ALERT RUSSIA INVADES UKRAINE - Consolidated Thread

jward

jward

passin' thru
I'm an equal opportunity hater.
Even still wear my Tshirt from Highschool that states: STOP DISCRIMINATION. Hate Everyone!

ETA I am currently wearin a tee from those days that says "unconditional love" and on the back "Choose Happiness!" coz the thing I hate most in the world is hatin n hurtin...
raven said:
Which cold heartless SOB? Russia or NATO?
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jward

jward

passin' thru

Shannon Vavra
@shanvav

EXCLUSIVE: A US intelligence memo I obtained shows Russian influence ops are trying to convince Americans aid for Ukraine is the reason the war is dragging. And another memo I got my hands on warns Russia’ll try to interfere in US midterms
@thedailybeast

How Vladimir Putin Is Plotting to Weasel His Way Into American Hearts
Shannon Vavra

9-11 minutes


Ever since Russian President Vladimir Putin launched a war in Ukraine this February, his ouster has been predicted up the wazoo; the invasion hasn’t been the quick success he’d hoped it would be, his insider circle has been itching to get rid of him, and he’s rumored to have cancer.
But rather than counting on exiting the political scene in dramatic fashion, Putin might be betting that he can somehow outlast his detractors as well as the Biden Administration, whose security assistance for Ukraine has been pivotal in keeping a Russian win at bay. And part of Putin’s plot to outlive the Biden administration is likely to include influence operations aimed at securing an American political environment that’s more favorable to his goals, former CIA and Department of Homeland Security officials told The Daily Beast.
That scheme will inevitably aim to influence voters participating in both the midterms and the presidential election in 2024 in an attempt to get candidates elected who are somehow more sympathetic to Putin, according to Daniel Hoffman, a former CIA Moscow chief of station.
“He’s going to try really, really hard to… exacerbate those isolationist tendencies and kind of induce us to question, ‘Why are we supporting Ukraine?’” Hoffman said. “He’s trying to dilute U.S. support for [Ukrainian President] Zelensky.”
Already, Russian influence operations targeting American and Western audiences appear to be weakening Americans’ support and appetite for providing aid to Ukraine, according to a U.S. intelligence community bulletin obtained by The Daily Beast.

President Joe Biden and Russian President Vladimir Putin meet during the U.S.-Russia summit in Geneva a year ago.

Peter Klaunzer/Keystone via Getty

The May intelligence bulletin from the Office of Intelligence and Analysis at the Department of Homeland Security says the Kremlin’s influence arm has focused Russian influence operations that are targeting American audiences almost entirely on the war in Ukraine. Russian state media and proxy information operations are working to paint Western support for Ukraine as the reason the war is dragging on so long, and the reason there is a growing food crisis. Never mind the fact the conflict and grain export problems exist because Putin chose to invade Ukraine in the first place.
“Outlets claimed… that Western nations prolonged the conflict by sending military aid to Ukraine,” reads the intelligence brief, which focused on Russian information operations in May. “Outlets claimed that Western actions were causing global food prices to soar.”

The intelligence team also assesses that the Russian government remains one of the primary threats to the United States due to its “malicious cyber operations against federal and state, local, tribal, and territorial governments, election organizations,” and more.
The Russian influence shops have also particularly been zeroing in on the idea that Western security assistance to Ukraine has been escalating the war.
“Putin’s thinking: ‘I can outlast all you people.’ ”
“Outlets regularly published stories about Western arms shipments and pledges of aid to Ukraine, saying that they further destabilize and prolong the conflict,” the intelligence assessment states. “Outlets spread claims that there was no accountability for weapons entering Ukraine, which would likely lead to them being misdirected.”
These kinds of narratives are only likely to increase in the coming days as Putin seeks to shore up his power, according to Brian Harrell, a former Assistant Secretary at the Department of Homeland Security.
“As health related rumors swirl surrounding Putin, I suspect we will see an uptick in propaganda and even counter-messages from loyalists,” Harrell told The Daily Beast.

Any good spy will tell you it’s impossible to get inside Putin’s head. But Russian information operations can offer a clue. In distracting Americans from supporting Ukraine, and as Russian forces continue to try to take key Ukrainian cities, Putin is likely hoping that he can stave off defeat in Ukraine and therefore stave off an ouster, too.
“Putin’s thinking: ‘I can outlast all you people. And if I get this to 2024, I might get a Republican who doesn’t feel like Joe Biden,’” Hoffman told The Daily Beast. “They’re students of American politics. Of course he’s going to look at the midterms and he’s looking at anybody who’s… against the war in Ukraine.”
Russian election interference may also include efforts to advance politicians or themes that would reverse sanctions against Russia, according to Gavin Wilde, a former director for Russia, Baltic, and Caucasus affairs on the White House National Security Council.

