GOV/MIL Main "Great Reset" Thread

marsh

On TB every waking moment

Globalist Victory: First Climate Lockdowns Announced in France
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Because it would be so terribly hot, France bans outdoor events. People are no longer allowed to think and decide for themselves but need a wise and good state to tell them whether they can go outside. In France, WEF Young Global Leader Macron was recently confirmed as President in an allegedly fair and democratic vote. Undeterred, he continues with Klaus Schwab’s globalist agenda.

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Comment by Willi Huber

In parts of France, around 40 degrees Celsius (104°F) are measured. That is enough to patronize citizens who apparently cannot take to the streets without the help of President Macron, who is loyal to the WEF. All of this, of course, is part of the climate change agenda, which, based on what is believed to be a “majority” of scientists, claims that human-caused climate change threatens our very existence. The unscientific procedure, in which no criticism or counter-opinion is allowed, corresponds to the procedure for approving and distributing the Covid injections.

Conveniently, celebrations of June 18, an important French holiday commemorating resistance to Hitler’s Germany, are also banned. The June 18 Appeal (French: L’Appel du 18 juin) was Charles de Gaulle’s first speech after he arrived in London in 1940 after the Battle of France.

Broadcast to Vichy France by the British Broadcasting Corporation (BBC) radio services is often credited with marking the start of the French resistance to World War II. It is considered one of the most important speeches in French history. In the madness of the 21st century, however, resistance is no longer planned, so it is canceled due to excessive heat (!).

But you want it too…

“It’s about people’s health,” official bodies justify the measure.
This sentence has probably been well-practiced in the past 2.5 years. Maybe there will also be lockdowns soon so that nobody dies on the road. I can’t imagine what could happen there. The already prepared car bans fit well into the concept. Many French people, known to come from Africa, will not be able to stop laughing because of these measures. But perhaps they will then be assailed by the same anger as any thinking and freedom-loving person.

I urge our readers not to believe the mainstream lies of “unmatched” summer temperatures. The European heat record was set in Athens on July 10, 1977 – at 48 degrees Celsius (118.4°F). France is well known for hot summers.

On June 28, 2019, 45.9 degrees Celsius (114.62°F) were measured in Gallargues-le-Montueux in the southern Gard department. We recommend simply ignoring when some self-proclaimed “expert” wants to make you believe that we are in for the hottest summer ever, just like every year since climate alarmism came into fashion.

If we were the mainstream media, we would end this article with images of wildfires, deserts, and parched steppes and point out that in 1913, it was 56.7 degrees Celsius (134.06°F) in the US’s Death Valley. If only people had paid horrendously high taxes back then, which helped cool the climate!

Read the full article in Report 24
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

June 19, 2022
Does Nuclear Energy Have a Future in the US?
By William Levin

Outside the United States, nuclear is entering a golden era, especially in China. There is a record building boom in current and announced plants, including more than 225 plants in China alone. Costs are being driven down to exceptionally affordable levels. Best practice current nuclear plants deliver costs of $0.05/kwh versus the average U.S. electric bill of $0.14/kwh. Most impressively, technology is rapidly evolving to safe, low-waste fourth-generation technology, or GEN IV, expected to be commercialized by 2030.

According to the U.S. Department of Energy, GEN IV high-temperature, low-pressure plants "offer impressive safety features and can be easy to construct and affordable to maintain."

High temperature means GEN IV nuclear plants can generate electricity, which accounts for some 20% of world energy demand, and, for the first time, replace fossil fuels in process industries that rely on heat.

This opens a new world to nuclear and will, according to the U.S. Department of Energy, in addition to all-important electric generation, power "hydrogen production, desalination, district heating, petroleum refining and ammonia production." As process energy is the second largest source of energy, powered by fossil fuels, the coming dual electric and process heat output of GEN IV nuclear is of huge significance.

Despite all this positive, yet virtually unreported news, nuclear energy in the U.S. has in essence been abandoned, with two exceptions. Utility operators working through supplemental license renewals (SLRs) are seeking to extend the useful lives of the existing nuclear fleet, but this is a mere stopgap effort and is now subject to a freeze by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission.

Prospectively, tech entrepreneurs, supported by generous Department of Energy subsidies, aim to commercialize experimental reactors scaled down to small size, known as small modular reactors or SMRs.

The resulting outlook for nuclear is brutal. In the past twenty-five years, the U.S. has put exactly two plants in service (Watts Bar 2 in Tennessee and Vogtle [2022] in Georgia), and no new plants are slated to be constructed, excluding two demonstration SMRs. On the present course due to retirements, nuclear power generation in the U.S. is expected to decline by 40% in 2050, from 20% of electric generation to 12%, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

Are SMRs the Answer?
The concept animating SMRs is quite simple. Break down nuclear technology into bite-sized 60-MW components that can be strung together as needed. Absolute cost per module is low, reducing sticker shock for utilities. Delivery of small units can be made using conventional truck and rail. Sites can be located on small plots, including existing brownfield former coal plants. Add innovation in design and safety and firms led by pioneering entrepreneurs, such as Bill Gates's TerraForm Power, and you have the ostensible blueprint for an exciting new nuclear future.

The reality of SMRs to date can be summarized as over-hyped and under-delivered. Developed as a concept in the 1990s, thirty years later, there is yet to be a working commercial unit, with the soonest one now promised for 2027. Of the two demonstration plants in the U.S., NuScale in Utah and TerraForm in Wyoming, NuScale has to date received the most funding, including a recent life-saving $1.4-billion grant from the U.S. Department of Energy, following a long series of delays and cost overruns.

Cost estimates for the 720-MW plant (i.e., twelve 60-unit modules) now total $6.1 billion and counting. At a per-unit cost of more than $8,000/mwh, the NuScale plant is uncompetitive but argued as forgivable for a first-of-its-kind operation. While NuScale claims that it will ultimately deliver sustainable costs, critics allege that SMR construction costs and cost per kilowatt-hour will miss forecasts by a wide margin.

Over the years, SMRs and the NuScale project, in particular, have developed a loyal following and devoted enemies. Most prominent among the supporters, SMRs are the poster child of the Biden administration, as articulated by U.S. Secretary of Energy Jennifer Granholm, "[W]e are very bullish on these advanced nuclear reactors." The enthusiasm has spread to the broader press.

Among the vocal opponents of SMRs are "the renewables," for whom any nuclear future, small, medium, or large, is a threat. Leading the attack is the self-titled Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA), which criticizes SMRs as "too late, too expensive, too risky and too uncertain." For these advocacy groups, it is all renewables, all the time.

As for the actual customers, the major U.S. utilities, support for SMRs is publicly advocated but distinctly muted. The reality of SMR is best judged by the fact that, thirty years in, there are zero new commitments to an SMR commercial plant by any U.S. utility. Rather, SMRs are billed as a possible alternative, among many, including solar, wind, carbon capture, and renewable natural gas — and, most pointedly, fourth-generation large-scale nuclear designs, which rely on molten salts, gases, liquid metals, and other high-temperature coolants instead of current light and heavy water.

It all comes down to scale. Small is good marketing for a risk-averse world. It sounds comforting. But nothing can change the fact that our national interest in electric generation is large, especially if it must double to support the electrification of transportation, as argued by Elon Musk.

If we are serious as a nation about producing massive clean energy — and we are not — it is unlikely that it will be cheaper to build thousands of 60-MW modular units instead of hundreds of next-generation single vessel, safe, low-cost, low-waste reactors. Economy of scale does not mean economy of small scale. In reality, SMRs in the U.S. are being positioned as an incremental technology to the main solution of solar and wind, at the expense of large-scale nuclear. The correct policy answer is to pursue large-scale and SMRs.

The irony is that even the promise of SMR loses to present-day large-scale nuclear best practices. South Korea and China are presently building large-scale nuclear plants for $2,500/mwh to $4,000/mwh versus an entirely unproven cost claim for SMRs of $4,300/mwh.

Likewise with levelized energy costs of $0.05/kwh for a 1.4-GW nuclear plant, already achieved and capable of being reduced at-scale production, versus $0.058/kwh promised for the development-phase NuScale Utah plant at half the size. U.S. energy policy rejects the one proven, low-cost, readily available nuclear solution, with an outstanding technology roadmap ahead.

If nothing else moves us as a nation, the massive Chinese nuclear building program — 228 announced new plants — ought to be the decisive wake-up call to start rolling on large-scale nuclear in the United States. China plans to ride to world dominance on the back of clean nuclear and dirty coal. In the U.S., nuclear on the scale required will never happen and, worse still, is planned never to happen. Instead, we get the unworkable promotion of solar and wind, with a side glance at SMRs. And, unlike China, we do not have coal as a politically viable base fuel.

In a mere thirty years, we will pass from the world's nuclear leader to nuclear irrelevancy. We are going to pay for this one-way bet on so-called renewables, good and hard.

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Image via Pixabay.
 

Dozdoats

On TB every waking moment
Because this kind of economic downtown America is experiencing today could have been AVOIDED if our leaders in power had a better grasp on reality, she explains.

Oh, they have a solid grasp on THEIR reality. Sadly, that is 180 degrees from most ZUSAn's reality...
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

China's Northeastern Black Soil Grain Field Is Alarmingly Depleted

SUNDAY, JUN 19, 2022 - 05:30 PM
Authored by Mary Hong via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

The fertile black soil in northeastern China, which the Chinese grain community relies on, is in an alarming state of degradation due to over-use. Chinese researchers recently admitted that the area has lost a huge chunk of its productivity.

It is the most important grain commodity base in China, affecting the country’s food security.

This grain field is over 107 million acres, which is one-fifth of China’s arable land; the rice production accounts for at least a quarter of China’s total grain crop.

That is, this land affects the food reserves that matter to hundreds of millions of people in China.

An image of Chinese a heavenly maiden was created using different varieties of rice in a rice paddy field during the harvest season in Shenyang, in China's northeast Liaoning Province on Sept. 20. (STR/AFP/Getty Images)

Alarming Soil Degradation
On June 15, researchers at the Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) said that the rich black soil in the northeastern region has lost 20 percent of productivity, the Chinese media reported.

Significant loss of soil and the organic nutrients in the soil from excessive use of the land are the main causes of the decreased productivity, said the report that came after an inspection by a regime high official.

Li Zhanshu, chairman of the Party’s Standing Committee, led the inspection of the environmental protection in the northeastern province, Heilongjiang, from June 10 to 13.

Li emphasized the importance of sustaining the black soil belt, according to the report by state mouthpiece, CCTV, on June 14.

In fact, China has been continuously losing its rich and fertile black soil for decades. Heavy mechanization and fertilizer use since the early 20th century under the regime increased productivity but also caused tremendous damage to the rich soil.

In 2021, the Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) released its first “White Paper on Black Soil Region in Northeast China, 2020.”

The white paper revealed that in the past 60 years, the organic content of the black soil tillage layer has dropped by 33 percent, and in some areas by 50 percent.

A farmer waiting to sell his grain at a state grain reserves depot in Yushu, Jilin Province, China on Jan. 8, 2009. (China Photos/Getty Images)

Black Soil is Poor Farmers’ Easy Money
To protect the black soil, the regime intends to stipulate heavy punishment for illegal black earth trading and theft. However, as the local poor farmers know, the black soil is black gold—easy money for them. The illegal trading of black soil inside China has formed a highly profitable industrial chain.

For instance, state mouthpiece Xinhua News reported in 2021 a case of illegal black soil trade covering more than 27 acres of soil that generated $53,000.

Considering the fact that any industrial chain would not get an easy pass without the Communist officials’ recognition and protection, whether the newly stipulated regulation will have any effect remains to be seen.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

Bidenomics: East Coast Truckers Are Stalled Out on the Highway Waiting for Gas – The Gas Stations Are Out of Diesel (VIDEO)

By Jim Hoft
Published June 19, 2022 at 7:37pm

Here come the gas shortages.

Diesel prices hit ANOTHER new record high on Father’s Day at $5.816/gallon.

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The costs for gas and diesel has yet to hit the American consumer with inflation already at a 40-year high under Joe Biden.

In May The Gateway Pundit warned that major trucking firms were bracing for diesel shortages in the eastern half of the United States.

The experts are blaming the emergency on Joe Biden and Democrats.

And now the shortages have arrived.

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East coast truckers are stranded on the highway waiting for gas. The highway oasis gas stations are out of diesel. Now there are diesel shortages. This is not going to end well.

Watch this trucker describe the situation.

Via Midnight Rider.
(Warning on language)

Bidenomics: East Coast Truckers Run Out of Gas on Highway - Gas Stations Out of Diesel .48 min

Bidenomics: East Coast Truckers Run Out of Gas on Highway - Gas Stations Out of Diesel
The Gateway Pundit Published June 19, 2022
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

“Teetering On The Edge” — Diesel Prices Leading To Food Shortages?
By Promoted Post
Published June 19, 2022 at 2:40pm

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A Farm Bureau official just described the food situation in America as “teetering on the edge”:

“We have reached that point to where it is very close to being a sinking ship . . . We are teetering on the edge right now.”
The cause?

High diesel prices are making it so farmers can’t afford to run their tractors during planting time.

The New York Post noted:

“Farmers disproportionately rely on diesel to fuel their tractors and other heavy machinery used to plant and harvest crops, burning up to thousands of gallons a month, depending on the size of their operation.

Feeling the pinch at the pump, farmers can decide to stop planting certain crops to save money on fuel, which, in turn, could result in higher food prices and even food shortages.”
It’s already starting to affect restaurants.

Chef Andrew Gruel explained to Fox Business that hard times are coming:


View: https://youtu.be/E7Nwh0YBpMk
5:37 min

Chef Gruel’s ideas for fighting food inflation are:
  • Partner up with local restaurants to get wholesale prices
  • Don’t use food delivery apps if you don’t need to (they add up to 30% to the cost)
(Edited out advertising content.)
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

Former Obama Economic Advisor and Treasury Secretary Warns That ‘a Recession is Ahead’ (VIDEO)
By Cassandra Fairbanks
Published June 19, 2022 at 4:30pm

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Former Obama economic advisor and Treasury Secretary Larry Summers has warned that “a recession is ahead.”


Summers said that previous situations with high inflation and unemployment, like the one we are currently in, have led to recessions within a “year or two.”

