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PHILIPPINES

France taking sides with Philippines vis-a-vis China​

France an active participant in US-Philippine Balikatan joint exercises while seeking visiting forces agreement and submarine sales

By RICHARD JAVAD HEYDARIAN
APRIL 29, 2024

MANILA – Enter France as the latest Western power to side with the Philippines in its bubbling dispute with China in the South China Sea.

While this year’s US-Philippine Balikatan (shoulder to shoulder) joint military exercises are notable for their sheer size with over 17,000 participating troops, state-of-the-art missile system tests and drills provocatively near Taiwan, France’s presence at the war games has been less noticed.

The French Navy’s flagship warship, Vendemiaire, sailed alongside Philippine and US counterparts – the Philippine Navy’s BRP Davao del Sur (LD-602) and BRP Ramon Alcaraz (PS-16) and the US Navy’s USS Harpers Ferry – as part of the multilateral maritime exercise (MME) under Balikatan Exercises 2024.

At the same time, France announced that it will soon kickstart high-stakes negotiations for a Visiting Forces Agreement-style deal with the Philippines to regularize and expand joint drills in the near future.

Moreover, the European power is also offering advanced weapons systems, including a potential multi-billion submarine deal, amid the Philippines’ massive military modernization program.

Although a US treaty ally, the Philippines is proactively diversifying its defense relations by cultivating ties with a wide network of partners from the Indo-Pacific to Europe to enhance its strategic autonomy and build up its laggard maritime security capabilities.

The US remains the Philippines’ leading defense partner and its only treaty ally. Earlier this month, US President Joe Biden reiterated Washington’s commitment to come to the Philippines’ rescue in the event of a conflict in the South China Sea under the terms of the 1951 Mutual Defense Treaty.

Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr recently joined his Japanese counterpart Fumio Kishida for the inaugural Japan-Philippine-US (JAPHUS) trilateral summit in Washington. Both the US and Japan vowed to expand their defense aid and make new strategic investments in the Philippines at the meeting.

The Philippines is fast emerging as a critical component of America’s “integrated deterrence” strategy in Asia, hence the geographically expansive and sophisticated Balikatan joint drills in the South China Sea and around the Bashi Channel near Taiwan.

Filipino policymakers, however, are also keenly aware that the Biden administration is committed to multiple allies and partners across various theaters, from Eastern Europe to the Middle East.

The US Senate recently passed a US$95 billion emergency package with earmarks for Ukraine ($60 billion), Israel ($17 billion) and Taiwan ($8 billion). Although US military financing to the Philippines is set to more than quadruple to around $500 million, it still represents a tiny percentage of US defense aid to other security partners.

And it’s not clear when, if ever, the Philippines will also get American-made and desperately needed modern fighter jets and weapons systems, which even non-allies such as Jordan, Pakistan and Egypt have received. Given the sheer scale of the military challenge posed by China in nearby waters, the amount of US aid to the Philippines remains woefully inadequate.

Natural partners

Over the past decade, the Philippines and Europe have emerged as like-minded partners. As the sole liberal democracy in Southeast Asia, which has notably stood by the West amid conflicts in Ukraine and Gaza, the Philippines broadly shares Europe’s strategic outlook and value system.

Even more crucially, the two sides have also steadily recognized each others’ strategic significance. For its part, the European Union and post-Brexit Britain have stepped up their regional diplomacy through the pursuit of free trade agreements and defense cooperation with a host of Asian powers, most notably India, Japan, South Korea, Australia, Singapore and Vietnam.

Britain became the first European country to join the Japan-led Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership free trade deal while the European Union has finalized free trade deals with multiple regional economies.


The European powers have also been active on the defense front, with all three major European powers, in addition to the Netherlands and Italy, recently conducting patrols across the Indo-Pacific.

During a 2018 trip to the region, French President Emmanuel Macron openly called for a “Paris-Delhi-Canberra axis”, which he said will “be respected by China as an equal partner”, underscoring Europe’s commitment to proactive strategic presence in the region.