“Their major headache has been the idea that Washington is kind of facilitating Ukraine’s westward geopolitical tilt,” Wilde, who contributed to the U.S. intelligence community’s assessment of Russian interference in the 2016 presidential election, told The Daily Beast. “To the extent that they can both delegitimize that in Ukraine proper as well as delegitimize those forces in Washington, D.C. and break that strain of support over the longer term, that’s kind of the major end goal.”
Russia has long intervened in American politics by choosing a preferred candidate to support in influence operations. In 2016, Putin developed a preference for Donald Trump’s candidacy, according to a Senate Intelligence Committee assessment. In the buildup to the 2020 presidential elections, Putin had Russian influence operations denigrating Biden’s candidacy while supporting Trump’s reelection, according to a National Intelligence Council briefing on the matter.

President Donald Trump meets Putin on the first day of the G20 summit in Osaka, Japan, in 2019.

Anadolu Agency via Getty

Russian proxies and information operations teams have also worked to meddle in U.S. politics by exacerbating existing divisions in the United States in order to sow discord and create distrust in the U.S. government. Even before the coronavirus pandemic, vaccination debates were a favorite of the Kremlin. Between 2014 and 2017 Russian influence operations linked to the Russian government Internet Research Agency (IRA) focused on pumping both pro- and anti-vaccination narratives online to amplify divisions around vaccination in the United States. In the buildup to the 2016 presidential elections, Russia’s Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR) aimed to stoke racial divisions by creating fake Black Lives Matter groups on Facebook. In 2020, Russian efforts focused on inflaming racial tensions and on duping real journalists to publish posts that would inflame political tensions.

Some of Putin’s influence operations in the coming months are likely to try to dig in on existing divisive issues to create more tension and drama in the United States, just as Russian operations have before, both to sow discord and distract from the war in Ukraine.
“Certainly there’s probably a line of thought out of Moscow that any country if distracted by its own internal problems will have less of an appetite for foreign problems,” Wilde told The Daily Beast. “All politics are local in that sense and I think the Kremlin certainly grasps that—that might be one kind of avenue through which to kind of limit Washington’s appetite or capacity to support Ukraine.”

And according to a second intelligence bulletin from the Office of Intelligence and Analysis that The Daily Beast obtained, the intelligence community already believes that the Kremlin is seeking to interfere in the midterm elections this year.
“We expect Russian interference in the upcoming 2022 midterm elections, as Russia views this activity as an equitable response to perceived actions by Washington and an opportunity to both undermine U.S. global standing and influence U.S. decision-making,” the June intelligence bulletin, which was first reported by CNN, reads.
The DHS intelligence team expects the Russian government to continue to rely on troll farms, state media outlets, and other proxies online to spread pro-Russia narratives and to try to divide Americans in the coming months.
“We assess that Russia will continue malign influence and interference activities designed to undermine U.S. global prestige, sow division among the American public, undermine faith in U.S. democratic institutions, and portray Russia as a global power,” the intelligence brief states.

One topic Putin might be eyeing is support in the United States for Europe, and in particular, U.S. dedication to the North Atlantic Treaty Organization and other security assistance to Ukraine and Europe, according to Wilde.
“There’s going to probably be, by 2024, a crystallized debate about the degree of U.S. commitment to Europe… including Ukraine,” Wilde said. “Putin is very well aware that that debate is probably only going to become more acute.”
Part of the Kremlin’s information operations tactics to undermine the U.S. political process will be aimed at suppressing the American vote by dissuading voters from showing up to the polls, the report states.

“Russian malign influence actors likely will attempt to dissuade U.S. voters from participating in the 2022 midterm elections using similar tactics employed during the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, such as targeting audiences with false information about voting logistics, exacerbating racial tensions, and levying attacks or praise on candidates from either political party,” the report states.
 
jed turtle

jed turtle

a brother in the Lord
Walrus said:
Then you should go to their website to read their skewed trash at your leisure without having it hog the server space here with its overly-long, pretentious "expertise" posts.

Institute for the Study of War

The owners of that company were exposed on this site long ago - primary owner is Kimberly Kagan who - to make a long story short - is the sister-in-law of Victoria Nuland, and both their husbands serve in leftist globalist think tanks in DC. They are together a key part of the cabal which encourages Bai-Den to fight to the last Ukrainian.

As an adopted Ukrainian (which I consider you as, it's perfectly understandable and no offense intended at all), if there were a single person at who I'd be focused who created this whole mess, I'd swing the barrels from Putin, Putin, Putin to Victoria Nuland singlehandedly-picking the members of the US-subservient Ukrainian puppet government which was installed by the US-instigated post-Maidan revolution. Not to mention that they continued and even strengthened the Ukrainian USA-Demonrat laundromat facility. Obama's bloody hands are all over it, of course.
Click to expand...
Can’t be repeated enough...
 