“Look, nothing is certain and all economic forecasts have uncertainty. My best guess is that a recession is ahead,” Summers said while appearing on NBC’s “Meet The Press.” “I base that on the fact that we haven’t had a situation like the present with inflation above 4 percent and unemployment beyond 4 percent without a recession following within a year or two.”

Summers added that it’s likely “that in order to do what’s necessary to stop inflation. the Fed is going to raise interest rates enough that the economy will slip into recession.”

“And I think that view, which was not a common view a couple months ago, is now the view of a number of statistical models and the view of a range of forecasters and I think will increasingly become a consensus view,” Summers continued.

Current Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said during an interview on Sunday that she does not believe that a recession is inevitable.

“I expect the economy to slow,” Yellen said during an appearance on ABC’s “This Week.” “It’s been growing at a very rapid rate. … The labor market has recovered, and we have reached full employment.”

“It’s natural now that we expect a transition to steady and stable growth,” Yellen continued. “That’s going to take skill and work, but I believe it’s possible. I don’t think recession is inevitable.”

Joe Biden has made the same claim, telling The Associated Press last week that “first of all, it’s not inevitable.”

Biden added, “secondly, we’re in a stronger position than any nation in the world to overcome this inflation.”

Biden’s approval rating is currently just 39 percent, with 56 percent of Americans disapproving of his job since entering the White House.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
Food Processing Plants...Still a Coincidence? 7:53 min

FOOD PROCESSING PLANTS...STILL A COINCIDENCE?
This is a follow-up to the video she made in April about the strange events happening at food processing plants in the United States. This video catalogues more events that have occurred since April 2022 and questions politifact’s most recent fact-check report on this topic.

And of course those who say this is a conspiracy theory will be the first to freak out at the empty shelves at the grocery store and will buy 300 rolls of toilet paper. None of these ignorant assholes that scream "conspiracy theory" ever want to talk about the literally 100s so called conspiracies that have turned out to be conspiracy facts.

From Reallygraceful
ANOTHER FOOD PLANT BURNS! 97TH IN THE PAST 18 MONTHS!

ANOTHER FOOD PLANT BURNS! 97TH IN THE PAST 18 MONTHS!
Australia: Amid a power shortage crisis, a power station goes up in flames… conveniently
Australia: Amid a power shortage crisis, a power station goes up in flames… conveniently
Ten Thousand Cattle dying: they coming for your food people and it's all by design
Ten Thousand Cattle dying: they coming for your food people and it's all by design
Norway Govt To TRACK ALL FOOD Purchases #Biometric #DigitalID / Hugo Talks
Norway Govt To TRACK ALL FOOD Purchases #Biometric #DigitalID / Hugo Talks
Tesco biometric payments only by 2023? / Hugo Talks
Tesco biometric payments only by 2023? / Hugo Talks
Putin: 'We will guarantee the safe passage' of grain 'with no problems'
Putin: 'We will guarantee the safe passage' of grain 'with no problems'
200,000 FRIED CHICKENS - LARGE FIRE AT A POULTRY FARM. ANOTHER ATTACK ON THE FOOD SUPPLY
200,000 FRIED CHICKENS - LARGE FIRE AT A POULTRY FARM. ANOTHER ATTACK ON THE FOOD SUPPLY
EVER FEEL LIKE YOU'RE NOT WANTED? DEAGEL 2025 DEPOPULATION
EVER FEEL LIKE YOU'RE NOT WANTED? DEAGEL 2025 DEPOPULATION
MARJORY WILDCRAFT WARNS MIKE ADAMS ABOUT COMING FOOD SCARCITY, EMPTY SHELVES AND GLOBAL FAMINE
MARJORY WILDCRAFT WARNS MIKE ADAMS ABOUT COMING FOOD SCARCITY, EMPTY SHELVES AND GLOBAL FAMINE
Global Famine Expected To Hit This Year, Be Prepared By This Date
Global Famine Expected To Hit This Year, Be Prepared By This Date
IRAN: DIGITAL FOOD RATIONING ROLLS OUT USING BIOMETRIC IDS AMID FOOD RIOTS
IRAN: DIGITAL FOOD RATIONING ROLLS OUT USING BIOMETRIC IDS AMID FOOD RIOTS
2022.05.09 Get Ready For The Economic Collapse
2022.05.09 Get Ready For The Economic Collapse
SHTF! You HAVE TO HEAR What This TRUCKING INSIDER said to ME! PREP NOW!
SHTF! You HAVE TO HEAR What This TRUCKING INSIDER said to ME! PREP NOW!
Now They’re Causing Food Shortages!
Now They’re Causing Food Shortages!
WAR ON FOOD GOES HOT: FBI WARNS CYBERATTACKS ON FARMS -- ONE FARM STANDS UP
WAR ON FOOD GOES HOT: FBI WARNS CYBERATTACKS ON FARMS -- ONE FARM STANDS UP
The World Is Now Under Siege
The World Is Now Under Siege
How To Survive The COLLAPSE
How To Survive The COLLAPSE
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
Brainwashed By Climate Alarmists 10:53 min

BRAINWASHED BY CLIMATE ALARMISTS
Far too many people have been "conditioned" to react to bad weather by thinking "climate change". But Dr. John Robson explains that, just as Pavlov's dogs learned to salivate at the sound of a metronome (no, not a bell) even though there was no inherent connection between that device and the appearance of food, people have come to associate storms, droughts, wildfires and so on with global warming, CO2 and higher taxes even though there's no inherent connection, in the view of most scientists.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
Jun 19, 2022 at 5:58am​
Mexico: Down By the Riverside​
19 June 2022
Mexico-Texas Border by the Rio Grande
Mind burst, sans edit

Invasion continues. Make no mistake. This is an invading army — whether or not they know it. Probably a very few of them understand this now. Possibly most never will. But this is an invasion and the mostly military-aged-men are invasion force to be weaponized later.

The Marxist-compliance measures such as political correctness, masking, death jabs, child sacrifice in many forms, destruction of church and family, drug pushing, are all part of the destruction that flowed through mostly German ‘intellectual’ nihilists whose great plan is more about destruction than anything else.

Never trust a German intellectual is my motto. Something about the German mind + ‘intellectualism’ + a bucket of ink — leaves a growing stain.

Not to paint with a wide brush over amazing German accomplishments, but in the Book of Man, Germans will not hold a gold medal in political philosophy.

Former President US Grant warned about this in 1879 in Paris. Specifically warning against communists. And he used the word communists.

Lara Logan sent this link this morning. I watched it while preparing to walk down to the river to watch the invasion.

Please watch this…and share:

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VY33e0GQi7Q
22:30 min

The Origins of Cultural Marxism


Der Heliand

 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
Jun 19, 2022 at 6:16pm​
War Plan Unfolding — Across Europe, and America​
Resist now, or later in your bedroom. Rape and murder gangs are here.

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1OWZUU7_BV4
8:28 min

It happened again.

Paul Joseph Watson

The summer of cultural enrichment. (Illegal N. African migrants in Peschiera Italy. 42% of rapes attributed to migrants who are only 8% of population. "Baby gangs" - aged 16-20 who avoid criminal prosecution.)
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
Jun 19, 2022 at 6:53pm​
South America crumbling. With vast implications for US invasion:

Colombia elects former guerrilla Petro as first left-wing president

Colombia elects former guerrilla Petro as first left-wing president

Nelson Bocanegra,Oliver Griffin
39 minutes ago

<p>Supporters of presidential candidate Gustavo Petro celebrate after he won a presidential runoff in Bogota</p>

Supporters of presidential candidate Gustavo Petro celebrate after he won a presidential runoff in Bogota
(AP)
Leer en Español

Gustavo Petro, a former member of the M-19 guerrilla movement who has vowed profound social and economic change, won Colombia's presidency on Sunday, the first progressive to do so in the country's history.

Mr Petro beat construction magnate Rodolfo Hernandez with an unexpectedly wide margin of some 716,890 votes. The two had been

(requires registration to read more)
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
Post #3,485 This is one that I wanted to do notes on as the "cold chain" costs of shipping can be half of the cost of your fresh fruits and veggies. I want to know more

4:44 min

One-on-One with the owner of JKC Trucking, Mike Kucharski (owner of America's largest refrigerator trucking co.)
One America News Network Published June 13, 2022

(My notes: Interviewer, the cost of food is up 11.9%. That's the biggest increase in more than 40 years. USDA is warning that food will increase even more. Mike Kucharski, the owner of JKC Trucking, one of the nation's largest refrigerated trucking firms joins us. How much more will food increase and why?

Mike: What is impacting foods at the grocery store is rising energy costs. Diesel and transportation costs are impacting food. Diesel fuel is the single largest cost incurred by truckers. We are seeing record highs since 2008 -14 years ago, with no price relief in site. Diesel is essential to the supply chain. All trucks run on diesel, including farm equipment, cargo trains, cargo ships. The price of diesel is going to impact everything - food, produce and everything moved by trucks. It's out of control

Interviewer: She thinks food is the main gage of whether Americans feel stable or not. The food price problem is not just a US problem. It is a global issue made worse by the war. Russia is a major fertilizer exporter. Ukraine is a major producer of wheat. These are products that we need to use daily to make food. have the sanctions hit the US and are we looking for serious food shortages next?

Mike: I think we're going to be short on food, but nobody is going to starve in the US because we have such a vast farmland here. But in the rest of the world, people are going to starve - India, Africa, the Middle East. It's 2022, nobody should be starving. It is going to be chaos on the rest of the world.

Interviewer: How bad here and how can we prepare?

Mike: It's going to get worse, but this Administration should have seen this coming. It should have been ahead of this and had a game plan. I have been saying from the beginning that we welcome lawmakers to sit down with us, so we could educate them on what we need and what works on the front lines. To understand the supply chain operations so we could discuss and come up with solutions about how to get the supply chain moving and that hasn't happened.

Interviewer: The Biden Admin is saying that it is doing everything it can to lower prices for the American people - like clear congestion at the ports, he also asked Congress to crack down on rising shipping fees. Do you think our leaders are doing everything they can to help the American people?

Mike: I always think they could do a lot for - for example, tax incentives, diesel highway excess tax to lower/suspend it on the federal and state levels. Example, Maryland suspended its state highway tax. Provide tax credits for trucking companies. My favorite would be to make the US energy independent once again and we wouldn't have these problems.

COMMENT: Well, I didn't learn any more about the cold chain system, but it was a decent interview.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

U.S. issues new warnings on 'forever chemicals' in drinking water

The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency on Wednesday released new warnings for synthetic pollutants in drinking water known as "forever chemicals" saying the toxins can still be harmful even at levels so low they are not detectable.

The family of toxic chemicals known as per-and polyfluoroalkyl substances, or PFAS, have been used for decades in household products such as non-stick cookware, stain- and water-resistant textiles and in firefighting foam and industrial products.

Scientists have linked some PFAS to cancers, liver damage, low birth weight and other health problems. But the chemicals which do not break down easily, are not yet regulated.

The agency is set to issue proposed rules in coming months to regulate PFAS. Until the regulations come into effect, the advisories are meant to provide information to states, tribes and water systems to address PFAS contamination.

The EPA also said it would roll out the first $1 billion to tackle PFAS in drinking water, from a total of $5 billion in funding in last year's infrastructure law. The funds would provide states technical assistance, water quality testing and installation of centralized treatment systems.

The updated drinking water health advisories for perfluorooctanoic acid (PFOA) and perfluorooctane sulfonic acid (PFOS) replace ones EPA issued in 2016. The advisory levels, based on new science that considers lifetime exposure, indicate that some health problems may still occur with concentrations of PFOA or PFOS in water that are near zero and below EPA's ability to detect.

"Today's actions highlight EPA's commitment to use the best available science to tackle PFAS pollution, protect public health, and provide critical information quickly and transparently," said Radhika Fox, the EPA's assistant administrator for water.

The agency encourages entities that find PFAS in drinking water to inform residents and undertake monitoring and take actions to reduce exposure. Individuals concerned with PFAS found in their drinking water should consider installing a home filter, it said.

The American Chemistry Council industry group - whose members include 3M and DuPont among others - said the EPA rushed the notices by not waiting for a review by the agency's Science Advisory Board. The group said it is concerned that the process for developing the advisories was "fundamentally flawed."

(Reporting by Timothy Gardner; Editing by Aurora Ellis)
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
(COMMENT: I watched this happen with the timber industry in my former county. Sierra Pacific would concede to regulations that rendered their small competitors non-viable. The small owners did not have silvaculturalists, biologists, hydrologists and archaeologists on staff to complete the surveys and planning required. So the farmer's wooded acres planned for harvest every 20 years when the kids started going to college or the roof needed shingles were sold forever into conservation agreements, mitigation banks or 5 acre ranchettes.)


The Lords of Scarcity
Corporations and financial special interests have long since realized that environmentalism is a means to control markets and capital.

By Edward Ring
ag-mark_90833ec2.svg

June 19, 2022

One of the farmers who supported our attempt to qualify the Water Infrastructure Funding Act for the November 2022 ballot was John Duarte. It was a privilege to speak with Duarte, because his reputation had preceded him. Duarte is the man who had the temerity—and uncommon courage—to sue the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers when they ordered him to stop farming one of his properties. The Corps argued that the rain puddles that formed on Duarte’s 450 acres in Tehama County were vernal pools.

The case was eventually settled in 2017, but only after the government countersued and a federal district court rejected Duarte’s claims. Facing the infinite resources of the federal bureaucracy, Duarte decided against filing an appeal and paid the fines. During our first conversation, and subsequently, it was Duarte who coined the phrase “Lords of Scarcity.” It is a vividly accurate way to describe the many special interests, public and private, that benefit from regulations and rationing.

This economic fact remains underappreciated: When regulations are imposed on businesses and public agencies that make it almost impossible for them to build something, whatever that something produces becomes more expensive. This fact rests on the law of supply and demand, and only requires a minor intuitive leap from that foundation: When demand exceeds supply, because supplies have been restricted, whoever owns existing supplies makes more profit.

These owners are the Lords of Scarcity, and California is their citadel.

