WAR Main Persian Gulf Trouble thread

northern watch

TB Fanatic
Saudi Arabia says it intercepted Houthi missile that hurt 2
Saudi Arabia says it has intercepted a ballistic missile fired by Yemen’s Houthi rebels, which sent debris crashing down over a neighborhood near Dammam that wounded at least two children

By The Associated Press
5 September 2021, 03:32

DUBAI, United Arab Emirates -- Saudi Arabia intercepted a ballistic missile fired by Yemen's Houthi rebels and debris that fell on a neighborhood near Dammam wounded at least two children, the kingdom said Sunday.

Images published by the state-run Saudi Press Agency showed glass and debris across a townhouse there, which is in the kingdom’s eastern reaches and near the headquarters of the state-run oil giant Saudi Aramco. At least 14 homes in the area sustained damage, the agency reported.

The Houthis launched three bomb-laden drones and three ballistic missiles in the attack, military spokesman Brig. Gen. Turki al-Malki said.

Houthi military spokesman Yahia Sarei said in a tweet the rebels launched a military operation deep in Saudi Arabia. In a statement later Sunday, the rebels claimed they sent at least eight explosive-laded drones and fired one ballistic missile on Aramco facilities in the city of Ras Tanura, about 55 kilometers (34 miles) north of Dammam.

The Houthis also claimed they targeted Aramco facilities in the cities of Jeddah, Jizan and Najran with five ballistic missiles and two explosive-laden drones.

The rebels did not offer evidence supporting their claims.

The U.S. Consulate in nearby Dhahran sent an alert to American citizens warning them about the attack, which it described as targeting the area around Dhahran, Dammam and Khobar.

“Stay alert in case of additional future attacks,” the consulate said.

Saudi Arabia is mired in a yearslong, deadlocked war backing Yemen's toppled government against the Iranian-backed Houthis. The Saudi-led war, which began in March 2015, has seen an uptick in recent months amid a Houthi effort to capture the city of Marib.

That also has seen renewed, long-range attacks by the Houthis on Saudi Arabia. A bomb-laden drone on Tuesday crashed into the kingdom's Abha airport, wounding eight people and damaging a civilian plane.

Airstrikes and ground fighting in Yemen have killed more than 130,000 people and spawned the world’s worst humanitarian crisis.

The weekend attacks on Saudi Arabia came as Swedish diplomat Hans Grundberg took up his post Sunday as the United Nations envoy for Yemen.

Grundberg said in a message to Yemenis that he accepted the post “with the full understanding of the magnitude of the task, the complexity of the situation and the challenges that lie ahead.”

Grundberg, who served as the European Union’s ambassador to Yemen for almost two years, succeeded Martin Griffiths of Britain. Griffiths recently took up his new post as U.N. undersecretary-general for humanitarian affairs and emergency relief coordinator.

Saudi Arabia says it intercepted Houthi missile that hurt 2 - ABC News (go.com)
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
Posted for fair use.....

After The Taliban, Iran Eyes Victory Over US – OpEd
September 6, 2021 Arab News 0 Comments
By Arab News


By Dalia Al-Aqidi*

The important visit of new Israeli Prime Minister Naftali Bennett to Washington last month was largely overshadowed by the Afghanistan debacle. A suicide attack at Kabul airport even delayed the meeting between the Israeli leader and US President Joe Biden, who was preoccupied with the severe implications of the most chaotic foreign policy crisis his administration has faced.

Iran and America’s re-entry to the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action were top of Bennett’s agenda during his meeting with the American leader. He wanted to convince Biden that a strong regime in Iran would be catastrophic for both of their countries.

Even though the meeting did not get its fair share of media coverage, several news outlets reported that the Israeli leader assured Biden that he would act differently from his predecessor, Benjamin Netanyahu, by refraining from publicly campaigning against the Iran nuclear deal.

In a speech before a joint meeting of Congress on Capitol Hill in Washington in 2015, Netanyahu criticized the US and described the JCPOA as a “very bad deal.” The deal will “guarantee” that Iran gets nuclear weapons because it allows the Islamic Republic to keep much of its nuclear infrastructure in place, he said. The alternative to a bad deal is not war, as some supporters of the deal with Iran have said, but “the alternative to this bad deal is a much better deal,” Netanyahu said.

The Biden administration is aiming to build a new and improved personal relationship between the Democratic president and the leader of Israel, following the eight-year-long touchy and edgy relationship between Barack Obama and Netanyahu.

According to the White House, the Iranian threat was discussed during the Biden-Bennett meeting. “The president made clear his commitment to ensure Iran never develops a nuclear weapon. The leaders reviewed steps to deter and contain Iran’s dangerous regional behavior. They reiterated their commitments to work constructively and deepen cooperation to address all aspects of Israel’s security against Iran and other threats,” a statement read.

What about the fate of the US-Iran talks that were adjourned in June after the hard-liner Ebrahim Raisi won Iran’s presidential election? For how long should Washington wait for Tehran to decide if it wants to go back to the negotiating table?

It seems that the Democratic administration is willing to wait as long as the Iranians make them, according to Special Envoy for Iran Robert Malley, who said in a television interview that it was understandable for the new government in Iran to need time to organize itself, while adding that his government was prepared to be patient. Malley sent a clear message to the Iranian regime that Biden was adamant about reaching a deal and that he would not have spent this much time and effort only to “pack up and leave.”

Making catastrophic foreign policy mistakes will be the Biden’s administration’s legacy. The president is making a habit of giving the other side all the leverage it needs while negotiating in the name of diplomacy. That is exactly what happened with the Taliban during the humiliating exit from Afghanistan, which the radical Islamic government of Iran was watching, taking notes on and cheering.

Regardless of the Israeli warning that a deal with Iran will provide it with economic sanctions relief and unleash a new, fiercer wave of atrocities in the region, Biden emphasized to Bennett the importance of diplomacy in dealing with Tehran, giving him vague and unspecified options if the negotiations fail.

