Solar Something big may be about to happen on the sun: the Termination Event

Heliobas Disciple

TB Fanatic
(fair use applies)


The Termination Event
June 11, 2021 / Dr.Tony Phillips

Something big may be about to happen on the sun. “We call it the Termination Event,” says Scott McIntosh, a solar physicist at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), “and it’s very, very close to happening.”

If you’ve never heard of the Termination Event, you’re not alone. Many researchers have never heard of it either. It’s a relatively new idea in solar physics championed by McIntosh and colleague Bob Leamon of the University of Maryland – Baltimore County. According to the two scientists, vast bands of magnetism are drifting across the surface of the sun. When oppositely-charged bands collide at the equator, they annihilate (or “terminate”). There’s no explosion; this is magnetism, not anti-matter. Nevertheless, the Termination Event is a big deal. It can kickstart the next solar cycle into a higher gear.

terminate_anim_800_opt.gif

Above: Oppositely charged magnetic bands (red and blue) march toward the sun’s equator where they annihilate one another, kickstarting the next solar cycle. [full caption]

“If the Terminator Event happens soon, as we expect, new Solar Cycle 25 could have a magnitude that rivals the top few since record-keeping began,” says McIntosh.

This is, to say the least, controversial. Most solar physicists believe that Solar Cycle 25 will be weak, akin to the anemic Solar Cycle 24 which barely peaked back in 2012-2013. Orthodox models of the sun’s inner magnetic dynamo favor a weak cycle and do not even include the concept of “terminators.”

“What can I say?” laughs McIntosh. “We’re heretics!”

The researchers outlined their reasoning in a December 2020 paper in the research journal Solar Physics. Looking back over 270 years of sunspot data, they found that Terminator Events divide one solar cycle from the next, happening approximately every 11 years. Emphasis on approximately. The interval between terminators ranges from 10 to 15 years, and this is key to predicting the solar cycle.

cycles.png

Above: The official forecast for Solar Cycle 25 (red) is weak; McIntosh and Leamon believe it will be more like the strongest solar cycles of the past.

“We found that the longer the time between terminators, the weaker the next cycle would be,” explains Leamon. “Conversely, the shorter the time between terminators, the stronger the next solar cycle would be.”

Example: Sunspot Cycle 4 began with a terminator in 1786 and ended with a terminator in 1801, an unprecedented 15 years later. The following cycle, 5, was incredibly weak with a peak amplitude of just 82 sunspots. That cycle would become known as the beginning of the “Dalton” Grand Minimum.

Solar Cycle 25 is shaping up to be the opposite. Instead of a long interval, it appears to be coming on the heels of a very short one, only 10 years since the Terminator Event that began Solar Cycle 24. Previous solar cycles with such short intervals have been among the strongest in recorded history.

These ideas may be controversial, but they have a virtue that all scientists can appreciate: They’re testable. If the Termination Event happens soon and Solar Cycle 25 skyrockets, the “heretics” may be on to something. Stay tuned for updates.
 

Kim99

Veteran Member
Yep, Grand Solar Minimum...and there is a big thread on that!

I’m reading the article to mean the opposite of a Grand Solar Minimum. A weak cycle 25 would usher in a GSM. This article is predicting a possibly record strong cycle 25. Neither prospect is good:(
 

jed turtle

a brother in the Lord
The Earth’s electro-magnetic field (magnetosphere) Which protects us from both cosmic radiation and solar radiation is weakening rapidly, so rapidly that space weather scientists were very surprised that recent weak solar emanations affected our planet far more severely than expected. Said magnetosphere weakening appears to be associated with the rapidly migrating magnetic poles - north and south - indicating changes within the planet and the sun that are capable of endangering all life and weather on Earth in the very near future.

As our protective magnetosphere weakens further, solar and cosmic radiation reaching Earth will also Cause stresses in both animal and plant life including greater rates of cancer and eventually die-off for those that do survive increasing catastrophes of crop failures and weather “events”. If the sun gives off another solar flare similar to the 1859 Carrington Event, the weakened magnetosphere is unlikely to protect the global electrical grid. And Most of Mankind’s survival after an event like that will likely be measured in months-or weeks- , since most of humanity lives in urban areas and depend on food, fuel, and everything else being shipped in from far away rural areas that will no longer be accessible.

one’s physical location and ability to grow one’s own food, acquire water, and ability to defend against marauders and extra-terrestrial radiation will define one’s future “comfort zone”.
 