One of the profound ironies of our time is how, especially in recent years, financial and corporate interests that once were pariahs to the American Left have now become their champions. There’s plenty to chew on in that statement, since social issues have been co-opted now by corporate America almost to the point of parody, but let’s stick to the issues of economics and the environment. Corporations and financial special interests have long since realized that environmentalism is a means to control markets and capital.

The consequences of that realization are predictable and have been in full effect for years. Environmentalist overregulation is no longer an economic burden to large corporations, if it ever was. Rather, it is a way to create barriers to entry for emerging competitors, and a way to wipe out existing competitors that lack the scale or the financial resilience to comply with new environmental edicts. And here again, irony abounds.

Our initiative campaign was vilified as a vehicle for “wealthy landowners” and “powerful multinational corporations” to “subvert environmental protections” and “create a bottomless slush fund for the super-rich.”

But what is really happening? Could it be that the biggest, wealthiest landowners do not want the price of water to go down? Why would they want that? They also do not want the price of land to go down. The more these necessities cost, the wealthier they get. Here is the exact transcript of an email I received from a wealthy landowner, in response to my request to support our initiative: “I am not for it. I think it will not be helpful.”

You don’t have to try too hard to read what is unwritten in that statement. Affordable land and abundant water are unhelpful if your wealth is tied up in land with water rights.

As for powerful multinational corporations, here is the exact transcript of an email I received from a member of a partnership formed to financialize water markets:

“Thanks for the details, Edward. Unfortunately, I can’t support this as I think it is fundamentally the wrong strategy. More supply? Really? The exact opposite of my beliefs.…”

Precisely. There is no incentive for wealthy landowners or powerful multinational corporations to see the value of land or water go down. There is no incentive for companies that want to privatize water supply infrastructure to see the value of water go down. And yet the environmentalist community, which derives its support from millions of left-leaning voters and activists who digest left-leaning rhetoric that opposes the privatization of water, became apoplectic over our initiative, which would have socialized significant costs for water infrastructure, thus lowering the market price of water for everyone.

Years of successful environmentalist opposition to more water supply infrastructure is driving a consolidation of property ownership, as smaller farmers, lacking the financial resiliency to outlast the drought, are being forced to sell their holdings. The buyers are huge agribusiness corporations or hedge funds. Often the motive for the buyers isn’t even to grow food, but merely to acquire the water rights. In a drought, water becomes more expensive—and the more water costs, the more valuable their investment.

This explains why Harvard’s $32 billion endowment is buying land for the water rights in Central California, and why Saudi investors are buying land for the water rights in the Imperial Valley. It explains why Trinitas Partners, LGS Holdings Group, Greenstone, and other out-of-state investment firms and hedge funds are buying out California’s financially stressed farmers and ranchers. Their profit model relies on water scarcity.

The Lords of Scarcity have correctly identified energy and water as essential prerequisites for almost every other product or service. Activist and former gubernatorial candidate Michael Shellenberger identifies nuclear power and desalination as two game-changing options that have been suppressed in an April essay for Eurasia Review.

Shellenberger, who has long advocated for construction of more nuclear power plants, presents the original blueprints for Diablo Canyon nuclear plant, showing that PG&E originally planned to construct six reactors. As it is, Diablo Canyon’s two operating reactors are scheduled to be shut down by 2025, which Shellenberger alleges is 40 years premature based on their design life. With its continuous output of 1.1 gigawatts, just one reactor at Diablo Canyon produces enough energy to desalinate over 2 million acre-feet of water per year. But there’s much more to this story. Shellenberger writes:
Why is Newsom talking out of both sides of his mouth? Because he cares more about running for president than he does about the people of California. And he believes that running for president requires the support of pro-scarcity environmentalists like Sierra Club and Natural Resources Defense Council (NRDC), and their financial backers. The two groups oppose desalination and favor closing Diablo Canyon nuclear plant. They have a combined annual revenues of nearly $300 million, a significant share of which comes from the very same natural gas and renewable energy companies that stand to make billions replacing the energy from Diablo Canyon. [Emphasis added.] Naturally, many of the same financial interests back Newsom. Some pro-nuclear people think they can change Newsom’s mind by appealing to his donors, but a big part of the reason Newsom sought to kill Diablo Canyon was to deliver a scalp to his pro-scarcity donors.
This is yet another economic agenda that favors the policies of scarcity. The more expensive energy becomes, the more investment goes into renewables. This is a good thing if you believe renewable energy is more sustainable and planet-friendly than conventional energy, but it certainly doesn’t make the case for shutting down Diablo Canyon. The reason continuous energy from nuclear power is a threat is not only that it displaces renewables, but because it also displaces natural gas power plants which, unlike nuclear power, can be rapidly brought on and offline and thus are needed to fill in when intermittent renewable power falters.

Energy scarcity in California is the result of political choices, driven by economic special interests that profit from that scarcity. The evolution of Shellenberger, who was honored in 2008 by Time as a “Hero of the Environment,” is a defining example of how the conventional wisdom could change in California. One of Shellenberger’s earliest works was the EcoModernist Manifesto, which proclaimed that prosperity and environmentalism are not in inherent conflict, and that we can achieve both. Taking this inspiring message from concept to implementation, however, is undermined by the Lords of Scarcity. Shellenberger, who recently authored a book about environmentalist alarmism with the self-explanatory title Apocalypse Never, came to realize that excessive environmental laws and regulations are very profitable for the few, at the expense of prosperity for the many.

Another critical resource that must be abundant and affordable in order to nurture economic prosperity is land. Here again, the Lords of Scarcity have managed to use environmentalism to create prohibitive barriers to land ownership and land use. It isn’t as if there is a shortage of land in California. But the process of clearing the land for any sort of development requires so much time and money and political connections that most people don’t bother. New housing is the obvious example. What few parcels of land are approved for subdividing aren’t nearly sufficient to make up for the demand.

The many cost variables that combine to make housing unaffordable are all attributable to environmentalist policies. Water infrastructure isn’t built, which means fewer homebuilders are able to identify a source of water to supply to the homes they intend to build, which means fewer building permits are issued. California’s timber industry has been decimated—one of the unheralded true reasons for super fires—which means more expensive imported lumber has to be purchased by homebuilders. And then there is the land itself, thousands upon thousands of square miles of open land, most of it only suitable for grazing, situated along the major freeway corridors.

California is only five percent urbanized. Five percent. The significance of this bears further explanation. The state of California sprawls across 163,000 square miles, there are 25,000 square miles of grazing land and 42,000 square miles of agricultural land. Of that, 14,000 square miles are prime agricultural land. You could put 10 million new residents into homes, four per household, on quarter-acre lots, with an equal amount of land set aside for roads, parks, and commercial districts, and you would only consume 1,953 square miles. If you built those new cities on the best prime agricultural land California’s got, you would only use up 14 percent of it. If you scattered those homes among all of California’s farmland and grazing land—which is far more likely—you would only use up 3 percent of it.

The reason this doesn’t happen is that in every case, on every potential building site, there is an irreplaceable ecosystem that must remain pristine, and well-funded environmentalist attorneys prepared to engage in endless litigation to preserve it. If California’s current land-use policies were in force for the last century, where would anyone live? Would anything have ever been built?

The Lords of Scarcity, using an extreme and self-serving interpretation of environmentalism as moral cover, have declared war on every essential resource necessary to deliver Californians an affordable and decent quality of life. Every building block of prosperity and every enabling economic foundation of the civilization we enjoy—water, energy, housing and food—is under attack.

The consequences of unaffordable housing only hurt ordinary families who want to own a home and build wealth. By contrast, unaffordable housing benefits the investment community which has recognized that by limiting the supply of real estate, they can invest in real estate and realize spectacular profits. So now families who aspire to own their own homes must also bid against real estate trusts, hedge funds, and multinational corporations that stand to earn billions thanks to scarcity policies.

At this point, and once again, we must step back and reaffirm that everyone cares about the environment. The problem isn’t the value of environmentalism, which any conscientious person acknowledges. The problem is the balance between the needs of the environment and the needs of ordinary working families has been lost. And the reason it has been lost is that environmentalism is a useful political weapon for any financial special interest that benefits from scarcity.

Most people critical of environmentalist overreach will correctly point out that these policies cause disproportionate harm to low-income and underserved communities. That observation has been repeated so often it has become a cliche. But it’s true and it’s tragic. The Lords of Scarcity are California’s privileged elites, unwilling to accept the lower profits that come with a more competitive marketplace or a vision of environmentalism that embraces resource development and rejects self-serving anti-growth extremism.

The Lords of Scarcity have taken over California. They hide behind environmentalism to further their financial interests. If broad-based economic prosperity is to return to California, the narrative they’ve successfully sold to voters must be challenged, and the power they wield must be broken.
 
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marsh

On TB every waking moment
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PEO8wRKiQo8
8:38 min

You Deserve The Truth!


The Economic Ninja


(Inflation explosion in a couple of weeks around fourth of July)
Contents: 00:00 Start 00:20 What The Economist Said About Inflation 01:45 What People Are Seeing When It Comes To Inflation 03:23 What Is Happening Right Now 05:25 Key Part Of The Article

^^^^
Article discussed:


Inflation Is Dominating Headlines, But Deflation Is What Investors Should Fear

MONDAY, JUN 20, 2022 - 12:20 PM
Authored by Adam Taggart via Wealthion.com,

Voices like Elizabeth Warren have been among the loudest when it comes to painting “corporate greed” as the prime suspect behind rising inflation in the US.This isn’t a fringe perspective. On Wednesday, Joe Biden sent a warning letter to top oil executives asking them to bring down prices, implying the administration might intervene if not.

Is this narrative true? Is Exxon responsible for rising gas prices? Is Tyson Foods responsible for rising egg and pork prices?

Macro analyst Stephanie Pomboy doesn’t think so.

According to Pomboy, we need to look at the difference between the consumer price index (CPI) and the producer price index (PPI). The PPI does not make too many headlines as it’s not of immediate concern to everyday consumers. It tracks the prices of raw commodities and intermediate services like bulk shipping.

In short, PPI reflects prices that small businesses and corporations pay while CPI is analogous for the typical consumer. Taking a look at the difference between the two measures, there is quite a massive gap and not one that favors corporations:



So what does this mean? On net, businesses are bearing the brunt of this inflation. Perhaps many CEOs believed inflation was transitory and were initially reluctant to raise prices.

The implications of this, however, are deeper than the realization that Elizabeth Warren needs to retake Econ 101. It also means businesses, which are already facing soaring costs of capital due to the Federal Reserve’s tightening campaign, are in a worse position financially than most thought.

This could mean layoffs or worse: insolvency and liquidations.

Overall, Pomboy sees the private sector as extremely fragile, especially now that the labor market is no longer the Fed’s primary concern.

She recalls the 2008 financial crisis, when market pundits were having a bit of an inflation scare as well.

At the time, inflation peaked in July ‘08 at 5.6% YoY. Exactly one year later, inflation had morphed into deflation, coming in at -2.1%.

Pomboy warns that with an economy this fragile, we may be facing a brutal deflationary contraction just as inflation fears have reached peak hysteria.

Listen to her full interview here

View: https://youtu.be/I27xw8Bf9fE
50:06 min
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

COVID Exposed The Medical-Pharmaceutical-Government Complex

MONDAY, JUN 20, 2022 - 01:25 PM
Authored by Mark Oshinskie via The Brownstone Institute,

In college, I took a Latin American Politics and Development class. When discussing Latin American medical care, Professor Eldon Kenworthy presented a deeply countercultural idea.

Echoing a journal article by the scholar, Robert Ayres, Kenworthy maintained that building hospitals there costs lives. If, instead of erecting, equipping and staffing gleaming medical centers, this same money and human effort were devoted to providing clean water, good food and sanitation, the public health yield would be much greater.

United States medical history bears out Ayres’s paradox. The biggest increases in US life expectancy occurred early in the Twentieth Century, when people had increasing access to calories and protein, better water and sanitation. Lives lengthened sharply decades before vaccines, antibiotics or nearly any drugs were available, and a century before hospitals merged into corporate Systems.

Incremental American life span increases during the past fifty years reflect far less smoking, safer cars and jobs, cleaner air and less lethal wars more than they reflect medical advances. Books like Ivan Illich’s Medical Nemesis and Daniel Callahan’s Taming the Beloved Beast echo Ayres’s critique. But PBS, CNN, B & N, the NYT, et al. censor such views.

The American medical landscape has changed radically in the forty years since I learned of Ayres’ observation.

America spends three times as much, as a percentage of GDP, on medical treatments as it did in the 1960s.

By 2020, America devoted 18% of its GDP to medicine. (By comparison, about 5% goes to the military). Adding the mega-costs of mass testing and vaccines etc., medical expenditures might now approach 20%. Although the US spends more than twice per capita what any other nation spends on medical care, American ranks 46th in life expectancy. US life expectancy has flatlined, despite growing medical spending and broadened medical access via the vaunted Affordable Care Act.

Though medicine’s high-cost and relatively low yield are right in front of anyone who thinks about their medical experiences and those of people they know, most never connect the dots; more medical treatments and spending are continually advocated and applauded. There’s a regressive “if it saves—or even slightly extends—one life” medical zeitgeist/ethic.

As most medical insurance is employer-based, most people don’t notice annual premium increases. Nor do they see the growing slice of tax revenues used to subsidize Med/Pharma.

Thus, they continually demand more stuff, like IVF, extremely high-cost drugs, sex changes or psychotherapy, as if these were their right, and free. To say nothing of these treatments’ limited effectiveness.

As all are required to medically insure and to pay taxes, one can’t simply opt out or buy only those medical services that one thinks justify their costs. With massive, guaranteed funding sources, aggregate medical revenues will continue to climb.

Thus, Medical-Industrial-Government Complex has become a Black Hole for today’s wealth. With great money comes great power. The Med/Pharma juggernaut rules the airwaves. Nonexistent until the 1990s, hospital System and drug ads now dominate advertising. By being such big advertisers, Med/Pharma dictates news content. Analysts who point out that lavish medical expenditures don’t yield commensurate public health benefit have small audiences. Med/Pharma critics can’t afford ads.