In his first post-election interview on Iranian national television, Raisi expressed his desire to continue the negotiations, but without any pressure or threats to his country and while also demanding the lifting of all sanctions imposed on it by the US since 2017. “In these talks, we seek to obtain the lifting of oppressive sanctions. We will not give in on the interests of the great Iranian nation,” he said.

Meanwhile, his Foreign Ministry spokesman Saeed Khatibzadeh said on Saturday: “Washington must understand that it has no other choice but to abandon its addiction to sanctions and show respect, both in its statements and in its behavior, toward Iran.”

These two statements summarize how the new Islamic Republic government views the current US administration and the way it plans to deal with it. Why would Tehran rush to negotiate with Washington if it has Beijing and Moscow on its side?

By revoking the terrorist designation of the pro-Iran Houthi movement in Yemen and abandoning its closest allies in Afghanistan, leaving behind its citizens and friends who served with its troops, the US has become a weakened superpower Iran would love to defeat. If the Taliban has done it, then surely Iran can too.

Dalia Al-Aqidi is a senior fellow at the Center for Security Policy. Twitter: @DaliaAlAqidi
 

jward

passin' thru




Israel Radar
@IsraelRadar_com

13m

#Iran moves high-precision missiles into Syria via Quds Force & aims them at Israel, IDF general Tal Kalman tells@tallevram ; In #Lebanon, Hezbollah has arsenal of 100 or more precision-guided rockets, military journalist Amos Harel reports.

_____________

Israel Radar
@IsraelRadar_com

3h

#Israel police on high alert for terror attack or abductions by 6 fugitives who escaped from prison; terrorists are highly dangerous, may be armed; security boosted at crowded sites including malls & synagogues; all special police forces on alert (@WallaNews)

________________





Israel Radar
@IsraelRadar_com

4h

Terror alert for #Israeli & Jewish targets in #India: intelligence agencies warn of elevated threat during Jewish holiday season, @ani_digital reports (via @IsraelD_Heb); Israeli citizens on hit list of unnamed terror organization, report says.
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
We're in countdown......

Posted for fair use.....

Iran has enough uranium to build nuclear weapon in less than two weeks, probe finds
EMBOLDENED Iran has chosen one of the pioneers of its nuclear weapons programme to help lead its current efforts in what experts say is "a clear message to the West".
By MARCO GIANNANGELI, SUNDAY EXPRESS DIPLOMATIC EDITOR

PUBLISHED: 13:52, Sun, Sep 5, 2021 | UPDATED: 13:52, Sun, Sep 5, 2021

The appointment of vice president Mohammad Eslami to head Iran's Atomic Energy Organisation (AEOI) emerges just days before a damning report is due to confirm that the regime now has enough enriched uranium to build a nuclear weapon in less than two weeks. And it comes as the problematic withdrawal from Afghanistan has caused US allies and foes alike to question the desire of President Joe Biden’s resolve on the world stage.

During the 1980s Brig Gen Eslami led an Iranian delegation to meet Abdul Qadir Khan, the father of Pakistan’s atomic bomb who ran an extensive smuggling network.

And between 2004-07, as director of the Defence Training and Research Institute ‑ part of the Ministry of Defence ‑ he oversaw the development of Iran’s first missile re-entry vehicles and the early stages of the uranium enrichment programme in the early stages.

This led to him being placed on a UN Security Council’s sanctions list in 2008.

Speaking last night former deputy director general of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) Oli Heinonen warned the time had come for a new, more robust approach to Iran’s nuclear threat.

“Iran is sending a message that it doesn't care what the West may think,” said Heinonen, now with the Stimson Centre think tank.

“Moreover, in a couple of days the new IAEA report will be an eye-opener. I predict it will show that stocks of 60 percent enriched uranium and 20 percent enriched uranium, when combined, are enough to produce one nuclear device in just a few weeks - less than two months.

"This means Iran has already achieved a kind of immunity.”

He accused France, Germany and the UK ‑ the so-called E3 which are still engaged with the JCPOA Iran nuclear deal ‑ and Biden, who was vice president under Barack Obama when it was brokered, of “living in the past”.

“Sadly Biden and Europe are still living in the past. The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action was based on hope, not fact. It has failed. Iran has moved on,” he said.

“Biden has the need to preserve a legacy he was part of. But it is the E3 who will feel the pressure of this new development. After all, this has happened on their watch.”

With the US still technically out of the JCPOA, it will be down to the E3 to invoke a so-called ‘snapback’ to reverse the lifting of sanctions agreed under the terms of the deal.

“But this is also an opportunity to find a different approach. Iran has no real interest in nuclear weapons, but it does want to end all sanctions," he added.
“One way forward would be for the E3 to offer Iran
uranium for a peaceful nuclear programme, on condition that it no longer enriches its own. If it complies, it will reap vast economic benefits. If it does not, it will find itself the subject to harder sanctions than before.

“Only a tangible bargain like this can hope to result in real change. It would represent a win-win for diplomacy .”

Since Biden came to power, Iran’s regime has also forced through a new hardline government, headed by the so-called “Butcher of Tehran” Ebrahim Raisi ‑ notorious for his role in the execution of 30,000 political prisoners, including women and children belonging to People’s Mojahedin Organisation of Iran.

Raisi was personally selected by Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei to stand for June’s presidential elections, and won following a mass boycott.

His cabinet contains four ministers who are subject to UN or US sanctions, including Interior Minster Big Gen Ahmad Vahidi, one of the founders of Iran’s terrorist Quds force and mastermind of the 1994 bombing of a Jewish Community Centre in Argentina, and Roads and Urban Development minister Rostam Ghasemi who, while oil minster under former president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, plundered hundreds of billions of dollars of Iranian oil revenues in the service of the Revolutionary Guards, for the nuclear, and ballistic missile programs and terrorist projects.

Speaking last night Shahin Gobadi, of the People's Mojahedin Organization of Iran, said: “Ebrahim Raisi’s cabinet makes it palpably clear that the regime is hell-bent on pursuing a repressive agenda at home; while it uses its missile and nuclear weapons program to continue to destabilise the Middle East, as reflected by Eslami's appointment."
 

