ENVR Climate Emergency Not Supported by Data, Say Four Leading Italian Scientists

jward

passin' thru

Climate Emergency Not Supported by Data, Say Four Leading Italian Scientists – The Daily Sceptic​


Chris Morrison​



Four leading Italian scientists have undertaken a major review of historical climate trends and concluded that declaring a ‘climate emergency’ is not supported by the data. Reviewing data from a wide range of weather phenomena, they say a ‘climate crisis’ of the kind people are becoming alarmed about “is not evident yet”. The scientists suggest that rather than burdening our children with anxiety about climate change, we should encourage them to think about issues like energy, food and health, and the challenges in each area, with a more “objective and constructive spirit” and not waste limited resources on “costly and ineffective solutions”.
During the course of their work, the scientists found that rainfall intensity and frequency is stationary in many parts of the world. Tropical hurricanes and cyclones show little change over the long term, and the same is true of U.S. tornadoes. Other meteorological categories including natural disasters, floods, droughts and ecosystem productivity show no “clear positive trend of extreme events”. Regarding ecosystems, the scientists note a considerable “greening” of global plant biomass in recent decades caused by higher levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. Satellite data show “greening” trends over most of the planet, increasing food yields and pushing back deserts.

The four scientists are all highly qualified and include physics adjunct professor Gianluca Alimonti, agrometeorologist Luigi Mariani and physics professors Franco Prodi and Renato Angelo Ricci. The last two are signatories to the rapidly growing ‘World Climate Declaration’. This petition states that there is no climate emergency and calls for climate science to be more scientific. It also calls for liberation from the “naïve belief in immature climate models”. In future, it says, “climate research must give significantly more emphasis to empirical science”.
‘Extreme’ weather events attributed by climate models – somehow – to anthropogenic global warming are now the main staple of the climate alarmist industry. As the Daily Sceptic reported on Monday, Sir David Attenborough used a U.K. Met Office model forecast in the first episode of Frozen Planet II to claim that summer Arctic sea ice could be gone within 12 years. But the likelihood of hardy swimming galas over the North Pole by 2035 seems somewhat remote, not least because Arctic sea ice has been growing in many summers since 2012. According to a recent report from the U.S.-based National Snow and Ice Data Center, at the end of August “sea ice extent is likely to remain higher than in recent years”.

Hurricane and cyclones are favourite subjects for green alarmists. It is unsurprising why they focus on these storms, since the Italian scientists note that historically around 60% of all economic damage caused by global disasters is the consequence of U.S. hurricanes. On May 27th, the Met Office predicted that the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from June to November, would “most likely” be above average, with a “likelihood” of 18 named tropical storms including nine hurricanes and four major hurricanes. In fact, the current Atlantic hurricane season has had its slowest start for 30 years. At the end of August there have been no hurricanes, and only three named storms, none of which produced winds of 74mph or higher.
There is plenty of evidence that hurricane and cyclone frequency and intensity has changed little over the recent historical record. “To date, global observations do not show any significant trends in both the number and the energy accumulated by hurricanes,” note the Italian scientists. The two graphs below demonstrate this.
image-28.png

image-29.png

The IPCC has reported that hurricanes have increased in frequency in the North Atlantic since 1878, but the scientists note that observations were relatively low during the first decades of the 20th century. After adjusting for lack of observational capacities in the past, there is a nominal upward trend. This trend, they explain, “is not significantly distinguishable from zero”.

The scientists accept that there has been a recent increase in heatwaves, which they attribute to the 1°C rise in global temperatures, although they note global heatwave intensity trends “are not significant”. They also point out that only a limited number of weather stations have observed an increase in global rainfall. Corresponding evidence for increases in flooding remains elusive, they say, “and a long list of studies shows little or no evidence of increased flood magnitudes, with some studies finding more evidence of decreases than increases”. So far as drought is concerned, the scientists note the AR5 finding of the IPCC that “conclusions regarding global drought trends increasing since the 1970s are no longer supported”. Several studies are said to show no increase in the main indices regarding global droughts.
In fact, a slightly warmer and wetter planet and a little extra CO2 seem to have done wonders for global crop yields. For the period 1961-2019, maize, rice, soyabean and wheat global average yields are reported to have grown every year by 3.3%, 2.4%, 2.6% and 3.8% respectively.

