ALERT RUSSIA INVADES UKRAINE - Consolidated Thread

Well the snark factor is off the charts today. I will go back to binge watching my Jeremy Brett playing Sherlock Holmes circa 1985 -1995 on youtube.

My comments on the Ukraine are as follows.

1: It was always about NATO moving East after 1992. Do it and Russia will use a full military response up to WW3.

2. They made this clear in 2000 when he came to power as a Russian Nationalist/Populist. We have never taken him seriously.

3. The USA is a marxist dictator ship run by fools and traitors.

4. The EU the same.

5. The Ukraine is worse under zippy the thug with his piano

6. Putin is SERIOUS about using nukes, cyber warfare or MOAB fuel air bombs in CONUS. DID I mention the demon crats are fools and TRAITORS?

We also face IMMINENT violence from blm and antifa over SCOTUS between now and November along with a chinese invasion of both Taiwan and CONUS.

Trust in the spirit. It is all we can do now.

Why does it seem like the news coming out of Ukraine has slowed down so much?

A few more points.
1. The Ukraine has been defeated militarily and reduced to blowing up a tank or plane here and there. Zippy is like Hitler in a downfall clip ranting about sending four planes to attack the entire Russian airforce.
2. The Russians own Donabas and Lucash.
3. The Russians will soon own everything east of the Dniepper River.
4. The Russians will soon own the coastline to Moldava.
5. The Russians have won and are crushing the ukies.
6. The USA is being stripped naked for the Chinese invasion. Yep 4000 javelin's per year ready in 2 years guarantees a decisive military defeat in CONUS. Li is laughing. Prepare to defend your marxist ass comrade. The rest of us will just be shot.

Posted for fair use.....

PUTIN’S VICTORY DAY SPEECH FORGOES AN OPPORTUNITY TO ESCALATE RUSSIA’S INVASION OF UKRAINE
May 9, 2022 - Press ISW

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Key Takeaways:

• Russian President Vladimir Putin used his May 9 speech to praise ongoing Russian efforts in Ukraine and reinforce existing Kremlin framing rather than announcing a change. He did not announce an escalation or declare victory in the Russian war in Ukraine.
• Putin likely calculated that he could not ask the Russian population for a greater commitment to the war effort and implicitly reassured the Russian people that he would not ask for a greater societal commitment in his speech.
• Putin may be recognizing the growing risks he faces at home and in Ukraine and may be adjusting his objectives, and his desired end state in Ukraine, accordingly.
• The Kremlin has already scaled down its objectives in Ukraine (from its initial objective of capturing Kyiv and full regime change) and will likely do so again—or be forced to do so by Ukrainian battlefield successes.
• Regardless of any change—or lack thereof—in the Kremlin's objectives, Putin’s speech indicates that the Kremlin has likely decided to maintain its current level of resourcing in the war.
• The Kremlin attempted to demonstrate the alleged popularity of its occupation of eastern Ukraine through forced Victory Day celebrations in occupied Ukrainian territories.

