Op-Ed What is Joe Biden's Life Expectancy?

WalknTrot

Veteran Member
(Given experience with my Alzheimer's mother, I think the Doc here is being generous putting Biden at Stage 4. I'd judge well into Stage 5, and his constant coughing and choking is a sign that his "lizard brain" or primitive autonomic functions are fast declining. That morphs into an inability to swallow, aspiration pneumonia problems, and loss of ability to eat/drink. W.T.)


What is Joe Biden's Life Expectancy?
By C.J. Baker, M.D.

President Joe Biden is suffering from dementia, and it's worsening before our eyes.

You know it, I know it, everyone knows it.

His handlers know it. Why else would they issue him absurdly detailed cue cards telling him when to stand and sit?

His vice president knows it. Kamala Harris explicitly noted her future running mate's cognitive problems during the 2020 Democratic debates.

Even the president's drug-addicted, prostitute-frequenting, influence-peddling son knows it. Hunter cruelly mocks the elder Biden's senility on the Laptop from Hell.

It is a national tragedy that a fragile, senile, non compos mentis old man is the president of the United States. Nevertheless, this scandalous state of affairs is downplayed so much by the Democrats, the Washington bureaucracy, and complicit press and social media outlets that Biden and many around him — Harris included — still speak seriously about Biden seeking a second term in 2024.

Only very recently are cracks starting to form in the leftist elites' see-no-evil attitude to Biden's dementia. See the New York Times' recent article for evidence. However, it appears that this new view is predicated more by Biden's currently horrendous polling, which threatens to sink the Democrats' midterm prospects, than by Biden's cognitive decline, which has been evident for years.

The notion of a second Biden term raises another question about the man, one even more existential than his undeniable cognitive dysfunction. The question is, would Joe Biden even live through a second term as president?

As a practicing physician who cares for numerous elderly patients and addresses dementia and end-of-life issues on a regular basis, your humble correspondent decided to take a closer look at this question.

Here are my findings:

Joe Biden's listed birth date is November 20, 1942. Thus, at this writing, Joe Biden is 79 years and 8 months old.

Were he to win re-election in 2024, then by his second inauguration, he would be 82 years and 2 months of age. At the end of a second term, he would be 86 years and 2 months old.

How long does the average 79-year-old man have to live?

According to the Social Security Administration, the life expectancy for a 79-year-old American male is an additional 8.82 years, for a total life expectancy of 87.82 years.

This would take Joe Biden to late 2029 — less than a year after the end of a second term. That's cutting it awfully close, especially for a man struggling as badly as he obviously is right now.

But it gets worse.

Those Social Security numbers are for all comers in Biden's age group. But remember, Joe Biden has dementia, and dementia shortens life expectancy.

How much?

A recent study by Carol Brayne et al., published in the prestigious British Medical Journal, concluded that the median survival time from a diagnosis of dementia is 4.5 years for all persons and 4.1 years for men.

Assuming we very generously "diagnose" Joe Biden's dementia as starting now — say, July 1, 2022 — then 4.1 years places us around August 2026. In other words, by this measure, Biden's most likely date of death will be less than halfway through his second term as president.

I also reviewed the standard clinical scale for measuring progress of dementia, known as the Reisberg Scale or the Global Deterioration Scale (GDS).

The GDS divides dementia into 7 stages, Stage 7 being the most severe. By a careful review of the criteria and of available video of Biden over time, I believe he is currently at least at Stage 4, which is referred to as "moderate cognitive decline."

It is worth noting here that the president of the United States is one of the most supported and protected persons on Earth. Joe Biden makes limited public appearances, which are carefully scheduled, tightly controlled, and highly choreographed. We, the public, only see Joe Biden at his best. It is possible that his dementia has actually reached Stage 5 on the GDS, or "moderately severe cognitive decline."

Given his demonstrated ability to still make prepared statements and public appearances, it seems unlikely to me that Biden's dementia has advanced beyond Stage 5, where many basic mental functions are obviously impaired.

So what does this mean moving forward?

The cited average duration of Stage 4 dementia is two years. For Stage 5, it is 1.5 years. Again, if we very generously assume that Joe Biden is "entering" Stage 4 right now — say July 1, 2022 — then he is likely to progress through Stages 4 and 5 and into Stage 6, "severe cognitive decline," by late 2025, approximately a year into a second term.

In other words, a second Biden term presents the very real prospect of a president who cannot identify his family members, count down from ten, nor control toilet function, with three years remaining in his term.

An important side note: Joe Biden also has a serious problem with falls. Recurrent falls are a strong predictor of death in the elderly.

