This poll shows Romney winning in a landslide
http://www.examiner.com/article/mitt-romney-likely-win-november-indicated-latest-polls?CID=obinsite
As does this one
http://www.examiner.com/article/mit...s-projected-at-unskewedpolls-com?CID=obinsite
While the Gallup tracking poll released today shows Romney leading the race 50 percent to 46 percent, other major polls and projections are also suggesting Mitt Romney will be the next president of the United States.
Calling it the “Unskewed Projection” of the 2012 presidential race, QStarNews has released today via UnSkewedPolls.com a detail prediction of the race by popular vote in all states and nationally as well as a projection by electoral votes. The report projects Mitt Romney will defeat President Obama by a 52 percent to 47 percent by national popular vote and 342 electoral votes for Romney to 196 electoral votes for Obama. The projection includes a chart predicting the popular vote and vote percentages for all the states as well as vote data from all states from the last four presidential elections.
The QStarNews/UnSkewedPolls.com projection of the race is based on analyzing and predicting the popular vote in each of the 50 states and the District of Columbia by assessing the votes in the last four elections, the political profile, demographic changes, current and recent polls including the QStarNews polls as well information regarding the targeting of those states by the Obama and Romney campaigns this year.
The QStarNews/UnSkewedPolls.com predicts that overall turnout nationally will be about 104 percent of what it was in 2008 and the electorate will be made up of 34.8 percent Republicans, 35.2 percent Democrats and 30.0 percent independents. The reports projects that a total of 129,170,000 voters will vote in the election this year.
Romney is shown winning all 11 of the key swing states, as also projected in the latest QStarNews poll of swing states, in the QStarNews/UnSkewedPolls.com projection. Those states include Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin. Most observers of this election and their projections consider Michigan and Pennsylvania to be more likely to be won in November by President Obama.
The map above shows the electoral college projection from this QStarNews/UnSkewedPolls.com report. Mitt Romney is projected to win 342 electoral votes while President Obama is expected to win the remaining 196 electoral votes. While many will be surprised to see Romney winning Michigan and Pennsylvania, the other surprises are how close states like Connecticut, New Jersey, Oregon and Maine end up in popular since those states have been fairly safely in the Obama column in most projections and polls up to now.
QStarNews reports this “definitive projection” will be highly accurate because of the methodology used to produce the numbers on which it is based. QStarNews was quite accurate in projecting the 2010 elections for Congress, senators and governors.