USA Econ/Pol - Middle class is disappearing in California as wealth gap grows: The Hill

Housecarl

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https://thehill.com/opinion/finance...isappearing-in-california-as-wealth-gap-grows

Middle class is disappearing in California as wealth gap grows

By Kristin Tate, opinion contributor — 10/24/18 12:00 PM EDT
1,696 Comments
The views expressed by contributors are their own and not the view of The Hill

California made major news this month, surpassing Britain and reclaiming a valuable economic marker as the fifth largest economy in the world. Its post-recession growth is accelerating under President Trump’s administration and the state even turned in a modest surplus.

However, the state remains one of the most unequal in the nation — one that has both billions of dollars in Silicon Valley and rampant homelessness. The Golden State’s efforts to eliminate poverty instead accentuates it, and its tax system inadvertently aids those who are already wealthy. With the middle class leaving in droves, California’s society represents a neo-feudal mix of robber barons and poor. It’s an unsustainable mixture.

California has a gross domestic product of more than $2.7 trillion. This represents about 13.9 percent of the national U.S. economy. The topline numbers are a bit misleading, as the state represents a similar 12.1 percent of the national population.

California represented the world’s fifth largest economy before the recession, falling to 10th largest in 2012 while growing at an anemic 0.1 percent per year. The state has been fortunate to be the center of the tech and internet sectors, which represent almost 10 percent of the total. Part of the growth was due to a rapidly expanding real estate sector, which heavily benefits wealthy residents.

With the mega-rich and upper class driving the state’s economy, California is unique in its ability to leave the rest of the population behind. After factoring for costs of living, California is the poorest state in the union. An average of 13.9 percent of Americans were below the poverty line in the Census Bureau’s Supplemental Poverty Measure — California was at 19 percent, well over Alabama’s 14 percent. The supplemental measure not only factors in housing costs but families' well-being after programs like food stamps and housing assistance.

Altogether, the state government has made life for poor and middle class Californians nearly unbearable.

How? California renters pay an average of $1,447 per month, compared to the $1,012 national average. In 2015 more than 40 percent of Californians spent over 30 percent of their income on housing. Today, 29 percent of them spend over half their earnings on housing. The median home value, at $529,000, is more than double the national median of $239,800. Residents who can afford rent or a mortgage are on the hook for electricity rates — burdened by green initiatives and over-regulation — that grew 500 percent faster than the national average from 2011 to 2017.

NIMBY, or “Not in My Backyard,” development and construction restrictions mean that California cities are much more expensive for the poor, with Los Angeles having the highest proportion of income going towards rent in the nation. The state and its cities use environmental and zoning laws to restrict housing, which often disallows large-scale development of apartments. The result? Less access for middle class residents.

Fewer than 40 percent of nonwhite and non-Asian students meet the state's educational standards with a staggering percentage of education spending going towards administration instead of the classroom. From 2011-2016 the state increased spending on administration over double what it spent on teacher pay.

The state’s employee system disincentivizes government thrift and saddles taxpayers with debt that outstrips the national average. A private sector employee would have to save $2.6 million to receive the same retirement as a California Highway Patrol officer. In addition to California’s burdensome income tax, the state is home to the highest sales tax in the nation and property tax rates that disproportionately punish the poor.

Traditional left-wing prescriptions simply haven't worked in the state, which the Los Angeles Times dubbed the “poverty capital” of the country. Housing vouchers increase the cost of living. The number of uninsured in California fell by more than half after the state expanded Medicaid, yet poverty remains near historic highs. California spends the third most per capita on welfare programs, yet the state’s economy fails for poor and working class people.

Despite having just 12 percent of the country's population, as noted above, the state represents nearly a third of the population on welfare. Federal taxpayers shell out over half of the $6.7 billion in the CalWorks welfare-to-work program. In Texas, 6 percent of families under the poverty line receive welfare — in California the figure is 66 percent. Texas’s supplemental poverty rate is a quarter less than California’s.