Biden's recent bike accident on vacation at Rehoboth Beach, his repeated stumbles climbing the stairs to Air Force One in March 2021, and his broken foot sustained while playing with his dog in November 2020 provide ample evidence that the president is a "fall risk." And of course, these are just the incidents known to the public. There may be many more.

Biden could have very easily broken a hip on any of the above occasions. When an elderly patient falls and breaks a hip, his mortality within one year is over 20 percent, even with surgery. Once again, dementia increases the risk.

Furthermore, Biden reportedly suffers from atrial fibrillation, an irregular heartbeat that puts the patient at high risk for stroke. For this he reportedly takes Eliquis, a blood-thinner that prevents stroke but significantly increases the risk of hemorrhage in the case of falls.

Patients requiring anticoagulation for stroke prevention who are also fall risks are caught between a rock and a hard place. A fall with head trauma while on "blood thinners" may cause severe bleeding in the brain. However, discontinuing the anticoagulation medicine causes their risk of embolic (blood clot–related) stroke to increase dramatically. Joe Biden appears to be in this situation.

In summary, after a detailed review of relevant medical data, here are this physician's conclusions:

On Election Day, November 2024, President Joe Biden will, more likely than not, still be alive. However, his dementia will most likely be sufficiently advanced by then that it will be obvious to everyone that he is incapable of serving another term.

By Inauguration Day, January 2029 (at what would be the end of a second term), President Joe Biden will, more likely than not, have died of natural causes.

Given the utmost importance of the presidency, I implore the people of the United States to take these concerns more seriously than they have done until now.
 

WalknTrot

Veteran Member
The Global Deterioration Scale: the Reisberg Alzheimer's Stages

By Editorial Team
April 2, 2019



Alzheimer's disease progresses in stages, and although it is often broken down into 3 stages, early, middle, late. There is an alternate staging system as well. Barry Reisberg from New York University developed the Global Deterioration Scale (GDS), also known as the Reisberg Alzheimer's Scale. This scale consists of 7 major clinical stages. It is used by clinicians and in care settings. Either staging system is correct, but some clinicians use one and not the other.

In the Global Deterioration Scale, the 7 stages are further classified into 2 different categories. Stages 1 to 3 are considered the pre-dementia stages, and stages 4 to 7 are the dementia stages.

Starting at stage 5, an individual cannot survive without help. This scale may be especially helpful for caregivers, as it is noticeably detailed regarding the general abilities of an individual at each stage and provides information about what to expect at different stages.

Figure 1. Reisberg's stages of Alzheimer's

In-Article-285-01d.jpg


Stage 1: No cognitive decline
In this stage, there are no complaints of memory problems and no evidence of cognitive deficits upon examination.

Stage 2: Very mild cognitive decline, age-associated memory impairment
There are subjective reports of memory problems, like misplacing objects or forgetting names. There is no evidence of memory issues during a clinical interview or problems with work or with social situations.

Stage 3: Mild cognitive decline, mild cognitive impairment
This stage is when cognitive deficits start to become apparent. A person might get lost going somewhere new, coworkers might notice a decline in performance or the person might read something and not comprehend it.

When clinically tested, the person's concentration may be impaired and memory issues might be noticeable in an interview.
An individual might find it harder to keep up with a demanding job and start to have some denial about memory issues.

There is also often some mild to moderate anxiety about the deficits.

Stage 4: Moderate cognitive decline
In this stage, there is a lowered awareness of current events, there may be a memory deficit of personal history, and trouble with traveling or handling personal
finances. Denial is typically stronger at this point, and there is often a flattening of affect (reduced expression of emotions) and withdrawal from situations that are challenging.

Stage 5: Moderately severe cognitive decline
At this point, a person cannot survive without some kind of assistance. During an interview, a person might not know a major piece of current information about themselves, like their address or names of close family members.

Major life event information, however, is still intact. There is often a lack of orientation to time, place, or date. While a person in this stage does not usually need help toileting or eating, choosing what to wear might require assistance.

Reisberg Alzheimer's stage 6: Severe cognitive decline
In this stage, a person with Alzheimer's might forget a spouse's name and are mostly unaware of current events or events and surroundings around them. Counting to 10 and counting backward from 10 may require assistance. Activities of daily living may require assistance, and incontinence may occur. Sleep habits are often disrupted at this stage. A person usually still knows their own name and can differentiate between familiar and unfamiliar people around them.

Personality and behavior changes start to happen during this stage and can include delusions, hallucinations, anxiety and agitation, obsessive behavior, and a loss of will.

Stage 7: Very severe cognitive decline
At this point, the individual begins to lose their speech and may just have guttural sounds. Toileting and feeding require assistance, and the ability to walk begins to decline.