O

Oreally

Right from the start
View: https://youtu.be/6KDbOBbmbhY


15 min rt

first five min covers next possible and/or probable Lithuanian embargo moves. then very good intro into impact of war on global titanium use.

at 10 min, unit level with map of critical situation in Severodonetsk. he claims that as of today both sides have 65-70% of all their forces faced off there and only holding actions are going on everywhere else.
 
WTSR

WTSR

Veteran Member
t.me

Intel Slava Z

⚡Elite French officers of Saint Cyr in Ukraine as instructors? This week, an unidentified French citizen posted a photo in a private chat to tell his comrades that he had arrived in Ukraine. At first glance, one might think he is just a French civilian. But on detail caught our attention...
t.me t.me

⚡️Elite French officers of Saint Cyr in Ukraine as instructors?

This week, an unidentified French citizen posted a photo in a private chat to tell his comrades that he had arrived in Ukraine.

At first glance, one might think he is just a French civilian. But on detail caught our attention:

Under his plate carrier (CIRAS, french army one) one logo can be seen inscribed on his jumper.

It is the logo of the ESM of Saint Cyr, the elite military school that trains the best French officers. It has links with other similar NATO schools such as West Point and Sandhurst. The school has also trained many African generals who have gone on to make pro-French coup d'état...

The man in the photo appears to be in "Мала Любаша" ("50.8370° N, 26.5174°E"), a village near Zhytomir.

Is this man part of a group of elite French officers sent to Ukraine to train local troops? We have passed the information on to the Russian Ministry of Defence so that they can take the necessary steps.
 
West

West

Senior
Quote...

Russia's Finance Ministry proposed to create separate special precious metals and gems reserves intended for quick mobilization in times of war. This is an amendment to an existing bill and if passed, Russian President Vladimir Putin would be able to directly oversee how the special reserves are used, according to the proposed legislation.

The proposed amendment states that part of Russia's precious metals and gemstone reserves would be set aside to be used for the mobilization needs of the country, Russian media reported this week citing the existing bill titled "On mobilization training and mobilization in the Russian Federation."

Russian gold and foreign exchange reserves include gold, silver, platinum, palladium, natural diamonds, emeralds, rubies, sapphires, natural pearls, unique ambers, and more.

Under the law, these special reserves would be made available to sell if the country needed additional funding to maintain its defense capabilities as well as its economic and financial security during times of "mobilization," RBC.ru reported.

End quote.

Source...

www.kitco.com

Russia looks to set up special gold and gem reserves to mobilize during times of war

www.kitco.com
 
Zagdid

Zagdid

Veteran Member
www.kyivpost.com

Russia shelling shuts down Ukrainian oil refining

Ukraine’s entire oil sector has been forced to halt refining operations due to massive Russian shelling… - Jun. 22, 2022. By Aleksandra Klitina
www.kyivpost.com www.kyivpost.com

Russia shelling shuts down Ukrainian oil refining
By Aleksandra Klitina. Published June 22 at 6:35 pm

Ukraine’s entire oil sector has been forced to halt refining operations due to massive Russian shelling, Yuriy Vitrenko, the CEO of Ukrainian Oil and Gas company Naftogaz, said at a June 21 press conference in Kyiv.

The incessant shelling has made it near impossible to provide oil products to the Ukrainian market, Vitrenko said in comments broadcast on Naftogaz Ukraine’s YouTube channel.

“Unfortunately, these strikes began in the first days of the war,” Vitrenko said.

“All oil refining in Ukraine is now shut down due to massive repeated attacks by the aggressor, and it’s difficult to ensure the supply of oil products to the Ukrainian market, which is the reason for the shortage,” Vitrenko said.

Addressing potential solutions to the problem, Vitrenko said that Ukrainian authorities have set out to make Naftogaz the national operator for Ukraine’s oil products market.

“When Naftogaz has full management, a network of gas stations, and when the problem with logistics is solved, then we’ll have a way to create a national reserve of petroleum products, and Naftogaz will be able to solve problems in the fuel market, ensure stability, transparency and fair prices.”

Fuel shortage appeared in Ukraine at the end of April, due in large part to the destruction by Russia of Ukrainian oil depots and the Kremenchuk refinery, the absence of supplies from the Russian Federation, as well as Russian blocking imports by sea, the head of the Parliament committee on energy, housing and communal services, Andriy Gerus, said.

First Vice Prime Minister and Minister of the Economy Yulia Svyrydenko said April 29 that the problem would be resolved within a week.