France also became the first European country to appoint a special envoy in the Indo-Pacific and, along with Germany, issued its own “Indo-Pacific” strategy in the late 2010s, which served as a blueprint for the broader European Union’s foreign policy in Asia.

At times, France has pushed the China envelope with the naval frigate Vendemiaire passing through the Taiwan straits in Europe’s own version of “freedom of navigation operations.” Britain has also regularly deployed warships to the Indo-Pacific, most notably the HMS Queen Elizabeth at the height of the pandemic, for joint drills and freedom of navigation patrols.

Although the Philippines had contentious relations with Europe during the Rodrigo Duterte presidency, particularly over human rights and democracy issues, the three major European powers of Britain, France and Germany – the so-called “E3” – consistently backed Southeast Asian nations on their South China Sea disputes vis-à-vis China, often in tandem and/or in joint statements.


In the past two years, the EU and Britain have actively courted the Marcos Jr administration, which has adopted a friendlier stance toward traditional partners while standing up to China’s assertiveness in the South China Sea.

Last year, EU chief Ursula von der Leyen made a historic visit to Manila to “accelerate a new era of cooperation” in order to jointly preserve “the international rules-based order.” During her visit, she openly criticized China both for the latter’s alleged assistance to Russia in the Ukraine conflict but also, referring to the South China Sea disputes, China’s “more assertive stance in your region [Southeast Asia].”

Accordingly, she vowed to “strengthen cooperation with the Philippines on maritime security” by focusing on, inter alia, “the capacity of your National Coast Watch Center (NCWC) and your Coast Guard.”

Also last year, Britain dispatched for the first time an observer to the Balikatan exercises, underscoring the European power’s commitment to upgrading bilateral defense cooperation.

With the Philippines undergoing a once-in-a-generation military modernization program, Europe is also positioning itself as a major potential supplier of advanced weapons systems.

Most notably, France Naval Group, manufacturer of the Scorpene diesel-electric submarine, has offered to not only build submarines and a Philippine submarine force but also provide the basic infrastructure for the operation of advanced naval assets.

Other European nations such as Spain, which had a three-centuries-old colony in the Philippines, have also offered major submarine and warship packages.

In a bid to enhance their interoperability and signal a united front, France joined this month’s Balikatan exercises through trilateral naval drills with the Philippines and US, including maritime search and rescue operations, gunnery exercises and division tactics.

“They have lined up training activities. In fact, upon reaching [our] eastern coast in Palawan, they will start division tactics [training]. They will be sailing together [across] east coast then [head] up north up to Mindoro Strait [then enter] the [South China] Sea,” Philippine military spokesman Ariel Coloma told reporters in a mixture of Filipino and English.

The three navies will break out for separate exercises following their joint drills in the South China Sea, Coloma said. Crucially, the Philippines’ BRP Ramon Alcarazand the French frigateVendemiaireare set to conduct separate bilateral drills outside of the Philippine-US Balikatan exercises.


According to French Ambassador to the Philippines Marie Fontanel, the two sides have also set to begin, based on a prior agreement last December, to negotiate a Reciprocal Access Agreement (RAA), which could dramatically accelerate bilateral security cooperation.

“We will have an opportunity in May to maybe start officially the negotiations or, at least, discuss the modalities,” the French ambassador said during a news conference with French Ambassador to the Indo-Pacific Marc Abensour, who had also visited the Philippines on the sidelines of the Balikatan exercises.

Other European powers such as Britain and Germany could soon follow suit, thus potentially expanding the Philippines’ network of allies along with the US and Australia, both of which already have VFA-style deals with the Southeast Asian nation.

Follow Richard Javad Heydarian on X at @Richeydarian
 

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Ian Ellis
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New: Philippine ships “encountered dangerous maneuvers & obstruction from 4x China Coast Guard & 6x Chinese Maritime Militia vessels.”