Well-researched, fact-driven, credible scientific papers such as this are crucial in the battle to stop green activists and rentiers having a free run to catastrophise every bad weather event in the interest of promoting a command-and-control Net Zero agenda. Attempting to attribute single weather events to humans burning fossil fuels is the product of feverish imaginations and ‘garbage in, garbage out’ climate models. Rational, evidence-based science should be promoted at every opportunity.
Chris Morrison is the Daily Sceptic’s Environment Editor.
Climate Emergency Not Supported by Data, Say Four Leading Italian Scientists
 

jward

passin' thru
I am curious as to how they expect to continue to publish when releasing such findings.
...there must be a "gotcha" clause in here somewhere, but I didn't see it first read thru.
 

pauldingbabe

The Great Cat
Those graphs look like sloppy 6-lead ekg pads rubbing together.

That's some pretty thick tac!

Someone be handy and grab a s*load of a-pine, heat up the paddles, and crank it up 400 baby!

Keep the epi on standby yall....we can shock code this green s* right out.

Hahahahaha, sorry. Those graphs look like telemetry interference. It looks like literally "the big one!". Had one nurse called it "lazy-ass telem!" Then would cuss the plebs a new one about lead interference. "Look at that telemetry board! Everyone having a heart attack at once! Lazy ass telem!"

Good times.

:D
 

TheSearcher

Are you sure about that?
On another thread I mentioned a study I was doing on the forecasting of temperatures, and how the forecasters typically aim high. The data will be completed on Sept 22nd, the first day of Fall. I'll be writing a report on what I am seeing. It is interesting.
 

Sooth

Veteran Member
In the 80’s, it was the Hole In The Ozone Layer will kill everything.
In the 1800’s New York Times, it was Arctic melting.
And too many other emergency declarations to mention.
As I remind the kids and grandkids from time to time, the planet, Earth, has been hanging out for millions of years and is still doing pretty well. When you hear this BS, simply find out where the money is going.
And don’t forget the Walk For The Whales! Get the T-Shirt at the pre-Walk meet up, $25.
 

night driver

ESFP adrift in INTJ sea
ALL of MY nurses knew how to hang a tele. I may have had to read Lead 1 instead of Lead 2 (and yeah THAT is just lazy) bur they gave me good traces for the 30 tele's and 15 hard wired beds I got to watch and document...
 

TammyinWI

Talk is cheap

IPCC adjusts temperature data to create the impression of catastrophic global warming​

BY RHODA WILSON ON APRIL 17, 2023 • ( 20 COMMENTS )

One of the claims the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (“IPCC”) makes in their August 2021 report is that “urbanisation bias” is very small, less than 10%. Dr. Willie Soon says this is nonsense. It’s at least 40% and it’s easy to prove.

“The way they [IPCC] approach science – everything is not science, everything is cartoon science. They turn everything into a cartoon … all of it is not even close to the truth, it’s a joke” Dr. Soon said.


r. Soon, an astrophysicist and geoscientist and co-team leader at CERES Science, is a leading authority on the relationship between solar phenomena and global climate. For more than 32 years he has been studying the Sun-Earth relations in terms of not only meteorology and climate, but also in terms of orbital dynamics of Sun-Earth-other planets interactions, magmatic (volcanoes) and tectonic (earthquakes) activities.

During the Heartland Institute’s 15th International Conference on Climate Change (“ICCC15”) in February, Dr. Soon used data from rural temperature stations to avoid urban heat island contamination of the temperature data and considered whether solar activity can explain global warming at rural stations. As his Heartland Institute talk was limited to 20 minutes, he met with Tom Nelson a week later to go through his presentation more thoroughly. You can find the slides for his presentation HERE.