Melodi

Disaster Cat
Not sure what the RV event refers to.
In the woo-section, there is an update on how a number of independent remote viewing groups shaw a Mushroom cloud over a city with some (but not lots) of tall buildings and with mountains in the background (for September).

More information can be found in the woo-room for anyone that is interested - but Tehran does look like some of the drawings made by some of the remote viewers.

Though honestly, I would be surprised if they put their nuclear program there, after all, it is highly seismic and prone to huge Earthquakes, I suspect their facilities are mostly underground and in the mountains.

But, we shall see, I agree Israeli is likely to strike and probably soon.
 

jward

passin' thru
Drum beatin' tempo harder n faster. . .

Top Officers: IDF Building Military Power for Iran War


2 minutes​



Top Officers: IDF Building Military Power for Iran War 1
IDF building military power vs. Iran (Archive: IDF/CC)

Israel is preparing military plans and capabilities for an all-out war against Iran, the commander of the army’s Iranian front says. The intensive military buildup was recently approved by the government, Major General Tal Kalman told Maariv daily.
The IDF is preparing for a wide-ranging campaign against Iran that goes beyond a strike on its nuclear sites, the senior officer said. The army will aim to deliver a grave blow to the regime in Tehran by hitting key assets and military resources, he added.

The IDF is also building and constantly improving the capacity to destroy Iran’s nuclear project, Maj. Gen. Kalman said. Israel is speeding up the development of new capabilities and preparing a wide range of battle plans, he noted.
Earlier, IDF Chief Aviv Kochavi said that the IDF has greatly accelerated preparations for an assault on Iran. The army will present the government with a range of strike plans once the government decides to attack, he told Walla News.
Israel is now engaged in an intensive effort to collect intelligence, boost military capabilities, and build a large arsenal of munitions, the army chief said.
Recently, Israel’s Air Force chief visited the US to meet with top defense officials and executives to advance the buildup of the IDF’s air power.

 

bobfall2005

Veteran Member
In the woo-section, there is an update on how a number of independent remote viewing groups shaw a Mushroom cloud over a city with some (but not lots) of tall buildings and with mountains in the background (for September).

More information can be found in the woo-room for anyone that is interested - but Tehran does look like some of the drawings made by some of the remote viewers.

Though honestly, I would be surprised if they put their nuclear program there, after all, it is highly seismic and prone to huge Earthquakes, I suspect their facilities are mostly underground and in the mountains.

But, we shall see, I agree Israeli is likely to strike and probably soon.
Thank you
 

northern watch

TB Fanatic
UN nuke watchdog: Iran pressing on with uranium enrichment
The U.N. atomic watchdog says Iran has continued to increase its stockpile of highly enriched uranium that could be used to make nuclear weapons in contravention of a 2015 accord with world powers that was meant to contain Tehran’s nuclear program

By KIYOKO METZLER Associated Press
September 7, 2021, 8:28 PM

VIENNA -- The U.N. atomic watchdog said on Tuesday that Iran has continued to increase its stockpile of highly enriched uranium that could be used to make nuclear weapons in contravention of a 2015 accord with world powers that was meant to contain Tehran's nuclear program.

The International Atomic Energy Agency also told member states in its confidential quarterly report Tuesday that its verification and monitoring activities have been “seriously undermined” since February by Iran's refusal to let inspectors access IAEA monitoring equipment.

The Vienna-based agency told members that its confidence in properly assessing Iran's activities - what it called the “continuity of knowledge” - was declining over time and that would continue "unless the situation is immediately rectified by Iran”.

The IAEA said certain monitoring and surveillance equipment cannot be left for more than three months without being serviced. It was provided with access this month to four surveillance cameras installed at one site, but one of the cameras had been destroyed and a second had been severely damaged, the agency said.

Its director-general, Rafael Mariano Grossis, said he was willing to travel to Iran to meet the recently elected government for talks.

The agency said it estimates Iran’s stock of uranium enriched to up to 60% fissile purity at 10 kilograms, an increase of 7.6 kilograms since May, while the country's stockpile of uranium enriched to up to 20% fissile purity is now estimated at 84.3 kilograms, up from 62.8 kilograms three months earlier.

Iran’s total stock of uranium is estimated at 2441.3 kilograms as of Aug. 30, down from 3241 kilograms on May 22, the agency said.

Tehran is only permitted to stockpile 202.8 kilograms of uranium under the nuclear deal known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, or JCPOA, which promises Iran economic incentives in exchange for limits on its nuclear program, and is meant to prevent Tehran from developing a nuclear bomb.

The U.S. unilaterally pulled out of the nuclear deal in 2018 under then-President Donald Trump, but Britain, France, Germany, China and Russia have tried to preserve the accord.

Tehran's strategy of deliberately violating the deal is seen as an attempt to put pressure particularly on Europe to provide it with incentives to offset crippling American sanctions re-imposed after the U.S. pullout.

President Joe Biden has said he is open to rejoining the pact. The last round of talks in Vienna ended in June without a clear result.

UN nuke watchdog: Iran pressing on with uranium enrichment - ABC News
 

northern watch

TB Fanatic
Iran Blocking IAEA Access to Nuclear-Related Sites; U.S., European powers must now decide whether to seek formal censure of Tehran, U.N. atomic agency says
Tuesday, September 7, 2021, 6:22 PM ET
Wall Street Journal
By Laurence Norman

Iran is refusing to allow inspectors access to nuclear-related sites and hindering a probe by the United Nations atomic agency while continuing to expand its nuclear activities, the International Atomic Energy Agency said in two confidential reports Tuesday, casting doubt on efforts to revive the 2015 nuclear deal.

The reports leave the Biden administration and its European allies facing a choice between pushing for a formal rebuke of Iran—which Tehran’s new hard-line government has warned could scuttle the resumption of nuclear talks—or refraining from action, potentially undercutting the authority of the IAEA and its leadership.