There is a marked disconnect between the body and the brain in this stage, and the individual has a general rigidity to them.

This staging system might not line up completely with every person's experience with Alzheimer's disease. This is a Global Deteroriation Scale and doesn't account for individual differences and variations. Talk with a doctor about the scale, and if desired, how it might be incorporated into the diagnosis and treatment plan.
 

Bolt

FJB
Article said:
The question is, would Joe Biden even live through a second term as president?

Better yet, would Joe Biden even realize he won a second term? Sometimes I wonder if he is fading in and out and if there are times currently where he is not truly aware of his position. There is no way FJB can withstand all that is involved in running for a second term. They had to stow him away in his basement, blaming COVID, for his last run. Unless they can ramp up the COVID scare or perhaps the newest monkey pox scare, Biden will have to be an active participant this time around. He won't have DR Jill propping him up during the debates.
 

Griz3752

Retired, practising Curmudgeon
(Given experience with my Alzheimer's mother, I think the Doc here is being generous putting Biden at Stage 4. I'd judge well into Stage 5, and his constant coughing and choking is a sign that his "lizard brain" or primitive autonomic functions are fast declining. That morphs into an inability to swallow, aspiration pneumonia problems, and loss of ability to eat/drink. W.T.)


What is Joe Biden's Life Expectancy?
By C.J. Baker, M.D.

President Joe Biden is suffering from dementia, and it's worsening before our eyes.

You know it, I know it, everyone knows it.

His handlers know it. Why else would they issue him absurdly detailed cue cards telling him when to stand and sit?

His vice president knows it. Kamala Harris explicitly noted her future running mate's cognitive problems during the 2020 Democratic debates.

Even the president's drug-addicted, prostitute-frequenting, influence-peddling son knows it. Hunter cruelly mocks the elder Biden's senility on the Laptop from Hell.

It is a national tragedy that a fragile, senile, non compos mentis old man is the president of the United States. Nevertheless, this scandalous state of affairs is downplayed so much by the Democrats, the Washington bureaucracy, and complicit press and social media outlets that Biden and many around him — Harris included — still speak seriously about Biden seeking a second term in 2024.

Only very recently are cracks starting to form in the leftist elites' see-no-evil attitude to Biden's dementia. See the New York Times' recent article for evidence. However, it appears that this new view is predicated more by Biden's currently horrendous polling, which threatens to sink the Democrats' midterm prospects, than by Biden's cognitive decline, which has been evident for years.

The notion of a second Biden term raises another question about the man, one even more existential than his undeniable cognitive dysfunction. The question is, would Joe Biden even live through a second term as president?

As a practicing physician who cares for numerous elderly patients and addresses dementia and end-of-life issues on a regular basis, your humble correspondent decided to take a closer look at this question.

Here are my findings:

Joe Biden's listed birth date is November 20, 1942. Thus, at this writing, Joe Biden is 79 years and 8 months old.

Were he to win re-election in 2024, then by his second inauguration, he would be 82 years and 2 months of age. At the end of a second term, he would be 86 years and 2 months old.

How long does the average 79-year-old man have to live?

According to the Social Security Administration, the life expectancy for a 79-year-old American male is an additional 8.82 years, for a total life expectancy of 87.82 years.

This would take Joe Biden to late 2029 — less than a year after the end of a second term. That's cutting it awfully close, especially for a man struggling as badly as he obviously is right now.

But it gets worse.

Those Social Security numbers are for all comers in Biden's age group. But remember, Joe Biden has dementia, and dementia shortens life expectancy.

How much?

A recent study by Carol Brayne et al., published in the prestigious British Medical Journal, concluded that the median survival time from a diagnosis of dementia is 4.5 years for all persons and 4.1 years for men.

Assuming we very generously "diagnose" Joe Biden's dementia as starting now — say, July 1, 2022 — then 4.1 years places us around August 2026. In other words, by this measure, Biden's most likely date of death will be less than halfway through his second term as president.

I also reviewed the standard clinical scale for measuring progress of dementia, known as the Reisberg Scale or the Global Deterioration Scale (GDS).

The GDS divides dementia into 7 stages, Stage 7 being the most severe. By a careful review of the criteria and of available video of Biden over time, I believe he is currently at least at Stage 4, which is referred to as "moderate cognitive decline."

It is worth noting here that the president of the United States is one of the most supported and protected persons on Earth. Joe Biden makes limited public appearances, which are carefully scheduled, tightly controlled, and highly choreographed. We, the public, only see Joe Biden at his best. It is possible that his dementia has actually reached Stage 5 on the GDS, or "moderately severe cognitive decline."