The CCG “employed jet stream water cannons, targeting the PCG vessel from both sides, resulting in damage.”@jaytaryela
View: https://twitter.com/ianellisjones/status/1785159582978810049



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@CollinSLKoh
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CCG's brutish water cannon attack and ramming action again captured in full view, this time off Scarborough Shoal.
View: https://twitter.com/CollinSLKoh/status/1785152988434288974
 
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#US, #Australia, #Japan vow ‘coordinated security assistance’ to #Philippines

The United States, Australia and Japan have agreed to provide “coordinated security assistance” to the Philippines to strengthen the country’s military capabilities in the face of China’s growing aggressiveness in the South China Sea.

The defense ministers of the four countries—Gilberto Teodoro Jr. of the Philippines, Lloyd Austin III of the United States, Richard Marles of Australia and Minoru Kihara of Japan—met at the US Indo-Pacific Command headquarters at Camp H.M. Smith in Hawaii on Thursday to discuss ways to maintain stability and security in the region.

Austin held separate meetings with his Japanese and Australian counterparts, then all three of them together, before they met with Teodoro.

“We’re looking to conduct more maritime exercises and activities among our four countries. We also want to pursue coordinated security assistance to the Philippines that will boost interoperability and help the Philippines achieve its defense modernization goals,” Austin said at a press conference.

Historic joint sail

The meeting came a few weeks after the navies of the four countries made their historic quadrilateral joint sail in the West Philippine Sea (WPS), part of the Philippines’ exclusive economic zone (EEZ) in the South China Sea, where China has sweeping claims.

A 2016 arbitral ruling voided those expansive claims but Beijing has refused to recognize the decision.

The inaugural meeting of the four nations’ top defense officials took place on the sidelines of the Shangri-La Dialogue in Singapore in June last year. At the time, Undersecretary Carlito Galvez Jr. represented the Philippines and Hamada Yasukazu represented Japan.

Marles said they discussed “increased tempo of defense exercises based on the reciprocal access agreements, the status of forces agreements” between their countries.

Solon vows anti-corruption measures once NFA allowed to sell rice anewSolon vows anti-corruption measures once NFA allowed to sell rice anew

Kihara said it was important to work together “while the security environment around us is facing even harsher challenges.”

For his part, Teodoro said the meeting expressed a unified message “in the face of a unilateral declaration by a single theater actor,” without referring to China by name.

Tensions have risen between the Philippines and China over the West Philippine Sea. Earlier this week, Chinese coast guard ships fired water cannons at Philippine Coast Guard and Bureau of Fisheries and Aquatic Resources vessels near Bajo de Masinloc (Panatag or Scarborough Shoal), damaging both.

‘Irresponsible behavior’

Austin criticized China’s “irresponsible behavior” that “disregards international law.”

But he and Teodoro refused to say how and when the Mutual Defense Treaty (MDT) between their countries could be invoked.

The 1951 MDT binds the two countries to defend each other in case of an external attack. Austin reiterated the United States’ “ironclad” commitment to the treaty.

Teodoro said hypothetical talks on the MDT were “counterproductive.”

“It is an agreement and it will be a political decision at the end of the day,” he added.

Teodoro said that “our job as (defense) secretaries is to make sure that there are no situations, through capability building and deterrence, that an MDT situation would arise.”

‘Twin anchors’

In Manila, Foreign Secretary Enrique Manalo on Thursday said the government’s foreign policy in the South China Sea was “built on the twin anchors” of the 2016 arbitral award and the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (Unclos).

“We categorically reject the excessive claims and aggressive actions by the People’s Republic of China in the WPS, for they stand in stark opposition to the rule of law and the very principles that ensure peace and stability in our region,” he said.

The arbitral ruling and the Unclos are the “bedrock” on which the country had strengthened its maritime security cooperation with other nations, Manalo said, citing support from the United States, Australia, Japan, United Kingdom, Republic of Korea, Vietnam, Indonesia and India, and the European Union.

“This reality, that we do not stand alone, is a novel one. Not so long ago, we were derided for filing protest note after protest note when our sovereignty, sovereign rights and jurisdiction were violated. Now, we have many others joining their voices to ours,” he said.