The future of the nuclear deal is already in the balance. New Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi, pressed by European and U.S. officials to quickly resume the talks on restoring the deal, has said his government is prepared to return to the Vienna negotiations but refused to fix a date. The last talks took place in June.

European and U.S. officials have said the period for reviving the nuclear deal isn’t open-ended. They are concerned that with Iran expanding its nuclear activities and knowledge, it may soon be impossible to recreate a centerpiece of the 2015 deal, keeping Iran at least one year from being able to accumulate enough weapons-grade enriched uranium for one weapon.

Senior U.S. and European negotiators will meet Friday to discuss the situation, according to diplomats. The State Department didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment on the IAEA’s findings or the international diplomatic response.

Robert Malley, the U.S. special envoy for Iran, is traveling to Moscow and Paris this week to discuss the Iranian nuclear program with Russian and European diplomats, the State Department said Tuesday.

Iran’s foreign ministry this week warned that neither side in the nuclear talks should “make a miscalculation and move in a direction that will impact the negotiations in Vienna.” On Tuesday evening, Iranian media cited Iran’s ambassador to the IAEA saying that despite extensive agency access to sites in Iran, the agency “is seeking to exaggerate issues under pressure from certain members.” Iran’s mission in Vienna didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment on the reports.

The U.S. exited the nuclear deal under former President Donald Trump in May 2018 and imposed sweeping sanctions on Tehran. Iran later took steps to breach the limits written into the 2015 agreement, which had lifted most international sanctions on Tehran in exchange for strict but temporary limits on Iran’s nuclear activities.

Iranian officials have warned that action against Iran at the IAEA board could kill off nuclear negotiations completely. The tight international sanctions campaign against Iran, which ran from 2006 until the nuclear deal in 2015, was built around censures of Iran at the IAEA board that were then escalated to the U.N. Security Council.

Tuesday’s reports lambasted Iran for failing to cooperate with the IAEA after its discovery, starting in 2019, of traces of radioactive material at several sites in Iran.

“Iran has still not provided the necessary explanations for the presence of the nuclear material particles,” one Tuesday’s reports said. “The Director General remains deeply concerned that nuclear material has been present at undeclared locations in Iran and that the current locations of this nuclear material are not known to the Agency.”

As a member of the Non-Proliferation Treaty, Iran has so-called safeguard obligations to explain the presence of undeclared nuclear material and ensure it is not being used as part of a nuclear weapons program.

Some diplomats, including Russia’s ambassador to the agency, have played down the significance of the traces, saying they were likely related to nuclear-weapons work Iran conducted in the 1990s and 2000s and don’t present any nuclear-proliferation threat.

IAEA Director General Rafael Grossi has said that view remains to be proven. He has staked the agency’s credibility on continuing to press Iran for information on where the radioactive traces came from, what they were used for and where they are now.

Iran has always denied working on nuclear weapons although the IAEA and Western governments have said Iran had an organized program for doing so that ran at least until 2003.

Tensions between Iran and the agency have also grown around a second issue: IAEA access to Iran to continue monitoring its nuclear facilities and related sites, like uranium ore mines and factories producing machines that spin enriched uranium to higher purity.

Iran in February decided to end inspectors’ access to a range of nuclear facilities in response to continued U.S. sanctions. However, the agency struck a deal with Iran that agency cameras and other monitoring equipment could continue to function. Iran would collect the data and hand it over to the IAEA if the nuclear deal was revived.

Mr. Grossi has warned that without the monitoring equipment, the IAEA would be “flying blind” in trying to assess whether Iran was diverting nuclear material and equipment to illicit uses.

In the second report, the IAEA detailed its repeated recent requests for access to sites in Iran to reset monitoring equipment, like memory cards in cameras, so they wouldn’t run out. Iran hasn’t yet granted access.

However, it did allow the agency access to cameras taken from a centrifuge assembly site which makes key components for the machines that are used to enrich uranium. Iran said the site, TESA Karaj, was the target of sabotage, which Iran blamed on Israel.

When the agency was given access on Sept. 4, it found that one of the four cameras present had been destroyed and one damaged and that the data storage and recording equipment in the destroyed camera was missing. The IAEA said Iran hasn’t yet provided the missing material and it cannot verify whether the material in the other cameras will be recoverable.

“The Director General reiterates that Iran’s failure to respond to the Agency’s requests for access to its monitoring equipment is seriously compromising the Agency’s technical capability to maintain, which is necessary for” the agency to verify and monitor Iran’s nuclear-related commitments.

The IAEA said Mr. Grossi requested to visit Iran in recent days to discuss these issues. Iran hasn’t yet responded.

The IAEA in its reports Tuesday also said Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile fell in the last three months as Iran focused on using its stockpile of low purity enriched uranium to produce more highly enriched uranium. Still, it remains more than 10 times the ceiling allowed in the 2015 nuclear deal. Iran has now produced 10 kilograms of enriched uranium with 60% purity, which is close to weapons-grade material.

With cooperation between the agency and Iran disintegrating, there are calls for the U.S. and Europe to move swiftly to rebuke Iran. The European powers considered passing a censure resolution in February over Iran’s lack of cooperation but backed off over previous Iranian threats to stay away from talks.

“The United States and Europe must lead the board in passing a resolution against Iran’s misconduct,” said Andrea Stricker, research fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, which opposes the nuclear deal. “If member states back down against Tehran’s threatening nuclear advances, reduced monitoring, and failure to cooperate…additional states will view extortion and obstruction as appealing ways to avoid their obligations.”