Russian President Vladimir Putin used his May 9 speech to praise ongoing Russian efforts in Ukraine and reinforce existing Kremlin framing rather than announce a change. He did not announce an escalation or declare victory in the Russian war in Ukraine.[1] May 9, Victory Day, is Russia’s most important patriotic holiday and commemorates the Soviet victory in the Second World War, known in Russia as the Great Patriotic War. Putin’s much-anticipated speech was a ready-made opportunity for him to alter the Kremlin’s current framing of the war in Ukraine or announce a policy change. Putin had three general options for his Victory Day address: declare some sort of Russian victory, make a policy change to ramp up the war effort in some way (such as by calling for a larger-scale mobilization or formally declaring war on Ukraine), or what he chose—to pursue a steady state narrative and reinforce the Kremlin’s existing framing (and resourcing) of the war.
Many Western officials and analysts speculated that Putin would formally declare war on Ukraine to enable a larger-scale mobilization.[2] Instead, the Kremlin’s framing of Victory Day celebrations reiterated existing Kremlin justifications for the war and drew on purported historical parallels between the Second World War and the Kremlin‘s framing of its invasion of Ukraine. Putin reinforced each of the Kremlin’s core (and patently false) narratives attempting to justify its unprovoked invasion of Ukraine: that Ukraine is a Nazi state; that the United States and NATO refused to acknowledge Russia‘s security concerns and provoked the war; and that the Ukrainian government was preparing an imminent attack and genocide against Russian speakers in eastern Ukraine. He did not introduce any new justifications for the conflict, nor did he ask for a greater commitment from the Russian military or population.
Putin bizarrely framed Nazi Germany and modern-day Ukraine as equal Nazi threats to Russia’s security. He relied heavily on present-tense language as he congratulated servicemembers who fought in World War 2 and who “these days … are fighting for our people in Donbas. For the security of our Motherland—Russia.” Putin celebrated the participation of “fighters of different nationalities” and “the great, indestructible strength of our united multinational people,” recognizing the Russian proxy fighters from the Donetsk and Luhansk People’s Republics and implicitly recognizing fighters from other Russian proxy separatist regions like South Ossetia.
Putin implicitly reassured the Russian population that he would not ask them for a greater commitment to the war effort. Putin likely calculates that he cannot ask the Russian people to mobilize without triggering a destabilizing backlash against his regime. Putin could have used Victory Day as a rallying cry to declare a larger mobilization. However, backlash from large-scale mobilization could destabilize Putin’s regime, whereas current levels of commitment appear to be acceptable to the Russian population—or at least generating controllable levels of discontent. Public opinion polling from Russia’s independent Levada Center in mid-April indicated that 80% of Russians supported Russia’s military activities in Ukraine, but only 50% strongly supported the war, and 31% of all Russians felt “anxiety, fear, and horror” relating to the invasion.[3] Western sanctions will likely increasingly impact Russian citizens in the coming months, limiting the enthusiasm of the general population to make greater sacrifices for the war effort. Putin likely also faces internal discontent from Russian elites and security forces, and the war has degraded the military that would defend his regime from large-scale domestic unrest.[4] Putin likely factored these calculations into his decision to pursue a steady-state approach to the war, rather than an escalatory mobilization.
The Kremlin also attempted to demonstrate the alleged popularity of its occupation of eastern Ukraine through contrived Victory Day celebrations in occupied Ukrainian territories. Russian forces and occupation officials likely compelled Ukrainian civilians to participate in Victory Day events across occupied Ukraine in parallel with over 15,000 Victory Day events across the Russian Federation.[5] Events in occupied territories included commemorative ceremonies, broadcasts of Putin’s parade and speech in Moscow, and Immortals Regiment marches commemorating veterans of the Second World War.[6] Occupation authorities in Kherson claimed that they prevented multiple ”provocations” and established checkpoints around the city to prevent Ukrainian counter-demonstrations.[7] The Ukrainian Armed Forces General Staff reported that Russian forces seized the personal identification documents of civilians in occupied Zaporizhia and promised to return the documents only if those civilians attended the demonstrations.[8] Ukrainian media reported that Russian forces brought people from Crimea and Luhansk to participate in a Victory Day event in Melitopol, and the Ukrainian mayor of Melitopol denied that any Melitopol residents participated in the event.[9]
Putin may be recognizing the growing risks he faces at home and in Ukraine and may be adjusting his objectives, and his desired end state in Ukraine, accordingly. Putin may still announce a full or partial mobilization in the future and has not given up his ability to do so. May 9 would have been an opportune time to announce a new policy or declare victory in Ukraine, but the Kremlin was certainly not bound to this date. Putin may also pursue a more covert mobilization, such as forcing conscripts into contract soldier positions or forcing public servants into conscription, to avoid the likely backlash to a larger-scale mobilization effort.
The Kremlin has already scaled down its objectives in Ukraine (from its initial objective of capturing Kyiv and full regime change) and will likely do so again—or be forced to do so by Ukrainian battlefield successes. Putin will likely seek the complete occupation and securitization of Ukraine’s Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts and large swathes of southern Ukraine, including Mariupol, Zaporizhia, and Kherson, which Russia may then annex. The Kremlin will likely announce sham referendums calling for the independence or ascension to Russia of Russian-occupied Ukrainian territories in the coming weeks. The fact that the Kremlin has not yet done so suggests that it may still hope to gain additional territory in Ukraine, or that it has not yet achieved sufficient securitization of occupied areas.
Regardless of any change—or lack thereof—in the Kremlin's objectives, Putin’s speech indicates that the Kremlin has likely decided to maintain its current level of resourcing in the war. That level of investment is unlikely to be sufficient to achieve the Kremlin’s objectives for the current, second phase of the war (capturing the entirety of Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts and holding its occupied territory in southern Ukraine). However, it is unclear if the Kremlin understands that reality, and the war remains likely to protract
[1] http://kremlin dot ru/events/president/news/68366
[2] https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/putin-planned-russias-victory-day-rcn...
[3] What Russians think of the war in Ukraine, according to an independent pollster; The conflict with Ukraine
[4] Subscribe to read | Financial Times; Could Putin actually fall?; https://www.cnn.com/2022/04/29/europe/russian-oligarchs-suicides-intl/in...
[5] https://tass dot ru/obschestvo/14584655;
[6] https://tass dot ru/obschestvo/14582197; https://riafan dot ru/23189040-zhiteli_osvobozhdennogo_energodara_smotryat_translyatsiyu_parada_pobedi_v_moskve;
[7] https://tass dot ru/mezhdunarodnaya-panorama/14582825; https://www.cnn.com/europe/live-news/russia-ukraine-war-news-05-07-22/h_...
[8] https://www.unian dot net/war/voyna-v-ukraine-2022-okkupanty-otbirayut-dokumenty-u-ukraincev-novosti-vtorzheniya-rossii-na-ukrainu-11818641.html
[9] https://hromadske dot ua/posts/mer-melitopolya-zayaviv-sho-zhiteli-ne-svyatkuyut-9-travnya-z-okupantami-propagandistski-zmi-povidomlyayut-pro-urochistosti; https://www dot unian.net/war/9-maya-rf-svezla-v-melitopol-tysyachi-lyudey-iz-kryma-i-luganska-foto-novosti-vtorzheniya-rossii-na-ukrainu-11819592.html

Posted for fair use.....

RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE CAMPAIGN ASSESSMENT, MAY 9
May 9, 2022 - Press ISW

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Russian forces continue to face widespread force generation challenges. A senior US defense official stated on May 9 that the US has not observed any indicators of a “new major Russian mobilization” and that members of the private military company Wagner Group “urgently” requested hundreds of thousands of additional troops to reinforce Russian efforts in Donbas.[1] The official noted that Russia currently has 97 battalion tactical groups (BTGs) in Ukraine, but that BTGs have been moving in and out of Ukraine to refit and resupply, suggesting that Russian troops continue to sustain substantial damage in combat.[2] ISW has previously assessed that most Russian BTGs are heavily degraded and counting BTGs is not a useful metric of Russian combat power.[3] The Main Ukrainian Intelligence Directorate (GUR) claimed that under-trained, ill-equipped Russian conscripts are still being sent into active combat despite the Kremlin denying this practice.[4] A prisoner of war from the BARS-7 detachment of the Wagner Group claimed that a ”covert mobilization” is underway in Russian to send conscripts to clean damage caused by combat in the self-proclaimed Donetsk and Luhansk People’s Republics.[5]
Russian troops in Ukraine continue to display low morale and poor discipline as fighting in many areas has stalled out against Ukrainian resistance. A senior US defense official claimed that Russian troops in Donbas are failing to obey orders from top generals.[6] Russian forces deployed to the Zaporizhzhia area reportedly are experiencing very low morale and psychological conditions, complain about the ineffectiveness of operations in the area, frequently abuse alcohol, and shoot at their own vehicles in order to avoid going to the frontline.[7] This is consistent with reports made by the Ukrainian General Staff that the extent of Russian losses is having widespread impacts on the willingness of Russian troops to engage in offensive operations.[8]
Russian authorities are likely setting conditions to integrate occupied Ukrainian territories directly into Russia, as opposed to creating proxy “People’s Republics.” The Kherson occupation Deputy Chairman of Military Civil Administration Kirill Stremousov stated on May 9 that the Kherson region intends to become part of Russia and that Kherson authorities do not intend to hold a referendum to create an independent republic.[9] Spokesperson for the Ukrainian Defense Ministry Oleksandr Motuzyanyk reported that Russian occupation authorities are intensifying reconnaissance measures and increasing checkpoints and patrols in occupied areas in order to prepare to integrate these regions directly into Russia.[10] Motuzyanyk noted that Russian and Crimean groups have been arriving to occupied regions to intensify propaganda measures to prepare for integration. ISW will publish our assessment of the Kremlin’s most likely course of actions towards their occupied territories in Ukraine in the coming days.
Key Takeaways