Krayola

Veteran Member
I’m reading the article to mean the opposite of a Grand Solar Minimum.
Correct. The article is predicting the opposite of GSM.
From the OP:
The following cycle, 5, was incredibly weak with a peak amplitude of just 82 sunspots. That cycle would become known as the beginning of the “Dalton” Grand Minimum.
Weak = GSM
The article is predicting strong.
 

packyderms_wife

Neither here nor there.
The Earth’s electro-magnetic field (magnetosphere) Which protects us from both cosmic radiation and solar radiation is weakening rapidly, so rapidly that space weather scientists were very surprised that recent weak solar emanations affected our planet far more severely than expected. Said magnetosphere weakening appears to be associated with the rapidly migrating magnetic poles - north and south - indicating changes within the planet and the sun that are capable of endangering all life and weather on Earth in the very near future.

As our protective magnetosphere weakens further, solar and cosmic radiation reaching Earth will also Cause stresses in both animal and plant life including greater rates of cancer and eventually die-off for those that do survive increasing catastrophes of crop failures and weather “events”. If the sun gives off another solar flare similar to the 1859 Carrington Event, the weakened magnetosphere is unlikely to protect the global electrical grid. And Most of Mankind’s survival after an event like that will likely be measured in months-or weeks- , since most of humanity lives in urban areas and depend on food, fuel, and everything else being shipped in from far away rural areas that will no longer be accessible.

one’s physical location and ability to grow one’s own food, acquire water, and ability to defend against marauders and extra-terrestrial radiation will define one’s future “comfort zone”.

meanwhile the masses are kept distracted with riots, orange man bad, the new green deal, etc., while the elites build themselves shelters in the mountainsides.
 

packyderms_wife

Neither here nor there.
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rEv3HRIVPUQ


This 13:13 video summarizes what JedTurtle is talking about. The above channel has extensive videos on the topic, and Davidson goes into actual papers on specific phenomena related to this.


First comment at the video link, the woman who left the comment is correct.

"Judging by this little pandemic, few will survive psychologically. Good luck to us."

Comment to her comment

'This plandemic was a psycoligical test.'
 

packyderms_wife

Neither here nor there.
at the 10:36 point in the video post #13

And there’s that date again, 2030, the one the leftists keep saying that everything on the earth is going to die if we don’t do something about manmade climate change
 
The Earth’s electro-magnetic field (magnetosphere) Which protects us from both cosmic radiation and solar radiation is weakening rapidly, so rapidly that space weather scientists were very surprised that recent weak solar emanations affected our planet far more severely than expected. Said magnetosphere weakening appears to be associated with the rapidly migrating magnetic poles - north and south - indicating changes within the planet and the sun that are capable of endangering all life and weather on Earth in the very near future.

As our protective magnetosphere weakens further, solar and cosmic radiation reaching Earth will also Cause stresses in both animal and plant life including greater rates of cancer and eventually die-off for those that do survive increasing catastrophes of crop failures and weather “events”. If the sun gives off another solar flare similar to the 1859 Carrington Event, the weakened magnetosphere is unlikely to protect the global electrical grid. And Most of Mankind’s survival after an event like that will likely be measured in months-or weeks- , since most of humanity lives in urban areas and depend on food, fuel, and everything else being shipped in from far away rural areas that will no longer be accessible.

one’s physical location and ability to grow one’s own food, acquire water, and ability to defend against marauders and extra-terrestrial radiation will define one’s future “comfort zone”.
Don’t worry, they’re working on a vaccine.
 

Cardinal

Chickministrator
_______________
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rEv3HRIVPUQ


This 13:13 video summarizes what JedTurtle is talking about. The above channel has extensive videos on the topic, and Davidson goes into actual papers on specific phenomena related to this.
Wow, this sure spells out The final chapter in the bible like nothing before.
“And unless the Lord had shortened those days, no life would have been saved; but for the sake of the elect whom He chose, He shortened the days.
 
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