Write to Laurence Norman at laurence.norman@wsj.com

Iran Blocking IAEA Access to Nuclear-Related Sites - WSJ
 

danielboon

TB Fanatic
US Navy launches Mideast drone task force amid Iran tensions
Posted September 8, 2021 12:19 p.m. EDT

In this handout image from the U.S. Navy, an MQ-9 Sea Guardian unmanned maritime surveillance drone flies over the USS Coronado in the Pacific Ocean during a drill April 21, 2021. The U.S. Navy's Mideast-based 5th Fleet said Wednesday, Sept. 8, 2021, it will launch a new task force that incorporates airborne, sailing and underwater drones after years of maritime attacks linked to ongoing tensions with Iran. (U.S. Navy/Chief Mass Communication Specialist Shannon Renfroe, via AP)
By JON GAMBRELL, Associated Press
DUBAI, UNITED ARAB EMIRATES — The U.S. Navy's Mideast-based 5th Fleet said Wednesday it will launch a new task force that incorporates airborne, sailing and underwater drones after years of maritime attacks linked to ongoing tensions with Iran.
Navy officials declined to identify which systems they would introduce from their headquarters on the island nation of Bahrain in the Persian Gulf. However, they promised the coming months would see the drones stretch their capabilities across a region of chokepoints crucial to both global energy supplies and worldwide shipping.
“We want to put more systems out in the maritime domain above, on and below the sea,” said Vice Adm. Brad Cooper, who leads the 5th Fleet. “We want more eyes on what’s happening out there.”
The 5th Fleet includes the crucial Strait of Hormuz, the narrow mouth of the Persian Gulf through which 20% of all oil passes. It also stretches as far as the Red Sea reaches near the Suez Canal, the waterway in Egypt linking the Mideast to the Mediterranean, and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait off Yemen.
The systems being used by the 5th Fleet's new Task Force 59 will include some of those involved in an April test led by the Navy's Pacific Fleet. Drones used in that exercise included ultra-endurance aerial surveillance drones, surface ships the Sea Hawk and the Sea Hunter and smaller underwater drones that resemble torpedoes.
The 5th Fleet includes shallow water areas, salty waters and temperatures in the summertime that can go above 45 degrees Celsius (113 degrees Fahrenheit) with high humidity. That can prove rough for crewed vessels, let alone those running remotely.
“I think that environment really suits us well to experiment and move faster," Cooper said. "And our belief is if the new systems can work here, they can probably work anywhere else and can scale them across other fleets.”
It also represents a region that has seen a series of at-sea attacks in recent years. Off Yemen, bomb-laden drone boats and mines set adrift by Yemen's Houthi rebels have damaged vessels amid that country's yearslong war. Near the United Arab Emirates and the Strait of Hormuz, oil tankers have been seized by Iranian forces.
Suspicious explosions also have struck vessels in the region, ranging from tankers owned by Western firms, ships tied to Israel and Iranian vessels. Those attacks have become part of a wider shadow war playing out across the region in the wake of then-President Donald Trump's 2018 decision to unilaterally withdraw from Iran's nuclear deal with world powers. Iran even shot down an American drone amid the tensions.
While President Joe Biden has said he's willing to re-enter the deal, negotiations in Vienna have stalled as Iran now has a new hard-line president. That leaves open the possibility of further attacks by Iran — as well as by Israel, which has been suspected in incidents targeting Iranian shipping and its nuclear program.
Cooper acknowledged the tensions in his remarks to journalists Wednesday, but declined to go into specifics.
“We’re very aware of Iran’s posture and we’ll be prepared to deal with that appropriately,” the vice admiral said. "I’m going to leave it at that.”
Iran's mission to the United Nations did not immediately respond to a request for comment on the new Navy task force. However, it operates its own drone fleet and has published video in the past of flyovers of American aircraft carriers in the region. The U.S. military also has said fragments left by an attack in July off Oman that killed two people on an Israeli-linked ship corresponded to Iranian military drones.
 

northern watch

TB Fanatic
Iran's Nuclear Weapons Weeks Away?

BY TYLER DURDEN
ZERO HEDGE
FRIDAY, SEP 10, 2021 - 02:00 AM

Authored by Majid Rafizadeh via The Gatestone Institute,

Since the Biden administration assumed office, the nuclear talks with Iran have gone nowhere. Six rounds of negotiations have been concluded with no results. In contrast, two other issues have gone too far: the Biden administration's appeasement policies towards the Iranian regime, and the advancement of the mullahs' nuclear program.



When the Biden administration took office, it announced that it would curb Iran's nuclear program by returning to the 2015 nuclear deal -- known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), which by the way Iran never signed -- and by subsequently lifting sanctions against the Iranian government.

Apparently desperate to revive the nuclear pact, the Biden administration at once began appeasing the ruling clerics of Iran. The first concession was delivered when the administration changed the previous administration's policy of maximum pressure toward Iran's proxy militia group, the Houthis. Even as the evidence -- including a report by the United Nations -- showed that the Iranian regime was delivering sophisticated weapons to the Houthis in Yemen, the Biden administration suspended some of the sanctions against terrorism that the previous administration had imposed on the Houthis.

Soon after, the Biden administration revoked the designation of Yemen's Houthis as a terrorist group. In addition, in June 2021, the Biden administration lifted sanctions on three former Iranian officials and several energy companies. Then, in a blow to the Iranian people and advocates of democracy and human rights -- a few days after the Iranian regime handpicked a mass murderer to be its next president -- the Biden administration announced that it was also considering lifting sanctions against Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

From the perspective of Iran's mullahs, Biden's desperate efforts to resurrect the nuclear deal manifested his weak leadership and therefore a delectable opportunity for Tehran to buy time, get more concessions, advance its nuclear program and become a nuclear state.

Notwithstanding all these policies of incentives and appeasements, Iran's mullahs continued to make excuses seemingly to drag out the nuclear talks. One of the latest overtures was that the world powers ought to wait until Iran's newly elected president, Ebrahim Raisi, took office before resuming the nuclear talks.

By now, Raisi has been president of Iran for more than a month but there has not been the slightest effort by the Islamic Republic to restart any talks; in fact, all the while, the regime appears to have accelerated its enrichment of uranium to weapons-grade. This escalation has even caused concerns among some European leaders and has, surprisingly, led the EU to pressure Tehran immediately to return to the negotiating table. "We vehemently ask Iran to return to the negotiating table constructively and as soon as possible. We are ready to do so, but the time window won't be open indefinitely" a ministry spokesperson from Germany warned.