In May, Ukraine’s Cabinet of Ministers decided to suspend state regulation of fuel prices. In June, so-called “green corridors” were agreed for the import of fuel into Ukraine from the EU using fuel trucks.

On June 13, Svyrydenko announced that Ukraine planned to increase the import of gasoline and diesel fuel in June by 60% compared to May by up to 600,000 tons.
 
jward

jward

passin' thru
R

raven

TB Fanatic
Zagdid said:
www.kyivpost.com

Russia shelling shuts down Ukrainian oil refining

Ukraine’s entire oil sector has been forced to halt refining operations due to massive Russian shelling… - Jun. 22, 2022. By Aleksandra Klitina
www.kyivpost.com www.kyivpost.com

Russia shelling shuts down Ukrainian oil refining
By Aleksandra Klitina. Published June 22 at 6:35 pm

Ukraine’s entire oil sector has been forced to halt refining operations due to massive Russian shelling, Yuriy Vitrenko, the CEO of Ukrainian Oil and Gas company Naftogaz, said at a June 21 press conference in Kyiv.

The incessant shelling has made it near impossible to provide oil products to the Ukrainian market, Vitrenko said in comments broadcast on Naftogaz Ukraine’s YouTube channel.

“Unfortunately, these strikes began in the first days of the war,” Vitrenko said.

“All oil refining in Ukraine is now shut down due to massive repeated attacks by the aggressor, and it’s difficult to ensure the supply of oil products to the Ukrainian market, which is the reason for the shortage,” Vitrenko said.

Addressing potential solutions to the problem, Vitrenko said that Ukrainian authorities have set out to make Naftogaz the national operator for Ukraine’s oil products market.

“When Naftogaz has full management, a network of gas stations, and when the problem with logistics is solved, then we’ll have a way to create a national reserve of petroleum products, and Naftogaz will be able to solve problems in the fuel market, ensure stability, transparency and fair prices.”

Fuel shortage appeared in Ukraine at the end of April, due in large part to the destruction by Russia of Ukrainian oil depots and the Kremenchuk refinery, the absence of supplies from the Russian Federation, as well as Russian blocking imports by sea, the head of the Parliament committee on energy, housing and communal services, Andriy Gerus, said.

First Vice Prime Minister and Minister of the Economy Yulia Svyrydenko said April 29 that the problem would be resolved within a week.

In May, Ukraine’s Cabinet of Ministers decided to suspend state regulation of fuel prices. In June, so-called “green corridors” were agreed for the import of fuel into Ukraine from the EU using fuel trucks.

On June 13, Svyrydenko announced that Ukraine planned to increase the import of gasoline and diesel fuel in June by 60% compared to May by up to 600,000 tons.
Click to expand...
guess where your diesel fuel is going
 
R

raven

TB Fanatic
jward said:
Nicholas Vinocur
@NicholasVinocur
3h

Incredible developments in past few hours:
-Germany preps population to conserve gas as Russia restricts supply
-IEA boss tells Europe to brace for full shutdown of RU gas imports
-EU parliament votes to force countries to save gas before winter crunch
https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1539922577048608768
View: https://twitter.com/NicholasVinocur/status/1539922577048608768?s=20&t=O8bK7CrUsf_4QBYxZBOHxg
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Hahahaha!
Russia's economic attack.
That's too funny.
The West demanded that no one buy from Russia
and so Russia said "OK"
and thats an attack
 
jward

jward

passin' thru
The Lookout
@The_Lookout_N
2h

Unconfirmed, but if correct, this is a good indicator of covert mobilization. Russia struggles to replace losses in existing units using their current approach, so hard to see them raising new units without changes. Any additional info on this would be highly appreciated.
1655994932708.png
 
jward

jward

passin' thru

Ніел Блейзер
@NeilBlaser

Replying to
@laraseligman
and
@AP
To cut off the nonsense at the knees, this $450M comes out of the 40B allocated to Ukraine. This is not new spending.
The previous 700 million package also came out of the 40B allocation. Any aid sent to Ukraine is coming from that package, unless congress authorizes new spending, which it currently has not. The 40B is to be distributed through Sept 2023. (Source: read the bill lol)

12:38 PM · Jun 23, 2022·Twitter Web App




Zagdid said:
Curious. What budget is this money coming from? What appropriation?
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WTSR

WTSR

Veteran Member
t.me

ASB Military News

You can view and join @asbmil right away.
t.me t.me

What the Armed Forces of Ukraine hear on the other side of the front in the Severodonetsk-Lysychansk pocket through their radios — “zelensky has sold you out like he sold out Azov. No help is coming. You are encircled. There’s no way out. Save your lives and surrender.”
 
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