[OT] Good gawd...........it's close!!

[rodeorector]

I'm on pins and needles.

 

[Thomas Paine]

Yep. As I said in chat remember the Truman /Dewey contest of 1948 .Tommorrow when the final precient voting figures are in may change everything.Then add the provisional ballots, and absentee ballots it's anyone's race. Pray for divine intervention so we can keep the Godless Commie Kerry out of the white house.

 

[Aleph Null]

I just posted this on the election forum. This would be IMO the "worst-case scenario".

Bush took 278 EVs in 2000. If he gets them all again, he wins 278-260.

He either has or is leading in all the states he took in 2000 except for NH and NV. NH and NV combined have 9 EVs....



-A0-

 

[sparkky]

I'm sure the hordes of lawyers are too!!! It will probably be the end of the week before we know anything for sure. BEST CASE
IMHO

 

[SouthernGal]

Fox just called New Hampshire for Kerry.

 

[Rams82]

If Bush takes Alaska and Ohio and loses the rest its an electoral tie.

 

[SageTheRage]

I understood it to be Maine that they just called for Kerry - still too close to call in NH

 

[Sparco]

If Bush takes Alaska and Ohio and loses the rest its an electoral tie.

Then what happens????????????

 

[cin]

Bush is catching up 49-50% in both Iowa and Wisc.

Geez I'm getting a tension headache.

 

[Aleph Null]

Then what happens????????????

Lots and lots of lawsuits.

cin: Relax, it's not like the fate of the free world is riding on this. Oh wait... it is.

-A0-

 

[cin]

Bush is now behind Kerry by less than 1% in three states - NV, WI, and IA

 

[PentelPen]

In the event of an electoral tie, the House of Representatives votes and Bush will be elected.

 

[Sparco]

it's not like the fate of the free world is riding on this. Oh wait... it is.

May be we will wake up and it will all be a bad dream or go away like Y2K.

 

[Amazed]

Fox did give NH to Kerry. Hey - I tried. Maine's EV's are split 3 for Kerry, 1 for Bush. Bush is ahead in NM and closing the gap quickly in Michigan.

 

[RTS]

And West Virginia will split 4 for Bush and 1 for Kerry. Back to a tie... Looks like a plan...

 

[Synap]

Keep in mind that what's being (sorta) reported is the usual inperson voting. There's still early votes, absentees, and provisionals to be counted.

Prolly each state may be different but the timeline order here in AZ is ballot (fairly immediate), absentee (a week or so), early vote (week), provisional (likely a month if there are no serious legal challenges). Those could make a diff in a really close state.

 

[summerthyme]

Talk about close- this is what C-Span is reporting on Iowa right now:
Iowa ElectTotal: 7 Precincts Reporting: 86%
Name Party Vote Pct Electoral
Bush Rep 664,401 50 0
Kerry Dem 664,586 50 0
Nader PEC 5,008 0 0
Badnarik Lib 2,512 0 0
Peroutka CST 1,136 0 0
Cobb Grn 996 0 0
Harris SWP 331 0 0
Van Auken PEC 139 0 0


We may not know the final results on this one before Thanksgiving. I hope it's Thanksgiving 2004!

Summerthyme

 

[expose']

Bush is going to win.........Here's how I know.....

For 10 whole minutes - Bush and Cheney were ahead of Kerry/Edwards in Washington state!!
THIS IS UNHEARD OF IN THE LIBERAL LEFT COAST!!!!

And - at this very moment.....Bush is trailing Kerry in Washigton state by only a few percentage points!


If it can get this close on the west coast - then Bush has it in the bag!

 

[cin]

NV and IA are now tied

 

[Aleph Null]

Bush is going to win.........Here's how I know.....

For 10 whole minutes - Bush and Cheney were ahead of Kerry/Edwards in Washington state!!
THIS IS UNHEARD OF IN THE LIBERAL LEFT COAST!!!!

Congratulations on possibly the most illogical reasoning for projecting a state I've ever seen.

Early results often are skewed based on which precincts report first. Often early reports come from smaller precincts in rural areas where Bush would be expected to lead. It's not "unheard of", it's normal.

And - at this very moment.....Bush is trailing Kerry in Washigton state by only a few percentage points!

He's trailing 53-46, which is right around where most of the polls were for WA this past week.

-A0-

 

[cin]

Bush pulls ahead in IA

drops back a bit in NV

 

[Unique]

There is hope for WA state!!! So shocked to see Bush do so well!

 

[PentelPen]

Why not just say Bush will win because he's ahead in New Mexico? You can even say he's ahead by a VAST MAJORITY if you want.

 

[cin]

Why not just say Bush will win because he's ahead in New Mexico? You can even say he's ahead by a VAST MAJORITY if you want.

Because it's more fun this way.

And now that we're all too amped up to sleep...

 

[Aleph Null]

You can even say he's ahead by a VAST MAJORITY if you want.

Isn't he?

-A0-

 

[Laurane]

I want to congratulate CNN on their great website.......

I have been following the results online all night - state by state and county by county.......No way GWB can lose now as of 11:28 pm MST.

New Mexico - Bush has a growing lead of 23,000 with 86% reporting = 5 EVs

Iowa just went from Kerry to Bush by a 5,000 lead with 91% reporting = 7 EVs

Ohio - Bush leads by 130,000 with 90% reporting = 20 EVs

Much better overall than they/we/most people expected......with 246 votes right now and the above EVs, he will have 278 plus maybe Hawaii and that doesn''t include Nevada which is plugging along at almost even.

I predict at 11:32 that GW Bush will be the next US President - hey, I beat out all the news networks

 

[Amazed]

Bush didn't get that 1 EV from Maine afterall.

 

[expose']

Aleph.....

You just have to understand the logic of Washington state to understand how illogical a momentary Bush lead is!!

My God! It was invigorating for those 10 minutes!!!!!!!

 

[Synap]

...You can even say he's ahead by a VAST MAJORITY if you want.

Is that one of those VAST MAJORITY Conspiracies?

 

[TerraHertz]

Rigged to tie

Elsewhere: >So it looks like Bush is gonna win the US election.

The rigged pre-electon polls, the rigged electronic voting, and the candidates (both Skull & Bones members, both pro-Israel, both pro-war, both determined to avoid any pre-election discussion of _real_ issues) were put in place NOT so one or the other Repub/Dem could clearly win.

It didn't matter whether Bush or Kerry won - they are two faces of the same evil.
What mattered, was that there be no chance for the US people to demonstrate any large anti-war majority of opinion. No way to demonstrate to themselves, to learn by the numbers, that the majority strongly oppose the present US course of action.

So the whole sham was staged to produce the appearance of a neck and neck race, with 'other' candidates (like Nader) rarely seen, and barely showing a result.

>Life SUCKS.
>
>REALLY SUCKS.

Yes. However, things haven't even begun to suck like they're going to soon.

With the slight correction, that life itself is very fine, but vast conspiracies of corporate evil and wealth do REALLY, REALLY suck.

If the people don't buy this, today is the first day of the Second American Revolution.

 

[cin]

Here's a paranoid thought...

Do you think that maybe they are trying to stall announcing the winner because of fears of terrorism?