After stating that they would resume talks when Raisi assumed office, Iran's leaders are now saying that they are not likely to restart the nuclear negotiations for another 2-3 months.
"the... government considers a real negotiation is a negotiation that produces palpable results allowing the rights of the Iranian nation to be guaranteed," Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian said during an interview broadcast by Iran's state television.
He added that the nuclear talks are "one of the questions on the foreign policy and government agenda... the other party knows full well that a process of two to three months is required for the new government to establish itself and to start taking decisions."
As Iran's nuclear policy, however, is not set by the president or its foreign minister, this declaration sounded like just another excuse by the regime to buy time and advance enrichment. It is, of course, Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei who enjoys the final say in Iran's nuclear and foreign policy issues.

At the moment, the Iranian regime is reportedly 8-10 weeks away from obtaining the weapons-grade materials necessary for a nuclear weapon.
"Iran has violated all of the guidelines set in the JCPOA and is only around 10 weeks away from acquiring weapons-grade materials necessary for a nuclear weapon," Israeli Defense Minister Benny Gantz told ambassadors from countries on the United Nations Security Council during a briefing at the Israeli Foreign Ministry in Jerusalem on August 4, 2021.
"Now is the time for deeds – words are not enough. It is time for diplomatic, economic and even military deeds, otherwise the attacks will continue."
Once again it seems that the mullahs of Iran are masterfully playing the Biden administration and the EU by stalling the nuclear talks, buying time to get more concessions, and accelerating their enrichment of uranium and nuclear program to reach a weapons-grade nuclear breakout.

Iran's Nuclear Weapons Weeks Away? | ZeroHedge
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
Iran's Nuclear Weapons Weeks Away?

BY TYLER DURDEN
ZERO HEDGE
FRIDAY, SEP 10, 2021 - 02:00 AM

Authored by Majid Rafizadeh via The Gatestone Institute,

Since the Biden administration assumed office, the nuclear talks with Iran have gone nowhere. Six rounds of negotiations have been concluded with no results. In contrast, two other issues have gone too far: the Biden administration's appeasement policies towards the Iranian regime, and the advancement of the mullahs' nuclear program.



When the Biden administration took office, it announced that it would curb Iran's nuclear program by returning to the 2015 nuclear deal -- known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), which by the way Iran never signed -- and by subsequently lifting sanctions against the Iranian government.

Apparently desperate to revive the nuclear pact, the Biden administration at once began appeasing the ruling clerics of Iran. The first concession was delivered when the administration changed the previous administration's policy of maximum pressure toward Iran's proxy militia group, the Houthis. Even as the evidence -- including a report by the United Nations -- showed that the Iranian regime was delivering sophisticated weapons to the Houthis in Yemen, the Biden administration suspended some of the sanctions against terrorism that the previous administration had imposed on the Houthis.

Soon after, the Biden administration revoked the designation of Yemen's Houthis as a terrorist group. In addition, in June 2021, the Biden administration lifted sanctions on three former Iranian officials and several energy companies. Then, in a blow to the Iranian people and advocates of democracy and human rights -- a few days after the Iranian regime handpicked a mass murderer to be its next president -- the Biden administration announced that it was also considering lifting sanctions against Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

From the perspective of Iran's mullahs, Biden's desperate efforts to resurrect the nuclear deal manifested his weak leadership and therefore a delectable opportunity for Tehran to buy time, get more concessions, advance its nuclear program and become a nuclear state.

Notwithstanding all these policies of incentives and appeasements, Iran's mullahs continued to make excuses seemingly to drag out the nuclear talks. One of the latest overtures was that the world powers ought to wait until Iran's newly elected president, Ebrahim Raisi, took office before resuming the nuclear talks.

By now, Raisi has been president of Iran for more than a month but there has not been the slightest effort by the Islamic Republic to restart any talks; in fact, all the while, the regime appears to have accelerated its enrichment of uranium to weapons-grade. This escalation has even caused concerns among some European leaders and has, surprisingly, led the EU to pressure Tehran immediately to return to the negotiating table. "We vehemently ask Iran to return to the negotiating table constructively and as soon as possible. We are ready to do so, but the time window won't be open indefinitely" a ministry spokesperson from Germany warned.

After stating that they would resume talks when Raisi assumed office, Iran's leaders are now saying that they are not likely to restart the nuclear negotiations for another 2-3 months.

As Iran's nuclear policy, however, is not set by the president or its foreign minister, this declaration sounded like just another excuse by the regime to buy time and advance enrichment. It is, of course, Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei who enjoys the final say in Iran's nuclear and foreign policy issues.

At the moment, the Iranian regime is reportedly 8-10 weeks away from obtaining the weapons-grade materials necessary for a nuclear weapon.

Once again it seems that the mullahs of Iran are masterfully playing the Biden administration and the EU by stalling the nuclear talks, buying time to get more concessions, and accelerating their enrichment of uranium and nuclear program to reach a weapons-grade nuclear breakout.

Iran's Nuclear Weapons Weeks Away? | ZeroHedge

I strongly suggest getting iodine soon. It will be blowing in the wind soon....
 

jward

passin' thru
September 10, 2021
Will Israel Deploy Special Forces Inside Iran?





Home » Intelligence


Will Israel Deploy Special Forces Inside Iran? 1
IDF forces and transport planes (Archive: IDF/CC)

The IDF is capable of deploying military forces in Iran via the army’s Frontal Landing Unit, a new report confirms.
The unit specializes in setting up improvised landing strips deep behind enemy lines, Israel Hayom reported, noting that IDF transport planes have a maximal range of 5,250 kilometers. This would enable the army to mobilize a large number of elite troops to Iran and back.