• Russian forces did not make any confirmed advances to the southeast or southwest of Izyum on May 9 but are likely attempting to concentrate the forces necessary to resume offensive operations in the coming days.
• Russian forces made marginal gains around Severodonetsk in the past 24 hours.
• Russian forces are likely continuing to amass troops in Belgorod Oblast to stop Ukrainian counterattacks around Kharkiv City from reaching the Ukrainian-Russian border.
• Russian units in Zaporizhia Oblast are regrouping and will likely receive reinforcements from forces previously deployed in Mariupol.
• The Kremlin continues to face severe force mobilization challenges, and ongoing “covert mobilization” efforts are unlikely to generate substantial combat power.
• Russian authorities are likely setting conditions to integrate occupied Ukrainian territories directly into Russia, as opposed to creating proxy “People’s Republics.”

We do not report in detail on Russian war crimes because those activities are well-covered in Western media and do not directly affect the military operations we are assessing and forecasting. We will continue to evaluate and report on the effects of these criminal activities on the Ukrainian military and population and specifically on combat in Ukrainian urban areas. We utterly condemn these Russian violations of the laws of armed conflict, Geneva Conventions, and humanity even though we do not describe them in these reports.
ISW has updated its assessment of the five primary efforts Russian forces are engaged in at this time:

• Main effort—Eastern Ukraine (comprised of one subordinate and four supporting efforts);
• Subordinate main effort- Encirclement of Ukrainian troops in the cauldron between Izyum and Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts
• Supporting effort 1 — Mariupol;
• Supporting effort 2—Kharkiv City;
• Supporting effort 3—Southern axis;
• Supporting effort 4—Sumy and northeastern Ukraine.

Main effort—Eastern Ukraine
Subordinate Main Effort— Southern Kharkiv, Donetsk, Luhansk Oblasts (Russian objective: Encircle Ukrainian forces in Eastern Ukraine and capture the entirety of Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts, the claimed territory of Russia’s proxies in Donbas)
Russian forces did not make any confirmed advances to the southeast or southwest of Izyum on May 9 but are likely attempting to concentrate the forces necessary to resume offensive operations in the coming days. Russian troops are likely reprioritizing a push southeast of Izyum towards Slovyansk after focusing on advancing southwest to Barvinkove in the past few weeks. The Ukrainian General Staff stated that elements of the Russian Airborne Forces (VDV), 1st Tank Army, 20th Combined Arms Army of the Western Military District, and 29th, 35th, 36th Combined Arms Armies and 68th Army Corps of the Eastern Military District are preparing for an offensive south of Sulyivka (about 25 kilometers south of Izyum) towards Nova Dmytrivka and Kurulka, both of which lie within 10 kilometers of the border between Kharkiv and Donetsk Oblasts.[11] A senior US defense official notably reported that Russian forces are conducting artillery strikes and ground attacks southeast of Izyum to drive towards Lyman and Slovyansk, but that Ukrainian resistance in this area has confined Russian advances to gains in the "single digits” of miles.[12]


Russian forces continued attacks westward in Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts and made marginal gains around Severodonetsk on May 9. Troops of the self-proclaimed Luhansk People’s Republic (LNR) reportedly captured Nyzhnje and are fighting for control of Toshkivka, about 25 kilometers southeast of Severodonetsk.[13] Ukrainian sources reported fierce fighting around Rubizhne and Vojevodivka, immediately to the north of Severodonetsk and in Bilohorivka, about 25 kilometers west of Severodonetsk.[14] NASA’s Fire Information for Resource Management System (FIRMS) imagery showed fires in the area west of Severodonetsk around Bilohorivka, Pryvillya and Novodruzhesk, likely indicating that Russian forces are shelling Ukrainian positions in this area in order to encircle Severodonesk and Rubizhne from the west and continue to push towards the Donetsk Oblast border.[15]



Continued.....

Continued.....

Supporting Effort #1—Mariupol (Russian objective: Capture Mariupol and reduce the Ukrainian defenders)
Russian forces continued to conduct artillery strikes and assaults against Ukrainian defenders in the Azovstal Steel Plant on May 9.[16] A senior US defense official reported that 2 Russian battalion tactical groups (BTGs) remain in Mariupol and continue to storm Azovstal as over a dozen of the BTGs previously deployed to Mariupol are moving into other areas in Donbas, though ISW cannot independently confirm the actual strength of these reported BTGs.[17] Russian forces reportedly blew up a bridge in the northern part of the Azovstal complex previously used to evacuate civilians, indicating that Russian troops have advanced into the northern part of the plant.[18] Russian occupying forces conducted a “Victory Day” parade in Mariupol on May 9, consistent with ISW’s previous forecasts that the city is a focal point of the Kremlin’s occupation narrative.[19]


Supporting Effort #2—Kharkiv City (Russian objective: Retain positions on the outskirts of Kharkiv within artillery range of the city and prevent further Ukrainian counterattacks)
Russian forces are likely continuing to amass troops in Belgorod Oblast to stop Ukrainian counterattacks around Kharkiv City from reaching the Ukrainian-Russian border.[20] A senior US defense official said on May 9 that Russian forces have not abandoned efforts to encircle Kharkiv City from the north and east in “a horseshoe-like shape,” despite having only three battalion tactical groups (BTGs) operating in northern Kharkiv Oblast.[21] The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Russian forces accumulated 19 BTGs in Belgorod Oblast, which could reinforce the Kharkiv City axis.[22]
ISW cannot confirm if Russian forces withdrew past Ruski Tyshky, a settlement approximately 18 northeast kilometers of Kharkiv City.[23] The senior US defense official said that Ukrainian forces pushed Russian forces nearly 48 kilometers east in the past week, likely referring to the Ukrainian liberation of Staryi Saltiv on May 2.[24] Pro-Russian Telegram channels posted images of Victory Day celebrations in occupied Kozacha Lopan, despite previous unconfirmed reports that Ukrainian forces were fighting near the settlement on May 7.[25]