Given his demonstrated ability to still make prepared statements and public appearances, it seems unlikely to me that Biden's dementia has advanced beyond Stage 5, where many basic mental functions are obviously impaired.

So what does this mean moving forward?

The cited average duration of Stage 4 dementia is two years. For Stage 5, it is 1.5 years. Again, if we very generously assume that Joe Biden is "entering" Stage 4 right now — say July 1, 2022 — then he is likely to progress through Stages 4 and 5 and into Stage 6, "severe cognitive decline," by late 2025, approximately a year into a second term.

In other words, a second Biden term presents the very real prospect of a president who cannot identify his family members, count down from ten, nor control toilet function, with three years remaining in his term.

An important side note: Joe Biden also has a serious problem with falls. Recurrent falls are a strong predictor of death in the elderly.

Biden's recent bike accident on vacation at Rehoboth Beach, his repeated stumbles climbing the stairs to Air Force One in March 2021, and his broken foot sustained while playing with his dog in November 2020 provide ample evidence that the president is a "fall risk." And of course, these are just the incidents known to the public. There may be many more.

Biden could have very easily broken a hip on any of the above occasions. When an elderly patient falls and breaks a hip, his mortality within one year is over 20 percent, even with surgery. Once again, dementia increases the risk.

Furthermore, Biden reportedly suffers from atrial fibrillation, an irregular heartbeat that puts the patient at high risk for stroke. For this he reportedly takes Eliquis, a blood-thinner that prevents stroke but significantly increases the risk of hemorrhage in the case of falls.

Patients requiring anticoagulation for stroke prevention who are also fall risks are caught between a rock and a hard place. A fall with head trauma while on "blood thinners" may cause severe bleeding in the brain. However, discontinuing the anticoagulation medicine causes their risk of embolic (blood clot–related) stroke to increase dramatically. Joe Biden appears to be in this situation.

In summary, after a detailed review of relevant medical data, here are this physician's conclusions:

On Election Day, November 2024, President Joe Biden will, more likely than not, still be alive. However, his dementia will most likely be sufficiently advanced by then that it will be obvious to everyone that he is incapable of serving another term.

By Inauguration Day, January 2029 (at what would be the end of a second term), President Joe Biden will, more likely than not, have died of natural causes.

Given the utmost importance of the presidency, I implore the people of the United States to take these concerns more seriously than they have done until now.
And, JIC some might doubt the above, it pretty much mirrors what we've learned after my MIL was diagnosed w/ dementia & Alzheimer's.
 

Night Owl

Veteran Member
He may have Parkinson’s, which also has dementia and shows unsteady gait. He could exist on meds for years and years.

and Alzheimer patients can live many years after they are diagnosed because they have no worries or responsibilities, they just eat & sleep
 

Babs

Veteran Member
From my past observations and I am not a doctor, my guess that without extreme intervention, I would give him 8 months, tops.
 

WalknTrot

Veteran Member
My mom was a solid Stage 6 when she went into the memory care facility. It was a fairly slow slide for about 6 months until she got to the point where she really couldn't walk anymore. Then she had trouble swallowing, pretty much quit talking, and finally couldn't eat. Died peacefully in her sleep one night - probably her heart - well before she became emaciated/dehydrated. Alzheimer's meds/anti-psychotics are hard on the heart and other vital organs. All together, took about 9 months from solid Stage 6.

Anyway...in my estimation, Biden is going to be in really rough shape before he leaves office if he even lives through a full first term.
 
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Charmer153

Contributing Member
That depends on what you mean by 'Life Expectancy'.
I know a few conspiracy nuts who think the top level members of congress(of both parties) have a demonic contract that keeps them alive, or at least keeps their bodies functional(Heart beating, blood flowing, autonomic functions working, even if the life force is gone), until they succeed in making the USA part of the One World Nation.

No more USA=no more constitution=no more religions protection=no more Christianity=massive demonic celebration.
I did say they where nuts, but that does not mean they are automatically wrong, and this idea would explain why evil people are still in power even though so many people hate them and want them voted out.
 

NoDandy

Has No Life - Lives on TB
He may have Parkinson’s, which also has dementia and shows unsteady gait. He could exist on meds for years and years.

and Alzheimer patients can live many years after they are diagnosed because they have no worries or responsibilities, they just eat & sleep
[/QUOTE
 

DHR43

Since 2001
Joe's been dead a while there is a standin double in his place.
Certainly true.

Therefore the actor in his place is acting. How difficult would it be as an actor to role-play that he's confused, says gibberish, loses his thoughts, etc?

Not hard at all for an actor.

Therefore, this discussion of how long The Real Joe will live is moot.
 
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