The distinctive unit works out of Nevatim airbase in southern Israel and mostly cooperates with heavy transport squadrons, the Air Force revealed earlier this year. Its mission is to arrange and operate front-line runways in unconventional locations and landscapes, including deserts and other challenging sites.
Members of the unit undergo a lengthy training process, including advanced combat techniques.

According to foreign reports, IDF commandos carried out operations in Syria and elsewhere in recent years, apparently facilitated by the army’s frontal landing force. The unit may have also participated in smuggling Iran’s nuclear archive out of the country, Israel Hayom hinted.

The unit trains for diverse scenarios but officers refused to provide any details about the Iranian front, as this info is highly classified. However, an IDF general said this week that the army is advancing preparations for a war against Iran.
This suggests that Israel could deploy special forces in Iranian territory during a pinpoint assault on nuclear facilities or as part of a wider conflict.
 

jward

passin' thru
hmm. sounds familiar
Israel Radar
@IsraelRadar_com

4h

Israeli think tank: US lost war vs. proxy (Taliban) by failing to take action against power behind it (Pakistan); Israel must avoid same mistake, revise defense policy to confront #Iran directly instead of just fighting proxies in Lebanon & Gaza

Replying to
@IsraelRadar_com
Here's the full analysis of Israel's proxy wars and the Iranian threat:
View: https://twitter.com/IsraelRadar_com/status/1436681170826240002?s=20
 

jward

passin' thru
Jason Brodsky
@JasonMBrodsky


"According to three people familiar with discussions...Tehran will grant the agency access to reset equipment monitoring the country’s nuclear activities and resume cooperation with a probe into nuclear material found in #Iran." 1/2
View: https://twitter.com/JasonMBrodsky/status/1436692001504862209?s=20



Iran International English
@IranIntl_En

2m

#BREAKING: Reuters reports at least three rockets landed tonight near Erbil International Airport in northern #Iraq, where U.S. forces are stationed, Kurdistan's security service said. Other reports suggest drones may have been used. Video circulating on social media is below.
View: https://twitter.com/IranIntl_En/status/1436806516082937857?s=20

ETA: No casualties reported, though flights have been halted at this time and the US consulate is reported to be evacuated:

View: https://twitter.com/The5HbK/status/1436807287054635010?s=20







Lawk Ghafuri
@LawkGhafuri

14m

#Erbil International Airport has been attacked with a drone tonight, no casualties reported and no further information is available until now, and finally the security forces are investigating the incident and more info will come in coming hours.
 
Last edited:

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
September 10, 2021
Will Israel Deploy Special Forces Inside Iran?





Home » Intelligence


Will Israel Deploy Special Forces Inside Iran? 1
IDF forces and transport planes (Archive: IDF/CC)

The IDF is capable of deploying military forces in Iran via the army’s Frontal Landing Unit, a new report confirms.
The unit specializes in setting up improvised landing strips deep behind enemy lines, Israel Hayom reported, noting that IDF transport planes have a maximal range of 5,250 kilometers. This would enable the army to mobilize a large number of elite troops to Iran and back.

The distinctive unit works out of Nevatim airbase in southern Israel and mostly cooperates with heavy transport squadrons, the Air Force revealed earlier this year. Its mission is to arrange and operate front-line runways in unconventional locations and landscapes, including deserts and other challenging sites.
Members of the unit undergo a lengthy training process, including advanced combat techniques.

According to foreign reports, IDF commandos carried out operations in Syria and elsewhere in recent years, apparently facilitated by the army’s frontal landing force. The unit may have also participated in smuggling Iran’s nuclear archive out of the country, Israel Hayom hinted.

The unit trains for diverse scenarios but officers refused to provide any details about the Iranian front, as this info is highly classified. However, an IDF general said this week that the army is advancing preparations for a war against Iran.
This suggests that Israel could deploy special forces in Iranian territory during a pinpoint assault on nuclear facilities or as part of a wider conflict.

IIRC this came up years ago as well. Part of it was for SAR and part of the rational was for "direct action". Another for even putting the story out there would be misdirection.
 

jward

passin' thru
Sunrise, Sunday the 12th & seems to have calmed

Middle East
Drone attack hits near U.S. forces in Erbil, northern Iraq - officials
Reuters


BAGHDAD, Sept 12 (Reuters) - A drone attack hit near U.S. forces stationed at Erbil International Airport in northern Iraq on Saturday, Iraqi Kurdish security officials said.

The internal security service for Iraq's autonomous Kurdish region, of which Erbil is the capital, initially said three rockets had hit near the airport.
A second statement by the Kurdish counter-terrorism force said the attack had been carried out by explosive-laden drones.
There were no immediate reports of casualties. Witnesses said they heard at least six explosions in the area.

The airport in Erbil, the capital of the autonomous Kurdish region, has come under attack several times in the past year, including by drones carrying explosives.
U.S. officials blame previous attacks on Iran-aligned Shi'ite Muslim militias which have vowed to fight until the remaining 2,500 U.S. military personnel leave the country.

The U.S. forces are leading an international military coalition whose mandate is to help Iraqi forces fight remnants of the Sunni extremist Islamic State group. The coalition did not immediately comment on Saturday's incident.
 

jward

passin' thru
US pulls missile defenses in Saudi Arabia amid Yemen attacks
By JON GAMBRELLyesterday


In this satellite photo provided by Planet Labs Inc., an area of Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia that once saw Patriot missile batteries stationed with one advanced Terminal High Altitude Air Defense unit stands empty Friday, Sept. 10, 2021. The U.S. has removed its most advanced missile defense system and Patriot batteries from Saudi Arabia in recent weeks, even as the kingdom faced continued air attacks from Yemen's Houthi rebels, satellite photos analyzed by The Associated Press show. (Planet Labs Inc. via AP)


1 of 4
In this satellite photo provided by Planet Labs Inc., an area of Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia that once saw Patriot missile batteries stationed with one advanced Terminal High Altitude Air Defense unit stands empty Friday, Sept. 10, 2021. The U.S. has removed its most advanced missile defense system and Patriot batteries from Saudi Arabia in recent weeks, even as the kingdom faced continued air attacks from Yemen's Houthi rebels, satellite photos analyzed by The Associated Press show. (Planet Labs Inc. via AP)

DUBAI, United Arab Emirates (AP) — The U.S. has removed its most advanced missile defense system and Patriot batteries from Saudi Arabia in recent weeks, even as the kingdom faced continued air attacks from Yemen’s Houthi rebels, satellite photos analyzed by The Associated Press show.
The redeployment of the defenses from Prince Sultan Air Base outside of Riyadh came as America’s Gulf Arab allies nervously watched the chaotic withdrawal of U.S. troops from Afghanistan, including their last-minute evacuations from Kabul’s besieged international airport.