Supporting Effort #3—Southern Axis (Objective: Defend Kherson against Ukrainian counterattacks)
Russian forces did not conduct any confirmed offensive operations in southern Ukraine on May 9 but continued to shell and launch missile strikes to pin Ukrainian troops and prevent them from transferring to other axes.[26] The Ukrainian Genral Staff reported that Russian units in Zaporizhia Oblast are regrouping and will likely receive reinforcements from forces previously deployed in Mariupol.[27] Russian forces will likely reinforce units pushing toward Zaporizhia City and Donetsk Oblast due to the reports of an ineffective offensive around Huliaipole.[28] Satellite imagery from May 6 also showed that Russian forces have significantly increased their concentrations of military equipment and anti-aircraft and missile systems in southwestern Kherson Oblast since April 27, likely due to newly resumed railway connection with Crimea.[29] Russian forces may have paused offensive operations in Southern Ukraine on May 9 due to Victory Day celebrations in occupied areas.[30]

Continued.....

Continued.....

Russian forces continued to target Odesa with missile strikes on May 8 and 9.[31] An unnamed US defense official said that Russia has no ability to threaten Odesa from the sea and the ground, despite consistent missile strikes and ongoing aerial reconnaissance.[32] Russian forces will likely continue to shell Odesa but are unlikely to inflict significant damage or resume advances towards the city. The official also noted that the US has no confirmation that Ukrainian forces recaptured Snake Island, off the coast of Odesa Oblast.[33] Russian and Transnistrian sources claimed Ukrainian forces closed the border with Moldova on May 9 amidst growing tensions in Transnistria, although ISW cannot independently verify this claim.[34]


Supporting Effort #4—Sumy and Northeastern Ukraine: (Russian objective: Withdraw combat power in good order for redeployment to eastern Ukraine)
There were no significant events on this axis in the past 24 hours.
Immediate items to watch

• Russian forces will likely continue to merge offensive efforts southward of Izyum with westward advances from Donetsk in order to encircle Ukrainian troops in southern Kharkiv Oblast and Western Donetsk.
• Russia may change the status of the Donetsk and Luhansk People’s Republics, possibly by merging them into a single “Donbas Republic” and/or by annexing them directly to Russia.
• Russian forces have apparently decided to seize the Azovstal plant through ground assault and will likely continue operations accordingly.
• Ukrainian counteroffensives around Kharkiv City are pushing back Russian positions northeast of the city and will likely continue to force the Russians to reinforce those positions at the cost of reinforcing Russian offensive operations elsewhere.
• Russian forces may be preparing to conduct renewed offensive operations to capture the entirety of Kherson Oblast in the coming days.

[1] View: https://twitter.com/JackDetsch/status/1523686642053431296

[2] View: https://twitter.com/JackDetsch/status/1523684661884747776

[3] https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-ass...
[4] View: https://www.facebook.com/DefenceIntelligenceofUkraine/posts/308323554812405

[5] https://armyinform dpt com.ua/2022/05/09/rosijski-okupanty-yakyh-mobilizuvaty-u-kvitni-vzhe-potrapyly-u-polon-i-dayut-svidchennya/
[6] ttps://twitter.com/JackDetsch/status/1523685601933139969; View: https://twitter.com/JackDetsch/status/1523687526677975040

[7] https://t dot me/zoda_gov_ua/7560
[8] View: https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/313164970996588

[9] https://t dot me/istorijaoruzija/62218; https://t dot me/istorijaoruzija/62161
[10] https://armyinform dot com.ua/2022/05/09/na-okupovanyh-terytoriyah-vorog-obmezhyv-peremishhennya-misczevyh-znimayut-syuzhety-dlya-rosijskyh-zmi/
[11] View: https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/313164970996588
; View: https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/312758441037241

[12] View: https://twitter.com/JackDetsch/status/1523681560175984640;
View: https://twitter.com/JackDetsch/status/1523682635721359361
; View: https://twitter.com/JackDetsch/status/1523681749191979008;
View: https://twitter.com/JackDetsch/status/1523686806599786498

