BRKG Francis Scott Key Bridge in Baltimore has collapsed

Marie

Veteran Member
I am not a physics major, but I have more than 2 brain cells,

Johnny it is all physics. To even begin to understand what happens, one must be able to understand that. Let me just show you what I understand. You have a ship that weighs in at 10000 tons that is 2000 x 100000 which is 200,000,000 million pounds traveling at 15 knots. The power goes out twice, they lose the capability to steer. The angle they are traveling is not what it looks like on camera as the camera is stationary. The hull of the ship is atleast 18+ feet underwater. When they lose the capability to steer the rudder turns right and the captain loses complete control, pressure from 200000000 lbs of weight along with the 18 feet+ of hull underwater is a lot of deflection that causes the ship to be pushed to the right considering it was traveling at a much different path forward from the camera angles.

To show you what I mean look at a clock from the ship coming up the river it looks like it is traveling at the 20 mark on your watch. The camera is facing the ship at thirty. When the power goe out twice it starts to turn to the right unable to control because it is dead in the water and moving forward it's slowing down but still turning to the right. Why is it turning right. 1 it lost power 2. No rudder control. 3. once it started to turn right, the pressure from the water was pushing it to the right even farther.

That is the way I see it. I hope it makes sense.
This!
 

BornFree

Came This Far
The part that gets me is when I sit and think about all the ways that the pier could have been protected enough to prevent this. The forces were not too great. The evidence for that is right there in front of us. That pier actually did stop the ship. Even another pier 30 feet in front of it would have stopped the ship before it hit the critical one. But there are much more sensible and scientific ways to design something to stop such a collision with a critical structure. There are ways to slow something down while absorbing the energy. Anyone ever see a runaway truck ramp. Well ramps can be made of concrete and extend 360 degrees. How about multiple layers of breakaway concrete or bendable metal. We were trained to believe that engineers and officials know what they are doing. And while some may be smart in many things they often have that really dumb side as well. And officials that don't want to spend the money which would have been fraction of what they will spend now. And many more people could have died. Change a few details and hundreds could have died here.
 

Quiet Man

Nothing unreal exists
Play the video at maximum speed, then you can see the following clearly: After the power is restored the first time, you see thick smoke (engines on), and then the ship turns directly toward the pier and takes it out. What are the odds of this being random?

ETA: I doubt this was an accident.
 

bw

Fringe Ranger
Play the video at maximum speed, then you can see the following clearly: After the power is restored the first time, you see thick smoke (engines on), and then the ship turns directly toward the pier and takes it out. What are the odds of this being random?

ETA: I doubt this was an accident.
Look at this graphic from #114. They're slowing down and slowly turning.

index.php
 

okie-carbine

Veteran Member
Play the video at maximum speed, then you can see the following clearly: After the power is restored the first time, you see thick smoke (engines on), and then the ship turns directly toward the pier and takes it out. What are the odds of this being random?

ETA: I doubt this was an accident.
We aren't allowed to say that in this thread. Move it to the woo like everyone else. Welcome to TB2K, where you are not allowed to speak freely.
 

arks

Trying to keep up
I’ve been on some shipping forums today and they’re saying the bridge protection was adequate for 40 years ago but should’ve been upgraded substantially for todays massive container ships.

Goodbye, Key Bridge. That buoy is the spot where Francis Scott Key penned the verse that became our National Anthem.
IMG_1192.jpeg
 

Seeker22

Has No Life - Lives on TB
OMG... I spotted this, this morning. OK.... How can ANYONE think this isn't just Prof. Murphy's law at work? A pure accident.

sigh. SHIT HAPPENS PEOPLE.

Because we've been literally assaulted in the news with a long string of accidents that probably weren't for around three years now.

Long tailed cat, gets tossed in a roomful of rocking chairs. I think woo is some people's defense against a situation too horrible to contemplate. Accident provides a nice defense, too. Critical Thinking skills are necessary. Too early yet to decide.
 

Johnny Twoguns

Senior Member
Sure. I understand basic physics. But with no power how did the rudder turn hard right? If you watch the video that is a hard turn right, on a ship moving not moving under full power and it happened quickly all things considered. It's a reasonable question; what moved the rudder into a hard turn?
 