Manalo rejected China’s claim that the Philippines was just a “pawn” of the United States in the South China Sea.

Observers say that this propaganda theme has been reechoed by Beijing and its supporters to diminish the legitimacy of Manila’s protests against Chinese activities in the West Philippine Sea by portraying the Philippines as a US “vassal.”

“Involvement in this maritime and territorial struggle of global importance is happening at the behest of the Philippines—we are not bystanders to [the] situation,” Manalo said in a speech during a national security workshop organized by the Presidential Communications Office.

Manipulative

In March, China’s foreign ministry spokesperson Mao Ning accused the US of using the Philippines as a “pawn to stir up trouble in the South China Sea.”

“The Philippines should not let itself be at the mercy of the United States,” she said.

Manalo said that such a statement was “designed to manipulate people into being disengaged” from the maritime dispute with China.

“We must expose the illegality of the nine-dash line that is being used as the basis for threatening the livelihoods of our fishermen through harassment and intimidation, and for reclamation activities that degrade the environment in these vital waters. We should not allow ourselves to be painted as the aggressors or the violators,” he added.

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Clash Report
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China’s Type 003 aircraft carrier, also known as the Fujian, is the largest warship ever built by an Asian country; surpassing even the Yamato-class battleships.

— With its displacement of 80,000 tonnes, Fujian is China's newest and most advanced aircraft carrier, comparable in size to the U.S. Navy's Nimitz and Ford classes.

— Fujian is currently conducting sea trials.
 

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Indo-Pacific News - Geo-Politics & Defense
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1) #Australian helicopter forced to take evasive action after #Chinese fighter detonates flares

⚡️In short: An Australian pilot was forced to take evasive action after a Chinese military jet detonated flares close to a Navy helicopter near South Korea.

⚡️The Defence Department has described the actions of the Chinese plane as "unsafe and unprofessional".

⚡️What's next? The Coalition has called on Defence Minister Richard Marles to raise this incident directly with his Chinese counterpart.

An Australian pilot was forced to take evasive action after a Chinese military jet detonated flares close to a Navy helicopter that was operating in international waters near South Korea.

The Defence Department has described the actions of the J-10 Chinese Air Force plane as "unsafe and unprofessional" following the incident which took place in the Yellow Sea over the weekend.

On Saturday a MH-60R Seahawk which had launched from HMAS Hobart was intercepted by the People's Liberation Army-Air Force (PLA-AF) as it was taking part in a UN mission to enforce sanctions against North Korea.

"The PLA-AF aircraft released flares along the flight path of the Australian Defence Force (ADF) helicopter," the Defence Department said in a statement on Monday night.

"This was an unsafe manoeuvre which posed a risk to the aircraft and personnel.

"While there were no injuries sustained by ADF personnel or damage caused to the MH-60R helicopter, the safety and wellbeing of our ADF personnel continues to be our utmost priority," the department added.

"Australia expects all countries, including China, to operate their militaries in a professional and safe manner."

Defence Minister Richard Marles says the Australian government has expressed its concerns directly with the Chinese government following the dangerous interception.

"The PLA Air Force plane dropped flares about 300 metres in front of the Seahawk helicopter and about 60 metres above it, requiring the helicopter to take evasive action in order to not be hit by those flares," Mr Marles said in a statement.

"The consequence of being hit by the flares would have been significant.

"Importantly, the helicopter was unaffected and all the crew are safe."

"This is a very serious incident. It was unsafe and it is completely unacceptable."

The incident occurred a day after the ABC revealed Australia's Navy Chief had recently confronted his Chinese counterpart over another incident last November where divers were injured in a sonar attack also in international waters.

Shadow Defence Minister Andrew Hastie also condemned what he described as the "provocative and dangerous interaction" of the Chinese Air Force with an Australian helicopter in the Yellow Sea.

"This builds on the pattern of aggressive behaviour from the People's Liberation Army — Navy towards the Australian Defence Force (ADF) over the past few years, including the sonar attack on RAN divers in November last year.