Between the 1930s and the 1940s Joseph Kincer noted that temperatures had been increasing worldwide for decades. During the 1940s and the 1970s Kincer noted that the warming had stopped and was reversing. Others confirmed the global cooling. How was this possible? “It’s basically how they adjusted the data, it’s the homogenisation problem,” Dr. Soon said.

In the 1980s global warming returned. One of the early promoters of catastrophic global warming was Dr. James Hansen who gave testimony in 1988 in the US Senate. The world panicked and the IPCC was formed. “This was a political move, obviously. The evidence he had was very weak.” Dr. Soon said. After this, narratives were created to stop those challenging the IPCC’s position from interfering with the UN goals.

The problem with IPCC temperature data, Dr. Soon explained, is that they combine urban and rural stations and only use homogenised data. At the various stations collecting data, there could be non-climatic biases. For example, a tree has grown that shades the instruments collecting temperature data. Another example is the urban heat island effect. Cities are warmer than the surrounding countryside. If many buildings have sprung up around instruments collecting temperature data, this increases the recorded temperature significantly. Other non-climatic biases include changes in instrumentation, a station moves, cutting down of nearby trees or shrubs and changes in land use.

By taking rural temperature data only, Dr. Soon demonstrates how the trends shown are supported by trends shown in sea surface temperatures, tree rings and glacial length records. This in turn proves that the upwards trend in global temperature as shown by IPCC is contaminated by urbanisation bias and urban blending. He also discussed the difficulties of measuring light intensity from the Sun and having overcome these, how data representing solar activity correlated to the temperature data from rural stations.

You can watch Dr. Soon’s full presentation below. (Runtime 1 hour 19 minutes)

Willie Soon: Global warming: Mostly human-caused or natural? | Tom Nelson Podcast #79​

View: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=djvfutJWRhY


 

Uhhmmm...

Veteran Member
... and then there is the other side:

Four prominent climate scientists contacted by AFP all said the study—of which they had been unaware—grossly manipulates data, cherry picking some facts and ignoring others that would contradict their discredited assertions.

"The paper gives the appearance of being specifically written to make the case that there is no climate crisis, rather than presenting an objective, comprehensive, up-to-date assessment," said Richard Betts, Head of Climate Impacts Research at Britain's Met Office...

Lead author Gianluca Alimonti is a physicist at a nuclear physics institute. The three co-authors are Luigi Mariani, an agricultural meteorologist, and the physicists Franco Prodi and Renato Angelo Ricci.

The study is written "by people not working in climatology and obviously unfamiliar with the topic and relevant data," said Stefan Rahmstorf, Head of Earth Systems at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research.

"It is not published in a climate journal—this is a common avenue taken by 'climate sceptics' in order to avoid peer review by real experts in the field."

"They simply ignore studies that don't fit their narrative and have come to the opposite conclusion."

More Here -> LINK
 
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jward

passin' thru
Got some Australian's who know there's "nothing new about todays climate"

Wide Awake Media
@wideawake_media
Australian geologist, Viv Forbes, on why geologists reject the anthropogenic climate change scam:

"They've read a bit of geological history. They've read climate history. They know there is nothing new about today's climate. There's nothing extreme, there's nothing new, the fluctuations are very minor, the temperature is very moderate. And even if it warms up a bit, we'll probably benefit."

#ClimateScam #ClimateCult #NetZero #Agenda21 #Agenda2030 #GreatReset
View: https://twitter.com/wideawake_media/status/1648229068674945028?s=20
 

Tristan

Has No Life - Lives on TB
In the 80’s, it was the Hole In The Ozone Layer will kill everything.
In the 1800’s New York Times, it was Arctic melting.
And too many other emergency declarations to mention.
As I remind the kids and grandkids from time to time, the planet, Earth, has been hanging out for millions of years and is still doing pretty well. When you hear this BS, simply find out where the money is going.
And don’t forget the Walk For The Whales! Get the T-Shirt at the pre-Walk meet up, $25.