Medicine has fed Coronamania. The TV news I’ve seen during the past 27 months painted a very skewed picture of reality. The virus has been misrepresented—by the media and government, and by MDs, like Fauci, often posing in white jackets— as a runaway train that’s indiscriminately decimating the American populace. Instead of putting into perspective the virus’s clear demographic risk profile and the very favorable survival odds—even without treatment, at all ages, or promoting various forms of contra-Covid self-care, including weight loss—the media and medical establishment incited universal panic, and promoted counterproductive mass isolation, mass masking, mass testing, and treatment with ventilators and expensive, often harmful anti-virals.

Later, mass injections were added to the “Covid-crushing” armamentarium. While the shots created many billionaires, and greatly enriched other Pfizer and Moderna stockholders, they failed, as Biden and many others had promised, to stop either infection or the spread. All of the many whom I know who have been infected in the past six months were vaxxed.

Many—whose voices are suppressed by mainstream media—observe that the shots have worsened outcomes, by driving the development of variants, weakening or confusing immune systems, and causing serious near-term injuries.

Further, people blindly, ardently believed in the shots simply because they were marketed as “vaccines” by bureaucrats wearing medical garb. Despite the shots’ failure and the failure of other “mitigation” measures like lockdowns, masking and testing, many refuse to concede that Med/Pharma has had much—overwhelmingly negative— influence over the society and economy and public health during Coronamania. Nonetheless, many billions of dollars have been—and are still being—spent to advertise shots that most people don’t want.

The Covid overreaction has to some extent also piggy-backed on TV programs that have, for decades, glorified medicine in TV shows like Dr. Kildare, Marcus Welby, M.D., Medical Center, MASH, Gray’s Anatomy and House. Wearing white coats connotes virtue, just as did wearing white hats in Western movies.

Given the cumulative PR onslaught of the ads and shows, medicine is widely seen as more effective than it is in real life. A few years ago, I heard some woman-in-the-street say, during a TV news clip, “If they make me change my doctor, it will be like losing my right arm.”

Many hold such polar views. Medicine is the new American religion. Given such fervent belief in medicine’s importance and the sense of entitlement regarding expanding medical treatments, government and insurance money is relentlessly overallocated to medicine.

Do these expenditures improve human outcomes? During the first Scrubs episode, resident J.D. complains to his mentor that being a doctor was different than he had envisioned; most of his patients were “old and kind of checked out.” His mentor responds, “That’s Modern Medicine: advances that keep people alive who should have died a long time ago, back when they lost what made them human.”

This largely describes those said to have died with Covid. Most people have disregarded that nearly all who died during the pandemic were old and/or in poor health. Most deaths have always occurred among the old and ill. Occasionally, sitcoms keep it realer than real people do.

Aside from not helping much and misspending resources, and extending misery, medicine can be iatrogenic, i.e., it can cause illness or death. Hospital errors are said to cause from 250,000 to 400,000 American deaths annually. Perhaps medical personnel try to do a good job. but when the bodies of old, sick people are cut open or dosed with strong medicine, stuff happens. Even well-executed surgeries and many medications can worsen health.

Further, though few know it, a brew of excreted medications and diagnostic radionuclides daily pours down drains across the US and world and ends up in streams and rivers. For example, the hormones in widely-prescribed birth control pills feminize and disrupt aquatic creatures’ reproduction. There are books about all of this, too, though such authors never appear on Good Morning America.

Faith in medical interventions also lessens individual and institutional efforts to maintain or improve health. If people didn’t abuse substances, ate better and moved their bodies more, there would be much less demand for medical interventions. And if people spent less time working to pay for medical insurance, they could spend more time taking care of themselves and others. Overall, America could spend a fraction of what it spends on allopathic medicine and yet, be much healthier. There are also plenty of books about this.

Given its place at the center of American life for 27 months, and counting, Covid has been—and will be—used to further intensify the medicalization of individual lives, the economy, and society. By exploiting and building an irrational fear of death, the Medical Industrial Complex will promote the notion that we should double—or triple—down on medical and social interventions and investments that might marginally extend the lives of a small slice of the population. Or, in many instances, shorten lives.

But most people who live sensibly are intrinsically healthy for many years. Given enough nutritious food, clean water and a decent place to sleep, most people will live a long time, with little or no medical treatment. While intensive medical interventions can marginally extend the lives of some old, sick people, medicine can’t reverse aging and it seldom restores vitality.

If the media were honest brokers, the Covid mania would never have taken hold. The media should have repeatedly pointed out that the virus only threatened a small, identifiable segment of a very large population. Instead, captive to its Med/Pharma sponsors, the media went full-frontal fearmonger and promoted intensive, society-wide intervention. Social, psychological and economic catastrophe ensued.

Additionally, many doctors who could have spoken against the Covid craziness stayed silent so as not to jeopardize their licenses, hospital privileges or favored status with Pharma, or just because they were schooled in allopathic orthodoxy and hold fast to that faith. Props to those courageous few who broke ranks.

The Med/Pharma/Gov establishment, including the NIH and CDC, hasn’t saved America during 2020-22. To the contrary, Covid interventions have worsened overall societal outcomes. These net harms should have inflicted—and, depending on longer-term vaxx effects, may yet inflict—a big black eye on the Medical Industrial Complex.

If so, Med/Pharma will spend tens of billions of PR money to distort what’s happened for the past 27 months, and to portray well-paid medical personnel, administrators and bureaucrats as selfless heroes. Many gullible Americans will buy this slick revisionism, including its portrayals of healthy-looking people walking in slow motion on beaches or across meadows in golden light, accompanied by a contemplative solo piano soundtrack.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
(COMMENT: the cold chain for perishable foods from fork to store. All of the links in the chain require diesel to operate, including the farming itself. Contracts between the links in the chain may not accommodate the rapid change in diesel full prices. You can see why a produce farmer may want to limit his future contracts to regional sales and limit the cost of diesel component and vulnerability to rapid price change. )

1655766603794.png

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6N3qjr2MIYk
3:27 min

Best Practices: Managing the cold chain

Nov 8, 2016


Thermo King Europe


^^^^^
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EeNuQ5N2rNM
9:28 min
Cold Chain Management Introduction

Jul 10, 2018


ProcuroInc

PIMM™ CCM provides “end to end visibility” for your cold chain. The system monitors, analyzes and manages the entire distribution process from supplier plants, 3rd party carriers, 3rd party cold storage/distribution centers, outbound delivery fleet and in-store cold storage.

View attachment 345814

^^^^
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8CGHm3-3MNs
4:13 min

Whole Foods Market Cold Storage Facility

Feb 17, 2016

WLB W. L. Butler

Two of the three existing buildings on a 9.8 acre property were demolished and replaced with a new 128,000 sq. ft. LEED Green building; complete with an administrative office and warehouse space.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

"Economic Hurricane" – Hyperbole Or Real Possibility?

MONDAY, JUN 20, 2022 - 11:05 AM
Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com,

An “economic hurricane” is coming. That ominous warning comes from Jamie Dimon, CEO of J.P. Morgan Chase.
“I said there were storm clouds. But I’m going to change it. It’s a hurricane. Right now it’s kind of sunny, things are doing fine, and everyone thinks the Fed can handle it. That hurricane is right out there down the road coming our way. We don’t know if it’s a minor one or Superstorm Sandy. You better brace yourself.”
Of course, he isn’t the only CEO feeling this way. The most recent CEO Confidence Index suggests that most leaders are concerned about the economy over the next few quarters.



Adding to that, the NFIB Small Business Survey also suggests that the economic backdrop is deteriorating rapidly. The chart below shows the number of firms expecting an economic improvement over the next 6-months. That number plunged to the lowest reading ever.



Of course, businesses are gloomy because consumer confidence, which is where they derive their revenue and profits, suggests dismal growth ahead. Our consumer confidence composite index (UofM and Conference Board measures) of expectations less current conditions is already at levels associated with previous bear markets and corrections.

So, is Jamie Dimon being hyperbolic, or is there a genuine concern for an economic hurricane?



The Storm Clouds Are Closer Than They Appear
Dimon’s two primary concerns about the economy are valid – the risk of a Fed policy mistake and the war between Russia and Ukraine. I am personally concerned about the first risk more than the second.

An honest review of history shows the Fed is consistently a “day late and a dollar short” regarding monetary policy. The history of “financial accidents” due to the Fed’s monetary intervention schemes is evident. Not just over the last decade, but since the Fed became “active” in 1980.



What should be evident is that before the Fed became active, economic growth was accelerating. There were few crisis events, and economic prosperity was broad. However, post-1980, the trend of economic growth declined. There are many reasons leading up to each event. However, the common denominator is the Fed tightening monetary policy.

Notably, Fed rate hiking campaigns correlate with poor financial market outcomes, as higher rates impacted the credit and leverage markets.



Such is where I agree with Dimon considering his comments on monetary policy.
“We’ve never had QT like this, so you’re looking at something you could be writing history books on for 50 years,”
When the Fed reduced its balance sheet in 2018, it ran at a pace of $30 billion monthly with very low inflation. Starting this month, the Fed will be ramping up that reduction to 3-times the previous run rate, with inflation at nearly 9%.



While they believe they can achieve this reduction without disrupting the equity markets or causing an economic contraction, history suggests otherwise.

The Russia/Ukraine conflict, rising interest rates, and soaring commodity costs exacerbate the collapse in confidence. Such has already significantly tightened monetary policy, elevating the risk that the Fed will again make a “policy mistake.

Preparing For An Economic Hurricane
From our perspective, I had often disagreed with Mr. Dimon’s outlooks (see here), like in December 2019 when he stated:
This is the most prosperous economy the world has ever seen. It’s going to be a very prosperous economy for the next 100 years.”Jamie Dimon
That statement didn’t age well. Just 3-months later, the economy plunged into the deepest recession since the “Great Depression.”

However, this time I don’t. The risk of an “economic hurricane” is certainly elevated. But as someone who grew up on the Gulf Coast, Hurricanes can be unpredictable. More than once, my Dad and I boarded up windows and stocked up on non-perishable food and water, only to see the storm change course at the last minute. However, the preparation, while wasted, was better than the alternative.

Between soaring inflation, falling wages, slowing economic growth, and a Fed bent on tightening monetary policy, there is a storm on the horizon. The magnitude, timing, and location of the “economic hurricane” are still anyone’s best guess.

All we can do is prepare for the storm and then cross our fingers and hope for the best. The guidelines are simplistic but ultimately effective.
  1. Raise cash levels in portfolios
  2. Reduce equity risk, particularly in high beta growth areas.
  3. Add or increase the duration in bond allocations which tend to offset risk during quantitative tightening cycles.
  4. Reduce exposure to commodities and inflation plays as economic growth slows.
If the hurricane hits, preparing for the storm in advance will allow you to survive the impact. It is a relatively straightforward process to reallocate funds to equity risk if it doesn’t.

Given the numerous shocks to the system happening concurrently, I think investors will need more than just an umbrella to survive it.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

The Perfect Storm In Oil Caught Markets Off Guard

MONDAY, JUN 20, 2022 - 08:10 AM
By Irina Slav of Oilprice.com
  • Just a couple of years ago, some of the biggest names in the oil market could have never imagined the current demand and supply situation.
  • BP is now admitting it may have underestimated the world’s thirst for oil.
  • The electrification of transport is not undermining demand as quickly as some analysts predicted.
Two years ago, at the height of the pandemic, BP wrote in its annual Energy Outlook that global oil demand had peaked at around 100 million bpd in 2019, and it was only going to go down from then on because of the effects of the pandemic and the accelerated energy transition. Just two years later, BP is admitting it may have underestimated the world’s thirst for oil, although it heroically stuck to its long-term forecast that the electrification of transport will eventually usher in the era of peak oil demand.



Investment banks, meanwhile, foresaw the rebound in demand because it was the natural thing to happen after the pandemic depression caused by all the lockdowns. What they did not foresee—because it is impossible to foresee—was the extent and speed of the rebound.
Goldman Sachs’ Jeffrey Currie recently acknowledged this gap between expectations and reality in an interview with Bloomberg, saying,
The markets moved faster and the fundamental tightness is deeper than what we would have thought three or six months ago.
“This is where we should be, but it is a lot deeper than we would have initially thought. Energy and food right now, as we go into the summer months, are severely skewed to the upside,” Currie added.
It may be interesting to note that even three to six months ago, long before Russian supply became a factor in the upward potential of oil prices, there were few but authoritative voices that argued the oil market is, in fact, in balance.

Citi’s Ed Morse was one of these voices. In February, he told Bloomberg’s Javier Blas he expected the oil market to move into surplus territory thanks to increased oil production from the United States—the Permian, specifically—Brazil, and Canada.

Indeed, the Energy Information Administration recently forecast oil production in the Permian would hit a record high this month, but that does not appear enough to offset the global oil imbalance, with many U.S. producers signaling they are unwilling—or are unable because of shortages and delays—to boost production.

In Canada, production is rising, and according to Alberta’s Premier, Jason Kenney, the country’s total could rise by close to 1 million bpd, but this has yet to happen. In Brazil, production is also on the rise but has so far failed to make a difference in the price department.

Of course, the reasons for this price situation are first, the sanctions against Russia, which happens to be the world’s largest oil and fuel exporter, and second, OPEC’s inability to produce as much as it agreed to because of chronic problems with some members of the cartel.

Meanwhile, the two OPEC members that have enough spare capacity to offset the loss of Russian barrels, Saudi Arabia and the UAE, are wary of tapping it.

Perhaps somewhere there is a genius oil analyst that foresaw this state of affairs.
Perhaps it doesn’t take a genius to spot the patterns:
  • those OPEC members that cannot hit their own production quotas have been finding it difficult to boost production for years; relations between the Middle Eastern oil states and the West have been deteriorating also for years.
  • And the fact that Russia is the world’s biggest oil exporter is not exactly news.
Perhaps the biggest surprise, the thing that was extremely difficult to foresee, was the speed with which demand for oil rebounded and how resilient this demand has turned out to be despite much higher oil prices that the world has seen for years. In hindsight, it’s easy to attribute it to pent-up demand after the lockdowns, but hindsight is known to make it easier to explain events that have been near impossible to forecast.

The trouble with oil and any other analysis is, of course, that there are always assumptions that need to be made for lack of all the necessary information. Assumptions are often safe to make but sometimes, when a wild card enters the game, assumptions quickly become worthless. In this case, the wild card was Russia, but even the known cards refused to play into the assumptions of analysts.