"We are relieved that no ADF personnel were injured by this reckless, dangerous and foolish move. It does not build trust between our nations.

"The Coalition calls on Richard Marles to stand up for our ADF personnel and raise this incident directly with his Chinese counterpart," Mr Hastie added.

 

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BREAKING: The Chinese state has hacked the United Kingdom's Ministry of Defence, Sky News understands.
 

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BREAKING : #China has hacked the #UK Ministry of Defence

MPs will be told on Tuesday of a massive data breach involving the Ministry of Defence, targeting service personnel.

The government will not name the country involved, but Sky News understands this to be China.

The Chinese state is to be accused of two or three attempts at hacking MoD employees - including personnel.

The cyberattack was on a payroll system with current service personnel and some veterans. It is largely names and bank details that have been exposed.

The MoD has been working at speed over the last 72 hours to understand the scale of the hack.

This could raise questions about whether other countries with challenging relationships with China will want to share sensitive intelligence with the UK.

This comes fewer than two months after China's "state-affiliated actors" have been blamed by the government for two "malicious" cyberattack campaigns in the UK.

Making a speech in the Commons, Deputy Prime Minister Oliver Dowden revealed the two incidents involved an attack on the Electoral Commission - responsible for overseeing elections and political finance - in 2021, and targeted attacks against China-sceptic MPs.

Faytuks News
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BREAKING: The Chinese state has hacked the United Kingdom's Ministry of Defence, Sky News understands.
 

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Ian Miles Cheong
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Japan’s leader of the right-wing populist Sansei Party Sohei Kamiya responds to Biden’s claim that Japan is xenophobic: "It's not that we're xenophobic, we are being cautious after seeing your failures. You are meddling too much in our internal affairs."
 

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#SouthKorea brings hypersonic tech to the #AUKUS table in a sign Seoul is moving closer to the US and its other allies.


South Korean Defence Minister Shin Won-sik has confirmed Seoul is in talks to take part in Pillar 2 of the defence alliance.

Analysts say South Korea could ‘bring a great deal of expertise to any collaboration’ with its hypersonic weapons knowledge.

Advanced South Korean hypersonic technology would be a “good contributor” to Aukus in standing up against China’s weapons, and Seoul’s desire to join the security pact signals it is leaning further towards the US and its other allies, analysts say.

The assessment follows confirmation from South Korean Defence Minister Shin Won-sik that his country is in talks to take part in Aukus, and possibly join Pillar 2 of the US-led trilateral defence alliance between Australia, Britain and America.

In Melbourne on Wednesday, Shin took part in a 2+2 meeting – which are talks involving foreign and defence ministers – between Australia and South Korea.

He confirmed the two countries discussed the possibility that South Korea could contribute to the defence technology sharing pact between Australia, Britain and the US.

“During today’s meeting, we also discussed the possibility of partnering with Aukus Pillar 2,” Shin said.“We support Aukus Pillar 2 activities and we do welcome that members are considering Korea as an Aukus Pillar 2 partner.

”It was the first time Seoul had confirmed its discussion to join the alliance. Last month the Aukus defence chiefs said the three countries were considering expanding the second pillar of Aukus, naming Japan as one of the possible future member states.

Beijing has criticised Tokyo’s possible participation in Aukus, arguing that Japan should “earnestly reflect on its history of aggression, abandon the practice of forming a small military and security circle and truly pursue the path of peaceful development”.

Launched in 2021, Aukus has two key pillars: Pillar 1 supports Australia’s acquisition of conventionally armed nuclear-powered submarines, while Pillar 2 focuses on cutting-edge technologies, including quantum computing, artificial intelligence and hypersonics.

While the first pillar is limited to the core trio with no plans for additional member states, the expansion would take place in the second pillar, where not only Japan but also South Korea, New Zealand and Canada were reportedly listed as prospective partners.

“Korea is a country with deeply impressive technology where we do have shared values,” Australian Defence Minister Richard Marles said after the 2+2 meeting.