[13] View: https://twitter.com/Suriyakmaps/status/1523414144946294784;
https://t dot me/millnr/8433; https://t dot me/RKadyrov_95/2057
[14] View: https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/313164970996588;
View: https://twitter.com/Suriyakmaps/status/1523413210166046721
; https://t dot me/luhanskaVTSA/2459; https://t dot me/luhanskaVTSA/2444; Политика Страны Политика Страны
[15] NASA-FIRMS
[16] View: https://www.facebook.com/GeneralStaff.ua/posts/313164970996588;
Facebook Watch https://twitter.com/JackDetsch/status/1523691018754789379; Прикордонники на Азовсталі продовжують стояти на захисті країни
[17] https://twitter.com/JackDetsch/status/1523682005249978369
[18] https://twitter.com/Suriyakmaps/status/1523682704658923521; https://t dot me/andriyshTime/762; https://t dot me/andriyshTime/744
[19] https://t dot me/andriyshTime/759; https://t dot me/andriyshTime/747; https://t dot me/andriyshTime/742; https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign...
[20] Log into Facebook
[21] https://twitter.com/JackDetsch/status/1523690303408189440;https://twitter.com/JackDetsch/status/1523686033980018689
[22] Log into Facebook
[23] https://t dot me/synegubov/3154
[24] https://understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-ass...
[25] Гремучая журналистИка | Za ПраVду; https://twitter.com/Vasilisa_2_0/status/1523040586097328128
[26] Log into Facebook; Facebook Watch Log into Facebook https://t dot me/zoda_gov_ua/7560
[27] Log into Facebook
[28] https://t dot me/zoda_gov_ua/7560
[29] https://twitter.com/GeoConfirmed/status/1523687906358882309; https://www.radiosvoboda.org/a/news-skhemy-tekhnika-krym/31839157.html#c...; Institute for the Study of War
[30] https://t dot me/istorijaoruzija/62142; https://t dot me/istorijaoruzija/62141; Политика Страны
[31] Facebook Watch Facebook Watch https://t dot me/Bratchuk_Sergey/11609; Log into Facebook; Труха️Украина; Поддубный |Z|О|V| edition
[32] https://twitter.com/JackDetsch/status/1523684441108877312; Поточна оперативна обÑтановка на Півдні України: опівдні 09.05.2022 https://youtu.be/MjvS_TQ6sM0 🪖 Ð¡Ð¸Ñ‚ÑƒÐ°Ñ†Ñ–Ñ Ð² нашій зоні відповідальноÑÑ‚Ñ– залишаєтьÑÑ Ñтабільно напруженою. Ворог продовжує триматиÑÑ Ð½Ð° зайнÑтому рубежі без ÑÑ‚Ð²Ð¾Ñ€ÐµÐ½Ð½Ñ Ð½Ð¾Ð²Ð¸Ñ… ударних угруповань Ñ– Ñпроб проÑунутиÑÑŒ на захід. ÐатоміÑÑ‚ÑŒ вкриває реактивними ÑиÑтемами залпового вогню Миколаїв Ñ– передміÑÑ‚Ñ. 🛸 По Одещині противник продовжує здійÑнювати повітрÑну розвідку за допомогою БПЛÐ. Влучним ураженнÑм протиповітрÑної оборони черговий «Орлан-10» безÑлавно пішов на дно морÑ. 🚀 Тим чаÑом ранковий ракетний удар по ОдеÑькій облаÑÑ‚Ñ– нанеÑено 4ï¸âƒ£ ракетами типу "ОнікÑ" з ракетного комплекÑу "БаÑтіон" в ТОТ Криму. Ворог продовжує нищити об'єкти інфраÑтруктури облаÑÑ‚Ñ– та здійÑнювати пÑихологічний тиÑк на цивільне наÑеленнÑ. ðŸ—ºï¸ Ðа окупованих територіÑÑ… ХерÑонщини й Миколаївщини в День Перемоги рашиÑти намагаютьÑÑ Ð¿Ñ€Ð¾Ñувати ідею єдноÑÑ‚Ñ– із ними, братерÑтва Ñ– наÑÐ»Ñ–Ð´ÑƒÐ²Ð°Ð½Ð½Ñ Ð¿ÐµÑ€ÐµÐºÑ€ÑƒÑ‡ÐµÐ½Ð¾Ñ— ними ж Ñ–Ñторії. 🚌 Ð”Ð»Ñ ÐºÐ°Ñ€Ñ‚Ð¸Ð½ÐºÐ¸ з Криму завезено так званих активіÑтів. 💛 Ð Ñвідомі українці навіть під окупацією підтримують акцію «Жовта Ñтрічка». Ðа гілках дерев, на парканах та лавках, на дитÑчих майданчиках Ñ– бильцÑÑ…, - де завгодно майорÑÑ‚ÑŒ жовті Ñтрічки, Ñк Ñимвол віри у Ñвітло, Ñке переможе темрÑву. Сьогодні Ð´Ð»Ñ Ð¼ÐµÑˆÐºÐ°Ð½Ñ†Ñ–Ð² окупованих територій - це Ñимвол надії на те, ¸Ñ‚Ñ‚Ñ Ñ– вже точно не ознака Ñ—Ñ… майбутнього. 🇺🇦 Жителі ХерÑонщини та Миколаївщини, Ñкі опинилиÑÑ Ð¿Ñ–Ð´ тимчаÑовою владою рашиÑтів та Ñ—Ñ… колаборантів, непохитні у Ñвоєму прагненні жити у вільній незалежній Україні. Вони не Ñприймають вмовлÑннÑ, Ñ—Ñ… не переконують залÑкуваннÑ, вони здатні Ñилою духу зупинÑти важку техніку Ñ– підіймають прапор України над головою розгублених ворогів. 💙 Віримо, що дуже Ñкоро жовті Ñтрічки Ñвітлої віри людей з-під окупації та Ñині Ñтрічки ÑÑкравого кольору мирного неба поєднаютьÑÑ Ð·Ð½Ð¾Ð² у великий переможний прапор України, під Ñким ми відбудуємо державу, відродимо наші міÑта та Ñела, зміцніє наша незалежніÑÑ‚ÑŒ. ‼ï¸Ðаразі варто пам’Ñтати, що підÑтупніÑÑ‚ÑŒ ворога, Ñкий розриває вогнем Ñ– ÑнарÑдами Україну, й Ð²Ð¾Ð´Ð½Ð¾Ñ‡Ð°Ñ Ð¿Ð¾ÐºÐ»Ð°Ð´Ð°Ñ” квіти до пам’Ñтних міÑць із назвами українÑьких міÑÑ‚, - безмежна. Тому, дотримуйтеÑÑŒ заходів та алгоритмів безпеки, обмежень комендантÑької години. Пильнуйте Ñитуацію Ñ– дії підозрілих оÑіб, інформуйте компетентні органи. Ðе розголошуйте відомоÑтей про діÑльніÑÑ‚ÑŒ та Ð¿ÐµÑ€ÐµÐ¼Ñ–Ñ‰ÐµÐ½Ð½Ñ Ð½Ð°ÑˆÐ¸Ñ… підрозділів та міÑÑ†Ñ Ð²Ð»ÑƒÑ‡Ð°Ð½Ð½Ñ Ð²Ð¾Ñ€Ð¾Ð¶Ð¸Ñ… ÑнарÑдів. ✊ Тримаймо Ñтрій! ✌ï¸Ð азом до... - Оперативне ÐºÐ¾Ð¼Ð°Ð½Ð´ÑƒÐ²Ð°Ð½Ð½Ñ "Південь"/Operational Command “Southâ€
[33] https://twitter.com/JackDetsch/status/1523684115853111298
[34] Крепость: всё о Приднестровье

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Ukraine Project
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Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, May 9.pdf

Dozdoats said:

Biden Is Sending Ukraine Billions of Dollars of Weaponry It Can't Use Properly - LewRockwell

After hounding the US and other NATO members for weeks about his need for heavy weapons to defend against Russia’s ongoing “special military operation”, Ukraine’s President, Volodymyr Zelensky, appears to have been granted his wish. The US Congress, on April 28, passed legislation that breathed...

www.lewrockwell.com

Kiev can’t maintain and repair complex US and NATO arms – if they break, they're useless
By Scott Ritter
RT News
May 9, 2022

Click to expand...

I think this is why Zelinsky is asking for more advanced weapons. He knows that our forces would have to accompany them for them to be effective. That way he can draw us directly into the war.