U.S. production is not growing as much or as fast as some expected as WTI soared above $100 and stayed there. The electrification of transport is not undermining demand because the electrification of transport is happening a lot more slowly than expected.

And, perhaps more importantly, OPEC+ may say it will boost production by 1 million additional barrels daily but whether words will translate into actions is very far from certain.


These seem to be all the necessary ingredients for a perfect oil storm, spiced up with the latest massive oil field outage in Libya. Things are, indeed, worse than pretty much everyone expected, and, what is perhaps more worrying, they will remain so for a while yet because there is no quick fix on the table.

The latest from the world’s biggest consumer is putting limits on exports. This would certainly lead to lower domestic prices but will push international prices further still and maybe hurt Washington’s friendship with Brussels. The latest from the world’s biggest importer is that it is stocking up on crude while refinery output declines. Stocking up does seem like the smart thing to do during this storm.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

"Dangerous" Heat Dome Shifts Eastward, Triple-Digit Temps Expected For Southeast

MONDAY, JUN 20, 2022 - 05:45 AM

A heat dome hovering over the northern Plains has begun to shift eastward early this week, expected to bring triple-digit temperatures across southern and eastern regions of the U.S.
"Dangerous heat will continue to make headlines from the central U.S. to the Southeast. One more day of well above normal, near-record and record-breaking heat is expected from the central Plains to the Upper Midwest.
"Excessive Heat Warnings remain in effect for the Red River Valley of the North and the greater Minneapolis area. High temperatures up to 100 degrees along with high humidity will lead to head indices into the mid-100s ...
"The center of the heat wave begins to transition further east on Tuesday into the Great Lakes, with forecast highs in the mid- to upper 90s, up to 15-20 degrees above normal.

"In addition to hot high temperatures, very warm, near-record and record-breaking low temperatures in the 70s will provide little relief from the heat overnight. Temperatures will also warm up across the Southeast on Wednesday, with highs into the low 100s expected. Maximum heat indices may reach as high as 110 degrees along the central Gulf Coast when factoring in high humidity. High temperatures in general will be hot and a bit above normal across most of the central and eastern U.S. outside of the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic," the National Weather Service wrote in an early morning weather outlook.


At 0800 ET, at least nine million people across eight northern and central U.S. states, including Minnesota, Iowa, North Dakota, South Dakota, Michigan, Wisconsin, Nebraska, and Kansas, were under heat alerts. That number should exponentially increase as the heat dome moves eastward.



Summer begins Tuesday, and large swaths of the Central and southern parts of the country could see above-average max temperatures through the end of the month.

Above-average weather will increase cooling demand from households and businesses, may strain power grids, and result in higher electricity costs for tens of millions of Americans, or worst, power blackouts.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

Germany Rations Gas Amid Russian Cuts, Mandates Return To Coal For Electricity Production

MONDAY, JUN 20, 2022 - 03:55 AM
German Vice Chancellor and Economy Minister Robert Habeck said Sunday that the country will limit the use of natural gas for electricity production amid concerns about possible shortages caused by a cut in supplies from Russia.

As a member of the environmentalist Green Party, Habeck pushed through legislation in April to raise Germany’s energy target to 80% renewables. He is also an opponent of nuclear energy.



Habeck said that Germany will try to compensate for the move by increasing the burning of coal, a more polluting fossil fuel.
“That’s bitter, but it’s simply necessary in this situation to lower gas usage,”
The decision comes just days after Russian gas company Gazprom announced that it was sharply reducing supplies through the Nord Stream 1 pipeline for technical reasons, but which Habeck said appeared to be politically motivated.
“It’s obvious that (Russian President Vladimir) Putin’s strategy is to unsettle us by driving up the price and dividing us,” Habeck said.
“We won’t let that happen.”
Habeck's Press Release on Reducing Natural Gas Consumption.
Gas Reduction in Electricity Sector
“The situation on the gas market has deteriorated in recent days. The missing quantities can still be replaced, and the gas storage tanks are still being filled, albeit at high prices. Security of supply is currently guaranteed. But the situation is serious.
We are therefore further strengthening precautions and taking additional measures to reduce gas consumption. This means that gas consumption must continue to fall, so more gas must be stored in storage, otherwise things will get really tight in winter.
We will now take the next steps. For months we have been in the process of sharpening tools, creating new ones and removing existing obstacles. We are accelerating the expansion of renewable energies in an unprecedented way, we are pushing through the storage of gas and driving the expansion of LNG terminals and energy efficiency measures. The urgency of these tasks determines our ongoing work.
Now we're going to pull out and use another set of tools. We will reduce gas consumption in the electricity sector and in industry and force storage tanks to be filled. Depending on the situation, we will take further measures."

“With the law, we are setting up a gas replacement reserve on demand. And I can already say: We will call off the gas replacement reserve as soon as the law comes into force. That means, to be honest, more coal-fired power plants for a transitional period. That's bitter, but in this situation it's almost necessary to reduce gas consumption. We must and we will do everything we can to store as much gas as possible in summer and autumn. The gas storage tanks must be full in winter. That has top priority," said Habeck.

Rapid Expansion of LNG Infrastructure
Germany has not yet had a port where liquid gas can be landed. However, this is necessary in order to strengthen the gas supply from non-Russian sources and thus become independent of Russian imports. The federal government is therefore pushing ahead with the construction of so-called floating LNG terminals. First, it has secured four special ships, so-called FSRU , on which liquid gas is converted back into gas.

Secondly, with on LNG Acceleration Act, it has created the legal prerequisites to accelerate the construction of the necessary connections on land so that two of the four FSRU ships can go into operation in winter and thus LNG can be fed into the German gas supply network. Everyone involved is working hard on this.
As MishTalk's Mike Shedlock notes, those are two of seven points of Habeck's plan.
He notes storage tanks are only 56% full.

Not to worry, that's ahead of a year ago. But a year ago Germany was getting 100% of the gas it wanted from Russia. Now it's only getting 40% of the gas it was getting a year ago.

That means it will take 2.5 times as long to fill up the tanks, thus the need to ration natural gas and use coal.

[ZH: Maybe Trump was right after all]

View: https://youtu.be/nu57D9YcIk0
5:01 min


Transitional to What and When?
Well, don't worry. This is only temporary.

Heaven only knows until when. Meanwhile, Germany is rushing to build floating LNG terminals.
That gas will come from where?

20% of US LNG Capacity Went Offline on June 8
On June 8, an explosion at the Freeport LNG facility in Texas knocked out 20% of US LNG production.

The outage sent US gas futures down 18% from the price a day before the fire. European gas prices shot up by over 60%.

Since then, US prices have fallen nearly 60 cents to $6.71.

[ZH: The chart below compares 'oil barrel equivalent' levels for EU and US NatGas relative to WTI Crude]



Spotlight on Sanctions
1655767489282.png

No Parts, No Gas


1655767411514.png
1655767451164.png

Global Natural Gas Flow
Yet again, I keep returning to the following picture.

Global map from Nations Online Project, annotations by Mish

Instead of getting natural gas from hundreds of miles away over existing pipelines we compress natural gas in the US then ship it 4,700 miles away Europe.

Meanwhile, Russia fearing eventual European cutoff is building new pipelines to China.
De-globalization is underway. A key ramification is higher inflation.

For further discussion, please see De-Globalization: New Supply Chains Are Inefficient and Will Drive Up Inflation

We have economic illiterates running the country and running the Fed. The average Joe is getting killed.

Dear President Biden, the above charts speak for themselves. If you want to lower inflation, stop the sanctions.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
(COMMENT: This is what Biden's Mexican cartels and China's fentanyl bring. I live in CA. My daughter recently went New England on vacation. She said she now realizes how much CA has deteriorated. Said there were no hoards of homeless and druggies wandering the streets, no filth or garbage on the streets there. Coming to a city near you? Look for more larceny as the economy gets tighter.)

The Criminal Order Beneath The 'Chaos' Of San Francisco's Tenderloin

SUNDAY, JUN 19, 2022 - 08:30 PM
Authored by Leighton Woodhouse via RealClearInvestigations,

The epicenter of the political earthquakes rattling San Francisco’s progressive establishment is a 30-square-block neighborhood in the center of downtown known as the Tenderloin.

Photo: Michael Shellenberger

Adjacent to some of the city’s most famous attractions, including the high-end shopping district Union Square, the old money redoubt of Nob Hill, historic Chinatown, and the city’s gold-capped City Hall, it is home to a giant, open-air drug bazaar. Tents fill the sidewalks.

Addicts sit on curbs and lean against walls, nodding off to their fentanyl and heroin fixes, or wander around in meth-induced psychotic states. Drug dealers stake out their turf and sell in broad daylight, while the immigrant families in the five-story, pre-war apartment buildings shepherd their kids to school, trying to maintain as normal an existence as they can.

“If you happen to be walking through the Tenderloin and you feel unsafe, imagine what it feels like to live there,” said Joel Engardio, head of Stop Crime SF, a civilian public safety group. “The Tenderloin has one of the largest percentages of children in the city. It’s untenable, inexcusable to ask them to confront this hellscape.”

The Tenderloin is out of control,” said Tom Ostly, a former San Francisco prosecutor who used to work there and lives nearby. “It has never been worse than it is now.”

Nancy Tung, a prosecutor who once handled drug enforcement in San Francisco, called it “ground zero for human misery.” Kathy Looper, who has run a low-income, single resident occupancy hotel in the Tenderloin for more than 45 years, said, “It feels like we’re in Gotham,” adding that she once considered putting a spotlight on her hotel roof and projecting a Batman signal into the sky.

The crime and disorder of the Tenderloin may appear to be symptoms of deep and mysterious sociological forces. Chesa Boudin, who was ousted last week as San Francisco’s district attorney because of his lenient policies, argued, “We can’t arrest and prosecute our way out of the problems that are afflicting the Tenderloin.”

But there is a fairly straightforward kind of order beneath the chaos: an illicit market economy operating in plain sight. The Tenderloin is home to two sprawling, overlapping transnational organized crime networks – one centered on drugs and the other on theft – which thrive in that neighborhood because of the near-total absence of the enforcement of laws.

The Tenderloin, an infamous attraction to some, next to some of the city's most famous attractions. Google Maps

Crowded onto its street corners and inside the tents congesting the sidewalk, countless petty criminals play their roles in a structured and symbiotic criminal enterprise. Its denizens fall into four main groups: the boosters, typically homeless and addicted, who steal from local stores; the street fences who buy the stolen merchandise; the dealers who sell them drugs for the money they make from the fences; and, at the top of the stack, the drug cartel that supplies the dealers and the wholesale fences that resell the goods acquired by street fences. Each has a role to play in keeping the machine moving, and the police know exactly how to disrupt it.

Experts say the city could, in fact, arrest and prosecute its way out of most of the problems in the Tenderloin if it chose to. It thrives, instead, as a zone of lawless sovereignty in the heart of a major American city – the criminal version of the area commanded by Seattle anarchists in the so-called Capitol Hill Autonomous Zone, or CHAZ, in 2020. Where those extra-legal districts were eventually dismantled, the Tenderloin’s structure is entrenched.

The following portrait of the Tenderloin crime syndicate is based on dozens of conversations with law enforcement officers, prosecutors, recovering street addicts, parents of addicts, and community activists over many months, as well as direct observation of the area.

Everyone knows what’s going on. The cops, mayor, and D.A.,” said Tom Wolf, a recovering addict. “Everyone knows it's organized and cartel-backed. They just don't think it's worth it to stop it, because nothing’s going to change anyway. They've surrendered.”

Dealing in the Tenderloin: a low-risk business. KPIX CBS/YouTube

The Dealers
The drug pushers are easy to spot: Unlike the users, they look healthy and wear clean clothes. They’re almost universally young men, mostly Honduran (on the streets of San Francisco they’re called “Hondos”). You see them standing on street corners on every block in the Tenderloin selling pills out of prescription drug bottles and white and colored powders out of plastic sandwich bags – fentanyl, meth, heroin, cocaine.

The dealers stand in packs of eight to ten on a corner, in their jeans and hoodies, with their stashes in their backpacks. According to both drug enforcement authorities and recovering addicts, each works for a different supplier and each supplier leads back to Mexico’s Sinaloa cartel. They compete for customers, but they also look out for each other: If someone tries to rob one of them, Wolf explained, they all jump in to defend him. Dealers have their assigned corners – like Turk and Hyde, across the street from a playground, or Golden Gate and Hyde, or United Nations Plaza. They mostly live in apartments on East Oakland’s International Boulevard, according to Ostly, and take the BART train to the Civic Center station each morning with the other commuters. Both civilians and police officers have observed them splitting up bindles of drugs and divvying up cash in plain view of commuters on the BART trains.

During his tenure, Chesa Boudin resisted calls to prosecute these dealers, instead referring to them as victims of human trafficking. (Boudin, whose replacement is to be named by Mayor London Breed, did not respond to repeated requests for comment.)

There’s not a whole lot to support it,” Nancy Tung said of Boudin’s human trafficking claim. The dealers are usually smuggled into the United States by the cartel. When they arrive in San Francisco or another American city, they owe the cartel for getting them there – typically $10,000 to $15,000, which they can earn in a couple of weeks byselling the cartel’s drugs, both law enforcement and recovered addicts say. Once they repay the cartel, they’re free to do whatever they want. Usually, they stick with drug dealing, because no other job can make them that much money with so little risk. Dealers in the Tenderloin typically make about $1,000 a day for an eight- to 12-hour shift.

Under Boudin, drug dealing was a low-risk business. Lou Barberini, a retired San Francisco police officer who worked narcotics in the 1990s and 2000s in the Tenderloin, said dealers used to shield drug deals with their hands or bodies as they sold them. Wolf, the recovering addict, said that before the pandemic, they would hold their drugs in baggies concealed in their mouths and spit them out when they made a sale.

“Now,” Barberini said, “they display what they have in their hand, and the person will select what they’re going to buy.” The worst consequence of being arrested is losing your stash, so for high volume transactions they might duck behind a car. That’s about the extent of the precautions they feel it necessary to take.