'Cause Never let a good crisis go to waste, and if there ain't one, create one!
 

Melodi

Disaster Cat
Tree ring data and ice core now go back thousands of years and show that climate does sometimes change suddenly, and such changes are perfectly "normal" in the sense that they happen. Humans and other creatures must adapt to those changes; they don't "stop" them.

That doesn't mean humans should ignore some of their issues like serious pollution, overgrazing of certain landscapes, or farming in areas better left for grazing or forests. We can understand things that our slash-and-burn ancestors could not; unlike them, we have a more global and longer-term perspective.

During the Little Ice Age, one village in Switzerland tried to stop the ice from taking over their homes and fields by sending a priest to "exorcise" the glacier. The Bell, Book, and Candle did nothing to stop the ice, and sometimes I feel that the modern "climate change" screaming will likely have the same long-term effect. In other words, no effect on the official target because you can't stop the world's climate. You can only adapt to it. The village had to move further down the mountainside, which in miniature, is what humans have to do when the climate shifts.

But then, as soon as I heard things like "going after 'climate change deniers,'" I knew that "science" wasn't the issue for some of the folks pushing this agenda.
 

Luddite

Veteran Member
It has always been about control.

I remember the same teacher lamenting about acid rain was the one explaining photosynthesis.

Some older power plants went to low sulfur coal. Then the ash wouldn't drop off electrostatic curtains to be removed. Huge tanks of SO2 were piped in to the flue gas to eliminate that problem. (A manufactured problem nonetheless)

Innovation finds a way. Necessity is a good mother. ;)

Fast forward 50 years. Carbon is now the problem. carbon capture, sequestration, CREDITS. FOOTPRINT.


Do schools teach about photosynthesis anymore?

I'm old enough to remember the waffling about "global cooling then global warming". I guess the scientific community settled on "climate change" for the current iteration of CONTROL.

People who have done dissertation and have 2 or 3 letters after their name scoff.
Scoff when people like me ask if the dinosaurs had internal combustion engines and power plants.

Scoff when we point out how many pollutants ONE volcano spews.


CONTROL. AKA progress prevention.
 

y2ksurvivor

Veteran Member
Fast forward to the year 2040...

Opps! we're sorry. We guessed way to high, no problem after all.

Hey No Harm No Foul
Given what's brewing on our planet (geomagnetic pole shift, weakening of our magnetosphere), climate will be the least of our worries in 2040, even if we are coming off one of the coldest decades in recent history, as projected by many non-mainstream climatologists.
 

GeneSD

Retired December 31 2022
The underlying agenda of the climate change agenda is to push a socialist agenda through the guise of environmentalism. The goal is to use climate change to implement policies that expand government control, limit individual freedoms, and redistribute wealth. This agenda is driven by a small group of powerful elites who seek to consolidate power and enrich themselves at the expense of the masses. The true goal is not to protect the environment but to gain more control over people's lives.
 

TheSearcher

Are you sure about that?
On another thread I mentioned a study I was doing on the forecasting of temperatures, and how the forecasters typically aim high. The data will be completed on Sept 22nd, the first day of Fall. I'll be writing a report on what I am seeing. It is interesting.
I do have the data, I have not written the report. My paying job has been eating my lunch. I'll carve out some time to work on this. Apologies to those who may have been anticipating this.
 

Double_A

TB Fanatic
Those graphs look like sloppy 6-lead ekg pads rubbing together.

That's some pretty thick tac!

Someone be handy and grab a s*load of a-pine, heat up the paddles, and crank it up 400 baby!

Keep the epi on standby yall....we can shock code this green s* right out.

Hahahahaha, sorry. Those graphs look like telemetry interference. It looks like literally "the big one!". Had one nurse called it "lazy-ass telem!" Then would cuss the plebs a new one about lead interference. "Look at that telemetry board! Everyone having a heart attack at once! Lazy ass telem!"

Good times.

:D

IDK dont see no QRS in those waveform
 
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