Shadow

Sky News
4.88M subscribers

Russian forces have continued their assault on the east of Ukraine, destroying towns and villages. People living in the town of Avdiivka, on the frontline, are now relying on volunteers for essential supplies. Sky's Alex Rossi sent this report.

4:36

Ukraine War: Volunteers risk their lives to get supplies to people near the front line
4,590 views
May 9, 2022

View: https://youtu.be/2fUZn4sKySY

Doomer Doug said:

A few more points.
1. The Ukraine has been defeated militarily and reduced to blowing up a tank or plane here and there. Zippy is like Hitler in a downfall clip ranting about sending four planes to attack the entire Russian airforce.
2. The Russians own Donabas and Lucash.
3. The Russians will soon own everything east of the Dniepper River.
4. The Russians will soon own the coastline to Moldava.
5. The Russians have won and are crushing the ukies.
6. The USA is being stripped naked for the Chinese invasion. Yep 4000 javelin's per year ready in 2 years guarantees a decisive military defeat in CONUS. Li is laughing. Prepare to defend your marxist ass comrade. The rest of us will just be shot.

Click to expand...

How is China going to invade CONUS? That is an incredible logistics tail

When I do talk to real people who are hooked up to the location in some way, it‘s obvious that they are dealing with the same type of misinformation that we struggle with over here. False info and videos, censorship, psycho pressure. I hope for the best for them, but I do not take the initiative to probe or to educate.

mecoastie said:

How is China going to invade CONUS? That is an incredible logistics tail

Click to expand...

Your asking for logic that is not there.

von Koehler said:

Poland has long lasting reasons to hate Russia.

Russia seized the eastern half of Poland at the start of WWII, and reconquered all of Poland by the end of the war. Stalin ordered his troops to halt and wait while the Germans crushed Polish resistance and destroyed Warsaw.

What followed next was decades of living in a Soviet police state.

The ambassador was lucky to get out alive.

Click to expand...

View: https://youtu.be/GGc2khSkRWY

About the 1920 Polish-Russian war. About 41 minutes. In polish with English subtitles.

bobfall2005 said:

Your asking for logic that is not there.

Click to expand...

China has the largest commercial seagoing transport capability in the world. If it were in their interests, they could sneak MILLIONS of combatants, and their weapons, into the US, or any ocean going nation. You must look at what motivates the Chinese, then set goals, find the right people to implement them, then be patient. You must never forget, that the Chinese think nothing of days, weeks, months, years, or even centuries. Their ways of doing things are an amalgam of East and West- whatever works best. A little more than half a century ago, we called the Chinese ”the Jews of the Orient.” Not a slur or cause for anger. We honestly saw that the Chinese business people were better organized, better informed, and super highly motivated. They were, and are to be admired. That means keeping ALL your faculties and acumen on edge, ready for anything. Those who underrate the Chinese business people, are fools. They ALWAYS play the long game, and are not hesitant or slow to take advantage of what pops up on their radar. I like them, but hate their government. They are, or can be, an amazing people. Should Communism ever leave, and freedom and individual rights be established, get involved with Chinese businesses. I envy you young people, and wish you bright and promising lives…

OA

mecoastie said:

How is China going to invade CONUS? That is an incredible logistics tail

Click to expand...

I recall something referred to as D-Day about 80 years ago, with 1940's technology. China invasion probable? not likely... possible?... history would support it being possible.

mecoastie said:

How is China going to invade CONUS? That is an incredible logistics tail

Click to expand...

They may not have far to go, the turd here in Canada has been allowing the Chinese military to train at
our military bases since 2020. and most likely since he got installed as our leader turd.

Samuel Ramani
@SamRamani2

BREAKING: Britain will support and provide assistance to Poland if it supplies fighter jets to Ukraine
Poland's plan to supply 28 MiG-29 jets to Ukraine via the U.S. stalled in March and there hasn't been a serious effort to revive it. Ben Wallace's remarks will be welcomed in Kyiv.
View: https://twitter.com/SamRamani2/status/1523781221246930944?s=20&t=lMopmTf03HyLi9KhuXnQZQ


4:44 PM · May 9, 2022·Twitter Web App

Samuel Ramani
@SamRamani2


The head of the Russian Orthodox Church's Ukraine branch urges Vladimir Putin to release the remaining fighters from Mariupol's Azovstal steel plant A rare example of moderation in the Russian Orthodox Church's rhetoric on the war

Samuel Ramani
@SamRamani2

China is urging Germany to help prevent a major escalation in the NATO-Russia conflict over Ukraine China is also trying to sell its collective security proposal, which takes Russia's security guarantees into account, to Germany

China controls the Panama Canal. They have tens of thousands of containers full of whatever. The list goes on. China has already won the logistics war. The usa has already lost any war with china.
Nukes into Guam, Pearl Harbor, San Diego, the Trident base, Fort Lewis, Fort Carson, Camp Pendelton and the USA has NO military defense capacity west of the Rocky Mountains.
The treason is everywhere.

I am not seeing the trenches of Ukrainians being shelled to death on this thread, perhaps it is because of the stigma to show the brutality of war, or some political agenda. The Ukrainians were dug in all along the front and to get them out of the trenches is taking time and lots of artillery. Perhaps Twitter is censoring any pictures or videos from these gruesome realities.

Matthew Bracken on Gab: 'RUSSIANS FORCED TO BURY GIANT PILES OF AFU DEAD I…'










All that remains left to see if that the US will face the Russians in Ukraine in person.

Hmm.





Tim McMillan
@LtTimMcMillan
12h

UPDATE: Tonight on Russian-state TV, a Victory Day special dedicated to couples who were separated during WW2, featured a photograph of the American outlaw couple Bonnie and Clyde. This is not a joke btw.

Samuel Ramani
@SamRamani2

Lithuania has recognized Russia as a terrorist state: "The Russian Federation, whose armed forces deliberately and systematically target civilian targets for bombing, is a state that supports and implements terrorism"

-There are complications, as Switzerland isn't willing to supply ammunition for Marder APCs and some German officials are concerned about fast depletion of the Bundeswehr's artillery stocks. But Ukraine will take this as a positive sign
View: https://twitter.com/SamRamani2/status/1523975809135955968?s=20&t=FcKqwUOWopVL4M_A_Wm8iA


-The Luhansk People's Republic appointed an ambassador to Russia and plans to create at least 2 consulates on Russian soil This suggests Luhansk might stay "independent" for a longer time and reflects that the military situation won't allow for a very quick Russian annexation

-Russia is strengthening relations with Eritrea Eritrea's Foreign Minister Osman Saleh visited Moscow on April 27 and Eritrea has been Russia's most loyal African partner on the Ukraine war. Eritrea's coast also could provide an alternative Red Sea facility to Sudan.