Doc1

Has No Life - Lives on TB
Not to rain on anyone's cruise parade (as I've often thought of taking one), but there is a certain demographic, by the dozens or apparently sometimes hundreds, that have ruined a lot of people's enjoyment of big cruises over the last 10 or so years. Think of a Popeye's fight on steroids. All kinds of videos out there showing why we can't have nice things anymore. Wherever 3 or more shall gather in their name, all hell tends to break out. Just a heads up if you were unaware.

Truth.

Best
Doc
 

medic38572

TB Fanatic
1/2mv*2 That be a whole lot of force that ship was packing!! Dropping an anchor might just shear everything associated with the anchor system if the anchor hit and lodged on a crack in solid bedrock. Regardless this is bad news all around. Shows how fragile our infrastructures can be. Wonder it someone did their "what-if" analysis on the piers...seems like they need a "Jersey Barrier" like system around bridges piers?

When I look at old railroad bridges out west over rivers with no ship traffic and the size of the bridge piers, proportionally, the RR bridges are huge and look way over-designed compared to the FSK bridge. Just my musings.
Until one comes down, then you look and say they should have made the stronger! :D
 

Safetydude

Senior Member
For a laugh, look at the anchor drop in the Battleship film, when the ship spins around.
That's exactly what picture came to mind! Only happens in the movies! Actually watched a few videos on aircraft carrier and battleship anchor systems, massive as they are, static loading not deployed while underway. Would hate to be around when a link sheared/exploded...that would ruin your day!
 

Shadow

Swift, Silent,...Sleepy
Sure. I understand basic physics. But with no power how did the rudder turn hard right? If you watch the video that is a hard turn right, on a ship moving not moving under full power and it happened quickly all things considered. It's a reasonable question; what moved the rudder into a hard turn?
With the ship moving forward with the wind pushing it to the right it would have its rudder turned left to resist the wind. If it lost propulsion that effect would have been lost as it lost speed and the ship would drift to it's right. When it regained propulsion turning to the left, back to center, requires pushing the stern to the right as that is how ships are turned, the rudder being at the back.

At that point there was not a lot of harbor to it's right to maneuver in, and very little time. A bit like having trouble with an aircraft at low altitude.

This still does not completely rule out the nefarious. Investigations will have to do that.

Shadow
 

UglyBird

Contributing Member
Somewhere I saw comments about a 14mph crosswind at the time of the accident. The ship and those stacks of cargo containers presents a huge sail area. If the containers were empty the ship would be riding higher in the water presenting even more sail area. Also, if the containers were empty the wind might have more effect and blow the ship off course even faster. (Kind of a gut feeling here, same surface area/wind load but less mass so it might blow sideways a little faster.) I assume the pilot would be aware of this and should be able to compensate.
 

summerthyme

Administrator
_______________
You have a ship that weighs in at 10000 tons that is 2000 x 100000 which is 200,000,000 million pounds traveling at 15 knots

Er.. while I agree with your premise, you might want to check your math! 10,000 tons is 20 million pounds... not 20 quadrillion! (And I might be off by a bit... I didn't feel like counting all the zeroes!)

But I also think it had an awful lot of surface for the wind to catch, and it appeared to be riding high and empty. All factors in a perfect storm)

Summerthyme
 

summerthyme

Administrator
_______________
Play the video at maximum speed, then you can see the following clearly: After the power is restored the first time, you see thick smoke (engines on), and then the ship turns directly toward the pier and takes it out. What are the odds of this being random?

ETA: I doubt this was an accident.
That was likely partially a function of dropping the anchor, and the tide/current.

Summerthyme
 
Maybe someone with knowledge can answer.....

I know lights went out, and as has been explained, the generator came on then went out, but could someone just flip a switch for the main power to go out? And could that same person flip a switch to turn the generator off?
Any halfway competent engineer could do that. How long was it from first to second blackout? Did they recover from second blackout with lights on again, or was that it for them?
 

summerthyme

Administrator
_______________
Okie-carbine is off the thread. Good grief!i It's not complicated... you've got an entire separate thread to post woo to your heart's content!

And in the one in a million chance that one of the woo theories is PROVEN correct, we'll add that part of the discussion back to the news thread.