Addicts: heat-seeking missiles when they need a fix, listless as nursed babies when they get it. AP

The Boosters
The buyers, or addicts, are usually homeless and unsheltered, and, like the Bay Area, racially diverse. They’re often gaunt if they’re not obese, hunched over, in ill-fitting clothes draped across their limbs. They’re like a heat-seeking missile when looking for their next fix, and as listless as a nursed baby after they’ve found it. They would stand out in any other neighborhood, but in the Tenderloin it’s the non-users who are conspicuous, and the users who blend into the crowd.

Finding drugs in the Tenderloin is about as hard as ordering a kebab from a food cart. On any corner, dealers holler out their inventory like hot dog vendors at a ballpark: “Green is fire! Shards! Chiva! Nickel!” (Translation: “The green pills or powder are great! I also have meth, heroin, and crack.”) Or “Fenty! Bars!” (As in: “Get your fentanyl! I got some Xanax!”)

The addicts often suffer from schizophrenia, depression, or bipolar disorder, which is often induced by meth. They are almost always unemployable. Cash flow is thus a daily concern.

Typically, they turn to professional shoplifting, known as “boosting.” Boosting is “basically a job” for addicts, said Lieutenant Kevin Domby of the California Highway Patrol. To fuel their addiction, boosters need to bring in up to $60 daily. Since they usually get a dollar or two per item, no matter the value of whatever they’re stealing, they have to steal as many as 60 items a day. There are roughly 6,000 homeless people in the Tenderloin and adjacent SoMa neighborhoods. (The last official, citywide count, in 2019, reported just over 8,000 homeless, and pretty much everyone says that figure has jumped in the past three years.) Tom Wolf estimated that about one in five of the homeless in the Tenderloin, or 1,200 people, are boosters. That means thousands, if not tens of thousands, of items are being stolen daily.

I still get letters from Target,” said Gina McDonald, a former addict and the mother of a Tenderloin user who’s now in rehabilitation. Her daughter started boosting years ago to feed her addiction, and her mom has been hearing from the retailers’ lawyers ever since.

Like drug use and drug dealing, shoplifting has been effectively decriminalized in San Francisco, and some chains have reduced their presence in the city. California’s Proposition 47, passed in 2014, reduced shoplifting of less than $950 in goods from felonies to misdemeanors. On top of that reduction in severity, Boudin scaled back prosecution of these crimes.

Together, Prop 47 and the DA’s non-enforcement policy have removed any incentive for police officers to make arrests for shoplifting, which, in turn, has made it far less likely that retailers will even call the police in the first place. For that reason, it’s difficult to estimate the actual scale of the problem. But you get a pretty good sense how normalized it has become.

Today, in San Francisco, you can walk into a Walgreens, a Safeway, a Target or a CVS, take hundreds of dollars of products off the shelf in front of customers and employees, walk out the door, and then come back a few hours later and do it all over again. “We’ll see the same folks go into multiple retailers, multiple times a day,” said Ben Dugan of the Coalition of Law Enforcement and Retail. “The stores are their ATMs.”

The Fences
But stolen goods aren’t money, so the boosters take their goods to the fences. They’re often middle-aged Latino men or elderly Chinese men and women. Fences sometimes roam around the Tenderloin or United Nations Plaza looking for boosters, or they might work out of a nondescript storefront. Some sell the stolen goods out of their own stores in the Tenderloin or in Chinatown, while others source for larger wholesale fencing organizations that launder the goods through online retailers on Amazon, EBay, or Facebook Marketplace.

Often, Domby says, fences will text the boosters on WhatsApp or Snapchat or on a private Instagram page and tell them what products they’re in the market for: Tide Pods or cold medicines with long expiration dates or makeup or razor blades. Then, the boosters fill those orders, stealing as much as they need to get their next fix. “Boosters will go into a pharmacy with a shopping list,” Dugan told me.

The fences and the dealers work in a kind of synergy with each other – so much so that they sometimes collaborate directly. “The dealers will post up where the fences are,” Dugan said. “Fences will direct the thief to the drug dealers.”

The fences, like the boosters they buy from, are the lowest rung on a towering totem pole.

Most are middlemen. Some buy stuff not just from boosters but also from burglars and muggers. (In 2019, the San Francisco Police Department and then-District Attorney George Gascón retrieved more than $2 million in personal and commercial property from a couple that ran their fencing operation out of their Tenderloin camera repair shop.)

Some fences sell the stolen goods directly to the public, laying boosted deodorant and frozen shrimp – so freshly stolen it hasn’t yet thawed – out on a blanket on the street in UN Plaza, or at the flea market in Berkeley. But more typically, they sell to a bigger fence, who can move a high volume of product out of the Tenderloin quickly and efficiently. Ostly compared street-level boosters and fences to street walkers in the prostitution business. A tier above the street addicts is a more specialized, entrepreneurial tier of boosters – the equivalent of escorts, per Ostly’s analogy.

Part of the cops' haul from a fencing operation out of a Tenderloin camera repair shop. Twitter

The Larceny Industry
There are at least two or three levels of fences above the street-level fences. At the top are the wholesale fences. They buy from the mid-tier fences who buy from the street-level fences who buy directly from the boosters, who use their paltry profits to buy drugs from the dealers.

San Francisco’s addiction crisis provides the larceny industry with a permanent low-wage workforce. Drug addicts there and in other cities are, in effect, the exploited sweatshop workers of an international organized retail theft network that operates on an industrial scale.

The fences at the wholesale level amass $100,000 to $200,000 worth of merchandise each day, which they sell to a “diverter.” The diverter repackages the stolen goods in counterfeit packaging and sells the products online. Nationally, just five diverters dominate the trade in stolen merchandise from the national drug store chains. Those five companies sell more than $20 million in product a year.

Wholesale fences also sell their goods to fences overseas. Consumer electronics are often shipped to Vietnam or China to be sold in black markets there. Luxury accessories are sent to Russia.

In 2020, a major multi-agency bust called Operation Proof of Purchase took down a $50 million fencing operation centered in the Tenderloin. When the police seized the warehouse in the North Bay, it took about 40 officers to photograph and box all the inventory, and numerous semi trucks and box trucks to move it all. Officers recovered more than $1.6 million in razor blades alone.

The operation wasn’t just large, it was meticulous. “Just a terrifically organized operation for distribution,” said Lieutenant Domby, who assisted in the operation. “If a box was marked 400 boxes of pills for aspirin, there would be 400 boxes inside.”

“The fences have better inventory control and logistics than the retailers they're stealing from,” Ostly said.

Wolf told me that the way the organized retail theft business operates is “common knowledge” on the street. “Even the street addicts know how this works,” he said.

Whether Boudin is to blame now or not, the Tenderloin's problems are longstanding: sex worker, 2010. AP '

(See article for more)
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment
Tipping Point - West Virginia: Bye-Bye, Blackrock
8:23 min

Tipping Point - West Virginia: Bye-Bye, Blackrock
One America News Network Published June 20, 2022

(Subject - the investment of large state pension funds. Reacting to poor ESG scoring, West Virginia state has put financial institutions ( J P Morgan Chase, Black Rock, US Bank, Morgan Stanley, Wells Fargo etc. ) on notice that they will not hand over funds for investment if they continue to boycott investing in the fossil fuel industry which provides baseload energy. )
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

Food Shortages Have Been Manufactured to Usher in Centralized Public-Private Partnerships for Controlling the Masses

We've been warning about the coming food crisis for some time, but I've never gone into detail about how it will likely all play out. This is what I believe to be the "master plan" being enacted.

BY JD RUCKER
June 20, 2022

Food Shortage

There’s a line in the iconic television show Breaking Bad that applies to what we’re seeing today.

I’m not going to give context as I’d never want to spoil the show for anyone still interested in seeing it, but the line goes like this, “You’re the smartest guy I ever met, and you’re too stupid to see he made up his mind 10 minutes ago.”

This line rings in my head anytime I talk to otherwise intelligent people who don’t realize the food shortages in America that Joe Biden warned about in March are already here. Some will tell me they “may” come in the months or years ahead if we don’t turn things around. Others will argue they’ve been hearing about food shortages in America for decades and it never comes to pass. One compared my “alarmism” about coming food shortages to climate change maniacs claiming we’re all going to die in ten years, something they’ve been saying every ten years for the last five decades.

To be perfectly clear for anyone who isn’t familiar with my history, I have panned alarmists for years. I was never a “prepper” until very recently because I didn’t see a realistic threat on the horizon. I didn’t clear out my bank accounts for Y2K. I didn’t build a doomsday bunker after the 2008-09 economic turmoil. I ripped on people who bought two years worth of toilet paper in spring, 2020.

Today, I’m ringing the alarm bells because the threat is real. It’s already happening. The foundation for massive, widespread food shortages in America are already in place. It is impossible to know for sure if it can be reversed. Unlike gas prices which are easy to predict and even adjust with the right policies (see my interview with Congressman Louie Gohmert for an explanation of why this is the case), food prices are difficult to predict and even harder to adjust because of the decentralized nature of production, distribution, and retailing. This decentralization in America is important to understand because it plays into the machinations of the globalist elites; I’ll elaborate on that a little later.

We’ve talked ad nauseam about the various factors herding us toward food shortages. Bird flu, manufactured or not, is a big one. We’ve seen recent inexplicable mass die-offs of cattle in recent weeks. The Ukraine-Russia war is just one major factor keeping both grains and all-important fertilizer near critical levels. Of course, we can’t forget about the “random” rash of food processing plants being disabled. And as massive as this perfect storm of unfortunate food events is, there are many more factors that are killing food security here and around the globe with 1,000 papercuts.

One of the biggest factors that far too few are discussing is skyrocketing diesel prices. Sure, corporate media is talking about it in the context of gas prices as well as distribution, but few outside of agricultural publications are ringing the alarm bells about the gargantuan impact this is having on farmers. We’re not just talking about higher costs for farming businesses that already have slim margins. We’re talking about farms large and small being unable to produce crops at all. They would literally have to pay in order to lose money growing America’s food. It behooves them to stop producing completely this season as a direct result of diesel prices and other factors making farming cost-prohibitive.

Below is an article by Mac Slavo from SHTF Plan detailing what’s happening with farmers and diesel prices. After Mac’s article, I’ll go into details about what all this means and what I believe to be the next stage in what is unambiguously a Hegelian Dialectic in action.

Famine: Diesel Prices Hit Farmers Hard, Food Is Going To Get Scarce
Food is going to become a luxury if things do not turn around quickly. Farmers are struggling to make ends meet while producing food as diesel prices continue to climb.

This is an issue that is also being faced by the trucking industry from coast to coast as the average diesel price now stands at $5.77 per gallon. A year ago, it was only $3.21. Patrick De Haan, who heads the petroleum analysis of a tech company, Gas Buddy, said it almost seems like the little live indicator in their data ticks up every five minutes, according to a report by Natural News.
A Pennsylvania farmer, Kyle Kotzmoyer, said that he has a tractor hooked up to his corn planter, but with no diesel fuel, because he couldn’t afford any. The crushing reality is that record diesel fuel prices are pushing farmers like himself to the brink, and this could affect food availability. “We have reached that point where it is very close to being a sinking ship. We are teetering on the edge right now,” Kotzmoyer, who also serves as a legislative affairs specialist for the Pennsylvania Farm Bureau, said in front of state lawmakers.

Kotzmoyer also made it clear that food may not be as readily available because of the fuel price surge. Farmers these days may not be able to put food on the ground or they can’t get the food out because farms use diesel-operated machinery. Even if they can get it out of the ground, it’ll be much more labor-intensive and cause the prices of food to rise even more.

Craig Moss, a farmer in Hull, Iowa, said: “We had some farm diesel delivered yesterday, and it cost us $4.85 or $4.89 a gallon delivered. Two years ago, we bought fuel for just over $1.”

We are staring down the barrel of a real famine and nothing looks like it’s easing up at all, in fact, everything that can go wrong continues to while people struggle to put food on the table.

Not only is that a concern in and of itself, but as prices continue to rise, farmers may have to make the tough calls of not growing anything or raising prices to cover their costs. Either way, none of this is looking good.
The Plan
For months, I’ve been saying it behooves everyone to establish their own long-term food plan in preparation for a food crisis. I even launched an entire Substack dedicated to “late prepping.”

My reasoning for this was simple: We need as many Americans as possible to be food-independent and not beholden to government. In short, we need patriots who can either stand together to fight the tyranny or to rebuild after society collapses.

As I said before, I’ve never been a “Chicken Little” who continuously claims catastrophe is just around the corner. I’ve gone against such calls in the past, but today I am trying to be as loud as possible in expressing them. The powers-that-be have a plan for us, and it’s not just to starve us and make us stand in breadlines.

There is a deeper incentive here that plays perfectly toward them achieving their implementation of The Great Reset. When food shortages hit, the people will demand solutions.

It’s a sad testament to what America has become that in times of crisis, far too many look to government for answers. This time, the solution will be devastating.

They will blame the decentralized nature of our food infrastructure for the collapse. When the crisis begins, it will be sudden. Then, they will claim that the reason “nobody” saw it coming is because things are too decentralized. There were too many leaders in multiple industries and thousands of companies not properly talking to each other to solve the problem. In other words, they’re going to blame capitalism.

Their solution: Public-Private Partnerships to manage food security in America going forward.

They will claim it is a new model through which everyone will be able to have access to the food they need to survive. They’ll say that if future problems arise, they’ll be better equipped to handle them. They’ll say that the partnership between private entities and government bodies will work in harmony like a well-oiled machine pumping out all the food we and other nations need.

Just as the foundation is already in place for the food shortages to begin, so too are the foundations already in place for their solution. There’s a reason Bill Gates is the largest single farm-owner in America. There’s a reason that for years, Blackrock, Vanguard, and State Street have taken oversized ownership of literally every aspect of food production, processing, distribution, and retail. They own the companies that produce the food. They own the train and trucking companies that deliver the food. They own the retailers who dispense the food.

Soon, they’ll own even more farmland than Bill Gates, and he won’t mind one bit. With farmers struggling now, they’ll be eager to sell their operations to the upcoming Public-Private Partnership that is, as I noted above, already prepared and ready to launch.

