a decade, supply chains disrupted to a record degree and pessimism about the outlook hitting a new survey high, rising numbers of firms are culling payroll numbers.

Consumer facing businesses are being hit by slumping demand from households as April saw widespread lockdowns, but business spending on inputs and equipment has also tumbled as companies slash production and investment.

Smaller firms are being hit the hardest, and also reporting the highest job losses, but large firms are also seeing the sharpest downturn on record.
And as for hope, it's not about to get any better...


As Williamson concluded, “with infection curves showing signs of flattening, it is naturally hoped that the economic downturn will also bottom-out. As restrictions are lifted, demand should gradually revive, but the trade-off between risking a second wave of infections and bringing the economy back to life looks set to be one of the greatest challenges faced by policy- and lawmakers in recent history. The process will inevitably be led by caution, meaning recovery will also be frustrating slow."
 

Masterchief117

I'm all about the doom
Frankly, I hope to NEVER see "The healthcare, surrender your rights, crowd will. Judge Roberts proved that in 2012. They usurped their authority over you property by calling it your shared responsibility and everyone caved" happen. That crowd would create a slave state of global proportions. Well, I suppose we'd best pray that it doesn't happen, or buy lots and lots of ammo...

OA
Keep buying lots of ammo.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

Association Of American Physicians Says 'Trump-Touted' Drug Has 90% Chance Of Helping COVID-19 Patients

Fri, 05/01/2020 - 09:13

Via The Association of American Physicians and Surgeons,

In a letter to Gov. Doug Ducey of Arizona, the Association of American Physicians and Surgeons (AAPS) presents a frequently updated table of studies that report results of treating COVID-19 with the anti-malaria drugs chloroquine (CQ) and hydroxychloroquine (HCQ, Plaquenil®).

To date, the total number of reported patients treated with HCQ, with or without zinc and the widely used antibiotic azithromycin, is 2,333, writes AAPS, in observational data from China, France, South Korea, Algeria, and the U.S.

Of these, 2,137 or 91.6 percent improved clinically.

There were 63 deaths, all but 11 in a single retrospective report from the Veterans Administration where the patients were severely ill.

The antiviral properties of these drugs have been studied since 2003.

Particularly when combined with zinc, they hinder viral entry into cells and inhibit replication. They may also prevent overreaction by the immune system, which causes the cytokine storm responsible for much of the damage in severe cases, explains AAPS. HCQ is often very helpful in treating autoimmune diseases such as lupus and rheumatoid arthritis.

Additional benefits shown in some studies, AAPS states, is to decrease the number of days when a patient is contagious, reduce the need for ventilators, and shorten the time to clinical recovery.

Peer-reviewed studies published from January through April 20, 2020, provide clear and convincing evidence that HCQ may be beneficial in COVID-19, especially when used early, states AAPS. Unfortunately, although it is perfectly legal to prescribe drugs for new indications not on the label, the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) has recommended that CQ and HCQ should be used for COVID-19 only in hospitalized patients in the setting of a clinical study if available. Most states are making it difficult for physicians to prescribe or pharmacists to dispense these medications.

As the letter to Gov. Ducey notes,
“Many nations, including Turkey and India, are protecting medical workers and contacts of infected persons prophylactically. According to worldometers.info, deaths per million persons from COVID-19 as of Apr 27 are 167 in the U.S., 33 in Turkey, and 0.6 in India.”
After Morocco and Algeria began using HCQ, a trend break and sharp reduction in their COVID-19 case fatality rate occurred.

Vaccines and results of randomized double-blind controlled trials of new drugs are at best months away. But patients are dying now, while affordable, long-used drugs would be available except for government restrictions, AAPS states.

The Association of American Physicians and Surgeons (AAPS) has represented physicians of all specialties in all states since 1943. The AAPS motto is omnia pro aegroto, meaning everything for the patient.

...time for Twitter and Facebook to ban/block/suspend more of America's physicians and surgeons...
 
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