-China's Ambassador to Russia Zhang Hanhui vows to increase energy cooperation with Russia Hanhui's comments were short on specifics and China critically refrained from committing to increased energy purchases from Russia in response to Europe's divestment

-The EU is holding talks with Hungary to get it to comply with its energy embargo Ursula von der Leyen says these talks are making progress. The EU should also push Hungary on its nuclear energy cooperation with Russia

-China is urging Germany to help prevent a major escalation in the NATO-Russia conflict over Ukraine China is also trying to sell its collective security proposal, which takes Russia's security guarantees into account, to Germany

5:42 AM · May 10, 2022·Twitter Web App

BoomBoomBurn draws attention

Putin to hold emergency meeting on suspicious fires across Russia
While the Kremlin makes out the raging fires as a seasonal event, dozens of fires in key facilities have broken out across the country in what cannot be simply brushed off as "seasonal wildfires."
By ROMAN MEITAV
Published: MAY 9, 2022 17:37

Updated: MAY 9, 2022 17:54


Russian President Vladimir Putin attends a session of the board of trustees of the Russian Geographical Society via a video conference call in Moscow, Russia April 14, 2021
(photo credit: VIA REUTERS)



Russian President Vladimir Putin will hold a meeting regarding dozens of destructive fires in a number of regions all across Russia on May 10, the Kremlin press service reported.

A state of emergency was introduced in 77 areas of the Russian Federation throughout the Kurgan region and in one municipality in Khakassia. A special fire emergency was declared in 49 regions of the country, according to the Kremlin press service.

Putin will receive reports from several government sources, including the acting head of the Ministry of Emergency Situations Alexander Chupriyan, the head of the Ministry of Natural Resources Alexander Kozlov and about a dozen governors and heads of regions.




While the Kremlin makes out the raging fires as a seasonal event, dozens of fires in key facilities have broken out across the country since the invasion of Ukraine.

On May 5, a series of large fires broke out in the city of Kursk, which borders Ukraine. The fire was confirmed by Russia's Ministry of Emergency Situations and has completely burned down a gunpowder plant, killing at least two workers.


On May 4, several fires broke out in the industrial zone of Nizhny Novgorod, a city about 400 kilometers east of Moscow. At the same time, Russian police arrested suspected arsonists who attempted to set on fire a military enlistment office in the city of Nizhnevartovsk using Molotov cocktails, Interfax Russia reported.






On May 3, "Prosveshchenie," a pro-Kremlin publishing house in Moscow that is heavily affiliated with President Vladimir Putin was burned down in a large fire, The cause of the fire wasn't identified by Russian authorities, TASS reported.





On May 1, a fire broke out in the FKP Perm Powder Plant in the city of Perm in the Ural mountains, which produces gunpowder and ammunition. As a result of the fire, blasts tore through the plant, killing two and injuring at least three, according to local authorities. The Russian State Labour Inspectorate claimed that the deadly fire and explosions were caused by "a product catching fire."

On April 30, a massive fire broke out at a power plant in Sakhalin island, the cause of the fire was claimed to be "engineers' attempts to shut down a turbine generator," according to energy supplier Sakhalinenergo.

On April 28, Several explosions caused fires across Kustanayskaya street in Moscow, while Russian authorities haven't provided any explanation for the cause of the fires, nor even acknowledged them, several videos of the incident circulated online.






On April 27, a fire had broken out at an ammunition depot in Belgorod, in the village of Staraya Nelidovka, some 30 kilometers from the Ukrainian border, according to Russian authorities. The source of the fire was not been disclosed.

Since the war with Ukraine began, 5 different enlistment offices were set on fire, even in Moscow itself, with some of the arsonists claiming they were deliberately targeting personal files of future conscripts and reservists in order to prevent mobilization.



The fires are often brushed off as accidents or not acknowledged altogether by Russian authorities, and the real cause of the blazes remains unexplained. While Ukraine hasn't taken responsibility for the fires, there have also been no official reports of local unrest.



Please see source for embedded video documentation, additional photos & comments
Posted for fair use

Doomer Doug said:

A few more points.
1. The Ukraine has been defeated militarily and reduced to blowing up a tank or plane here and there. Zippy is like Hitler in a downfall clip ranting about sending four planes to attack the entire Russian airforce.
2. The Russians own Donabas and Lucash.
3. The Russians will soon own everything east of the Dniepper River.
4. The Russians will soon own the coastline to Moldava.
5. The Russians have won and are crushing the ukies.
6. The USA is being stripped naked for the Chinese invasion. Yep 4000 javelin's per year ready in 2 years guarantees a decisive military defeat in CONUS. Li is laughing. Prepare to defend your marxist ass comrade. The rest of us will just be shot.

Click to expand...

Awwww it's you I thought you were busy marching in the russki parade.
That's some hi test copium you got there, buddy.

Doomer Doug said:

China controls the Panama Canal. They have tens of thousands of containers full of whatever. The list goes on. China has already won the logistics war. The usa has already lost any war with china.
Nukes into Guam, Pearl Harbor, San Diego, the Trident base, Fort Lewis, Fort Carson, Camp Pendelton and the USA has NO military defense capacity west of the Rocky Mountains.
The treason is everywhere.

Click to expand...

Yes, treason and corruption are everywhere. Don’t discount the will of the individual American, nor what can happen with an aroused America. The future is to be written. Will the road back be easy? No, but that’s not stopped Americans before. There’s a reason why people for generations wanted to come to America, earn citizenship, and live wholesome lives. The promise is still there, and there are still people ready, willing, and able, to fight for what is right- no matter the cost…

OA

EMICT said:

I recall something referred to as D-Day about 80 years ago, with 1940's technology. China invasion probable? not likely... possible?... history would support it being possible.

Click to expand...