Summerthyme
 
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summerthyme

Administrator
_______________
Sure. I understand basic physics. But with no power how did the rudder turn hard right? If you watch the video that is a hard turn right, on a ship moving not moving under full power and it happened quickly all things considered. It's a reasonable question; what moved the rudder into a hard turn?
Have you never heard of currents? This isn't a vehicle on a solid road!

Summerthyme
 
It's called 'crash astern", and yes it is a standard command. It's a propulsion command not a rudder comand. It involves overriding the shat brake and can easily shear either the prop key or the shaft itself, so it's only used in desperate situations. From the amount of cavitation right before impact I would say it was utilized.
Cavitation would require massive rotation reverse, would it not? Again, does the engine actually reverse? Can the ship travel backwards, or just depends on tugs?
 

summerthyme

Administrator
_______________
Somewhere I saw comments about a 14mph crosswind at the time of the accident. The ship and those stacks of cargo containers presents a huge sail area. If the containers were empty the ship would be riding higher in the water presenting even more sail area. Also, if the containers were empty the wind might have more effect and blow the ship off course even faster. (Kind of a gut feeling here, same surface area/wind load but less mass so it might blow sideways a little faster.) I assume the pilot would be aware of this and should be able to compensate.
That number is what I was looking for! And yes, if it was empty (which it appeared to be), it would be riding high and essentially function as a giant sail.

Under normal circumstances, the immensely powerful engines would be able to overcome the tendency to turn into the wind... but not without the ability to steer!

I would love to see a tide and current chart for the area.

Summerthyme
 

packyderms_wife

Neither here nor there.
This is probably a single screw ship. Depending on how they used thrust, that could deflect the bow to starboard. Also, there is usually a strong crosswind in that area. I would assume that windage on a container ship would be huge, causing drift.
Marine flood warning with fast currents. They dropped the anchor on one side only causing pivoting. Had they had time to drop anchors on both sides, but they didn’t, this might not have happened. Applied physics any one???
 

packyderms_wife

Neither here nor there.
A geologist told me many years ago that the Susquehanna River, and subsequently Baltimore Harbor and most of Chesapeake Bay have a granite floor, resulting in a relatively smooth and hard surface. That is also why those waterways have shallow depths.

The context of the conversation was related to an oil spill response my company was involved with on the Susquehanna and boat operators (including myself) were unable to anchor while setting up containment boom.

My first thought when I read the vessel dropped an anchor was wondering if that part of the harbor had the granite floor and therefore would have been a futile effort.
Good question and I’ll come back with did it drop fast enough?
 

Vegas321

Live free and survive
If people have not realized our transportation, electricity infrastructure is sub par and old. Don't know what to say.
The only thing the Federal government should have paid for. And have in A+ condition. Is our roads, bridges, and electric grid, and military. Instead, trillions wasted on wars, gender realignment, abortions, and pork.
Our infrastructure won't even last like the Roman empire. For school kids to see how a society risen and fell.
 
They both happened too quickly. It’s hard to understand how the whole bridge would go that quickly unless there are cables involved I'm not trying to make a big deal about this just doesn't seem right to me.
Remember, the buildings not to be named were supported from below. The bridge was supported from the ends of the span atop the pylons. Don’t think it had cables, just angle iron and beams.
 

packyderms_wife

Neither here nor there.
I have a suspicion that folks (not you mariners, of course) generally don't have a feel for how massive these propulsion systems are. I did a bit of searching to try and give some perspective. Suffice it to say, when Cap'n Eddie says Crash Astern could shear a propeller shaft, he ain't kidding. This isn't the same as hitting reverse gear in a fishing boat.

There are three main manufacturers in the world of these monsters. I found a picture of the MAN facility in Germany which shows a section of a precision forged and machined crankshaft. You can see the scale by the people under it.

MAN-BW-crankshaft.png
This and ins spades^^^ and I thought my grandfathers fishing boat was huge, he fished for crabs, lobsters, and cod north of Newfoundland!
 
Sure. I understand basic physics. But with no power how did the rudder turn hard right? If you watch the video that is a hard turn right, on a ship moving not moving under full power and it happened quickly all things considered. It's a reasonable question; what moved the rudder into a hard turn?
If power failed, would ships existing motion slap rudder even farther into that turn? What holds rudder in place?
 
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