The combination of government overreach and ineffective program creates a brutal dichotomy of very rich and often very poor. California is the 4th most unequal state in the union, and is home to astonishing homelessness that includes diseases at camps like typhus and hepatitis. The number of homeless people in the state increased nearly 14 percent from 2016 to 2017 to over 130,000. Silicon Valley, the playground for the ultra-rich, also saw 132 homeless deaths on the street in 2016. Mark Zuckerberg is worth $70 billion while San Franciscans have an app that helps them track human feces on the sidewalk.

In many ways, California has long been an example for the rest of the nation. But the middle-class conservatism that propelled national figures like former Presidents Nixon and Reagan is gone. It’s been replaced with virtue signaling and policies by the rich that hurt struggling families. And both sides of the coin — from technology executives to families unable to pay rent — vote for Democrats that only make the problem worse.

California’s robber barons and artificially high real estate values brought its economy back to the world’s fifth largest. However, for the average person, Sacramento represents systemic social, political and economic failure.

Kristin Tate is a libertarian writer and author of “How Do I Tax Thee? A Field Guide to the Great American Rip-Off.” Follow her on Twitter @KristinBTate.
 

MinnesotaSmith

Membership Revoked
Re California governmental pensions...

They're at best about 70% funded, and that's using the overly optimistic 7% fund investment growth rate prediction they've been using for a while now. The Feds use 5.25%, I believe. IL and NJ are under 30%.:fl2:

Arguably, they should have to do "mark to market" on their pensions. That would entail in part IMO:

1) using honest fund growth rates, going back to the beginning of the Great Depression (it took over 30 years to break even in stocks from then, I think);

2) only showing possible pension payouts based on current pension funding;

3) using Shadow Stats inflation figures.

Oh, and re housing there? It should be typical for companies to feel compelled to provide it (at normal rates, defined as Omaha or Des Moines) for employees, with an option to stay in the housing post-employment at those rates for at least as long as the job lasted. You'd see the companies a LOT more concerned about housing in CA then.
 
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Melodi

Disaster Cat
Eventually, companies are going to find out that it takes more than super-hot IT workers and a few professionals to keep things going; even the mild climate and nice scenery won't mean squat when nurses, firefighters, teachers, secretaries, office managers, bank employees etc can't afford to live there and the corporations wake up to find that most of them have left the State.

They can build gated communities and "Company Towns" (that is already starting to happen) but from what I saw of the Central Vally a few years ago and posted here as "Dead Valley Days" the poverty levels and homeless issue (which directly affected my family) are getting so bad that it may feel worse than living in a feudal enclave in the Middle Ages.

Sure you may feel safe teaching in a private school while living at "the King's" Court(aka insert name of giant company here or whomever) but what happens if you want to walk outside and the highways and bi-ways are too dangerous to ride or walk on because so many desperate people are waiting out there?

That won't be the first time in human history this has happened, and today Big Companies are perfectly capable of picking up and moving (which they are starting to do); California will always have some population because of its mild climate and other resources (if your homeless, better to be where it is warm in Winter than 10 below zero) but there are other nice places in the world that are harsh to live in.

On the other hand, things were really bad there in the 1930's too and they managed to get better again; I miss a lot of things about the place as it was but not what I saw on my last trip and that was about four years ago.

I may need to go visit next Summer and if so, will report back here again.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
Most of history saw a primarily two class system. It was not until the small businessmen began to blossom that we saw a middle class.
 

Richard

TB Fanatic
Ok so what is the answer to this situation? Look CA is so huge that it doesn't suffer from the constricted policies of Europe regarding housing and development. You have the space to develop new communities and industry without breaking the bank.
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
Ok so what is the answer to this situation? Look CA is so huge that it doesn't suffer from the constricted policies of Europe regarding housing and development. You have the space to develop new communities and industry without breaking the bank.

Between the limitations on water, transportation and power infrastructure (all self inflicted by the Dems running the place who're oozing Agenda 21 when they can't scam something else), that's not happening. I'm here, I know (and as a 4th generation native I want my state back!).
 

MinnesotaSmith

Membership Revoked
Ok so what is the answer to this situation?

I suggest looking at the French and Russian Revolutions for historical precedents.

Lebanon, with its differential birth rates between the Christians and Muslims gives some guidance as well, to show what happens with population replacement in a semi- (at least for awhile) peaceful pattern.
 
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