(Advertising removed)
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

View: https://youtu.be/TTFF7W5T__8
1:00 min

SHORTSJUNE 17, 2022
Why isn’t $5 gas getting the OUTRAGE it deserves?

GLENN: These gas prices... We're up now over $5.01 per gallon for regular gasoline. Now, I remember when George Bush was in office, and I remember the outrage of, like, $2.75 a gallon.

We're at $5 a gallon and I am not hearing this except from friends. I don't hear the news cycle going off on this. Am I just not watching it?

^^^^
View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uYVWUwljFpI
15:13 min

The INSANE way leftist media just DEFENDED Democrats on gas


Glenn Beck


It’s now common knowledge that America’s mainstream media will do what it can to help the Democrat Party. But a recent op-ed from The Washington Post just took far-left pandering to a whole new level. The article, titled ‘Here’s what voters will get if they cast their ballots based on gas prices,’ tells Americans Democrats are NOT to blame for our sky-high inflation rates and gas prices: ‘There are relatively few tools that the president and Congress can deploy to help boost oil production or moderate overall inflation.’ HOLY COW, Glenn says. In this clip, he unveils the rest of The Washington Post’s INSANE Democrat defense, and he asks and important question: How do they sleep at night?!
 
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marsh

On TB every waking moment

Critical Shortages of Fluids, Syringes, and Vital Drugs in the US
By
M Dowling
-June 20, 2022

We now have critical shortages of saline and other fluids. There is also a shortage of emergency syringes and they are affecting large numbers of patients.

While progress has been made in improving access to a number of at-risk products, shortages for low-cost injectable generic drugs and essential fluids vital to patient care remain a vulnerability.

iStock-586052732.jpg

George Washington in a hospital bed on life support

A staple of medical care, U.S. providers are reporting significant disruptions in the supply of fluids ─ various presentations of pre-filled saline flush syringes, normal saline injection, and sterile water injection vials. Fluids in short supply are also shifting to the pharmaceutical space given their role in reconstitution, infusions, and dilutions of drugs.

You can view the FDA list of shortages here.

We know of one ER hospital in Raton, New Mexico that has critical shortages of life saving drugs along with a shortage of IV fluid bags. There must be others.

Instead of blowing trillions on welfare and socialist agenda items, why can’t we transfer the money to these critical needs?
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

“Expert Idiot”: FNC’s Hilton Thrashes Technocracy in Scorching Statement
by Willabout 7 hours ago

FAUCI-758x354.jpg


What made America so great for so long was that here, unlike in the oppressed states of Eastern Europe, bureaucratic nightmare states of Western Europe, despotic regimes of the East in past and present, or corrupt oligarchies of South America, all of which stifle innovation and creation, here people were free to do what they saw fit.

Businesses could be created or closed as necessary, industry thrived under the watchful eye but light hand of government, low taxes propelled the economy forward, and the ruthless but fair free market was prized over the comforting but inefficient and ineffective arms of a tyrannical bureaucracy.

That was the America of the Gilded Age, the America of the Founding, the America that Reagan reinvigorated to some degree, and the America that Trump worked his hardest to recreate.

Unfortunately, thanks to our continual drift toward bureaucracy and technocracy, as Fox News Channel’s Steve Hilton pointed out in a recent monologue, mercilessly tearing into the technocracy and its effects, saying:

“That’s the number one rule of government by ‘expert idiot.’ No one is ever held accountable, however much they screw up. Which of course we see in the absolute crowning glory of the expert idiot’s takeover of the coronavirus pandemic.

“Let’s just take a moment to remember the vanity, the self-importance, the sheer brazen certainty of these expert idiots who turned out to be completely devastatingly wrong.”

And that wasn’t all. Hilton proceeded to rip into the idea of rule by “expert idiot,” particularly through the lens of what America was built on and what ideas used to make America work, saying:

“Of course, it is all laughable now how wrong the experts were, how wrong the vast majority of the establishment media were to trust the experts. But it keeps happening.

“The establishment never learns. So we cannot just subcontract vital decisions about our lives to the experts. Wherever you look, the pandemic, crime, the military, the economy, what the experts have done to this country is an absolute travesty.

“And even if it wasn’t anti-democratic to put all this power in their hands – which it is, even if it didn’t contradict the very idea of what America was built on, self-government –
– which it does, on a basic practical level, government by experts doesn’t work because as we have seen time and time again, the experts are idiots.”


From Fauci to General Milley, from the crazies in charge of the Fed that kept the money printers rolling at full blast to the jokers in charge of energy policy that have led to you paying $7 a gallon to fill up in some states, the experts have failed us horribly.

America was great and growing when it had a limited government and free market. Now it has neither and we’re seemingly on the verge of recession, with nothing the expert idiots are doing seeming like it will help. Fortunately, there are least a few like Hilton that are pointing it out.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

June 20, 2022
The Coming Economic Storm
By Brian C. Joondeph

President Donald Trump, while meeting with a group of military leaders in the White House in 2017, cryptically warned of “the calm before the storm.” When asked by reporters what he meant he simply replied, “You’ll find out.”

There has been much speculation as to what “storm” Trump was referring to, ranging from overturning a fraudulent election to devolution. While his comments from five years ago remain inscrutable, today a real storm is on the horizon, plain to any American consumer. This storm is economic, perhaps a hurricane, as JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon described it, the likes of which may be terrifying and life-changing to those caught in the maelstrom.

238731_5_.jpg

YouTube screen grab


Before I am accused of hyperbole, several financial gurus have likened current economic conditions to a storm, as I chronicled in a recent article. An SMU professor agrees, “We’re seeing these massive dark clouds on the horizon.” A coming storm is an apt description.

Was the Trump presidency, with $2 gas, low unemployment and inflation, peace and prosperity, the calm before the current economic storm? Did Trump know what lay ahead, teasing out a prediction? Regardless of what President Trump was alluding to, an economic storm is definitely coming, not just on the horizon but already taking its toll on hard-working Americans.

Inflation is at 8.6 percent, the official government number for the CPI. This is based on a basket of goods and depending on what is measured and how it is weighted, may misrepresent the inflation rate facing consumers on a daily basis. For example, the Truflation Dashboard reports inflation at 13.2 percent, with food costs up 26.5 percent.

The producer price index rose 10.8 percent in May, foretelling higher consumer prices soon reaching store shelves. Small business optimism fell to a new 48 year low. Pessimistic business owners will not be hiring new employees or expanding their businesses. Many may close up shop instead.

Anyone visiting a gas station sees the price over $5.00 a gallon, more than twice what it was a few years ago. As most goods and services require transportation costs, meaning fuel, expect to see this price increase passed along to consumers through higher prices.

The stock market is down bigly from the Trump days and is now officially in a bear market, meaning markets are down 20 percent or more from their most recent all-time high. Despite the unemployment rate hovering at 3.6 percent, this represents only those actively seeking employment, not those who have given up looking for work.

The labor force participation rate, a better measure of who is working and who is not, dropped to 62.3 percent, the lowest level since the mid-1970s, excluding the months during the COVID shutdowns. What are President Biden and his economic wizards doing to alleviate this?

Inflation is too much money chasing too few goods, a remnant of irresponsible government policy and leadership going back decades. This was exacerbated by copious COVID relief money, paying Americans to stay home and not work or produce. As COVID is waning, the Biden administration, rather than taking its foot off the stimulus accelerator, is continuing to create money and spend like a drunken sailor.

Boneheaded energy policy, reversing Trump era energy independence, has restricted energy production to the point that we are begging the Saudis for oil. Higher energy costs mean inflation and less production as it costs more to work and produce goods and services.

To combat inflation, the Fed must raise interest rates, ideally to above the inflation rate, in order to break the cycle of easy money chasing scarce goods. Last week the Fed hiked its benchmark interest rate by 0.75 percentage point, the largest increase since 1994. This translates to higher borrowing costs for home mortgages, business loans, and credit card balances, throwing cold water on the economy. Mortgage rates have topped 6 percent, the highest since 2008, which will chill the housing market and hurt borrowers who have adjustable rate mortgages.

As the economy slows, we inch closer to a recession. One more quarter of negative GDP places us in a recession, hitting the trifecta along with a bear market and runaway inflation. Is this what Biden and his handlers meant by “Build Back Better”?

Speaking of Biden, his “approval rating fell to 39 percent in its third straight weekly decline, approaching the lowest level of his presidency, according to a Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll.”

Rasmussen Reports confirms, showing Biden at about 40 percent approval, almost 10 points lower than Trump at similar points in their presidencies. Despite the hot air emanating from the White House, Americans recognize the coming economic storm.

Consumer sentiment plunged to the lowest level ever measured by the University of Michigan since 1952. Biden’s disapproval of his job on inflation is 71 percent, topping Jimmy Carter’s 66 percent disapproval in 1978. President Biden has “never been more optimistic” about the economy, but perhaps he is the only one. His recent fall off his bicycle is a metaphor for his presidency.

Some Americans are calling it quits, “California exodus continues, now to Mexico to escape high prices, rising crime rates.” Imagine finding drug cartel and crime-infested Mexico preferable to California.

What if the Fed rate hike is too little too late? Will there be additional interest rate increases, further increasing the cost of borrowing and producing, worsening the overall economy? As the CPI rises, government benefit programs indexed to the CPI will also pay out more money.

Where does the government get this additional money aside from simply printing it, worsening the inflation they are trying to fight?

What happens when consumers stop purchasing non-necessities since they have little money left over after purchasing food and fuel? What does that mean for the rest of the economy, from travel and leisure to nonessential consumer goods?

The axiom of stopping digging when in a hole is not something the Biden administration is capable of understanding. Where does this go? Economist Herbert Stein wisely observed, "If something cannot go on forever, it will stop." That includes the U.S. economy and assumed prosperity that virtually all Americans have become accustomed to.

Internet entrepreneur Kim Dot Com recently posted a Twitter thread about the world being on the brink of a major economic collapse, not because of Putin or Russia, but because America and much of the first world has been spending money they don’t have. Is that the coming storm? Is it already here?

What are those in charge doing about it? Investigating January 6, promoting drag queens in elementary school classrooms, and trying to neuter the Second Amendment, making it difficult for the American people to defend the rest of the Constitution and Bill of Rights. None of these will help the economy.

Where are Republicans? Are they pushing back and offering a new pathway out of this economic storm? Or they busy cozying up to Democrats and the corporate media, trying to gut the Second Amendment? Where are the warriors when we need them?

Was this the storm Trump was referring to? Whether it was an economic storm or not, buckle up as the American house of cards is wobbly and may collapse in the months ahead.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

Fall sales may reveal whether farmland prices will keep rising

Since January 2021, Class A farmland prices in central Illinois have risen 35%.

Updated: June 20, 2022 - 12:00am

It is an unprecedented time for farmland sales. For young farmers, sky high land prices are preventing them from buying.

Since January 2021, Class A farmland prices in central Illinois have risen 35%, Luke Worrell of Worrell Land Services in Jacksonville told The Center Square.

Worrell works with the Illinois Society of Farm Managers and Rural Appraisers and economists at the University of Illinois who track farmland prices. Every year, the society produces an extensive study of Illinois farmland values and leases for the previous year.

Class A acreage has the highest quality soil types and is 100% tillable. No matter what the quality of the farmland, however, prices have increased since January 2021, Worrell said.

“All other classes of land saw robust increases,” Worrell said.

Market indicators are still strong, but land sales traditionally slow down when crops go in. The number of transactions for the spring and summer have slowed down as they normally do, Worrell said. Commodity prices are still high, but so are input costs and the price of gas and oil and the price of machinery.

It remains to be seen what inflation and rising interest rates will do to the demand for farmland, he said.

“The table is set for a very interesting fall. It will be really interesting to see where the values are when sales pick back up,” Worrell said.

The buyers for Illinois farmland are people with a lot of borrowing power, including institutional investors and hedge funds, Worrell said. In his experience, the buyers he encounters in west central Illinois are sophisticated investors--almost all of them with some tie to Illinois and to farming, he said.

“We really still see a vast majority of ag purchases being growers or someone with local ties,” Worrell said. “They know the area and for the most part they have a connection to our neck of the woods.”

In his years selling farms, Worrell has never sold a farm to a foreign buyer, he said.

Historically, Illinois farmland has been a solid investment with particular appeal when times are volatile, Worrell said. The last time farmland prices shot up was in 2009 to 2012, when the nation was reeling from the Great Recession. Buyers looking for tangible assets drove prices up.

In the following years, prices gradually softened, Worrell said.

“Nobody wants a topsy turvy where we rocket ship this thing up and then fall through a trapdoor,” Worrell said.

Worrell advises young farmers to work with knowledgeable professionals who can help them investigate their options.

“Investing in land is always wise to consider. Even when prices are strong,” Worrell said.

Talk to people. Find knowledgeable advisors, he said.

“Don’t shut the door on it just because prices are high,” Worrell said.
 

raven

TB Fanatic

View: https://youtu.be/TTFF7W5T__8
1:00 min

SHORTSJUNE 17, 2022
Why isn’t $5 gas getting the OUTRAGE it deserves?

GLENN: These gas prices... We're up now over $5.01 per gallon for regular gasoline. Now, I remember when George Bush was in office, and I remember the outrage of, like, $2.75 a gallon. We're at $5 a gallon and I am not hearing this except from friends. I don't hear the news cycle going off on this. Am I just not watching it?
The last couple of days I have seen the sign at the Jiffy Trip for regular at $4.99, in Oklahoma.

No one seems to be complaining.
Are ya'll getting money from somewhere or something?
How are people able to afford this?
 

raven

TB Fanatic

“Expert Idiot”: FNC’s Hilton Thrashes Technocracy in Scorching Statement
by Willabout 7 hours ago

FAUCI-758x354.jpg


What made America so great for so long was that here, unlike in the oppressed states of Eastern Europe, bureaucratic nightmare states of Western Europe, despotic regimes of the East in past and present, or corrupt oligarchies of South America, all of which stifle innovation and creation, here people were free to do what they saw fit.

Businesses could be created or closed as necessary, industry thrived under the watchful eye but light hand of government, low taxes propelled the economy forward, and the ruthless but fair free market was prized over the comforting but inefficient and ineffective arms of a tyrannical bureaucracy.