While tens of thousands of American forces remain across the Arabian Peninsula as a counterweight to Iran, Gulf Arab nations worry about the U.S.’s future plans as its military perceives a growing threat in Asia that requires those missile defenses. Tensions remain high as negotiations appear stalled in Vienna over Iran’s collapsed nuclear deal with world powers, raising the danger of future confrontations in the region.
“Perceptions matter whether or not they’re rooted in a cold, cold reality. And the perception is very clear that the U.S. is not as committed to the Gulf as it used to be in the views of many people in decision-making authority in the region,” said Kristian Ulrichsen, a research fellow at the James A. Baker III Institute for Public Policy at Rice University.
“From the Saudi point of view, they now see Obama, Trump and Biden — three successive presidents — taking decisions that signify to some extent an abandonment.”

Prince Sultan Air Base, some 115 kilometers (70 miles) southeast of Riyadh, has hosted several thousand U.S. troops since a 2019 missile-and-drone attack on the heart of the kingdom’s oil production. That attack, though claimed by Yemen’s Houthi rebels, appears instead to have been carried out by Iran, according to experts and physical debris left behind. Tehran has denied launching the attack, though a drill in January saw Iranian paramilitary forces use similar drones.
Just southwest of the air base’s runway, a 1-square-kilometer (third-of-a-square-mile) area set off by an earthen berm saw American forces station Patriot missile batteries, as well as one advanced Terminal High Altitude Area Defense unit, according to satellite images from Planet Labs Inc. A THAAD can destroy ballistic missiles at a higher altitude than Patriots.
A satellite image seen by the AP in late August showed some of the batteries removed from the area, though activity and vehicles still could be seen there. A high-resolution Planet Lab satellite picture taken Friday showed the batteries’ pads at the site empty, with no visible activity.

A redeployment of the missiles had been rumored for months, in part due to a desire to face what American officials see as the looming “great powers conflict” with China and Russia. However, the withdrawal came just as a Houthi drone attack on Saudi Arabia wounded eight people and damaged a commercial jetliner at the kingdom’s airport in Abha. The kingdom has been locked in a stalemate war with the Houthis since March 2015.
Pentagon spokesperson John Kirby acknowledged “the redeployment of certain air defense assets” after receiving questions from the AP. He said the U.S. maintained a “broad and deep” commitment to its Mideast allies.
“The Defense Department continues to maintain tens of thousands of forces and a robust force posture in the Middle East representing some of our most advanced air power and maritime capabilities, in support of U.S. national interests and our regional partnerships,” Kirby said.

In a statement to the AP, the Saudi Defense Ministry described the kingdom’s relationship with the U.S. as “strong, longstanding and historic” even while acknowledging the withdrawal of the American missile defense systems. It said the Saudi military “is capable of defending its lands, seas and airspace, and protecting its people.”
“The redeployment of some defense capabilities of the friendly United States of America from the region is carried out through common understanding and realignment of defense strategies as an attribute of operational deployment and disposition,” the statement said.

Despite those assurances, Saudi Prince Turki al-Faisal, the kingdom’s former intelligence chief whose public remarks often track with the thoughts of its Al Saud ruling family, has linked the Patriot missile deployments directly to America’s relationship to Riyadh.
“I think we need to be reassured about American commitment,” the prince told CNBC in an interview aired this week. “That looks like, for example, not withdrawing Patriot missiles from Saudi Arabia at a time when Saudi Arabia is the victim of missile attacks and drone attacks — not just from Yemen, but from Iran.”

U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin, on a tour of the Mideast in recent days, had been slated to go to Saudi Arabia but the trip was canceled due to what American officials referred to as scheduling problems. Saudi Arabia declined to discuss why Austin’s trip didn’t happen after the withdrawal of the missile defenses.
Saudi Arabia maintains its own Patriot missile batteries and typically fires two missiles at an incoming target. That’s become an expensive proposition amid the Houthi campaign, as each Patriot missile costs more than $3 million. The kingdom also claims to intercept nearly every missile and drone launched at the kingdom, an incredibly high success rate previously questioned by experts.

While Greece agreed in April to lend a Patriot missile battery to Saudi Arabia, the timing of the U.S. withdrawals comes amid wider uncertainty over the American posture in the region. Saudi Arabia and other Gulf Arab countries have renewed diplomacy with Iran as a hedge.
“I think we saw in Biden’s statements on Afghanistan, the way he said things that he’s clearly going to put U.S. interests first and obviously that came as quite a disappointment to partners and allies around the world who maybe hoped for something different after Trump,” said Ulrichsen, the research fellow. “He sounds quite similar to an ‘America First’ approach, just sort of a different tone.”
___

Posted for fair use
 

Housecarl

On TB every waking moment
Posted for fair use.....

Gantz reveals name of terrorist training base in Iran

Yoav Zitun|
Published: 09.12.21, 10:00

Defense Minister Benny Gantz unveiled the name of the base in which the Islamic Republic trains terrorist operatives to fly UAVs, during a counter-terrorism conference at the Reichman University in Herzliya.

"We are talking about the 'Kashan' base located north of the city of Isfahan in Iran," said Ganz.

"The base is the cornerstone of the Iranian air terror export system in the region." Gantz noted that "recently the Iranians began transferring knowledge for the production of UAVs to Hamas and the Islamic jihad."
 
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