“As Aukus Pillar 2 develops, there will be opportunities in the future, and we’re seeing that play out in relation to Japan as well.”

Hypersonic technology is one of the core areas in Pillar 2 that Seoul is likely to contribute to. Hypersonic missiles travel more than five times faster than the speed of sound and approach targets from a much lower angle, making them harder to detect with conventional missile defence systems.

Only two countries – Russia and China – are reportedly operating hypersonic missiles in their militaries, while the US and its allies are still in the development phase of supersonic weapons technology.

The US cancelled its development plans for a hypersonic AGM-183A air-launched rapid response weapon in 2023 after repeated test failures, focusing instead on developing smaller hypersonic attack cruise missile systems.

South Korea has also been developing hypersonic missile technology in response to recent threats from North Korea’s continuous nuclear and ballistic missile programme that included the development of its own supersonic missile technologies.

In August 2020, then-South Korean defence minister Jeong Kyeong-doo first revealed Seoul’s development plans for hypersonic missiles. A test prototype of a South Korean hypersonic cruise missile, dubbed “Hycore” was then revealed in 2021.

Hycore will reportedly start testing this year. It is expected to have a speed of up to Mach 6.2 and start its service by the early 2030s as air-to-ground missiles on South Korea’s home-grown fighter jet KF-21 Boramae.

Malcolm Davis, a senior analyst at the Australian Strategic Policy Institute, said that adding South Korea’s advanced defence and high technology sector, including its developments in priority areas such as hypersonics, would be a “good contributor” to Aukus Pillar 2.

“I think an ability to collaborate on key projects in long-range strike via hypersonics, as well as counter-hypersonic defensive systems, would enable the ROK [Republic of Korea] to bring a great deal of expertise to any collaboration, and potentially open up new avenues for development,” Davis said.

“For example, one area that could be pursued beyond military technologies would be hypersonic-based rapid space access, and that would build into the critical opportunities for space collaboration between Australia and the ROK in the space sector.”

Davis stressed that a “perceived challenge from authoritarian adversaries” was the main driver making hypersonics a priority area in Aukus Pillar 2.

“[China and Russia] are more advanced in their development and deployment of such technologies and the tactical benefits of prompt strike capabilities with enhanced range, and an ability to penetrate integrated air and missile defences,” Davis said.

“It’s absolutely vital that the Aukus members and their partners such as South Korea and Japan develop both the offensive hypersonic strike capabilities to hold at risk Chinese forces at greater range, and also develop effective counter-hypersonic systems to defeat Chinese hypersonic threats.”

Since 2019, Beijing has operated the DF-17, a medium-range missile system equipped with a hypersonic glide vehicle (HGV). With a range of 1,600km (1,000 miles), the DF-17’s “primary purpose” is “striking foreign military bases and fleets in the western Pacific”, according to a Pentagon report in 2022.

There is also the DF-27, an intermediate-range ballistic missile with a hypersonic glide vehicle and a range of 5,000 to 8,000km – enough to strike Hawaii from the Chinese mainland – which China has reportedly had since at least 2019.

Davis said Beijing would “strongly oppose” any move by Seoul to support or take part in the defence technology sharing partnership.

“It is certain that China will criticise and probably pressure Seoul to step back from such a move, and may try to exploit internal political dynamics in ROK,” he said.

James Lewis, a senior vice-president and director of the strategic technologies programme at the Washington-based think tank Centre for Strategic and International Studies, said Seoul’s participation in Aukus Pillar 2 would be a way to “signal that it is moving closer to the US and its allies”.

“The Koreans probably hope that tech cooperation is less provocative. Korea is rethinking its foreign policy, and while it would prefer to not provoke China, they are not willing to be a tributary state,” Lewis said.

“It’s also a signal to China that playing the neighbourhood bully has consequences. ROK looking at Aukus is a political gesture short of military alliance but moving a step closer.

“On the technology point, the ROK is worried that it is losing its technological edge and looking for outside help to rejuvenate. Aukus might be good for that as an antidote for tech parochialism.”

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