That was the America of the Gilded Age, the America of the Founding, the America that Reagan reinvigorated to some degree, and the America that Trump worked his hardest to recreate.

Unfortunately, thanks to our continual drift toward bureaucracy and technocracy, as Fox News Channel’s Steve Hilton pointed out in a recent monologue, mercilessly tearing into the technocracy and its effects, saying:

“That’s the number one rule of government by ‘expert idiot.’ No one is ever held accountable, however much they screw up. Which of course we see in the absolute crowning glory of the expert idiot’s takeover of the coronavirus pandemic.

“Let’s just take a moment to remember the vanity, the self-importance, the sheer brazen certainty of these expert idiots who turned out to be completely devastatingly wrong.”

And that wasn’t all. Hilton proceeded to rip into the idea of rule by “expert idiot,” particularly through the lens of what America was built on and what ideas used to make America work, saying:

“Of course, it is all laughable now how wrong the experts were, how wrong the vast majority of the establishment media were to trust the experts. But it keeps happening.

“The establishment never learns. So we cannot just subcontract vital decisions about our lives to the experts. Wherever you look, the pandemic, crime, the military, the economy, what the experts have done to this country is an absolute travesty.

“And even if it wasn’t anti-democratic to put all this power in their hands – which it is, even if it didn’t contradict the very idea of what America was built on, self-government –
– which it does, on a basic practical level, government by experts doesn’t work because as we have seen time and time again, the experts are idiots.”


From Fauci to General Milley, from the crazies in charge of the Fed that kept the money printers rolling at full blast to the jokers in charge of energy policy that have led to you paying $7 a gallon to fill up in some states, the experts have failed us horribly.

America was great and growing when it had a limited government and free market. Now it has neither and we’re seemingly on the verge of recession, with nothing the expert idiots are doing seeming like it will help. Fortunately, there are least a few like Hilton that are pointing it out.
Technocracy is socialism.
The technocrat experts aren't idiots.
They are con men and profiteers setting up the economy for personal profit.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

Millions are facing acute hunger in Somaliland in the worst drought in over a generation

The double impact of the worst drought in 40 years and Russia's war in Ukraine is having a devastating effect in the Horn of Africa. The war may be thousands of miles away, but it's pushing up the prices of grain and fuel to unprecedented levels.


Dominic Waghorn

International Affairs Editor @DominicWaghorn
Monday 20 June 2022 18:05, UK

Somaliland
3:19
Millions in the Horn of Africa are facing the double impact of Russia's war in Ukraine and the worst drought in over a generation.

The ward for severely malnourished children was full. They were putting patients on mattresses on the floor.

One-year-old Mohamed was having a nasal drip inserted to make sure he gets vitally needed fluids.

On the bed above him another boy, also named Mohamed, was being examined. Just two months old, he was born two months premature. He is his 17-year-old mother's second son.
She travelled 400 miles to bring him to hospital and did not think he would make it.

1655776327827.png

"I was very, very upset and worried about his condition," she told Sky News. "I was worried he would die. I was very very, very worried and I had pain about him and couldn't sleep."

The ward's patients in Hargeisa, the capital of the self-declared republic of Somaliland, are all victims of the region's worst drought in more than a generation.

The rains have failed for four years now. Ward doctor Dr Abdul Rahman Abdulahi told Sky News he fears for the immediate future.

"If the rains don't come quickly the situation will become worse day by day and the number of patients will be increasing even hour by hour and day by day and we cannot handle it or we cannot save them."

Right across the Horn of Africa they are bracing themselves for the double impact of war and famine.

Dr Abdul Rahman Abdulahi

Image:Dr Abdul Rahman Abdulahi says 'if the rains don't come quickly the situation will become worse day by day'

The worst drought in 40 years is combining with the impact of Russia's invasion of Ukraine. The war there may be thousands of miles away but it's pushing up the prices of grain and fuel to unprecedented levels.

Somaliland and Somalia in general receive 90% of their grain imports from Russia and Ukraine, which is now reduced to a trickle.

Russia and Ukraine account for nearly a third of global wheat supplies. But Ukrainian grain shipments from its Black Sea ports have stalled since Russia invaded, with around 20 million tonnes of grain stuck.

In the market in Hargeisa, the capital of Somaliland, grain sellers all told us the same story. The price has shot up by 75% in three months.

Somaliland

Image:The price of grain in Somaliland has shot up by 75% in three months

As if that is not disastrous enough, the price of fuel has almost doubled, making it more expensive to get grain to those who need it.

In the world's second poorest country, water comes to most people by trucks filling tanks on the street. Water is more scarce in the drought but much more expensive too because of the cost of fuel, up by 60%.

The impact of the drought has been made much, much worse by a war happening thousands of miles away.

The drought now threatens the worst famine in years. Camps are already filling with people who've lost any means of supporting their families. The parents are desperate.

Somaliland

Image:Sophia was a well-off keeper of livestock but has lost everything

We met Sophia, who was a well-off keeper of livestock. She's now destitute and living in a makeshift tent in Mandera camp halfway across Somaliland after the drought killed all her livestock.

"My grandfather was a goatherd," she told Sky News. "My father was a goatherd, I grew up in that life and ended up with 500 goats and four camels and they've all been wiped out, I've got nothing now."

In the background, they were using long sticks to pull branches and leaves from the trees to feed the goats with no grass left to eat.

Somaliland

But getting food to the people who need it will be a huge challenge.

Across the region, millions are facing acute hunger in the worst drought in over a generation compounded by the war in Ukraine.

And without international help, agencies say hundreds of thousands will die of starvation.

"If we don't act now, we will see an avalanche of child deaths in a matter of weeks, famine is just around the corner," Mohamed Fall, the east and southern Africa regional director at UNICEF, said.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

Climate Forum: Joe Biden Calls for ‘Transition’ to ‘Zero Emissions’ Cars to Combat High Gas Prices
909
electric biden car
Photo by MANDEL NGAN/AFP via Getty Images
CHARLIE SPIERING17 Jun 20222,367

President Joe Biden on Friday hosted a climate change forum at the White House, calling for a “transition” to electric vehicles to help reduce America’s dependence on oil.

“Russia’s war is driving up prices of gas, everybody knows that, hurting people in all of our countries,” Biden said.

The virtual conference featured some of the world’s biggest economies including China, Germany, Saudi Arabia, the United Kingdom and the European Union.

The president spoke with world leaders and his administration’s climate change czar John Kerry, as Breitbart News reported.

He called high gas prices around the world an “immediate problem” he was focusing on, but indicated he would continue pressing for Americans to purchase electric vehicles.

“Over the long run we can remove the pain of volatile gas prices, and reduce transportation emissions by putting more zero-emission cars on the road,” he said.

Biden set a goal of half of all passenger cars sold in the United States to be “zero emissions” by the year 2030.

“The good news is that climate security and energy security go hand in hand,” he said.

But the president also boasted he had coordinated the “largest release of global oil reserves in history” to help reduce gas prices.

“The critical point is that these actions are part of our transition to a clean and secure and long-term energy future,” he said.

Kerry, who was recently criticized for saying the United States did not need to drill for more oil, reemphasized the importance of transitioning to green energy.

“This is the critical decade for accelerating our efforts to be able to reach net-zero in time to spare our people and our planet from the worst consequences, the most serious consequences of the climate crisis,” he said.

^^^
clown biden.jpg
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

Putin says Russia is building the new world order right now

The world will not be as it was before the 'special operation,' Russian President Putin said in his speech at the plenary session of the St Petersburg International Economic Forum

By
Leigh Mcmanus
  • 15:24, 20 JUN 2022
  • UPDATED18:16, 20 JUN 2022

Vladimir Putin has accused Western leaders of clinging "to the shadows of the past" as he creates a new world order with his invasion of Ukraine.

The world will not be as it was before the "special operation", Putin said in his speech at the plenary session of the St Petersburg International Economic Forum.

"It is erroneous to believe that one can sit and wait when the time of turbulent changes goes by, when everything goes back to where it was. It won't," Putin said.

According to him, the changes are fundamental, "crucial and inexorable”.

However, he said that Western countries "cling to shadows of the past".

A Russian serviceman patrols on the promenade in Berdyansk, amid the ongoing Russian military action in Ukraine


A Russian serviceman patrols on the promenade in Berdyansk, amid the ongoing Russian military action in Ukraine (Image: AFP via Getty Images)
"For example, they believe that the dominance of the West in global politics and economy is a constant and eternal value. Nothing lasts forever," Putin said.

Putin also took a swipe at the European Union, saying that its leaders are "dancing to someone else's tune."

"The European Union has finally lost its political sovereignty. Its bureaucratic elites are dancing to someone else's tune, accepting whatever they are told from above, while causing harm to their own population and their own economy,” Putin said.

Putin attends the plenary session during the Saint Petersburg Economic Forum

Putin attends the plenary session during the Saint Petersburg Economic Forum (Image: Getty Images)

He warned that this "divorce from reality" will lead to populism and a host of other negative effects.

"Such a divorce from reality, from the demands of society, will inevitably lead to a surge of populism and the growth of radical movements, to serious social and economic changes, to degradation, and in the near future, to a change of elites,” Putin said.

Russian RS-24 Yars intercontinental ballistic missile complex roll during the Victory Day Parade in May

Russian RS-24 Yars intercontinental ballistic missile complex roll during the Victory Day Parade in May (Image: Getty Images)

The 69-year-old even claimed that Western sanctions on Russia haven't worked.
 

marsh

On TB every waking moment

Future computers will be radically different… (Analog computers)
June 19, 2022 ( ago)

View: https://youtu.be/GVsUOuSjvcg
21:41 min

Mar 1, 2022


Veritasium


Visit https://brilliant.org/Veritasium/ to get started learning STEM for free, and the first 200 people will get 20% off their annual premium subscription. Digital computers have served us well for decades, but the rise of artificial intelligence demands a totally new kind of computer: analog. Thanks to Mike Henry and everyone at Mythic for the analog computing tour! https://www.mythic-ai.com/ Thanks to Dr. Bernd Ulmann, who created The Analog Thing and taught us how to use it. https://the-analog-thing.org Moore’s Law was filmed at the Computer History Museum in Mountain View, CA. Welch Labs’ ALVINN video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H0igi... ▀▀▀ References: Crevier, D. (1993). AI: The Tumultuous History Of The Search For Artificial Intelligence. Basic Books. – https://ve42.co/Crevier1993 Valiant, L. (2013). Probably Approximately Correct. HarperCollins. – https://ve42.co/Valiant2013 Rosenblatt, F. (1958). The Perceptron: A Probabilistic Model for Information Storage and Organization in the Brain. Psychological Review, 65(6), 386-408. – https://ve42.co/Rosenblatt1958 NEW NAVY DEVICE LEARNS BY DOING; Psychologist Shows Embryo of Computer Designed to Read and Grow Wiser (1958). The New York Times, p. 25. – https://ve42.co/NYT1958 Mason, H., Stewart, D., and Gill, B. (1958). Rival. The New Yorker, p. 45. – https://ve42.co/Mason1958 Alvinn driving NavLab footage – https://ve42.co/NavLab Pomerleau, D. (1989). ALVINN: An Autonomous Land Vehicle In a Neural Network. NeurIPS, (2)1, 305-313. – https://ve42.co/Pomerleau1989 ImageNet website – https://ve42.co/ImageNet Russakovsky, O., Deng, J. et al. (2015). ImageNet Large Scale Visual Recognition Challenge. – https://ve42.co/ImageNetChallenge AlexNet Paper: Krizhevsky, A., Sutskever, I., Hinton, G. (2012). ImageNet Classification with Deep Convolutional Neural Networks. NeurIPS, (25)1, 1097-1105. – https://ve42.co/AlexNet Karpathy, A. (2014). Blog post: What I learned from competing against a ConvNet on ImageNet. – https://ve42.co/Karpathy2014 Fick, D. (2018). Blog post: Mythic @ Hot Chips 2018. – https://ve42.co/MythicBlog Jin, Y. & Lee, B. (2019). 2.2 Basic operations of flash memory. Advances in Computers, 114, 1-69. – https://ve42.co/Jin2019 Demler, M. (2018). Mythic Multiplies in a Flash. The Microprocessor Report. – https://ve42.co/Demler2018 Aspinity (2021). Blog post: 5 Myths About AnalogML. – https://ve42.co/Aspinity Wright, L. et al. (2022). Deep physical neural networks trained with backpropagation. Nature, 601, 49–555. – https://ve42.co/Wright2022 Waldrop, M. M. (2016). The chips are down for Moore’s law. Nature, 530, 144–147. – https://ve42.co/Waldrop2016

(COMMENT: Way over my pretty little head)
 
Last edited:

marsh

On TB every waking moment

Fed's Powell: a U.S. digital dollar could help maintain international primacy

(Reuters) - The development of an official digital version of the U.S. dollar could help safeguard its global dominance as other countries issue their own, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said on Friday, weighing in with generally positive remarks on a hot-button topic at the central bank that has left policymakers divided.

"A U.S. CBDC (central bank digital currency) could... potentially help maintain the dollar's international standing," Powell said in introductory remarks to a research conference held by the central bank on the international roles of the dollar.

The Fed has just finished a four-month public consultation period soliciting opinions on the idea of a digital dollar. Fed Vice Chair Lael Brainard has emerged as a key supporter while Fed Governor Chris Waller has made the case against.

"As we consider feedback...we will be thinking not just about the current state of the world, but also how the global financial system might evolve over the next 5 to 10 years," Powell added.

Ten countries have already launched central bank digital currencies and another 105 countries are exploring the option, according to the Atlantic Council, leading to fears the dollar could lose some of its dominance to China.

The dollar remains underpinned by key fundamentals, including a commitment to transparency, the rule of law and the full independence of the Fed, Powell noted.

In addition, the Fed's commitment to its price stability mandate contributes to widespread confidence in the dollar as a store of value, Powell said.

"To that end my colleagues and I are acutely focused on returning inflation to our 2% objective," Powell said. The Fed earlier this week delivered its largest interest rate increase in more than a quarter of a century as it tries to stem a surge in inflation.

(Reporting by Lindsay Dunsmuir; Editing by Chizu Nomiyama)
 
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