D-day was launched after a multi year build up of material on an island less than 50 miles away with a massive amount of air power providing support from the same island. China would be crossing thousands of miles of ocean with no air support and very limited naval support. Their merchant fleet is huge but it would have to be completely reconfigured to carry troops or to act as support for an amphibious invasion. Then once they hit the beaches they have to be resupplied. Not impossible but close.

Doomer Doug said:

China controls the Panama Canal. They have tens of thousands of containers full of whatever. The list goes on. China has already won the logistics war. The usa has already lost any war with china.
Nukes into Guam, Pearl Harbor, San Diego, the Trident base, Fort Lewis, Fort Carson, Camp Pendelton and the USA has NO military defense capacity west of the Rocky Mountains.
The treason is everywhere.

Click to expand...

China does not control the canal. Panama does. Chinese companies manage the ports in Panama on the canal but they are staffed by Panamanians. The strategic importance of the Canal has declined over the years in part because in any war it will be one of the first targets to be hit by the Russians or the Chinese to force US ships to take the long way around.


China is not going to invade the continental United States. If they need resources there are far easier targets such as Eastern Russia and Australia with far shorter supply routes to and from. What they are going to continue to do is slowly expand their presence in the Pacific, Africa and South America and erode US influence in those areas.

Russia has already won the skirmish the Dems tried to turn into a war. GIVE IT UP ALL READY!!

This is just a last ditch effort for the virus-making, child-trafficking, deep-state-pedophiles to fund their money laundering scheme before high tailing it to their bunkers in hopes of evading arrest!

Congressional Democrats preparing plan to boost Biden’s requested $33 billion Ukraine aid package to nearly $40 billion; vote will take place as early as Tuesday - AP
View: https://twitter.com/Breaking911/status/1523810629525467137?t=_BXXOV-n0V0RI3LlooEkpw&s=19


WHAT IS GOING ON? WHY ARE WE DUMPING MONEY THERE?

Money laundering…before the Midterms.
View: https://twitter.com/RubenSaVet/status/1523825580529041408?t=gyONgXom1CAXm4WlLg2L7Q&s=19

danielboon said:

EndGameWW3 Retweeted
snip
US Ambassador to Russia John Sullivan said on CNN that Vladimir Putin did not declare victory in his speech today “because even the Russian propaganda machine couldn't back that one up.”

Click to expand...

Such transparent attempted manipulation of the narrative .... its all the democarps got. Where did sullivan come up with the idea that putin was planning on declaring victory on may 9?

Russian armoured column targeted and destroyed by the Ukrainian 54th Mechanized Brigade in Donetsk Oblast. #Russia #Ukraine View: https://twitter.com/Blue_Sauron/status/1523925330578321415?cxt=HHwWjsC5lfOAiaYqAAAA

ELINT News Retweeted







Tara Copp

@TaraCopp
·
21h

Senior defense official says Russia has "blown through" its PGM stockpile and is having trouble replenishing. "They are having inventory issues," senior defense official says #Ukraine

zeker said:

bringing your supplies to a group of 'non supply oriented'

would be the quik end to your supplies

and you, if resisting.

know your people.

Click to expand...

get out of the cities and suburbs, now. The more distance there is between you and other (unprepared) people, the greater you chance of survival. The less distance between you and God the greater your chance for survival...

Oreally said:

bullshit. intj here too.

you be here and listen to sirens every night, and see what your 'emotions' are

Click to expand...

Russia warned Ukraine months ago what was coming if Ukraine failed to make good on its commitment to the Minsk Agreement. AND for Ukraine to declare itself a neutral country. Ukraine failed to heed the warning of a country that has itself been invaded several times over a thousand years and knows what pain and suffering means. It has recently suffered 70 years of embracing communism and know what that means, and has freed itself from communism and freed those Warsaw Pact countries as well.
meanwhile the same people that funded the Bolshevik communist revolution in Russia have now shanghaied the American government and media and schools and corporations and turned our own country into a globalist den of iniquity, and engineered and financed the Ukraine “revolution”.

the. Same. People.

everyone everywhere that hasn’t figured out that the atheists /satanists of the world have pre-planned the entire process and destination we find ourselves enmeshed within have only themselves to blame.

their suffering will be entirely self-inflicted.

jed turtle said:

Russia warned Ukraine months ago what was coming if Ukraine failed to make good on its commitment to the Minsk Agreement. AND for Ukraine to declare itself a neutral country. Ukraine failed to heed the warning of a country that has itself been invaded several times over a thousand years and knows what pain and suffering means. It has recently suffered 70 years of embracing communism and know what that means, and has freed itself from communism and freed those Warsaw Pact countries as well.
meanwhile the same people that funded the Bolshevik communist revolution in Russia have now shanghaied the American government and media and schools and corporations and turned our own country into a globalist den of iniquity, and engineered and financed the Ukraine “revolution”.

the. Same. People.

everyone everywhere that hasn’t figured out that the atheists /satanists of the world have pre-planned the entire process and destination we find ourselves enmeshed within have only themselves to blame.

their suffering will be entirely self-inflicted.

Click to expand...

So, since Russia "knows the pain and suffering" of having been invaded in the past, it is now allowed to inflict that same pain and suffering on another country? Well, they did warn Ukraine, so as long they have suffered in the past and warned Ukraine, then it is OK to invade them. Seems like odd logic.

I just don't see that two wrongs make a right.

The Morning After: Russian smart TVs are being hacked to show anti-war messages
The attacks came during the country's Victory Day holiday.

Yesterday, as Russia celebrated Victory Day, marking its role in defeating Nazi Germany, many of the country’s online platforms were defaced in protest of the ongoing war in Ukraine.

According to reports, Russians with smart TVs saw channel listings replaced with a message implicating them in the ongoing conflict. “The blood of thousands of Ukrainians and hundreds of murdered children is on your hands,” the message read. “TV and authorities are lying. No to war.”

According to The Washington Post, the hack apparently targeted several of the country’s largest internet companies, including Yandex and Rutube, Russia’s alternative to YouTube.

Russia passed a law this year that bans any efforts to discredit the country’s military, but that hasn’t stopped some media outlets from protesting the war. Articles on Lenta.ru noted they had “not been agreed with the editorial leadership” and that “the Presidential Administration will punish the publication for publishing this.”
— Mat Smith

Dollar index at 20 year high, Commodities all down, Stocks down.